DOCSLIB.ORG

Deliberation in Chinese and Indian Central Planning Bureaucracies

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Deliberation in Chinese and Indian Central Planning Bureaucracies DELIBERATION IN CHINESE AND INDIAN CENTRAL PLANNING BUREAUCRACIES A Dissertation Presented to the Faculty of the Graduate School of Cornell University in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy by Ishan Joshi January 2011 ⃝c 2011 Ishan Joshi ALL RIGHTS RESERVED DELIBERATION IN CHINESE AND INDIAN CENTRAL PLANNING BUREAUCRACIES Ishan Joshi, Ph.D. Cornell University 2011 This dissertation offers a different interpretation of the causes for the suc- cessful rapid growth of the Chinese and Indian economies in the contempo- rary period by placing both cases in the same analytic framework. Guided by formal game-theoretic models of information exchange, the historical analytic narratives document how the development and subsequent transformation of these two economies was managed under the auspices of their respective Cen- tral Planning Commissions. I first re-examine the developmental period, beginning in the early 1950s, when both nations inaugurated their Soviet-inspired central planning appara- tus. While traditional treatments of such planning emphasize its poorly realized economic goals, I focus on how planners established bureaucratic institutions of deliberation and information flow from the regions to the center. These in- formation flows allowed the central government in both of these countries to better coordinate domestic economic policy through the procedural infrastruc- ture erected by these mechanisms. In China and India, the organization of the Central Planning bureaucracy solved a coordination dilemma across regional interests. This allowed for the generation and evolution of a national consensus on fundamental questions of how the economy should grow: in what direction? With what goals? With what speed? Establishing what priorities? And, realized at what cost? These difficult questions were funneled through the discussions behind the annual and longer term Five Year Plans so that leadership from dif- ferent regions could effectively coordinate their preferences on these matters of vital national interest. I then extend the framework and analysis into the contemporary period of economic liberalization. Although these two regimes differ on almost all of the formal features of their polities, they have both successfully liberalized their closed economies without significant political opposition. In fact both nations have witnessed the evolution of a broad-based national consensus in favor of the reforms. I argue that this transition was made possible since it occurred at the behest of the enduring institutions of deliberation within their central planning hierarchies, which not only established the foundations for rapid contemporary growth, but continue to manage this change even as the old levers of planning and central command have all but evaporated from the scene. BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH Ishan Joshi was born in Pune, India and moved at a very early age to San Jose, California. He grew up in India and the Bay Area, as his family moved back and forth between San Jose and Pune. His academic interests lie in Asian cultures, languages, and civilizations, as well as in the analytical study of government and politics. He specializes in Chinese and Indian affairs. iii I dedicate this dissertation to my father. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I am grateful to my dissertation committee members for their support in com- pleting this project. Professor Mary F. Katzenstein, the Chair of my Special Com- mittee, has been a friend and mentor since the first day I arrived in Ithaca, and her sage advice and guidance have sustained this project throughout. Profes- sor Thomas P. Lyons first instructed me on the workings of the Chinese econ- omy, and his course on planning and development in China was a primary in- spiration for this dissertation. Without Professor Walter R. Mebane, Jr., I sim- ply would not know how to think clearly and analytically about political sci- ence. I also thank Prof. Kevin Morrison for joining my defense committee as I completed this project, and to Prof. Christopher Way for serving as its out- side reader. The blame for errors and omissions that remain in this dissertation should be placed on the author alone. v TABLE OF CONTENTS Biographical Sketch . iii Dedication . iv Acknowledgements . v Table of Contents . vi List of Tables . ix List of Figures . x 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Economic Liberalization Without Political Opposition . 