STRUCTURED FINANCE Special Report 2008 U.S. CDO Outlook and 2007 Review: Issuance Down in 2007 Triggered by Subprime Mortgages Meltdown; Lower Overall Issuance Expected in 2008 AUTHOR: CONTENTS: Jian Hu 1. Summary Senior Vice President (212) 553-7855 2. U.S. CDO Issuance Fell for the First Time since 2002
[email protected] 3. While Slightly Down in Volume, SF CDOs and CLOs Continued to Dominate U.S. CDO Issuance in 2007 CO-AUTHOR:1 4. Strong First and Second Quarters Offset Declines in the Suzanna Sava Assistant Vice President - Third and Fourth Quarters of 2007 Analyst 5. Unprecedented SF CDO Downgrades in 2007 Shatter (212) 553-1621
[email protected] Historical Record 6. Overall U.S. Financial Market Conditions Remain Difficult CONTACTS: 7. Generally Slower Issuance and More Negative Rating Yuri Yoshizawa Activity Are Expected Heading into 2008 Group Managing Director (212) 553-1939
[email protected] 1. SUMMARY Yvonne Fu Team Managing Director (212) 553-7732 2008 OUTLOOK
[email protected] To increase transparency on the macroeconomic and financial framework William May that underpins its risk assessments, Moody's has published a baseline Team Managing Director outlook for the global economy, as well as three potential economic risk (212) 553-3868
[email protected] scenarios. These economic scenarios are intended to help Moody's ana- lysts formulate the outlooks for their specific markets using a consistent WEBSITE: set of assumptions that envisage various stressed economic and financial www.moodys.com conditions. The baseline outlook is inspired by major international organizations' eco- nomic outlooks.