This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu

TO: Senator Dole FR: Kerry

RE: Event March 13, 1994 Fort Lauderdale,

*Event is a reception for 75-100 people in a private home. They're looking for a few minutes of informal remarks.

*A former Mayor of Fort Lauderdale, Shaw was first elected to Congress in 1980. Shaw had a tough race in a newly-reapportioned district in 1992, spending over $1 million, and eventually winning with 52%-37%. (11% was divided among four other candidates) *Shaw spent his first eight years in Congress on the Judiciary Committee, and then transferred over to Ways and Means. He cast decisive votes in Committee for the Catastrophic Health Care program, but quickly came out for repeal in 1989.

*During the ABC child care bill, he joined with Congressman Stenholm to sponsor the alternative based on the theory that parents, rather than government bureaucrats, can make best decisions on child care. The alternative failed, but bill sponsors had to move in their direction to get a bill passed.

*Shaw's staff said that he is now focusing his attention on welfare reform, where he has introduced a bill to take most people off welfare after two years, and require them to work for continued benefits.

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March 10, 1994

MEMORANDUM TO THE LEADER FROM: SUZANNE HELLMANN RE: FLORIDA

FILING DEADLINE: May 13 PRIMARY: September 8

SENATE RACE

(See NRSC briefing for political update)

Latest polling conducted 2/4-7 surveyed 816 registered voters: (Ft. Lauderdale SUN-SENTINEL)

FAV/UNFAV ID MACK RE-ELECT Mack 57% / 11% 95% re-elect 51% Freedman 16 / 1 40 consider other 32 Rodham s I 1 39 replace 12 Clinton 44 / 36

HYPOTHETICAL GENERAL ELECTION MATCHUPS Mack 54% Mack 56% Freedman 19% Rodham 16%

GUBERNATORIAL RACE o Gov. Chiles continues to show signs of vulnerability. His re- elect numbers are under 30 percent. o Insurance Commissioner and former State Commerce Secretary lead the field. o Most political analysts believe a Republican will takeover the governorship.

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REP. CLAY SHAW o The 1 92 redistricting resulted in a more difficult race for Shaw and one of the most competitive in the country. o One Republican has filed so far -- a Perot supporter. o Shaw's district is pro-choice, pro-gun control, has the oldest median age in the country (47-48) making senior citizens issues of great concern, strongly Jewish, with a strong Christian fundamentalist movement in Briar County.

ISSUES OF CONCERN TO FL 22ND DISTRICT 1) Rep. Shaw is very concerned about environmental issues: o Preserving the o Protecting the Florida Bay (believed to be runoff from sugar growers -- issue to avoid)

2) Drug interdiction is a very serious issue for Clay Shaw. He favors allowing the military to get involved. 3) Immigration is getting out of control -- even the very liberal Herald endorsed the use of U.S. military intervention for peacekeeping and rebuilding the country (see attached editorial)

4) Gun control is popular in the 22nd district - especially assault weapons.

5) Flood insurance and erosion zones -- Rep. Shaw opposes the Kennedy-Kerry bill because it will: o Kill the tax base o Prevents development

6) Rep. Shaw is very involved in the welfare reform movement in the House with 2-3 other members.

Page 3 of 20 MAR-09-1994 12:33 FROM TO This documentCONG is from. theSHAW collections D.C. at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas 94085117 P.02/ 04 http://dolearchives.ku.edu

