FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE July 6th, 2011
INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312
IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL [email protected], OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Romney holds modest lead over Bachmann in New Hampshire
Raleigh, N.C. – When PPP last polled New Hampshire in April, only Donald Trump proved competitive with Mitt Romney. Since then, Michele Bachmann has become Romney’s closest competitor, and now trails Romney in New Hampshire by a similar margin. Romney holds the lead with 25% and is followed by Bachmann with 18%, Sarah Palin with 11%, Paul with 9%, Herman Cain and Rick Perry with 7%, Huntsman and Pawlenty with 6%, and Newt Gingrich with 4%.
Without Palin in the race, Romney retains his 7 point lead, taking 28% to Bachmann’s 21%, Perry and Paul’s 9%, Cain and Huntsman’s 7%, Pawlenty’s 6%, and Gingrich’s 4%. If unlikely candidates Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rudy Giuliani, and Paul Ryan were to enter the race, Romney would still lead. He would take 26% of the vote with 20% for Christie, 14% for Bachmann, 9% for Giuliani, 8% for Palin and Bush, 5% for Pawlenty, and 3% for Ryan.
If the Republican presidential primaries become a two person race between Romney and another candidate, Romney would still have the edge in New Hampshire. Romney leads Bachmann most narrowly 49-37, leads Perry 53-28, Pawlenty 59-25, and Palin 65-26. However, Romney has a problem with Republicans who identify as members of the Tea Party, 33% of the New Hampshire GOP. They favor Bachmann over Romney 53-39.
Birthers have lost steam in New Hampshire since the release of Obama’s birth certificate, but they still have a significant presence. Now a majority, 54%, of New Hampshire Republicans think Obama was born in the US compared to 30% who don’t. This is up from only 35% who believed Obama was born in the US in April.
“It will be difficult for Romney to win the nomination without New Hampshire,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Romney has the advantage, but his small lead in friendly territory suggests that his frontrunner status is vulnerable.”
PPP surveyed 341 New Hampshire Republican primary voters from June 30th to July 5th. No interviews were conducted on July 3rd or 4th. The margin of error for the survey is +/- 5.3%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.
Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] New Hampshire Survey Results
Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Michele Bachmann? of Jeb Bush? Favorable...... 64% Favorable...... 59% Unfavorable ...... 24% Unfavorable ...... 19% Not sure ...... 12% Not sure ...... 22% Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Herman Cain? of Ron Paul? Favorable...... 42% Favorable...... 53% Unfavorable ...... 25% Unfavorable ...... 30% Not sure ...... 33% Not sure ...... 18% Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin? of Rick Santorum? Favorable...... 52% Favorable...... 40% Unfavorable ...... 39% Unfavorable ...... 25% Not sure ...... 9% Not sure ...... 36% Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty? of Rudy Giuliani? Favorable...... 45% Favorable...... 62% Unfavorable ...... 27% Unfavorable ...... 23% Not sure ...... 28% Not sure ...... 15% Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney? of Jon Huntsman? Favorable...... 60% Favorable...... 25% Unfavorable ...... 29% Unfavorable ...... 26% Not sure ...... 11% Not sure ...... 49% Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Newt Gingrich? of Chris Christie? Favorable...... 33% Favorable...... 55% Unfavorable ...... 51% Unfavorable ...... 17% Not sure ...... 17% Not sure ...... 28%
