Exchange Rates and Currency Manipulation
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Chapter 13 * February 2021
DoD 7000.14-R DoD Financial Management Regulation Volume 5, Chapter 13 * February 2021 VOLUME0B 5, CHAPTER 13: “FOREIGN DISBURSING OPERATIONS” SUMMARY OF MAJOR CHANGES All changes are in blue font. Substantive revisions are identified by an asterisk (*) symbol preceding the section, paragraph, table, or figure that includes the revision. Unless otherwise noted, chapters referenced are contained in this volume. Hyperlinks are in bold, italic, blue, and underlined font. The previous version dated April 2019 is archived. PARAGRAPH EXPLANATION OF CHANGE/REVISION PURPOSE All Updated hyperlinks and formatting to comply with current Revision administrative instructions. 130203 Added guidance to the paragraph titled “Currency Custody Addition Accounts” from the Treasury Daily Reporting Policy Memo (FPM 19-14). 130402.F Added guidance to the subparagraph titled “Gains and Addition Deficiencies by Revaluation” from the Treasury Daily Reporting Policy Memo (FPM 19-14). Figure 13-1 Replaced Figure 13-1, which displayed the sample for Revision Department of Defense (DD) Form 2664, (Currency Exchange Record) with a sample form of the “Certificate of Change in Purchase Rate.” The DD Form 2664 can be found at DD Forms Management (https://www.esd.whs.mil/Directives/forms/). Figure 13-2 Replaced Figures 13-2, which displayed the sample DD Form Revision 2668, (Request for Bid (Purchase/Sale)) with a sample form of the “Certificate of Adjustment Due to Rounding.” The DD Form 2668 can be found at DD Forms Management (https://www.esd.whs.mil/Directives/forms/). Figure 13-3 Removed Figures 13-3, which displayed the sample DD Form Deletion 2668, (Request for Bid (Purchase/Sale) – Sale Purchase) from the chapter. -
On the Effectiveness of Exchange Rate Interventions in Emerging Markets
On the effectiveness of exchange rate interventions in emerging markets Christian Daude, Eduardo Levy Yeyati and Arne Nagengast CID Working Paper No. 288 September 2014 Copyright 2014 Daude, Christian; Levy Yeyati, Eduardo; Nagengast, Arne; and the President and Fellows of Harvard College Working Papers Center for International Development at Harvard University On the effectiveness of exchange rate interventions in emerging markets Christian Daude Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Eduardo Levy Yeyati Universidad Torcuato Di Tella Arne Nagengast Deutsche Bundesbank Abstract We analyze the effectiveness of exchange rate interventions for a panel of 18 emerging market economies during the period 2003-2011. Using an error-correction model approach we find that on average intervention is effective in moving the real exchange rate in the desired direction, controlling for deviations from the equilibrium and short-term changes in fundamentals and global financial variables. Our results are robust to different samples and estimation methods. We find little evidence of asymmetries in the effect of sales and purchases, but some evidence of more effective interventions for large deviations from the equilibrium. We also explore differences across countries according to the possible transmission channels and nature of some global shocks. JEL-classification: F31, F37 Keywords: exchange rate; FX intervention; equilibrium exchange rate 1 1. INTRODUCTION Few macroeconomic policy topics have been as hotly debated as the exchange rate -
Revaluation of Financial Statement Due To
Academy of Accounting and Financial Studies Journal Volume 25, Special Issue 2, 2021 REVALUATION OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT DUE TO DEVALUATION OF CURRENCY– DOES FINANCIAL STATEMENT SHOW ACCURATE VALUE OF YOUR ORGANIZATION? Muhammad Nabeel Mustafa*, SZABIST University Haroon ur Rashid Khan, SZABIST University Salman Ahmed Shaikh, SZABIST University ABSTRACT Purpose: Debtors are current asset has a time of 120 days at max. During this time, the value of debtors gets changed. This study explores the effect of this time value of money. The objective of this research is to sight see the effect of the time value of money, normal inflation, and purchasing power on the comprehensive debtors/receivable side of the balance sheet, which can be devalued if key macroeconomic factors determine the devaluation percentage of a single currency. Methodology: Concerning these significant questions of the research, we grasped a pragmatic philosophy with an inductive approach. A mono-method of qualitative based on grounded theory was endorsed, which helped to unfold a new model through qualitative data analysis. Results: A new strategy is developed, which utters three components; normal inflation, time value of money, and purchasing power revealing significant contribution in literature. The effect of these constructs was not incorporated in the financial statement, showing vague financial valuation. These constructs have a significant impact on the financial statement of any organization especially with items having time components in the balance sheet, such as receivables and payables. Research Limitations: This research is limited to only one currency i.e., Pakistani Rupee but can be implemented on any currency. Practical Implication: The strategy will help auditors to pass the adjustment entry in the balance sheet to adjust the value of the currency at the year-end. -
