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California Resiliency Alliance Weekly Wildfire Brief for July 11, 2018

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California Resiliency Alliance Weekly Wildfire Brief for July 11, 2018 Report ID #: 2018-0713-0000 Weekly Wildfire Brief Provide Feedback on this Report Notice: The information in this report is subject to change and may have evolved since the compiling of this report. BLUE Text = Newly added information and information that has changed since the last wildfire brief. GRAY Text = Infomration where nothing new has been posted since the last wildfire brief, unable to reverify the information as still being current. Inside this Brief: Summary Pg 1 Current Air Quality Map Pg 6 State Fire Map Pg 2 Wildfire Snapshot Pages Pg 7 - 16 Weather Information Pg 3 Additional Resources Pg 17 Red Flag Watches & Warnings Pg 4 Significant Fire Potential Maps Pg 5 (Previous Brief Published 7/5/18) Wildfire Summary - July 12, 2018 For reference: 1 sq mile = 640 acres ; 1 football field = approx 1.32 acres Acres % Structures Structures Burned Contained Evacuations Page Fire Threatened Destroyed [Change] [Change] Inyo County Georges Fire * 2,883 42% Lifted None listed None 7 Lake County Pawnee Fire 15,185 100% None None 22 8 (FINAL) [+185] [+8%] Madera County 4,064 90% Lions Fire None listed None listed None 9 [+0] [+17%] San Benito County Idria Fire * 116 50% None Listed None listed None listed 10 Panoche Fire * 278 70% None listed None listed None listed 11 San Bernardino County Valley Fire * 1,348 29% None listed None None 12 San Diego County West Fire * 504 100% Lifted None 65 13 (FINAL) Siskiyou County 36,500 75% Klamathon Fire YES 315 82 14 [+31,500] [+75%] 215 100% Petersburg Fire None None 2 15 [+0] [+25%] Yolo & Napa Counties 90,288 95% County Fire Lifted None 30 16 [+2,288] [+62%] -- 1 -- Weather Information Source: Cal OES Daily Situation Report - July 12, 2018 NORTHERN CALIFORNIA ***High risk due to Lightning late tonight through Friday night for Midcoast-Mendocino/Northwestern (NW) Mountains (Mtn) and Northeastern (NE) California (CA) and once again Saturday-Saturday night for eastern portions of NW Mtns and NE CA*** There is a little more resolution on the upcoming Monsoon Surge although confidence amounts remain varied in terms of cloud to ground lightning coverage. A shortwave wave currently found over southern CA will progress northward during the next 2 to 3 days. It will have abundant monsoon moisture with it, especially in the upper levels. There is a slight threat of lightning late tonight across the Bay Area and Mid Coast to Mendocino but a lot of that activity should be high based showers. The main threat for lightning (isolated to widely separated-mixture of wet and dry) will be found across the NW Mtn and NE CA, specifically Siskiyou and northern Trinity counties Friday afternoon and overnight. Portions of the Northern Sierra also have a thunderstorm threat Friday favoring the Tahoe Basin although storm movement would be very slow and contain more wetting cells. The shortwave will shift north and eastward on Saturday and allow for some drying although isolated to widely separated thunderstorms remain possible across NE CA and eastern portions of the NW Mtn. During this event period, other 's could experience lightning but the threat is very minimal and more high based showers is expected. Gusty outflow winds, potentially up to 50 mph, would accompany some of the thunderstorms. As a result of the above mentioned prediction, high risk due to lightning has been designated for portions of the Region. Drier air will filter in Sunday into early next week and temperatures will remain 5 to 15 degrees above normal. The heat is not expected to abate during next week although another Monsoon moisture surge will be possible during the middle of next week. This surge looks to be brief like the near term one. SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ***Numerous wet thunderstorms expected over Southern California (CA) and Sierras today, fewer storms expected by the weekend*** ***Warm temperatures, light winds throughout the period*** Widespread convection yesterday brought locally heavy rain to a few areas near the higher terrain. The heaviest rainfall totals likely occurred in the deserts near I-15 and in the San Bernardino Mountains where local amounts were over 1” yesterday afternoon and evening. Around a half inch fell in the Sierras as well as the northern half of the Owens Valley and Inyo National Forest. Today, there will still be numerous wet thunderstorms which will redevelop before noon. Heavy rain may fall once again as the storms move westward at 15 mph or so. The focal points for the storms today may be over the Central Sierras and the eastern sections of the San Bernardino and Cleveland National Forest. No storms are expected for coastal areas from Monterey County southward to Santa Barbara County. Temperatures today and Friday will be in the mid and