2019
Community Well-being Profile
Newport
Population
Final
July 2019 v1.3 Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Population ...... 2 Overview ...... 2 Population make up ...... 3 Population Density ...... 12 Population Changes ...... 14 Supporting Information ...... 16 Gaps ...... 18
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 1 Population
Population Overview
Population 153,302 % of the Wales Population 4.88%
Population Density 805 Ethnic Minority Population 13.0% (population per km2)
Area (km2) 190.5 Lower Super Output Areas 95
Wards 20 Community Councils 14
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 2 Population
Population make up The 2018 population estimate for Newport is 153,302. This represents 4.88% of the total population of Wales at 3,138,631. Age & Gender The percentage of males and females in Newport is broadly similar to the Wales average with approximately 1.5% less males than females.
Newport 153,302 Wales 3,138,631 Male Female Male Female No. % No % No. % No % All Ages 75,400 49.18% 77,902 50.82% 1,547,309 49.30% 1,591,322 50.70% Aged 0 to 4 5,205 3.40% 4,963 3.24% 86,274 2.75% 82,429 2.63% Aged 5 to 15 10,922 7.12% 10,320 6.73% 201,944 6.43% 192,062 6.12% Aged 16 to 24 7,980 5.21% 7,571 4.94% 181,268 5.78% 165,369 5.27% Aged 25 to 44 20,160 13.15% 20,809 13.57% 373,211 12.88% 374,359 11.93% Aged 45 to 64 19,061 12.43% 19,843 12.94% 404,347 11.89% 425,375 13.55% Aged 65 to 74 6,902 4.50% 7,421 4.84% 174,528 5.56% 185,007 5.89% Aged 75 to 84 3,993 2.60% 4,877 3.18% 95,735 3.05% 114,305 3.64% Aged 85 and over 1,177 0.77% 2,098 1.37% 30,002 0.96% 52,416 1.67%
If we compare different age ranges in Newport with the Wales average it can be seen that Newport as a whole has a younger population. However this does vary across the city. The latest data for population at a ward level is 2017. The table below shows the lows and highs across the city as a percentage of the population.
Age Range Highest % Second Highest % Third Highest % Aged 0 to 4 1. Llanwern 8.58% 2. Lliswerry 8.03% 3. Alway 7.89% Aged 5 to 15 1. Tredegar Park 17.47% 2. Pillgwenlly 16.07% 3. Alway 15.67% Aged 16 to 24 1. Pillgwenlly 16.69% 2. Lliswerry 13.78% 3. Victoria 13.02% Aged 25 to 44 1. Stow Hill 36.30% 2. Victoria 34.21% 3. Pillgwenlly 31.57% Aged 45 to 64 1. Langstone 33.62% 2. Caerleon 31.73% 3. Marshfield 28.66% Aged 65 to 74 1. Caerleon 13.37% 2. Langstone 13.26% 3. Malpas 13.20% Aged 75 to 84 1. Ringland 8.42% 2. Caerleon 8.00% 3. Malpas 7.82% Aged 85 and over 1. Ringland 3.74% 2. Caerleon 3.69% 3. Gaer 3.09%
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 3 Population
Age Range Lowest % Second Lowest % Third Lowest % Aged 0 to 4 20. Langstone 4.56% 19. Cearleon 5.10% 18. Marshfield 5.23% Aged 5 to 15 20. Langstone 10.91% 19. Stow Hill 11.49% 18. Caerleon 11.69% Aged 16 to 24 20. Caerleon 6.90% 19. Marshfield 8.11% 18. Rogerstone 8.30% Aged 25 to 44 20. Langstone 18.83% 19. Caerleon 19.52% 18. Ringland 22.31% Aged 45 to 64 20. Pillgwenlly 18.67% 19. Tredegar Park 20.83% 18. Lliswerry 20.86% Aged 65 to 74 20. Victoria 4.79% 19. Pillgwenlly 4.99% 18. Stow Hill 6.96% Aged 75 to 84 20. Victoria 2.86% 19. Pillgwenlly 3.17% 18. Stow Hill 4.01% Aged 85 and over 20. Llanwern 1.18% 19. Victoria 1.31% 18. Pillgwenlly 1.32%
Gender Reassignment Gender identity is defined by the Equalities and Human Rights Commission (EHRC) as the way an individual identifies with a gender category. This is based on an individual’s own perception of themselves and as such the gender category with which a person identifies may not match the sex they were assigned at birth. In contrast, sex is biologically determined. The lack of accurate information on Gender Identity remains a significant weakness in the national and regional equalities monitoring. The Office of National Statistics (ONS) is currently reviewing how it collects information on Gender Identity and has committed to work positively with stakeholders and community members, with a view to improve how gender identity data is collected (ONS).
