Los Angeles Times Poll

STUDY #516

LOS ANGELES TIMES POLL

LA City Poll/Mayoral Pre-Primary February 21-27, 2005 Stat Sheet

Guide to Column Headings

All All adults RV All registered voters

Among likely voters:

LV All likely voters DEM Democrats REP Republicans WHT Whites BLK Blacks LAT Latinos WES Westside SFV San Fernando Valley CEN Central Los Angeles (City of LA, including east of Beverly Hills and North of 10 FWY) SOU Southern Los Angeles (City of LA, including south of the 10 FWY and San Pedro)

Note

*Trend results may be among: ALL (All Adults), RV (Registered voters), or LV (Likely voters) *(Vol.) indicates a voluntarily response *‘–‘ indicates less than 0.5%

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 1 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q1. Do you think things in the city of Los Angeles are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Right direction 36 37 32 33 31 46 44 32 39 35 On the wrong track 49 47 57 52 52 45 43 57 43 48 Don’t know 15 16 11 15 17 9 13 11 18 17

Trend for Q1

Study/Question No. 515/Q1 459/Q1 456/Q1 454/Q1 Date 02/05 05/27/01 04/01/01 03/01/01 LV LV LV LV Right direction 36 46 40 49 On the wrong track 51 39 39 31 Don’t know 13 15 16 17

Study/Question No. *393/Q9 Date 03/97 LV Well 49 Badly 48 Don’t know 3

*The wording of this question is different in earlier poll/s. Wording in earlier poll/s: How do you feel things are going in Los Angeles these days--very well, or pretty well, or pretty badly, or very badly?

(ORDER OF CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) Q4. If the March 8th primary for mayor of the city of Los Angeles were being held today and the candidates were: State Senator Richard Alarcon, Los Angeles Mayor James Kenneth Hahn, Attorney and Businessman Bob Hertzberg, Council member and Retired Chief Bernard C. Parks, or Los Angeles City Council member Antonio R. Villaraigosa, for whom would you vote: Hahn, Alarcon, Hertzberg, Parks, or Villaraigosa? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 5 5 4 3 1 13 4 9 3 – James Hahn 20 19 24 21 21 19 32 14 17 28 Bob Hertzberg 21 13 37 33 2 5 16 35 13 3 Bernard C. Parks 11 12 7 5 40 2 13 6 5 24 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 24 31 10 23 7 45 19 21 40 16 Other (Vol.) – – 1 – – 1 – – 1 1 Don’t know 19 20 17 15 29 15 16 15 21 28

-Q4 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q4

Study/Question No. 515/Q5 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 3 James Hahn 21 Bob Hertzberg 12 Bernard C. Parks 13 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 20 Don’t know 31

(ASKED OF VOTERS WHO MENTIONED A CANDIDATE) Q5. Are you certain you're going to vote for that candidate, or is it possible that you might end up voting for somebody else?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Certain 64 68 60 61 74 74 54 62 72 69 Might vote for someone else 35 31 40 39 24 24 46 37 26 30 Don’t know 1 1 – – 2 2 – 1 2 1

Hahn voters Hertzberg voters Parks voters Villaraigosa voters Certain 64 58 63 72 Might vote for someone else 36 41 35 27 Don’t know – 1 2 1

* Alarcon voters were too few to break out.

Trend for Q5

Study/Question No. 515/Q6 Date 02/05 LV Certain 66 Might vote for someone else 33 Don’t know 1

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 3 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 (ASKED OF THOSE WHO MENTIONED A CANDIDATE IN Q4. ORDER OF CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) (CANDIDATE MENTIONED AS FIRST CHOICE IS OMITTED) Q6. Who would be your second choice? Richard Alarcon, James Kenneth Hahn, Bob Hertzberg, Bernard C. Parks, or Antonio R. Villaraigosa? (INCLUDES LEANERS)

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 12 12 13 10 10 20 12 11 13 14 James Hahn 18 20 16 17 20 18 14 20 16 23 Bob Hertzberg 13 11 15 14 9 9 21 12 11 8 Bernard C. Parks 9 9 11 8 14 10 2 9 8 17 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 19 21 12 17 22 23 25 17 18 17 Other 1 – 1 1 – – – – 1 1 No second choice (Vol.) 19 19 25 23 14 13 17 22 21 10 Don’t know 9 8 71011 7 9 912 10

–––––––––––––––––––––––––––First choice–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Second choice Hahn voters Hertzberg voters Parks voters Villaraigosa voters *Richard Alarcon 10 7 11 20 James Hahn – 27 26 23 Bob Hertzberg 20 – 15 18 Bernard C. Parks 11 11 – 9 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 29 19 33 – Other – 1 – – No second choice (Vol.) 21 26 7 20 Don’t know 9 9 8 10

* Alarcon voters for first choice were too few to break out.