June 30-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q13 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q18 If the candidates for President next year were of Buddy Roemer? Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt 5% Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron Favorable...... Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt Unfavorable ...... 16% Romney, who would you vote for? Not sure ...... 79% Michele Bachmann ...... 18% Q14 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Herman Cain...... 7% of Rick Perry? Newt Gingrich ...... 4% Favorable...... 33% Jon Huntsman...... 6% Unfavorable ...... 13% Sarah Palin ...... 11% Not sure ...... 54% Ron Paul...... 9% Q15 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Fred Karger? Tim Pawlenty ...... 6% Favorable...... 2% Rick Perry ...... 7% Unfavorable ...... 16% Mitt Romney...... 25% Not sure ...... 82% Someone else/Not sure ...... 7% Q16 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q19 If Sarah Palin didn’t end up running for of Paul Ryan? President, and the candidates were Michele 39% Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Favorable...... Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Unfavorable ...... 15% Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for? Not sure ...... 46% Q17 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Michele Bachmann ...... 21% of Gary Johnson? Herman Cain...... 7% Favorable...... 9% Newt Gingrich ...... 4% Unfavorable ...... 15% Jon Huntsman...... 7% Not sure ...... 76% Ron Paul...... 9% Tim Pawlenty ...... 6% Rick Perry ...... 9% Mitt Romney...... 28% Someone else/Not sure ...... 9%
June 30-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q20 If the Republican candidates for President Q24 If the Republican nomination contest came were Michele Bachmann, Jeb Bush, Chris down to Mitt Romney and Michele Bachmann, Christie, Rudy Giuliani, Sarah Palin, Tim who would you vote for? Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Paul Ryan, who 49% would you vote for? Mitt Romney...... Michele Bachmann ...... 37% Michele Bachmann ...... 14% Not sure ...... 14% Jeb Bush...... 8% Q25 Do you consider yourself to be a member of Chris Christie ...... 20% the Tea Party? 9% Rudy Giuliani ...... Yes...... 33% 8% Sarah Palin ...... No ...... 54% 5% Tim Pawlenty ...... Not sure ...... 13% Mitt Romney...... 26% Q26 Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States? Paul Ryan ...... 3% Yes...... 54% Someone else/Not sure ...... 8% Q21 If the Republican nomination contest came No ...... 30% down to Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin, who Not sure ...... 16% would you vote for? Q27 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, Mitt Romney...... 65% somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative? Sarah Palin ...... 26% Very liberal...... 2% Not sure ...... 9% Q22 If the Republican nomination contest came Somewhat liberal ...... 4% down to Mitt Romney and Tim Pawlenty, who Moderate...... 21% would you vote for? Somewhat conservative...... 36% Mitt Romney...... 59% Very conservative ...... 37% Tim Pawlenty ...... 25% Q28 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Not sure ...... 16% Woman ...... 45% Q23 If the Republican nomination contest came down to Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who Man...... 55% would you vote for? Q29 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify Mitt Romney...... 53% with another party, press 3. Rick Perry ...... 28% Democrat ...... 2% Not sure ...... 19% Republican...... 65% Independent/Other...... 33%
June 30-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q30 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. 18 to 29...... 4% 30 to 45...... 24% 46 to 65...... 47% Older than 65 ...... 25%
