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Ca9110103 - Ca9110123 ISSN 0706-1293 ca9110103 - ca9110123 ISSN 0706-1293 25th ANNUAL CONFERENCE of the CANADIAN NUCLEAR ASSOCIATION Theme: "Strategic Opportunities for Growth' PROCEEDINGS June 2-4, 1985 Ottawa, Canada Canadian Nuclear Association 111 Elizabeth Street Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5G 1P7 25th ANNUAL CONFERENCE OF THE CNA June 2-4, 1985 Ottawa Conference Committee Sponsoring Director Dr. R. Vuia Combustion Engineering Committee Chairman Dr. R.W. Morrison Energy, Mines & Resources Canada Program Chairman Dr. G. Pon Atomic Energy of Canada Limited E. Deslauriers Atomic Energy of Canada Limited R. Veilleux Atomic Energy of Canada Limited V. Godin Atomic Energy of Canada Limited W. Killough Ontario Hydro J. O'Connor Ontario Hydro L. Champoux Atomic Energy of Canada Limited D. Smith Eldorado Resources Limited K. Allan P. French (CNS Conference) Atomic Energy Control Board Dr. N. Aspin Canadian Nuclear Association J.A. Weller Canadian Nuclear Association D.T. Waechter Canadian Nuclear Association •/.-, TABLE OF CONTENTS THE FIRST TWENTY-FIVE YEARS (Anniversary Dinner Address) by Dr. John S. Foster, Director, Montreal Engineering Company Limited SESSION 1: EVOLVING WORLD ELECTRICITY PATTERNS INDUSTRIAL ECONOMICS RUN ON ELECTRICITY by Bernard Montfort, Head, Methodologies, Economics Department, Electricite de France 12 THE UNITED STATES IN 2000: POWER-LESS OR POWER-FULL? by Dr. Chauncey Starr, Vice Chairman, Electric Power Research Institute, USA 25 ARE THE ENERGY OPTIONS LIMITED? by Dr. Takashi Mukaibo, Deputy Chairman, Japan Atomic Energy Commission 44 SESSION 2: THE NUCLEAR POWER OPTION NUCLEAR POWER SAFETY INITIATIVES by Dr. ZackT. Pate, President, Institute of Nuclear Power Operations, USA 5] ENERGY IN THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITY: THE GROWING CONTRIBUTION OF NUCLEAR by Christopher Audland, Director General for Energy, Commission of the European Communities 59 URANIUM: IS TODAY'S EXCESS, TOMORROW'S SHORTAGE by Fred E. Bonner, Deputy Chairman, Central Electricity Generating Board; and. Chairman, The Uranium Institute, London 72 THE EMERGING NATIONS: THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR NUCLEAR POWER by Robert Skjoeldebrand, Principle Officer, Division of Nuclear Power, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna 85 CAPITAL-INTENSIVE REACTORS IN CAPITAL-SHORT COUNTRIES by Stanley J. Lewand, Vice President, Public Utilities Division, The Chase Manhattan Bank, USA.. 93 SESSION 3: CANADA: THE UNIQUE SUPPLIER CANADA - THE LARGEST URANIUM PRODUCER by Alan F. Lowell, Vice President, Minerals Marketing, Rio Algom Limited 99 CANDU - MEETING THE DEMAND FOR ENERGY SELF-SUFFICIENCY by Don S. Lawson, President, CANDU Operations, Atomic Energy of Canada Limited 105 ELECTRICITY EXPORTS: HIGH-POWERED BENEFITS? by Mike C. McCracken, President, Informetrica Limited Ill THE CANDU SUPPLIERS - GROWING BEYOND CANADA by Camille A. Dagenais, Chairman of the Board, The SNC Group 129 RADIOISOTOPES: UNTAPPED POTENTIAL AND BENEFITS W. Paul O'Neill, President, Radiochemical Company, Atomic Energy of Canada Limited 135 SESSION 4: THE NEXT 25 YEARS THE FUTURE - A UTILITY'S VIEW by Pat G. Campbell, Senior Executive Vice-president, Ontario Hydro 149 REALIZING CANADA'S STRATEGIC NUCLEAR OPPORTUNITIES by James Donnelly, President and Chief Executive Officer, Atomic Energy of Canada Limited 178 LONG-TERM DECISIONS FOR