Poleward-Propagating Near-Inertial Waves Enabled by the Western
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Performance of Horizontal Drains
FACTUAL REPORT ON HONG KONG RAINFALL AND LANDSLIDES IN 2003 GEO REPORT No. 186 T.H.H. Hui & A.F.H. Ng GEOTECHNICAL ENGINEERING OFFICE CIVIL ENGINEERING AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT THE GOVERNMENT OF THE HONG KONG SPECIAL ADMINISTRATIVE REGION FACTUAL REPORT ON HONG KONG RAINFALL AND LANDSLIDES IN 2003 GEO REPORT No. 186 T.H.H. Hui & A.F.H. Ng This report was originally produced in April 2004 as GEO Special Project Report No. SPR 3/2004 - 2 - © The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region First published, September 2006 Prepared by: Geotechnical Engineering Office, Civil Engineering and Development Department, Civil Engineering and Development Building, 101 Princess Margaret Road, Homantin, Kowloon, Hong Kong. - 3 - PREFACE In keeping with our policy of releasing information which may be of general interest to the geotechnical profession and the public, we make available selected internal reports in a series of publications termed the GEO Report series. The GEO Reports can be downloaded from the website of the Civil Engineering and Development Department (http://www.cedd.gov.hk) on the Internet. Printed copies are also available for some GEO Reports. For printed copies, a charge is made to cover the cost of printing. The Geotechnical Engineering Office also produces documents specifically for publication. These include guidance documents and results of comprehensive reviews. These publications and the printed GEO Reports may be obtained from the Government’s Information Services Department. Information on how to purchase these documents is given on the last page of this report. R.K.S. Chan Head, Geotechnical Engineering Office September 2006 - 4 - FOREWORD This report presents a summary of the factual information on rainfall and landslides in Hong Kong throughout 2003. -
Member Report
MEMBER REPORT ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee 10 th Integrated Workshop REPUBLIC OF KOREA 26-29 October 2015 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia CONTENTS I. Overview of tropical cyclones which have affected/impacted Member’s area since the last Typhoon Committee Session (as of 10 October) II. Summary of progress in Key Result Areas (1) Starting the Tropical Depression Forecast Service (2) Typhoon Post-analysis procedure in KMA (3) Capacity Building on the Typhoon Analysis and Forecast (4) Co-Hosting the 8 th China-Korea Joint Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (5) Theweb-based portal to provide the products of seasonal typhoon activity outlook for the TC Members (POP5) (6) Implementation of Typhoon Analysis and Prediction System (TAPS)inthe Thai Meteorological Department and Lao PDR Department of Meteorology and Hydrology (POP4) (7) Development and application of multi-model ensemble technique for improving tropical cyclone track and intensity forecast (8) Improvement in TC analysis using automated ADT and SDT operationally by COMS data and GPM microwave data in NMSC/KMA (9) Typhoon monitoring using ocean drifting buoys around the Korea (10) Case study of typhoon CHAN-HOM using Yong-In Test-bed dual-polarization radar in Korea (11) Achievementsaccording toExtreme Flood Forecasting System (AOP2) (12) Technical Report on Assessment System of Flood Control Measures (ASFCM) (13) Progress on Extreme Flood Management Guideline (AOP6) (14) Flood Information Mobile Application (15) The 4 th Meeting and Workshop of TC WGH and WGH Homepage (16) 2015 Northern Mindanao Project in Philippines by NDMI and PAGASA (17) Upgrade of the functions in Typhoon Committee Disaster Information System (TCDIS) (18) The 9 th WGDRR Annual Workshop (19) 2015 Feasibility Studies to disseminate Disaster Prevention Technology in Vietnam and Lao PDR I. -
Typhoon Goni