1 1.2 Overall Argument . 5 1.3 Independent Measures . 6 1.4 Dependent Measures . 10 1.5 Causal Mechanism . 13 1.6 Methodological Approach: Case Selection and Research Design . 16 1.7 Related Approaches to the Puzzle . 23 1.8 A Summary of the Chapters . 31 2 Planning and Coordination in China and India: A Theoretical and His- torical Overview 50 2.1 Approach and Argument . 50 2.1.1 Theoretical Overview . 52 2.1.2 Making Planning Fit Constraints . 54 2.1.3 Related Studies of Planning . 56 2.2 The Decision to Centralize: Regional Economies in Search of a Central Planner . 60 2.3 How did History Help Shape Expectations? . 68 2.4 Experiments with Decentralization: Coordination Against Con- straints . 81 2.4.1 Redefining the “Problem of the Planner” . 107 3 Deliberation and Policy Making in Bureaucracies 114 3.1 Introduction . 114 3.1.1 Argument . 117 3.2 Deliberation in the abstract . 121 3.3 Deliberation in Bureaucracies: An understudied phenomenon . 131 3.4 Deliberation in Chinese and Indian Planning Bureaucracies . 138 3.4.1 Administrative law and policymaking . 139 3.4.2 Scale Constraints: Information bottlenecks . 143 3.4.3 The Search for Consensus: The Aligning of Preferences . 146 3.4.4 Information Aggregation: Lobbying and Veto Power . 152 3.4.5 Local Level Deliberation . 156 3.5 Conclusion . 159 vi 3.5.1 Differences with existing studies on Chinese and Indian Bureaucratic Organization . 166 4 Consensus Deliberation and Divided Leadership 175 4.1 Introduction: The Need for a Unifying Framework . 175 4.1.1 Model: Consensus Deliberation . 181 4.1.2 Game Theory: Deliberation and Cheap Talk . 185 4.2 Model: Leadership Unity and Consensus Deliberation . 189 4.2.1 Stages of Play . 193 4.3 Discussion: An Interpretation of Four Scenarios . 222 4.3.1 Endogenous amounts of Allowable Bias . 222 4.3.2 Single-agent Deliberation . 225 4.3.3 Divided Leadership and Double-Agent Deliberation . 225 4.3.4 The Central Planner’s Correlated Strategy . 227 5 Divided Leadership, Deliberation and Pre-reform Planning 230 Analytic Narrative I: Applying the Model To Pre-Reform China and India ................................... 230 China: From Maoist Ascendancy to Wenhua Da Geming (Cultural Revolution) . 231 India: From Nehru to Indira Gandhi’s Emergency .......... 244 The Cultural Revolution and the Emergency . 255 Concluding Remarks . 262 6 Divided Leadership, Deliberation and Reforming the Economy through Planning 270 Analytic Narrative II: The Early Period of Economic Reforms ...... 270 Leadership Division and the Governmental logic of Planning . 274 India: From Left to Right—Evolving Consensus in the 1990s . 279 Post Maoist China: From Ideology to Consensus . 292 Concluding Remarks . 302 The Value of Leadership . 304 7 Institutional Selection Under Economic Liberalization 308 7.1 Introduction: A Commitment to Liberalize through Planning . 308 7.2 Studying Economic Reforms: A Mechanism Design Approach . 311 7.2.1 Screening versus Signaling . 313 7.2.2 A Framework with Two Scenarios . 315 Analytic Narrative III: Gradualism and the Search for Consensus in the First Phases of Reforms ......................... 327 Restructuring Planning Functions . 330 Reducing the Immobility of Factors . 338 Some Comparative Comments . 349 Conclusions . 355 vii 8 Conclusion 356 Works Cited 363 viii LIST OF TABLES 2.1 Initial Conditions ............................. 104 2.2 Major Macroeconomic Management Strategies in the Planned Periods .... 104 2.3 Major Reforms Initiated .......................... 104 2.4 India: Central Planning Objectives and Administration before Reforms 105 2.5 China: Central Planning Objectives and Administration before Reforms 106 4.1 A list of variables and parameters used ................. 190 ix LIST OF FIGURES 2.1 The Problem of Coordination with Network Externalities . 61 3.1 Local Level Deliberation in the Indian Plan . 160 3.2 Formulation and Implementation of Central Planning in India . 161 3.3 Formulation and Implementation of Central Planning in China . 162 4.1 Game Tree: Single Agent and Consensus Deliberation . 192 4.2 Policy Shifts: Retrenchment and Expansion . 194 4.3 Leadership Effect on proposed policy: pi............... 199 4.4 Leadership Effect on allowable discretion to Agent: bˆ....... 200 4.5 Reporting Stage Equilibrium with Single-Agent Deliberation . 