New Monetarist Economics: Methods∗
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Monetary Policy in Economies with Little Or No Money
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES MONETARY POLICY IN ECONOMIES WITH LITTLE OR NO MONEY Bennett T. McCallum Working Paper 9838 http://www.nber.org/papers/w9838 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 July 2003 This paper was prepared for presentation at the December 16-17, 2002, meeting of the Hong Kong Economic Association. I am indebted to Marvin Goodfriend, Lok Sang Ho, Allan Meltzer, and Edward Nelson for helpful comments and suggestions. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Bureau of Economic Research ©2003 by Bennett T. McCallum. All rights reserved. Short sections of text not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit including © notice, is given to the source. Monetary Policy in Economies with Little or No Money Bennett T. McCallum NBER Working Paper No. 9838 July 2003 JEL No. E3, E4, E5 ABSTRACT The paper's arguments include: (1) Medium-of-exchange money will not disappear in the foreseeable future, although the quantity of base money may continue to decline. (2) In economies with very little money (e.g., no currency but bank settlement balances at the central bank), monetary policy will be conducted much as at present by activist adjustment of overnight interest rates. Operating procedures will be different, however, with payment of interest on reserves likely to become the norm. (3) In economies without any money there can be no monetary policy. The relevant notion of a general price level concerns some index of prices in terms of a medium of account. -
BIS Working Papers No 136 the Price Level, Relative Prices and Economic Stability: Aspects of the Interwar Debate by David Laidler* Monetary and Economic Department
BIS Working Papers No 136 The price level, relative prices and economic stability: aspects of the interwar debate by David Laidler* Monetary and Economic Department September 2003 * University of Western Ontario Abstract Recent financial instability has called into question the sufficiency of low inflation as a goal for monetary policy. This paper discusses interwar literature bearing on this question. It begins with theories of the cycle based on the quantity theory, and their policy prescription of price stability supported by lender of last resort activities in the event of crises, arguing that their neglect of fluctuations in investment was a weakness. Other approaches are then taken up, particularly Austrian theory, which stressed the banking system’s capacity to generate relative price distortions and forced saving. This theory was discredited by its association with nihilistic policy prescriptions during the Great Depression. Nevertheless, its core insights were worthwhile, and also played an important part in Robertson’s more eclectic account of the cycle. The latter, however, yielded activist policy prescriptions of a sort that were discredited in the postwar period. Whether these now need re-examination, or whether a low-inflation regime, in which the authorities stand ready to resort to vigorous monetary expansion in the aftermath of asset market problems, is adequate to maintain economic stability is still an open question. BIS Working Papers are written by members of the Monetary and Economic Department of the Bank for International Settlements, and from time to time by other economists, and are published by the Bank. The views expressed in them are those of their authors and not necessarily the views of the BIS. -
Chapter 11: Monetary System Instructions: These Are the Notes for Chapter 11
Lecture notes for Chapter #11 Prof. Bilen Chapter 11: Monetary System Instructions: These are the notes for Chapter 11. Make sure you review the material pre- sented here and read the corresponding chapters on the textbook: Chapter 21 on Mankiw. • Barter. Exchange of one good or service for another. { Was the only method used until Lydians first used money (coins) in 700 B.C. Barter: Problems • Barter requires a double coincidence of wants. { Two people have to want each others goods or services. • People spend significant time searching for others to trade with. { Waste of scarce resources: time! • Money fixes the double coincidence of wants problem! The Three Functions of Money 1. Medium of exchange: Buyers give money to sellers when they want to purchase goods and services. • Solves the barter problems! 2. Unit of account: Makes measuring monetary value of goods and services easy. • Easy comparisons: $10 vs. $2000. 3. Store of value: You can hold onto your money today and spend it tomorrow: does not perish (except for inflation). 1 Lecture notes for Chapter #11 Prof. Bilen Two Types of Money 1. Commodity Money: Money that takes the form of a commodity with intrinsic value. • Intrinsic: has value even not used as money. • E.g. gold coins, cigarettes in prisons. 2. Fiat Money: Money without intrinsic value, used as money because of government decree. • E.g. the U.S. dollar. u Central Bank and Monetary Policy • Monetary system is the mechanism that provides money to a country's economy. { Where money comes from: the central bank! • Central bank is an institution that oversees the banking system and regulates the money supply. -
Chapter 9 MONEY Q.1. What Is Barter?
