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Witzenberg Municipality 2017

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Witzenberg Municipality 2017 Witzenberg Municipality 2017 WITZENBERG: AT A GLANCE 1. DEMOGRAPHICS 1 2. EDUCATION 3 3. HEALTH 7 4. POVERTY 12 5. BASIC SERVICE DELIVERY 15 6. SAFETY AND SECURITY 19 7. THE ECONOMY 24 8. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT 28 SOURCES 33 Witzenberg: At a Glance Population Estimates, 2018; Actual households, 2016 130 607 35 976 2016 Matric Pass Rate 74.5% Gini Coefficient 0.57 Learner-Teacher Ratio 35.4 Human Development Index 0.66 Gr 12 Drop-out Rate 35.5% 2016 15 64.1% 0.0 8.9% Percentage change between 2016 and 2017 in number of reported cases per 100 000 -4.2% -6.8% 17.7% 16.9% 17.8% Percentage of households with access to basic services, 2016 99.3% 87.1% 94.6% 96.5% 83.3% 2016 2016 Drought 23 Unemployment Rate Financial Sustainability (Grant dependency) 36 7.0% Stagnating Economic Growth Contribution to GDP, 2015 Wholesale and retail trade, Finance, insurance, real Agriculture, forestry and fishing catering and accommodation estate and business services 17.3% 16.9% 15.4% 1 2015 DEMOGRAPHICS This first chapter of the SEP focusses on the people living in the Witzenberg area. A demographic perspective on a municipality allows one to observe not only simple changes in population growth, but also to look at other various developments that influence the social life of every citizen. Demographics allow to emphasise aspects of society like, e.g. gender, race, migration or life expectancy. Decisions made by politicians as well as by the administration affect at least one aspect of Demographics. Therefore, a good understanding of this area is crucial for the government’s work. The overview of key demographic factors given in this chapter comprises of the estimates of population size, the distribution of population within age cohorts and furthermore the dependency ratio, which is of high importance to understand economic activity in the area as well as for planning welfare systems. With this short, but informative overview, the SEP tries to help the municipalities in their budgeting process by delivering precise data as a solid foundation for future decisions. Data source: Department of Social Development, 2017 Contribution to GDP, 2015 1 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Witzenberg Municipality POPULATION 350 000 300 000 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 0 Breede Valley Drakenstein Langeberg Stellenbosch Witzenberg 2018 179 550 273 066 104 289 176 523 130 607 2019 181 259 275 980 105 159 179 463 132 542 2020 182 941 278 791 106 013 182 372 134 444 2021 184 576 281 498 106 862 185 216 136 295 2022 186 182 284 087 107 708 187 983 138 107 2023 187 723 286 563 108 539 190 680 139 872 In 2018, Witzenberg municipal area will have an estimated population of 130 607 and after five years this population is estimated to be 139 872. This equates to an estimated growth rate in this time span of 7.0 per cent. The estimated population growth rate of Witzenberg is therefore 1.4 percentage points higher than the estimated population growth of the Cape Winelands which is 5.7 per cent. AGE COHORTS Children: Working Age: Aged: Dependency Year 0 – 14 Years 15 – 65 Years 65 + Ratio 2011 29 459 81 632 4 855 42.0 2018 32 649 91 479 6 659 42.8 2023 34 305 91 706 8 461 44.0 The above table depicts the population composition regarding age cohorts. The total population is broken down into three different groups: Age 0 - 14: children; Age 15 - 65: working age population; Age 65+: seniors. A comparison of the basis year (2011) and the estimated numbers for 2023 display a sharp rise in the aged population (aged 65+) relative to the other age cohorts but more specifically the working age cohort (15 - 65) for Witzenberg. This is an important factor in the calculation of the dependency ratio. In Witzenberg, this ratio was 42.0 in 2011 and will increase to an estimated 44.0 in 2023. This ratio expresses the dependency of people who are part of the workforce (Age 15 - 65) and those, who are depending on them (children and seniors). A higher dependency ratio means a higher pressure on social systems and the delivery of basic services. 