Sexual Identity There is also no local data on sexual orientation. However, in 2016, the Annual Population Survey found 95.2% of people in Wales identified as heterosexual/straight, 1.0% as gay / lesbian, 0.17% as bisexual and 0.4% as other. 2.7% of people did not know, did not answer or respond to this question.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 4 Population Ward Populations The populations for each ward vary across Newport. The highest population is in Lliswerry at 13,539 and the lowest in Llanwern at 3,637.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 5 Population
Tredegar Park has the highest percentage of under 16 year olds at 25.07% and Langstone has the lowest percentage at 15.48%. Stow Hill has the highest percentage of people aged 16 to 64 at 70.68% compared with Ringland which is the lowest at 57.41%. The highest percentage of people aged over 65 can be found in Caerleon with 25.06% of the population. The lowest is in Victoria at 8.96%.
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The table below shows the lows and highs across the city as a percentage of the population.
Age Range Highest % Second Highest % Third Highest % Aged 0 to 15 1. Tredegar Park 25.07% 2. Pillgwenlly 23.61% 3. Alway 23.55% Aged 16 to 64 1. Stow Hill 70.68% 2. Victoria 69.20% 3.Pillgwenlly 66.92% Aged 65 and over 1. Caerleon 25.06% 2. Malpas 23.49% 3. Langstone 22.92% Age Range Lowest % Second Lowest % Third Highest % Aged 0 to 15 20. Langstone 15.48% 19. Caerleon 16.79% 18. Stow Hill 16.92% Aged 16 to 64 20. Ringland 57.41% 19. Caerleon 58.15% 18. Malpas 58.23% Aged 65 and over 20. Victoria 8.96% 19. Pillgwenlly 9.47% 18. Stow Hill 12.40%
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 6 Population Ethnicity Newport % Wales % White; English/Welsh/Scottish/Northern Irish/British 126,756 87.0 2,855,450 93.2 White; Irish 769 0.5 14,086 0.5 White; Gypsy or Irish Traveller 84 0.1 2,785 0.1 White; Other White 3,416 2.3 55,932 1.8 Mixed 2,752 1.9 31,521 1.0 Indian 1,218 0.8 17,256 0.6 Pakistani 3,127 2.1 12,229 0.4 Bangladeshi 1,749 1.2 10,687 0.3 Chinese 600 0.4 13,638 0.4 Other Asian 1,292 0.9 16,318 0.5 Black African 1,499 1.0 11,887 0.4 Black Caribbean 782 0.5 3,809 0.1 Other Black 254 0.2 2,580 0.1 Arab 926 0.6 9,615 0.3 Other ethnic group 512 0.4 5,663 0.2 The latest data held on ethnicity is the 2011 census. This shows an ethnic minority population of 13% which is above the Wales average. This does not take in to account the changes that have taken place since 2011.