Angela Merkel Energy Security Spotlight on Africa
40 Years of Summits Inside: a special supplement focusing on four decades of debate and decision-making GERMANY: THE SCHLOSS ELMAU SUMMIT AN AUTHORISED PUBLICATION OF THE 2015 G7 SUMMIT Angela Merkel Germany’s Chancellor outlines the summit agenda Energy security Spotlight on Africa Creating a sustainable future A focus on the continent’s prospects and countering climate change for growth and development Sanofi_placed.indd 2 23/04/2015 11:42 Sanofi_placed.indd 3 23/04/2015 11:42 THE ANSWER IS BLOWING IN THE WIND Security of supply. Air pollution. Energy poverty. Unemployment. Climate change. Volatile fossil fuel prices. The world is full of problems. When shaping the society of tomorrow, we need to deal with all these problems at the same time. The good news is that to all these problems, there’s one solution. Wind energy is clean. It’s scalable. And most importantly, it’s competitive. Today, the cost of wind energy is lower than nuclear. Lower than gas. In some cases even lower than coal. And that’s before we add the costs of pollution. In short, the answer to many of our most pressing questions is literally blowing in the wind. €/MWh 125 100 75 50 25 0 Gas Coal Solar Nuclear Wind onshore Wind Source: ECOfys/European Commission solutionwind.com #solutionwind Clean. Competitive. Ready. European Wind Energy Association_placed.indd 1 13/05/2015 12:19 Contents G7 Germany: The Schloss Elmau Summit | June 2015 Introductions and leaders’ perspectives The G7 in numbers 10 40 years of G7 meetings — commitment for 38 A look at how the G7 members -
Building Better Global Economic Brics
Economics Global Economics Research from the GS Financial WorkbenchSM at https://www.gs.com Paper No: 66 Building Better Global Economic BRICs n In 2001 and 2002, real GDP growth in large emerging market economies will exceed that of the G7. n At end-2000, GDP in US$ on a PPP basis in Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC) was about 23.3% of world GDP. On a current GDP basis, BRIC share of world GDP is 8%. n Using current GDP, China’s GDP is bigger than that of Italy. n Over the next 10 years, the weight of the BRICs and especially China in world GDP will grow, raising important issues about the global economic impact of fiscal and monetary policy in the BRICs. n In line with these prospects, world policymaking forums should be re-organised and in particular, the G7 should be adjusted to incorporate BRIC representatives. Many thanks to David Blake, Paulo Leme, Binit Jim O’Neill Patel, Stephen Potter, David Walton and others in the Economics Department for their helpful 30th November 2001 suggestions. Important disclosures appear at the end of this document. Goldman Sachs Economic Research Group In London Jim O’Neill, M.D. & Head of Global Economic Research +44(0)20 7774 1160 Gavyn Davies, M.D. & Chief International Economist David Walton, M.D. & Chief European Economist Andrew Bevan, M.D. & Director of International Bond Economic Research Erik Nielsen, Director of New European Markets Economic Research Stephen Potter, E.D. & Senior Global Economist Al Breach, E.D & International Economist Linda Britten, E.D. -
Currency Politics: the Political Economy of Exchange Rate Policy
© Copyright, Princeton University Press. No part of this book may be distributed, posted, or reproduced in any form by digital or mechanical means without prior written permission of the publisher. Introduction The Political Economy of Currency Choice The Political Economy of Currency Choice he exchange rate is the most important price in any economy, for it affects all other prices. The exchange rate is itself set or strongly influenced by government policy. Currency policy thereforeT may be a government’s single most significant economic pol- icy. This is especially the case in an open economy, in which the rela- tionship between the national and international economies is crucial to virtually all other economic conditions. Policymakers who have to answer, directly or indirectly, to constit- uents, such as voters, interest groups, and investors, are the ones who make currency policy. Like all policies, the choices available to currency policymakers involve trade- offs. Currency policies have both benefits and costs, and create both winners and losers. Those who make ex- change rate policies must evaluate the trade- offs, weigh the costs and benefits, and consider the winners and losers of their actions. Exchange rate policy provides an extraordinary window on a na- tion’s political economy. This is particularly true in countries whose economies are open to the rest of the world economy, because in such a situation currency policy has a profound impact on a whole range of For general queries, contact [email protected] Frieden.indb 1 10/23/2014 8:19:54 AM © Copyright, Princeton University Press. No part of this book may be distributed, posted, or reproduced in any form by digital or mechanical means without prior written permission of the publisher. -