June 30-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Bachmann Cain Favorability
Favorability Favorable 42% 67% 29% 36% Favorable 64% 86% 52% 55% Unfavorable 25% 16% 31% 19% Unfavorable 24% 11% 31% 27% Not s ur e 33% 16% 40% 45% Not s ur e 12% 3% 17% 18%
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Palin Favorability Pawlenty Favorability Favorable 52% 70% 39% 57% Favorable 45% 59% 36% 47% Unfavorable 39% 19% 53% 33% Unfavorable 27% 22% 32% 21% Not s ur e 9% 11% 8% 10% Not s ur e 28% 19% 32% 33%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Romney Favorability Gingrich Favorability Favorable 60% 59% 61% 53% Favorable 33% 43% 25% 36% Unfavorable 29% 34% 26% 28% Unfavorable 51% 38% 61% 39% Not s ur e 11% 7% 12% 18% Not s ur e 17% 19% 13% 25%
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure J. Bush Favorability Paul Favorability Favorable 59% 64% 56% 59% Favorable 53% 64% 48% 44% Unfavorable 19% 20% 19% 14% Unfavorable 30% 22% 36% 25% Not s ur e 22% 16% 25% 27% Not s ur e 18% 14% 16% 31%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Santorum Giuliani Favorability
Favorability Favorable 62% 61% 61% 65% Favorable 40% 55% 30% 41% Unfavorable 23% 23% 24% 22% Unfavorable 25% 17% 33% 7% Not s ur e 15% 16% 15% 13% Not s ur e 36% 27% 37% 52%
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Hunts m an Christie Favorability
Favorability Favorable 55% 81% 39% 52% Favorable 25% 23% 29% 14% Unfavorable 17% 7% 24% 10% Unfavorable 26% 37% 22% 13% Not s ur e 28% 12% 36% 38% Not s ur e 49% 40% 49% 74%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Roemer Favorability Perry Favorability Favorable 5% 9% 4% 2% Favorable 33% 57% 20% 25% Unfavorable 16% 14% 20% 5% Unfavorable 13% 6% 20% 5% Not s ur e 79% 77% 76% 93% Not s ur e 54% 37% 61% 70%
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Karger Favorability Ryan Favorability Favorable 2% 4% 2% - Favorable 39% 62% 26% 33% Unfavorable 16% 15% 19% 2% Unfavorable 15% 4% 24% 2% Not s ur e 82% 82% 79% 98% Not s ur e 46% 34% 50% 65%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Johnson Favorability 2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary Favorable 9% 13% 8% 2% Michele Bachmann 18% 25% 13% 19% Unfavorable 15% 14% 17% 10% He r m an Cain 7% 11% 4% 10% Not s ur e 76% 73% 74% 89% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% 3% 3% 10% Jon Huntsman 6% 3% 10% - Sarah Palin 11% 16% 7% 12% Ron Paul 9% 9% 10% 4% Tim Pawlenty 6% 5% 8% - Rick Pe r r y 7% 7% 8% 7% Mitt Romney 25% 16% 33% 19% Someone else/Not 7% 5% 5% 19% sure
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres
Primary w /o Palin Primary "Dream" Michele Bachmann 21% 31% 15% 18% Michele Bachmann 14% 24% 8% 13% He r m an Cain 7% 11% 4% 10% Jeb Bush 8% 7% 8% 10% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% 5% 3% 4% Chris Christie 20% 26% 17% 20% Jon Huntsman 7% 3% 12% - Rudy Giuliani 9% 5% 11% 10% Ron Paul 9% 10% 8% 9% Sarah Palin 8% 13% 6% 4% Tim Pawlenty 6% 5% 7% 5% Tim Pawlenty 5% 1% 7% 5% Rick Pe r r y 9% 11% 7% 11% Mitt Romney 26% 14% 33% 25% Mitt Romney 28% 17% 36% 24% Paul Ryan 3% 5% 1% - Someone else/Not 9% 6% 8% 20% Someone else/Not 8% 5% 9% 12% sure sure
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Rom ne y/Palin Romney/Paw lenty Mitt Romney 65% 52% 74% 58% Mitt Romney 59% 54% 65% 51% Sarah Palin 26% 41% 18% 24% Tim Pawlenty 25% 34% 19% 21% Not s ur e 9% 8% 8% 18% Not s ur e 16% 12% 16% 28%
Tea Party ID Tea Party ID Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Rom ne y/Pe r r y Romney/Bachmann Mitt Romney 53% 39% 62% 49% Mitt Romney 49% 39% 57% 43% Rick Pe r r y 28% 50% 16% 19% Michele Bachmann 37% 53% 28% 35% Not s ur e 19% 11% 21% 33% Not s ur e 14% 8% 15% 22%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Bachmann Cain Favorability
