Victoria’s Energy Future If you would like to receive this publication in an Disclaimer accessible format (such as large print or audio) please call the Customer Service Centre on: 136 186. This publication may be of assistance to you but the State of Victoria and its employees do not guarantee Published by the Department of Primary Industries, that the publication is without flaw of any kind or is Marketing & Communications Branch. May 2010 wholly appropriate for your particular purposes and therefore disclaims all liability for any error, loss or other © The State of Victoria, 2010 consequence which may arise from you relying on any This publication is copyright. No part may be reproduced information in this publication. by any process except in accordance with the provisions For more information about DPI visit www.dpi.vic.gov.au of the Copyright Act 1968. or call the Customer Service Centre on 136 186 Authorised by the Victorian Government, 1 Spring Street, Melbourne, Victoria 3000, Australia ISBN 978-1-74264-036-5 (print) ISBN 978-1-74264-037-2 (online) Message from the Premier Message from the Minister
We are on the edge of a major energy transformation. Our energy system is something we all rely on, and perhaps take for granted. Countries around the world are searching for ways to cut greenhouse gas emissions and making huge investments However, the pressing need to reduce our greenhouse gas in clean energy projects. emissions in response to our changing climate will bring energy issues to the fore. This inevitable shift to a low carbon economy will create a climate of opportunity for Victoria. We know that it is the energy sector that produces the vast bulk of our greenhouse gas emissions. So it makes It is up to us to seize that opportunity and be at the sense for us to redouble our efforts in shifting towards forefront of change. cleaner sources of power. A strong move towards renewable and low emissions The Government has never understated the size of energy in Victoria will be good for the economy, good this task. We cannot get there overnight, but we must for jobs and good for the environment. It will drive down get there. emissions and drive up jobs and investment. It will create new opportunities in energy production and distribution Victorians recognise the scale of the transformation in regional areas and safeguard energy supply. Most of all, required – and understand that we must implement it will help us meet the climate change challenge and a generational change in technology and attitudes. preserve our quality of life. In the decades ahead, we will move from a system that Victoria’s leadership around climate change is well known. is almost entirely dependent on high emissions fossil fuels to a more diverse and dispersed system based on cleaner We were the first state to introduce a mandatory technologies. renewable energy target, mandatory energy efficiency target for electricity retailers and mandatory energy and Victoria is already positioning itself to benefit from such water efficiency program for the biggest corporate energy major changes. and water users. We have attracted major new investments We will see a tremendous growth in the amount of in gas generation and low emissions coal developments. renewable energy we use. Investment in wind-generated We are investing tens of millions of dollars into energy power will be taken up most actively at first, but over technology and innovation and remain committed to time solar power and other options will become large-scale solar. increasingly important. We have already released a biodiversity White Paper to The Victorian Renewable Energy Target has already been keep local economies strong after 13 years of drought and a big driver of this change, attracting more than $2 billion a Green Jobs Action Plan to equip the current generation of investment. The national expanded Renewable Energy of workers with the skills they’ll need for the future. And Target will build on this effort. we are teaming up with local communities across the state, exploring new ideas to reduce emissions. We also expect growth in low emissions forms of fossil fuel energy. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a Our shift to a low carbon economy is already well technology of global importance. Victoria has some underway, but there is much more to do. of the best conditions in the world to test whether Victoria’s Energy Future sets out the size and complexity of CCS will be effective. the task ahead. This statement outlines the short, medium We can all play a part in embracing cleaner energy and long term action needed to move Victoria away from for a brighter future. its historic reliance on coal, oil and gas to generate energy. The challenges ahead are significant, but so are the opportunities – to cut emissions, create jobs, safeguard our economy and secure energy supplies for the future.
