Topic 1: Multiple Linear Regression
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A Simple Censored Median Regression Estimator
Statistica Sinica 16(2006), 1043-1058 A SIMPLE CENSORED MEDIAN REGRESSION ESTIMATOR Lingzhi Zhou The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Abstract: Ying, Jung and Wei (1995) proposed an estimation procedure for the censored median regression model that regresses the median of the survival time, or its transform, on the covariates. The procedure requires solving complicated nonlinear equations and thus can be very difficult to implement in practice, es- pecially when there are multiple covariates. Moreover, the asymptotic covariance matrix of the estimator involves the density of the errors that cannot be esti- mated reliably. In this paper, we propose a new estimator for the censored median regression model. Our estimation procedure involves solving some convex min- imization problems and can be easily implemented through linear programming (Koenker and D'Orey (1987)). In addition, a resampling method is presented for estimating the covariance matrix of the new estimator. Numerical studies indi- cate the superiority of the finite sample performance of our estimator over that in Ying, Jung and Wei (1995). Key words and phrases: Censoring, convexity, LAD, resampling. 1. Introduction The accelerated failure time (AFT) model, which relates the logarithm of the survival time to covariates, is an attractive alternative to the popular Cox (1972) proportional hazards model due to its ease of interpretation. The model assumes that the failure time T , or some monotonic transformation of it, is linearly related to the covariate vector Z 0 Ti = β0Zi + "i; i = 1; : : : ; n: (1.1) Under censoring, we only observe Yi = min(Ti; Ci), where Ci are censoring times, and Ti and Ci are independent conditional on Zi. -
Cluster Analysis, a Powerful Tool for Data Analysis in Education
International Statistical Institute, 56th Session, 2007: Rita Vasconcelos, Mßrcia Baptista Cluster Analysis, a powerful tool for data analysis in Education Vasconcelos, Rita Universidade da Madeira, Department of Mathematics and Engeneering Caminho da Penteada 9000-390 Funchal, Portugal E-mail: [email protected] Baptista, Márcia Direcção Regional de Saúde Pública Rua das Pretas 9000 Funchal, Portugal E-mail: [email protected] 1. Introduction A database was created after an inquiry to 14-15 - year old students, which was developed with the purpose of identifying the factors that could socially and pedagogically frame the results in Mathematics. The data was collected in eight schools in Funchal (Madeira Island), and we performed a Cluster Analysis as a first multivariate statistical approach to this database. We also developed a logistic regression analysis, as the study was carried out as a contribution to explain the success/failure in Mathematics. As a final step, the responses of both statistical analysis were studied. 2. Cluster Analysis approach The questions that arise when we try to frame socially and pedagogically the results in Mathematics of 14-15 - year old students, are concerned with the types of decisive factors in those results. It is somehow underlying our objectives to classify the students according to the factors understood by us as being decisive in students’ results. This is exactly the aim of Cluster Analysis. The hierarchical solution that can be observed in the dendogram presented in the next page, suggests that we should consider the 3 following clusters, since the distances increase substantially after it: Variables in Cluster1: mother qualifications; father qualifications; student’s results in Mathematics as classified by the school teacher; student’s results in the exam of Mathematics; time spent studying. -
The Detection of Heteroscedasticity in Regression Models for Psychological Data
Psychological Test and Assessment Modeling, Volume 58, 2016 (4), 567-592 The detection of heteroscedasticity in regression models for psychological data Andreas G. Klein1, Carla Gerhard2, Rebecca D. Büchner2, Stefan Diestel3 & Karin Schermelleh-Engel2 Abstract One assumption of multiple regression analysis is homoscedasticity of errors. Heteroscedasticity, as often found in psychological or behavioral data, may result from misspecification due to overlooked nonlinear predictor terms or to unobserved predictors not included in the model. Although methods exist to test for heteroscedasticity, they require a parametric model for specifying the structure of heteroscedasticity. The aim of this article is to propose a simple measure of heteroscedasticity, which does not need a parametric model and is able to detect omitted nonlinear terms. This measure utilizes the dispersion of the squared regression residuals. Simulation studies show that the measure performs satisfactorily with regard to Type I error rates and power when sample size and effect size are large enough. It outperforms the Breusch-Pagan test when a nonlinear term is omitted in the analysis model. We also demonstrate the performance of the measure using a data set from industrial psychology. Keywords: Heteroscedasticity, Monte Carlo study, regression, interaction effect, quadratic effect 1Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to: Prof. Dr. Andreas G. Klein, Department of Psychology, Goethe University Frankfurt, Theodor-W.-Adorno-Platz 6, 60629 Frankfurt; email: [email protected] 2Goethe University Frankfurt 3International School of Management Dortmund Leipniz-Research Centre for Working Environment and Human Factors 568 A. G. Klein, C. Gerhard, R. D. Büchner, S. Diestel & K. Schermelleh-Engel Introduction One of the standard assumptions underlying a linear model is that the errors are inde- pendently identically distributed (i.i.d.). -