Emergency appeal Philippines: Typhoon Goni Revised Appeal n° MDRPH041 To be assisted: 100,000 people Appeal launched: 02/11/2020 Glide n°: TC-2020-000214-PHL DREF allocated: 750,000 Swiss francs Revision n° 1; issued: 13/11/2020 Federation-wide funding requirements: 16 million Swiss Appeal ends: 30/11/2022 (24 months) Francs for 24 months IFRC funding requirement: 8.5 million Swiss Francs Funding gap: 8.4 million Swiss francs funding gap for secretariat component This revised Emergency Appeal seeks a total of some 8.5 million Swiss francs (revised from CHF 3.5 million) to enable the IFRC to support the Philippine Red Cross (PRC) to deliver assistance to and support the immediate and early recovery needs of 100,000 people for 24 months, with a focus on the following areas of focus and strategies of implementation: shelter and settlements, livelihoods and basic needs, health, water, sanitation and hygiene promotion (WASH), disaster risk reduction, community engagement and accountability (CEA) as well as protection, gender and inclusion (PGI). Funding raised through the Emergency Appeal will contribute to the overall PRC response operation of CHF 16 million. The revision is based on the results of rapid assessment and other information available at this time and will be adjusted based on detailed assessments. The economy of the Philippines has been negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, with millions of people losing livelihoods due to socio-economic impacts of the pandemic. As COVID-19 continues to spread, the Philippines have kept preventive measures, including community quarantine and restriction to travel, in place. -
Global Catastrophe Review – 2015
GC BRIEFING An Update from GC Analytics© March 2016 GLOBAL CATASTROPHE REVIEW – 2015 The year 2015 was a quiet one in terms of global significant insured losses, which totaled around USD 30.5 billion. Insured losses were below the 10-year and 5-year moving averages of around USD 49.7 billion and USD 62.6 billion, respectively (see Figures 1 and 2). Last year marked the lowest total insured catastrophe losses since 2009 and well below the USD 126 billion seen in 2011. 1 The most impactful event of 2015 was the Port of Tianjin, China explosions in August, rendering estimated insured losses between USD 1.6 and USD 3.3 billion, according to the Guy Carpenter report following the event, with a December estimate from Swiss Re of at least USD 2 billion. The series of winter storms and record cold of the eastern United States resulted in an estimated USD 2.1 billion of insured losses, whereas in Europe, storms Desmond, Eva and Frank in December 2015 are expected to render losses exceeding USD 1.6 billion. Other impactful events were the damaging wildfires in the western United States, severe flood events in the Southern Plains and Carolinas and Typhoon Goni affecting Japan, the Philippines and the Korea Peninsula, all with estimated insured losses exceeding USD 1 billion. The year 2015 marked one of the strongest El Niño periods on record, characterized by warm waters in the east Pacific tropics. This was associated with record-setting tropical cyclone activity in the North Pacific basin, but relative quiet in the North Atlantic. -
Briefing Note on Typhoon Goni
Briefing note 12 November 2020 PHILIPPINES KEY FIGURES Typhoon Goni CRISIS IMPACT OVERVIEW 1,5 million PEOPLE AFFECTED BY •On the morning of 1 November 2020, Typhoon Goni (known locally as Rolly) made landfall in Bicol Region and hit the town of Tiwi in Albay province, causing TYPHOON GONI rivers to overflow and flood much of the region. The typhoon – considered the world’s strongest typhoon so far this year – had maximum sustained winds of 225 km/h and gustiness of up to 280 km/h, moving at 25 km/h (ACT Alliance 02/11/2020). • At least 11 towns are reported to be cut off in Bato, Catanduanes province, as roads linking the province’s towns remain impassable. At least 137,000 houses were destroyed or damaged – including more than 300 houses buried under rock in Guinobatan, Albay province, because of a landslide following 128,000 heavy rains caused by the typhoon (OCHA 09/11/2020; ECHO 10/11/2020; OCHA 04/11/2020; South China Morning Post 04/11/2020). Many families will remain REMAIN DISPLACED BY in long-term displacement (UN News 06/11/2020; Map Action 08/11/2020). TYPHOON GONI • As of 7 November, approximately 375,074 families or 1,459,762 people had been affected in the regions of Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol, Eastern Visayas, CAR, and NCR. Of these, 178,556 families or 686,400 people are in Bicol Region (AHA Centre 07/11/2020). • As of 07 November, there were 20 dead, 165 injured, and six missing people in the regions of Calabarzon, Mimaropa, and Bicol, while at least 11 people were 180,000 reported killed in Catanduanes and Albay provinces (AHA Centre 07/11/2020; UN News 03/11/2020). -
