1 1 Overview of disruption in Agenda financial services
2 Possible signs of disruption
3 Moving beyond disruption
2 Section I What is Disruption?
1. What Is Disruption???
3 4 How Fast Can an Industry Change?
5 6 7 8 Successful Disruption: GPS Devices
2004 2009 2014 Garmin StreetPilot 2620 TomTom iPhone Navigation Google Maps App App
Cost: $100 Cost: Free Cost: $1,516
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
9 Kodak Could Have Been The Disruptor George Eastman with an early First digital camera developed Kodak camera model by Kodak in 1974
10 Successful Disruption: Smartphones
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 11 Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 12 “It took 22 years to sell 55 million MACs. It took 5 years to sell 22 million iPods and 3 years to sell as many iPhones. And so…its on a trajectory that’s off the charts.” Tim Cook, Apple CEO
13 SECTION 2
Overview Of Disruption In Financial Services
1414 The Battleground: Financial Institutions
Non-Bank Retailers Competitors Financial Services
Savings Lending Card Platform Companies Payments Players Investments Insurance
Telecoms New Entrants
Alternative Payments
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 15 Themes In Retail Financial Services Disruption
Disruptors seek to:
• Use technology-driven business models, e.g., platform strategies
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 16 Themes In Retail Financial Services Disruption
Disruptors seek to: • Use technology-driven business models, e.g., platform strategies
• Have a lower cost structure
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 17 Themes In Retail Financial Services Disruption
Disruptors seek to: • Use technology-driven business models, e.g., platform strategies
• Have a lower cost structure
• Find ways to bypass relevant laws and regulations
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 18 Themes In Retail Financial Services Disruption
Disruptors seek to:
• Use technology-driven business models, e.g., platform strategies
• Have a lower cost structure
• Find ways to bypass relevant laws and regulations
• Utilize low cost ways of moving money
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 19 Themes In Retail Financial Services Disruption
Disruptors seek to:
• Use technology-driven business models, e.g., platform strategies
• Have a lower cost structure
• Find ways to bypass relevant laws and regulations
• Utilize low cost ways of moving money
• Aggregate customer data and monetize it
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 20 Themes In Retail Financial Services Disruption
Disruptors seek to: • Use technology-driven business models, e.g., platform strategies
• Have a lower cost structure
• Find ways to bypass relevant laws and regulations
• Utilize low cost ways of moving money
• Aggregate customer data and monetize it
• Enter a single financial service before moving to other categories
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 21 22 Startups Are To Credit Unions & Banks …
23 … What Piranhas Are To Water Buffalos
24 On The Surface Membership Growth Seems Robust
Credit Union System Membership Trend In millions 114.0 109.2 105.0 101.5 98.4 96.0 94.0 92.0 92.6 89.3 90.7 87.0 88.2
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Source: CUNA Economics & Statistics and CUNA Mutual Group - Economics
25 Below The Surface We See Some Signs of Disruption
% of CUs With No or Negative Membership Growth: 2011-2017 Asset Category
70%
53%
31%
10% 9% 3%
< $20M $20M-$100M $100M-$500M $500M-$1B $1B-$5B $5B+
Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report Data, CUNA Mutual Group analysis
26 Disruptive Startups Trying To Unbundle CUs & Banks
Source: “How Retail Banking Should Take A Few Cues From The Software Industry”, People. Paper. Electrons, 1/30/2015
27 Disruptive Startups Trying To Unbundle CUs & Banks
Source: “How Retail Banking Should Take A Few Cues From The Software Industry”, People. Paper. Electrons, 1/30/2015
28 Disruptive Startups Partnering with Financial Institutions
Source: “How Retail Banking Should Take A Few Cues From The Software Industry”, People. Paper. Electrons, 1/30/2015
29 30 Nearer-Term Threat: Disruptive Financial Institutions
31 Share of Originated Personal Loan Balances
Traditional Timeframe/Lender Banks Credit Unions FinTechs Finance
2017 (Through 29% 24% 32% 15% June)
Full year 2016 26% 23% 30% 21%
Full year 2015 27% 22% 28% 23%
Full year 2012 35% 32% 4% 29%
32 Source: Transunion 11/17 Disruption Example: Florida CU Member
*Note: Includes direct mail, email, online display ads Source: Competiscan; CUNA Mutual analysis
33 Demographics vs Psychographics
34 Disruption Example: Florida CU Member
*Note: Includes direct mail, email, online display ads Source: Competiscan; CUNA Mutual analysis
35 SECTION 3
Signs Your CU is Being Disrupted
3636 Possible Signs Of Disruption
1 Your MEMBER VALUE PROPOSITION membership has been declining in recent years MEMBERSHIP
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
37 Possible Signs Of Disruption
NET OPERATING 2 INTEREST < EXPENSES Your assets INCOME
per branch CAPITAL & EXPENSES have been falling steadily tied up can’t be in inefficient redeployed to branch provide new networks products & services
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
38 Possible Signs Of Disruption
3 PRIMARY FINANCIAL The percentage INSTITUTION of members metric having share draft accounts MEMBER has been declining value proposition
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
39 Possible Signs Of Disruption
4 EARLY WARNING SIGN Your average of disruption number of products per NEGATIVE FEEDBACK member loop has declined
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
40 Possible Signs Of Disruption
FUTURE BORROWER PIPELINE 5 IS IN JEOPARDY The share of members Gen Y (18-34) Loan to Share < 30 years old = Baby boomers has dropped (52-70) in recent years
= = = = L/S >YOA >ROA >ROE >Asset Growth
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
41 Possible Signs Of Disruption
6 WHICH “PIRANHAS” Your members’ are your members using? outbound ARE DISRUPTIVE ACH payees FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS include Lending Club, gaining a foothold with your members? Prosper, Sofi, Wells Fargo, Chase, etc.
