Of 20 UK General Election Constituency Data
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UK General Election Constituency Data Tables – last updated Monday 7th April 2015 The tables below list constituencies by alphabetical order. If you are unsure of your constituency, you can find out at http://www.theyworkforyou.com/ . This information will be updated periodically: please check www.scotlandinunion.co.uk for the latest version. Aberdeen North GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour (Frank 44% No Info SNP 4/9 Doran) 2nd SNP 22% No Info Labour(Richard Baker) 3rd Lib Dems 19% No Info UKIP 100/1 4th Conservative 12.4% No Info Cons and Lib-Dems 150/1 Notes: SNP Target #4 Aberdeen South GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour ( Anne 36.5% No Info SNP 8/11 Begg) 2nd Lib Dems 28.40% No Info Labour( Anne Begg) 5/4 3rd Conservatives 20.7% No Info Lib-Dems 50/1 4th SNP 11.9% No Info Conservative 100/1 Notes: Lib Dem target #1 Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR. Page 1 of 20 Airdrie and Shotts GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % Ashcroft, Jan % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour (Pamela 58.2% SNP 47% SNP 4/6 Nash) 2nd SNP 23.5% Labour 39% Labour( Pamela Nash) 5/4 3rd Conservatives 8.7% Conservatives 7% UKIP 125/1 4th Lib-Dems 8.1% Conserv and Lib-Dems 125/1 Notes: Angus GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st SNP (Mike Weir) 39.6% No Info SNP 1/100 2nd Conservatives 30.9% No Info Conservatives(Derek 33/1 Wann) 3rd Labour 17.2% No Info Labour 50/1 4th Lib-Dems 10.8% No Info Green and UKIP 100/1 Notes: Conservative target #2 Argyll and Bute GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Lib Dems (Alan Reid 31.6% No Info SNP 1/12 ) 2nd Conservatives 24% No Info Lib Dems(Alan Reid) 12/1 3rd Labour 22.7% No Info Conserv and Labour 25/1 4th SNP 18.9% No Info UKIP 200/1 Notes: Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR. Page 2 of 20 Ayr, Carrick and Cummock GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Sandra 47% SNP 42% SNP 4/6 Osborne) 2nd Conservatives 25.5% Labour 31% Labour(Sandra 6/4 Osborne) 3rd SNP 18% Conservatives 21% Conservatives 40/1 4th Lib-Dems 9.3% Lib-Dems and UKIP 200/1 Notes: Banff and Buchan GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st SNP (Eildh 43.3% No Info SNP 1/100 Whiteford) 2nd Conservatives 30.8% No Info Conservatives 25/1 (Alex Johnstone) 3rd Labour 14% No Info Labour/ UKIP 100/1 4th Lib-Dems 11.3% No Info Notes: Largest swing recorded in Scotland (10.6 SNP to CON) Berwickshire, Roxburgh, and Selkirk GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Lib Dems(Michael 45.4% No Info Lib Dems(Michael 6/4 Moore) Moore) 2nd Conservatives 33.8% No Info Conservatives 7/4 3rd Labour 10.2% No Info SNP 11/4 4th SNP 9.2% No Info UKIP, Labour 150/1 Notes: Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR. Page 3 of 20 Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st LibDems(John 41.4% No Info SNP 8/15 Thurso) 2nd Labour 24.6% No Info Lib Dems(John Thurso) 15/8 3rd SNP 19.2% No Info Labour 33/1 4th Conservative 13% No Info Conservatives 150/1 Notes: Central Ayrshire GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Brian 47.7% No Info Labour(Brian Donohoe) 8/11 Donohoe) 2nd Conservatives 20.4% No Info SNP 5/4 3rd SNP 19% No Info Conservatives 66/1 4th Lib-Dems 11.9% No Info Lib-Dems, UKIP 125/1 Notes: Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % Ashcroft, Jan % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Tom 66.6% SNP 46% Labour( Tom Clarke) 8/11 Clarke) 2nd SNP 16.9% Labour 43% SNP 6/5 3rd Lib Dems 8.5% Conservatives 6% Greens, UKIP 150/1 4th Conservative 8.1% Conserv, Lib-Dems 200/1 Notes: Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR. Page 4 of 20 Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % Ashcroft, Jan % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Gregg 