1\i\ 1 ~ m J t-1 e.i A v.O 60 1THZ1/h_ Karch 9. l l I\/ ~ ie111 EdUion: Fl&U. S6ction: lU>t'?OlUAL \ford Count: 994 Paga: 24A THC:::~e. tm: ~ere will not 'be a peacef\11 deptmda political set~lemnt: on Jcan•h· r~mK! A.rlstide'• in. 1£ the deal 11&da b~t.lly i:c~ Q:> the pi;-a.1de;acy. clear 'by 'Cha ~ry's 'th&~ ha8 been O\lvalierist:•, ?'Uling coalition of llilica:ry and marci.roua police ?:hug•. ws~ra, Vb.at courae of &Ct:.l.ou t• left, Ehen. £rn -· the Vntcaa States, Franc•, t:h4 fo~ •friends Qf Haiti• democrao1ea7 Cana4- 1 and VeDQ1.1.8la •• Jus~ one: MiUtuy aee.t.ou and. th9 he.Uphere•s ouate-t• by a DUldnation&l £o~c;e and rutor• Mr. Arl.stict. a.a pres1deat. tg 0"5t tllt'I All oQ\e.c opt:ious have R.obe~t n-a.pot"at:ad, on• by Malval' s la.at act as one, !be lut Olltion, Idllftd pd.JM aiulster, wu to revive agreeaac:nt, B• c.riltd mightily ~he Covercor::1 111inbter, but failed. llov h$ but neti hh Joviao patie1i0e 1.s act!ag pr!.M has been aorely ttied. Oftr the weekend. Mr. probl•• Malval blutell Mr. Aria~ide ~at, Kr. Malva! .u.gaaned, for hnin& ~ ••Vt reHouable preelUdes Mr. Arisl:ida's comproaiaes to etd. the accept1r.g dHa4£ul st&~ quo in Haid. The Coverao~• blan4 &p8118nt, aipd in J\U.y in October. Tb•1!.'• ••n 1 began to dtelntegrata Ariatida'• ld.a ~-- 1n Forc·au-l'r1=a retum. Sin¢• t:heil, -preveueecl Kr. th• Port•&U•Pri'IM:• military leader Lt.. Gen. 11alic• cbl.ef, bo\ll Codrq aM. 1t fmo1"\ that KLo1'.:L !'r~ub, c

Ba1t1 11 wreecbadl.y poor •SMI •ic'k. It clay. The tmbargo p:gws poorer, 11.car, by &llci die c:oaibwtiou of 'llilltaty cha lldaanago.ut haw ex.acerbated. nlt, corruption, aiad. mal.rmti-1t1on, a cds1* in vh.1d1 ~c and various epidellic• alt deaths, &re ri•ini. lt is thua cllfficlil.c,

Page 4 of 20 MAR-09-1994 94085117 P. 03/ 04 12: 33 ThisFROM document COMG is from. SH theAW collections D. C. at the Dole Archives,TO University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu 03/09/ 94 09:43 li!0 0 2

March 9 , 1994 9:l~aia Pago 2

lln4 ~ear~les&; ~o C1ghte'C •anctioTIS that &lreaty are making life ucbearablt f'or Hatti's poor. Mr. Arhdc.te' s most avid aupportera. !he United Ratil''l'l.S •1toad:y haa rightly 1l80e exc-i>tio:i=i.s for hlllMUlitaria:n aid to Bc.iti.

U llr. Arbtida d.oas not regain the presidency, cont:inue the country will ita fi:ee fall toward an ewr 11.0Ye frightful hell. Xe.fagees will coneim.Mt ~o neo t.llat. l1iferno. '!'he u. 8 . Coast Guard will c~ucinu.e to interdict their 'boats a'Jld. ;end them b4ek. MNDwhile 1 Kr. A~istide' s &dveraAYies ~ill E•ian int•rest in negotiat~ng a po1it1etl 8ettlement.

Yet r.har.e i• uoill.i.11.g lot1: to 1R:t;c.1t.1.ata vtt:tl 'Chis pack and of 11Urderers l1al'•. Th• only op~iou left to the hemisphere's democracies 1s to v1ew Haiti a5 a special caso. I~'o Anlllogo-u.a to Gxcmada, wheu a U.S.·led h0111apber1c force O\\S~ed tha.t island's Cube de fact;Q occupiers.

As "!th Crenade, Ra.iti requires first • 111iUtary int•tv•ntion to rentrti th• CO\mCl"Y to it& rightf\sl, alect•d. geve~nt. 'l.1\en i4' ae.W. .. carefully pl.umeci, anustain.4 peacekeeping .and rebuilding effort. Such 4 step should af ccu.rse bave Mr. Aristida'~ unaabigt.U'.ll1• bl9~~ing.