211 4.7 Reporting Stage Equilibrium with Consensus Deliberation . 214 4.6 Diverging Preferences between Two Agents: Three values of γ.. 215 4.8 Payoffs for Pure Strategies at the Leadership Stage . 218 4.9 Payoffs for Normalized Pure Strategies at the Leadership Stage for an Expansionary Policy Shift ........................ 221 4.10 An Interpretation of Four Scenarios. 222 7.1 Institutional Selection Under Economic Reforms . 318 x CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Economic Liberalization Without Political Opposition After some twenty-plus years of sustained economic liberalization, in which China and India have made a turn from internal, self-sustaining, anti-foreign trade, autarkic, and financially insulated economic regimes to gradually more open, more free trading, and more openly competitive ones, certain striking
Load more

Recommended publications
  • The Challenge of Refurbished State Capitalism: Implications for the Global Political Economic Order
    Schwerpunkt: Staatskapitalismus Christopher A. McNally The Challenge of Refurbished State Capitalism: Implications for the Global Political Economic Order Abstract Will the global financial crisis of 2008 represent a symbolic juncture in the geo-economics of globalization? There are differing views, with some arguing that the Washington Consensus is dead, while others holding that the fundaments of the neo-liberal global order remain intact. This article engages with this debate by putting three distinct questions analytically prior: First, is there a political economic model that actually stands in con- tradistinction to the Washington Consensus and the neo-liberal global order? Second, if there is a potential challenge to the neo-liberal order, what exactly is it? And third, if such a challenge exists, what precisely is its nature and logic as it interacts with the neo-liberal global order? This article argues that there is, indeed, a chal- lenger: refurbished forms of state capitalism. However, the nature and logic of the state capitalist challenge to the U.S.-centered neo-liberal system is fundamentally different from the Soviet challenge during the Cold War. Diverse formations of capitalism are co-dependent on the global level in the present era. Refurbished state capitalism is no exception. It represents an “in-system” challenge, since it does not attempt to actively under- mine and supplant the neo-liberal order, but rather to gain influence over it. New forms of refurbished state capitalisms are thus simultaneously in symbiosis and in rivalry with the neo-liberal global order. Key words: State capitalism, Neo-liberal Order, Washington Consensus, China, Economic Development 1.
    [Show full text]
  • Socialist Planning
    Socialist Planning Socialist planning played an enormous role in the economic and political history of the twentieth century. Beginning in the USSR it spread round the world. It influenced economic institutions and economic policy in countries as varied as Bulgaria, USA, China, Japan, India, Poland and France. How did it work? What were its weaknesses and strengths? What is its legacy for the twenty-first century? Now in its third edition, this textbook is fully updated to cover the findings of the period since the collapse of the USSR. It provides an overview of socialist planning, explains the underlying theory and its limitations, looks at its implementation in various sectors of the economy, and places developments in their historical context. A new chap- ter analyses how planning worked in the defence–industry complex. This book is an ideal text for undergraduate and graduate students taking courses in comparative economic systems and twentieth-century economic history. michael ellman is Emeritus Professor in the Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Amsterdam, Netherlands. He is the author, co- author and editor of numerous books and articles on the Soviet and Russian economies, on transition economics, and on Soviet economic and political history. In 1998, he was awarded the Kondratieff prize for his ‘contributions to the development of the social sciences’. Downloaded from Cambridge Books Online by IP 128.122.253.212 on Sat Jan 10 18:08:28 GMT 2015. http://ebooks.cambridge.org/ebook.jsf?bid=CBO9781139871341 Cambridge Books Online © Cambridge University Press, 2015 Downloaded from Cambridge Books Online by IP 128.122.253.212 on Sat Jan 10 18:08:28 GMT 2015.