Trend for Q6

Study/Question No. 515/Q7 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 17 James Hahn 16 Bob Hertzberg 13 Bernard C. Parks 11 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 15 No second choice (Vol.) 18 Don’t know 10

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 4 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Regardless of which candidate for mayor you happen to prefer right now, generally speaking, which candidate, if any, do you think would do the better job handling the following issues: Richard Alarcon, James Hahn, Bob Hertzberg, Bernard Parks, or Antonio Villaraigosa? If you think none of them or all of them would do the better job, you can say that, too. For example:

(ORDER OF CANDIDATES IS ROTATED) Q7.Who do you think has the best leadership qualities to become mayor of the city of Los Angeles: Richard Alarcon, or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 5 5 5 3 2 15 3 8 4 2 James K. Hahn 23 23 26 23 24 19 32 18 21 28 Bob Hertzberg 17 12 29 25 5 4 16 25 13 3 Bernard C. Parks 9 11 4 6 32 6 11 7 5 20 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 24 29 13 23 12 41 21 21 35 19 None (Vol.) 5 3 6 5 4 2 5 5 4 6 All equally (Vol.) 3 3 2 2 3 2 1 2 3 6 Don’t know 14 14 15 13 18 11 11 14 15 16

Trend for Q7

Study/Question No. 515/Q9 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 4 James Hahn 22 Bob Hertzberg 12 Bernard C. Parks 14 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 19 None (Vol.) 6 All (Vol.) 3 Don’t know 20

(ORDER OF NEXT FOUR QUESTIONS AND CANDIDATES IS ROTATED). Q8. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job promoting economic prosperity for the city of Los Angeles: Richard Alarcon, or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa ?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 5 5 3 2 3 14 3 9 3 2 James K. Hahn 23 22 26 23 23 23 33 15 23 31 Bob Hertzberg 23 16 36 34 7 6 26 35 13 6 Bernard C. Parks 7 7 4 3 29 1 7 4 2 19 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 18 24 8 16 12 35 8 15 35 15 None (Vol.) 4 4 5 4 3 5 4 5 3 4 All equally (Vol.) 2 3 1 2 3 2 3 1 3 2 Don’t know 18 19 17 16 20 14 16 16 18 21

-Q8 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q8

Study/Question No. 515/Q10 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 5 James Hahn 24 Bob Hertzberg 16 Bernard C. Parks 10 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 14 None (Vol.) 4 All (Vol.) 1 Don’t know 26

Q9. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job holding down crime: Richard Alarcon, or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 3 3 4 1 1 12 4 6 2 1 James K. Hahn 20 19 18 19 18 17 31 13 21 23 Bob Hertzberg 9 5 21 14 3 3 5 15 5 3 Bernard C. Parks 31 31 28 29 50 24 31 27 27 42 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 16 19 8 15 8 28 10 16 23 11 None (Vol.) 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 6 3 7 All equally (Vol.) 1 1 1 – 4 2 1 1 1 1 Don’t know 15 17 15 17 11 10 15 16 18 12

Trend for Q9

Study/Question No. 515/Q11 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 3 James Hahn 17 Bob Hertzberg 6 Bernard C. Parks 39 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 9 None (Vol.) 5 All (Vol.) 1 Don’t know 20

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 6 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q10. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job improving traffic and transportation issues: Richard Alarcon, or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 4 4 4 2 3 13 4 6 3 3 James K. Hahn 15 16 15 13 24 14 17 8 15 29 Bob Hertzberg 21 16 36 30 8 8 21 31 17 6 Bernard C. Parks 10 10 7 6 29 8 7 9 4 20 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 18 23 5 15 7 32 21 14 32 9 None (Vol.) 10 10 8 12 6 4 7 12 8 7 All equally (Vol.) 2 2 4 3 1 3 2 3 2 3 Don’t know 20 19 21 19 22 18 21 17 19 23

Trend for Q10

Study/Question No. 515/Q12 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 5 James Hahn 18 Bob Hertzberg 12 Bernard C. Parks 15 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 13 None (Vol.) 7 All (Vol.) 2 Don’t know 28

Q11. Which candidate for mayor do you think would do the better job improving the city's public schools: Richard Alarcon , or James Hahn, or Bob Hertzberg, or Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 5 5 5 2 4 12 5 6 3 3 James K. Hahn 13 12 13 13 16 13 13 9 13 20 Bob Hertzberg 21 15 36 29 5 8 23 31 13 6 Bernard C. Parks 6 7 2 2 29 2 5 3 2 19 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 25 30 13 22 12 44 20 19 45 18 None (Vol.) 11 9 14 14 5 5 15 14 7 7 All equally (Vol.) 1 2 1 1 4 1 3 1 1 2 Don’t know 18 20 16 17 25 15 16 17 16 25