Simple Linear Regression with Least Square Estimation: an Overview
Aditya N More et al, / (IJCSIT) International Journal of Computer Science and Information Technologies, Vol. 7 (6) , 2016, 2394-2396 Simple Linear Regression with Least Square Estimation: An Overview Aditya N More#1, Puneet S Kohli*2, Kshitija H Kulkarni#3 #1-2Information Technology Department,#3 Electronics and Communication Department College of Engineering Pune Shivajinagar, Pune – 411005, Maharashtra, India Abstract— Linear Regression involves modelling a relationship amongst dependent and independent variables in the form of a (2.1) linear equation. Least Square Estimation is a method to determine the constants in a Linear model in the most accurate way without much complexity of solving. Metrics where such as Coefficient of Determination and Mean Square Error is the ith value of the sample data point determine how good the estimation is. Statistical Packages is the ith value of y on the predicted regression such as R and Microsoft Excel have built in tools to perform Least Square Estimation over a given data set. line The above equation can be geometrically depicted by Keywords— Linear Regression, Machine Learning, Least Squares Estimation, R programming figure 2.1. If we draw a square at each point whose length is equal to the absolute difference between the sample data point and the predicted value as shown, each of the square would then represent the residual error in placing the I. INTRODUCTION regression line. The aim of the least square method would Linear Regression involves establishing linear be to place the regression line so as to minimize the sum of relationships between dependent and independent variables. -
Testing Hypotheses for Differences Between Linear Regression Lines
United States Department of Testing Hypotheses for Differences Agriculture Between Linear Regression Lines Forest Service Stanley J. Zarnoch Southern Research Station e-Research Note SRS–17 May 2009 Abstract The general linear model (GLM) is often used to test for differences between means, as for example when the Five hypotheses are identified for testing differences between simple linear analysis of variance is used in data analysis for designed regression lines. The distinctions between these hypotheses are based on a priori assumptions and illustrated with full and reduced models. The studies. However, the GLM has a much wider application contrast approach is presented as an easy and complete method for testing and can also be used to compare regression lines. The for overall differences between the regressions and for making pairwise GLM allows for the use of both qualitative and quantitative comparisons. Use of the Bonferroni adjustment to ensure a desired predictor variables. Quantitative variables are continuous experimentwise type I error rate is emphasized. SAS software is used to illustrate application of these concepts to an artificial simulated dataset. The values such as diameter at breast height, tree height, SAS code is provided for each of the five hypotheses and for the contrasts age, or temperature. However, many predictor variables for the general test and all possible specific tests. in the natural resources field are qualitative. Examples of qualitative variables include tree class (dominant, Keywords: Contrasts, dummy variables, F-test, intercept, SAS, slope, test of conditional error. codominant); species (loblolly, slash, longleaf); and cover type (clearcut, shelterwood, seed tree). Fraedrich and others (1994) compared linear regressions of slash pine cone specific gravity and moisture content Introduction on collection date between families of slash pine grown in a seed orchard. -
5. Dummy-Variable Regression and Analysis of Variance
Sociology 740 John Fox Lecture Notes 5. Dummy-Variable Regression and Analysis of Variance Copyright © 2014 by John Fox Dummy-Variable Regression and Analysis of Variance 1 1. Introduction I One of the limitations of multiple-regression analysis is that it accommo- dates only quantitative explanatory variables. I Dummy-variable regressors can be used to incorporate qualitative explanatory variables into a linear model, substantially expanding the range of application of regression analysis. c 2014 by John Fox Sociology 740 ° Dummy-Variable Regression and Analysis of Variance 2 2. Goals: I To show how dummy regessors can be used to represent the categories of a qualitative explanatory variable in a regression model. I To introduce the concept of interaction between explanatory variables, and to show how interactions can be incorporated into a regression model by forming interaction regressors. I To introduce the principle of marginality, which serves as a guide to constructing and testing terms in complex linear models. I To show how incremental I -testsareemployedtotesttermsindummy regression models. I To show how analysis-of-variance models can be handled using dummy variables. c 2014 by John Fox Sociology 740 ° Dummy-Variable Regression and Analysis of Variance 3 3. A Dichotomous Explanatory Variable I The simplest case: one dichotomous and one quantitative explanatory variable. I Assumptions: Relationships are additive — the partial effect of each explanatory • variable is the same regardless of the specific value at which the other explanatory variable is held constant. The other assumptions of the regression model hold. • I The motivation for including a qualitative explanatory variable is the same as for including an additional quantitative explanatory variable: to account more fully for the response variable, by making the errors • smaller; and to avoid a biased assessment of the impact of an explanatory variable, • as a consequence of omitting another explanatory variables that is relatedtoit. -
