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2017 STORM GUIDE All the information you need for the upcoming season

A PUBLICATION OF THE 2 Sunday, May 28, 2017 | STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com

NEW HOME 2017 STORM Hurricane Hunters settle in at Lakeland airport GUIDE: INSIDE Page 3 $17.5M construction project whole new building to house its nine aircraft of Lakeland Linder, the WHY HAVE WE BEEN except for two walls and while allowing easy exit reconstruction project SO LUCKY? A climatic By Christopher Guinn Gene Conrad said. “It’s a roof over the office,” to any of them without was already underway. quirk seems to be The Ledger moving at light speed.” Conrad said. The hangar, having to move more The contract for slightly shielding the About 60 to 80 work- once 32 feet tall, is than two other planes out designing the facil- U.S. coast during busy LAKELAND — The ers are on the site each now 60 feet, and could of the way. ity was awarded to the hurricane seasons. new home base for the day, Conrad said, accommodate larger air- But those requirements Lakeland-based Lunz National Oceanic and completing the $17.5 craft like the C-130. have been relatively easy Group in September. Page 4 Atmospheric Admin- million project that is The project has some to meet, Conrad said, Lakeland-based Reg- THE INFO YOU NEED: istration’s Hurricane less renovation than unique requirements. for instance, by putting ister Construction was Check our easy-to- Hunters at Lakeland reconstruction. NOAA’s base at Lake- hangar doors along two selected as the construc- keep list of important Linder Regional Airport NOAA is covering land Linder will be more walls. tion manager in early telephone numbers is on schedule to meet about $4.5 million of than a hangar and some The hardest thing November. and websites. the 2017 Atlantic hur- the cost and the state is offices — a science lab, about the project has A news conference ricane season, airport taking on $6.5 million. operational hub and been the timeline, he with NOAA and city offi- Page 8 officials said. Lakeland Linder is cover- maintenance shop will be said. cials took place with the MAKING A LIST: What “We started Dec. ing another $6.5 million. included. He got the first call gutted facility and heavy to do before the 5,” Airport Manager “Essentially it’s a The Hurricane Hunters from the U.S. Depart- machinery as a backdrop. storm? What to do also needed the hangar ment of Commerce, Typically the window after the storm? NOAA’s parent agency, for design is between in February saying the three and six months for Page 12 science and weather this kind of project, said ABOUT THAT CONE: group was leaving Mac- architect Brad Lunz of Widespread misun- Dill Air Force Base and the Lunz Group. derstanding about needed a place to set up, “This has been a real the “cone of uncer- Conrad said. fluid process,” he said tainty” has prompted “As a timeline, that’s as the team adapted to forecasters to try to insane,” he said. supply and time realities, improve the tool. The gambit proposed like by having Lakeland by Conrad and his senior and Texas-based GMF Editor’s note: Many staff members, and Structural to design of these stories are approved by the City custom trusses to cross being published at Commission, has worked the vast hangar space ocala.com as of May out. By the time NOAA rather than order pre- 28. The online ver- announced its selection engineered pieces. sions include links to additional material and resources.

Publisher: Jim Doughton Executive Editor and General Manager: Doug Ray Storm Guide Editor: Jim Ross Designer: Center for News and Design

Published by the Ocala Star-Banner 2121 SW 19th Avenue Road Ocala, FL 34471 352-671-6412 jim.ross@starbanner. com STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com | Sunday, May 28, 2017 3

‘CLIMACTIC QUIRK’ Scientist fi nds shield that helps U.S. Shifts in air and ocean conditions over decades have work together to weaken major storms along the coast. By Seth Borenstein “It’s a lucky byprod- The Associated Press uct for the United States coast,” Kossin said. “It’s WASHINGTON — A really unfortunate that climatic quirk seems to we’re the only ones that be slightly shielding the seem to be benefiting from U.S. coast during busy this situation.” hurricane seasons, often The Atlantic Ocean weakening major storms seems to alternate A girl watches as the authori- just as they approach between cycles of heavy ties arrive to evacuate people America’s beaches, a new and low hurricane activ- from her house in Tabarre, study finds. ity. The current heavy Haiti, on Oct. 3. The center That could help explain cycle began in 1993, after of Hurricane Matthew was why it’s been more than 11 a low period of more than expected to pass near or over years since a major hur- two decades. During those southwestern Haiti the next ricane with winds of more quieter times, when a day, but the area already was than 110 mph has hit the major hurricane forms in experiencing rain from the United States mainland. the Atlantic it is three to outer bands of the storm. [AP Last year’s Hurricane six times more likely to PHOTO/DIEU NALIO CHERY] Matthew was a perfect rapidly intensify near the example of this uniquely U.S. coast than during the in high altitude cross- American “protec- busier times, according to winds — called wind shear tive barrier” of stronger the study. — that tear at a storm’s crosswinds and cooler Kossin mapped sea structure. It also found coastal waters, accord- surface temperatures slightly cooler sea sur- ing to the study’s author, and wind shear levels in face temperatures, which climate scientist Jim the Atlantic to see small reduce a hurricane’s fuel Kossin of changes near the U.S. of hot water. The changes Oceanic and Atmospheric coast — but only during seem to be just a function Administration. a busy cycle. His study of larger natural condi- Matthew devastated found a localized increase tions, he said. Haiti as a monster storm, hitting land with 145 mph winds. It threatened Florida as a major hur- ricane and then fizzled as it finally came ashore in South Carolina, barely registering as a hurricane with 75 mph winds. Kossin’s study, pub- lished in the journal Nature, found that shifts in air and ocean condi- tions over decades work together to weaken major storms along the U.S. coast. This protective barrier begins around the U.S.-Mexico border in Brownsville, Texas, and gets more noticeable around the Atlantic coast, Kossin said. 4 Sunday, May 28, 2017 | STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com