    [Show full text]
  • State Capitalism
    THE FRENCH STATE CAPITALISM IN COMPARATIVE AND HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE Robert Boyer Institute of the Americas, Paris EACES Workshop "The Rise of State Capitalism: consequences for economic and political development”, HSE bulding in Armyanskiy Pereulok 4, bldg. 2, Room 418, Moscow, April 10 and 11, 2019 INTRODUCTION 1. Back to Berlin Wall collapse: the idea of an irreversible victory of the synergy between markets and democracy 2. Post the Great 2008 crisis : the structural instability of finance led capitalism, the State as a rescuer of last resort 3. Against the unequal distribution of the benefits from internationalisation: National sovereignty is defended by new movements and parties. Has the time of State capitalism come back? SYNOPSIS I. The concept of state capitalism in long run historical perspective. II. The contemporary debate: is state capitalism the successor of liberal capitalism? III. A taxonomy of various brands of state capitalisms. IV. How specific is the French state capitalism of the Golden Age? V. Was the demise of state French capitalism ineluctable? VI. Is China a new form of state capitalism and can it be exported? VII. Are multinationals and states trading place? I - THE CONCEPT OF STATE CAPITALISM IN LONG RUN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE. 1. The same word but quite different meanings and configurations 2. The State is born before the rise of capitalism 3. Its nature evolves at each step of capitalist development 4. The rise of China redefines the debate around State Capitalism. Figure 1 – A brief survey of the long run transformation of the State Capitalism nexus II - THE CONTEMPORARY DEBATE: IS STATE CAPITALISM THE SUCCESSOR OF LIBERAL CAPITALISM? 1.
    [Show full text]
  • 01-09: “Macroeconomic Policy and Sustainability”
    G-DAE Working Paper No. 01-09: “Macroeconomic Policy and Sustainability” GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AND ENVIRONMENT INSTITUTE WORKING PAPER NO. 01-09 MACROECONOMIC POLICY AND SUSTAINABILITY Jonathan Harris July 2001 Tufts University Medford MA 02155, USA http://ase.tufts.edu/gdae Ó Copyright 2001 Global Development and Environment Institute, Tufts University G-DAE Working Paper No. 01-09: “Macroeconomic Policy and Sustainability” MACROECONOMIC POLICY AND SUSTAINABILITY Jonathan Harris [email protected] Abstract The trend in mainstream economic thought about macroeconomic policy has been towards minimalism. In the optimistic Keynesian phase of the 1960's, it was assumed that both fiscal and monetary policy were effective tools for macroeconomic management. But the influence of monetarist and New Classical critiques has led to a gradual erosion of theoretical support for activist government policy. First fiscal policy fell by the wayside, perceived as too slow and possibly counterproductive in its impacts. Then New Classical and rational expectations critiques suggested that even monetary policy was ineffective. Thus the role of government policy has been reduced to a cautious effort not to make things worse B in effect a return to an economics of laissez-faire. In contrast, a sustainability perspective implies that radical and proactive government policies are required to achieve economic development that is both socially just and ecologically sound. The path of laissez-faire leads to increasing intra- and international inequality as well as increasing environmental destruction. To some extent the course of market economies can be steered through the use of sound microeconomic policies. But the fundamental redirection required for sustainable development cannot be achieved without reorienting macroeconomic policy also.