Th• 11Ulti1ate~a1 force would need to be well equipped, under command, coherent and f.aves-ced with the :a.ithor1ty -- a:nd fire-pow•r - - to take any necesliUQ;}' offenaive act1ou a&a1ns~ Haiti's thu.c•. some 1oldier1 tDP-Vttably wo~d 41.e in the operation. Ibat gria fact can be juati£ied only lf the troops have a tharply defined taak. and Che resources with which to carey it Notw1chs~ng the t~ouble.d b.isto~ 0£ Ame~ica's occup&tLon aarl1oi= of Haiti in this century, 11.S. troop& ovght to lead the •ul.tUateral opot'&tion. ~bought Tb&e ~a1ses underatand4.ble hiseortc aad cultural fe~rs, both R&~t1, ia ln Aae~ic•, llllCS ei..ewhs~• in tna hemiaphere. But Aaerica's armed forces, seeot1d to uone in the wurlcl , are DO longn· the Hgregated, l::i!gotGd nutfit: e];i.,t; .,;o.Ued. ov•r lk1ti 60 )'ean ago . In Haiti., tlw mult.iftaeionol. em~bgen~·i IU.Hicm woul4 be i:;o de!e&t and dham Geural C.dru'a and~. Fra-n.coh's 11811. Then the liberatitl6 nations jolutl7 could ask f&r U.N. pe•~ekccpcra.

Tho•e 1)e&c.ekeepe?."a mi~ht h.av~ ~'° reaain i.t\ ~iti fo• a £- ycara · Nation bu1lcli:ng 1• -not lite a cofllMtido re•~ue operation. Thoae forces keep would. the peac• while S'Peci.a.Uata in ~Ti. c-ulturo , nutxition, c;ons~otion a.ncl other , upects ()f 'D4tion building helped PreaS.dent Aritl;ida to re"build his ccnmtxy. * Hd t1 is not .a repli~a. of S~lia.. Yes. both couutriea ua.J..-rule'1 are 11oor and by &rmBd gangs. &ut unlike Somalia's warlcrd.s, Hatti's deposed pred.~nt •&• elact.'1 by 67 percent of the votersi. Ui\til his Ariatidc heac:i..¢ overthi:aw. Kr. a agvera1.gn centt&l gO'V'•rm.nt. 'Ibat has not exiaUd in Somalia since ~he daY• of Siad Sarre'e oictatorship. N= can Somali xefugeea • as l:l&i tUli• daily do, brave the high aaas to rP.Arh l'lorida' • •bo-J:g•. lfu.:, tirMLll', be.I AlllQd.ca' & president pledged ht.a 1upport to a S0111.ali head of star;e as he ba.s to Ml" . At:i.st:ide. In short, tbe:ra D() h r.&GOTI why a mili~ 1m:ursiou 1na> Hait:i should involve any of tho erra'tic t;u.rtl.9 th&t led to cliaaster tu St>llllllia.

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Uaiti 1• ~oward beading a wuraeniu.g &erie• of disasterg un18aa i~s friena.s faca facts ine•~apable. nov Diplomacy won't work. The contilll.W.~ b~tali.ztng of Haiti's people, anc:l their death fx-G11l disaase and aa1uu.trit1on, Cannt>t be tol~rata6 any loti&ex .

~. a~!# ~at a•are what wa are urging bas liti;le. if any, polid~a1. suppo:rt in the CUnton admixd.st.atton. No utter. Its unpopul.a:rity doei not t=h• n••4 &olu~1on •&k• for th!.• any leas 1mper4ttve, att.y leas hum.119 , any teH 111or.al. To the coctr.ry. J'&ilure to rescue Haiti not U.Oral. would be Inhumane if

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A Mason-Dixon, conducted 2/4-7, surveyed 816 registered voters; margin of error+/- 3.5%. GOP subsample: 280 RVs; +/- 6%. Tested: Gov. (D), Insurance Commis. Tom Gallagher (R), Sen. Pres. (R), ex-FL Commerce Sec. · Jeb Bush, Sec/State Jim Smith (R), pro-life activist Ken Connor (R). Not tested: Term limits activist: Jack Gargan (I). CHILES JOB: 2/4-7 10/93 2/93 CHILES RE-ELECT 2/4-7 10/93 Excellent 6% 4% 3% Re-elect 26% 26% Pretty good 33 34 26 Consider another 31 38 Only fair 33 43 36 Vote to replace 37 32 Poor 28 19 35 , AMONG GOP PRIMARY VOTERS W/O GOP PRIMARY ALL MEN WOM GALLAGHER FAV/UNFAV ID Bush 34% 33%' 35% 40% 41%/17% 93% Gallagher 27 28 26 48 / 1 87 Smith 10 12 8 17 24 I 6 69 Crenshaw 6 8 4 16 19 / 3 46 Connor 1 1 1 1 1 I 5 38 Undec. 22 18 26 26 FULL SAMPLE GENERAL ELECTION MATCH-UPS FAV/UNFAV ID Chiles 42% Chiles 40% Chiles 37%/ 39% 99% Bush 38 Gallagher 33 Bush 32 / 25 90 Gallagher 41 / io 82 Chiles 42% Chiles 43% Smith 23 / 11 62 Crenshaw 27 Smith 29 Crenshaw 16 / 6 51