Trend for Q11

Study/Question No. 515/Q13 Date 02/05 LV Richard Alarcon 6 James Hahn 15 Bob Hertzberg 14 Bernard C. Parks 10 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 19 None (Vol.) 8 All (Vol.) 1 Don’t know 27

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 7 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q12. What particular characteristic or quality would you most like to see in the next mayor of Los Angeles? Is there another characteristic or quality that is almost as important? (UP TO TWO REPLIES ACCEPTED)

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Honesty 34 32 40 39 26 22 41 38 25 30 Strong leader 16 17 10 18 12 13 20 17 16 12 Education 11 11 11 10 8 16 17 10 10 7 Coalition builder 7 10 4 6 7 9 4 7 9 8 Cares about Los Angeles 7 8 5 3 17 11 2 5 8 14 Committed 6 5 6 4 10 6 5 5 7 7 Tough on crime 6 5 9 5 6 9 6 5 8 7 Intelligent 5 5 2 7 2 2 11 4 4 2 Can relate to people 5 6 2 5 3 4 1 5 6 5 Fiscally responsible 4 3 8 6 2 2 4 5 4 3 Business experience 4 4 6 2 5 10 – 4 5 6 Has economic/job growth plans 4 3 4 3 9 2 4 2 2 8 Charismatic 4 4 3 5 1 2 5 3 6 2 Cares about people like me 3 4 2 2 6 6 2 3 5 3 Fair 3 2 4 3 3 1 1 3 1 5 Has new ideas 3 4 2 5 1 1 5 3 3 2 Not influenced by special interests 3 2 4 5 – 1 3 5 4 – Visible in community 3 3 1 2 2 5 2 2 5 3 Compassionate 2 3 – 2 5 3 2 1 3 3 Efficient 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 4 2 Experience 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 3 2 2 Improve LAPD 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 1 3 2 Tough (in general) 2 3 2 3 1 1 2 2 4 2 Resolve traffic problems 2 1 3 2 1 1 1 3 1 1 Moral values 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 3 1 Outsider 1 1 1 2 – 1 1 2 1 – Represents my ethnic/racial group 1 – 1 1 1 – – – 1 1 Liberal 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 – 2 2 Thinks like me on issues 1 1 1 1 – – – 1 – 1 Will improve infrastructure 1 2 1 1 1 2 – 1 1 2 Focused on immigration 1 – 3 1 – 1 2 1 1 1 Conservative – – 1 – – 1 – – – 1 Youthful – – 1 – – 1 – – 1 – None 3 3 3 3 5 3 2 4 3 2 Other 11 10 11 13 9 6 11 13 8 7 Don’t know 2 3 2 2 4 1 3 2 2 5

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Yes 50 50 51 49 40 54 56 48 47 52 No 35 33 37 37 39 33 26 41 36 26 Don’t know 15 17 12 14 21 13 18 11 17 22

Trend for Q13

Study/Question No. 515/Q16 459/Q14 Date 02/05 05/01 LV LV Yes 48 72 No 34 16 Don’t know 18 12

Q14. What about the mayoral candidates running against James Hahn. Is there one candidate who you would single out as having the most honesty and integrity to serve as mayor of Los Angeles -- Richard Alarcon , Bob Hertzberg, Bernard Parks or Antonio Villaraigosa?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Richard Alarcon 7 8 6 5 4 18 7 11 4 3 Bob Hertzberg 17 10 31 23 5 7 19 26 12 4 Bernard C. Parks 16 16 15 11 43 8 18 11 8 31 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 23 29 10 20 16 41 17 20 35 23 None (Vol.) 16 15 18 20 10 11 15 14 22 16 All equally (Vol.) 5 4 6 6 6 2 8 5 2 5 Don’t know 16 18 14 15 16 13 16 13 17 18

Q15. Generally speaking, do you think the city of Los Angeles is better off because of James Hahn's policies and should continue in the direction he has set, or do you think Los Angeles is not better off and needs to move in a new direction?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Continue 26 27 26 23 23 29 36 20 26 30 New direction 65 64 67 68 68 67 54 73 66 59 Don’t know 9 9 7 9 9 4 10 7 8 11

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 9 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q16. Lots of people don't pay much attention to political campaigns. How about you? So far this year, would you say you have been very interested in following the political campaign for mayor of the city of Los Angeles, or somewhat interested, or somewhat uninterested, or very uninterested in following the political campaign for mayor this year?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Interested (Net) 91 90 92 93 88 93 90 91 91 92 Very interested 45 44 47 44 52 46 45 44 45 46 Somewhat interested 47 46 45 49 37 47 45 48 46 46 Uninterested (Net) 9 10 7 7 10 7 9 9 9 6 Somewhat uninterested 4 5 5 3 5 4 1 3 8 4 Very uninterested 4 5 2 4 4 3 8 5 1 2 Don’t know – – 1 – 2 – 1 – – 2

