Downloaded 10/01/21 11:55 PM UTC 3574 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 140 Level in Hurricanes
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Performance of Horizontal Drains
FACTUAL REPORT ON HONG KONG RAINFALL AND LANDSLIDES IN 2003 GEO REPORT No. 186 T.H.H. Hui & A.F.H. Ng GEOTECHNICAL ENGINEERING OFFICE CIVIL ENGINEERING AND DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT THE GOVERNMENT OF THE HONG KONG SPECIAL ADMINISTRATIVE REGION FACTUAL REPORT ON HONG KONG RAINFALL AND LANDSLIDES IN 2003 GEO REPORT No. 186 T.H.H. Hui & A.F.H. Ng This report was originally produced in April 2004 as GEO Special Project Report No. SPR 3/2004 - 2 - © The Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region First published, September 2006 Prepared by: Geotechnical Engineering Office, Civil Engineering and Development Department, Civil Engineering and Development Building, 101 Princess Margaret Road, Homantin, Kowloon, Hong Kong. - 3 - PREFACE In keeping with our policy of releasing information which may be of general interest to the geotechnical profession and the public, we make available selected internal reports in a series of publications termed the GEO Report series. The GEO Reports can be downloaded from the website of the Civil Engineering and Development Department (http://www.cedd.gov.hk) on the Internet. Printed copies are also available for some GEO Reports. For printed copies, a charge is made to cover the cost of printing. The Geotechnical Engineering Office also produces documents specifically for publication. These include guidance documents and results of comprehensive reviews. These publications and the printed GEO Reports may be obtained from the Government’s Information Services Department. Information on how to purchase these documents is given on the last page of this report. R.K.S. Chan Head, Geotechnical Engineering Office September 2006 - 4 - FOREWORD This report presents a summary of the factual information on rainfall and landslides in Hong Kong throughout 2003. -
Hurricane Outer Rainband Mesovortices
Presented at the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, May 31 2000 EXAMINING THE PRE-LANDFALL ENVIRONMENT OF MESOVORTICES WITHIN A HURRICANE BONNIE (1998) OUTER RAINBAND 1 2 2 1 Scott M. Spratt , Frank D. Marks , Peter P. Dodge , and David W. Sharp 1 NOAA/National Weather Service Forecast Office, Melbourne, FL 2 NOAA/AOML Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL 1. INTRODUCTION Tropical Cyclone (TC) tornado environments have been studied for many decades through composite analyses of proximity soundings (e.g. Novlan and Gray 1974; McCaul 1986). More recently, airborne and ground-based Doppler radar investigations of TC rainband-embedded mesocyclones have advanced the understanding of tornadic cell lifecycles (Black and Marks 1991; Spratt et al. 1997). This paper will document the first known dropwindsonde deployments immediately adjacent to a family of TC outer rainband mesocyclones, and will examine the thermodynamic and wind profiles retrieved from the marine environment. A companion paper (Dodge et al. 2000) discusses dual-Doppler analyses of these mesovortices. On 26 August 1998, TC Bonnie made landfall as a category two hurricane along the North Carolina coast. Prior to landfall, two National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Hurricane Research Division (HRD) aircraft conducted surveillance missions offshore the Carolina coast. While performing these missions near altitudes of 3.5 and 2.1 km, both aircraft were required to deviate around intense cells within a dominant outer rainband, 165 to 195 km northeast of the TC center. On-board radars detected apparent mini-supercell signatures associated with several of the convective cells along the band. -
Global Catastrophe Review – 2015
