South East Region Development Association 13 Pages

Comment on public suggestion number 1

South East Region Development Association 13 pages

Tasmanian secretariat Phone (03) 6235 0503 Email [email protected] SUBMISSION to

2016 COMMONWEALTH REDISTRIBUTION COMMITTEE FOR TASMANIA

SOUTH EAST REGION DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION INCORPORATED (SERDA)1

Purpose

1. The purpose of this submission is to alert the Redistribution Committee to the rapidly growing community of interest in the south east of Tasmania, and to foreshadow the need for radical electorate changes for Tasmania to be considered in detail by the Redistribution Committee circa 2023.

Background

2. Report of the Redistribution Committee of 2008 acknowledged the “geographical size of Lyons, and the fragmented boundaries of Franklin” were issues raised in a number of submissions. 3. The 2008 analysis of enrolment trends revealed that only Franklin was projected to have an enrolment outside of the permitted range, and its ongoing enrolment growth was predicted to be above the State average.

South East Tasmania as a Community of Interest

4. The south east of Tasmania, as represented by Clarence, Glamorgan Spring Bay, Sorell and Tasman councils has a population of 75,527 and occupies 4214 Km2. While at this point of time the number of electors in the area is approximately 59,000, the population, especially in Clarence and Sorell, is growing rapidly. 5. The estimated resident population of the SERDA area has grown by 3,080 persons over the 5 year period 2010-2015. This represents a 5 year growth rate of 4.3%, compared with the overall Tasmania growth rate of 1.5% for the period 2010-2015 – see Attachment 1. 6. The four councils agreed in 1993 to form SERDA as an incorporated body with the following objectives:

1 Membership of SERDA comprises Clarence City Council, Glamorgan Spring Bay Council, Sorell Council and Tasman Council.

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a. provide leadership through a strategic alliance of the participating councils;

b. seek and establish external strategic alliances;

c. provide a committed, co-ordinated and co-operative voice for the region;

d. develop and manage programs, including but not limited to those related to employment creation, environment, tourism, industry and business development, and natural resource management;

e. ensure resources are available to meet its objectives; and

f. investigate and instigate opportunities for regional cooperation.

7. As a separate initiative, the four councils, in collaboration with the Tasmania Government, have also recently completed a modelling project into the possibility of merging into one council. 8. While the initiative may not result in agreements to merger, the project, conducted by KPMG, did recognise many points of common interest from a cultural and social point of view, as well as from a geographic point of view.2 9. There are many shared characteristics between the communities and municipal areas of the south east, and the local government boundaries within the region are not a firm delineation of materially different communities. Coastal community living and enterprises on the peninsulas, inlets and arcing coastlines of the south east region is a strong theme, whilst the distinct low rainfall climate and environment of the area establishes a common awareness of water resource, rural and coastal land management issues. Reinforcing these shared characteristics are the dominant road transport travel routes provided by the Tasman and Arthur Highways, which connect communities and facilitate travel to regional centres for shopping, medical and recreational services, in particular to the activity centres at Sorell, Cambridge and Rosny Park.

The south east region is also being shaped and strengthened by a range of economic infrastructure drivers, including the:

■ Hobart international airport runway extension, driving growth in visitor numbers, freight movements and Antarctic related activities;

2 http://www.ccc.tas.gov.au/webdata/resources/files/South%20East%20Councils%20Feasibility%20Study.pdf

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■ Cambridge Industrial Park & retail precinct catering for growth in big box retail and light industrial activities;

■ South East Irrigation Scheme Stage 3 in the Coal River Valley/ Forcett area, building on the success of Stages 1 & 2 and unlocking agriculture, viticulture and agri-tourism potential;

■ several significant tourism projects/ developments on the east coast, the Tasman Peninsula, in the Coal River Valley, and at Kangaroo Bay, adding to the existing tourism drawcards at Port Arthur, Freycinet, and Richmond.

These economic drivers will also collectively drive continued population growth in the south east region over the next 10-15 years.

