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Los Angeles Times Poll STUDY #516 LOS ANGELES TIMES POLL LA City Poll/Mayoral Pre-Primary February 21-27, 2005 Stat Sheet Guide to Column Headings All All adults RV All registered voters Among likely voters: LV All likely voters DEM Democrats REP Republicans WHT Whites BLK Blacks LAT Latinos WES Westside SFV San Fernando Valley CEN Central Los Angeles (City of LA, including east of Beverly Hills and North of 10 FWY) SOU Southern Los Angeles (City of LA, including south of the 10 FWY and San Pedro) Note *Trend results may be among: ALL (All Adults), RV (Registered voters), or LV (Likely voters) *(Vol.) indicates a voluntarily response *‘–‘ indicates less than 0.5% © Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 1 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q1. Do you think things in the city of Los Angeles are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track? LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Right direction 36 37 32 33 31 46 44 32 39 35 On the wrong track 49 47 57 52 52 45 43 57 43 48 Don’t know 15 16 11 15 17 9 13 11 18 17 Trend for Q1 Study/Question No. 515/Q1 459/Q1 456/Q1 454/Q1 Date 02/05 05/27/01 04/01/01 03/01/01 LV LV LV LV Right direction 36 46 40 49 On the wrong track 51 39 39 31 Don’t know 13 15 16 17 Study/Question No. *393/Q9 Date 03/97 LV Well 49 Badly 48 Don’t know 3 *The wording of this question is different in earlier poll/s. Wording in earlier poll/s: How do you feel things are going in Los Angeles these days--very well, or pretty well, or pretty badly, or very badly? (ORDER OF CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) Q4. If the March 8th primary for mayor of the city of Los Angeles were being held today and the candidates were: State Senator Richard Alarcon, Los Angeles Mayor James Kenneth Hahn, Attorney and Businessman Bob Hertzberg, Council member and Retired Chief Bernard C. Parks, or Los Angeles City Council member Antonio R. Villaraigosa, for whom would you vote: Hahn, Alarcon, Hertzberg, Parks, or Villaraigosa? (INCLUDES LEANERS) LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 5 5 4 3 1 13 4 9 3 – James Hahn 20 19 24 21 21 19 32 14 17 28 Bob Hertzberg 21 13 37 33 2 5 16 35 13 3 Bernard C. Parks 11 12 7 5 40 2 13 6 5 24 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 24 31 10 23 7 45 19 21 40 16 Other (Vol.) – – 1 – – 1 – – 1 1 Don’t know 19 20 17 15 29 15 16 15 21 28 -Q4 Continued on the next page. © Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 2 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 -Q4 Continued from the previous page. Trend for Q4 Study/Question No. 515/Q5 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 3 James Hahn 21 Bob Hertzberg 12 Bernard C. Parks 13 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 20 Don’t know 31 (ASKED OF VOTERS WHO MENTIONED A CANDIDATE) Q5. Are you certain you're going to vote for that candidate, or is it possible that you might end up voting for somebody else? LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Certain 64 68 60 61 74 74 54 62 72 69 Might vote for someone else 35 31 40 39 24 24 46 37 26 30 Don’t know 1 1 – – 2 2 – 1 2 1 Hahn voters Hertzberg voters Parks voters Villaraigosa voters Certain 64 58 63 72 Might vote for someone else 36 41 35 27 Don’t know – 1 2 1 * Alarcon voters were too few to break out. Trend for Q5 Study/Question No. 515/Q6 Date 02/05 LV Certain 66 Might vote for someone else 33 Don’t know 1 © Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 3 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 (ASKED OF THOSE WHO MENTIONED A CANDIDATE IN Q4. ORDER OF CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) (CANDIDATE MENTIONED AS FIRST CHOICE IS OMITTED) Q6. Who would be your second choice? Richard Alarcon, James Kenneth Hahn, Bob Hertzberg, Bernard C. Parks, or Antonio R. Villaraigosa? (INCLUDES LEANERS) LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 12 12 13 10 10 20 12 11 13 14 James Hahn 18 20 16 17 20 18 14 20 16 23 Bob Hertzberg 13 11 15 14 9 9 21 12 11 8 Bernard C. Parks 9 9 11 8 14 10 2 9 8 17 