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Forster – Tuncurry Employment Land Implementation Strategy

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Forster – Tuncurry Employment Land Implementation Strategy Forster – Tuncurry Employment Land Implementation Strategy PREPARED FOR Great Lakes Council November 2009 Hill PDA ABN 52 003 963 755 3rd Floor 234 George Street Sydney GPO Box 2748 Sydney NSW 2001 t. +61 2 9252 8777 f. +61 2 9252 6077 e. [email protected] w. www.hillpda.com Funding supported by: Hill PDA QUALITY ASSURANCE REPORT CONTACT : Sarah Hill Principal / Practice Manager PHD Candidate, BSc, MURP (Hons), PIA, RTPI QUALITY CONTROL This document is for discussion purposes only unless signed and dated by a Principal of Hill PDA. REVIEWED BY November 29 2009 ………………………….. …………… Dated ………………. Martin Hill Managing Principal, Hill PDA Master of Property Development UTS Master of Real Estate (UNSW) B.Sc. Hons. (Sydney University) Certified Practising Valuer without Restriction Fellow Australian Property Institute Email: [email protected] REPORT DETAILS: Job Ref No: C08050 Version: Final Date Printed: 30/11/2009 3:52:00 PM File Name: C08050 - Forster-Tuncurry Implementation Strategy Final Nov 29 2009 Ref: C08050 3 / 214 Hill PDA Forster - Tuncurry Employment Land Implementation Strategy CONTENTS 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY...........................................................................................11 1.1 Existing Labour Force..............................................................................................................12 1.2 Existing Employment & Industry.............................................................................................12 1.3 Existing Employment Land Supply........................................................................................13 1.4 Employment Forecasts............................................................................................................14 1.5 How Much Land should be Provided, Where and When? .................................................15 1.6 Recommended Hierarchy of Centres & Employment Lands, Conditions and Planning Controls......................................................................................................................................19 1.7 Recommendation – A Sustainable Point of Difference.......................................................26 1.8 Recommendations - Mechanisms to Achieve Outcomes...................................................27 PART A - INTRODUCTION & OBJECTIVES 2. INTRODUCTION .....................................................................................................30 2.1 Study Brief & Objectives..........................................................................................................30 2.2 Report Methodology.................................................................................................................31 2.3 Report Structure........................................................................................................................32 2.4 Study Background.....................................................................................................................32 2.5 Study Area Description............................................................................................................33 PART B - FORSTER-TUNCURRY IN CONTEXT 3. DEMOGRAPHIC SNAPSHOT.....................................................................................36 3.1 Population Growth ....................................................................................................................36 3.2 An Ageing Population...............................................................................................................37 3.3 General Characteristics...........................................................................................................38 3.4 Labour Force Participation Rate.............................................................................................41 3.5 Unemployment & Underemployment.....................................................................................41 3.6 Skills and Education .................................................................................................................41 3.7 How Have Resident Jobs Changed?.....................................................................................42 4. EXISTING WORKFORCE & EMPLOYMENT PROFILE.......................................................44 4.1 Existing Employment Generated in Great Lakes LGA.......................................................44 4.2 Where do Great Lakes Residents Work?.............................................................................45 4.3 Who Travels to Great Lakes to Work?..................................................................................46 4.4 Forster - Tuncurry’s Employment Generating Industries...................................................47 4.5 Job Distribution within Forster - Tuncurry.............................................................................48 4.6 How Does Forster - Tuncurry Compare?..............................................................................51 4.7 Location Quotient......................................................................................................................53 5. RELEVANT PLANNING POLICIES AND STRATEGIES ......................................................55 5.1 State Plan...................................................................................................................................55 5.2 State Infrastructure Strategy...................................................................................................56 5.3 Standard Instrument (Local Environmental Plans) Order 2006 & Standard Principal Instrument LEP 2008................................................................................................................56 5.4 Mid-North Coast Regional Strategy 2008.............................................................................60 Ref: C08050 4 / 214 Hill PDA Forster - Tuncurry Employment Land Implementation Strategy 5.5 National Climate Change Adaptation Framework...............................................................61 5.6 State Environmental Planning Policies..................................................................................62 5.7 Regional Environmental Plans................................................................................................62 5.8 Local Environmental Plans......................................................................................................63 5.9 Local Studies.............................................................................................................................64 6. TRENDS AFFECTING FORSTER - TUNCURRY’S ECONOMY .............................................70 6.1 Retail Trends & Key Drivers of Change................................................................................70 6.2 The Implications for Retail in Forster - Tuncurry..................................................................73 6.3 Commercial Trends..................................................................................................................74 6.4 Implications for Commercial Space in Forster - Tuncurry..................................................75 6.5 Industrial Trends.......................................................................................................................75 6.6 The New Economy...................................................................................................................76 6.7 Home Working...........................................................................................................................78 7. STAKEHOLDER CONSULTATION – SUMMARY OF KEY ISSUES ........................................79 7.1 Stakeholder Interviews.............................................................................................................79 7.2 Business Workshops................................................................................................................81 7.3 Business Survey – Summary of Findings.............................................................................84 7.4 Real Estate Agent Survey – Summary of Findings.............................................................87 7.5 Advisory Committee – Summary of Findings.......................................................................88 8. EXISTING SUPPLY ANALYSIS ..................................................................................90 8.1 Existing Supply in Forster - Tuncurry’s Centres..................................................................90 8.2 Existing Centres in Forster -Tuncurry....................................................................................94 8.3 Peripheral Businesses within Forster - Tuncurry.............................................................. 110 8.4 Existing Bulky Goods and Wholesale Clusters................................................................. 110 8.5 Existing Industrial Precincts................................................................................................. 112 8.6 Tuncurry and Forster Working Waterfront......................................................................... 117 8.7 Centre Hierarchy.................................................................................................................... 118 8.8 Employment Lands Hierarchy.............................................................................................. 120 8.9 Other Employment generating uses..................................................................................
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