The Basis for a Radical Redistribution

10. Currently, the four SERDA councils, together with the neighbouring LGAs of Brighton and Southern Midlands, occupy 6943 Km2, and have an enrolment of about 72,000 electors. Using the AEC enrolment projection data, a new South East Tasmanian electoral division comprising the Clarence, Brighton, Sorell, Tasman, Glamorgan-Spring Bay, and Southern Midlands LGAs would have a projected enrolment of about 76,000 in 2021 – see Attachment 2. 11. Based on existing population growth trends in Tasmania, especially for Brighton, Clarence and Sorell, the six municipalities combined can be expected to have by 2023 the numbers to form a federal electorate in their own right. Such an opportunity would provide the Redistribution Committee circa 2023 with an opportunity to recognise the south east of Tasmania as a community of interest, redress to some extent the geographical size of Lyons, and abolish the fragmented boundaries of Franklin. 12. In particular, the eastern part of Franklin (essentially Clarence) could join with Brighton, Glamorgan Spring Bay, Sorell, Tasman and, possibly, Southern Midlands to form one electorate; the western portion of Franklin (Huon Valley and most of Kingborough) could join with the remainder of Kingborough currently in Denison and Hobart to form a second electorate; and Glenorchy could transfer to Lyons.

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Naming

13. Such a radical redistribution would effectively abolish the existing divisions of Denison and Franklin. While both are arguably Federation Divisions3, both are named after early English governors and fail to meet any other guidelines for the naming of electoral divisions. 14. In its 2008 Report, the Redistribution Committee acknowledged the significant contribution that Andrew Inglis Clark made to Australia’s political and electoral life, and accepted that naming an electoral division after him would provide appropriate recognition of that contribution. The Redistribution Committee might consider that a newly formed electoral division based on Hobart, Huon Valley and Kingborough could be named Clark. 15. A newly formed electoral division comprising Brighton, Clarence, Glamorgan Spring Bay, Sorell, Tasman and possibly Southern Midlands would geographically embrace an area almost identical with that identified with by the Paredarerme (Oyster Bay) Tasmanian aboriginal nation. The Paredarerme nation was estimated to be the largest Tasmanian aboriginal nation with 10 clans totalling 700 to 800 people. 4 16. Given that the guidelines for naming electoral divisions advise that “Aboriginal names should be used where appropriate” a new south east Tasmanian electorate could be called the Division of Paredarerme.

3 AEC advice at http://www.aec.gov.au/Electorates/Redistributions/2016/tas/essential.htm is that ONE interpretation is that Federation electoral divisions are those which were in place for the first federal election held in 1901. However, for the first federal election in 1901, Tasmania was not divided into electoral divisions. At the 1901 elections, Tasmania voted as one electoral division and members of the House of Representatives were elected for Tasmania. On this interpretation, 'Tasmania' would be the Federation electoral division.

Tasmania was divided into five electoral divisions prior to the second federal election in 1903, including the Divisions of Bass, Denison and Franklin. The SECOND interpretation is that because these electoral divisions were defined and named before the second federal election, they are original federation electoral divisions in Tasmania and it would be against the spirit of the guidelines to change these names without very strong reasons.

4 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aboriginal_Tasmanians

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Conclusions

17. The south east of Tasmania has a rapidly growing population and strong community of interest based on geography and shared characteristics. 18. By 2023 the region, together with neighbouring LGAs of Brighton and Southern Midlands, will meet the elector numbers criteria to enable the establishment of a new electoral division centred on that community of interest, and provide an opportunity to address the geographical size of Lyons and abolish the fragmented boundaries of Franklin. 19. The abolishment of Denison and Franklin provides an opportunity to recognize Andrew Inglis Clark in the naming of a new electorate, and to give another electorate in Tasmania an appropriate aboriginal name.

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South East Tasmania LGAs - Estimated Resident Population Attachment 1

ERP at 30 June Change Local Government Area 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012r 2013r 2014r 2015p 2010-2015 no. no. no. no. no. no. no. no. no. no. no. % no. Clarence (C) 50014 50344 50630 51107 51765 52396 52825 53119 53539 54035 54674 4.3% 2278 Glamorgan/Spring Bay (M) 4347 4371 4412 4458 4463 4449 4419 4429 4434 4494 4493 1.0% 44 Sorell (M) 11738 12049 12294 12624 12934 13170 13346 13460 13612 13783 13955 6.0% 785 Tasman (M) 2279 2326 2332 2352 2400 2432 2443 2440 2363 2398 2405 -1.1% -27 Total SE Region Councils 68378 69090 69668 70541 71562 72447 73033 73448 73948 74710 75527 4.3% 3080 TOTAL TASMANIA 486202 489302 493262 498568 504353 508847 511483 512106 513067 514726 516586 1.5% 7739

