Drought Tolerant Corn Report
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High and Dry Why Genetic Engineering Is Not Solving Agriculture’s Drought Problem in a Thirsty World ii High and Dry Why Genetic Engineering Is Not Solving Agriculture’s Drought Problem in a Thirsty World Doug Gurian-Sherman June 2012 © 2012 Union of Concerned Scientists All rights reserved Doug Gurian-Sherman is a senior scientist in the Food and Environment Program of the Union of Concerned Scientists. The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) is the leading science-based nonprofit working for a healthy environment and a safer world. UCS combines independent scientific research and citizen action to develop innovative, practical solutions and secure responsible changes in government policy, corporate practices, and consumer choices. The goal of the UCS Food and Environment Program is a food system that encourages innovative and environmentally sustainable ways to produce high-quality, safe, and affordable food while ensuring that citizens have a voice in how their food is grown. More information is available on the UCS website at www.ucsusa.org/food_and_agriculture. This report is available on the UCS website (www.ucsusa.org/publications) or may be obtained from: UCS Publications 2 Brattle Square Cambridge, MA 02238-9105 Or, email [email protected] or call (617) 547-5552. Cover photo: © iStockphoto.com/Drbouz ii Contents Figures iii Acknowledgments iv Executive Summary 1 Chapter 1. Introduction 6 Roadmap to the Report 6 Chapter 2. The Complexity of Drought and Efforts to Address It 7 Major Approaches to Reducing the Impact of Drought 8 The Challenges of Measuring Drought and Comparing Drought Tolerance 11 Drought Tolerance and Water-Use Efficiency 12 Summary: The Complexity of Drought and Solutions to It 12 Chapter 3. The Pipeline of Drought-Tolerant GE Crops 14 U.S. Field Trials of GE Drought-Tolerant Crops 14 Monsanto’s Drought-Tolerant Corn: The Bacterial Cold-Shock Gene 17 Summary: Monsanto’s cspB Corn and the GE Drought-Tolerance Pipeline 20 Chapter 4. Prospects for GE Drought-Tolerant Crops 22 Can Genetic Engineering Based on Single Genes Succeed? 22 Using Drought-Tolerance Genes from Plants 23 Costs, Markets, and the Time Required to Develop GE Crops 24 Chapter 5. Conclusions and Recommendations 26 Recommendations 27 References 29 Figures Figure 1. Genetic Diversity among Plants That Can Be Used in Wheat Breeding 8 Figure 2. USDA-Approved Field Trials of GE Drought-Tolerant Crops, 15 1998–2010 Figure 3. Top Five Crops in Field Trials of GE Drought-Tolerant Varieties 16 iii Acknowledgments This report is dedicated to my partner and spouse, Stacey, and my daughter, Shoshana. Without their unwavering support and encouragement, this report would not have been possible. This report was made possible in part through the generous support of the C.S. Fund, the Clif Bar Family Foundation, the Cornerstone Campaign, the David B. Gold Foundation, the Deer Creek Foundation, the Tomchin Family Charitable Foundation, and UCS members. For their thoughtful reviews of the report, the author would like to thank Major Goodman, North Carolina State University; Frank Kutka, North Dakota State University, and Seth Murray, Texas A&M University. The time entailed in reviewing a report of this length is considerable, and their comments and suggestions greatly improved it. At UCS, the author thanks Jane Rissler, who provided two of the figures, scientific literature searches, and most of the USDA field trial data. The author also thanks Margaret Mellon and Kathy Rest for their reviews of the report, Erika Spanger-Siegfried and Nadia Madden for their comments on the executive summary, and Heather Sisan for general assistance. Karen Perry-Stillerman’s editing of the executive summary, and her managerial efforts to keep the report on track, were invaluable. The advice, encouragement, and helpful edits of these colleagues influenced and improved the report’s final form. We would also like to thank Sandra Hackman for careful and precise copyediting, and Rob Catalano for his design and layout of the executive summary. The opinions and information in this report are the sole responsibility of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the foundations that supported it or the individuals who reviewed and commented on it. iv Executive Summary Droughts—periods of abnormally dry weather—can be devastating to farmers and food production. The historic Texas drought of 2011 caused a record $5.2 billion in agricultural losses, for example, making it the most costly drought on record. Similar crippling droughts have recently occurred around the world, and climate scientists expect the frequency and severity of droughts to increase, sometimes unpredictably, in some regions as the global climate heats up. Although extreme droughts receive the most attention, mild to moderate droughts actually affect more acreage, and also cause substantial crop losses. Agriculture accounts for the lion’s share of all water extracted from rivers and wells—about 70 percent—setting up conflicts