GC BRIEFING An Update from GC Analytics© March 2016 GLOBAL CATASTROPHE REVIEW – 2015 The year 2015 was a quiet one in terms of global significant insured losses, which totaled around USD 30.5 billion. Insured losses were below the 10-year and 5-year moving averages of around USD 49.7 billion and USD 62.6 billion, respectively (see Figures 1 and 2). Last year marked the lowest total insured catastrophe losses since 2009 and well below the USD 126 billion seen in 2011. 1 The most impactful event of 2015 was the Port of Tianjin, China explosions in August, rendering estimated insured losses between USD 1.6 and USD 3.3 billion, according to the Guy Carpenter report following the event, with a December estimate from Swiss Re of at least USD 2 billion. The series of winter storms and record cold of the eastern United States resulted in an estimated USD 2.1 billion of insured losses, whereas in Europe, storms Desmond, Eva and Frank in December 2015 are expected to render losses exceeding USD 1.6 billion. Other impactful events were the damaging wildfires in the western United States, severe flood events in the Southern Plains and Carolinas and Typhoon Goni affecting Japan, the Philippines and the Korea Peninsula, all with estimated insured losses exceeding USD 1 billion. The year 2015 marked one of the strongest El Niño periods on record, characterized by warm waters in the east Pacific tropics. This was associated with record-setting tropical cyclone activity in the North Pacific basin, but relative quiet in the North Atlantic. -
US Landfalling and North Atlantic Hurricanes
44 MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW VOLUME 140 U.S. Landfalling and North Atlantic Hurricanes: Statistical Modeling of Their Frequencies and Ratios GABRIELE VILLARINI Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, and Willis Research Network, London, United Kingdom GABRIEL A. VECCHI NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey JAMES A. SMITH Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey (Manuscript received 10 March 2011, in final form 11 July 2011) ABSTRACT Time series of U.S. landfalling and North Atlantic hurricane counts and their ratios over the period 1878– 2008 are modeled using tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST), tropical mean SST, the North At- lantic Oscillation (NAO), and the Southern Oscillation index (SOI). Two SST input datasets are employed to examine the uncertainties in the reconstructed SST data on the modeling results. Because of the likely un- dercount of recorded hurricanes in the earliest part of the record, both the uncorrected hurricane dataset (HURDAT) and a time series with a recently proposed undercount correction are considered. Modeling of the count data is performed using a conditional Poisson regression model, in which the rate of occurrence can depend linearly or nonlinearly on the climate indexes. Model selection is performed following a stepwise approach and using two penalty criteria. These results do not allow one to identify a single ‘‘best’’ model because of the different model configurations (different SST data, corrected versus uncorrected datasets, and penalty criteria). Despite the lack of an objectively identified unique final model, the authors recommend a set of models in which the parameter of the Poisson distribution depends linearly on tropical Atlantic and tropical mean SSTs. -
Briefing Note on Typhoon Goni
Briefing note 12 November 2020 PHILIPPINES KEY FIGURES Typhoon Goni CRISIS IMPACT OVERVIEW 1,5 million PEOPLE AFFECTED BY •On the morning of 1 November 2020, Typhoon Goni (known locally as Rolly) made landfall in Bicol Region and hit the town of Tiwi in Albay province, causing TYPHOON GONI rivers to overflow and flood much of the region. The typhoon – considered the world’s strongest typhoon so far this year – had maximum sustained winds of 225 km/h and gustiness of up to 280 km/h, moving at 25 km/h (ACT Alliance 02/11/2020). • At least 11 towns are reported to be cut off in Bato, Catanduanes province, as roads linking the province’s towns remain impassable. At least 137,000 houses were destroyed or damaged – including more than 300 houses buried under rock in Guinobatan, Albay province, because of a landslide following 128,000 heavy rains caused by the typhoon (OCHA 09/11/2020; ECHO 10/11/2020; OCHA 04/11/2020; South China Morning Post 04/11/2020). Many families will remain REMAIN DISPLACED BY in long-term displacement (UN News 06/11/2020; Map Action 08/11/2020). TYPHOON GONI • As of 7 November, approximately 375,074 families or 1,459,762 people had been affected in the regions of Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Calabarzon, Mimaropa, Bicol, Eastern Visayas, CAR, and NCR. Of these, 178,556 families or 686,400 people are in Bicol Region (AHA Centre 07/11/2020). • As of 07 November, there were 20 dead, 165 injured, and six missing people in the regions of Calabarzon, Mimaropa, and Bicol, while at least 11 people were 180,000 reported killed in Catanduanes and Albay provinces (AHA Centre 07/11/2020; UN News 03/11/2020). -