    [Show full text]
  • Economic Planning I Eco 441 Main Course
    COURSE GUIDE ECO 441 ECONOMIC PLANNING I Course Team Dr. Akinade Olushina matthew (Course Developer)-Senior Research Fellow Economist Associate Research Firm Prof. Ogunleye Edward Oladipo (Course Editor) Department of Economics Ekiti State University, Ado-Ekiti NATIONAL OPEN UNIVERSITY OF NIGERIA ECO 441 COURSE GUIDE National Open University of Nigeria Headquarters University Village Plot 91, Cadastral Zone Nnamdi Azikiwe Expressway Jabi, Abuja Lagos Office 14/16 Ahmadu Bello Way Victoria Island, Lagos e-mail: [email protected] URL: www.nou.edu.ng All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without permission in writing from the publisher. Printed 2018 ISBN: 978- 978-058-039-5 ii ECO 441 COURSE GUIDE CONTENT PAGE Introduction……………………………………………....iv Course Content …………………………………………..iv Course Aims………………………………………………iv Course Objectives…………………………………………v Working through This Course…………………………….v Course Materials…………………………………………vi Study Units……………………………………………….vi Textbooks and References……………………………....vii Assignment File…………………………………………..xi Presentation Schedule…………………………………….xi Assessment………………………………………………..xi Tutor-Marked Assignment (TMAs)……………………....xi Final Examination and Grading………………………….xii Course Marking Scheme…………………………………xii Course Overview…………………………………………xii How to Get the Most from This Course…………………xiii Tutors and Tutorials……………………………………..xiii Summary…………………………………………………xvi iii ECO 441 COURSE GUIDE INTRODUCTION ECO 441 is designed to introduce to you and to teach you the basics
    [Show full text]
  • Background Information - Evolution of ECLAC Ideas
    Background information - Evolution of ECLAC ideas 1. Origins and the 1950s: industrialization 2. 1960s: "reforms to facilitate industrialization" 3. 1970s: reorientation of development "styles" towards social homogeneity and diversification to promote exports 4. 1980s: overcoming the external debt crisis through "adjustment with growth" 5. 1990s: changing production patterns with social equity 6. Recent work For over fifty years, ECLAC has been the main global source of information and analysis concerning the economic and social situation in Latin America and the Caribbean. It has also been the only intellectual centre in the entire region that has been able to generate its own analytical approach, and consistently maintain and refine it throughout that period. The ECLAC method has been enriched by a fertile interaction between the inductive method and the theoretical abstraction originally formulated by Prebisch. The method was constructed around the periphery-centre dichotomy, which performed a twofold analytical role: first, it affirmed that the periphery-centre structure created a specific "periphery" pattern of integration into the world economy, which consisted of producing goods and services for which there was little growth in international demand, and importing goods and services for which the internal demand was rapidly expanding, while assimilating consumption patterns and technologies that were appropriate for the centre but often unsuited to the availability of resources and the income level of the periphery; second, the periphery socioeconomic structure determined a particular mode of industrialization, introducing technical progress and growth, as well as a particular way of absorbing the labour force and distributing income. Under the influence of intellectuals such as Celso Furtado, Aníbal Pinto and Aldo Ferrer, the perspective of the historical formation of the region's countries was added to the structuralist dimension, forming the "historical- structuralist" method of research and analysis.