Peter Batchelor John Brumby Minister for Energy Premier of Victoria and Resources
1 Contents
Victoria’s energy transformation 4 Part 3 – Our approach 59 3.1 Working with the community 60 Part 1 – Our energy story 7 Building awareness about the need for change 61 1.1 Our energy story 7 Helping to keep energy affordable 61 Victoria’s energy sector 8 Enhancing the capacity of communities and helping regions to adjust 65 Victoria’s energy demand 13 Building the skills for change 66 Making the transition to a low carbon future 14 Preparing for climate change and emergencies 67 Future energy options 16 3.2 Driving energy innovation 68 Getting ready for change 20 Renewable technologies 68 Victoria’s Energy Future 21 Low emissions coal and carbon storage 70 Part 2 – Our future options 23 Supporting new transport fuels 72 2.1 Renewable energy 24 A smarter electricity grid 72 Renewable energy resources in Victoria 25 3.3 Attracting and facilitating investment 74 Research and development into renewable energy 29 Efficient planning and development approvals 74 Bringing new technologies to market 29 Mapping new opportunities in Victoria 76 Integrating more dispersed and intermittent sources of power 30 Support for pre-commercial investment 77 2.2 Gas and low emissions coal 32 Future investment in coal and carbon storage 77 Gas – an essential part of the transition Supporting development of a carbon capture and to a low carbon economy 34 storage ‘hub’ – the CarbonNet project 77 Victoria’s coal – a cleaner future 34 Helping people and business invest to save energy 79 Low emissions coal technologies 34 3.4 Leading further market reform 80 Carbon capture and storage 36 Supporting the implementation of a well designed national emissions trading scheme 80 Managing Victoria’s coal resources 41 Providing competitive, efficient energy markets 81 2.3 Transport energy 44 Monitoring the evolution of national institutions 82 Oil and petroleum products 45 Improving transmission planning and Alternative fuels 46 network connection 84 2.4 Saving energy 50 Promoting effective national regulation Energy efficiency and a carbon price 51 of transport technologies 84 Smarter energy use 52 Glossary 86 Better design and processes 53 Further Resources 88 Ensuring best practice in energy efficiency 54 Reducing stationary energy use at times of peak demand 55 Distributed micro-generation 56
2 3 Victoria’s energy transformation
As the world makes the shift to a low carbon future, Victoria’s energy sector faces a major transformation. In the coming decades, we will have to make energy differently – from a wider range of sources, with new technologies, and in new places. We will also have to use energy differently – in our homes and businesses, in our industries and in the vehicles we drive.
To limit the damage from changes to our global climate, This program, and ultimately a carbon price, will have nations around the world are taking greater steps to major consequences for Victoria – and we must be significantly reduce carbon emissions from human activity. prepared for these changes and the opportunities More and more countries are investing unprecedented and challenges they will bring. amounts in low emissions energy, driven by concerns Victoria’s economic development over the 20th century about climate change and the need to secure their future benefited from accessible and cheap resources of fossil fuel energy supplies. energy. Brown coal provides us with electricity for many These developments mark the start of a global energy uses; oil is a versatile source of transport energy; and gas is revolution – a revolution that Victoria must embrace if we available for industrial and household heating and cooking want to remain competitive in a low carbon future, and if – all in large quantities and at low prices. we want to safeguard our economy and our standard of A low cost and reliable energy supply has provided the living from the worst impacts of climate change. Victorian economy – and especially manufacturing and To be part of this global energy revolution, Victoria needs industry – with a strong competitive advantage. This has to follow a path towards lower emissions. We need to take supported economic development and jobs in many parts immediate action to ensure that we continue to enjoy a of our State. secure energy supply and can take full advantage of the But the heavy use of fossil fuels, in particular our many opportunities being generated as the world moves dependence on brown coal for more than 90 per cent to reduce carbon pollution. of our electricity, has made us heavy carbon polluters: A price signal on carbon is the most effective and we release about 23 tonnes of carbon dioxide per person comprehensive way of making sure our investment and each year. Victoria’s population – and our consumption – purchasing decisions account for the emissions they create. continue to grow, driving further increases in our demand The Victorian Government supports a national emissions for energy. trading scheme as the most efficient way of making The way we currently make and use energy is this happen. unsustainable in a low carbon future. In the coming Despite the delay in a national approach to pricing carbon decades, we will have to make energy differently – from a pollution, it is sensible for the Victorian Government, and wider range of sources, with new technologies, and in new for Victorians, to be ready for a carbon price and prepare places. We will have to use energy differently in our homes, ourselves for the coming changes. businesses and industries, and in the vehicles we drive. The energy transformation that will be required is of such The Commonwealth has introduced a law to greatly magnitude and cost that it will take decades to complete. expand renewable power; and announced large funds to Investment on an unprecedented scale will be required help the private sector commercialise new, low emissions from energy companies and the financial sector to develop energy sources. new technologies and integrate them into a secure and sustainable energy system. The Victorian Government will play an important role in this period of change.