TIME TO PLAN * There is a 34 percent for the CLIP N' SAVE Caribbean to see a hurricane, IMPORTANT NUMBERS down from the historic average All eyes on El Nino of 42 percent. FOR STORM SEASON AccuWeather experts agree, stating there will be 10 named To register people who have special The hurricane-wrecking phenomenon will storms. The 30-year average is needs: Call Marion County Emer- determine what kind of season we have gency Management at 369-8136. 12 named storms. In 2016, there To report road fl ooding: were 15 named storms, includ- By Joe Callahan residents need to be prepared + Marion County: 671-8686 ing seven hurricanes (four of Staff writer no matter what experts predict. + City of Ocala: 629-CITY (2489) which were major Category 3 All it takes is one hurricane to + City of Belleview: 245-7021 hurricanes). El Nino could help stifle strike this region and it will be a + City of Dunnellon: 465-8590 Though the official Atlantic hurricane activity during the significant season For non-emergency police assistance: hurricane season runs from June 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, National Hurricane Center + Marion County Sheriff's Offi ce: through November, storms experts believe, though the and National Weather Service 732-9111 sometimes form outside that timing of when the hurricane- experts have always pointed + Ocala Police Department: A news reporter doing a stand up time. In fact, on April 19, Tropi- wrecking phenomenon forms to the 1992 hurricane season. 369-7070 near a sea wall in Cedar Key was cal Storm Arlene formed and will ultimately determine That year, the first hurricane + Belleview Police Department: covered by an unexpected wave fizzled out. whether Florida will get some did not form until Aug. 16. That 245-7044 days; 732-9111 nights as Hurricane Hermine neared the In the end, officials note that tropical systems and how many. hurricane was named Andrew, + Dunnellon Police Department: Florida coast on Sept. 1. Hermine Florida could use some tropical The problem is that there is one of the most powerful to ever 465-8510 was the first direct hit on the state activity. only a 55 percent chance that El hit the United States. It caused Public information lines: from a hurricane in over a decade. “A tropical system, without Nino will develop between July $26.5 billion in damage, or more + Marion County Emergency Man- [AP PHOTO/JOHN RAOUX] the wind and surge, would be and December. El Nino occurs than $45 billion in 2017 dollars. agement Offi ces: 369-8100 helpful because of the drought,” when ocean water is warmer “Everyone needs to prepare 2002, which had slightly below- + Marion County Citizens Informa- Hess noted. “The Florida penin- than normal in the central as if that this will be the busiest average hurricane activity, tion Line: 369-7500 sula is on fire.” and eastern tropical Pacific. hurricane season ever,” Wildy while 1972 was a well below- + American Red Cross: National Hurricane Center When that happens, it creates said. “We were lucky last year average season.” 352-376-4669 spokesman Dennis Feltgen has hurricane-throttling windshear with Matthew. It could have This is the 34th year that + Salvation Army: 732-8326 said that Florida’s hurricane that hinders development in been much worse.” the Colorado State hurricane + FEMA: 1-800-621-3362 or drought, which ended after the Caribbean and the Atlantic Wildy, who has retired research team has issued the 1-800-462-7585 (TTY for hearing nearly a decade when Hurricane basin. since this interview, has been Atlantic basin forecast. The impaired.) Hermine struck the coast south The good news is that sci- replaced by Preston Bowlin, a Tropical Meteorology Project + For social service assistance: 211 of Tallahassee last year, means entists believe that El Nino is veteran former Sheriff’s Office team now includes Michael Bell, (United Way help line.) millions of Florida residents beginning to develop. Officials and Ocala Police Department an associate professor in the In case of power outages: have never experienced a hur- are detecting warmer-than- officer. Department of Atmospheric + City of Ocala: 351-6666 or http:// ricane. Officials estimate that normal temperatures off the Matthew, one of the strongest Science. William Gray launched www.ocalafl .org/government/ 3 million people have moved west coast of South America. October hurricanes on record, the report in 1984 and contin- city-departments/electric-utility to Florida in the last decade. For that reason, hurricane skirted Florida’s east coast. ued to be an author until he died + SECO: 237-4107 or https://www. That means many people do not experts at Colorado State One jog to the west would have last year. secoenergy.com/ understand the importance of predict a near-normal hurri- meant that this region would The report also includes the + Duke Energy: 1-800-228-8485 or preparing. cane season: 11 named storms, have received significant wind probability of major hurricanes https://www.duke-energy.com/ Early this month, the State including four hurricanes, and flooding. making landfall: home Emergency Response Team with two of those being major Jason Hess, a National * There is a 42 percent + Withlacoochee River Electric: held its annual exercise to test (Category 3 or above). The aver- Weather Service meteorologist chance that some segment of 795-4382 or https://www.wrec.net/ Florida’s emergency plans for a age season for the last 30 years in Jacksonville, said residents the U.S. coastline could be hit + Clay Electric: 1-888-434-9844 or potential hurricane landfall. The is 12 named storms and four should always be prepared, spe- by a hurricane in 2017, down https://www.clayelectric.com/ Florida Division of Emergency hurricanes. cifically pointing to that 1992 from the historic average of 52 Other helpful websites: Management led the drill that “El Nino tends to increase season. percent. + Florida Division of Emergency involved many federal, state and upper-level westerly winds Phil Klotzbach, a Colorado *T here is a 24 percent Management: www.fl oridadisas- local agencies. across the Caribbean into the State research scientist in the chance that the U.S. East ter.org “We know from our experi- tropical Atlantic, tearing apart Department of Atmospheric Coast, including the Florida + National Oceanic and Atmo- ences with last year’s storms hurricanes as they try to form,” Science and lead author of the peninsula, will be hit by a hur- spheric Administration: www. that early preparation is incred- according to the Colorado State report, said in his report that ricane, down from the historic noaa.gov ibly important and I encourage report, which was released last weather conditions in 2017 are average of 31 percent. + National Hurricane Center: www. all Floridians to take action to month and will be updated in similar to below-average hur- * There is a 24 percent nhc.noaa.gov keep their families, homes and early June. ricane season in the past. chance that the Gulf Coast, + Florida Department of Financial businesses safe,” Gov. Rick Marion County Sheriff’s “So far, the 2017 hurricane from the Florida panhandle, Services: www.myfl oridacfo.com Scott said in a press release. Capt. Chip Wildy, who was the season is exhibiting character- westward to Brownsville, will + American Red Cross: www. Joe Callahan can be reached county’s emergency manage- istics similar to 1957, 1965, 1972, be hit with a hurricane, down redcross.org at joe.callahan@starbanner. ment director when he was 1976, and 2002,” Klotzbach from the historic average of 30 com. Follow him on Twitter @ interviewed for this story, said wrote. “1957, 1965, 1976 and percent. JoeOcalaNews. STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com | Sunday, May 28, 2017 5