Favorability Favorable 42% 40% 42% 50% Favorable 64% 58% 73% 68% Unfavorable 25% 26% 28% 13% Unfavorable 24% 31% 15% 15% Not s ur e 33% 33% 29% 37% Not s ur e 12% 11% 13% 17%
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Palin Favorability Pawlenty Favorability Favorable 52% 43% 64% 62% Favorable 45% 47% 38% 53% Unfavorable 39% 49% 28% 23% Unfavorable 27% 28% 32% 15% Not s ur e 9% 8% 8% 16% Not s ur e 28% 25% 31% 32%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Romney Favorability Gingrich Favorability Favorable 60% 60% 59% 59% Favorable 33% 24% 41% 45% Unfavorable 29% 30% 29% 25% Unfavorable 51% 62% 44% 25% Not s ur e 11% 10% 12% 16% Not s ur e 17% 14% 15% 31%
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure J. Bush Favorability Paul Favorability Favorable 59% 58% 55% 72% Favorable 53% 54% 51% 51% Unfavorable 19% 25% 16% 4% Unfavorable 30% 32% 25% 30% Not s ur e 22% 17% 30% 25% Not s ur e 18% 14% 23% 19%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Santorum Giuliani Favorability
Favorability Favorable 62% 61% 62% 61% Favorable 40% 35% 41% 56% Unfavorable 23% 25% 22% 21% Unfavorable 25% 34% 17% 6% Not s ur e 15% 14% 16% 18% Not s ur e 36% 31% 42% 38%
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Hunts m an Christie Favorability
Favorability Favorable 55% 53% 52% 66% Favorable 25% 29% 18% 22% Unfavorable 17% 21% 15% 4% Unfavorable 26% 27% 29% 16% Not s ur e 28% 25% 33% 30% Not s ur e 49% 43% 53% 62%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Roemer Favorability Perry Favorability Favorable 5% 4% 8% 6% Favorable 33% 32% 34% 35% Unfavorable 16% 18% 20% 4% Unfavorable 13% 15% 16% 1% Not s ur e 79% 79% 73% 91% Not s ur e 54% 53% 51% 64%
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Karger Favorability Ryan Favorability Favorable 2% 3% 3% - Favorable 39% 44% 32% 35% Unfavorable 16% 16% 21% 3% Unfavorable 15% 18% 14% 3% Not s ur e 82% 81% 76% 97% Not s ur e 46% 38% 54% 62%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Johnson Favorability 2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary Favorable 9% 12% 4% 9% Michele Bachmann 18% 14% 21% 25% Unfavorable 15% 15% 23% 3% He r m an Cain 7% 6% 8% 9% Not s ur e 76% 74% 73% 88% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% 3% 2% 8% Jon Huntsman 6% 10% 2% 2% Sarah Palin 11% 6% 22% 7% Ron Paul 9% 12% 6% 4% Tim Pawlenty 6% 9% - 5% Rick Pe r r y 7% 9% 6% 4% Mitt Romney 25% 26% 27% 20% Someone else/Not 7% 4% 7% 16% sure
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres
Primary w /o Palin Primary "Dream" Michele Bachmann 21% 17% 28% 22% Michele Bachmann 14% 11% 21% 13% He r m an Cain 7% 6% 8% 9% Jeb Bush 8% 9% 8% 4% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% 2% 6% 5% Chris Christie 20% 21% 16% 28% Jon Huntsman 7% 11% 4% 2% Rudy Giuliani 9% 11% 6% 6% Ron Paul 9% 11% 9% 3% Sarah Palin 8% 5% 18% - Tim Pawlenty 6% 9% 1% 6% Tim Pawlenty 5% 7% 1% 4% Rick Pe r r y 9% 8% 8% 10% Mitt Romney 26% 28% 21% 28% Mitt Romney 28% 30% 28% 25% Paul Ryan 3% 3% 2% 4% Someone else/Not 9% 7% 9% 18% Someone else/Not 8% 7% 7% 13% sure sure
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Rom ne y/Palin Romney/Paw lenty Mitt Romney 65% 70% 61% 53% Mitt Romney 59% 59% 62% 57% Sarah Palin 26% 21% 33% 31% Tim Pawlenty 25% 27% 23% 19% Not s ur e 9% 9% 6% 16% Not s ur e 16% 14% 16% 24%
Obama Born in Obama Born in US? US?
Not Not Bas e Yes No sure Bas e Yes No sure Rom ne y/Pe r r y Romney/Bachmann Mitt Romney 53% 54% 54% 46% Mitt Romney 49% 57% 42% 34% Rick Pe r r y 28% 28% 30% 25% Michele Bachmann 37% 31% 49% 36% Not s ur e 19% 18% 16% 29% Not s ur e 14% 12% 9% 30%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bachm ann Cain Favorability
Favorability Favorable 42% 34% 21% 18% 41% 60% Favorable 64% 50% 55% 33% 64% 83% Unfavorable 25% - 28% 43% 25% 15% Unfavorable 24% 22% 28% 56% 23% 6% Not s ur e 33% 66% 51% 40% 33% 24% Not s ur e 12% 28% 17% 11% 13% 11%