4 Our goal is to steer a course towards a low emissions To build community understanding and acceptance of the future, while ensuring that Victorians have a secure and challenges we face, the Government is beginning a new reliable energy supply at competitive prices. At the same dialogue with Victorians focusing on our future energy time, we must make sure that these changes occur security. Victoria’s Energy Future marks the start of smoothly and fairly. this dialogue. All Victorian households, communities, businesses and This statement describes the issues facing our energy governments will have to play their part in this period of sector and the companies that work in energy resources. transformation. We will all need to make a greater effort to It explains the challenges ahead and outlines our future understand our energy use and take steps to save energy. energy options. It sets out how the Government will play Communities across the State will need to participate in its role in ensuring that our energy future is secure and decisions about building new infrastructure to produce and sustainable, and that energy costs are kept as low distribute low emissions energy. as possible.
Constructing a wind turbine
5
Part 1 Our energy story
For nearly a century, Victoria has relied heavily on coal, oil and gas to supply us with reliable and relatively cheap energy. Now, we face the prospect of having 1 to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions while our demand for energy continues to grow. We must be prepared for the changes, challenges and opportunities ahead. We must take action now to transform our energy system into one that reduces the impacts of climate change, promotes competitively priced energy, and delivers a secure and sustainable energy supply that meets our needs into the future.
7 Part 1 Our energy story
Victoria has one of the most competitive retail electricity markets in the world and we have an abundance of fossil and renewable energy sources. Our challenge is to find the right energy mix for the future as we move from a heavily coal-dependent system to a far more diverse and dispersed supply of electricity.
Victoria’s energy sector Victoria’s fossil fuels – coal and gas – currently meet These market reforms mean that the private sector will be over 95 per cent of our stationary energy needs and the key investor in building Victoria’s future energy system, have provided us with cheap and reliable power for although governments retain critical roles in designing and nearly a century. At present, renewable sources of energy regulating energy and carbon markets, facilitating investment, contribute between 2 and 4 per cent to our power supply, driving technology innovation, and managing change. with most of this energy coming from wind, bioenergy Our energy system also includes transport fuels. In contrast and hydroelectricity. to electricity and gas, these fuels are supplied through a Victoria’s stationary energy system – based on the global market. Petroleum based fuels account for nearly centralised, large scale generation of power – was all of this market, taking advantage of well established developed through a mix of monopoly and competition, networks for distribution. It took nearly 25 years for and public and private ownership. In the 1990s, significant liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to become established as an reform of the system was undertaken and government- alternative to petrol in Australia. New fuel technologies will owned parts of the electricity and gas systems were face similar challenges as they compete for market share. privatised. This brought greater competition and the The diagram on pages 10 and 11 illustrates the connections independent regulation of monopoly networks, and between these elements. resulted in a more productive and reliable electricity and gas system. Victoria now has one of the most competitive retail electricity markets in the world. Further reforms have taken place over the last decade. Our electricity and gas systems became integrated down the eastern seaboard of Australia, creating the National Electricity Market (NEM) and a national gas market. Our electricity and gas markets now operate under national supervision (see Box 1 – p12).
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Turbines in a coal-fired power station
9 Part 1 Our energy story
Figure 1 How our energy system works Electricity, gas and transport fuels provide the energy we use for many of our daily activities. Over the coming decades our sources of electricity will diversify and come from different areas across the state. We will use more gas for electricity production and transport. Alternatives to oil will start to play a greater role in transport. How we use our energy in the future will also need to change. A smarter electricity network will be needed to facilitate this transformation.
Distribution network The distribution network brings electricity to our homes and businesses. In the future, more electricity sources will connect directly to this network.
Transport fuels Our transport sector is heavily dependent on oil, with oil based fuels supplying over 90 per cent of our transport energy needs. The transport sector is responsible for 16 per cent of Victoria’s greenhouse gas emissions. In the future, new technologies such as electric vehicles and next generation biofuels could help reduce our emissions and improve our energy security.
10 Existing renewable energy Renewable energy is generated using resources that can be rapidly replaced by ongoing natural processes. We currently use renewable energy from hydro, wind and bioenergy sources.