The Improvement of Trap by Considering Typhoon Intensity Variation
THE IMPROVEMENT OF TRAP BY CONSIDERING TYPHOON INTENSITY VARIATION Yu-Chun Chen*1, Gin-Rong Liu2, and Yen-Ju Chen3 1Graduate Student, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57665 Email: [email protected] 2Professor, Central for Space and Remote Sensing Research, and Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57634 E-mail: [email protected] 3Graduate Student, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57634 Email: [email protected] KEY WORDS: Typhoon, TRaP, Typhoon Intensity, Typhoon Rainfall ABSTRACT: For years, the flash floods, mudflows and landslides brought by typhoons always cause severe loss of property and human life. For this reason, it is crucial to develop a more accurate and prompt typhoon rainfall prediction technique and thus can provide necessary rainfall potential information to the relevant disaster mitigation agencies. Kidder et al. (2005) developed the Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) technique, which applied satellite-borne passive microwave radiometers, to retrieve a tropical cyclone’s rainfall amount and predict its 24-h accumulated rainfall distribution. However, the effects of a tropical cyclone’s rainband rotation and intensity variation were not considered in their method. To obtain a better approximation to the actual rainfall system, this study will improve the TRaP technique by considering those effects. In the typhoon intensity variation part, the method proposed by DeMaria (2006) was applied to predict the 6-h intensity change with GOES-9 and MTSAT satellites, and the result was further extended to predict the 24-h intensity change and accumulated rainfall. -
A Numerical Study on the Slow Translation Speed of Typhoon Morakot (2009)
190 SOLA, 2014, Vol. 10, 190−193, doi:10.2151/sola.2014-040 A Numerical Study on the Slow Translation Speed of Typhoon Morakot (2009) Fang-Ching Chien Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan 50 years (Hong et al. 2010). Abstract Chien and Kuo (2011) concluded that the slow transition speed of Morakot and the continuous formation of mesoscale con- Typhoon Morakot (2009), a devastating tropical cyclone vection with the moisture supply from the southwesterly flow are (TC) that made landfall in Taiwan in August 2009, produced the highest recorded rainfall in southern Taiwan in 50 years. The slow translation speed of Morakot, among many other factors, was found to play an important role in heavy rainfall. Using the WRF model, this study examined the causes of the slow TC translation speed in relation to the interaction of Morakot with Typhoon Goni (2009) and Typhoon Etau (2009). The simulated track of Morakot was relatively consistent with the observation in the control run. However, Morakot deviated more westward and moved slower in a sensitivity simulation without Goni, compared with that in the control run, and had a similar but faster track in another simula- tion without Etau. Comparisons also show that Goni helped to in- crease southerly to southwesterly steering flow to Morakot, while Etau’s circulation helped to produce slightly weaker northerly to northwesterly steering flow. These two opposite forces counter- acted partly the south-southeasterly steering of the Pacific high, Fig. 1. The WRF domain configuration. Horizontal resolutions of domains resulting in a slowly north-northwestward tracking of Morakot. -
Global Catastrophe Recap August 2015
