Russia & CIS Transport

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Russia & CIS Transport Analyst day – Russia & CIS Transport Henri Poupart-Lafarge 15/03/2012 Agenda The market Alstom Transport: Presence and positioning Strategy 2 The 1520 market: second network in the world after the USA (227,000 km) and first electrified network (65,000 km) Belarus Russia Kazakhstan 5,500 km (874 km electrified) 85,200 km main lines 15,100 km 1520 area (42,900 km electrified) + (4,100 km (main lines) Ukraine 40,000 km private lines electrified Finland: 5,919 km 22,000 km (3,067 electrified) (9,854 km electrified) Mongolia: 1,810 Moldova km 1,328 km Estonia: 900 km (0 km (133 km electrified) electrified) Georgia 1,323 km Lithuania: 1,749 (1,323 km km (122 km electrified) Kyrgyzstan electrified) Armenia 425 km (0 km Latvia: 2,263 km 780 km electrified) (240 km (780 km Uzbekistan electrified) Turkmenistan Tajikistan electrified) 4,200 km 3,110 km (0 km 600 km (0 km Azerbaijan (620 km electrified) electrified) 2,125 km electrified) (1,278 km electrified) 3 Russia & CIS: a €10 bn rail market with significant growth in rolling stock Average annual rail market Split by type of rolling stock (€bn) (%) Infrastructure Maintenance Signalling Rolling stock Rolling stock growth 2012-2016 = ~10% p. a. Source: UNIFE / Alstom Transport estimates 4 Freight traffic: number3intheworld Freight N°3 CIS:2,527 bn t/km N°2 China:2,764bn t/km N°1 USA:2,773 bn t/km Freight traffic 2010 • Market trends • 5 Recovery of freight market since 1999 since Recovery offreightmarket Continuous increase in relation with development of new coal, ores and oil fields Traffic (in billions t/km) 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 500 0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Russia 2005 2006 2007 2008 Others 2009 2010 2011 Freight traffic: new development pattern USSR: from satellite States towards Russia: development of transit Russia and Soviet Baltic seaports freight and Russian seaport access • Transport of goods from peripheral • Export natural resources and countries to Russia, centre of USSR develop transit from China to Europe • Railways crossing borders of the Soviet Republics • Avoid transit through neighboring countries, reinforce national • Main USSR seaports located in network Ukraine and Baltic countries • Develop Russian seaports on the Pacific and Black sea • Increase speed and freight volume 6 Russia: focus on Russian seaports and Baikal-Amour Magistral TRANSSIBERIAN BAIKAL AMOUR MAGISTRAL (BAM) Mines to be connected to MAIN NEW OR RENOVATION WORKS IN 2010 EXCEPT railways for export and SOCHI 2014 SPECIAL PROJECT their owners: TRANSMANCHURIAN (in Russia, section Karymskaya- Iron Zabaikalsk) Coal Copper Various ores UST-LUGA TIMIR (Alrosa) : SAINT-PETERSBOURG / PRIMORSK - Tayozhnoye - Desovskoye - Tarynnakhskoye - Gorkitskoye Denisovskoye Prioskolskoye Chulmakanskoye (Magnitogorsk) Elginskoye (Mechel previously RZhD) VANINO / SOVETSKAYA GAVAN NOVOROSSIISK Chineiskoye (Deripaska) Garinskoye (IRC) Odokanskoye Kimkano-Sutarskoye (IRC) VLADIVOSTOK / NAKHODKA / Elegetskoye (Evraz- VOSTOCHNY Severstal-Yenisei) Main Russian seaports In development: Ust-Luga (Estonian border) 7 Passenger transport: erosion due to old rolling stock 2010 450 400 Russia Others passenger 350 traffic 300 250 N°1 China: 876bn p/km 200 N°2 India: 838 bn p/km 150 100 N°3 Japan: 244 bn p/km 50 (in billions passengers-kilometers) billions (in N°4 CIS: 218 bn p/km 0 Market trends 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 • Long–distance transportation will continue to increase with the launch of new“High Speed” services • Decentralisation of regional and suburban transport and new private operators • Urban operators: huge needs for renewal of existing fleets 8 Russia: long–distance transportation will continue to increase with the launch of new “High Speed” services Existing lines Existing high speed lines with imported rolling stock Upgrade of existing lines for high speed rolling stock HELSINKI Bulovskaya St-Petersburg New very high speed lines Ekaterinburg Kaliningrad Iaroslavl Potential sites for World Football Moscow (3 stadiums) Championship 2018 Nijni Novgorod Kazan MINSK BERLIN Smolensk Krasnoye Tula Saransk Bryansk Suzemka Samara In Siberia Kursk Omsk KIEV Novosibirsk Volgograd Rostov/Don Krasnodar Sotchi 9 Decentralisation of regional and suburban transport and new private operators Decentralisation: local governments New private operators entering to finance suburban passenger passenger transportation market transportation Suburban Suburban Suburban … operator operator operator • Shareholders: RZD 50% (planning to go down to 25%), Transgroup AS • Today: rolling stock owned by RZD Current operation: Moscow airport (~15,000 cars) • links and 1 suburban line in Moscow • Spin-off into 26 local suburban region passenger companies • Planning to play active role in • Tomorrow: rolling stock fleet suburban and regional transport owned by suburban operator 10 Urban market: huge needs for renewal of existing fleets TRAMWAYS METRO • Total fleet in operation: 13,100 • Total fleet in operation: 8,500 metro cars tramways – Russia: 6,300 – Russia: 9,400 – Ukraine: 1,000 – Ukraine: 2,700 • Largest networks • Largest networks (worldwide rank): – Moscow: 302 km – St. Petersburg: 240 km (#2) – St. Petersburg 111 km – Moscow: 181 km (#4) • Passenger traffic: Regular slight • Passenger traffic: Drop from 35 bn pkm decrease from 54.4 bn pkm in 2000 to in 2000 to 12 bn pkm in 2009 49.4 bn pkm in 2009 Moscow investment plan 2013-2014= €0.3 bn Moscow investment plan 2012-2016= €2.4 bn 11 Client landscape: mainly National Railway Operators REGIONAL/ Mainlines/ TRAM METRO VHST Freight SUBURBAN Passenger National National Railways ROLLING Railways Operators STOCK operators RUSSIA: National Nat. Railways 24 Regional National Railways Operators & MAIN- Passenger Railways operator/ subsidiaries TENANCE Companies, operators Maintenance Potential clients: Aeroexpress (12) company • Trams: > 60 cities and or • Metro: 16 cities special Private SIGNALLING purpose Industrial National subsidiary National Freight Railways Railways Operators operators operators INFRA 12 Competition in Russia: Alstom one step ahead Elteza € 0.1 bn Bombardier €7.0 bn Promelectronica € 0.03 bn Transmash- Alstom Rolling stock holding Signalling € 5.6 bn €2.7 bn Sinara Siemens € 0.3 bn €4.7 bn1 All figures: Sales 2010/11 6.3 b€ 1 75% of Siemens mobility Source: Company reports / Alstom estimates 13 Agenda The market Alstom Transport: Presence and positioning Strategy 14 Alstom present on all market segments directly or through partnerships Russia Kazakhstan Rolling stock & Services . Joint venture with TMH and . Directly present through KTZ for Kazakh locomotive Alstom/TMH production Signalling . Promelectronica . Kamkor partnership partnership Infrastructure and turnkey . Urban transport: local partners defined on case by case basis projects . VHSL: ad-hoc partners, for instance Bouygues, Colas 15 Rolling stock & Services Alstom/TMH : largest Russian company in machinery building • Established in 2002 – 50% Russian interests, 25% +1 Russian Railways, 25% + 1 Alstom • Largest Russian manufacturer of rolling stock (Locomotives, EMU/DMU, Metro cars, Coaches, Freight wagons), rolling stock components, car castings and diesel engines • 13 plants (12 in Russia, 1 in Ukraine) • 2011 turnover (goods & services): €2.7 bn • Largest rolling stock supplier to Russian Railways • Export: 10% of turnover - Representative offices in Hungary, Belarus, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Poland, Finland and Baltic States 16 Rolling stock & Services Alstom/TMH: large product portfolio Multiple Unit Locomotives Metro cars Passenger Freight cars Rolling Stock coaches • Diesel locomotives • EMU (commuter & • For underground • Up to 160 km/h • Hopper cars • Electric locomotives regional) and above-ground • Up to 200 km/h • Platform for container • DMU and rail buses lines transportation • Special purpose cars ~500 ~600 ~300 ~600 ~3000 Components and equipment for rolling stockCar casting Diesel engines • Turbochargers • Cabs • Converters • For railway transport • Locomotive • Heavy-duty • Car bodies • Door modules • Bogies • For automobile transport • Marine trucks • Others • Power plants 17 xxx Units sold in 2010 Rolling stock & Services Alstom/TMH: 12 plants in Russia + 1 in Ukraine NEVZ Novocherkassk Electric Locomotive Plant BMZ Bryansk Locomotive Plant Luganskteplovoz (Ukraine) Locomotives TVZ Tver Carriage Works MWM Metrowagonmash KZ Kolomensky Zavod Diesel Engines PDM Penzadieselmash BSZ Bezhitsk Steel Foundry Tsentrosvarmash Bogies Plant DMZ Demikhovsky Engineering Plant (Components) KMT KMT Industrial Group Transconverter Traction modules OEVRZ Oktyabrsky Electric Railway Car Repair Plant 18 Rolling stock & Services Alstom/TMH: 2011 sales of 107 B RUB (~€2.7 bn) Sales of products and # of employees services (RUB bn) (‘000 people) 19 Rolling stock & Services Alstom/TMH: largest rolling stock supplier on the Russian market Locomotive Electric locomotives Diesel locomotives Passenger Coaches Diesel Engines 98% 77% 92% 91% Multiple-Unit Metro Cars Hopper Cars Car Castings Rolling Stock 78% 87% 45% 21% Transmashholding sales shares in 2010 20 Rolling stock & Services Alstom/TMH: Russian railways as reference customer Alstom/TMH customer base Other Russian customers 28% 62% Export 10% • Mining and steel companies • Freight transport companies • Belorussian Railways • Passenger transport operators - affiliated • Kazakhstan Railways
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