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Indicator South Africa VOLUME THIRTEEN NUMBER THREE WINTER 1996 INDICATOR SOUTH AFRICA THE BAROMETER OF SOCIAL TRENDS M E M B E R S MAJOR DONORS Anglo American & De Beers Chairman's Fund Education Trust First National Bank of Southern Africa Ltd Human Sciences Research Council South African Breweries Ltd AECI Ltd * Africa Institute of SA * Amalgamated Beverage Industries * Barlow Limited * BP Southern Africa * Chamber of Mines of SA * Colgate-Palmolive (Pty) Ltd * Data Research Africa * Durban Regional Chamber of Business * ESKOM * Gencor SA Limited * Johannesburg Consolidated Investment Co Ltd * Johnson & Johnson * S. C. Johnson Wax * Konrad Adenauer Stiftung * KwaZulu Finance & Investment Corp * Liberty Life * Malbak Ltd * Nampak * Pick 'n Pay Corporate Services * Pretoria Portland Cement Co * Rand Merchant Bank * Richards Bay Minerals * Sanlam * SA Sugar Association * Southern Life * Standard Bank Foundation * Starcke Associates * Suncrush Limited * University of South Africa (UNISA) * Vaal Reef Exploration & Mining Co Ltd * Wooltru Ltd INDICATOR SOUTH AFR ICA Ym might think they are worlds apart WOOLTRU committed to the Future of South Africa. Ingenuity. Craftsmanship. Universal qualities. WQLWOKTHS "FRUWORTHS TOPICS C™*^) Like the talents that bring people together in appreciation of creative excellence. JCI invests time and money enhancing these qualities in people from all walks of life. Johannesburg Consolidated Investment Company Limited. Looking forward to the future. m Lin II "iijiiiiiiiiiiii,, I llfffiiiiiiiiiMiF We at Johnson & Johnson prefer to take a long term view of things with an optimism borne of a sound reputation. A reputation based on superior levels of customer service and backed by personnel whose attention to product is equally uncompromising. By constantly reassessing, developing and setting higher standards, we aim to continue to provide hospitals and their allied professions with an even more comprehensive range of professional products, serviced by our own specialized divisions: Critikon. Ethicon. And Surgikos. Look out for Johnson & Johnson. You'll discover a company setting new f PROFESSIONAL PRODUCTS PROFESSIONELEPRODUKTE P.O. Box273 New Road, Halfway standards. Now. And in the future. Halfway House 1685 House. Tel805-2110 Helping the hands that heal. WINTER 1996 Editorial President Mandela in the United Kingdom, Deputy SOUTH AFRICA President Mbeki in the United States and Olympic gold INDICATOR medals - South Africa is in the world news again - happily as a result of events which make us proud. On the political front, the South African ambassadors Quarterly Report VOLUME 13 NUMBER 3 undoubtedly had much explaining to do. Internally, continuing political violence in KwaZulu-Natal and concomitant political instability raises concerns, as CONTENTS does crime and industrial action. But it is South Africa's role in the region that increasingly Trading Places: 64 attracts the heat of the international spotlight. This wmmiM nomiou Nigeria and South Africa country is under mounting pressure to provide a POLITICAL MONITOR normative model of reconciliation and reconstruction Adekeye Adebajo and Chris Landsberg Africa's future wars will be waged against poverty and which developing countries on the continent and KwaZulu-Natal's Constitution: 31 in favour of political liberalisation. South Africa is better beyond may learn from. Added to this formidable task, Majority Rules, OK? Turning Point Or Footnote? positioned than Nigeria to lead the continent. South Africa is also expected to be Southern Africa's The GNU and Multiparty Democracy Alexander M. Johnston economic powerhouse. David Welsh The bruising experience of the constitution making Responding to Jung and Shapiro's criticisms of the process showed that the term 'ruling party'has limited Under the new global order in which state boundaries Government of National Unity, this article argues that it significance. have become increasingly porous, these challenges helped stabilise the country. are unavoidable. This edition of Indicator SA focuses on cross-border migration and other issues pertinent to the Shifting The Balance? 