Aon Benfield Analytics | Impact Forecasting Global Catastrophe Recap August 2015 Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Aon Benfield Analytics | Impact Forecasting Table of Contents Executive Summary 3 United States 4 Remainder of North America 5 South America 5 Europe 6 Africa 6 Asia 7 Oceania 9 Appendix 10 Contact Information 15 Global Catastrophe Recap: August 2015 2 Aon Benfield Analytics | Impact Forecasting Executive Summary . Drought conditions worsen around the globe; economic losses expected to top USD8.0 billion . STY Soudelor and TY Goni wreak havoc in APAC with economic losses of more than USD4.0 billion . Floods claim hundreds of lives worldwide and cause hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of damage Drought conditions intensified or developed over portions of Eastern Europe, Africa, the Caribbean, and Central America during August. Romania, Czech Republic, and Poland announced combined economic losses of more than USD2.6 billion, mainly as a result of decimated crops and poor crop yields while authorities in Botswana announced USD44 million for drought relief as crop yields were at their lowest levels for several years. Several Caribbean and Central American nations issued alerts as drought conditions intensified across the region. Meanwhile in the United States, severe drought conditions lingered in the West for another month as total economic losses were expected to reach at least USD4.5 billion. Most of those losses were attributed to agricultural damage in California and Washington. As El Niño continues to intensify in the coming months, it is expected that global drought losses will surpass the current forecast of USD8.0 billion in economic damage. -
Influence of Wind-Induced Antenna Oscillations on Radar Observations
DECEMBER 2020 C H A N G E T A L . 2235 Influence of Wind-Induced Antenna Oscillations on Radar Observations and Its Mitigation PAO-LIANG CHANG,WEI-TING FANG,PIN-FANG LIN, AND YU-SHUANG TANG Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan (Manuscript received 29 April 2020, in final form 13 August 2020) 2 ABSTRACT:As Typhoon Goni (2015) passed over Ishigaki Island, a maximum gust speed of 71 m s 1 was observed by a surface weather station. During Typhoon Goni’s passage, mountaintop radar recorded antenna elevation angle oscillations, with a maximum amplitude of ;0.28 at an elevation angle of 0.28. This oscillation phenomenon was reflected in the reflectivity and Doppler velocity fields as Typhoon Goni’s eyewall encompassed Ishigaki Island. The main antenna oscillation period was approximately 0.21–0.38 s under an antenna rotational speed of ;4 rpm. The estimated fundamental vibration period of the radar tower is approximately 0.25–0.44 s, which is comparable to the predominant antenna oscillation period and agrees with the expected wind-induced vibrations of buildings. The re- flectivity field at the 0.28 elevation angle exhibited a phase shift signature and a negative correlation of 20.5 with the antenna oscillation, associated with the negative vertical gradient of reflectivity. FFT analysis revealed two antenna oscillation periods at 0955–1205 and 1335–1445 UTC 23 August 2015. The oscillation phenomenon ceased between these two periods because Typhoon Goni’s eye moved over the radar site. The VAD analysis-estimated wind speeds 2 at a range of 1 km for these two antenna oscillation periods exceeded 45 m s 1, with a maximum value of approxi- 2 mately 70 m s 1. -
Maximum Wind Radius Estimated by the 50 Kt Radius: Improvement of Storm Surge Forecasting Over the Western North Pacific
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 705–717, 2016 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/16/705/2016/ doi:10.5194/nhess-16-705-2016 © Author(s) 2016. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Maximum wind radius estimated by the 50 kt radius: improvement of storm surge forecasting over the western North Pacific Hiroshi Takagi and Wenjie Wu Tokyo Institute of Technology, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, 2-12-1 Ookayama, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 152-8550, Japan Correspondence to: Hiroshi Takagi ([email protected]) Received: 8 September 2015 – Published in Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.: 27 October 2015 Revised: 18 February 2016 – Accepted: 24 February 2016 – Published: 11 March 2016 Abstract. Even though the maximum wind radius (Rmax) countries such as Japan, China, Taiwan, the Philippines, and is an important parameter in determining the intensity and Vietnam. size of tropical cyclones, it has been overlooked in previous storm surge studies. This study reviews the existing estima- tion methods for Rmax based on central pressure or maximum wind speed. These over- or underestimate Rmax because of 1 Introduction substantial variations in the data, although an average radius can be estimated with moderate accuracy. As an alternative, The maximum wind radius (Rmax) is one of the predominant we propose an Rmax estimation method based on the radius of parameters for the estimation of storm surges and is defined the 50 kt wind (R50). Data obtained by a meteorological sta- as the distance from the storm center to the region of maxi- tion network in the Japanese archipelago during the passage mum wind speed. -