Trend for Q16

Study/Question No. 515/Q21 456/C13 454/C20 Date 02/05 04/01/01 03/01/01 LV LV LV Interested (Net) 87 94 88 Very interested 25 47 39 Somewhat interested 62 47 49 Uninterested (Net) 12 5 11 Somewhat uninterested 9 4 9 Very uninterested 3 1 2 Don’t know 1 1 1

(ORDER OF NEXT FIVE QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q23. What is your impression of Richard Alarcon? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable, or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favorable (Net) 37 39 34 32 29 53 38 39 40 27 Very favorable 9 8 8 6 9 19 11 11 8 6 Somewhat favorable 28 32 25 27 21 35 27 28 32 21 Unfavorable (Net) 20 16 28 23 14 19 20 25 18 12 Somewhat unfavorable 13 12 14 16 8 11 17 14 13 8 Very unfavorable 7 3 14 7 5 7 3 11 5 5 Haven’t heard enough 37 37 36 42 46 21 41 33 33 48 Don’t know 6 8 2 3 11 7 1 3 9 13

-Q23 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q23

Study/Question No. 515/Q27 Date 02/05 LV Favorable (Net) 31 Very favorable 7 Somewhat favorable 23 Unfavorable (Net) 16 Somewhat unfavorable 10 Very unfavorable 6 Haven’t heard enough 47 Don’t know 6

Q24. What is your impression of James Hahn? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favorable (Net) 53 55 49 49 56 55 60 44 54 61 Very favorable 19 20 17 16 29 24 23 15 17 28 Somewhat favorable 33 35 32 34 27 31 37 30 37 33 Unfavorable (Net) 42 39 49 48 35 39 35 52 41 29 Somewhat unfavorable 27 27 28 32 21 21 23 33 23 18 Very unfavorable 16 12 21 16 14 18 12 19 18 11 Haven’t heard enough 2 2 1 1 3 4 1 2 3 4 Don’t know 3 4 1 2 6 2 4 2 2 6

Trend for Q24

Study/Question No. 515/Q28 Date 02/05 LV Favorable (Net) 51 Very favorable 15 Somewhat favorable 36 Unfavorable (Net) 41 Somewhat unfavorable 23 Very unfavorable 18 Haven’t heard enough 5 Don’t know 3

-Q24 Continued on the next page.

Study/Question No. *459/C33 *456/C22 *454/C34 Date 05/27/01 04/01/01 03/01/01 LV LV LV Favorable (Net) 67 67 60 Very favorable 28 27 24 Somewhat favorable 39 40 36 Unfavorable (Net) 23 18 16 Somewhat unfavorable 16 13 11 Very unfavorable 6 5 5 Haven’t heard enough 8 12 20 Don’t know 2 3 4

*The wording of this question is different in earlier poll/s.Wording in earlier poll/s: What is your impression of James Kenneth Hahn? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

Q25. What is your impression of Bob Hertzberg? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favorable (Net) 44 36 61 58 19 24 55 55 38 19 Very favorable 16 10 26 22 7 6 17 23 10 5 Somewhat favorable 28 26 35 37 12 18 38 31 28 13 Unfavorable (Net) 15 18 8 16 17 16 13 17 13 15 Somewhat unfavorable 9 10 4 10 7 8 8 11 5 8 Very unfavorable 7 8 4 6 10 8 5 6 8 7 Haven’t heard enough 34 38 26 24 51 45 29 24 39 54 Don’t know 7 8 5 2 13 15 3 4 10 12

Trend for Q25

Study/Question No. 515/Q29 Date 02/05 LV Favorable (Net) 34 Very favorable 9 Somewhat favorable 25 Unfavorable (Net) 7 Somewhat unfavorable 5 Very unfavorable 2 Haven’t heard enough 54 Don’t know 5

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 12 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q26. What is your impression of Bernard Parks? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favorable (Net) 48 49 49 45 74 42 50 46 39 62 Very favorable 13 14 9 7 40 11 11 11 9 26 Somewhat favorable 35 35 40 38 34 31 39 36 30 36 Unfavorable (Net) 39 38 38 46 15 38 37 41 47 25 Somewhat unfavorable 27 29 18 33 8 25 30 26 36 15 Very unfavorable 12 9 20 13 7 13 7 15 11 10 Haven’t heard enough 8 8 11 6 6 13 7 9 10 7 Don’t know 5 5 2 3 5 7 6 4 4 6

Trend for Q26

Study/Question No. 515/Q30 Date 02/05 LV Favorable (Net) 51 Very favorable 15 Somewhat favorable 37 Unfavorable (Net) 33 Somewhat unfavorable 22 Very unfavorable 12 Haven’t heard enough 13 Don’t know 3