Chapter 1717
ChapterChapter 1717 FixedFixed ExchangeExchange RatesRates andand ForeignForeign ExchangeExchange InterventionIntervention Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 17-1 Chapter 17 Learning Goals • How a central bank must manage monetary policy so as to fix its currency's value in the foreign exchange market. • The relationship between the central bank's foreign exchange reserves, its purchases and sales in the foreign exchange market, and the money supply. • How monetary, fiscal, and sterilized intervention policies affect the economy under a fixed exchange rate. • Some causes and effects of balance of payments crises. • How alternative multilateral systems for pegging exchange rates work. Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 17-2 Chapter Organization ! Why Study Fixed Exchange Rates? ! Central Bank Intervention and the Money Supply ! How the Central Bank Fixes the Exchange Rates ! Stabilization Policies with a Fixed Exchange Rate ! Balance of Payments Crises and Capital Flight ! Managed Floating and Sterilized Intervention ! Reserve Currencies in the World Monetary System ! The Gold Standard ! Liquidity Traps Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 17-3 Chapter Organization ! Summary ! Appendix I: Equilibrium in the Foreign Exchange Market with Imperfect Asset Substitutability ! Appendix III: The Timing of Balance of Payments Crises Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. Slide 17-4 Introduction ! In reality, the assumption of complete exchange rate flexibility is rarely accurate. • Industrialized countries operate under a hybrid system of managed floating exchange rates. – A system in which governments attempt to moderate exchange rate movements without keeping exchange rates rigidly fixed. • A number of developing countries have retained some form of government exchange rate fixing. ! How do central banks intervene in the foreign exchange market? Copyright © 2003 Pearson Education, Inc. -
EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH INTO IMPORT PRICES Jose´ Manuel Campa and Linda S
EXCHANGE RATE PASS-THROUGH INTO IMPORT PRICES Jose´ Manuel Campa and Linda S. Goldberg* Abstract—We provide cross-country and time series evidence on the can be raised, then, about whether measured degrees of mon- extent of exchange rate pass-through into the import prices of 23 OECD countries. We find compelling evidence of partial pass-through in the short etary policy effectiveness are fragile and regime-specific if the run,especiallywithinmanufacturingindustries.Overthelongrun,producer- degree of exchange rate pass-through is highly endogenous to currency pricing is more prevalent for many types of imported goods. macroeconomic variables.2 The degree of aggregate exchange Countries with higher rates of exchange rate volatility have higher pass-through elasticities, although macroeconomic variables have played rate pass-through, and its determinants, are therefore important a minor role in the evolution of pass-through elasticities over time. Far for the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy. more important for pass-through changes in these countries have been the Although pass-through of exchange rate movements into dramatic shifts in the composition of country import bundles. a country’s import prices is central to these macroeconomic stabilization arguments, to date only limited relevant evi- I. Introduction dence on this relationship has been available.3 The first goal hough exchange rate pass-through has long been of of our paper is to provide extensive cross-country and time Tinterest, the focus of this interest has evolved consid- series evidence on exchange rate pass-through into the erably over time. After a long period of debate over the law import prices of 23 OECD countries. -
3. IMF Article IV Consultations; 4. OECD Economic Surveys; 5
APENDICES 1. Additional plots and tables; 2. Business Cycle Chronologies; 3. IMF Article IV Consultations; 4. OECD Economic Surveys; 5. G20, G7 Summit Issues; 6. Compendium of Key Dates and Events; 7. Forecasts: Definitions and Sources 1 APPENDIX – ADDITIONAL PLOTS 2 Observed real GDP Growth Rates: Japan, U.S., and Germany Since 1960 (Quarterly) Real GDP Growth 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Germany Japan United States Annualized real GDP growth rates from FRED and supplemented with IMF IFS data. 3 Observed Inflation Rates: Japan, U.S., and Germany Since 1960 (Quarterly) Inflation rates 24% 20% 16% 12% 8% 4% 0% -4% 1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Germany Japan United States Annualized CPI inflation rates. Sources same as previous figure. 4 Central Bank Policy Rates 20% 16% 12% 8% 4% 0% -4% 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 Call rate - Japan Fedfunds - USA MRO - Eurozone In percent. Data from BIS. 5 Financial and Trade Globalization Financial Globalization 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 JPN USA DEU Trade Globalization 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 JPN USA DEU Data from KOF, see main text for link. -
Explaining Exchange Rate Behavior