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Palin Favorability Pawlenty Favorability Favorable 52% 50% 66% 18% 52% 69% Favorable 45% 39% 27% 33% 44% 56% Unfavorable 39% 34% 34% 74% 42% 17% Unfavorable 27% 22% 56% 41% 24% 19% Not s ur e 9% 16% - 7% 6% 14% Not s ur e 28% 39% 17% 26% 32% 25%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Romney Favorability Gingrich Favorability Favorable 60% 34% 54% 61% 64% 56% Favorable 33% 39% 31% 23% 29% 41% Unfavorable 29% 39% 41% 28% 24% 33% Unfavorable 51% 50% 54% 69% 53% 38% Not s ur e 11% 28% 4% 10% 12% 11% Not s ur e 17% 11% 15% 9% 17% 21%
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative J. Bush Favorability Paul Favorability Favorable 59% 28% 55% 41% 61% 69% Favorable 53% 22% 63% 46% 51% 58% Unfavorable 19% - 28% 39% 16% 10% Unfavorable 30% 44% 32% 37% 29% 26% Not s ur e 22% 72% 17% 20% 23% 21% Not s ur e 18% 34% 4% 17% 20% 16%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Santorum Giuliani Favorability
Favorability Favorable 62% 50% 51% 67% 69% 53% Favorable 40% 28% 34% 13% 40% 56% Unfavorable 23% 11% 30% 23% 20% 27% Unfavorable 25% 22% 34% 45% 23% 14% Not s ur e 15% 39% 19% 10% 11% 20% Not s ur e 36% 50% 32% 41% 37% 31%
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Huntsman Christie Favorability
Favorability Favorable 55% 39% 40% 34% 54% 69% Favorable 25% 16% 20% 42% 24% 18% Unfavorable 17% 11% 24% 35% 16% 7% Unfavorable 26% 11% 36% 8% 27% 35% Not s ur e 28% 50% 37% 30% 30% 24% Not s ur e 49% 72% 44% 51% 49% 48%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Roemer Favorability Perry Favorability Favorable 5% - 20% 1% 3% 8% Favorable 33% 11% 26% 10% 29% 51% Unfavorable 16% 11% 17% 23% 13% 15% Unfavorable 13% - 17% 22% 14% 8% Not s ur e 79% 89% 63% 76% 85% 76% Not s ur e 54% 89% 57% 68% 57% 41%
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Karger Favorability Ryan Favorability Favorable 2% 11% 13% - 1% 3% Favorable 39% 11% 20% 22% 34% 58% Unfavorable 16% - 31% 16% 13% 17% Unfavorable 15% - 34% 32% 12% 5% Not s ur e 82% 89% 57% 84% 86% 80% Not s ur e 46% 89% 46% 46% 54% 37%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Johnson Favorability 2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary Favorable 9% - 6% 7% 4% 16% Michele Bachmann 18% 28% 26% 7% 18% 21% Unfavorable 15% 11% 31% 18% 15% 13% He r m an Cain 7% - 6% 6% 5% 10% Not s ur e 76% 89% 63% 75% 82% 72% Newt Gingrich 4% 28% 18% 1% 4% 2% Jon Huntsman 6% - - 17% 7% 1% Sarah Palin 11% 11% 6% 5% 9% 15% Ron Paul 9% - 13% 18% 3% 10% Tim Pawlenty 6% - - 8% 6% 6% Rick Perry 7% - - 6% 7% 10% Mitt Romney 25% 34% 17% 28% 35% 16% Someone else/Not 7% - 13% 5% 5% 9% sure
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres
Primary w /o Palin Primary "Dream" Michele Bachmann 21% 22% 26% 6% 19% 31% Michele Bachmann 14% 11% 13% 5% 12% 22% He r m an Cain 7% - 6% 6% 6% 9% Jeb Bush 8% 11% 6% 9% 8% 7% Newt Gingrich 4% 33% - 4% 5% 2% Chris Christie 20% 33% 14% 16% 24% 20% Jon Huntsman 7% - - 19% 8% 1% Rudy Giuliani 9% - 6% 19% 11% 2% Ron Paul 9% - 13% 14% 5% 11% Sarah Palin 8% 11% 6% 5% 8% 11% Tim Pawlenty 6% - - 5% 8% 6% Tim Pawlenty 5% - - 4% 6% 4% Rick Perry 9% - - 5% 7% 13% Mitt Romney 26% 34% 15% 34% 30% 19% Mitt Romney 28% 45% 28% 29% 37% 19% Paul Ryan 3% - - 1% - 6% Someone else/Not 9% - 27% 13% 5% 9% Someone else/Not 8% - 39% 8% 3% 9% sure sure
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Romney/Palin Rom ne y/Paw le nty Mitt Romney 65% 45% 52% 81% 70% 53% Mitt Romney 59% 56% 51% 68% 62% 53% Sarah Palin 26% 39% 33% 14% 22% 36% Tim Pawlenty 25% 28% 20% 12% 23% 33% Not s ur e 9% 16% 15% 5% 8% 11% Not s ur e 16% 16% 29% 20% 14% 14%