FACT CHECK used perceived gender a small number of very and Sandy (2012) collec- and presented that data deadly storms. This, too, tively accounted for 732, as a degree of masculin- was noted in a separate or 38.5%, of 1,900 total Do ‘feminine’ hurricanes kill more? ity and femininity. published response in deaths in the study. Vir- By Carole Fader real bearing on milder names,” Lazo said. The second complaint PNAS, Snopes.com tually all of the statistical The Florida Times-Union storms, but that for Jung’s team tried to is that any significant reports: difference between the severe ones (defined by address this problem trend requires the pres- “Inclusion of four deadliness of female vs. Question: I read that damage they caused) the by separately analyzing ence of a few very deadly storms with more than male storms is explained hurricanes with female change was “substantial, the data for hurricanes storms. Jung et al. note 100 deaths raises the by the inclusion of these names cause more such that hurricanes with before and after 1979. that there appears to be average death toll for all four events. “ damage because people feminine names were The team claims that the no trend for the less- female storms by 85%, So, the simple question think their risk is lower, much deadlier than those findings “directionally deadly storms, and that to 23.5 […]. Hurricanes about hurricane gender leading to less prepared- with masculine names.” replicated those in the significance is only Diane (1955), Camille does not have a simple ness. Is that right? The study was widely full dataset” but that’s reached when adding (1969), Agnes (1972), answer. Answer: On June 17, reported at the time, a bit of a fudge, Snopes. researcher Kiju Jung and Snopes.com reports, com states. colleagues published but as it continued to go Indeed, this “fudge” a study in the jour- viral, so did criticism of was pointed out in a nal Proceedings of the the research methods: response to the study National Academy of 1) The study included also published in the Pro- Sciences titled “Female hurricanes from a time ceedings of the National Hurricanes Are Deadlier period (1950-1978) in Academy of Sciences: Than Male Hurricanes.” which only female names “In the light of an Using more than six were used; and 2) the alternating male-female decades of death rates statistical significance of naming system started from U.S. hurricanes the gendered trend relies, in 1979, the authors and survey experiments, essentially, on only a claim that similar results the study claimed that small number of deadly can be obtained by only more people die from storms. considering the data feminine-sounding hur- The fact that only after 1979 […]. However, ricanes because of an female storm names were when re-analyzing [their implicit bias that leads to used before 1979 compli- model] for these years, the public to underesti- cates Jung’s results. As no effect can be observed mate their risk compared discussed in a National at all: neither [the to masculine-sounding Geographic story inter- perceived gender of the hurricanes. viewing the National storms name] nor [other The study used archi- Centre for Atmospheric potential confounding val data on fatalities Research’s Jeff Lazo: factors] are significant caused by hurricanes in “It could be that more on a 10 percent level.” the United States (1950– people die in female- The authors of the 2012), when 94 Atlantic named hurricanes, study responded by hurricanes made landfall simply because more saying that those analy- in the United States. people died in hurricanes ses rely on a binary male According to the study on average before they or female gender, but as reported by Snopes. started getting male noted that their study com, “nine indepen- dent coders who were blind to the hypothesis rated the masculinity vs. femininity of historical hurricane names on two items (1 = very mascu- line, 11 = very feminine, and 1 = very man-like, 11 = very woman-like), which were averaged to compute a masculinity- femininity index.” The researchers con- cluded that the perceived femininity or mascu- linity of a name had no 6 Sunday, May 28, 2017 | STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com | Sunday, May 28, 2017 7

