2018 PROVINCIAL MONSOON CONTINGENCY PLAN-2018 Mr. Muhammad Tariq Director General PDMA Balochistan ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: Monsoon Contingency Plan (MCP) is developed under overall guidance and supervision of Mr. Muhammad Tariq, Director General, PDMA Balochistan Mr. Attaullah Mengal, Director (Planning), Mr. Naveed Ahmed, (Deputy Director , Planning), Mr. Suleman Aziz, (Assistant Director (Planning) and Abdul Ghaffar (Computer Operator), actively participated in preparation of Monsoon Contingency Plan 2018. This MCP plan has been prepared in consultation with Government Line Departments, District Administration and Humanitarian Response Agencies. PDMA gratefully acknowledges the contributions made to this MCP document by different stakeholders including Southern Command (Army), Government Line Departments, Divisional Commissioners, District Administration by sharing the necessary information and data to make this documents a comprehensive plan. This MCP gratefully acknowledges the hard work of everyone that contributed in order to produce this documents which will serve as a guiding document during this monsoon spell in all 3 stages of disaster. 2 Table of Contents S.NO CONTENTS PAGE NO 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5 2 BALOCHISTAN OVERVIEW 6 2.1 Geography 6 2.2 Geology 7 2.3 DEMOGRAPHY 7 2.4 CLIMATE 8 2.5 Economy 8 2.6 RIVERS & STREAMS SYSTEM IN BALOCHISTAN 9 2.7 ADMINISTRATIVE SYSTEM 9 2.8 HAZARD AND RISK ANALYSIS 9 2.9 IDENTIFICATION OF MOST VULNERABLE DISTRICTS 11 2.10 IDENTIFICATION OF VULNERABLE UNION COUNCILS IN 11 MOST VULNERABLE DISTRICTS 3 MONSOON CONTINGENCY PLAN – 2018 12 3.1 AIM 12 3.2 OBJECTIVES 12 3.3 SCOPE 12 4 SCENARIOS AND CORRESPONDING CASELOADS 13 4.1 THE WORST CASE SCENARIO (2007) 13 4.2 SUMMARY OF DAMAGES 2007 14 4.3 MODERATE SCENARIO 14 4.4 EXPECTED SCENARIOS AND CORRESPONDING CASELOADS 14 4.5 NEEDS IN WORST CASE 15 4.5.1 FOOD ITEMS (FOOD PACKETS) 15 4.5.2 NON FOOD ITEMS 15 4.6 DIVISIONAL LEVEL CASELOADS 16 4.6.1 DIVISIONAL LEVEL NEEDS 17 4.7 STOCKS FOR SEARCH AND RESCUE 18 5 EMERGENCY STOCK PILLING AND LOGISTIC Plan 18 6 INUNDATION AND EVACUATION MAP 19 7 SOPs AND ADMINISTRATIVE ARRANGEMENTS. 21 7.1 REQUISITIONING OF ARMED FORCES. 21 7.2 SUSPENSION/ RESTORATION OF ESSENTIAL SERVICES. 21 7.3 ADMINISTRATIVE SETUP (CHAIN OF COMMAND). 21 DDMA Level Divisional Level Provincial Level 7.4 EARLY WARNING SYSTEM. 22 7.5 MEDIA COVER: 22 7.6 FLOW OF INFORMATION 22 7.6.1 IMPORTANT NOTE 22 8 KEY HUMANITARIAN CONSEQUENCES 22 9 COORDINATION ARRANGEMENTS FOR FLOODS 23 9.1 MONSOON 2018 COORDINATION ARRANGEMENT 24 3 9.2 THE WORKING GROUPS IN ABSENCE OF CLUSTERS 24 10 PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE PLANNING 25 10.1 PDMA PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE ACTIVITES 25 10.2 OTHER RESPONSE ACTIVITIES OF PDMA WITH THE ONSET 25 OF DISASTER 10.3 IRRIGATION AND POWER DEPARTMENT 26 10.3.1 ANNUAL RAINFALL IN HYDRO GEOLOGICAL BASINS 27 10.3.2 FLOOD CONTINGENCY PLAN 2018 27 10.3.3 ESTABLISHMENT OF FLOOD WARNING CENTERS 28 10.3.4 NOMINATION OF FOCAL PERSON 28 10.3.5 COORDINATION WITH THE SISTER DEPARTMENTS 28 10.3.6 LIAISONS WITH IRRIGATION DEPARTMENT GOVERNMENT 29 OF SINDH 10.3.7 IMMEDIATE RESPONSE IN CASE OF FLOODS 29 10.3.8 EMERGENCY / O&M BUDGETARY ALLOCATION (NON 29 DEVELOPMENT) 10.3.9 STATUS OF HEAVY MACHINERY 29 10.4 HEALTH DEPARTMENT 30 10.4.1 ACTIONS TAKEN FOR MONSOON 2018 30 10.4.2 HEALTH INSTITUTIONS IN BALOCHISTAN 31 10.4.3 EMERGENCY TASK FORCE AT PROVINCIAL & DISTRICT 32 LEVEL 10.4.4 COMPOSITION OF HEALTH TASK FORCE AT PROVINCIAL 32 LEVEL 10.4.5 COMPOSITION OF HEALTH TASK FORCE AT DISTRICT LEVEL 32 10.4.6 NUTRITION CELL HEALTH DEPARTMENT 32 10.4.6.1 ABOUT NUTRITION CELL 33 10.4.6.2 MANDATE OF THE CELL 33 10.4.7 PARTNERS 33 10.4.8 CAPACITY BUILDING INITIATIVES 33 10.4.9 INFORMATION MANAGEMENT & REPORTING 34 10.5 C & W DEPARTMENT 34 10.5.1 STOCK STATUS 34 10.6 PUBLIC HEALTH ENGINEERING 34 10.6.1 STOCK STATUS 35 10.7 EDUCATION DEPARTMENT 36 10.8 CIVIL DEFENCE 36 10.9 PAKISTAN METROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT 36 10.10 GENDER ASPECTS AND PREPAREDNESS 37 10.11 UN AGENCIES / HUMANITARIANS 39 10.12 HUMANITARIAN PRESENCE & ACTION IN THE PROVINCE 39 11 ASSESSMENT PLANNING 40 12 PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS OR PLANS 40 13 EMERGENCY RESPONSE 40 14 REFERENCES 42 15 ANNEXURE 43 4 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The 21st century has already been marked by escalating economic losses and human devastation caused by natural disasters. Annual figures from 2000-2007 globally average out at 400 disasters per year in 120 countries affecting 230 million people and causing an annual average of $80 billion in economic losses. Disasters exact an enormous toll not only on lives, but also on livelihoods, homes, basic social services and community infrastructure. These losses materially affect the prospects of disaster-prone countries for achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Disaster-related deaths occur disproportionately in low and medium human development countries. Investing in disaster reduction as part of