between food production and other uses. And beyond competition for water among various human needs are the requirements of aquatic organisms, such as game fish prized by sportspeople, who bring dollars to local economies. Finding ways to protect food production and farmers’ livelihoods from devastation by drought—and also to reduce agriculture’s need for water—is therefore vital. The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) analyzed the prospects for improving crops in ways that can reduce water use overall, and losses during dry periods. We focused on crop genetic engineering—the lab-based manipulation of genes from any source to alter plants. Practitioners and proponents have touted the potential of genetic engineering to address drought. Biotech companies, including Monsanto, have promised to deliver new crop varieties engineered with novel genes that enable them to thrive under drought conditions. The biotech industry has also suggested that genetic engineering can reduce demand for water from crops even under normal conditions—resulting in “more crop per drop.” However, we found little evidence of progress in making crops more water efficient. We also found that the overall prospects for genetic engineering to significantly address agriculture’s drought and water-use challenges are modest at best. Genetic Engineering Offers Modest Results…at High Cost The biotech industry has so far received regulatory approval—in December 2011—for only one crop engineered for drought tolerance. Available data show that Monsanto’s so-called DroughtGard corn produces only modest results. And according to data supplied by Monsanto and analysis by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), the variety does so under only moderate drought conditions. In fact, despite what the industry may have hoped, this product—and this technology—are not a panacea for drought. Drought presents a particular challenge for genetic engineering because it can take many forms. Droughts vary in their severity and their timing in relation to crop growth. Related factors such as soil quality affect the ability of crops to withstand drought. These complications make it unlikely that any single approach or gene used to make a genetically engineered (GE) crop will be useful in all—or even most—types of drought. What’s more, many genes control drought tolerance in plants—a particular challenge for genetic engineering, which so far can manipulate only a few genes at a time. 1 Evidence is also scant that the technology will help crops and farmers use water more efficiently in the foreseeable future. Very few experimental GE crops have been designed to use water more efficiently, and none are approaching commercialization. In an era of reduced government spending, the cost-effectiveness of different technologies for improving agriculture—often supported by public research funding—is important. We found that although genetic engineering is beginning to have some success in enhancing the drought tolerance of crops such as corn, other technologies, such as classical and newer forms of breeding, continue to be more effective, at lower cost. Improved farming practices are also likely to be more effective in enhancing the ability of crops to withstand drought. Crop management practices complement genetic approaches such as breeding and genetic engineering, and should receive more public support in the form of government research and incentives. An excessive focus on genetic engineering at the expense of other approaches risks leaving farmers and the public high and dry when it comes to ensuring that the United States and other nations can produce enough food, and have enough clean freshwater, to meet everyone’s needs. Major Findings To produce this report, we analyzed scientific studies on GE drought tolerance and crop breeding, and the USDA’s database on field trials of drought-tolerant GE crops. We also reviewed Monsanto’s 2009 petition for approval of DroughtGard, and the USDA’s environmental assessment based on that petition. These sources showed that scientists engineered several types of genes, mostly from plants, for drought tolerance in the late 1990s and early 2000s. By the middle of that decade, researchers were using drought-specific gene switches, called promoters, to control when and how strongly the engineered genes are turned on. Other findings: • The annual number of USDA-regulated field trials of crops engineered for drought tolerance remained below 20 from 1998 to 2003. That number spiked to 82 in 2005, and remained between 82 and 113 for seven years, including 90 trials as of late 2011. • Developing a new GE trait typically takes about 10 to 15 years, including several years prior to field trials. Given the surge in field trials beginning in 2005, several drought-tolerance genes should be nearing approval and commercialization, if these crops have proved effective and reliable in field trials. However, as noted, the USDA has approved only one GE drought- tolerance gene and crop variety for commercial use, and no others have been submitted for approval.