In harm’s way: preparing for a hurricane Retired hurricane names Anchor outdoor Fill swimming pools to 12 inches below the 1954 Carol, Hazel items. edge. Cover the filter pump and turn off the 1955 Connie, Diane, Ione, Janet electricity. Add additional chlorine. 1957 Audrey 1960 Donna Set the refrigerator on maximum 1961 Carla, Hattie cold. Do not open unless necessary. 2017 hurricane tracker Raise 1963 Flora appliances and 1964 Cleo, Dora, Hilda Hurricane positions are plotted by latitude and EXAMPLE furniture off Lower 1965 Betsy longitude degrees. Latitude is measured north Read west to the floor and antennas. 1966 Inez and south; longitude is measured east and west. 45 cover it in 1967 Beulah, Edna For example, if a storm’s center is located near 45 west plastic. Stay in a central 1969 Camille 16 degrees north and 75 degrees west, on the room or on the 1970 Celia downwind side of the chart read north to 16 degrees and then west to 75 Read north to 45 north 1972 Agnes degrees. To follow a hurricane’s progress plot each house. 1974 Carmen, Fifi broadcasted reading and then connect the marks. Insert wedges 1975 Eloise in sliding 1977 Anita Name that storm patio doors. 1979 David, Frederic 2017 storm names 40 Park vehicle against 1980 Allen Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin, Gert, the garage door and 1983 Alicia keep your gas tank Harvey, Irma, Jose, Katia, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, 1985 Elena, Gloria full. Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy, Vince, Whitney 1988 Gilbert, Joan 1989 Hugo How 2017 compares 1990 Diana, Klaus 1991 Bob Prediction Annual average 1992 Andrew Named storms 1966-2016 35 1995 Luis, Marilyn, Opal, Roxanne 11 12 1996 Cesar, Fran, Hortense 1998 Georges, Mitch Hurricanes 1999 Floyd, Lenny 46 2000 Keith Secure Major hurricanes 2001 Allison, Iris, Michelle garage 22 2002 Isidore, Lili and porch 2003 Fabian, Isabel, Juan 30 Prune dead Bring doors. Ocala 2004 Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne or dying pets 2005 Dennis, Katrina, Rita, Stan, Wilma tree limbs. indoors. 2007 Dean, Felix, Noel 2008 Gustav, Ike, Paloma Fill bathtubs and Install storm panels Move furniture Turn off the main 2010 Igor, Tomas sinks with water in or shutters over away from gas valve and 2011 Irene 25 case water supply windows and exposed electricity before 2012 Sandy is interrupted and openings. windows and the storm hits. Use 2013 Ingrid turn off main water Tape exposed glass. doors. flashlights. 2015 Erika, Joaquin to the house. 2016 Matthew,Otto