development protects the achievement of the MDGs. Disaster reduction efforts not only minimize losses but also encourage development and promote achievement of MDG targets. Pakistan is at high risk of major disasters, including earthquakes, flash/riverine floods, droughts, nuclear disasters, as well as conflict. Among all disasters, Floods are ranked on top of the list due to its high frequency and human sufferings since last two decades. Heavy rains in the recent past years have triggered both flash floods and riverine floods in several parts of Pakistan resulting in huge loss to lives, widespread displacement of population and widespread destruction of infrastructure. Thousands of people have lost their homes and livelihoods. In addition, flooding in Pakistan is now a regular phenomenon that has adversely affected the economic growth of the country. Balochistan province is one of the most vulnerable provinces of Pakistan which are prone to both riverine and flash floods. In Balochistan, monsoon flooding occurs almost every year. Recent disasters pertaining to floods (2007, 2010, 2012, 2013) has wrought economic pain and wide spread destruction in the province. The ongoing structural poverty experienced by many communities, as well as incomplete recovery of the 2010 monsoon flood- affected districts; pose even greater vulnerability risk to the potential future flooding. Even a moderate flooding could have devastating effects on some of the communities. The lessons learnt from past disasters (2005, 2007, 2010, 2012 and 2013 floods) call for quick and effective actions to control the situation and above all save lives. However, effective action depends on the existence of ready-made and well tested contingency plans. PDMA Balochistan like every year has agreed to prepare a Provincial Monsoon Contingency Plan (PMCP), which will enable government of Balochistan, humanitarian community and other stakeholders to be better prepared for the forthcoming monsoon season. Aim behind this exercise is management of disasters/emergencies pertaining to floods through hazard mapping, vulnerability assessment, resource mapping, gap analysis and effective coordination among government and humanitarians. PDMA has adopted the bottom up approach as usual for the formulation of the provincial monsoon contingency plan i-e starting the process from vulnerable communities, union councils, districts, division and then provincial line departments, plus humanitarians. Keeping in view the past trend of 5 disasters, its frequency of occurrence, damages and loses both human as well as capital, deliberations with relevant stakeholders, PDMA has declared 15 districts as extremely vulnerable out of total 34 districts with regards to flood hazard. Besides, PDMA has further identified the extremely vulnerable UCs in 15 extremely vulnerable Identified districts and the monsoon contingency plan shall revolve around 15 extremely vulnerable districts and its pre-identified extremely vulnerable UCs with anticipating two possible scenarios i-e Worst Case Scenario and Moderate Case Scenario to calculate the needs, identify the gaps and to mobilize resources in order to bridge that gap. 2. BALOCHISTAN OVERVIEW 2.1 GEOGRAPHY Balochistan is situated in the southwest of Pakistan and covers an area of 347,190 square kilometres (134,050 sq mi). It is Pakistan's largest province by area, constituting 44% of Pakistan's total land mass. The province is bordered by Afghanistan to the north and north-west, Iran to the south-west, Punjab and Sindh, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and the Federally Administered Tribal Areas to the north- east. To the south lies the Arabian Sea. Balochistan is located on the south-eastern part of the Iranian plateau. It borders the geopolitical regions of the Middle East and Southwest Asia, Central Asia and South Asia. Balochistan lies at the mouth of the Strait of Hormuz and provides the shortest route from seaports to Central Asia. Its geographical location has placed the otherwise desolate region in the scope of competing global interests for all of recorded history. 6 The capital city Quetta is located in a densely populated portion of the Sulaiman Mountains in the north-east of the province. It is situated in a river valley near the Bolan Pass, which has been used as the route of choice from the coast to Central Asia, entering through Afghanistan's Kandahar region. The British and other historic empires have crossed the region to invade Afghanistan by this route. Balochistan is rich in exhaustible and renewable resources; it is the second major supplier of natural gas in Pakistan. The province's renewable and human resource potential has not been systematically measured or exploited due to pressures from within and without Pakistan. Local inhabitants have chosen to live in towns and have relied on sustainable water sources for thousands of years. 2.2 GEOLOGY The Balochistan province represents Triassic to recent strata with different tectonometallic and sedimentary basins like Balochistan basin, part of Indus Suture (Axial Belt), Sulaiman (middle Indus) and Kirthar (lower Indus) basins.