Q27. What is your impression of Antonio Villaraigosa? As of today, is it very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him to say?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favorable (Net) 66 76 43 61 65 81 66 61 76 66 Very favorable 27 35 14 22 22 49 25 22 42 23 Somewhat favorable 39 41 29 39 43 31 41 39 34 44 Unfavorable (Net) 22 13 40 27 13 11 28 26 14 16 Somewhat unfavorable 10 6 16 13 5 3 15 12 8 4 Very unfavorable 12 7 24 14 8 8 13 14 6 12 Haven’t heard enough 10 8 15 11 17 5 6 12 7 14 Don’t know 2 3 2 1 5 3 – 1 3 4

-Q27 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q27

Study/Question No. 515/Q31 459/C36 456/C24 454/C36 Date 02/05 05/27/01 04/01/01 03/01/01 LV LV LV LV Favorable (Net) 55 58 53 36 Very favorable 22 24 27 16 Somewhat favorable 33 34 27 20 Unfavorable (Net) 21 28 19 14 Somewhat unfavorable 12 17 11 8 Very unfavorable 10 12 8 6 Haven’t heard enough 20 10 24 47 Don’t know 4 4 4 3

Q28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James Hahn is handling his job as mayor of Los Angeles? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Approve (Net) 43 44 41 38 46 51 45 37 41 57 Approve strongly 11 12 12 11 12 15 13 7 14 17 Approve somewhat 32 31 29 27 34 36 32 30 27 40 Disapprove (Net) 51 49 56 56 50 45 47 58 52 38 Disapprove somewhat 30 31 28 35 24 21 32 34 28 21 Disapprove strongly 21 19 28 21 26 24 15 24 24 17 Don’t know 6 7 3 6 4 4 8 5 7 5

Trend for Q28

Study/Question No. 515/Q32 475/C2 Date 02/05 10/15/02 LV LV Approve (Net) 44 57 Approve strongly 8 11 Approve somewhat 36 47 Disapprove (Net) 48 29 Disapprove somewhat 27 18 Disapprove strongly 21 11 Don’t know 8 14

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 14 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q29. As you may know, there has been talk about breaking up the Los Angeles Unified School District into smaller, independent school districts. Would you favor or oppose this plan? (IF FAVOR OR OPPOSE) Do you (favor/oppose) it strongly or do you (favor/oppose) it only somewhat?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Favor (Net) 56 50 72 60 33 61 56 63 56 38 Favor strongly 36 29 54 39 20 42 33 44 33 25 Favor somewhat 19 20 18 21 13 19 23 18 23 13 Oppose (Net) 29 34 14 22 51 31 33 20 27 48 Oppose somewhat 9 10 3 8 16 7 8 7 6 17 Oppose strongly 21 25 11 14 35 24 25 14 21 31 Don’t know 15 16 14 18 16 8 11 17 17 14

Trend for Q29

Study/Question No. 515/Q43 454/C58 Date 02/05 03/01/01 LV LV Favor (Net) 54 55 Favor strongly 35 39 Favor somewhat 19 17 Oppose (Net) 28 32 Oppose somewhat 812 Oppose strongly 20 20 Don’t know 18 18

(ORDER OF STATEMENTS IS ROTATED) Q30. As you may know, Los Angeles Police Chief William Bratton says the city needs to hire 1,200 more police officers in order to provide adequate protection for residents. Mayor Hahn has proposed increasing the city sales tax to pay for additional police. Which of the following statements comes closer to your view "I agree the city needs to hire 1,200 more police officers and should increase the sales tax to pay for it," or "I agree the city needs to hire 1,200 more police officers, but I think the city can afford to do that without raising the sales tax," or "I do not think the city needs to hire 1,200 more police officers"?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More police/increase tax 28 26 26 31 15 23 36 25 25 18 More police/no tax increase 55 52 55 52 53 51 49 56 49 51 No more police 14 18 17 14 28 21 14 15 20 28 Don’t know 3 4 2 3 4 5 1 4 6 3

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 15 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 (ORDER OF NEXT TWO QUESTIONS IS ROTATED) Q31. As you may also know, James Hahn did not advocate the reappointment of Bernard Parks to a second term as Los Angeles police chief. Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Hahn for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Hahn because he did not advocate reappointing Parks to a second term as police chief, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 10 11 13 9 10 18 9 10 13 11 Much more likely 6 7 8 5 8 10 4 6 7 10 Somewhat more likely 4 4 5 4 2 8 5 4 6 1 Less likely (Net) 13 13 9 10 27 11 9 11 13 19 Somewhat less likely 4 4 3 4 10 2 2 4 4 7 Much less likely 9 9 6 6 17 9 6 7 9 12 Will not play a role 73 72 75 79 56 67 79 77 70 64 Don’t know 4 4 3 2 7 4 3 2 4 6