20 Scale rates for hurricane’s force The Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale is a rating 15 system used to give an estimate of potential Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5 70 property damage and 74-95 mph 96-110 mph 111-130 mph 131-155 mph More than 155 mph flooding expected along a Damage primarily Some damage to roofs, Some structural Extensive damage to Complete roof failure and to trees and damage; large trees doors and windows; some building failures; 75 coast from a hurricane doors, windows, trees unanchored mobile blown down; flooding major damage to lower massive evacuation; flooding 65 landfall. and shrubbery; homes; some near shoreline and floors near shore; causes major damage to 10 extensive damage to coastal flooding power lines and poles possibly inland; mobile terrain may be flooded lower floors of all shoreline 60 homes destroyed well inland buildings

55 Wind speed miles per hour 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 100 95 90 85 80 50 45 40 Sources: University of Colorado; National Hurricane Center; National Weather Service; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Federal Emergency Management Agency MCT, AP, GATEHOUSE MEDIA 6 Sunday, May 28, 2017 | STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com | Sunday, May 28, 2017 7

In harm’s way: preparing for a hurricane Retired hurricane names Anchor outdoor Fill swimming pools to 12 inches below the 1954 Carol, Hazel items. edge. Cover the filter pump and turn off the 1955 Connie, Diane, Ione, Janet electricity. Add additional chlorine. 1957 Audrey 1960 Donna Set the refrigerator on maximum 1961 Carla, Hattie cold. Do not open unless necessary. 2017 hurricane tracker Raise 1963 Flora appliances and 1964 Cleo, Dora, Hilda Hurricane positions are plotted by latitude and EXAMPLE furniture off Lower 1965 Betsy longitude degrees. Latitude is measured north Read west to the floor and antennas. 1966 Inez and south; longitude is measured east and west. 45 cover it in 1967 Beulah, Edna For example, if a storm’s center is located near 45 west plastic. Stay in a central 1969 Camille 16 degrees north and 75 degrees west, on the room or on the 1970 Celia downwind side of the chart read north to 16 degrees and then west to 75 Read north to 45 north 1972 Agnes degrees. To follow a hurricane’s progress plot each house. 1974 Carmen, Fifi broadcasted reading and then connect the marks. Insert wedges 1975 Eloise in sliding 1977 Anita Name that storm patio doors. 1979 David, Frederic 2017 storm names 40 Park vehicle against 1980 Allen Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin, Gert, the garage door and 1983 Alicia keep your gas tank Harvey, Irma, Jose, Katia, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, 1985 Elena, Gloria full. Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy, Vince, Whitney 1988 Gilbert, Joan 1989 Hugo How 2017 compares 1990 Diana, Klaus 1991 Bob Prediction Annual average 1992 Andrew Named storms 1966-2016 35 1995 Luis, Marilyn, Opal, Roxanne 11 12 1996 Cesar, Fran, Hortense 1998 Georges, Mitch Hurricanes 1999 Floyd, Lenny 46 2000 Keith Secure Major hurricanes 2001 Allison, Iris, Michelle garage 22 2002 Isidore, Lili and porch 2003 Fabian, Isabel, Juan 30 Prune dead Bring doors. Ocala 2004 Charley, Frances, Ivan, Jeanne or dying pets 2005 Dennis, Katrina, Rita, Stan, Wilma tree limbs. indoors. 2007 Dean, Felix, Noel 2008 Gustav, Ike, Paloma Fill bathtubs and Install storm panels Move furniture Turn off the main 2010 Igor, Tomas sinks with water in or shutters over away from gas valve and 2011 Irene 25 case water supply windows and exposed electricity before 2012 Sandy is interrupted and openings. windows and the storm hits. Use 2013 Ingrid turn off main water Tape exposed glass. doors. flashlights. 2015 Erika, Joaquin to the house. 2016 Matthew,Otto

20 Scale rates for hurricane’s force The Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale is a rating 15 system used to give an estimate of potential Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 Category 5 70 property damage and 74-95 mph 96-110 mph 111-130 mph 131-155 mph More than 155 mph flooding expected along a Damage primarily Some damage to roofs, Some structural Extensive damage to Complete roof failure and to trees and damage; large trees doors and windows; some building failures; 75 coast from a hurricane doors, windows, trees unanchored mobile blown down; flooding major damage to lower massive evacuation; flooding 65 landfall. and shrubbery; homes; some near shoreline and floors near shore; causes major damage to 10 extensive damage to coastal flooding power lines and poles possibly inland; mobile terrain may be flooded lower floors of all shoreline 60 homes destroyed well inland buildings