NUCLEAR INDUSTRY SUCCESS by Hal C. Dickout, Vice President, Canadian General Electric Company Limited; and, Chairman, Canadian Nuclear Association 189 LUNCHEON AND BANQUET ADDRESSES PERSPECTIVES ON CIVILIAN NUCLEAR POWER IN THE U.S. by Dr. James B. Edwards, President, Medical University of South Carolina (and former Secretary of Energy, USA) 196 THE BENEFITS OF NUCLEAR POWER TO THE UNITED KINGDOM by Arnold M. Allen, Chairman, United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority 206 CANADA'S NUCLEAR INDUSTRY: MATURITY, CONFIDENCE AND A CONTINUING CHALLENGE by The Honourable Robert E.J. Layton, Minister of State (Mines), Government of Canada 213 THE FIRST TWENTY-FIVE YEARS (Anniversary Dinner Address) by Dr. John S. Foster Director Montreal Engineering Company Limited THIS IS A VERY IMPORTANT MILESTONE FOB THIS ASSOCIATION SOMETHING ABOUT IS THE CANDU PROGRAM - THE POWER REACTOR PROGRAM. MARKING AS IT DDES 25 VEARS OF SUCCESSFUL OPERATION. IT IS ALSO WHAT I PROPOSED TO DO MITH RESPECT TO IT IS REVIEW, NECESSAK:_» A MILESTONE OF SORTS FOR HE. IT IS THE FIRST TIME I HAVE BEEN VERY SUPERFICIALLY. IN THE COURSE OF THAT REVIEH, THE STAGES OF ASKED TO SPEAK A10UT THE PAST. EACH PERSON IN HIS TIRE SPEAKS THAT PROGRAM AND IDENTIFY WHAT SEEM TO ME THE SIGNIFICANT IN THREE TENSES: THE PRESENT, THE FUTURE AND THE PAST IN THAT CONTRIBUTIONS THAT EACH OF THESE STAGES BADE TO THE PROGRAM, ORSE*. IF HE IS AN ENGINEER HE IS FIRST ASKED TO SPEAK ABOUT A ORGANIZATIONALLY AKD TECHNICALLY. NEM DESIGN OR THE STATUS OF A PROJECT. LATER. "HEN HE IS OBEYING AROUND THE TEMPLES AND SHOULD KNOW *ETTE». HE ACCEPTS INVITATIONS ALTHOUGH NOT ESPECIALLY CONVENIENT FOR MY PURPOSE, TO SPEAK ABOUT THE FUTURE. FINALLY, HHEN HE REACHES HIS PRIME. I960 SAM THE BIRTH OF THIS ASSOCIATION SO LET'S START THERE. BRIMMING OVER KITH GOOD IDEAS FOR THE PRESENT AND PERCEIVING KITH WHAT WERE THINGS LIKE THEN? WELL, ME HAD A CONSERVATIVE CRYSTAL CLARITY mAT LIES AHEAD HE IS APPROACHED «ITH: "DAD, TEU. GOVERNMENT IN OTTAMA. THE BANK OF CANADA HAS SUSPECTED OF US AIOUT THE GOOD OLD DAYS*. KEEPING INTEREST RATES UP TO BRING THE VALVE OF THE CANADIAN DOLLAR CLOSER TO THAT OF THE AMERICAN DOLLAR, THE UNEMPLOYMENT YOU NIGHT SUPPOSE THAT SPEAKING AIOUT THE PAST AFTER INSURANCE FUND WAS SAID TO BE IN PERIL; OVERSEAS THERE MAS A HAVING SPOKEN SO OFTEN AIOUT THE PRESENT AND THE FUTURE MOULD BE CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT IN LONDON, RACE RIOTS IN SOUTH AFRICA. VERY MSY. AFTER ALL, THE PAST IS UT THE ACCUMULATION OF FORMER AN AMERICAN OFFICER SHOT DOWN TAKING PICTURES BEHIND THE IRON PRESENTS AND FUTURES. FOR THE SPEAKER. HOWEVER, THERE ARE SORE CURTAIN, THERE MERE NUCLEAR TEST BAN NEGOTIATIONS AT GENEVA, PROFOUND DIFFERENCES. FOR THE PRESENT THERE ARE LLFL ,SD DATA AND AND THERE MAS A REPUBLICAN IN THE WHITE HOUSE - THE OLDEST HE IS THE EXPERT OR PRESUMED EXPERT. FOR THE FUTURE, THERE ARE PRESIDENT THE UNITED STATES HAD EVER HAD. NO DATA UC, NO EXPERTS. FOR THE PAST, HOKEVER, THERE IS A PLETHORA OF DATA AND EVERYONE IS AN EXPERT. IN THE NUCLEAR FIELD THE BRITISH AND AMERICANS COMPLETED THEIR SECOND NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS - CHAPELCROSS MITH 1-60 fiW WHEN THIS FIRST SANK IN IT KAS A IIT DAUNTING IUT I UNITS AND DRESDEN WITH A SINGLE 200 1W UNIT; THE RUSSIANS COMPLETED THE THIRD 100 NW UNIT OF THEIR SIBERIAN STATION AND FRANCE eUICKLT REALIZED THAT IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO COMPRESS THE