Chapter 9 MONEY Q.1. What is barter? Explain the difficulties of Barter system. Ans: Trade of goods with other goods without using money is called barter. This system was in practice before the invention of money. Following are the problems/difficulties of barter: • Lack of double coincidence of wants: The main difficulty of barter system is the lack of double coincidence of wants. In a barter system a person who wants to exchange his goods must find some person who is willing to exchange his commodity with his commodity. For example, a person possessed wheat, which he wanted to exchange for cloth. He could not succeed in acquiring cloth until he met someone who not only had cloth but was also willing to exchange with wheat. • Lack of store of value: The barter system suffered the lack of storing the value. There is no way of storing of wealth for a long period. Some commodities lose their value with the passage of time. Some commodities, such as milk, fish, vegetable, wheat, and cotton lose value with the passage of time. Such commodities could not store for a long period. • Lack of measure of value: It was very difficult to measure the value of the goods with other goods as we can measure the value of everything with the help of money today. Because, there was nothing that could measure the value of each good commonly. For example, it was difficult to tell how much milk should be given to get 1 kg of wheat. • Lack of transfer of value: In barter, people had been facing challenges in transferring wealth from one place to another due to heavy weight and size of the goods stored as wealth. -
How Goldsmiths Created Money Page 1 of 2
Money: Banking, Spending, Saving, and Investing The Creation of Money How Goldsmiths Created Money Page 1 of 2 If you want to understand money, you have got to start with its history, and that means gold. Have you ever wondered why gold is so valuable? I mean, it is a really weak metal that does not have a lot of really practical uses. Maybe it is because it reminded people of the sun, which was worshipped in ancient times, that everyone decided they wanted it. Once everyone wants it, it is capable as serving as a medium of exchange. That is, gold can be used as money, and it is an ideal commodity to serve as a medium of exchange because it’s portable, it’s durable, it’s divisible, and it’s standardizable. Everybody recognizes what they want, it can be broken into little pieces, carried around, it doesn’t rot, and it is a great thing to serve as money. So, before long, gold is circulating in the form of coins. When gold circulates as coins, it is called commodity money, that is, money that has intrinsic value made out of something people want. Now, once gold coins begin to circulate as the medium of exchange, we have got another problem. That problem is security. Imagine that you are in the ancient world, lugging around bags and bags of gold. You are going to be pretty vulnerable to bandits. So what you want to do is make sure that there is a safe place to store your gold because you can store all of your wealth in the form of this valuable commodity, but you do not want it all lying around somewhere that it is easy for somebody else to pick off. -
The Ontology of Money and Other Economic Phenomena. Dan
Economic Reality: The Ontology of Money and Other Economic Phenomena. Dan Fitzpatrick PhD Thesis Department of Philosophy, Logic and Scientific Method London School of Economics. 1 UMI Number: U198904 All rights reserved INFORMATION TO ALL USERS The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. In the unlikely event that the author did not send a complete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if material had to be removed, a note will indicate the deletion. Dissertation Publishing UMI U198904 Published by ProQuest LLC 2014. Copyright in the Dissertation held by the Author. Microform Edition © ProQuest LLC. All rights reserved. This work is protected against unauthorized copying under Title 17, United States Code. ProQuest LLC 789 East Eisenhower Parkway P.O. Box 1346 Ann Arbor, Ml 48106-1346 TH f , s*’- ^ h %U.Oi+. <9 Librw<V Brittsn utxwy Oi HouUco. J and Eoonowc Science m >Tiir I Abstract The contemporary academic disciplines of Philosophy and Economics by and large do not concern themselves with questions pertaining to the ontology of economic reality; by economic reality I mean the kinds of economic phenomena that people encounter on a daily basis, the central ones being economic transactions, money, prices, goods and services. Economic phenomena also include other aspects of economic reality such as economic agents, (including corporations, individual producers and consumers), commodity markets, banks, investments, jobs and production. My investigation of the ontology of economic phenomena begins with a critical examination of the accounts of theorists and philosophers from the past, including Plato, Aristotle, Locke, Berkeley, Hume, Marx, Simmel and Menger. -
Cryptocurrency: the Economics of Money and Selected Policy Issues