upper 90s in the valleys to 110 in the low desert. Friday into the weekend, a high pressure ridge is expected to become established over the central part of the state which should bring an end to the storms over Southern California. However, scattered wet storms will continue to be possible over the Sierras each afternoon. Light steering winds should keep the storms anchored to the higher elevations. Temperatures may warm to around 102 in the valleys due to less cloud cover Saturday and Sunday. Long range models show little change in the overall pattern with high pressure continuing to produce highs around 5 degrees above normal. Another surge of moisture may bring a renewed chance of thunderstorms over Southern California next Tuesday or Wednesday. Winds will be light, except near thunderstorms. -- 3 -- Red Flag Warnings & Watches Current Red Flag Warnings & Watches Source: https://www.weather.gov/fire/ (July 12, 2018 10:32pm) Current Watches, Warnings or Advisories for California Link https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/ca.php?x=1 -- 4 -- Significant Fire Potential Maps Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Source: http://psgeodata.fs.fed.us/staticmap.html -- 5 -- California Current Air Quality Map Source: https://www.airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.local_state&stateid=5&mapcenter=0&tabs=0 Legend: AQI = Air Quality Index; PM = Particulate Matter; O3 = Ozone Air Quality Index Basics Overview: https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=aqibasics.aqi -- 6 -- Georges Fire - Inyo County — Newly Added Fire — Acres Burned % Contained [Change] [Change] 2,883 (1) 42% (1) Start Date Estimated Containment Date July 8, 2018 (1) July 23, 2018 (3) Lead Agency(ies) Unified Command: CAL FIRE San Bernardino Unit, Inyo Forest Service, and Inyo County Sheriff (1) Location off Hogback and Whitney Portal Road, Alabama Hills (1); North of Lone Pine, west of Manzanar (2) Structures Structures Fire Maps Threatened Destroyed None listed None(3) Evacuations Lifted (2) Other Infrastructure Threats None listed Projected Fire Activity A general light southeast flow aloft will keep transporting moist and unstable air over the eastern Sierra leading to increased Source: Cal Fire 2018 Incidents Map (July 11, 2018) chances for showers and Impacted Zip Codes: 93545 thunderstorms Thursday and Friday. (1) Nearby Zip Codes: 93526 Cause of the Fire Lightning (1) Hashtags #GeorgesFire Information Sources 1) Cal Fire Incident Page - Georges Fire: http://www.fire.ca.gov/current_incidents/incidentdetails/Index/2118 (Updated: July 12, 2018 8:47am) 2) InciWeb Incident Page - Georges Fire: https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/5907 (Updated: July 12, 2018 6:15am) 3) National Interagency Coordination Center Incident Management Situation Report Thursday, July 12, 2018 – 0530 MT -- 7 -- Pawnee Fire - Lake County — FINAL — Acres Burned % Contained [Change] [Change] 15,185 (1) 100% (1) [+185] [+8%] Start Date Estimated Containment Date June 23, 2018 (1) - Lead Agency(ies) CAL FIRE Sonoma-Lake-Napa Unit (1) Location Pawnee Rd & New Long Valley Rd, northeast of Clearlake Oaks (1); North east of Clearlake Oaks in Lake County, (2) Structures Structures Fire Activity & Perimeter Maps Threatened Destroyed 12 residences, None (2) 10 other structures (2,3) Lake County OES List of Damage & Destroyed Structures: http:// www.lakecountyca.gov/Assets/ Sheriff+Site/OES/Pawnee/ PawneeDamage.pdf Evacuations None (2) Other Infrastructure Threats Road Closures: None (2) Cause of the Fire Source: Cal Fire 2018 Incident Map (July 3, 2018) Under Investigation (2) Impacted Zip Codes: 95423 Hashtags #PawneeFire Information Sources 1) Cal Fire incident Page - Pawnee Fire: http://www.fire.ca.gov/current_incidents/incidentdetails/Index/2080 (Updated: July 9, 2018 11:57am) 2) Cal Fire Incident Update - Pawnee Fire Final Update: http://cdfdata.fire.ca.gov/pub/cdf/images/ incidentfile2080_3577.pdf (Updated: July 8, 2018 7:00pm) 3) Northern California Geographic Coordination Center Short Briefing 209 Summary Report - Pawnee Fire (Updated: July 5, 2018 6:00pm) -- 8 -- Lions Fire - Madera County Acres Burned % Contained [Change] [Change] 4,064 (1) 90% (1) [+0] [+17%] Start Date Estimated Containment Date June 1, 2018 (1) July 14 2018 (1) Lead Agency(ies) Sierra and the Inyo National Forests (1) Location 7 miles southwest of Mammoth Lakes. (1) Structures Structures Fire Activity Map Threatened Destroyed None Listed (1) None Listed (1) Evacuations None Listed (1) Other Infrastructure Threats None listed (1) Projected Fire Activity Minimal creeping smoldering, Interior islands continue to Source: Cal Fire 2018 Incidents Map (July 5, 2018) burnout. (1) Cause of the Fire Lightning Strike (1) Hashtags #LionsFire Information Sources 1) InciWeb Incident Page - Lions Fire: https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/5850/ (Updated: July 9, 2018 11:07am) -- 9 --
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