55 Wind speed miles per hour 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 100 95 90 85 80 50 45 40 Sources: University of Colorado; National Hurricane Center; National Weather Service; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Federal Emergency Management Agency MCT, AP, GATEHOUSE MEDIA 8 Sunday, May 28, 2017 | STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com

BE PREPARED BEFORE THE STORM lowering a TV antenna or sat- certifi cates, social security AFTER THE STORM hard hat, safety glasses, WHAT TO DO? ellite dish, and avoid power cards, list of important WHAT TO DO? hearing protection, heavy lines. phone numbers and medi- work gloves, cut-resistant Staff report any vegetation growing on • Develop your emergency cations, and a copy of your Staff report legwear that extends from Florida Power & Light pro- or near any overhead power plan and review that plan FPL bill – storing them in a The storm has passed. Now the waist to the top of the vides these tips: lines. Only specially trained with your family. waterproof container. what? foot, and boots which cover • Determine your backup line-clearing professionals • Photograph or record your • Prepare to be self-suf- These tips come from Florida the ankle. power source or make should work around power home – inside and out – for fi cient for up to 14 days, Power & Light: • Always cut at waist level arrangements to relocate if lines. insurance purposes. according to emergency • Watch for downed power or below to ensure you main- a storm warning is issued • Turn off and unplug any • Update the phone number operations offi cials. Stock lines. Call 911 or your power tain control over the saw. and someone in your home is unnecessary electrical and email address on your up on: non-perishable food, company to report fallen dependent on electric-pow- equipment. electric utility account. extra batteries, medica- power lines that present a Food during power outages ered, life-sustaining medical • Turn off all swimming pool • Save your electric provider tions, baby supplies and pet clear and imminent danger The U.S. Department of equipment. pumps and fi lters, and wrap account number to the notes food to you or others. DO NOT Agriculture-Food Safety and • Ensure all trees and vegeta- them in waterproof materials section of your cellphone. • Purchase bottled water. attempt to touch any power Inspection Service offers the tion near power lines are • Set your refrigerator and • Contact your local emer- The American Red Cross lines, and keep your family following tips: trimmed by specially trained freezer to their coldest set- gency management offi ce recommends one gallon of away from them. Always • Make sure the freezer is line-clearing professionals tings ahead of time to keep if you or anyone you know water per person per day assume that every power at 0 degrees Fahrenheit or to minimize their potential food fresh longer in the event has special needs, in case of for up to 14 days. line is energized. below and the refrigerator is impact on you and your of a power outage. evacuations. • Keep a battery-operated • Stay away from standing at 40 degrees or below. neighbors. • Look up and note the loca- • Determine your backup radio with you and a water and debris; they could • Freeze containers of water • Make sure debris is cleared tion of power lines before you power source or make two-week supply of fresh potentially conceal a live for ice to help keep food prior to a hurricane warn- begin working on a ladder. Be arrangements to relocate if batteries. wire. cold. ing announcement – trash sure that ladders or scaf- a storm warning is issued • Check your emergency • DO NOT venture out in the • Store food on shelves that pickup will be suspended folds are far enough away and someone in your home is equipment, i.e. fl ashlights, dark; you might not be able will be safely out of the way during this time. Tree limbs so that you – and the ends of dependent on electric-pow- battery-operated radios, to see a downed power line. of contaminated water in and branches are the leading the tools you're using – don't ered, life-sustaining medical extension cords, cellphones • Turn off your circuit break- case of fl ooding. cause of outages and can come within 10 feet of power equipment. and chargers, and emer- ers, disconnect all electrical • Group food together in the become airborne during a lines. • Gather important docu- gency generators. appliances that are still freezer. storm. • Make sure to turn off ments, including: insurance • Charge your cellphone and plugged in, and turn off all • Obtain block ice or dry ice • DO NOT attempt to trim and unplug your TV before policies, health cards, birth keep it ready by obtaining wall switches. If the roof or to keep your refrigerator as portable chargers. windows leak, water in your cold as possible if the power • Read and follow all the walls and ceiling may come is going to be out for a manufacturer’s guidelines, into contact with electrical prolonged time. Fifty pounds if you plan on using a gen- wiring. Remember to never of dry ice should keep an erator, to avoid dangerous stand in water while operat- 18-cubic-foot full freezer shortcuts and ensure safe ing switches or unplugging cold for two days. operation. any electrical device. • If refrigerated food is still • Purchase a carbon monox- cool, you should be able to ide alarm inside your home Chain saw safety tips use it for about 48 hours, but to detect the toxic fumes Each year, approximately avoid opening the refrigera- generators emit. 36,000 people are treated in tor door frequently. • Install an approved hur- hospital emergency depart- • Cook on gas/charcoal ricane shutter system over ments for injuries from using grill or stove outdoors only. windows and doors, or have chain saws. Some tips: Canned heat can be used alternate coverings such as • Operate, adjust and main- indoors. plywood. tain the saw according to • Secure and prepare your manufacturer's instructions Disinfecting water home by storing outside provided in the instruction Boil at rolling boil for 10 min- objects inside, fasten manual. utes, let cool, add a pinch of doors and windows, cover • Properly sharpen chain- salt for taste, and then pour valuables and furniture with saw blades, and properly the water back and forth plastic and move away from lubricate the blade with bar between clean containers to windows. and chain oil. reduce fl at taste. Also: • Choose the proper size of • Chlorination: Use • Monitor radio and TV for chain saw to match the job, unscented liquid chloride information. and include safety features bleach, add eight drops to • Avoid using the tele- such as a chain brake, front each gallon of water, and phone except for serious and rear hand guards, stop then stir and let stand for 30 emergencies. switch, chain catcher and a minutes. If water does not • Establish an out-of-state spark arrester. have slight chlorine odor, friend to serve as a family • Wear the appropriate pro- repeat the dosage and let contact. tective equipment, including stand for 15 minutes. STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com | Sunday, May 28, 2017 9