Generalized Linear Models
Generalized Linear Models Advanced Methods for Data Analysis (36-402/36-608) Spring 2014 1 Generalized linear models 1.1 Introduction: two regressions • So far we've seen two canonical settings for regression. Let X 2 Rp be a vector of predictors. In linear regression, we observe Y 2 R, and assume a linear model: T E(Y jX) = β X; for some coefficients β 2 Rp. In logistic regression, we observe Y 2 f0; 1g, and we assume a logistic model (Y = 1jX) log P = βT X: 1 − P(Y = 1jX) • What's the similarity here? Note that in the logistic regression setting, P(Y = 1jX) = E(Y jX). Therefore, in both settings, we are assuming that a transformation of the conditional expec- tation E(Y jX) is a linear function of X, i.e., T g E(Y jX) = β X; for some function g. In linear regression, this transformation was the identity transformation g(u) = u; in logistic regression, it was the logit transformation g(u) = log(u=(1 − u)) • Different transformations might be appropriate for different types of data. E.g., the identity transformation g(u) = u is not really appropriate for logistic regression (why?), and the logit transformation g(u) = log(u=(1 − u)) not appropriate for linear regression (why?), but each is appropriate in their own intended domain • For a third data type, it is entirely possible that transformation neither is really appropriate. What to do then? We think of another transformation g that is in fact appropriate, and this is the basic idea behind a generalized linear model 1.2 Generalized linear models • Given predictors X 2 Rp and an outcome Y , a generalized linear model is defined by three components: a random component, that specifies a distribution for Y jX; a systematic compo- nent, that relates a parameter η to the predictors X; and a link function, that connects the random and systematic components • The random component specifies a distribution for the outcome variable (conditional on X). -
Simple Linear Regression: Straight Line Regression Between an Outcome Variable (Y ) and a Single Explanatory Or Predictor Variable (X)
1 Introduction to Regression \Regression" is a generic term for statistical methods that attempt to fit a model to data, in order to quantify the relationship between the dependent (outcome) variable and the predictor (independent) variable(s). Assuming it fits the data reasonable well, the estimated model may then be used either to merely describe the relationship between the two groups of variables (explanatory), or to predict new values (prediction). There are many types of regression models, here are a few most common to epidemiology: Simple Linear Regression: Straight line regression between an outcome variable (Y ) and a single explanatory or predictor variable (X). E(Y ) = α + β × X Multiple Linear Regression: Same as Simple Linear Regression, but now with possibly multiple explanatory or predictor variables. E(Y ) = α + β1 × X1 + β2 × X2 + β3 × X3 + ::: A special case is polynomial regression. 2 3 E(Y ) = α + β1 × X + β2 × X + β3 × X + ::: Generalized Linear Model: Same as Multiple Linear Regression, but with a possibly transformed Y variable. This introduces considerable flexibil- ity, as non-linear and non-normal situations can be easily handled. G(E(Y )) = α + β1 × X1 + β2 × X2 + β3 × X3 + ::: In general, the transformation function G(Y ) can take any form, but a few forms are especially common: • Taking G(Y ) = logit(Y ) describes a logistic regression model: E(Y ) log( ) = α + β × X + β × X + β × X + ::: 1 − E(Y ) 1 1 2 2 3 3 2 • Taking G(Y ) = log(Y ) is also very common, leading to Poisson regression for count data, and other so called \log-linear" models. -
Lecture 18: Regression in Practice
Regression in Practice Regression in Practice ● Regression Errors ● Regression Diagnostics ● Data Transformations Regression Errors Ice Cream Sales vs. Temperature Image source Linear Regression in R > summary(lm(sales ~ temp)) Call: lm(formula = sales ~ temp) Residuals: Min 1Q Median 3Q Max -74.467 -17.359 3.085 23.180 42.040 Coefficients: Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|) (Intercept) -122.988 54.761 -2.246 0.0513 . temp 28.427 2.816 10.096 3.31e-06 *** --- Signif. codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1 Residual standard error: 35.07 on 9 degrees of freedom Multiple R-squared: 0.9189, Adjusted R-squared: 0.9098 F-statistic: 101.9 on 1 and 9 DF, p-value: 3.306e-06 Some Goodness-of-fit Statistics ● Residual standard error ● R2 and adjusted R2 ● F statistic Anatomy of Regression Errors Image Source Residual Standard Error ● A residual is a difference between a fitted value and an observed value. ● The total residual error (RSS) is the sum of the squared residuals. ○ Intuitively, RSS is the error that the model does not explain. ● It is a measure of how far the data are from the regression line (i.e., the model), on average, expressed in the units of the dependent variable. ● The standard error of the residuals is roughly the square root of the average residual error (RSS / n). ○ Technically, it’s not √(RSS / n), it’s √(RSS / (n - 2)); it’s adjusted by degrees of freedom. R2: Coefficient of Determination ● R2 = ESS / TSS ● Interpretations: ○ The proportion of the variance in the dependent variable that the model explains. -