EXPLAININGEXCHANGE RATE BEHAVIOR: AN AUGMENTEDVERSION OF THEMONETARY APPROACH Thomas M. Humphrey Prominent among competing theories of exchange The monetary approach has a long history dating rate determination in a regime of floating exchange back at least to the early 1800s when David Ricardo, rates is the monetary approach. This approach rests John Wheatley, and other British bullionist writers on the view that the exchange rate between two used it to explain the fall of the paper pound on the foreign exchanges following Britain’s switch from national currencies is determined by the respective fixed to floating exchange rates during the Napole- national money supplies and demands in the two onic wars. Later it was employed by the Swedish countries and the resulting effects on their general economist Gustav Cassel to explain the fall of the price levels.1 To reach this conclusion the monetary external value of the German mark during the famous approach combines the quantity theory of money with hyperinflation episode of the early 1920s. Most re- the purchasing power parity theory of exchange rates. cently, however, it has been employed, albeit with The quantity theory says that the general price level mixed results,4 to explain the behavior of floating is determined by the demand-adjusted money stock, exchange rates in the post-1973 era of generalized i.e., by the nominal stock of money per unit of real floating. money demand.2 And the purchasing power parity The main shortcoming of the monetary approach is doctrine holds that the exchange rate tends to equal that ii ignores the effect of real relative price changes the ratio of the price levels in the two countries con- on the exchange rate. -
Foreign Exchange Training Manual
CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT REQUESTED BY BARCLAYS SOURCE: LEHMAN LIVE LEHMAN BROTHERS FOREIGN EXCHANGE TRAINING MANUAL Confidential Treatment Requested By Lehman Brothers Holdings, Inc. LBEX-LL 3356480 CONFIDENTIAL TREATMENT REQUESTED BY BARCLAYS SOURCE: LEHMAN LIVE TABLE OF CONTENTS CONTENTS ....................................................................................................................................... PAGE FOREIGN EXCHANGE SPOT: INTRODUCTION ...................................................................... 1 FXSPOT: AN INTRODUCTION TO FOREIGN EXCHANGE SPOT TRANSACTIONS ........... 2 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................................... 2 WJ-IAT IS AN OUTRIGHT? ..................................................................................................... 3 VALUE DATES ........................................................................................................................... 4 CREDIT AND SETTLEMENT RISKS .................................................................................. 6 EXCHANGE RATE QUOTATION TERMS ...................................................................... 7 RECIPROCAL QUOTATION TERMS (RATES) ............................................................. 10 EXCHANGE RATE MOVEMENTS ................................................................................... 11 SHORTCUT ............................................................................................................................... -
The Federal Reserve Engages the World (1970–2000): an Insider’S Narrative of the Transition to Managed Floating and Financial Turbulence
Working Paper Series WP 14-5 AUGUST 2014 The Federal Reserve Engages the World (1970–2000): An Insider’s Narrative of the Transition to Managed Floating and Financial Turbulence Edwin M. Truman Abstract This paper traces the evolution of the Federal Reserve and its engagement with the global economy over the last three decades of the 20th century: 1970 to 2000. The paper examines the Federal Reserve’s role in international economic and financial policy and analysis covering four areas: the emergence and taming of the great inflation, developments in US external accounts, foreign exchange analysis and activities, and external financial crises. It concludes that during this period the US central bank emerged to become the closest the world has to a global central bank. JEL Codes: F3, F31, F32, F33, F34, E4, E42, F5, F52, F53 Keywords: Federal Reserve, Federal Open Market Committee, inflation, macroeconomic policies, monetary policy, external balance, exchange rates, exchange market intervention, financial crises, third world debt crises, Mexican crisis, Asian financial crises Edwin M. Truman, senior fellow since 2001, served as assistant secretary of the US Treasury for International Affairs from December 1998 to January 2001, and returned as counselor to the secretary from March–May 2009. He directed the Division of International Finance of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System from 1977 to 1998. He is the author, coauthor, or editor of Sovereign Wealth Funds: Threat or Salvation? (2010), Reforming the IMF for the 21st Century (2006), A Strategy for IMF Reform (2006), Chasing Dirty Money: The Fight Against Money Laundering (2004), and Inflation Targeting in the World Economy (2003).