Trend for Q31

Study/Question No. 515/Q49 Date 02/05 LV More likely (Net) 10 Much more likely 4 Somewhat more likely 6 Less likely (Net) 16 Somewhat less likely 8 Much less likely 8 Will not play a role 72 Don’t know 2

Q32. As you may know, local and federal prosecutors are investigating whether city contracts were awarded for political contributions to James Hahn's campaign. Hahn denies the allegations. Will that play any role in whether you will vote for Hahn for mayor, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for Hahn because of these allegations, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 8 9 6 5 12 16 5 6 9 12 Much more likely 4 5 3 2 7 9 2 4 3 8 Somewhat more likely 4 4 4 3 5 8 3 2 6 5 Less likely (Net) 37 37 37 43 26 34 37 44 41 19 Somewhat less likely 15 18 11 19 10 12 18 18 15 9 Much less likely 22 19 26 24 15 21 19 26 25 10 Will not play a role 49 48 51 49 51 43 56 45 44 60 Don’t know 6 6 6 3 11 7 2 5 6 9

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 16 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q33. On another subject, have you seen or heard any political advertisements for any of the candidates running for mayor of the city of Los Angeles, or did you receive any mailers from a candidate, or not? (IF YES) Whose political ads or mailers have you seen or received? (UP TO FOUR REPLIES ACCEPTED)

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Seen/received ads (Net) 71 70 76 77 62 65 71 77 64 68 Richard Alarcon 18 18 13 18 13 18 17 21 16 15 James Hahn 37 38 40 42 33 29 38 39 36 36 Bob Hertzberg 32 30 38 43 13 14 39 40 27 13 Bernard C. Parks 10 11 10 8 23 7 8 8 4 24 Antonio R. Villaraigosa 38 42 29 37 31 44 44 34 41 39 All 5 candidates 11 8 18 14 7 5 14 15 4 6 Haven’t seen/heard 21 23 16 15 29 27 19 17 26 25 Don’t know 8 7 8 8 9 8 10 6 10 7

Q34. Regardless of whether you've seen or heard any political ads or received any mailers, do political ads on television, the radio, or mailers you receive play any role in your decision to vote for a candidate, or not? (IF YES) Are you much more likely to vote for a candidate because of the campaign ads or mailers, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely or much less likely?

LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU More likely (Net) 23 24 21 23 24 23 22 26 14 25 Much more likely 5 6 6 4 7 7 6 5 3 7 Somewhat more likely 17 18 15 19 17 16 16 21 11 18 Less likely (Net) 9 8 10 10 9 6 11 9 8 10 Somewhat less likely 6 6 3 5 6 3 7 4 5 8 Much less likely 4 2 7 5 3 2 4 5 3 2 Will not play a role 62 62 63 61 59 68 61 61 71 55 Don’t know 6 6 6 6 8 3 6 4 7 10

Q35. Do you approve or disapprove of the way William J. Bratton is handling his job as chief of police of Los Angeles? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Approve (Net) 63 74 73 80 84 49 67 75 82 73 55 Approve strongly 27 36 36 44 45 20 27 40 39 33 30 Approve somewhat 36 37 37 36 39 29 40 35 42 41 25 Disapprove (Net) 20 16 16 11 7 37 22 15 9 16 32 Disapprove somewhat 11 10 10 8 5 19 11 11 7 6 17 Disapprove strongly 9 7 7 3 2 18 11 4 2 9 15 Don’t know 17 10 11 9 9 14 11 10 9 11 13

-Q35 Continued on the next page.

Trend for Q35

Study/Question No. 515/Q35 Date 02/05 RV Approve (Net) 65 Approve strongly 28 Approve somewhat 37 Disapprove (Net) 15 Disapprove somewhat 9 Disapprove strongly 6 Don’t know 20

Q36. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Los Angeles Police Department is handling its job? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Approve (Net) 59 66 61 80 77 40 57 72 74 63 47 Approve strongly 21 26 19 45 31 13 22 22 36 19 16 Approve somewhat 38 40 42 35 45 27 35 50 38 44 31 Disapprove (Net) 34 28 33 14 18 55 37 23 19 31 50 Disapprove somewhat 17 14 16 9 14 18 15 13 13 14 19 Disapprove strongly 17 14 16 5 4 37 22 10 6 17 30 Don’t know 7 6 6 6 5 5 6 5 7 6 3

Trend for Q36

Among all adults:

Study/Question No. 469/Q9 376/Q38 362/Q22 300/Q25 Date 03/02 06/96 06/95 10/92 ALL ALL ALL ALL Approve (Net) 63 56 66 45 Approve strongly 20 22 19 14 Approve somewhat 43 34 47 31 Disapprove (Net) 25 38 26 48 Disapprove somewhat 16 20 15 25 Disapprove strongly 9181123 Don’t know 12 6 8 7

-Q36 Continued on the next page.