Chapter 2 Simple Linear Regression Analysis the Simple
Chapter 2 Simple Linear Regression Analysis The simple linear regression model We consider the modelling between the dependent and one independent variable. When there is only one independent variable in the linear regression model, the model is generally termed as a simple linear regression model. When there are more than one independent variables in the model, then the linear model is termed as the multiple linear regression model. The linear model Consider a simple linear regression model yX01 where y is termed as the dependent or study variable and X is termed as the independent or explanatory variable. The terms 0 and 1 are the parameters of the model. The parameter 0 is termed as an intercept term, and the parameter 1 is termed as the slope parameter. These parameters are usually called as regression coefficients. The unobservable error component accounts for the failure of data to lie on the straight line and represents the difference between the true and observed realization of y . There can be several reasons for such difference, e.g., the effect of all deleted variables in the model, variables may be qualitative, inherent randomness in the observations etc. We assume that is observed as independent and identically distributed random variable with mean zero and constant variance 2 . Later, we will additionally assume that is normally distributed. The independent variables are viewed as controlled by the experimenter, so it is considered as non-stochastic whereas y is viewed as a random variable with Ey()01 X and Var() y 2 . Sometimes X can also be a random variable. -
Pubh 7405: REGRESSION ANALYSIS
PubH 7405: REGRESSION ANALYSIS Review #2: Simple Correlation & Regression COURSE INFORMATION • Course Information are at address: www.biostat.umn.edu/~chap/pubh7405 • On each class web page, there is a brief version of the lecture for the day – the part with “formulas”; you can review, preview, or both – and as often as you like. • Follow Reading & Homework assignments at the end of the page when & if applicable. OFFICE HOURS • Instructor’s scheduled office hours: 1:15 to 2:15 Monday & Wednesday, in A441 Mayo Building • Other times are available by appointment • When really needed, can just drop in and interrupt me; could call before coming – making sure that I’m in. • I’m at a research facility on Fridays. Variables • A variable represents a characteristic or a class of measurement. It takes on different values on different subjects/persons. Examples include weight, height, race, sex, SBP, etc. The observed values, also called “observations,” form items of a data set. • Depending on the scale of measurement, we have different types of data. There are “observed variables” (Height, Weight, etc… each takes on different values on different subjects/person) and there are “calculated variables” (Sample Mean, Sample Proportion, etc… each is a “statistic” and each takes on different values on different samples). The Standard Deviation of a calculated variable is called the Standard Error of that variable/statistic. A “variable” – sample mean, sample standard deviation, etc… included – is like a “function”; when you apply it to a target element in its domain, the result is a “number”. For example, “height” is a variable and “the height of Mrs. -
1 Simple Linear Regression I – Least Squares Estimation
1 Simple Linear Regression I – Least Squares Estimation Textbook Sections: 18.1–18.3 Previously, we have worked with a random variable x that comes from a population that is normally distributed with mean µ and variance σ2. We have seen that we can write x in terms of µ and a random error component ε, that is, x = µ + ε. For the time being, we are going to change our notation for our random variable from x to y. So, we now write y = µ + ε. We will now find it useful to call the random variable y a dependent or response variable. Many times, the response variable of interest may be related to the value(s) of one or more known or controllable independent or predictor variables. Consider the following situations: LR1 A college recruiter would like to be able to predict a potential incoming student’s first–year GPA (y) based on known information concerning high school GPA (x1) and college entrance examination score (x2). She feels that the student’s first–year GPA will be related to the values of these two known variables. LR2 A marketer is interested in the effect of changing shelf height (x1) and shelf width (x2)on the weekly sales (y) of her brand of laundry detergent in a grocery store. LR3 A psychologist is interested in testing whether the amount of time to become proficient in a foreign language (y) is related to the child’s age (x). In each case we have at least one variable that is known (in some cases it is controllable), and a response variable that is a random variable.