The Interaction of Supertyphoon Maemi (2003) with a Warm Ocean Eddy
17A.2 THE INTERACTION OF SUPERTYPHOON MAEMI (2003) WITH A WARM OCEAN EDDY I-I Lin1 ,Chun-Chieh Wu2, Kerry A. Emanuel3, W. Timothy Liu4, and I-Huan Lee5 1National Center for Ocean Research, Taipei, Taiwan 2 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 3Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA 4Jet Propulsion Lab, NASA, USA 5Inst. of Marine Geology and Chemistry, National Taiwan Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan 1. INTRODUCTION impact of the NWPO warm ocean eddies on The Northwest Pacific Ocean (NWPO) is the typhoon intensification is not well understood. world's most prolific generator of tropical cyclones, This work serves as our first investigation of producing about 6-10 category-4 (in Saffir-Simpson the impact of a warm ocean eddy on the intensity scale) or category-5 typhoons each year. These change of Maemi (2003) in the NWPO, by using the severe typhoons are direct threats to the half-billion synergy of the multiple remote sensing data and people living on the coast of East Asia. The high the CHIPS (Coupled Hurricane Intensity Prediction frequency of strong typhoons in these regions is System) model (Emanuel, 1999). partly related to the large area of warm sea surface temperature (SST) and correspondingly large 2. EXPERIMENT DESIGN potential intensity (Emanuel 1991). Nevertheless, TOPEX/Poseidon satellite altimetry Sea it remains unclear why some storms reach higher Surface Height Anomaly (SSHA) data and cloud- intensity than others. penetrating SST data from the Tropical Rainfall Recent studies (Bender and Ginis, 2000; Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager Shay et al., 2000; Goni and Trinanes, 2003) (TMI) are used to improve the initial and boundary suggest that one of the major stumbling blocks in conditions for hindcast experiments using CHIPS. -
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form
Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force RBC Proposal Form [ ] Capital Adequacy (E) Task Force [ x ] Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Life RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Catastrophe Risk (E) Subgroup [ ] Investment RBC (E) Working Group [ ] SMI RBC (E) Subgroup [ ] C3 Phase II/ AG43 (E/A) Subgroup [ ] P/C RBC (E) Working Group [ ] Stress Testing (E) Subgroup DATE: 08/31/2020 FOR NAIC USE ONLY CONTACT PERSON: Crystal Brown Agenda Item # 2020-07-H TELEPHONE: 816-783-8146 Year 2021 EMAIL ADDRESS: [email protected] DISPOSITION [ x ] ADOPTED WG 10/29/20 & TF 11/19/20 ON BEHALF OF: Health RBC (E) Working Group [ ] REJECTED NAME: Steve Drutz [ ] DEFERRED TO TITLE: Chief Financial Analyst/Chair [ ] REFERRED TO OTHER NAIC GROUP AFFILIATION: WA Office of Insurance Commissioner [ ] EXPOSED ________________ ADDRESS: 5000 Capitol Blvd SE [ ] OTHER (SPECIFY) Tumwater, WA 98501 IDENTIFICATION OF SOURCE AND FORM(S)/INSTRUCTIONS TO BE CHANGED [ x ] Health RBC Blanks [ x ] Health RBC Instructions [ ] Other ___________________ [ ] Life and Fraternal RBC Blanks [ ] Life and Fraternal RBC Instructions [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Blanks [ ] Property/Casualty RBC Instructions DESCRIPTION OF CHANGE(S) Split the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets into separate pages (Page XR007 and XR008). REASON OR JUSTIFICATION FOR CHANGE ** Currently the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets are included on page XR007 of the Health RBC formula. With the implementation of the 20 bond designations and the electronic only tables, the Bonds and Misc. Fixed Income Assets were split between two tabs in the excel file for use of the electronic only tables and ease of printing. However, for increased transparency and system requirements, it is suggested that these pages be split into separate page numbers beginning with year-2021.