Electricity generation Electricity comes from various sources. In Victoria we get more than 90 per cent of our electricity from brown coal. Reducing the carbon pollution from electricity generation is a major challenge. In the future, other sources of electricity generation such as gas, renewables and low emissions coal must increase. Electricity transmission The electricity grid comprises large transmission lines which connect the generators and 1 distribution networks to the national grid.
Future carbon capture and storage Carbon capture and storage technologies have the potential to significantly reduce emissions from the large scale use of fossil fuels.
Future renewable energy Over the next 10 years we will start to see new forms of commercially viable energy from sources such as solar, geothermal and marine. Gas network Most of Victoria’s gas comes from Bass Strait. We use reticulated gas as an energy source for domestic and commercial applications such as heating and cooking and industrial uses. Our future access to gas could come from sources discovered locally or from greater access to the rapidly developing Queensland coal seam gas industry.
11 Part 1 Our energy story
Box 1. How renewable, gas-fired and coal-fired generators currently compete in the National Electricity Market
Victoria’s electricity is provided by private companies s )NTERMITTENT POWER STATIONS n SUPPLY POWER WHEN that operate in a competitive market place. resources are available, such as wind and solar
Victoria, along with Queensland, NSW, ACT, Tasmania s 0EAKING POWER STATIONS n EXPENSIVE OR LIMITED ENERGY and South Australia, is part of the National Electricity sources that operate for brief periods when demand Market (NEM). and therefore price is highest. Because electricity can’t be easily stored in large quantities, In the current market, coal is the cheapest form of supply must always match demand. If supply cannot meet baseload electricity, providing over 90 per cent of Victoria’s demand, industry and homes experience power ‘brown electricity. Gas has higher operating costs but lower capital outs’ or ‘black outs’. costs (supplying intermediate and peaking power) and provides approximately 4 per cent of our electricity. The physical market, or ‘spot’ market, trades all electricity produced and consumed. Generators bid to supply Renewables supply between 2 and 4 per cent of Victoria’s electricity at a particular price for a five minute period. electricity use. Renewable energy from hydroelectricity has Electricity is then dispatched to retailers from cheapest recently fallen due to the drought, but power from wind to more expensive until demand is satisfied for that five is now rapidly increasing. minute period. This process is continuous throughout In the market today, renewable energy from wind and solar the year. is expensive compared to fossil fuel energy (see Figure 9 – Generators and retailers can also enter into contracts on p29). However, over time, the costs of renewables are the financial market to manage the risk of variable prices. expected to fall, while prices for coal and gas will rise Currently, retailers use this type of contract to cover most due to a carbon price. Currently, renewable energy targets of the electricity they buy. are the main driver in the growth of wind energy. This market is managed on a day to day basis by the The level of peak demand for electricity in Victoria is Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) in accordance growing at a higher rate than the total demand for with the National Electricity Rules. electricity. This is primarily due to the increased use of air conditioners in Victorian households. In order to meet demand, the market provides a range of different power plants with different characteristics: With the overall electricity system built to meet peak demand, the continued growth of consumption in peak s "ASELOAD POWER STATIONS n OPERATE NEARLY ALL THE TIME periods is likely to significantly increase the cost of and use cheap fuels – coal currently supplies Victoria generating and transmitting electricity. with baseload (or continuous) power Recently the wholesale electricity market has responded s )NTERMEDIATE POWER STATIONS n FOR EXAMPLE HYDRO to high prices in peak periods and this has led to investors or combined cycle gas-fired generators building new peak generation capacity.
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Victoria’s energy demand This ‘peak’ demand is driven mainly by the increased use of air conditioning on very hot days. ‘Intermediate’ demand Demand for energy in Victoria continues to grow for electricity accounts for 30 per cent of electricity use, due to factors such as an increasing population, smaller while ‘baseload’ demand refers to the average energy households and rising disposable incomes that drive demand that occurs all year round and accounts for more consumption. 60 per cent of the electricity we use. There is a growing demand for energy from all sources Demand for energy is predicted to continue to grow, – brown coal, gas and petroleum products (see Figure 2). although this could be moderated significantly by efforts Transport energy use increased by more than 20 per cent to save energy. Implementing successful approaches between 1990 and 2006. Our use of coal based energy to using less energy will save us money and help to has increased by 40 per cent over the same period. ease the pressures on augmenting our power supplies. Our patterns of demand have also shifted over recent years. For example, Victoria’s electricity market experiences brief, but very large peaks of demand during summer.