The Improvement of Trap by Considering Typhoon Intensity Variation
THE IMPROVEMENT OF TRAP BY CONSIDERING TYPHOON INTENSITY VARIATION Yu-Chun Chen*1, Gin-Rong Liu2, and Yen-Ju Chen3 1Graduate Student, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57665 Email: [email protected] 2Professor, Central for Space and Remote Sensing Research, and Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57634 E-mail: [email protected] 3Graduate Student, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, National Central University, 300, Jhongda Rd., Jhongli, Taoyuan 32001, Taiwan; Tel: + 886-3-4227151#57634 Email: [email protected] KEY WORDS: Typhoon, TRaP, Typhoon Intensity, Typhoon Rainfall ABSTRACT: For years, the flash floods, mudflows and landslides brought by typhoons always cause severe loss of property and human life. For this reason, it is crucial to develop a more accurate and prompt typhoon rainfall prediction technique and thus can provide necessary rainfall potential information to the relevant disaster mitigation agencies. Kidder et al. (2005) developed the Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) technique, which applied satellite-borne passive microwave radiometers, to retrieve a tropical cyclone’s rainfall amount and predict its 24-h accumulated rainfall distribution. However, the effects of a tropical cyclone’s rainband rotation and intensity variation were not considered in their method. To obtain a better approximation to the actual rainfall system, this study will improve the TRaP technique by considering those effects. In the typhoon intensity variation part, the method proposed by DeMaria (2006) was applied to predict the 6-h intensity change with GOES-9 and MTSAT satellites, and the result was further extended to predict the 24-h intensity change and accumulated rainfall. -
Service Assessment Hurricane Irene, August
Service Assessment Hurricane Irene, August 21–30, 2011 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service Silver Spring, Maryland Cover Photographs: Top Left - NOAA GOES 13 visible image of Hurricane Irene taken at 12:32 UTC (8:32 a.m. EDT) on August 27, 2011, as it was moving northward along the east coast. Map of total storm rainfall for Hurricane Irene (NCEP/HPC) overlaid with photos of Hurricane Irene’s impacts. Clockwise from top right: • Damage to bridge over the Pemigewasset River/East Branch in Lincoln, NH (NH DOT) • Trees across road and utility lines in Guilford, CT (CT DEP) • Damage to homes from storm surge at Cosey Beach, East Haven, CT (CT DEP) • Flooding of Delaware River closes Rt. 29 in Trenton, NJ (State of New Jersey, Office of the Governor) • Damage from storm surge on North Carolina’s Outer Banks (USGS) • Damage to home from an EF1 tornado in Lewes, DE (Sussex County, DE EOC) • River flooding on Schoharie Creek near Lexington, NY (USGS) • Flood damage to historic covered bridge and road in Quechee, VT (FEMA) ii Service Assessment Hurricane Irene, August 21–30, 2011 September 2012 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Dr. Jane Lubchenco, Administrator National Weather Service Laura Furgione, Acting Assistant Administrator for Weather Services iii Preface On August 21-29, 2011, Hurricane Irene left a devastating imprint on the Caribbean and U.S. East Coast. The storm took the lives of more than 40 people, caused an estimated $6.5 billion in damages, unleashed major flooding, downed trees and power lines, and forced road closures, evacuations, and major rescue efforts. -
The Interaction of Supertyphoon Maemi (2003) with a Warm Ocean Eddy