EDITOR'S NOTE If disaster strikes, -Banner is ready to keep residents informed he Atlantic hur- destruction in our area, nearly in parallel in Ocala story fully. We need in print and online. ricane season but fortunately neither and Gainesville. The Sun photos, video, up-to-the- I was working as an officially runs cause devastation here. and the Star-Banner moment details on where editor of the newspaper from June to But we were prepared. operate in tandem each roads and bridges are in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, TNovember, but Mother If severe weather day. We can easily shift flooded, and other details on April 27, 2011, when Nature apparently didn’t threatens, one of the staff from one facility to that can potentially save an F5 tornado devastated look at the calendar last first things we will do another, if need be. We lives. the city. It remains one of year. is remove any restric- have printing opera- We will be using social the most terrible days of She sent us the first tions from our websites tions in both cities, and media, such as Facebook my life, but also one of the January hurricane in so you can find news and we share many other and Twitter, to gather and most uplifting. nearly 80 years and kept information related to resource. distribute submissions The way the commu- them coming through an approaching tropi- In addition, we are part from the public. We invite nity came together to care November. DOUGLAS RAY cal system. We want of GateHouse Media, you to join our Facebook for one another was truly It was a reminder that our readers to have easy with news operations in page and follow us on remarkable. While I pray severe weather can hit at also how we’ll manage access to news that can more than a dozen cities in Twitter. On Twitter you that we never experience any time. So, best to be to publish their work if help them respond appro- Florida, scores of newspa- can find us all at @Gaines- such a disaster here, I am prepared. utility services are com- priately. So, limitations pers across the nation and villeSun/sun-reporters confident we would see promised or some roads that normally exist for a design center in Austin, and @OcalaStarBanner/ the same sort of support and The Star-Banner are impassable. non-subscribers to our Texas. Plenty of help is at staff. from first responders, have a disaster response We had to pull that websites will be sus- hand. We also would like In the event of severe public officials, businesses plan that covers not just plan off the shelf twice pended until well after the to call on you. If tropical weather or a similar wide- and institutions, and the how we’ll deploy report- last year, for Hermine crisis passes. weather is approach- spread news event, we public in general. ers and photographers to and Matthew. Both hur- Fortunately, we have ing, we need help from will publish our contact The staff is ready to do cover a major storm, but ricanes threatened major two systems working the public in telling this information prominently its part, as well.

FOOD ADVICE 10 FOODS FOR DURING AND AFTER THE STORM

The website hurricane- sodium. than this. To enjoy ramen center.com offers some With regard to liquids, noodles, you just need to suggestions, including 10 do not stock up on sodas pour boiling water over foods that will serve you and alcohol. Alcohol is them. If you want to get well during and after a obviously not a good creative and make this storm. idea since you need to be into a salad, buy chicken- First, let's look at the alert and fully conscious fl avored noodles and draw list of items you should in a hurricane situation. off the broth. Add about a not be buying. Do not Instead, buy vegetable teaspoon of peanut butter buy snacks like salty and fruit juices. They are and some bacon bits and chips, crackers and nuts. a much healthier alterna- dried chives and you have a Aside from not having tive. If you have infants fast and easy Asian noodle any nutritional value, in your home, moni- salad. these will only make you tor their intake of fruit Bacon and sausages thirsty. juices because too much Purchase shelf-stable bacon Peanut butter, of this can cause ill- and hard sausages and although rich in protein, nesses like diarrhea. Also you can have all the bacon, is also salty, so take it do not binge on sports lettuce and tomato sand- in minimal amounts, drinks — drink them in wiches you want. If you run or if you think you moderation. out of bread or lettuce, you cannot control yourself, Here are some good can always add these two to keep this off your list. ideas of provisions your pork and beans. If you Candy is also undesir- to have and meals to want to intensify the fl avor able because aside from prepare: of your bean salad, it would causing you to be thirsty, Ramen Noodles also be a good idea to put in it also has a high level of Food can't get any easier a little bacon and sausage. 10 Sunday, May 28, 2017 | STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com