Among all adults:

279/Q31 249/Q11 05/92 04/91 ALL ALL Approve (Net) 43 41 Approve strongly 18 15 Approve somewhat 25 26 Disapprove (Net) 53 52 Disapprove somewhat 19 21 Disapprove strongly 35 31 Don’t know 4 7

Among Registered Voters:

Study/Question No. 515/Q36 469/Q9 376/Q38 362/Q22 300/Q25 Date 02/05 03/02 06/96 06/95 10/92 RV RV RV RV RV Approve (Net) 68 64 58 70 46 Approve strongly 27 19 19 20 14 Approve somewhat 41 45 39 50 33 Disapprove (Net) 26 27 35 23 45 Disapprove somewhat 14 16 21 16 23 Disapprove strongly 12 11 14 8 22 Don’t know 6 9 7 7 9

279/Q31 249/Q11 05/92 04/91 RV RV Approve (Net) 41 41 Approve strongly 20 16 Approve somewhat 22 24 Disapprove (Net) 55 52 Disapprove somewhat 17 22 Disapprove strongly 38 31 Don’t know 4 7

Q37. Generally speaking, do you think the Los Angeles Police Department is tougher on blacks, or tougher on Latinos, or tougher on Asians, or tougher on whites, or do you think the police treat all groups the same way?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Blacks 46 46 57 18 42 74 37 51 36 46 63 Latinos 8 7 8 3 2 1 20 6 7 12 4 All the same 32 34 24 62 41 14 33 30 43 31 22 Don’t know 14 13 11 17 15 11 10 13 14 11 11

-Q37 continued on the next page.

Trend for Q37*

*For comparison: In 1991 this question was asked three different ways:

Do you think the Los Angeles Police Department is tougher on blacks, or tougher on whites, or do you think the police treat blacks and whites the same way?

Study/Question No. 245/Q19 Date 03/91 ALL Blacks 63 Same way 27 Whites 1 Don’t know 9

Do you think the Los Angeles Police Department is tougher on Latinos, or tougher on whites, or do you think the police treat Latinos and whites the same way?

Study/Question No. 245/Q20 Date 03/91 ALL Latinos 61 Same way 25 Whites 2 Don’t know 12

Do you think the Los Angeles Police Department is tougher on Latinos, or tougher on blacks, or do you think the police treat Latinos and blacks the same way?

Study/Question No. 245/Q21 Date 03/91 ALL Latinos 3 Same way 68 Blacks 15 Don’t know 14

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 20 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q38. Do you think incidents of police brutality involving the Los Angeles police department are very common, or fairly common, or fairly uncommon or very uncommon?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Common (Net) 52 49 57 30 35 77 63 43 38 58 70 Very common 21 20 26 7 9 51 29 16 12 21 42 Fairly common 31 29 31 23 26 26 34 27 26 37 28 Uncommon (Net) 42 46 39 64 60 17 33 51 59 36 25 Fairly uncommon 30 33 30 39 45 11 19 39 43 24 16 Very uncommon 12 13 9 25 15 7 13 11 16 12 9 Don’t know 6 5 4 6 5 6 4 6 3 6 5

Trend for Q38

300/Q30 254/Q21 10/92 07/91 ALL RV ALL RV Common (Net) 65 64 63 62 Very common 26 24 26 23 Fairly common 39 39 38 39 Uncommon (Net) 31 32 30 30 Fairly uncommon 25 27 22 23 Very uncommon 6 5 7 7 Don’t know 4 4 7 8

Q39. Have you heard or read anything about a Los Angeles police officer fatally shooting Devin Brown, a thirteen year old African-American, who the police were pursuing after he ran a red light? (IF YES) Have you heard or read a lot about it, some or a little?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Heard/read (Net) 95 98 99 97 99 99 96 99 100 97 98 Heard/read a lot 55 66 66 67 64 72 66 65 67 62 68 Heard/read some 27 23 24 18 25 17 19 25 22 24 22 Heard/read a little 13 10 9 12 10 10 11 9 11 11 8 Not heard/read (Net) 4 1 – 1 – – 3 – – 1 1 Don’t know 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 – 2 1

Q40. Do you approve or disapprove of the way James Hahn is handling the police shooting of Devin Brown? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Approve (Net) 36 41 41 38 42 36 40 52 38 33 46 Approve strongly 12 16 17 14 16 19 14 20 15 11 19 Approve somewhat 23 25 24 24 26 17 26 32 23 22 27 Disapprove (Net) 29 34 32 36 28 40 42 23 35 41 31 Disapprove somewhat 11 12 11 11 9 13 14 13 10 14 11 Disapprove strongly 19 22 21 25 19 27 28 9 25 27 20 Don’t know 35 25 27 26 30 24 18 25 27 26 23

