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Pre-Election Wave Survey

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Pre-Election Wave Survey {questionnaire P_WES2016_Wave1 widget_all_required=HARD nav_back=0 hide_progress=1} [WES1a]{multiple order=randomize}Which, if any, of these daily newspapers do you read regularly, either in print or online? (By regularly, we mean at least 3 times a week) (Select all that apply) <1>Daily Mail <2>The Mirror <3>Daily Express <4>Daily Star <5>The Sun <6>Daily Telegraph <7>Financial Times <8>The Guardian <9>The Independent (or i) <10>The Times <11>Daily Post <12>South Wales Echo <13>Western Mail <14>South Wales Evening Post <15>South Wales Argus <16>Evening Leader <17 fixed xor>None of these [WES2a] {multiple order=randomize} Do you regularly watch any of these television news programmes? (Select all that apply) <1>The Six or Ten O’Clock News on BBC1 <2>Wales Today on BBC1 Wales <3>The Evening News or News at Ten on ITV1 <4>Wales Tonight on ITV Wales <5>Sky News <6>BBC News Channel <7>Newyddion on S4C <8 fixed xor>None of these [WES4a]{multiple}Do you regularly use any of the following sources to obtain information about politics and current affairs in Wales? (Select all that apply) <1>BBC Radio Wales <2>BBC Radio Cymru <3>Real Radio <4>Other Radio News [WES4o1]{open rows=1 cols=40} <5>Internet Web-sites or ‘Blogs’ [WES4o2] {open rows=1 cols=40} <6>Twitter <7>Facebook <8>Another social network [WES4o3]{open rows=1 cols=40} <9 xor fixed> None of these [WES5]How interested are you in politics in general? <1>Very interested <2>Somewhat interested <3>Not very interested <4>Not at all interested <5>Don't Know [WES6] {scale 0 10 dk=1 dk_text="Not sure"} Using a scale from 0 to 10, where 0 means very little knowledge and 10 means a very large amount of knowledge, how much knowledge do you think you have about politics in general? -[WES6_1] Very little knowledge|Very large amount of knowledge [WES7]On May 5th there will be an election for the **National Assembly for Wales**. How interested, if at all, are you in this election? <1>Very interested <2>Fairly interested <3>Not very interested <4>Not at all interested <5>Don’t know [WES8]On May 5th there will also be an election for a **Police and Crime Commissioner** in your area. How interested, if at all, are you in this election? <1>Very interested <2>Fairly interested <3>Not very interested <4>Not at all interested <5>Don’t know [WES9]On June 23rd there will be a referendum on the **UK’s membership of the European Union**. How interested, if at all, are you in this referendum? <1>Very interested <2>Fairly interested <3>Not very interested <4>Not at all interested <5>Don’t know [WES10] {scale 0 10 dk=1 dk_text="Not sure"} On a scale from 0 to 10, where ‘0’ means ‘certain not to vote’ and ‘10’ means ‘certain to vote’, how likely are you to vote in the **National Assembly for Wales** election in May? -[WES10_1] certain not to vote|certain to vote [WES11] {scale 0 10 dk=1 dk_text="Not sure"} If the election on May 5th were a **general election to the House of Commons at Westminster**, how likely would you be to vote? (Again using a scale of 0 (certain NOT to vote) to 10 (absolutely certain to vote)) -[WES11_1] certain not to vote|certain to vote [WES12a if WES10_1>WES11_1] {multiple order=randomize} Why would you be more likely to vote in a National Assembly for Wales election? (Please select all that apply) <1>The National Assembly has more influence over our lives than the Westminster Parliament <2>There’s less difference between the parties at the UK level than in the National Assembly <3>The voting system for National Assembly elections accurately reflects what people voted for <4>I don’t approve of Wales being governed from London <5 fixed>Some other reason [WES12o]{open rows=1 cols=40} <6 fixed xor>None of these <7 fixed xor>Don’t know [WES13a if WES10_1<WES11_1]{multiple order=randomize} Why would you be more likely to vote in a general election to the UK House of Commons? (Please select all that apply) <1>The Westminster Parliament has more influence over our lives than the National Assembly <2>There’s more difference between the parties at the UK level than in the National Assembly <3>The voting system for Westminster elections produces an outcome with clear winners and losers <4>I don’t approve of the National Assembly for Wales and devolution <5 fixed>Some other reason [WES13o]{open rows=1 cols=40} <6 fixed xor>None of these <7 fixed xor>Don’t know **In elections to the National Assembly for Wales you have two votes. One is for an individual member of the Assembly – or AM – for your constituency. The second is for a party list for your region.