Source: ABS Regional Population Growth, Australia, 2014-15 (cat. no. 3218.0) Data released 30 March 2016 AEC Enrolment Projections ATTACHMENT 2 Proposed new composite South East Tasmanian electorate Division SA2 Name SA1 Code Actual Projected Growth (2011 SA2s) (2011 enrolment enrolment (%) SA1s) 1/9/2016 14/5/2021 Clarence LGA Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100301 0 0 Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100302 560 619 10.54% Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100303C 172 206 19.77% Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100304 184 210 14.13% Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100305 231 250 8.23% Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100306 207 227 9.66% Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100307 431 473 9.74% Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100308 424 481 13.44% Franklin Old Beach - Otago 100309 613 712 16.15% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100401 1 1 0.00% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100402 195 209 7.18% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100403 5 5 0.00% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100404 377 406 7.69% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100405 249 273 9.64% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100406 346 384 10.98% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100407 300 314 4.67% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100408 266 292 9.77% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100409 287 313 9.06% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100410 360 392 8.89% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100411 189 200 5.82% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100412 464 476 2.59% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100413 266 279 4.89% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100414 228 238 4.39% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100415 231 254 9.96% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100416 224 226 0.89% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100417 387 426 10.08% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100418 200 210 5.00% Franklin Bellerive - Rosny 100419 231 252 9.09% Franklin Cambridge 100501 312 324 3.85% Franklin Cambridge 100502 458 462 0.87% Franklin Cambridge 100503 297 304 2.36% Franklin Cambridge 100504 205 219 6.83% Franklin Cambridge 100505 370 390 5.41% Franklin Cambridge 100506 231 236 2.16% Franklin Cambridge 100507 21 21 0.00% Franklin Cambridge 100508 282 284 0.71% Franklin Cambridge 100509 0 0 Franklin Cambridge 100510 310 325 4.84% Franklin Cambridge 100511 414 417 0.72% Franklin Cambridge 100512 259 266 2.70% Franklin Cambridge 100513 282 286 1.42% Franklin Cambridge 100514 258 269 4.26% Franklin Cambridge 100515 171 173 1.17% Franklin Cambridge 100516 258 262 1.55% Franklin Cambridge 100517 339 351 3.54% Franklin Cambridge 100518 306 318 3.92% Franklin Cambridge 100519 249 253 1.61% Franklin Cambridge 100520 364 390 7.14% Franklin Cambridge 100521 279 283 1.43% Franklin Cambridge 100522 5 5 0.00% Franklin Cambridge 100523 24 24 0.00% Franklin Cambridge 100524 191 197 3.14% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100601 408 420 2.94% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100602 347 371 6.92% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100603 267 293 9.74% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100604 344 355 3.20% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100605 413 437 5.81% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100606 306 343 12.09% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100607 336 362 7.74% Franklin Geilston Bay - Risdon 100608 179 187 4.47% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100701 189 197 4.23% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100702 389 401 3.08% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100703 263 261 -0.76% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100704 335 347 3.58% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100705 353 355 0.57% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100706 629 684 8.74% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100707 356 389 9.27% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100708 323 326 0.93% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100709 582 608 4.47% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100710 395 416 5.32% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100711 270 289 7.04% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100712 946 1,135 19.98% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100713 382 393 2.88% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100714 315 317 0.63% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100715 264 289 9.47% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100716 524 582 11.07% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100717 435 473 8.74% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100718 219 220 0.46% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100719 296 298 0.68% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100720 291 304 4.47% Franklin Howrah - Tranmere 100721 327 339 3.67% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100801 430 439 2.09% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100802 462 460 -0.43% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100803 166 166 0.00% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100804 371 379 2.16% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100805 554 595 7.40% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100806 459 475 3.49% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100807 383 412 7.57% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100808 359 360 0.28% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100809 353 352 -0.28% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100810 394 420 6.60% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100811 312 317 1.60% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100812 301 320 6.31% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100813 423 457 8.04% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100814 16 15 -6.25% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100815 250 263 5.20% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100816 207 215 3.86% Franklin Lindisfarne - Rose Bay 100817 192 192 0.00% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100901 179 191 6.70% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100902 220 220 0.00% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100903 425 435 2.35% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100904 318 335 5.35% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100905 186 195 4.84% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100906 388 414 6.70% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100907 3 3 0.00% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100908 334 382 14.37% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100909 205 207 0.98% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100910 0 0 Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100911 338 349 3.25% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100912 185 185 0.00% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100913 280 307 9.64% Franklin Mornington - Warrane 100914 170 177 4.12% Franklin Risdon Vale 101001 241 242 0.41% Franklin Risdon Vale 101002 128 127 -0.78% Franklin Risdon Vale 101003 276 274 -0.72% Franklin Risdon Vale 101004 3 3 0.00% Franklin Risdon Vale 101005 185 185 0.00% Franklin Risdon Vale 101006 246 244 -0.81% Franklin Risdon Vale 101007 222 222 0.00% Franklin Risdon Vale 101008 163 163 0.00% Franklin Risdon Vale 101009 7 7 0.00% Franklin Risdon Vale 101010 221 241 9.05% Franklin Rokeby 101101 169 179 5.92% Franklin Rokeby 101102 204 223 9.31% Franklin Rokeby 101103 198 205 3.54% Franklin Rokeby 101104 952 1,128 18.49% Franklin Rokeby 101105 225 241 7.11% Franklin Rokeby 101106 173 198 14.45% Franklin Rokeby 101107 108 113 4.63% Franklin Rokeby 101108 296 324 9.46% Franklin Rokeby 101109 242 265 9.50% Franklin Rokeby 101110 195 212 8.72% Franklin Rokeby 101111 94 93 -1.06% Franklin Rokeby 101112 243 278 14.40% Franklin Rokeby 101113 204 232 13.73% Franklin Rokeby 101114 226 239 5.75% Franklin Rokeby 101115 239 249 4.18% Franklin Rokeby 101116 243 270 11.11% Franklin South Arm 101201 197 208 5.58% Franklin South Arm 101202 211 210 -0.47% Franklin South Arm 101203 255 257 0.78% Franklin South Arm 101204 316 320 1.27% Franklin South Arm 101205 380 386 1.58% Franklin South Arm 101206 217 218 0.46% Franklin South Arm 101207 180 183 1.67% Franklin South Arm 101208 333 341 2.40% Franklin South Arm 101209 95 96 1.05% Franklin South Arm 101210 423 426 0.71% Franklin South Arm 101211 82 83 1.22% Franklin South Arm 101212 269 280 4.09% Franklin South Arm 101213 276 295 6.88% Franklin Sorell - Richmond 103508B 31 33 6.45% Franklin Sorell - Richmond 103510 343 355 3.50% Franklin Sorell - Richmond 103511 272 279 2.57% Franklin Sorell - Richmond 103512 240 253 5.42% Franklin Sorell - Richmond 103513 237 251 5.91% Franklin Sorell - Richmond 103514 179 183 2.23%

