October 2015 Increasing Highway Capacity Unlikely to Relieve Traffic Congestion Susan Handy Department of Environmental Science and Policy Contact Information: University of California, Davis
[email protected] Issue Reducing traffic congestion is often Increased roadway capacity induces proposed as a solution for improving fuel additional VMT in the short-run and even efficiency and reducing greenhouse gas more VMT in the long-run. A capacity (GHG) emissions. Traffic congestion has expansion of 10% is likely to increase VMT traditionally been addressed by adding by 3% to 6% in the short-run and 6% to additional roadway capacity via constructing 10% in the long-run. Increased capacity entirely new roadways, adding additional can lead to increased VMT in the short-run lanes to existing roadways, or upgrading in several ways: if people shift from other existing highways to controlled-access modes to driving, if drivers make longer freeways. Numerous studies have examined trips (by choosing longer routes and/or the effectiveness of this approach and more distant destinations), or if drivers 3,4,5 consistently show that adding capacity to make more frequent trips. Longer-term roadways fails to alleviate congestion for effects may also occur if households and long because it actually increases vehicle businesses move to more distant locations miles traveled (VMT). or if development patterns become more dispersed in response to the capacity An increase in VMT attributable to increases increase. One study concludes that the BRIEF in roadway