Gubernatorial Coattails Overrated Myers Could Eclipse Pearson in Indiana’S Landslide Loss Annals by BRIAN A
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V26, N10 Thursday, Oct. 15, 2020 Gubernatorial coattails overrated Myers could eclipse Pearson in Indiana’s landslide loss annals By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS – If there was a poster boy for gubernatorial futility prior to 2020, it would be Republican Linley Pearson in 1992. Pearson easily won the Republican nomination, but had a GOP convention meltdown over who the attorney general nominee would be. In the general election, Pearson faced popular Gov. Evan Bayh who was perceived as destined was limited, with Democrats picking up just five General for the national ticket. Bayh ended up walloping Pearson Assembly seats. by 559,618 votes, or by a 25% plurality landslide. In the The surreal, pandemic-stricken 2020 election cycle television age of Indiana politics, it stands as historic relief stands to rewrite the landslide annals. A SurveyUSA Poll between the two major parties. Continued on page 3 But in Bayh’s landslide win, the yield down ballot Missing e pluribus unum By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS – Two Hoosiers were on conspicu- ous national stages this month when they were asked what in just about any other era would be perceived as Chicago- “We are obviously keeping the style softball questions. Vice President Mike Pence mask mandate. It obviously is was asked by debate moderator Susan Page, “President Trump has working. This ultimately comes several times refused to commit down to our personal actions.” himself to a peaceful transfer of power after the election. If Vice - Gov. Eric Holcomb, extending the President Biden is declared the win- mask mandate while keeping ner and President Trump refuses to accept a peaceful transfer of power, Indiana at Stage 5 despite a record what would be your role and responsibility as vice presi- surge of COVID-19 cases over dent? What would you personally do?” And U.S. Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney the past week. See Page 20. Page 2 Barrett was asked by Sen. Dianne prevent Joe Biden and Kamala Harris Feinstein at Monday’s Senate Judi- from changing the rules and creating ciary Committee confirmation hearing, this universal mail-in voting, they’ll “Does the Constitution give the presi- create a massive opportunity for dent of the United States the authority voter fraud. We have a free and fair to unilaterally delay a general elec- election; we know we’re going to Howey Politics Indiana tion under any circumstances? Does have confidence in it. And I believe WWWHowey Media, LLC federal law?” in all my heart that President Donald c/o Business Office That these two questions Trump’s gonna be reelected for four PO Box 6553 would even have to be asked is a more years.” troubling sign of our times. As for the vote fraud al- Kokomo, IN, 46904 Why? legation, Secretary of State Connie www.howeypolitics.com Because President Trump has stoked the body poli- Brian A. Howey, Publisher tick into believing that he might Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington not accept the results of the Nov. 3 election. Trump said he Mary Lou Howey, Editor would “see what happens” when Susan E. Joiner, Editor pressed about a peaceful transi- tion of power during a Sept. 23 Subscriptions news conference. “There won’t be a transfer, frankly, there’ll be HPI, HPI Daily Wire $599 a continuation.” HPI Weekly, $350 In July, Fox News Sun- Lisa Hounchell, Account Manager day host Chris Wallace pressed (765) 452-3936 telephone Trump to “give a direct answer” (765) 452-3973 fax on whether he would accept the [email protected] Nov. 3 election results or not. “I have to see,” Trump responded. Contact HPI “Look, you — I have to see. No, [email protected] I’m not going to just say ‘yes.’ Howey’s cell: 317.506.0883 I’m not going to say ‘no’ and I didn’t Lawson told HPI last month there last time either.” was “no evidence” of such a threat. Washington: 202.256.5822 Trump has suggested on mul- Judge Barrett answered her Business Office: 765.452.3936 tiple occasions he should get a third question this way: “Well, Senator, if term, after watching autocrats like that question ever came before me, © 2020, Howey Politics Putin and Xi revamp their constitu- I would need to hear arguments Indiana. All rights reserved. tions to create lifetime power. from the litigants and read briefs and Here’s how Vice President consult with my law clerks and talk Photocopying, Internet forward- Pence answered Page’s question: to my colleagues and go through the ing, faxing or reproducing in any “Well, Susan, first and foremost, I opinion-writing process.” She begged form, whole or part, is a violation think we’re gonna win this election.” off becoming a “pundit” and prom- of federal law without permission Turning to his opponent, Sen. Kamala