Franklin -Clarence Total 43,298 45,829 5.85%

Sorell LGA Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103401 363 421 15.98% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103402 300 336 12.00% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103403 255 270 5.88% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103404 322 357 10.87% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103405 231 238 3.03% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103406 325 349 7.38% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103407 300 323 7.67% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103408 256 263 2.73% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103409 242 266 9.92% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103410 216 219 1.39% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103411 325 352 8.31% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103412 146 158 8.22% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103413 328 347 5.79% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103414 147 161 9.52% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103415 209 214 2.39% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103416 133 144 8.27% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103417 196 205 4.59% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103418 235 264 12.34% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103419 261 281 7.66% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103420 240 260 8.33% Lyons Dodges Ferry - Lewisham 103421 295 338 14.58% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103501 189 190 0.53% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103502 317 326 2.84% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103503 356 361 1.40% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103504 358 377 5.31% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103505 406 432 6.40% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103506 171 173 1.17% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103507 384 435 13.28% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103508A 226 237 4.87% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103509 311 330 6.11% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103515 281 293 4.27% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103516 328 344 4.88% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103517 178 180 1.12% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103518 276 307 11.23% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103519 236 241 2.12% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103520 475 509 7.16% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103521 368 411 11.68% Lyons Sorell - Richmond 103522 272 272 0.00%