Ideology Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Bas e liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Romney/Perry Rom ne y/Bachm ann Mitt Romney 53% 56% 59% 68% 59% 37% Mitt Romney 49% 61% 52% 70% 53% 33% Rick Perry 28% 11% 20% 10% 23% 44% Michele Bachmann 37% 39% 26% 22% 33% 51% Not s ur e 19% 33% 21% 22% 17% 19% Not s ur e 14% - 21% 9% 14% 17%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Bachmann Cain Favorability
Favorability Favorable 42% 38% 46% Favorable 64% 64% 64% Unfavorable 25% 21% 28% Unfavorable 24% 22% 25% Not s ur e 33% 41% 26% Not s ur e 12% 13% 11%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Palin Favorability Pawlenty Favorability Favorable 52% 52% 52% Favorable 45% 46% 45% Unfavorable 39% 40% 38% Unfavorable 27% 22% 31% Not s ur e 9% 8% 10% Not s ur e 28% 32% 24%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Romney Favorability Gingrich Favorability Favorable 60% 57% 61% Favorable 33% 33% 32% Unfavorable 29% 28% 30% Unfavorable 51% 48% 53% Not s ur e 11% 14% 9% Not s ur e 17% 20% 15%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man J. Bush Favorability Paul Favorability Favorable 59% 58% 60% Favorable 53% 43% 60% Unfavorable 19% 14% 23% Unfavorable 30% 34% 26% Not s ur e 22% 28% 18% Not s ur e 18% 22% 14%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Santorum Giuliani Favorability
Favorability Favorable 62% 63% 60% Favorable 40% 44% 36% Unfavorable 23% 21% 25% Unfavorable 25% 19% 29% Not s ur e 15% 16% 14% Not s ur e 36% 37% 35%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Hunts m an Christie Favorability
Favorability Favorable 55% 50% 58% Favorable 25% 20% 29% Unfavorable 17% 14% 19% Unfavorable 26% 24% 28% Not s ur e 28% 35% 23% Not s ur e 49% 56% 43%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Roemer Favorability Perry Favorability Favorable 5% 2% 8% Favorable 33% 29% 36% Unfavorable 16% 15% 17% Unfavorable 13% 10% 16% Not s ur e 79% 83% 75% Not s ur e 54% 62% 47%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Karger Favorability Ryan Favorability Favorable 2% 1% 4% Favorable 39% 30% 46% Unfavorable 16% 13% 17% Unfavorable 15% 12% 17% Not s ur e 82% 86% 79% Not s ur e 46% 58% 36%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Johnson Favorability 2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary Favorable 9% 3% 14% Michele Bachmann 18% 16% 19% Unfavorable 15% 14% 16% He r m an Cain 7% 5% 9% Not s ur e 76% 83% 70% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% 5% 3% Jon Huntsman 6% 5% 7% Sarah Palin 11% 12% 9% Ron Paul 9% 5% 12% Tim Pawlenty 6% 5% 6% Rick Pe r r y 7% 9% 6% Mitt Romney 25% 29% 23% Someone else/Not 7% 9% 5% sure
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres
Primary w /o Palin Primary "Dream" Michele Bachmann 21% 24% 19% Michele Bachmann 14% 10% 17% He r m an Cain 7% 4% 9% Jeb Bush 8% 9% 6% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% 3% 4% Chris Christie 20% 19% 22% Jon Huntsman 7% 7% 8% Rudy Giuliani 9% 13% 6% Ron Paul 9% 5% 12% Sarah Palin 8% 11% 6% Tim Pawlenty 6% 6% 6% Tim Pawlenty 5% 3% 6% Rick Pe r r y 9% 10% 7% Mitt Romney 26% 26% 26% Mitt Romney 28% 30% 27% Paul Ryan 3% 2% 3% Someone else/Not 9% 11% 8% Someone else/Not 8% 8% 8% sure sure
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Rom ne y/Palin Romney/Paw lenty Mitt Romney 65% 69% 61% Mitt Romney 59% 60% 59% Sarah Palin 26% 26% 26% Tim Pawlenty 25% 24% 25% Not s ur e 9% 5% 13% Not s ur e 16% 16% 16%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Rom ne y/Pe r r y Romney/Bachmann Mitt Romney 53% 55% 51% Mitt Romney 49% 50% 48% Rick Pe r r y 28% 28% 28% Michele Bachmann 37% 38% 36% Not s ur e 19% 17% 21% Not s ur e 14% 12% 15%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bachm ann Cain Favorability
