Inside Chips
InsideChips.VenturesTM Tracking Fabless, IP & Design-House Startups Volume 6, Number 5 May 2005 Business Microscope Semiconductor Forecast ... Each year, analyzing capital spending and fab capacity trends, InsideChips bestows a Semiconductor Forecast researching ASIC markets and technologies, and Award to the best analyst forecaster after actual following emerging markets for ICs such as cellular results are posted by the SIA. The purpose of the phones. Feldhan is the founder of SEMICO, one of program is to identify and recognize top analysts the several market research boutiques that spun out whose methodology and experience result in of In-Stat during the 1980s. SEMICO is a consistently accurate forecasting. semiconductor-centric market research firm whose Based on forecasts made in Q4 2003, the award services include consulting, reports, events and for the best semiconductor forecast made by a market newsletters. research firm for 2004 is shared by Bill McClean of The most conservative forecasts for 2004 were IC Insights and Jim Feldhan of SEMICO Research. Both analysts 17%, 18% and 19% made by iSupply, IDC, and SIA, respectively. forecasted +27% growth for 2004, which came in very close to VLSI Research was most optimistic at 32%. The semiconductor the actual +28% growth over 2003 as announced by the forecasts for 2004 average 25.6%. Semiconductor Industry Association. McClean also won This year, the industry has cooled from last year’s double- InsideChips’ forecast award for his semiconductor predictions digit pace. The average forecast compiled from all analysts is a for 2002. modest 1.4%. Prior to forming IC Insights, McClean worked at ICE Readers can view the results of last year’s forecasts on Corporation (acquired by Chipworks).
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