36 region. Articles consider whether stronger border Local Elections in KwaZulu-Natal controls are the answer, or whether refugees deserve Defending Borders:Strategic Charm Govender preferential treatment over the inappropriately named Responses to Illegal Immigrants Votes were cast in terms of material and economic DEVELOPMENT MONITOR Hussein Solomon interests. The ANC is popular with urban African 'illegal aliens'. communities, while the IFP retains its rural dominance. Evaluating responses to the influx of illegal immigrants The Development Corridor Route: 70 into the country, this article concludes that stronger But a common thread runs through all these debates: border controls are needed. New Highways or Old By-ways? the ultimate solution will require a cooperative effort by Anticlimax: 41 Philip Harrison and Alison Todes all countries in the region to tackle the root causes of Cape Town's Local Elections This article considers the Witbank-Maputo Corridor and mass migrations. In her article, Ryan Sinclair warns that proposed KwaZulu-Natal corridors. The idea is Jeremy Seekings conceptually crude and needs refining. the potential for refugee crises in Africa is great, Unwilling Aliens: Forced Migrants 14 In a supposedly titanic local government contest, the whether from political persecution, civil war, in the New South Africa ANC's challenge petered out and the NP limped into environmental degradation or economic ruin. But what power, maintaining its dominant position. Marion Ryan Sinclair of the short term? How should the inevitable influx of A distinction must be made between forced and people be handled? voluntary migration, as refugees are inevitably and 76 inappropriately branded 'illegals'. [Resettling Old Scores: 46 Learning the Home Way: An analogy borrowed from Ryan Sinclair's article Land Restitution in KwaZulu-Natal Home Schooling and the SA Schools Bill presents an insightful comment on short term Cherryl Walker Kate Durham strategies. Returning to international events, this year's This article describes the major issues confronting the Greater school choice and parental involvement are the trend internationally. Home schooling is a valid option, Commission on Restitution of Land Rights' work in Mount Everest expedition is one many South Africans Old Habits Die Hard: 19 unduly restricted in the draft SA Schools Bill. KwaZulu-Natal. feel ambivalent about. It illustrates a world in which Can SADC Counter Military morality is qualified by location, for these mountain Intervention in Southern Africa? climbers - over a certain elevation. Ryan Sinclair Jakkie Cilliers and Mark Malan asserts that a similar ethic now characterises Civil-military relations are fragile in Africa, which international refugee policy in which politics and presents a major challenge to the Southern African COMPARATIVE MONITOR 80 Development Community's task. Power For the Green People? financial costs determine humanitarian assistance. The Constitution and the Environment Michael Kidd Immigration to the United States: 52 The Constitution is an improvement, but the I would like to dedicate this issue to the memory of Issues and Problems environmental right may be sidestepped by the Donna Taylor. Many of us at Indicator were touched limitations clause or conflict with other rights in the Manuel Orozco by her brightness every so often in the office. ECONOMIC MONITOR Constitution. Anti-immigration sentiment is increasing in the US. Having brought so much energy and sun to While certain immigration trends are related to foreign Indicator, we wish her mother and Indicator Press policy and racial identification, the global context is editor, Karen Mac Gregor, all possible strength. important. Economic Outlook 25 Richard Simson The 'Brown Agenda': Environment 84 The macroeconomy has recently endured a major Integration Politics: 59 and Development in Cato Manor Antoinette Louw, Editor change. Foreign exchange markets have been volatile European Union Lessons For Southern Africa and the rand has suffered considerably. Zarina Patel MeshackM. Khosa Urbanisation in Third World cities causes environmental problems that undermine quality of life, This article argues that South Africa should encourage INDICATOR SOUTH AFRICA produces Quarterly Reports and INDICATOR particularly among the poor. These issues are central less polarised economic development and a more PRESS publishes investigative books. Both are based in the Centre for Social to urban management. and Development Studies at the University of Natal, Durban Opinions Cover painting by Louisa Wassenaar democratic political environment in the region. expressed are not necessarily those of the Editorial Committee and should not be taken to represent the policies ot companies or organisations which are donor members of Indicator Soulh Africa. Indicator Press Editor Karen Mac Gregor Production Rob and Marion Evans © Copyright for all material herein is held by INDICATOR SOUTH AFRICA. Indicator SA & Crime and Conflict Editor Antoinette Louw Editorial Committee Simon Bekker, Murk Bennett, Rob Evans, Mervyn Frost Permission to republish or reproduce any part of this publication must be Editorial Assistant Sarah Frost Administration/Marketing Pat Fismer Richard Humphries. Myrna Kaplan. Meshack Khosa, Antoinette Louw. Karen Mac Gregor, obtained from the publisher. Printing Creda (Natal) Julian May. Mike McGrath, Valerie Miller,
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