Lyons -Sorell Total 10,457 11,184 6.95%

Tasman LGA Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107301 282 288 2.13% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107302 216 218 0.93% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107303 2 2 0.00% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107304 252 284 12.70% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107305 247 247 0.00% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107306 196 205 4.59% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107307 216 216 0.00% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107308 69 70 1.45% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107309 147 145 -1.36% Lyons Forestier - Tasman 107310 194 195 0.52%

Lyons -Tasman Total 1,821 1,870 2.69%

Glamorgan-Spring Bay LGA Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107401 249 248 -0.40% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107402 1 1 0.00% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107403 183 183 0.00% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107404 332 358 7.83% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107405 0 0 Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107406 105 106 0.95% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107407 238 237 -0.42% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107408 142 153 7.75% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107409 206 209 1.46% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107410 133 136 2.26% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107411 119 118 -0.84% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107412 178 176 -1.12% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107413 134 133 -0.75% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107414 345 345 0.00% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107415 274 300 9.49% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107416 0 0 Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107417 334 333 -0.30% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107418 187 197 5.35% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107419 253 276 9.09% Lyons Triabunna - Bicheno 107420 155 155 0.00%

Lyons - Glamorgan Spring Bay Total 3,568 3,664 2.69%

Brighton LGA Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100101 140 141 0.71% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100102 217 214 -1.38% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100103 173 172 -0.58% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100104 115 114 -0.87% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100105 206 204 -0.97% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100106 222 227 2.25% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100107 181 183 1.10% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100108 209 208 -0.48% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100109 199 206 3.52% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100110 155 157 1.29% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100111 183 181 -1.09% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100112 235 249 5.96% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100113 240 238 -0.83% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100114 244 264 8.20% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100115 222 238 7.21% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100116 141 139 -1.42% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100117 135 135 0.00% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100118 293 294 0.34% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100119 218 217 -0.46% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100120 388 396 2.06% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100121 162 162 0.00% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100122 270 282 4.44% Lyons Bridgewater - Gagebrook 100123 111 110 -0.90% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100201 373 407 9.12% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100202 299 306 2.34% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100203 256 280 9.38% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100204 353 391 10.76% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100205 266 293 10.15% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100206 427 438 2.58% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100207 816 957 17.28% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100208 412 449 8.98% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100209 371 412 11.05% Lyons Brighton - Pontville 100210 313 322 2.88% Lyons Old Beach - Otago 100303B 320 384 20.00%

Lyons - Brighton Total 8,865 9,370 5.70%

Southern Midlands LGA Lyons Southern Midlands 106701 270 363 34.44% Lyons Southern Midlands 106702 238 252 5.88% Lyons Southern Midlands 106703 214 238 11.21% Lyons Southern Midlands 106704 309 354 14.56% Lyons Southern Midlands 106705 230 231 0.43% Lyons Southern Midlands 106706 264 266 0.76% Lyons Southern Midlands 106707 238 238 0.00% Lyons Southern Midlands 106708 168 167 -0.60% Lyons Southern Midlands 106709 420 419 -0.24% Lyons Southern Midlands 106710 202 217 7.43% Lyons Southern Midlands 106711 243 242 -0.41% Lyons Southern Midlands 106712 390 390 0.00% Lyons Southern Midlands 106713 289 288 -0.35% Lyons Southern Midlands 106714 241 241 0.00% Lyons Southern Midlands 106715 162 165 1.85% Lyons Southern Midlands 106716 301 301 0.00% Lyons Southern Midlands 106717 314 311 -0.96%

Lyons - Southern Midlands Total 4,493 4,683 4.23%

new South East Tas Division Total 72,502 76,600 5.65% Actual Projected Growth enrolment enrolment (%) 1/9/2016 14/5/2021

Target number of electors:

As far as practicable, the number of electors projected to be enrolled in each federal electoral division in Tasmania at the projection time of 14 May 2021 should be between 74 289 and 79 677. Source: www.aec.gov.au/Electorates/Redistributions/2016/tas/essential.htm