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MEMORANDUM

TO: Senators Dole and Simpson

FR: f1nt Doman, NRSC

RE: Briefing on political situation in Florida

DA: March 1, 1994

Senator Mack's poll numbers arc so strong that the DSCC and Florida Democrat party have all but officially announced that this will not be a priority race in 1994. The Tampa Tribune recently characterized Macie "as a tank in a field ofVolkswagens."

In addition to his own strong political position, Senator Mack has several factors which should help his re-election bid. First, Florida continues to trend Republican. Indeed, in the past two cycles, GOP strength has increased dramatically in the state legislature (we are tied in the state senate, after being down 30-10 just four years ago). Second, the negative reaction to Democrat Lawton Chiles' tenure as governor has led to a political environment that should make the climate very favorable for the '94 elections, including Senator Mack's. A February '93 poll showed that only 17% of the voters would choose to re-elect Chiles. 43% would consider another candidate, and 36% said they would replace him.

Mack's most likely Democratic challenger will be Hillary Clinton's younger brother . Rodham recently resigned his position as a Dade County (Miami) attorney in the Public Defender's office. Although nottaken too seriously, Rodharn's campaign will have national attention (see attached Washington Post article). This high visibility as well as the Clinton's connections will give him some fundraising ability. However, signals from the White House indicate a worry that the First Lady's brother could tum out to be a joke as a candidate and could embarrass the White House.

DEMOCRATS: Hugh Rodham, public defender Ellis Rubin, lawyer

LATEST POLLING INFORMATION: Mason-Dixon 10/93 Job Performance Re-Elect NameLD. Ex/Good 65% Re-Elect 57% Favorable 58% Fair/Poor 31% Con. Another 27% Unfavorable 15% Replace 13% Namel.D. 95% Ballot Mack 55% Rodham 12%

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ELECI10N INFORMATION: Candidate Raised 12/93 Spent 12/93 PAC$ COH 12/93 Debt Mack $2,394,059 $788,733 $487,844 $2,019,189 $0

Incumbent File Date Primary Date Coord. Limit Mack May 13 Sept. 6 $1,248,172

Page 9 of 20 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu First Lady's Brother To Announce Senate Candidacy In Florida EDS: Will be topped after 8 a.m. news conference d424jmpswkt TALLAHASSEE. Fla. (AP) - Hugh Rodham said he's proud to be the first lady's brother, but he does not want that to be the focus of his Democratic bid for a U.S. Senate seat. While the Republicans are expected to turn the race into a referendum on President Clinton's policies, Rodham said Monday, "I am Hillary's brother and I'm proud of that fact, but this candidacy is about me." Rodham will officially launch his campaign to unseat U.S. Sen. Connie Mack today in Tallahassee before traveling to Tampa and Miami, said Michael Copperthite. Rodham's campaign manager. Crime is one of Rodham's top priorities, he said Monday. But Rodham says he's also ready for lots of queries about his White House connection. "I can't be worried about that." Rodham told CNN talk show host Larry King. "I think the issues are much more important." Asked what his sister thought about his plans, Rodham responded, "She's cautiously optimistic." As for President Clinton's opinion: "He said it's not a horrible idea." Rodham quit his job as an assistant Dade County public defender on ~1onday. Rodham criticizes ~ack for his opposition to the president's health care and budget plans. Mack says he simply follows the Republican line. The Cape Coral Republican has raised at least $2.1 million and a recent ~ason-Dixon poll ~hawed Mack winning 56 percent of ~he vote in a hypothetical race against Rodham, who pulled 16 percent behind ''undeciclecl" at ~S percent. The senator defeated Lt. Gov. Buddy MacKay in 1988 by the smallest margin in a l'.S. Senatt' race in the state. He ha~ ~aid he won't speak about Rodham's candidacy until after the Democratic primary. State GOP chairman Tom Slade has said the race \\ill be turned into a refert::ndum on the president's policies. That·; what well-known Miami attorney Ellis Rubin said ~on