Cryptocurrency: The Economics of Money and Selected Policy Issues Updated April 9, 2020 Congressional Research Service https://crsreports.congress.gov R45427 SUMMARY R45427 Cryptocurrency: The Economics of Money and April 9, 2020 Selected Policy Issues David W. Perkins Cryptocurrencies are digital money in electronic payment systems that generally do not require Specialist in government backing or the involvement of an intermediary, such as a bank. Instead, users of the Macroeconomic Policy system validate payments using certain protocols. Since the 2008 invention of the first cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies have proliferated. In recent years, they experienced a rapid increase and subsequent decrease in value. One estimate found that, as of March 2020, there were more than 5,100 different cryptocurrencies worth about $231 billion. Given this rapid growth and volatility, cryptocurrencies have drawn the attention of the public and policymakers. A particularly notable feature of cryptocurrencies is their potential to act as an alternative form of money. Historically, money has either had intrinsic value or derived value from government decree. Using money electronically generally has involved using the private ledgers and systems of at least one trusted intermediary. Cryptocurrencies, by contrast, generally employ user agreement, a network of users, and cryptographic protocols to achieve valid transfers of value. Cryptocurrency users typically use a pseudonymous address to identify each other and a passcode or private key to make changes to a public ledger in order to transfer value between accounts. Other computers in the network validate these transfers. Through this use of blockchain technology, cryptocurrency systems protect their public ledgers of accounts against manipulation, so that users can only send cryptocurrency to which they have access, thus allowing users to make valid transfers without a centralized, trusted intermediary. -
Hyperinflationary Economies
Issue 175/October 2020 IFRS Developments Hyperinflationary economies (Updated October 2020) What you need to know Overview • We believe that IAS 29 should Accounting standards are applied on the assumption that the value of money (the be applied in 2020 by entities unit of measurement) is constant over time. However, when the rate of inflation is whose functional currency is the no longer negligible, a number of issues arise impacting the true and fair nature of currency of one of the following the accounts of entities that prepare their financial statements on a historical cost countries: basis, for example: • Argentina • Historical cost figures are less meaningful than they are in a low inflation • Islamic Republic of Iran environment • Lebanon • Holding gains on non-monetary assets that are reported as operating profits do not represent real economic gains • South Sudan • Current and prior period financial information is not comparable • Sudan • ‘Real’ capital can be reduced because profits reported do not take account of • Venezuela the higher replacement costs of resources used in the period • Zimbabwe To address such concerns, entities should apply IAS 29 Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies from the beginning of the period in which the • We believe the following existence of hyperinflation is identified. countries are not currently hyperinflationary, but should be IAS 29 does not establish an absolute inflation rate at which an economy is monitored in 2020: considered hyperinflationary. Instead, it considers a variety of non-exhaustive characteristics of the economic environment of a country that are seen as strong Angola • indicators of the existence of hyperinflation.This publication only considers the • Liberia absolute inflation rates. -
Deterioration and Conservation of Unstable Glass Beads on Native
Issue 63 Autumn 2013 Deterioration and Conservation of Unstable Glass Beads on Native American Objects Robin Ohern and Kelly McHugh lass disease is an important issue for (MAI), established in 1961 by financier George museums with Native American col- Gustav Heye. Heye’s personal collecting began in G lections, and at the National Museum 1903 and continued over a fifty-four year period, of the American Indian (NMAI) it is one of the resulting in one of the largest Native American most pervasive preservation problems. Of 108,338 collections in the world. The Smithsonian Insti- non-archaeological object records in NMAI’s col- tution took over the extensive MAI holdings in lection database, 9,687 (9%) contain glass beads. 1989, establishing the National Museum of the Of these, 200 object records (22%) mention the American Indian. While the collection originally presence of glass disease on the objects. Determin- served Heye’s mission, “The preservation of every- ing how quickly the unstable glass is deteriorating thing pertaining to our American tribes”, NMAI will help with long term collection preservation places its emphasis on partnerships with Native (Figure 1). Additionally, evaluating the effective- peoples and on their contemporary lives. ness of different cleaning techniques over several When the museum joined the Smithsonian years may help to develop better protocols for Institution, the decision was made to construct treating glass beads. This ongoing research project a new building on the National Mall and move will focus on continuing research on glass disease the collection from New York to a storage facil- on ethnographic beadwork in the collection of the ity near Washington, D.C. -
Modern Monetary Theory: Cautionary Tales from Latin America