Favorability Favor able 42% 9% 39% 52% Favor able 64% 83% 67% 57% Unfavorable 25% 30% 27% 20% Unfavorable 24% 9% 20% 31% Not s ur e 33% 61% 34% 28% Not s ur e 12% 9% 13% 12%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Palin Favorability Paw lenty Favorability Favor able 52% 83% 54% 46% Favor able 45% 48% 47% 42% Unfavorable 39% 17% 38% 41% Unfavorable 27% 39% 25% 29% Not s ur e 9% - 8% 13% Not s ur e 28% 13% 28% 29%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Romney Favorability Gingrich Favorability Favor able 60% 79% 65% 48% Favor able 33% 70% 33% 30% Unfavorable 29% 21% 24% 40% Unfavorable 51% 30% 48% 57% Not s ur e 11% - 12% 12% Not s ur e 17% - 20% 12%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other J. Bush Favorability Paul Favorability Favor able 59% 91% 64% 46% Favor able 53% 61% 52% 54% Unfavorable 19% 9% 14% 29% Unfavorable 30% 39% 31% 26% Not s ur e 22% - 22% 24% Not s ur e 18% - 17% 20%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Santorum Giuliani Favorability
Favorability Favor able 62% 61% 60% 65% Favor able 40% 70% 38% 41% Unfavorable 23% 17% 24% 22% Unfavorable 25% 9% 24% 27% Not s ur e 15% 21% 16% 13% Not s ur e 36% 21% 38% 32%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Huntsman Christie Favorability
Favorability Favor able 55% 74% 54% 56% Favor able 25% 21% 26% 22% Unfavorable 17% 17% 14% 22% Unfavorable 26% 17% 27% 24% Not s ur e 28% 9% 32% 23% Not s ur e 49% 61% 46% 54%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Roemer Favorability Perry Favorability Favor able 5% 21% 6% 3% Favor able 33% 13% 32% 37% Unfavorable 16% 9% 15% 18% Unfavorable 13% 26% 13% 14% Not s ur e 79% 70% 79% 79% Not s ur e 54% 61% 56% 50%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Kar ge r Favor ability Ryan Favorability Favor able 2% 21% 1% 4% Favor able 39% 34% 37% 44% Unfavorable 16% 9% 17% 12% Unfavorable 15% 17% 12% 20% Not s ur e 82% 70% 82% 84% Not s ur e 46% 48% 51% 37%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Johnson Favorability 2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary Favor able 9% 21% 10% 5% Michele Bachmann 18% 13% 18% 18% Unfavorable 15% 9% 15% 17% Herman Cain 7% - 4% 14% Not s ur e 76% 70% 75% 78% Newt Gingrich 4% 40% 3% 2% Jon Huntsman 6% 9% 5% 9% Sarah Palin 11% - 13% 7% Ron Paul 9% - 7% 14% Tim Pawlenty 6% - 8% 3% Rick Pe r r y 7% - 8% 6% Mitt Romney 25% 30% 27% 22% Someone else/Not 7% 9% 7% 5% sure
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres
Primary w /o Palin Primary "Dream" Michele Bachmann 21% 13% 23% 17% Michele Bachmann 14% 13% 16% 12% Herman Cain 7% - 5% 12% Jeb Bush 8% - 10% 4% Newt Gingrich 4% 13% 3% 5% Chris Christie 20% 21% 17% 26% Jon Huntsman 7% 9% 7% 9% Rudy Giuliani 9% - 6% 15% Ron Paul 9% - 7% 13% Sarah Palin 8% - 10% 5% Tim Pawlenty 6% - 7% 4% Tim Pawlenty 5% - 5% 4% Rick Pe r r y 9% - 9% 9% Mitt Romney 26% 30% 28% 22% Mitt Romney 28% 30% 31% 22% Paul Ryan 3% - 2% 3% Someone else/Not 9% 36% 8% 10% Someone else/Not 8% 36% 6% 9% sure sure
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Romney/Palin Romney/Paw lenty Mitt Romney 65% 66% 65% 65% Mitt Romney 59% 52% 60% 58% Sarah Palin 26% 25% 27% 25% Tim Pawlenty 25% 13% 25% 23% Not s ur e 9% 9% 9% 10% Not s ur e 16% 36% 14% 19%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Romney/Perry Romney/Bachmann Mitt Romney 53% 70% 55% 48% Mitt Romney 49% 66% 49% 47% Rick Pe r r y 28% - 27% 31% Michele Bachmann 37% 25% 36% 41% Not s ur e 19% 30% 18% 21% Not s ur e 14% 9% 15% 12%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bachmann Cain Favorability