57.2% SNP 52% SNP 1/3 McClymont) 2nd SNP 23.8% Labour 34% Labour 5/2 (Gregg McClymont) 3rd Lib-Dems 9.5% Conservatives 6% Conservatives, Greens 200/1 4th Conservative 8.3% UKIP 200/1 Notes: Dumfries and Galloway GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Russell 45% SNP 34% Labour 5/4 Brown) ( Russell Brown) 2nd Conservatives 31.6% Conservatives 30% SNP 6/4 3rd SNP 12.3% Labour 28% Conservatives 9/2 4th Lib-Dems 8.8% Green 100/1 Notes: Bookies in March and April disagree with Ashcroft in Feb. This is a close one to call, but it is interesting that the bookies’ odds have widened since March. Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Conservatives(David 38% Conservatives 34% Conservatives 4/6 Mundell) (David Mundell) 2nd Labour 28.9% SNP 34% SNP 7/4 3rd Lib Dems 19.8% Labour 28% Labour 16/1 4th SNP 10.8” Green 100/1 Notes: Conservative target #3 Polls and bookies close between SNP and Conservatives – but consistent in showing both ahead of Labour. Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR. Page 5 of 20 Dundee East GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st SNP(Stewart Hosie) 37.8% No Info SNP 1/100 2nd Labour 33% No Info Labour( Lesley 20/1 Brennan) 3rd Conservatives 15.2% No Info UKIP 100/1 4th Lib-Dems 10.6% No Info Conserv and Lib-Dems 200/1 Notes: Labour target #1 Dundee West GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % Ashcroft, Jan % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour( Jim 48% SNP 59% SNP 1/10 McGovern) 2nd SNP 37.8% Labour 25% Labour( Jim McGovern) 7/1 3rd Lib Dems 11.4% Conservatives 6% Conservatives 125/1 4th Conservative 9.3% Lib-Dems 150/1 Notes: SNP target #2 Dunfermline and West Fife GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Thomas 46.3% No Info Labour 4/6 Docherty) (Thomas Docherty) 2nd Lib Dems 35.1% No Info SNP 6/4 3rd SNP 10.6% No Info Lib Dems, UKIP 100/1 4th Conservative 6.8% No Info Conservative 200/1 Notes: Regained by Labour after by-election loss to Lib Dems Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR. Page 6 of 20 East Dunbartonshire GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Lib Dems(Jo 38.7% No Info SNP 4/6 Swinson) 2nd Labour 34.1% No Info Lib Dems( Jo Swinson) 10/3 3rd Conservatives 15.5% No Info Labour 4/1 4th SNP 10.5% No Info Conservative 50/1 Notes: Labour target #3 East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Michael 51.1% No Info SNP 4/6 McCann) 2nd SNP 23% No Info Labour 11/8 (Michael McCann) 3rd Conservatives 13% No Info Green, UKIP 100/1 4th Lib-Dems 9.9% LIB-Dems 125/1 Notes: East Lothian GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Fiona 44.6% No Info Labour 8/15 O’Donnell) (Fiona O’Donnell) 2nd Conservatives 19.7% No Info SNP 6/4 3rd Lib Dems 16.9% No Info Conservatives, UKIP 100/1 4th SNP 16% No Info Green 100/1 Notes: Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR. Page 7 of 20 East Renfrewshire GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % Ashcroft, Feb % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Jim 50.8% Labour 34% Labour( Jim Murphy) 4/9 Murphy) 2nd Conservatives 30.4% SNP 33% SNP 9/4 3rd Lib Dems 9.2% Conservatives 26% Conservatives 22/1 4th SNP 8.9% Lib-Dems , UKIP 125/1 Notes: Edinburgh East GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Sheila 43.4% No Info SNP 4/11 Gilmore) 2nd SNP 20.4% No Info Labour(Sheila Gilmore) 5/2 3rd Lib Dems 19.4% No Info Greens 66/1 4th Conservative 10.9% No Info Lib-Dems 125/1 Notes: Edinburgh North and Leith GE2010 Polling Bookmakers’ Odds Result % % As at Odds 6/4/2015 1st Labour(Mark 37.5% No Info Labour 4/6 Lazarowicz) (Mark Lazarowicz) 2nd Lib Dems 33.8% No Info SNP 11/8 3rd Conservatives 14.9% No Info Lib Dems 50/1 4th SNP 9.6% No Info Greens 66/1 Notes: Lib Dem target #2 Promoted by Alastair Cameron on behalf of Scotland In Union, both of 272 Bath Street, Glasgow, G2 4JR.