Page 10 of 20 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu Sen. Brother-In-Law? Hugh Rodham Prepares Senate Bid in Florida

MIAMI. Feb. 18-Hillary Rod- ham Clinton's huge little brother Hugh, plotting a nm for U.S. Sen.ate here, is late to work. The problem: his 1977 maroon Cadillac i8 on fire ~ddict outS~ his one bedroom apartment. and gently pats him. lt'a not t!'J;actly like "Literally smoking," Rodham kissing a baby, but it'u start. said. :·· The 43-year-old dvil eervant. former second-" "Pretty dramatic," his campaign ,tring quarterback and former Peace Corps vol- Jlllleer maaager adds. bas little organization. acant support and And so the ~ race, perhaps the Jess money. What he has is a belief in bim- mo&t quixotic of the oomiog and_ political there is a lot~~ - be jOlces), and an &e880n, is about to begin-not with sister who is F"arst Lady a bang, but with and a brother-tat· a CHECK ENGINE 'lfbo is president of. the . . warning light. . Rodham is challenging Made, W,h(I ts aee2l by Rodham hu never held elective ~ Democratic office, baa and ·Republican leaden in the never run I campaign, ht.ate as well-regarded, weU-funded ha never evem bedl very politi· aod-extreme- cal..:.....mttil ir difficult to beat. Iadced. a gr0up of renegade 's election as Democrats. president, according indiadin& a Conner lieutenant gav- to his close ~or, have even ~nds. But be ~ quitting explored formioa a group to his job at }support Mack. . the end t>l the month and but au : "'Connie is just going said be plans to announce his tall- to kW him," said Mac Sti- didacy on March 1 to P.nnvich. a lawyer-lobbyist and Republican atrat- challenge Sen. egist . Connie Mack (R-Fla.). in Tallahassee. "'I'd like to put 1101DC pr~ found Republican It is one of those contests that ls spin on it, but the fact is it'1 almost indcvant. lt'a oot going to happen." ntote than the sum of its parts. Fa- Rodham'a is not exactly a household name milial and poJitical Florida, in loYalties and vcn· nor even in Miami. where he ha$ li"ved for dettag are as intertwined as the re- the past 14 years, working•• latioMhip a public deCeuder and betweeo an ovenctUev- improving his ROif pme. Until ing big bis Cuban Amer.ican sister and her fonner P:k wife. attorney Maria Victoria brocher, who once dreamed Arias, recently not of bought him a new set. ht played with 28-Jear-old entering the Senate but of being a clubs. college football coach. Most voten have never A C~ aew lS waiting beard of bim. and of at the those who have-some AAd, hopeful courtroom where 40 percent-most aren't Rod- sure what they think. ham toils his last days as in assist· ant public R.odham oooc:cdes the family tics defender uphokliDg the P-e will probably rights of his client&. a small army hiru access to moqey and media that his ol league.s ool- dissembling crack cocaine abuseB and clients in the Drug Court would nev- who pass through Dade County'5 er be able to t.ap into. But Drug Court. Rod!wn i1 defensive about his sibling re- But another lationship. email problem: the and ooe gets the feeling it ia not the TV camera ia rolling. but there isn't first tiJne. much for Rodham to do, liO he All throqb hia life from his authoritarian fa- places one of his .ueat bii beefy ther, to achool in suburban CbicaRQ, hands on to law :aehool the back of a skinny you111 in Arkansas. and now, perchance. to Washington, -Rodham has. followed aister Hillary. "He's alwaya bad bill silttt dominant in his tife,• &aid his best friend, Chicago physiciall John Holden, who played hiah school football aJon1-