17A.2 THE INTERACTION OF SUPERTYPHOON MAEMI (2003) WITH A WARM OCEAN EDDY I-I Lin1 ,Chun-Chieh Wu2, Kerry A. Emanuel3, W. Timothy Liu4, and I-Huan Lee5 1National Center for Ocean Research, Taipei, Taiwan 2 Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 3Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA 4Jet Propulsion Lab, NASA, USA 5Inst. of Marine Geology and Chemistry, National Taiwan Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan 1. INTRODUCTION impact of the NWPO warm ocean eddies on The Northwest Pacific Ocean (NWPO) is the typhoon intensification is not well understood. world's most prolific generator of tropical cyclones, This work serves as our first investigation of producing about 6-10 category-4 (in Saffir-Simpson the impact of a warm ocean eddy on the intensity scale) or category-5 typhoons each year. These change of Maemi (2003) in the NWPO, by using the severe typhoons are direct threats to the half-billion synergy of the multiple remote sensing data and people living on the coast of East Asia. The high the CHIPS (Coupled Hurricane Intensity Prediction frequency of strong typhoons in these regions is System) model (Emanuel, 1999). partly related to the large area of warm sea surface temperature (SST) and correspondingly large 2. EXPERIMENT DESIGN potential intensity (Emanuel 1991). Nevertheless, TOPEX/Poseidon satellite altimetry Sea it remains unclear why some storms reach higher Surface Height Anomaly (SSHA) data and cloud- intensity than others. penetrating SST data from the Tropical Rainfall Recent studies (Bender and Ginis, 2000; Measuring Mission (TRMM) Microwave Imager Shay et al., 2000; Goni and Trinanes, 2003) (TMI) are used to improve the initial and boundary suggest that one of the major stumbling blocks in conditions for hindcast experiments using CHIPS. -
September 2000
Natural Hazards Observer - September 2000 VOLUME XXV NUMBER 1 September 2000 Table of Contents The Los Alamos Cerro Grande Fire: An Abject, Object Lesson Wildfire Web Sites The Federal Response to the Cerro Grande Fire The Natural Hazards Center's Quick Response Program Three New Quick Response Reports 2000 Session Summaries Now Available A Modest Price Increase (and Still a Bargain) Fourth Hazards Assessment Volume Due this Fall Also Available from the Second Assessment of Natural Hazards . Reflections on the American Flood Legacy Canadians Safe Guard Their Citizens ProVention Consortium Launches Newsletter UN Sets 2000 World Disaster Reduction Campaign: Disaster Reduction, Education, and Youth Washington Update ● FEMA and Heinz Center Say Coastal Erosion Will Destroy 87,000 Buildings ● FEMA Offers Best Practices in Coastal Construction ● FEMA Releases Design and Construction Guidance for Community Shelters ● Congress Finds Money for Disaster Victims EDUPLANhemisférico: The Hemispheric Action Plan for Vulnerability Reduction in the Education Sector http://www.colorado.edu/hazards/o/archives/2000/sept00/sept00a.html (1 of 9)11/12/2007 1:27:37 PM Natural Hazards Observer - September 2000 Contracts and Grants The Internet Pages UN-HiNet Being Updated Introducing the African American Emergency Preparedness and Information Project (EPIP) Conferences and Training Red Cross Releases "Masters of Disaster Children's Disaster Safety Curriculum New Self-Study Courses from FEMA Recent Publications An Invitation to Publish in the International Journal Natural Hazards Who We Are The Los Alamos Cerro Grande Fire: An Abject, Object Lesson --an invited comment Not Unexpected Initiating perhaps the worst fire season in the last 50 years, the Los Alamos Cerro Grande fire in New Mexico caught the nation's attention in May when over 200 homes burned because a prescribed fire got out of control. -
Weekly Update on ASEAN Plus Three Food Security Related Information Is Based on All Available Sources During the Period
Development of Geological Disaster Technology (BPPTKG) has increased the alert status of the volcano to the third level. As a result, 1,294 people living in nearby vicinity had to leave their homes to find safer places. WEEKLY UPDATE ON Source: ECHO. (2020, Nov 12). Indonesia- Mount Merapi volcanic eruption (GDACS, BNPB, BPPTKG). ASEAN PLUS THREE FOOD SECURITY The Philippines RELATED INFORMATION Typhoon Vamco caused catastrophic destructions and put millions of people No. 193 into sufferings. Typhoon Vamco, locally known as typhoon Ulysses, came ashore at 11 - 17 November 2020 Catanduanes on 11 November 2020, bringing incessantly torrential downpours and extensive flooding. There were at least 69 people killed in the areas such as Calabarzon, Bicol and Metro Manila. Around 40,000 houses were damaged, Indonesia while 4,500 of them were completely destroyed. Flash floods struck widespread areas across