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 19 21 12 17 22 23 25 17 18 17 Other 1 – 1 1 – – – – 1 1 No second choice (Vol.) 19 19 25 23 14 13 17 22 21 10 Don’t know 9 8 71011 7 9 912 10 –––––––––––––––––––––––––––First choice–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Second choice Hahn voters Hertzberg voters Parks voters Villaraigosa voters *Richard Alarcon 10 7 11 20 James Hahn – 27 26 23 Bob Hertzberg 20 – 15 18 Bernard C. Parks 11 11 – 9 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 29 19 33 – Other – 1 – – No second choice (Vol.) 21 26 7 20 Don’t know 9 9 8 10 * Alarcon voters for first choice were too few to break out. Trend for Q6 Study/Question No. 515/Q7 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 17 James Hahn 16 Bob Hertzberg 13 Bernard C. Parks 11 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 15 No second choice (Vol.) 18 Don’t know 10 © Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 4 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Regardless of which candidate for mayor you happen to prefer right now, generally speaking, which candidate, if any, do you think would do the better job handling the following issues: Richard Alarcon, James Hahn, Bob Hertzberg, Bernard Parks, or Antonio Villaraigosa? If you think none of them or all of them would do the better job, you can say that, too. For example: (ORDER OF CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) Q7.Who do you think has the best leadership qualities to become mayor of the city of Los Angeles: Richard Alarcon, or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa? LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 5 5 5 3 2 15 3 8 4 2 James K. Hahn 23 23 26 23 24 19 32 18 21 28 Bob Hertzberg 17 12 29 25 5 4 16 25 13 3 Bernard C. Parks 9 11 4 6 32 6 11 7 5 20 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 24 29 13 23 12 41 21 21 35 19 None (Vol.) 5 3 6 5 4 2 5 5 4 6 All equally (Vol.) 3 3 2 2 3 2 1 2 3 6 Don’t know 14 14 15 13 18 11 11 14 15 16 Trend for Q7 Study/Question No. 515/Q9 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 4 James Hahn 22 Bob Hertzberg 12 Bernard C. Parks 14 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 19 None (Vol.) 6 All (Vol.) 3 Don’t know 20 (ORDER OF NEXT FOUR QUESTIONS AND CANDIDATES IS ROTATED). Q8. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job promoting economic prosperity for the city of Los Angeles: Richard Alarcon, or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa ? LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 5 5 3 2 3 14 3 9 3 2 James K. Hahn 23 22 26 23 23 23 33 15 23 31 Bob Hertzberg 23 16 36 34 7 6 26 35 13 6 Bernard C. Parks 7 7 4 3 29 1 7 4 2 19 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 18 24 8 16 12 35 8 15 35 15 None (Vol.) 4 4 5 4 3 5 4 5 3 4 All equally (Vol.) 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 1 3 2 Don’t know 18 19 17 16 20 14 16 16 18 21 -Q8 Continued on the next page. © Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 5 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 -Q8 Continued from the previous page. Trend for Q8 Study/Question No. 515/Q10 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 5 James Hahn 24 Bob Hertzberg 16 Bernard C. Parks 10 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 14 None (Vol.) 4 All (Vol.) 1 Don’t know 26 Q9. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job holding down crime: Richard Alarcon, or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa? LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 3 3 4 1 1 12 4 6 2 1 James K. Hahn 20 19 18 19 18 17 31 13 21 23 Bob Hertzberg 9 5 21 14 3 3 5 15 5 3 Bernard C. Parks 31 31 28 29 50 24 31 27 27 42 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 16 19 8 15 8 28 10 16 23 11 None (Vol.) 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 6 3 7 All equally (Vol.) 1 1 1 – 4 2 1 1 1 1 Don’t know 15 17 15 17 11 10 15 16 18 12 Trend for Q9 Study/Question No. 515/Q11 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 3 James Hahn 17 Bob Hertzberg 6 Bernard C. Parks 39 Antonio R.
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