© Los Angeles Times 2005. All rights reserved. page 21 Los Angeles Times LA City Poll/February 2005 Q41. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Police Chief William Bratton is handling the police shooting of Devin Brown? (IF APPROVE OR DISAPPROVE) Do you (approve/disapprove) strongly or (approve/disapprove) somewhat?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Approve (Net) 48 59 57 66 68 40 50 72 63 50 49 Approve strongly 19 26 25 29 33 17 18 33 27 17 28 Approve somewhat 29 33 32 36 36 23 32 38 36 33 21 Disapprove (Net) 27 28 29 23 19 45 36 20 24 31 39 Disapprove somewhat 13 13 14 13 12 11 12 17 11 12 14 Disapprove strongly 15 15 15 11 7 34 24 3 13 19 25 Don’t know 25 13 14 11 13 15 14 8 13 19 12

Q42. Based on what you have heard or read, do you think the police would have handled the situation differently if Devin Brown had been a white teenager driving in a middle-class neighborhood, or would it have been handled the same way?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Handle differently 53 49 57 21 37 77 60 44 37 60 65 Handle same way 34 38 31 61 48 13 30 36 50 29 28 Don’t know 13 13 12 18 15 10 10 20 13 11 7

Q43. Based on what you have heard or read, do you think the police officers in this situation overreacted or did they react in a reasonable way?

RV LV DEM REP WHT BLK LAT WES SFV CEN SOU Overreacted 56 56 65 26 46 83 60 57 43 62 73 Acted reasonably 31 34 25 59 40 11 35 26 47 27 21 Don’t know 13 10 10 15 14 6 5 17 10 11 6

This Los Angeles Times poll is the 516th in a series of opinion studies designed to measure public attitudes on a number of critical issues. This particular survey focuses on the upcoming March mayoral primary in the city of Los Angeles and the fatal shooting of an African-American teenager by a Los Angeles police officer.

The sampling frame for this survey is all telephone residences in the city of Los Angeles. Two thousand five hundred and twenty-five men and women 18 years of age or older were contacted by telephone February 21-27, 2005. This includes 1,636 registered voters of which 710 were deemed likely to vote in the March primary. A screening process that included questions on intention to vote, certainty of vote, whether respondent is a first time voter, interest in the campaign, and voting history, including absentee voting, determined likely voters. Additional African-American and Latino voters were contacted in separate random samples to allow more accurate analysis of their subgroups. Although Asian voters were interviewed and are included as part of the overall results in this poll, they are too small a subgroup of the sample to be separately reported.

Results are adjusted to conform to census figures on characteristics such as sex, ethnicity, age, education, city region and party registration from the Secretary of State. Telephone numbers were generated from a computer list that includes all telephone exchanges in the city. Random-digit dialing techniques were used to ensure that both listed and unlisted residences had an opportunity to be contacted. Multiple attempts were made to contact each number. Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish. Interviewing Service of America, Van Nuys, conducted interviews in the black and Latino supplemental samples.

Readers are reminded that, since survey research normally questions only a small proportion of the population, one must allow a certain margin for error. The margin of sampling error for registered voters is plus or minus 3 percentage points and for likely voters, it is 4 points. For certain other subgroups, the error margin is somewhat higher.

Surveys of this kind are sometimes subject to different kinds of inaccuracies for which precise estimates cannot be calculated and which may, in some cases, be even larger than the effects associated with sampling procedures. For example, findings may be influenced by events, which take place while the survey is in the field and, of course, events occurring since the time the interviews were conducted could have changed the opinions reported here.

Undetected flaws in the way the sampling and interviewing procedure were carried out could have a significant effect on the findings. Changing the wording of questions and the sequence in which they are asked can produce different results. Sometimes questions are inadvertently biased or misleading. People who responded to the survey may not necessarily replicate the views of those who refused to be interviewed or who could not be found at home during the time the survey was conducted. Moreover, while every precaution has been taken to make these findings completely accurate, other errors may have resulted from the various practical difficulties associated with taking any survey of public opinion.

Susan Pinkus directs the Los Angeles Times Poll under the general supervision of Dean Baquet, editor. Jill Darling Richardson is the associate director, Roger Richardson is the field director, Claudia Vaughn is the data management supervisor and Farnaz Calafi is the publications coordinator.

Further information regarding this study is available by writing to the Los Angeles Times Poll, 202 West 1st Street, Los Angeles, California 90012, or by calling (213) 237-2027 or by emailing [email protected]. In addition, poll data can now be found on the World Wide Web. Visit us at http://www.latimes.com/timespoll.

This report conforms to the standards of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls and the American Association for Public Opinion Research.