13 Part 1 Our energy story
Making the transition to a low carbon future We are now embarking on a period of transformation – one in which Victoria will need to contribute to national and global reductions in carbon emissions, while providing an energy supply that supports a competitive economy and fair society. In 2008, 84 per cent of Victoria’s carbon emissions came from the energy sector (see Figure 3). This highlights the size of the challenge facing our energy sector – its emissions must fall significantly while continuing to meet the needs of a growing population and an increasing demand for energy. The transformation will require the Commonwealth and Victorian Governments to encourage investment in cleaner energy sources, to expand energy saving measures, and to encourage people to use energy more wisely and efficiently. Commonwealth Government policies, like the enhanced Renewable Energy Target (RET) and future policies that place a price on carbon, will encourage the energy industry to lower emissions from fossil fuels and supply more renewable energy (see Box 2 – p15). Complementary national ‘flagship’ programs for CCS and renewable energy will build on existing Victorian programs such as the Energy Technology Innovation Strategy (ETIS), and stimulate early deployment of commercial-scale systems by the private sector.
14 Box 2. How an emissions trading scheme and the Renewable Energy Target would affect the energy market
The Victorian Government continues to support an emissions trading scheme (ETS) as the main policy for reducing emissions. Together with national schemes like the enhanced Renewable Energy Target (RET), a well designed ETS would be the most effective way of promoting the transformation of the Victorian and Australian energy sectors.
An ETS works by placing a cap on carbon emissions coming from specific sectors of the economy. This means that large emitters would have to pay to release greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide (CO2), into the atmosphere. The price for carbon would encourage existing businesses to reduce their emissions in cost effective ways. Similarly, new investors would need 1 to consider the future costs incurred by emitting CO2 when making decisions about where to invest.
This means that low emissions technologies that are expensive today would gradually become more competitive. Conversely, high emissions activities would become more expensive and would slowly be replaced by low emissions competitors.
Figure 4 shows the indicative running costs of different types of power stations. The running cost determines which generator can offer to sell electricity into the market at the lowest rate. Of the plants shown, brown coal is currently the cheapest (shown in brown). But these current running costs do not include any costs for emitting greenhouse gas emissions.
As a carbon price is introduced, the running costs increase in line with the amount of emissions that are produced
(see Figure 4). At a carbon price of $30 per tonne of CO2
($30/tCO2) black coal generators would be able to sell their electricity at the lowest price (shown in light green). With a carbon price of $45/tCO , brown coal operators 2 The enhanced national RET will replace Victoria’s State- would have to pay almost $60 towards carbon permits for based RET and ensure that by 2020, at least 20 per cent of each megawatt hour (MWh) of electricity they generate. national energy generation comes from renewable sources Gas (if supplied at today’s prices) would become the – massive growth for this industry. The target guarantees cheapest form of electricity generation. With a carbon that a major portion of our demand growth will be met price of $45/tCO , a new wind-powered generator would 2 by renewable sources. be able to compete with an existing coal-fired generator. Governments will complement these policies by supporting A carbon price could also affect transport fuels – innovation and making sure consumers and investors have for example a price of $40/tCO would add about 2 access to reliable information about improving their 10 cents to the price of a litre of petrol. energy efficiency. A ‘soft start’ to an ETS (meaning low initial targets) would allow existing businesses to prepare and adjust to the impacts of the carbon price.
15 Part 1 Our energy story
Future energy options These technologies are still being tested and their commercial viability will depend upon their success and Victoria has an abundance of energy sources – both fossil whether costs fall enough (or a future carbon price rises and renewable energy. From these options, we will need to enough) to make them commercially attractive. If large develop different technologies and take a range of actions scale demonstrations of CCS and high efficiency coal to build a secure future energy system. technologies such as integrated drying and gasificiation Gas will be an important energy source over coming combined cycle plants (IDGCC) are successful, these decades. The emissions intensity of gas is lower than coal technologies could make an important contribution (see Figure 11 – p33), making it suitable for supplying to Victoria’s energy security in a low carbon future. baseload electricity and complementing intermittent Renewable energy will progressively grow over many renewable energy, such as wind and solar. As conventional decades. It may become the world’s main source of energy coal-fired power becomes more expensive, gas will play in the very long run, as fossil fuel resources become less an important transitional role. However, in the long term, competitive and greenhouse gas targets are tightened. carbon capture and storage (CCS) may also be needed, Victoria is fortunate to have a good supply of renewable while a rising price for gas could limit its overall energy sources. Wind has the advantage of currently being contribution to our energy supply. one of the most cost-competitive forms of renewable Low emissions coal, in particular the more efficient use energy. As large scale solar power becomes more cost- of brown coal coupled with CCS, may open up future competitive, it will make a significant contribution to our prospects for coal-fired electricity and for alternative energy supplies, especially from north western Victoria. energy products. We will need to make sure that the electricity grid can adjust to the variable output from wind and solar power and develop efficient ways to store this energy.