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
42 Possible Signs Of Disruption
1 2 3 Your Your assets The percentage membership per branch of members having has been declining have been share draft accounts falling steadily in recent years has been declining
4 5 6 Your average The share Your members’ number of products of members outbound per member < 30 years old ACH payees has declined has dropped include Lending Club, in recent years Prosper, Sofi, Wells Fargo, Chase, etc.
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis
43 SECTION 4
Moving Beyond Disruption
4444 Disruptive Financial Strive to provide a true Institutions: 1 omnichannel experience Defining Deliver a simple, convenient 2 Characteristics user experience
3 Optimize branch networks
4 Provide tools that deliver value
5 Leverage data analytics extensively
6 Actively engage in experimentation
7 Invest, acquire and engage in strategic partnerships
45 Imitation Is The Sincerest Form Of Flattery
46 Embrace Member Centricity
Provide a robust, consistent multi-channel experience
Optimize branch networks
Become an “analytical credit union”
Actively engage in and How Can support experimentation Credit Unions Create More Make strategic build / buy / partner / Member Value? collaborate decisions
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 4747 PFM Embrace Tools / Financial Patronage Dividends Rewards Member Education Programs Centricity: Examples
Competitive Rates Relationship Underwriting / Pricing
48 Member Centric Experience: Reducing Anxiety is Key
49 Embrace Member Centricity
Provide a robust, consistent multi-channel experience
Optimize branch networks
Become an “analytical credit union”
Actively engage in and How Can support experimentation Credit Unions Create More Make strategic build / buy / partner / Member Value? collaborate decisions
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 5050 Provide A Robust Multi-Channel Experience
Percent of Individuals Using Each Channel by Interaction Type Online Mobile In person ATM
PAY BILLS 69% 21% 16% 0%
DEPOSIT CHECK (entire amt.) 5% 17% 60% 30%
OPEN DEPOSIT 33% 19% 73% 0% ACCT.
% OF CU’S* OFFERING 98% 84% 100% 97%
* Credit unions with total assets > $20M Source: “Channel Effectiveness For Financial Services”, The Nielsen Company, 6/1/2016; NCUA 5300 Call Report Data
51 Embrace Member Centricity
Provide a robust, consistent multi-channel experience
Optimize branch networks
Become an “analytical credit union”
Actively engage in and How Can support experimentation Credit Unions Create More Make strategic build / buy / partner / Member Value? collaborate decisions
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 5252 CU Branch Networks: Greater Efficiencies Needed
53 Embrace Member Centricity
Provide a robust, consistent multi-channel experience
Optimize branch networks
Become an “analytical credit union”
Actively engage in and How Can support experimentation Credit Unions Create More Make strategic build / buy / partner / Member Value? collaborate decisions
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 5454 Data & Analytics: Financial Services Applications
Customer Operational Insight Efficiency
Customer Risk Centricity Management
Adapted from: “Banking on Big Data: Harnessing Big Data to Drive valuable Big Decisions,” Cognizant, July 23, 2014
Underpinned by a Robust Data & Analytics Capability
55 Embrace Member Centricity
Provide a robust, consistent multi-channel experience
Optimize branch networks
Become an “analytical credit union”
Actively engage in and How Can support experimentation Credit Unions Create More Make strategic build / buy / partner / Member Value? collaborate decisions
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 5656 Research publications
Centers of Excellence
I3 (Ideas, Innovation, Implementation) Actively Engage In Incubator And Support Experimentation
57 Embrace Member Centricity
Provide a robust, consistent multi-channel experience
Optimize branch networks
Become an “analytical credit union”
Actively engage in and How Can support experimentation Credit Unions Create More Make strategic build / buy / partner / Member Value? collaborate decisions
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 5858 Invests in early-stage FinTech and InsurTech companies to learn from each other and bring disruptive technologies into credit union ecosystem Uses the technology and innovative solutions in our portfolio of companies through commercial arrangements designed to address gaps and opportunities within the insurance and credit union spaces
59 Embrace Member Centricity
Provide a robust, consistent multi-channel experience
Optimize branch networks
Become an “analytical credit union”
Actively engage in and Recap: support experimentation Six Action Steps For Creating More Make strategic build / buy / partner / Member Value collaborate decisions
Source: CUNA Mutual Group Analysis 6060 What Will The “Disruptors” Look Like For Your CU?
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61 62 Q & A
63 CUNA Mutual Group is the marketing name for CUNA Mutual Holding Company, a mutual insurance holding company, its subsidiaries and affiliates. CORP-1845303.1-0717-0819 www.cunamutual.com