    [Show full text]
  • Coordinated Market'
    A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Park, Sung-Jo Working Paper Developmental state in Korea (60-70ties) revisited: Institution-building for the making of 'coordinated market' Ordnungspolitische Diskurse, No. 2013-02 Provided in Cooperation with: OrdnungsPolitisches Portal (OPO) Suggested Citation: Park, Sung-Jo (2013) : Developmental state in Korea (60-70ties) revisited: Institution-building for the making of 'coordinated market', Ordnungspolitische Diskurse, No. 2013-02, OrdnungsPolitisches Portal (OPO), s.l. This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/75291 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen
    [Show full text]
  • Unit 21 Role of Planning
    UNIT 21 ROLE OF PLANNING Structure 21.0 Objectives 21.1 Introduction 21.2 Meaning and Features of Planning 21.3 Need for Planning 21.4 Nature and Scope of Planning 21.4.1 Planning in a Capitalist Economy 21.4.2 Planning in a Socialist Economy 21.4.3 Planning in a Mixed Economy 21.5 Democratic Decentralised and Indicative Planning 21.5.1 Democratic Planning and Totalitarian Planning 21.5.2 Centralised Planning and Decentralised Planning 21.5.3 Indicative Planning and Imperative Planning 21.6 Micro-level Planning 21.6.1 Rationale of Micro-level Planning 21.6.2 Problems in Micro-level Planning 21.7 Plan Models 21.7.1 Elements of Planning Models 21.7.2 Types of Planning Models 21.7.3 Factors Affecting Choice of Planning Models 21.7.4 Uses of Planning Models 21.7.5 Criticism of Planning Models 21.8 Let us Sum Up 21.9 Key words 21.10 Some Useful Books 21.11 Answers to check Your Progress. 21.0 OBJECTIVES After reading this unit you will be able to: • explain the meaning of planning as an instrument of resource allocation; • identity the features of the process of planning; • state the need for planning in the development process; • distinguish between different types of planning and explain the relative merits and demerits of each type of planning; • describe the significance of micro-level planning in the context of national planning; and • explain the structure of plan models and their usefulness in planning for economic development. 21.1 INTRODUCTION Planning can be defined as a consciously directed activity with predetermined goals and predetermined means to carry them out.
    [Show full text]
  • Economic Planning in Market Economies: Scope, Instruments, Institutions
    E U I W 0 R K I N G P A P E R N° 85/180 ECONOMIC PLANNING IN MARKET ECONOMIES: SCOPE, INSTRUMENTS, INSTITUTIONS by Domenico Mario Nuti ' r 320 EUR EUROPEAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS 320 EUR E U I W 0 R K I N G P A P E R N° 85/180 ECONOMIC PLANNING IN MARKET ECONOMIES: SCOPE, INSTRUMENTS, INSTITUTIONS by Domenico Mario Nuti BADIA FIESOLANA, SAN DOMENICO DI FIESOLE All rights reserved No part of this paper may be reproduced in any form without permission of the author (C) Domenico Mario Nuti Printed in Italy in July 1985 European University Institute Badia Fiesolana 50016 San Domenico (Fi) Italy ~ I I EUROPEAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS E U I W 0 R K I N G P A P E R N° 85/180 ECONOMIC PLANNING IN MARKET ECONOMIES: SCOPE, INSTRUMENTS, INSTITUTIONS by Domenico Mario Nuti BADIA FIESOLANA, SAN DOMENICO DI FIESOLE ECONOMIC PLANNING IN MARKET ECONOMIES: SCOPE, INSTRUMENTS, INSTITUTIONS DaMe Nuti European University Institute, Florence. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Conference new foundations for socialist policies in Britain", Cambridge, 26-29 June 1985. 1. The balance -between nplan" and "market" has been debated ad ---- in relation to the USSR, Eastern Europe and China, while for capital- ism it is the only question still debated today when.capitalist planning is discussed at all. Yet the answer to this question is relatively easy. The experience of Soviet-type economies shows that the most determined attempts at centralised control of the whole economy through direct command and detailed physical allocation lead to elemental spontaneous processes which can be no less anarchic than those of pure capitalism.