** [WES14]If there were a National Assembly for Wales election tomorrow, which party would you vote for in your constituency? <1> Conservative <2> Labour <3> Liberal Democrat <4> UK Independence Party <5> Plaid Cymru <6> Some other party <7> Wouldn't vote <8> Don't know [WES14b if WES14==6] {single}And which of these parties would you vote for? <1> Green <3> British National Party <4> Socialist Labour <5> Welsh Christian Party <6> Communist <7>Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party <8> Some other party <9> Don't know [WES15aa if WES14 in [1,2,3,4,5] or WES14b in [1,3,4,5,6,7,8]] {single order=randomize} Thinking of this constituency vote, which of the following comes closest to the main reason why you will vote for this party? <1>I always vote this way <2>The party has the best policies <3>The party has the best leader <4>I will vote for a specific candidate, regardless of the party <5>I really prefer another party, but they have no chance of winning in my constituency <6>It will be a tactical vote <7>I really prefer another party, but they are not standing a candidate in my constituency <8 fixed>Other reasons [WES15o]{open rows=1 cols=40} [WES17]Now thinking about the regional or party vote for the National Assembly for Wales, which party list would you vote for? <1> Conservative <2> Labour <3> Liberal Democrat <4> Plaid Cymru <5> Green <6> UK Independence Party <7> British National Party <8> Socialist Labour <9> Welsh Christian Party <10> Communist <11>Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party <12> Some other party <13> Wouldn't vote <14> Don't know [WES18aa if WES17 in [1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12]] {single order=randomize} Thinking of this regional vote, which of the following comes closest to the main reason why you will vote for this party? <1>I always vote this way <2>The party has the best policies <3>The party has the best leader <4>I will vote for a specific candidate, regardless of the party <5>I really prefer another party, but they have no chance of winning any party list seats in my region <6>It will be a tactical vote <7>It’s my second preference; I vote for my first preference party in the constituency <8 fixed>Other reasons [WES18ao]{open rows=1 cols=40} [WES19]And if you do vote in the referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, and this is the question, how are you likely to vote:<<br/>> “Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” <1>I will vote for the United Kingdom to remain a member of the European Union <2>I will vote for the United Kingdom to leave the European Union <3>Will not vote <4>Don't Know [WES20]{single order="randomize"}Which one, if any, of the following do you think would make the best First Minister of Wales? <1>Carwyn Jones <2>Andrew RT Davies <3>Leanne Wood <4>Kirsty Williams <5>Nathan Gill <6>Alice Hooker-Stroud <7 fixed>None of them <8 fixed>Don't Know [WES21]{single order="randomize"}Of the parties below, which one would you most like to see running the Welsh Government after the election? <1> Conservative <2> Labour <3> Liberal Democrat <4> Plaid Cymru <5> UK Independence Party <6> Green <7 fixed> Don't Know [WES22 if WES21 !=7]And would you prefer to see $WES21 governing by themselves, or in a coalition with another party? <1>By themselves <2>In a coalition <3>Don’t know [WES23] {rank slots=3 dk=1} Please rank your top three outcomes to the Welsh Assembly election from your most preferred outcome to your third preferred outcome: <1>Labour majority government <2>Labour minority government <3>Labour-led coalition <4>Conservative majority government <5>Conservative minority government <6>Conservative-led coalition <7>Plaid Cymru majority government <8>Plaid Cymru minority government <9>Plaid Cymru-led coalition <10>UKIP majority government <11>UKIP minority government <12>UKIP-led coalition [WES24] Leaving aside your own views, which one of these best describes what you **expect** to be the overall result of the National Assembly for Wales election? <1>A majority for the Labour party <2>A majority for the Conservative party <3>A majority for Plaid Cymru <4>A majority for UKIP <5>No party having a majority in the Assembly, but Labour being the largest party <6>No party having a majority in the Assembly, but Plaid Cymru being the largest party <7>No party having a majority in the Assembly, but the Conservatives being the largest party <8>No party having a majority but UKIP being the largest party <9>Some other outcome <10>Don’t know **Now some questions about the campaign for the National Assembly for Wales election.** [WES25]Have you been contacted by a political party during the election campaign? <1>No, I have not <2>Yes, I have <3>Don't know [WES25b if WES25==2] {multiple} Please indicate all the parties that have contacted you about the election.
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