THE EXPERTS How bad will this hurricane season be? We check with the people who know

By Jim Ross Managing editor WEATHERBELL ANALYTICS 2016 performance: Good. It predicted 11 Each year we check in with the experts to 14 named storms (there were 15), six to see how they fared last year and what to eight hurricanes (there were seven) they are forecasting for this year. and two to five major (there were four.) COLORADO STATE UNIVERSITY 2017 prediction: Ten to 12 named storms, four to six hurricanes, one to 2016 performance: So-so. It predicted two major. 12 named storms (there were 15), five hurricanes (there were seven) and two GLOBAL WEATHER OSCILLATIONS major hurricanes (there were four.) A 2016 performance: Pretty good. Pre- major hurricane is Category 3 or above. dicted 17 named storms (there were 15), 2017 prediction: 11 named storms, four nine hurricanes (there were seven) and hurricanes, two major. four major (correct.) The Weather Channel 2017 prediction:17 named storms, nine hurricanes, five major. 2016 performance: Pretty good. It pre- dicted 15 named storms (there were 15), ACCUWEATHER eight hurricanes (there were seven) and This was not included in last year's three major (there were four.) guide. Its 2017 prediction is for 10 2017 prediction: 12 named storms, six named storms, five hurricanes, three hurricanes, two major. major. STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com | Sunday, May 28, 2017 11 12 Sunday, May 28, 2017 | STORM GUIDE | www.ocala.com

TAKE ‘EM OFF THE LIST Goodbye, Matthew and Otto Storm names retired after deadly 2016 season

By The Associated Press Names get retired when MIAMI — The names a storm is so deadly or Matthew and Otto have destructive that future been retired for Atlantic use of its name would be tropical storms and hurri- insensitive. canes following the deadly Hurricane Matthew 2016 season. caused 585 deaths, includ- According to a state- ing over 500 deaths in Haiti ment from the National before it made landfall in Part of a beach access collapsed Oceanic and Atmospheric Cuba, the Bahamas and on the north end of Topsail Administration, the World South Carolina. It was the Island in coastal North Carolina Meteorological Organiza- strongest Atlantic hur- during Hurricane Matthew. [JES- tion will use Martin and ricane since 2007 and the SICA COSTON/STARNEWS] Owen for future Atlantic deadliest Atlantic hurri- flooding from Hurricane storms. The new names cane since 2005. Otto caused 18 deaths in might first be used in 2022. Heavy rainfall and Central America.

TRACKING TOOL Seeking more certainty from the cone National Weather Service has high hopes for modifi ed technology

By Ben Montgomery the storm (based on the new map is “the right idea, cone) and they don’t take definitely,” she said. into account the stuff that Stewart said people As storm forecasters happens outside of it,” said should also remember have grown more certain Stacy Stewart, senior hur- that the cone is still a over the years about the ricane specialist at NOAA’s flawed predictor. One- potential path a hurricane National Hurricane Center third of the time the will take, the popular in Miami. “The wind field center of a hurricane will “cone of uncertainty” is much larger than the travel outside of the cone used in models has grown cone. We’re using that to completely. smaller. But widespread give people an idea of wind “Thirty-three percent of misunderstanding of the hazards that exist outside your forecast can still fall cone has prompted fore- the cone.” outside the cone,” he said. casters to try to improve The improved tool is an The National Weather the tool. attempt to alert folks not Service has unveiled This year the National to let down their guard if several other new tools Hurricane Center will use they’re not precisely in the aimed at precisely con- a modified tool with an direct path of a storm. veying potential hazards even sleeker tracking cone “People think, ‘I’m out- like storm surge and wind and an advancement they side the cone, so I’m going speed. hope will help people not to be okay,’ “ said Betty A storm surge watch/ directly in a storm’s path Hearn Morrow, profes- warning system will be better understand the sor emerita in sociology at used this hurricane season potential danger they face. Florida International Uni- to highlight areas along the A shaded area overlaid versity, who has helped Gulf and Atlantic coasts beyond the cone will show research and test National that are at risk of life- the farthest reaches of pos- Weather Service tools. threatening inundation. sible tropical storm- and But that’s not always the The new tool would alert hurricane-force winds. case, she said, because residents to the risks of “The public tends to still the cone doesn’t account rising water and the need focus on the exact path of for dangerous winds. The to evacuate.