The Politics of Iraqi Kurdistan: Towards Federalism Or Secession?

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The Politics of Iraqi Kurdistan: Towards Federalism Or Secession? The Politics of Iraqi Kurdistan: Towards Federalism or Secession? Ala Jabar Mohammed April 2013 Thesis submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Government at the University of Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia i Abstract Scholars of ethnic conflict resolution have suggested various approaches to addressing the ethnic right to self-determination, especially when an ethnic group perceives itself to be a nation. These approaches include autonomy, federation and confederation. One neglected area is whether an ethno-nation feels that one of these institutional designs can accommodate their aspirations or is secession their ultimate goal, especially in an ethnically divided society? For this reason, the politics of Iraqi Kurdistan presents as a particularly interesting case study with which to examine the tension between internal self-determination and secession, and test the utility of one such design, namely, federalism. Since 1992 Iraqi Kurdistan has been in a politically more advantageous position than other parts of Greater Kurdistan in Turkey, Syria and Iran because population has gained an autonomous status. On 5 April 1991, the UN Security Council adopted Resolution 688 setting up the Safe Haven for the Kurds in Iraq by the Allies following the second Gulf War, thus acting to prevent the Kurds from facing an uncertain future. The Kurds used this opportunity to elect their first parliament on 19 May 1992 and to establish the Kurdistan Regional Government. Since 1992 this Kurdish polity has been evolving, but its possible political futures have not been empirically examined in-depth. Thus, this thesis focuses on the issue of the future of Kurds in Iraq. It examines whether the formation of an independent Kurdish state is feasible and plausible. The research involved enquiry into the political views and activities of the Kurdish people in Iraq, asking them about their desired political future for Iraqi Kurdistan and their perceptions of what is feasible. In addition, this study used the researcher’s field observations and data drawn iii from secondary historical sources to provide a better and more profound understanding of Iraqi Kurdistan’s political futures. It was found that while Kurds considered themselves to comprise an ethno-nation and be entitled to nation-statehood, most people believed that autonomy within Iraq is the most feasible future. Further inquiry into the nature of this autonomy found that the pluralist type of federalism was seen as the most preferred and feasible political arrangement to address the question of Kurdish self-determination in Iraq. iv Dedications I dedicate this thesis to: Mylate father, Martyr Jabar Mohammed Jabary, who fought for justice, freedom and democracy. My late mother, An’am Abdurrahman Jassem, who devoted herself to raising me and encouraging me to further my education. And those who are fighting for a just cause on this globe. vii Acknowledgments I would like to thank the many people who have assisted me in the research and conduct of this thesis. First of all, I would like to express my sincere thanks to my supervisor Professor Mark Turner for his continual guidance, support and encouragement throughout the duration of this study. I consider it a privilege to have had the opportunity to work with him and share his valuable knowledge and expertise. Special thanks go to all academic and supporting staff of the School of Business, Government and Law at the University of Canberra. I would also like to thank all those who participated in the questionnaire survey and interviews and shared their valuable views on the political futures of Iraqi Kurdistan. In addition, I would like to express my deep gratitude to Professor John McGarry who shared his priceless knowledge on federalism and gave me a great chance to visit Queen’s University in Canada to use its generous library resources on federalism. Moreover, special thanks go to Beth Barber, an academic English lecturer at University of Canberra, and Robyn Keech for editing my thesis. Last but not least, final thanks go to my family and friends. I am truly grateful to my brother Sherko and my sister Juan for supporting me all my life. Special thanks go to my American father Foy Hartman and my American friends Michael Rubin and Kathy Pearce-Fuad for their continual encouragement and support. ix Table of Contents Abstract _____________________________________________________________________ iii Certificate of Authorship of Thesis _______________________________________________ v Dedications __________________________________________________________________vii Acknowledgments_____________________________________________________________ ix Table of Contents _____________________________________________________________ xi List of Figures ______________________________________________________________ xvii List of Tables _______________________________________________________________ xix Abbreviations _______________________________________________________________ xxi Appendices ________________________________________________________________ xxiii Chapter One: Introduction _____________________________________________________ 1 Introduction _____________________________________________________________________ 1 The Kurdish Self-determination Issue in Iraq __________________________________________ 4 Research Problem and Question _____________________________________________________ 6 The Objectives and Significance of the Research _______________________________________ 6 Justification of the Research ________________________________________________________ 7 Thesis Organisation _______________________________________________________________ 8 Chapter Two: Research Methodology ____________________________________________ 11 Introduction ____________________________________________________________________ 11 The Case Study Approach _________________________________________________________ 11 Mixed Methods __________________________________________________________________ 12 Location of the Empirical Study ____________________________________________________ 15 Data Collection __________________________________________________________________ 16 Semi-structured interviews _________________________________________________________________ 16 xi Questionnaire survey _____________________________________________________________________ 17 Documents ______________________________________________________________________________ 18 Non-Participant Observation ______________________________________________________ 19 Data Analysis____________________________________________________________________ 21 Triangulation ___________________________________________________________________ 21 Sampling Design of the Field Research ______________________________________________ 22 Research Limitations _____________________________________________________________ 25 Conclusion ______________________________________________________________________ 26 Chapter Three: Ethnicity, Nationhood and the Right to Self-determination _____________ 27 Introduction ____________________________________________________________________ 27 Ethnic Identity and Nationalism ____________________________________________________ 28 Ethnic group and identity __________________________________________________________________ 28 Ethnic nationalism ________________________________________________________________________ 37 Self-determination and International Law ____________________________________________ 43 Practices of Ethnic Conflict Resolution Arrangements__________________________________ 49 Secession _______________________________________________________________________ 49 Federalism ______________________________________________________________________ 55 Mononational/integrative federation/federalism _______________________________________________ 59 Multinational/pluralist federation/federalism _________________________________________________ 62 Symmetry _______________________________________________________________________________ 68 Asymmetry ______________________________________________________________________________ 72 Paradiplomacy ___________________________________________________________________________ 76 Federacy _______________________________________________________________________ 79 Conclusion ______________________________________________________________________ 85 Chapter Four: Iraqi Kurdistan from 1918 to 2009 __________________________________ 87 Introduction ____________________________________________________________________ 87 Iraqi Kurdistan Profile ___________________________________________________________ 88 xii The British Occupation in 1918 and Sheikh Mahmud’s Revolt ___________________________ 91 Sevres Treaty of 1920 and the Mosul Problem ________________________________________ 95 The Kurds and the Republican Regime 1958-1968 _____________________________________ 99 The Kurds and the Ba’ath Regime 1968-1990 ________________________________________ 102 The autonomy agreement of 1970 __________________________________________________________ 102 The Algiers Agreement of 1975 ____________________________________________________________ 104 The Anfal campaign and chemical bombing ___________________________________________________ 105 The Gulf War and the Kurdistan Regional Government 1990-2003 ______________________ 107 The no-fly zone and the Kurdistan Regional Government ________________________________________
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