Modern Monetary Theory: Cautionary Tales from Latin America Sebastian Edwards* Economics Working Paper 19106 HOOVER INSTITUTION 434 GALVEZ MALL STANFORD UNIVERSITY STANFORD, CA 94305-6010 April 25, 2019 According to Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) it is possible to use expansive monetary policy – money creation by the central bank (i.e. the Federal Reserve) – to finance large fiscal deficits that will ensure full employment and good jobs for everyone, through a “jobs guarantee” program. In this paper I analyze some of Latin America’s historical episodes with MMT-type policies (Chile, Peru. Argentina, and Venezuela). The analysis uses the framework developed by Dornbusch and Edwards (1990, 1991) for studying macroeconomic populism. The four experiments studied in this paper ended up badly, with runaway inflation, huge currency devaluations, and precipitous real wage declines. These experiences offer a cautionary tale for MMT enthusiasts.† JEL Nos: E12, E42, E61, F31 Keywords: Modern Monetary Theory, central bank, inflation, Latin America, hyperinflation The Hoover Institution Economics Working Paper Series allows authors to distribute research for discussion and comment among other researchers. Working papers reflect the views of the author and not the views of the Hoover Institution. * Henry Ford II Distinguished Professor, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA † I have benefited from discussions with Ed Leamer, José De Gregorio, Scott Sumner, and Alejandra Cox. I thank Doug Irwin and John Taylor for their support. 1 1. Introduction During the last few years an apparently new and revolutionary idea has emerged in economic policy circles in the United States: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). The central tenet of this view is that it is possible to use expansive monetary policy – money creation by the central bank (i.e. -
TORC3: Token-Ring Clearing Heuristic for Currency Circulation
TORC3: Token-Ring Clearing Heuristic for Currency Circulation Carlos Humes Jr.∗, Marcelo S. Lauretto†, Fábio Nakano†, Carlos A.B. Pereira∗, Guilherme F.G. Rafare∗∗ and Julio M. Stern∗,‡ ∗Institute of Mathematics and Statistics of the University of São Paulo, Brazil †School of Arts, Sciences and Humanities of the University of São Paulo, Brazil ∗∗FinanTech Ltda. ‡[email protected] Abstract. Clearing algorithms are at the core of modern payment systems, facilitating the settling of multilateral credit messages with (near) minimum transfers of currency. Traditional clearing procedures use batch processing based on MILP - mixed-integer linear programming algorithms. The MILP approach demands intensive computational resources; moreover, it is also vulnerable to operational risks generated by possible defaults during the inter-batch period. This paper presents TORC3 - the Token-Ring Clearing Algorithm for Currency Circulation. In contrast to the MILP approach, TORC3 is a real time heuristic procedure, demanding modest computational resources, and able to completely shield the clearing operation against the participating agents’ risk of default. Keywords: Bayesian calibration; Clearing algorithms; Heuristic optimization; Multilateral netting; Operational risk; Payment systems; Real-time heuristic procedures. 1. INTRODUCTION Clearing algorithms are at the core of modern payment systems, facilitating multilat- eral netting, that is, the settling of multilateral credit messages with (near) minimum transfers of currency. Traditional clearing procedures use batch processing based on mixed-integer linear programming algorithms. Large scale mixed-integer programming demands intensive computational resources; most of the traditional clearing algorithms require large mainframe computers. Furthermore, this approach delays all payments to after the batch processing (usually overnight). Moreover, batch processing introduces an operational risk originated from the possibility of a participant’s default in the iter-batch processing period. -
International Barter
WORKING PAPER ALFRED P. SLOAN SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL BARTER Adrian E. Tschoegl Sloan School of Management M.I.T. Working Paper #996-78 May 1978 MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY 50 MEMORIAL DRIVE CAMBRIDGE, MASSACHUSETTS 02139 INTERNATIONAL BARTER* Adrian E. Tschoegl Sloan School of Management M.I.T. Working Paper #996-78 May 1978 *I would like to thank Edward M, Graham, Donald R, Lessard, N.G. Tschoegl, and N.W. Tschoegl for their comments, criticism, and assistance. -1- I. Introduction Barter is the oldest form of trade. The payment for goods with goods predates the invention of money and is still with us today. This paper has two purposes: first, to expose the student of international business to this form of trade between nations; and second, to contradict the sentiments ex- pressed in this quotation: "It is difficult for Americans, so committed to free trade, to understand the logic behind trade without money. Per- haps there is no 'logic,' at least in terms of traditional Western economic theory. Maybe the-re are only reasons that few Americans can understand and even fewer can accept. "' In this section we summarily review the nature of 'trade without money' and its recent history. Section II examines the various modes of barter in some detail, focusing on the common provisions and pitfalls of such transactions. Section III discusses two proximate causes for barter, price distortions and the need for liquidity, and two benefits, improvement in the terms of trade and the creation of long-term contracts and trading relationships. Section IV concerns itself with the political-economy of barter, that is, the reasons behind the proximate causes.