EVENTS Of COMMISSIONED ITS 42 flW PROTOTYPE AT HARCOULE. IN THIS COUNTPY THE LAST SEVERAL DECADES IN THIS COUNTRY'S NUCLEAR ENERGY PROGRAM INTO HALF AN HOUR'S DISCOURSE. THEN LATER WfEN I MS TOLD IT HAS MAJOR EQUIPMENT WAS INSTALLED IN OUR FIRST NUCLEAR POWER PLANT, TO IE AN AFTER-DINNER SPEECH, I IRIGHTENED CONSIDERABLY. AFTER- NPD (20 MW), AND DESIGN MAS IN PROGRESS ON OUR SECOND, DOUGLAS DINNER SPEECHES ARE RENOWNED FOR SEVERAL THINGS BUT RIGOROUS POINT (200 PtW), BY THIS TIME THE ESSENTIALS OF THE CANDU SYSTEM ACCURACY IS NOT ONE OF THEM. HAD BEEN ESTABLISHED. BACKGROUND ftf TALK TONIGHT, THEREFORE, IS GOING TO IE SIMPLY ONE RETROSPECTIVE FROM THE VANTAGE POINT OF ONE MHO MAS INVOLVED IN THIS SYSTEM DID NOT SUDDENLY EMERGE IN CANADIAN GENERAL THE PROGRAM. 1 MILL IE MENTIONING A FEM NAMES - NAMES OF SOME F.I.ECTRIC'5 CIVILIAN ATOMIC POWER DEPARTMENT IN PETERBOROUGH OR MHO MADE SINGULARLY IMPORTANT CONTRIBUTIONS. NAMES OF OTHER5 M •I ATOMIC ENERGY OF CANADA LIMITED'S NUCLEAR POKE" PL»N- 5 :si3% SIMPLY DID THEIR IIT. THE TIME AND OTHER CONSTRAINTS THAT IN TORONTO IN THE COURSE OF THE DESIGN OF THOSE FIRST TWO : -TIOIIS, PREVENT HE MENTIONINE HORE RATHER OBSCURES MY CONVICTION THAT NOR EVEN IN THE PRECEDING STUDIES OF THE COMBINED AECL-INDI..TSY THOUSANDS HADE ESSENTIAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE PROGRAM. NUCLEAR POWER BRANCH AT CHALK RIVER IN THE MID-FIFTIES, ALTHOUGH ALL OF THESE MADE VITAL CONTRIBUTIONS. I THOUGHT IT WOULD BE INTERESTING IF ] SPOKE AIOUT SOME OF THE THINGS 1 KNO* SOMETHING AIOUT. OF COURSE. THERE ARE THE CREATION OF ATOMIC ENERGY OF CANAOA LIMITED, IN SOME VtRY IMPORTANT THINGS, LIKE THE URANIUM INDUSTRY, THAT M0UL5 1952 IY CD. HOWE, MINISTER OF TRADE AND COMMERCE, AND THE IE OVERLOOKED IF I ADHERED STRICTLY TO THAT RULE. SO 1 MILL ALSO TRANSFER TO IT OF THE CHALK RlVEB NUCLEAR LABORATORIES OF THE IE TALKING ABOUT THINGS I DON'T KNOM ANYTHING ABOUT - AND 1 KIL1 NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL PROVIDED A VEHICLE THAT HAS PLAYED A LEAVE IT TO YOU TO DETERMINE MHICH IS MHICH. ONE THING I KNO" KEY.ROLE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE CANDU SYSTEM. WMEN BlLL AND HALBI.-I SAILED FBOM BORDEAUX IN A SMALL SHIP WITH THE IS; <G JESNE7T SUCCEEDED DR. «..J. MACKENZIE »S PRESIDENT OF AECL, A CZ.-A OF YEARS LATES, HE ISSUED A GENERAL MEMORANDUM TO THE STAFF THAT OF HEAVY WATER USED IN THE EXPERIMENTS. THEY CONTINUED THEIR STATED THAT THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUCLEAR POKER MAS TO BE A MAIN EXPERIMENTS AT CAMBRIDGE WITH BRITISH SCIENTISTS AND OTHEBS "HO OBJECTIVE OF THE COMPANY Blf EVEN THIS HAS ONLY A STAGE. ALBEIT HAD ESCAPED FROM THE CONTINENT AS PART OF THE BRITISH PBOSBAK AN IMPORTANT ONE, IN THE PROCESS THAT LED TO THE CANDU SYSTEM. TO DEVELOP THE ATOMIC BOMB. CANDU WAS THE PRODUCT OF THE CONVERGENCE OF SEVERAL INFLUENCED FROM VARIOUS PLACES. LET'S WORK OUR KAV BACKWARDS IN TIME MEANWHILE IN CANADA, GEORGE LAWRENCE HAD BEGUN NEUTRON MIGRATION EXPERIMENTS IN COKE. If THIS HE WAS AIDED BY SARGEKT RECALLING THESE INFLUENCES. DURING HtS HOLIDAYS FROM QUEENS UNIVERSITY AND THE STAFF OF HIS IMPORTANT AMONG THEM KAS THE STATE OF DEVELOPMENT OF SECTION AT NRC. WITHOUT GOING INTO THE BACKGROUND, IN 194? THE THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO AND THE FORESIGHT OF CERTAIN PEOPLE IN BRITISH PROPOSED ESTABLISHING A JOINT BRITISH-CANADIAN PROGRAM ONTARIO HYDRO.
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