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his bid with his sister and brother-in-law. "They're probably bubbling with ideas.. be said, "but 1 didn't want to tA1k about it with them." Indeed, White House sources aay the Clintons are tl'}'ing not to get too inTOived-at the beginning. least at Democratic Party · leaders, though, are at ocld8, wondering whether a Rod· ham bid will help or hmt the party and the ad- ministration. . For the past five years. Rodlwn hl.l worked . Judse Stanley in Goldatein'a Drug Court. a novel experiment started by Attome)· General Janet Reoo during her yean as Dade County tomey. state at· The court is among the tno5t chaotic deeply human and in the nation. The idea behind it, which Rodham elldones, is to get drug into .cidic:ta treatment rather than county jaiL that It is a job requires Infinite patience, and hope. -what can l tell you? He's a super guy. !joke wjth him. I say, 'Mr. Rodham. will you please lilt down? I can't see the courtroom:" wd. Goldstein But more teriously, Goldstein &aid: .. He's load trial a lawyer. A man of his word. JI be says he's going to do something, he doe.s it. He's lev• cL He"111 got ideas. Good ideu. I think Soina Rodham is to win. He'' penonablc. He's not anybody. He's above aide Rod.ham. who ~s just like the voters, and I think stu quarterback then and they're going later a backup at Penn State. to eat it up." But ·even some "'But he's RODe beyond that. of his rood friends, as well as beyond Hillary: the White House Holden uid. "'He'a come into bis own." and Democntic leadership in "'I am Washington, are waiting to sec my own man: Hugh Rodb:im said durlna how he does, an hour-Jona whcthct he flames out or wiM over conversation in the halls of voters with Dade County Metro-Justice the Illa everyman approach. Building. •Just bc- •ffc's a.~ 1 am related a big friendly guy who likes football. to my sister doem"t ~adc guy. A fan me from runniq A nice guy. But its hard for me to imagine for office: makin1 him But such a the stretch to the ," hiah office? aaid -it takes &OmC a collugue in the poblic dcfeoder'' chutzpah to take family ties and asked office who run for the U.S. that his name not be uaed. •He'd Senate: said Mitch Bailiwol. llheriff be an ideal Mack'a campajp for Alachua County" in run! florida. manager. Rodbam Rodham said he bas says he an handle such criticism. not conaidcred any other hat good He nces, only the Senate. ideas, be argues, about h~Jth Rod.ham is running, he North care. the said, because he American Free Trade Agreement, does not like Mack's mnscrva- environment, the tivc Republicanism. criminal justice, "'tbt: stuff including Mack's kncc-;eric care people reaction to the Ointoo about.• health plan. •As Rodham said he a public defender." Rodham said, has not discussed in any detail UtlCd •1 am to losing. Losing doesn't sc:Mc me."

Page 12 of 20 SENT BY:xerox TelecopierThis 7020document 2-28-94is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas BOB DOLE ;# '. http://dolearchives.ku.edu

FLORIDA

Statu1 of Incumbent: Gov. Chiles (D) i11 eli8tble to seek n:ele1.:tion Filina Date: May 22 Primary Election: SEPT. 6 PRIMARY Ocr. 4 RUN·OFF DECLARED CANDIDATES*

POTENI'lAL CANDIDATES ,&llPuBLICA.."ll.l'S DEMOCRATS Jeb Bush, son of former President Bush"' L&VYton Chiles, incumbent Ken Conner, atty, pro-life a.ctvst• Robert Butterworth. Attorney General

Ander Crenshaw1 St. Sen. Pres. Pro-Tern• , Commissioner ofEducation Jim Smith. Secy of State"' Bob Crawfurd, State Agri, Comm. Tom Gallagher, State Insur. Conun. Ron Silver, State Sen. , fonner Congressman

lNDEPENPEfil Jack Gar~ Tenn - Limit Activist

Early Line Gov Lawton Chiles rec~tly announced that he wiJl seek re-election despite a recent non- partisan statewide poll showing more voters, including Democrats, believe he should retire rather than try for a seCOAd term. Asking Democrats who they would rather vote for if Chiles were to reitre, 23% chose Lt. Gov. Buddy MacKay, 18 % picked state Atty. Gnr. , 13 % went for fonner Rep. Bill Nelson, 7% picked frmr Orlando Mayor Bill Frederick and 39% were undecided.