ised to approach matters with “an from the publisher. Harris, Pence continued, “When you open mind.” talk about accepting the outcome of The U.S. Constitution leaves the election, I must tell you, Senator, no doubt on both matters. Article II, Jack E. Howey your party has spent the last three Section 1 states: “The Congress may editor emeritus and a half years trying to overturn determine the time of choosing the 1926-2019 the results of the last election. It’s electors, and the day on which they amazing. When Joe Biden was vice shall give their votes; which day shall president of the United States, the FBI be the same throughout the United actually spied on President Trump and States.” my campaign.” The 20th Amendment to the Pence continued, “So let me Constitution requires: “The terms of just say, I think we’re gonna win this the President and the Vice President election. President Trump and I are shall end at noon on the 20th day fighting every day in courthouses to of January … and the terms of their Page 3 successors shall then begin.” and 2000. Title 3, Section 1, Chapter 1 of the As our nation endures a pandemic U.S. Code specifies: “The electors of presi- that could stretch into another year, dent and vice president shall be appointed, and the reverberations that have in each state, on the Tuesday next after the severely impacted our economy and first Monday in November, in every fourth many other aspects of our lives, the year succeeding every election of a presi- words of reassurance from Vice Presi- dent and vice president.” dent Pence and Judge Barrett would In my six decades as a citizen of have been a tonic for a wary people. this great nation, I always believed in the Pence could have said, “We will “peaceful transfer of power,” even if that follow the legacy of 240 years estab- meant that two presidents, one departing, lished by President George Washing- the other ready to take the reins, weren’t ton and, subsequently, enshrined in always in the best spirits. There have been our Constitution.” a number of icy car rides down Pennsylva- For Judge Barrett, the wise answer nia Avenue between the White House and would have been a simple “No.” U.S. Capitol. Their convoluted answers with In modern times, we’ve actually witnessed former Pence suggesting a payback is in order, while the judge foes – Presidents George H.W. Bush who was defeated by was open for arguments on what should be proven law are Bill Clinton in 1992 – become good friends. We just didn’t troubling, because they seemed couched for that audience think that anything other than a peaceful transfer of power of one, President Trump – instead of E pluribus unum – would occur, even after the razor tight elections of 1960 Latin for “Out of many, one.” v tive posture. Coattails, from page 1 If that margin holds in that neighborhood – and released Wednesday has Holcomb with a 55-35% lead there is little indication that Holcomb is facing any serious over Democrat Woody Myers with 10% for Libertarian erosion despite President Trump’s meltdown and a resurg- Donald Rainwater. In the BK Strategies Poll released by In- ing pandemic – it would be an epic rout, eclipsing Doc diana Republicans last week, Holcomb had a gaping 60% Bowen’s 14% plurality over Secretary of State Larry Conrad to 21% lead over Myers, with Rainwater polling at 6%. in 1976, Gov. Mitch Daniels’ emphatic 18% reelection plu- Next Tuesday, Holcomb, Myers and Rainwater rality over Democrat Jill Long Thompson in 2008, and Evan participate in the statewide Indiana Debate Commission Bayh’s historic rebuke of Pearson in 1992. event, presenting an extremely narrow path for the Demo- Bayh’s shellacking of Pearson is even more impres- crat and Libertarian nominees to get into a more competi- sive when you consider that Vice President Dan Quayle Gubernatorial coattails in the television age of Indiana Politics 1960-2016 Year Governor Plurality Senate House Coattails 1960 Matthew Welsh D +1% 26D 24R 66R 34D +3D Senate, +13D House 1964 Roger Branigin D +7% 35D 15R 78D 22R +9D Senate, +34D House 1968 Edgar Whitcomb R +5% 35 R 15D 73R 27D +14R Senate, +7R House 1972 Doc Bowen R +6% 29R 21D 73R 27D NC Senate, +19R House 1976 Doc Bowen R +14% 28D 22R 53R 47D +5D Senate, +9R House 1980 Robert Orr R +16% 35R 15D 63R 37D +6R Senate, +9R House 1984 Robert Orr R +5% 30R 20D 63R 37D -2R Senate, +7R House 1988 Evan Bayh D +6% 26R 24D 50R 50D +4D Senate, +2D House 1992 Evan Bayh D +25% 28R 22D 55D 45R +2R Senate, +3D House 1996 Frank O’Bannon D +5% 31R 19D 50D 50R +1R Senate, +6D House 2000 Frank O’Bannon D +14% 32R 18D 53D 47R -1D Senate, NC House 2004 Mitch Daniels R +8% 33R 17D 52R 48D +1R Senate, +3R House 2008 Mitch Daniels R +18% 33R 17D 52D 48R NC Senate, +1D House 2012 Mike Pence R +2% 37R 13D 60R 40D +4R Senate, +9R House 2016 Eric Holcomb R +6% 41R 9D 71R 29D +1R Senate, -1R House Page 4 was running on the losing ticket with President George H.W.