2 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Witzenberg Municipality 2 EDUCATION Education and training improves access to employment opportunities and helps to sustain and accelerate overall development. It expands the range of options available from which a person can choose to create opportunities for a fulfilling life. Through indirect positive effects on health and life expectancy, the level of education of a population also influences its welfare. EDUCATION2 Data source: Western Cape Education Department, 2017 EDUCATION EDUCATION2 3 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Witzenberg Municipality EDUCATION2 LEARNER ENROLMENT 50 000 45 000 40 000 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 Drakenstein Langeberg Stellenbosch Witzenberg Breede Valley 2014 46 474 17 226 25 274 18 038 32 076 2015 46 988 17 499 26 129 18 181 32 466 2016 47 601 17 838 26 085 18 048 32 558 Learner enrolment in Witzenberg tapered off from 18 181 in 2015 to 18 048 in 2016. This could be attributed to a number of factors including demographics and socio-economic context. LEARNER-TEACHER RATIO The learner-teacher ratio in Witzenberg increased from 29.3 in 2014 to 34.4 in 2015 and up to 35.4 in 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Witzenberg municipal area. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio is the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. The learner – teacher ratio in Witzenberg increased from 29.3 in 2014 to GRADE 1234.4 DROP in 2015 and- upOUT to 35.4 inRATES 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Witzenberg municipal area. Factors The drop-out rates for learnersinfluencing within the Witzenberg learner-teacher municipal ratio areais the thatability enrolled of schools between to employ 2015 and 2016 remained unchangedmore educators at 35.5 perwhen cent. needed These and high the levels ability of drop to collect-outs are fees. influenced by a wide array of economic factors including unemployment, poverty, indigent households, high levels of households with no income or rely on less than R515 a month and teenage pregnancies. The learner – teacher ratio in Witzenberg increased from 29.3 in 2014 to 34.4 in 2015 and up to 35.4 in 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Witzenberg municipal area. Factors influencing the learner-teacher ratio is the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. The learner – teacher ratio in Witzenberg increased from 29.3 in 2014 to 34.4 in 2015 and up to 35.4 in 2016, which could in future affect learner performance within the Witzenberg municipal area. Factors 4 2017 Socio-economic Profile:influencing Witzenberg the learner Municipality-teacher ratio is the ability of schools to employ more educators when needed and the ability to collect fees. EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES The availability of adequate education facilities such as schools, FET colleges and schools equipped with libraries and media centres could affect academic outcomes positively. 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Witzenberg Witzenberg Number of Schools with Libraries Total Number of Schools 2014 16 53 2015 16 53 2016 14 54 In 2016, Witzenberg had a total of 54 schools. Given the tough economic climate, schools have been reporting an increase in parents being unable to pay their school fees. However, the proportion of no-fee schools dropped from 84.9 per cent in 2015 to 83.3 per cent in 2016. This could in future further increase the drop-out rate. The number of schools equipped with libraries declined from 16 to 14 between 2015 and 2016, which could affect the overall educational outcomes within the Witzenberg area. 100,0% 90,0% 80,0% 70,0% 60,0% 50,0% 40,0% 30,0% 20,0% 10,0% 0,0% Witzenberg 2014 84,9% 2015 84,9% 2016 83,3% 5 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Witzenberg Municipality EDUCATION OUTCOMES Education remains one of the key avenues through which the state is involved in the economy. In preparing individuals for future engagements in the broader market, policy decisions and choices in the sphere of education play a critical role in determining the extent to which future economy and poverty reduction plans can be realised. This section measures the matric pass rate within the Witzenberg municipal area. 100,00% 90,00% 80,00% 70,00% 60,00% 50,00% 40,00% 30,00% 20,00% 10,00% 0,00% Drakenstein Langeberg Stellenbosch Witzenberg Breede Valley 2014 83,80% 84,20% 87,20% 75,10% 82,10% 2015 86,70% 84,50% 85,60% 72,50% 82,40% 2016 86,70% 85,70% 86,90% 74,50% 84,20% Witzenberg matric pass rate declined slightly from 75.1 per cent to 72.5 per cent between 2014 and 2015. However, the matric pass increased to 74.5 per cent in 2016, which could improve access for learners to higher education to broaden their opportunities. The matric pass rate within the Witzenberg area remains well below that of the other regions in the Cape Winelands District. 6 2017 Socio-economic Profile: Witzenberg Municipality 3 HEALTH Health is another major factor contributing to the general quality of life in Witzenberg. It is therefore important to monitor the public health facilities as well as a variety of factors as diseases like HIV or TB and general topics that affect the community, like maternal health.
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