The Republican candidates have pledged a clean primary, but it -will doubtless be a tough promise to keep. In an October poll Tom GalJagher took first place with 27%, Jeb Bush came in second with 19%, Jim Smith placed third with 10%, Ander Crenshaw took 4%, Ken Conner took 1%, and 3 9% were undeoided. Gallagher is leas than certain to ~ since he is burdened with the insurance problerna stemming from Hurican Andrew. In a trial heat without Gallagher, .Bush placed first with 24%, Smith took second ...vith 15%, Crenshaw garnered 7%, Connor took l %. and 53% were undecided, indicating that the GOP nomination is competitive and very much up for grabs. Political!M:edia Research Oct. 93 Re-elect Chiles Perfonnance Chiles Re-Elect 26% Excellent 4% Consider other 38 Good 34% Replac~ 32 Fair 43% Poor 10%

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Gnrl Eleotion Match up Chiles 42% Chiles 4S Chiles 50 Chiles 46 Oalht¥her 3 2 Smith 2~ Connor 16 Bush 31

Chiles 45 Crenshaw 23

Other '94 ltate-wide offices US Sen. Sec. State Lt. Gov. Atty. Gen. Treasurer Comptroller

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:\

Florida (D) Connie Mack (R) 1. (D) 2. (D) 3. (D) 4. (R) 5. Karen L. Thurman (D) 6. (R) 7. John L. Mica (R) 8. Bill McCollum (R) 9. (R) 10. C.W. (R) 11. Sam M. Gibbons (D) 12. Charles T. Canady (R) 13. Dan Miller (R) 14. Porter J. Goss (R) Oit:trict• 17-19. 21, 22 . 15. (D) Coo1tol Florido 16. Tom Lewis (R) 17. (D) 18. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) 19. Harry A. Johnston (D) 20. (D) 21. Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) 22. E. Clay Shaw Jr. (R) 23. Alcee L. Hastings (D)

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FLORIDA

Tom Slade Chairman

Present Chairman, Republican Party of Florida, elected - January 23, 1993 President, Dozier and Gay Paint Company, 1980 - Previous Florida House of Representatives, 1962 Florida State Senate, 1966 Minority Whip, Florida State Senate, 1967 - 1968 Republican Nominee, State Treasurer/Insurance Commis- sioner, 1970 Northeast Campaign Manager, Martinez for Governor, 1986 Northeast Florida Manager, Victory '88 Northeast Florida Manager, Martinez for Governor, 1990 Member, Tax and Budget Reform Commission, 1990 Past Chairman, Committee of 100 Past President, Florida L.P. Gas Association Board Member, Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce Chairman, Florida Victory '92 Personal Children: Four Education: Emory at Oxford; Southern Technical Institute

2199 Astor Street, #107 Orange Park, FL 32073

(904) 264-5287 (Orange Park home) (904) 942-2702 (Tallahassee home) (904) 222-7920 (GOP) (904) 681-0184 (f)

33 9/93

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FLORIDA

Chester Clem National Committeeman

Present National Committeeman, Florida, elected - January 13, 1990 Attorney at Law, 1963 - Previous Judge, Small Claims Court, Indian River County, 1962 - 1971 Assistant State Attorney, 1971 - 1972 Member, Florida House of Representatives, 1972 - 1976 Republican Caucus Leader, Florida House of Representatives, 1974-1976 County Chairman, Election Committee for President Nixon County Chairman, Election Committee for President Ford Indian River County State Committeeman, 1976 - Chairman, Indian River Republican Executive Committee, 1981 - 1984 10th Congressional District Vice Chairman, 1984 - 1988 Vice Chairman, Florida Republican Party, 1984 -1986, 1988 - 1990 Chairman, Platform Committee, Florida Republican Party, 1980 - 1992

RNC Activity Delegate, Republican National Convention, 1976, 1984, 1988, 1992 Member, Council of Legal Advisors, Republican National Convention, 1985 - 1990 Member, Site Selection Committee, Republican National Convention, 1992 Member, Committee on Call, Republican National Convention, 1992 (cont.)