    [Show full text]
  • Organization for Forecasting and Planning: Experience in the Soviet Union and the United States Wiley IIASA International Series on Applied Systems Analysis
    Organization for Forecasting and Planning: Experience in the Soviet Union and the United States Wiley IIASA International Series on Applied Systems Analysis CONFLICTING OBJECTNES IN DECISIONS Edited by David E. Bell, University ofCambridge, Ralph L. Keeney, Woodward.clyde Consultants, San Francisco, and Howard Raiffa, Harvard University. 2 MATERIAL ACCOUNTABILITY Rudolf Avenhaus, Nuclear Research Center Karlsruhe, and University ofMannheim. 3 ADAPTNE ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT Edited by C. S. Holling, University ofBritish Columbia. 4 ORGANIZATION FOR FORECASTING AND PLANNING: EXPERIENCE IN THE SOVIET UNION AND THE UNITED STATES Edited by W. R. Dill,New York University, and G. Kh. Popov, Moscow State University. International Series on 4 Applied Systems Analysis Organization for Forecasting and Planning: Experience in the Soviet Union and the United States Edited by William R. Dill Dean ofthe Faculty ofBusiness Administration, New York University G. Kh. Popov Dean ofthe Faculty ofEconomics, Moscow State University A Wiley-Interscience Publication International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis JOHN WILEY & SONS Chichester-New York-Brisbane-Toronto Copyright © 1979 International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced by any means, nor transmitted, nor translated into a machine language without the written permission of the publisher. Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data: Main entry under title: Organization for forecasting and planning. (Wiley IIASA international series on applied systems analysis; 4) 'A Wiley-Interscience publication.' 'The foundation of the book was laid in two seminars, one held [1974] in Sochi (USSR) and organized by the Faculty of Economics of Moscow State University, and the other held [1975] in Mohonk, New York, and organized by the Faculty of Business Administration at New York University.' 1.
    [Show full text]
  • Mitchell Cohen
    From Sweden to Socialism although this terrain remains contested by well make large-scale investment and con- privatization drives. sumption aid imperative (as the recent $3 3. Integration in the world market. Here I billion loan by Germany to the Soviet Union cannot follow Heilbroner's argument. He indicated); and such aid can only be extended seems to believe that in order to establish at the expense of living standards now enjoyed socialism, his imaginary Sweden must disen- in the potentially aiding countries. It would be tangle itself from the world market, and that a manifestation of worldwide socializing ten- this would entail a change if not a decline in its dencies; I am sure that Gunnar Myrdal would standard of living. He evidently rejects the have so interpreted this development, and that notion that socialism without autarky is Willy Brandt would be inclined to do so, and possible. The evidence for this notion is the would even urge its intensification. autarkic regimes of Eastern Europe, all of 4. Bourgeois life. If living standards may be which closed themselves off against the world capped or reduced due to the imperatives of an markets and all of which broke down. This international redistribution of income, they implies that either your economy is integrated may also be impinged upon by environmental in the world market—then you can have a concerns, unless technologies are developed high standard of living, but no socialism. Or and resource planning is instituted that over- it protects itself against the world market— come such concerns and enable a shift in then your standard of living won't be great, standards of comfort rather than necessitate a but you'll have socialism.
    [Show full text]
  • Nber Working Paper Series Single Peaked Vs
    NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES SINGLE PEAKED VS. DIVERSIFIED CAPITALISM: THE RELATION BETWEEN ECONOMIC INSTITUTIONS AND OUTCOMES Richard B. Freeman Working Paper 7556 http://www.nber.org/papers/w7556 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 February 2000 The views expressed herein are those of the author and are not necessarily those of the National Bureau of Economic Research. © 2000 by Richard B. Freeman. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Single Peaked Vs. Diversified Capitalism: The Relation Between Economic Institutions and Outcomes Richard B. Freeman NBER Working Paper No. 7556 February 2000 ABSTRACT Capitalist countries have historically had quite different labour market institutions and social policies. Do these differences produce sufficiently different economic outcomes to identify a single peak set of institutions? This paper shows that: 1. Labour market institutions have large effects on distribution, but modest hard-to-uncover effects on efficiency. 2. Institutional diversity is increasing among advanced countries, as measured by the percentage of workers covered by collective bargaining. 3. The case for the US having the institutions for peak economy status rests on its 1990s full employment experience, which arguably counterbalances its high level of economic inequality The historical pattern whereby some capitalist countries do better than others in some periods (ie Japan in the 1970s-1980s), then run into problems is more consonant with the view that capitalism permits national differences in institutions to persist than with the view that all economies must converge to a single institutional structure.
    [Show full text]