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17 Part 1 Our energy story
Victoria is also exploring other newer forms of Smarter energy networks will be an integral part of our renewable energy, such as geothermal and marine energy. future energy system. This will include the roll out of smart Geothermal energy comes from the energy found meters to provide clearer information and price signals to in hot rocks, deep underground. It is capable of providing consumers. As our energy mix diversifies, generation will continuous baseload power. There are significant exploration be distributed more widely across the State and at different and development opportunities in Victoria and we need to scales. Over the next decade, smarter electricity infrastructure determine the potential of geothermal energy to contribute that is able to ‘communicate’ across the distribution system to Victoria’s electricity supply. in real time will deliver more flexible and responsive network services to energy users and producers. New opportunities will arise in transport energy. A progressive shift to alternative fuels over the next few Saving energy can save money and delay the need decades is likely as domestic supplies of crude oil decline for new electricity generation and network investments. and an emphasis on emissions reduction increases. In the Price increases under RET and any future emissions trading short term, there may be greater take-up of fuels such as scheme, along with complementary programs such as smart diesel, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and biofuel blends. meters and Victoria’s Energy Saver Incentive scheme, will In the medium term, we may see increased take-up of drive more energy efficiency as households and businesses natural gas fuels in the form of compressed natural gas respond to price signals – particularly if rising public (CNG), liquefied natural gas (LNG) or next generation awareness prompts a greater commitment to energy biofuels. Electricity is also likely to emerge as an important saving. There will also be improvements in the energy transport energy as emissions from electricity generation efficiency of the built environment and our transport decline. In the long term, synthetic fuels such as brown system – in areas such as vehicle fuel efficiency, public coal to diesel may also become commercially viable. transport, commercial shopping centres and other large public spaces. Nuclear power is a substantial and growing source of low carbon energy in many countries because it is a proven Being smarter with our energy use and using more technology associated with low full life cycle greenhouse efficient products are also cost-effective ways of reducing gas emissions. The Government has no plans to overturn our greenhouse gas emissions. its existing ban on nuclear power and is committed to While it is not possible to predict Victoria’s precise energy retaining the Victorian Nuclear Activities (Prohibitions) Act mix in the long term, some trends are likely to develop 1983. The Government’s view is that nuclear power is not (see Box 3 – p19). needed as part of Victoria’s energy mix, given our State’s abundance and diversity of low cost and reliable fossil fuel and renewable energy sources. These energy sources give Victoria a diverse range of energy options in assessing and meeting our future energy needs.
Geothermal steam 18 Box 3. Our changing stationary energy sector
In the coming decade (2010 to 2020), in response to a price on carbon, we are likely to see: s !N EXPANSION IN GAS FIRED AND WIND POWER FROM around 5 per cent today to around 25 per cent by 2020 s ! CONTRACTION IN PRODUCTION AND LIKELY CLOSURES OF some conventional coal-fired power stations s ,ARGE SCALE DEMONSTRATION OF LOW EMISSIONS COAL technologies and other coal products s %XPANSION OF LARGE SCALE SOLAR POWER DUE TO DIRECT government support s 0OSSIBLE DEMONSTRATION OF GEOTHERMAL ENERGY s 'REATER RESEARCH INTO MARINE AND BIOENERGY s !DVANCES IN THE EFFICIENT USE OF ENERGY 1 s 4HE FIRST ELECTRIC VEHICLES HITTING OUR STREETS Energy production will be distributed more widely across the landscape, with medium and large scale energy facilities being developed in increasingly diverse locations. The following decade (2020 to 2030) should see: s #OMMERCIAL DEPLOYMENT OF LOW EMISSIONS COAL large scale solar and potentially geothermal energy s &URTHER