Favorability Favorable 42% 50% 48% 42% 37% Favorable 64% 67% 70% 64% 58% Unfavorable 25% 17% 30% 24% 23% Unfavorable 24% 33% 25% 22% 23% Not s ur e 33% 33% 23% 34% 40% Not s ur e 12% - 5% 14% 19%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Palin Favorability Paw lenty Favorability Favorable 52% 67% 45% 55% 51% Favorable 45% 67% 60% 39% 39% Unfavorable 39% 33% 40% 40% 36% Unfavorable 27% 17% 23% 28% 29% Not s ur e 9% - 15% 5% 12% Not s ur e 28% 17% 18% 32% 32%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Romney Favorability Gingrich Favorability Favorable 60% 67% 53% 58% 68% Favorable 33% 50% 33% 34% 28% Unfavorable 29% 33% 38% 28% 22% Unfavorable 51% 33% 57% 49% 49% Not s ur e 11% - 10% 14% 10% Not s ur e 17% 17% 10% 17% 23%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 J. Bush Favorability Paul Favorability Favorable 59% 67% 55% 58% 63% Favorable 53% 67% 65% 49% 44% Unfavorable 19% 17% 23% 19% 15% Unfavorable 30% 17% 20% 33% 36% Not s ur e 22% 17% 23% 22% 22% Not s ur e 18% 17% 15% 17% 20%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Santorum Giuliani Favorability
Favorability Favorable 62% 33% 73% 65% 49% Favorable 40% 50% 45% 43% 27% Unfavorable 23% 33% 23% 17% 35% Unfavorable 25% 17% 33% 20% 27% Not s ur e 15% 33% 5% 18% 16% Not s ur e 36% 33% 23% 37% 46%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Hunts m an Christie Favorability
Favorability Favorable 55% 50% 50% 60% 50% Favorable 25% 33% 35% 19% 24% Unfavorable 17% - 28% 13% 16% Unfavorable 26% - 28% 28% 25% Not s ur e 28% 50% 23% 27% 34% Not s ur e 49% 67% 38% 52% 51%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Roemer Favorability Perry Favorability Favorable 5% - 5% 5% 7% Favorable 33% 17% 38% 34% 29% Unfavorable 16% 17% 13% 17% 17% Unfavorable 13% - 13% 13% 16% Not s ur e 79% 83% 83% 78% 76% Not s ur e 54% 83% 50% 53% 54%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Karger Favorability Ryan Favorability Favorable 2% 17% - 2% 3% Favorable 39% 50% 48% 38% 31% Unfavorable 16% - 15% 19% 12% Unfavorable 15% - 15% 16% 15% Not s ur e 82% 83% 85% 79% 85% Not s ur e 46% 50% 38% 46% 54%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Johnson Favorability 2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary Favorable 9% 33% 10% 8% 6% Michele Bachmann 18% 17% 20% 21% 9% Unfavorable 15% 17% 18% 16% 12% He r m an Cain 7% 17% 8% 8% 4% Not s ur e 76% 50% 73% 77% 81% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% - 8% 2% 4% Jon Huntsman 6% - 5% 7% 7% Sarah Palin 11% 17% 13% 11% 6% Ron Paul 9% 17% 15% 6% 8% Tim Pawlenty 6% 33% 13% 1% 4% Rick Pe r r y 7% - 5% 10% 7% Mitt Romney 25% - 8% 29% 40% Someone else/Not 7% - 8% 5% 11% sure
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 2012 GOP Pres 2012 GOP Pres
Primary w /o Palin Primary "Dream" Michele Bachmann 21% 17% 25% 25% 10% Michele Bachmann 14% 17% 13% 17% 9% He r m an Cain 7% 17% 5% 8% 4% Jeb Bush 8% - 8% 6% 12% Ne w t Gingr ich 4% 17% 3% 5% 1% Chris Christie 20% 33% 20% 22% 16% Jon Huntsman 7% - 10% 7% 7% Rudy Giuliani 9% - 10% 9% 9% Ron Paul 9% 17% 10% 7% 10% Sarah Palin 8% 17% 13% 8% 4% Tim Pawlenty 6% 33% 10% 1% 6% Tim Pawlenty 5% 17% 5% 4% 4% Rick Pe r r y 9% - 10% 9% 8% Mitt Romney 26% 17% 18% 26% 35% Mitt Romney 28% - 15% 30% 43% Paul Ryan 3% - 8% - 3% Someone else/Not 9% - 13% 7% 12% Someone else/Not 8% - 8% 8% 8% sure sure
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Rom ne y/Palin Romney/Paw lenty Mitt Romney 65% 33% 68% 63% 71% Mitt Romney 59% 33% 43% 64% 71% Sarah Palin 26% 50% 25% 29% 18% Tim Pawlenty 25% 67% 33% 20% 19% Not s ur e 9% 17% 8% 8% 11% Not s ur e 16% - 25% 16% 10%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Rom ne y/Pe r r y Romney/Bachmann Mitt Romney 53% 50% 40% 54% 64% Mitt Romney 49% 33% 43% 49% 58% Rick Pe r r y 28% 33% 35% 27% 23% Michele Bachmann 37% 50% 45% 39% 25% Not s ur e 19% 17% 25% 20% 13% Not s ur e 14% 17% 13% 13% 17%
June 3-July 5, 2011 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 341 Republican primary voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988