Indonesia. During 11-15 The Department of Social Welfare and November 2020, several provinces in Development (DSWD) stated that the Indonesia comprising Riau, West Java and hardest hit regions were National Capital Aceh experienced flash floods generated Region (NCR), Ilocos, Cagayan Valley, by high intensity rainfalls along with strong Central Luzon, CALABARZON, wind collectively. Due to this, around 400 MIMAROPA, Bicol and Cordillera houses were damaged while almost 1,000 Administrative Region (CAR), where three persons were affected and 25 people were million people were affected and nearly displaced. Roughly 75 hectares of 300,000 had to leave their homes to stay in plantation fields together with about 30 evacuation centers. livestock were lost. In relation to this, the National Disaster Source: AHA Centre. -
Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong
78 BAVI AUG : ,- HAISHEN JANGMI SEP AUG 6 KUJIRA MAYSAK SEP SEP HAGUPIT AUG DOLPHIN SEP /1 CHAN-HOM OCT TD.. MEKKHALA AUG TD.. AUG AUG ATSANI Hong Kong HIGOS NOV AUG DOLPHIN() 2012 SEP : 78 HAISHEN() 2010 NURI ,- /1 BAVI() 2008 SEP JUN JANGMI CHAN-HOM() 2014 NANGKA HIGOS(2007) VONGFONG AUG ()2005 OCT OCT AUG MAY HAGUPIT() 2004 + AUG SINLAKU AUG AUG TD.. JUL MEKKHALA VAMCO ()2006 6 NOV MAYSAK() 2009 AUG * + NANGKA() 2016 AUG TD.. KUJIRA() 2013 SAUDEL SINLAKU() 2003 OCT JUL 45 SEP NOUL OCT JUL GONI() 2019 SEP NURI(2002) ;< OCT JUN MOLAVE * OCT LINFA SAUDEL(2017) OCT 45 LINFA() 2015 OCT GONI OCT ;< NOV MOLAVE(2018) ETAU OCT NOV NOUL(2011) ETAU() 2021 SEP NOV VAMCO() 2022 ATSANI() 2020 NOV OCT KROVANH(2023) DEC KROVANH DEC VONGFONG(2001) MAY 二零二零年 熱帶氣旋 TROPICAL CYCLONES IN 2020 2 二零二一年七月出版 Published July 2021 香港天文台編製 香港九龍彌敦道134A Prepared by: Hong Kong Observatory, 134A Nathan Road, Kowloon, Hong Kong © 版權所有。未經香港天文台台長同意,不得翻印本刊物任何部分內容。 © Copyright reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced without the permission of the Director of the Hong Kong Observatory. 知識產權公告 Intellectual Property Rights Notice All contents contained in this publication, 本刊物的所有內容,包括但不限於所有 including but not limited to all data, maps, 資料、地圖、文本、圖像、圖畫、圖片、 text, graphics, drawings, diagrams, 照片、影像,以及數據或其他資料的匯編 photographs, videos and compilation of data or other materials (the “Materials”) are (下稱「資料」),均受知識產權保護。資 subject to the intellectual property rights 料的知識產權由香港特別行政區政府 which are either owned by the Government of (下稱「政府」)擁有,或經資料的知識產 the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (the “Government”) or have been licensed to 權擁有人授予政府,為本刊物預期的所 the Government by the intellectual property 有目的而處理該等資料。任何人如欲使 rights’ owner(s) of the Materials to deal with 用資料用作非商業用途,均須遵守《香港 such Materials for all the purposes contemplated in this publication. -
2020 Sustainability Report
2020 SUSTAINABILITY REPORT ENERGY FOR A BETTER TOMORROW 2020 | 2021 Recognitions Table of Contents ■ For the 15th consecutive year, Duke Energy was named to the 2020 | 2021 Recognitions . 2 Dow Jones Sustainability Index for A Message From Our CEO . 3 North America. Duke Energy is A Message From Our CSO . 5 one of only seven companies in our Duke Energy At A Glance . 7 sector to make the index. Conducting Business in the Era ■ Duke Energy was named to Fortune magazine’s “World’s Most Admired of COVID-19 . 10 Companies” list in 2021 for the fourth consecutive year. This year the Our Strategy: company ranked 7th among gas and electric utilities. Clean Energy Transformation . 12 ■ Forbes magazine included Duke Energy in its America’s Best Employers Our Value Creation Model . 13 for Women list for 2020 and its Best Employers for Diversity list Our Stakeholders and for 2020. What Matters Most . 15 ■ Forbes magazine included Duke Energy in its 2020 list for Best-In-State Our Sustainability Plan and Goals . 17 Employers in North Carolina, ranking the company 12th out of 100 Management Approach employers on the list. to Sustainability . 20 ■ Duke Energy received a perfect score for the fourth year in a row on the Environmental . 21 Human Rights Campaign Foundation’s 2021 Corporate Equality Index, Social . 40 earning inclusion on the organization’s list of Best Places to Work for LGBTQ Equality. Governance . 53 ■ Duke Energy received the 2020 AMVETS Veteran Friendly Employer of the Year Award for North Carolina, for companies with more than 1,000 employees.