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FLORIDA

Maryanne Morse National Committeewoman

Present National Committeewoman, Florida, elected - August 16, 1988 Clerk of the Circuit Court, Seminole County, 1989 -

Previous President, Seminole Young Republicans, 197 4 - 1975 Vice Chairman, Seminole County GOP Executive Committee, 1974 - 1980 Chairman, Seminole County GOP Executive Committee, 1980 Precinct Committeewoman, 1974 - 1982 Co-Chairman, Florida Young Republicans, 1975 - 1977 Seminole County State Committeewoman, 1979 - 1988 Secretary, Republican Party of Florida, 1980 - 1988 General Chairman, "Presidency II", Florida GOP Convention, 1987 President, Greater Seminole Chamber of Commerce Member, East Central Florida Regional Planning Council Project Review Committee Member, Citizens Advisory Committee, Seminole Expressway Authority

RNC Activity Alternate Delegate, Republican National Convention, 1976 Delegate, Republican National Convention, 1988, 1992 Member, RNC Rules Committee, 1990 - ; Recorder, 1993 - Member, RNC Budget Committee, 1993 -

(cont.)

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Voting Age Population Data

Total Population: 12,937,926 18 - 24: 1,215,657 ocaI Voting Age Population: 10,071,689 25 - 29: 1,052,106 of Total Population Voting Age: 77.8% 30 -49: 3,572,617 50 - 64: 1,861,878 Voting Age Population: 1,150,556 65+: 2,369,431 'onwide Rank: 5 Black Voting Age Population: 11.4% 17 Voting Age Population Distribution

1,181,454 12% 4 E3 18-24:

11.7% • 25-29: 5 D 30-49:

· Voting Age Population: 110,952 • 50-64: 'onwide Rank: 9 eAsian Voting Age Population: 1.1% ffil 65+: 'onwide Rank: 24

1992 Party Registration Number of Counties: 67

2,672,968 40.~/o 3,318,565 50.7% 550,292 8.4% 6,541,825

RNC Strategic Information

Page 19 of 20 This document is from the collections at the Dole Archives, University of Kansas http://dolearchives.ku.edu

roRICAL PRESIDENTIAL PERFORMANCE

REP. VOTE REP •fo DEM. VOTE DEM e;. OTH. VOTE OTH •;. TOTAL REGISTRATION 2,171,781 41.0% 2,071,6Sl 39.1% l,OS2,481 19.9% 5,29S,913 6,S41,82S 2,616,S97 60.9% l,6SS,8Sl 38.S% 26,674 0.6% 4,299,122 6,047,347 2,730,3SO 6S.3% 1,448,816 34.7"/e 0 0.0% 4,179,166 5,S74,472 2,046,9Sl S6 .0% l,419,47S 38.8"/o 189,692 5.2% 3,6S6,118 4,809,721 l,469,S31 47.0% 1,636,000 S2.3% 23,643 O.S-/o 3,129,174 4,047,S96 l,857,7S9 71.9% 718,117 27.8"/o 7,407 0.3% 2,S83,283 3,487,458 NIXONIHUMPHREY/W All.ACE: 886,804 40.S% 676,794 30.9% 624,207 28.S% 2,187,805 2,76S,316

'ATEWIDE ELECTION RETURNS

REP. VOTE REP •fo DEM. VOTE DEM% OTH. VOTE OTH •;. TOTAL 1992 SENATE: l ,715,1S6 34.6% 3,244,299 65.4% 0 0.0% 4,9S9,455 1990 GOVERNOR: l ,53S,068 43.5% l,99S,206 S6.S% 0 0.0% 3,S30,274 1988 SENATE: 2,049,329 50.4% 2,0lS,717 49.6% 385 0.0% 4,065,431 1986 GOVERNOR l,847,S2S S4.6% l,S38,620 4S.4% 0 0.0% 3,386,145

REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PERFORMANCE

DEM REP OTH NET

m 40 20 20 0 2 990 40 22 18 0 988 40 23 17 0 2 S0.0% ....___

40.0% 30.0% 20.0% SEATS DEM REP OTH NET 10.0% 120 71 49 0 3 0.0% 120 74 46 0 -1 120 73 47 0 2

.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES REPUBLICAN STATEWIDE PERFORMANCE

SEATS DEM REP OTH NET 19861988 GOVERNOR SENATI:: I I I I 992 23 10 13 0 3 99o 19 9 10 0 1 19901::::·---- 19&8 19 10 9 0 2 0.0% 10.Wo 20.0% 30.0'-" <40.0'-" SO .O'-" 60.0%

RNC Strategic Information

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