However, ethnicity does vary across the city. The table below shows the five lowest and five highest ethnic populations of the wards across Newport.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 7 Population
Ethnic Population Highest Wards % Lowest Wards % 1. Pillgwenlly 44.7% 20. Llanwern 3.2% 2. Victoria 37.8% 19. Caerleon 4.6% 3. Stow Hill 31.8% 18. Malpas 5.5% 4. Allt-yr-yn 13.9% 17. Graig 5.8% 4. Lliswerry 13.9% 16. Langstone 6.4%
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 8 Population Country of birth Newport % Wales % Wales 113,353 77.8 2,226,005 72.7 United Kingdom 133,403 91.5 2,895,585 94.5 Republic of Ireland 717 0.5 12,175 0.4 Other EU Member countries (in March 2001) 1,187 0.8 26,343 0.9 Other EU Accession countries (April 2001 - March 2011) 2,101 1.4 29,017 0.9 Other Countries 8,328 5.7 100,336 3.3 The latest data held on country of birth is from the 2011 census. A higher percentage of people living in Newport were born in Wales than the Wales average. However a higher percentage of people living in Newport were born outside the UK than the Wales average. Again this does not take in to account changes since 2011.
However, country of birth percentages do vary across the city. The table below shows the five lowest and five highest percentages of people born in Wales and born in UK of all the wards across Newport.
Born in Wales Born in the UK Highest Wards % Lowest Wards % Highest Wards % Lowest Wards % 1. Ringland 86.0% 20. Stow Hill 59.6% 1. Llanwern 96.7% 20. Pillgwenlly 75.9% 2. Bettws 84.7% 19. Pillgwenlly 63.9% 2. Malpas 96.1% 19. Stow Hill 76.8% 3. Malpas 83.7% 18. Victoria 65.7% 3. Ringland 95.9% 18. Victoria 77.2% 4. Alway 83.6% 17. Langstone 70.1% 4. Caerleon 95.6% 17. Lliswerry 90.7% 5. Gaer 83.5% 16. Allt-yr-yn 72.9% 5. Graig 95.4% 16. Allt-yr-yn 91.5%
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 9 Population Religion Newport % Wales % Christian 82,858 56.9 1,763,299 57.6 Buddhist 360 0.2 9,117 0.3 Hindu 685 0.5 10,434 0.3 Jewish 99 0.1 2,064 0.1 Muslim 6,859 4.7 45,950 1.5 Sikh 141 0.1 2,962 0.1 Other religions 463 0.3 12,705 0.4 No religion 43,336 29.7 982,997 32.1 Religion not stated 10,935 7.5 233,928 7.6 The latest data held on religion is from the 2011 census. This data shows a higher percentage of people in Newport stated that their religion was Muslim than the Wales average.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 10 Population Migration Newport % Wales % Born in the UK 133,403 91.5 2,895,585 94.5 Resident in UK; Less than 2 Years 1,609 1.1 27,456 0.9 Resident in UK; 2 Years or More but Less Than 5 Years 2,242 1.5 29,403 1.0 Resident in UK; 5 Years or More but Less Than 10 Years 3,082 2.1 35,486 1.2 Resident in UK; 10 Years or More 5,400 3.7 75,526 2.5 The latest data held on migration is from the 2011 census. Newport has a lower percentage of people born in the UK than the Wales average and a higher percentage that have been resident for more than 5 years than the Wales average.
Asylum Seekers and Refugees Until 2001, relatively low numbers of asylum seekers and refugees decided to settle in Wales compared to some parts of the UK. The numbers of asylum seekers and refugees increased when Wales became a dispersal area. The number of asylum applications in 2016 has seen an increase of 8% compared to the year before. According to the same Home Office information, the number of people seeking asylum in Newport was 496 at the end of June 2016. The rate of turnover has seen increases from 90% in 2012 to around 100% in 2015 due to faster average decision- time from the Home Office.
Gypsy and Traveller population The 2011 census recorded 28 households living in Newport headed by someone who was a Gypsy or Irish Traveller. 26 were living in bricks and mortar and 2 in a caravan. This is a significant underrepresentation of the true figure. It is likely that many households would not have completed the census – both because they were living on unauthorised sites or encampments and as such did not appear on official records or because of a mistrust of the purpose of the census. Where people did receive forms lower than average literacy levels mean that some households would not have completed them, and where they were completed some households would have chosen not to identify as Gypsies or Irish Travellers.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 11 Population Population Density The 2018 population density for Newport has increased to 804.6 (people per km2) which is 5.33% since 2011 and is over 5 times the Wales average. This is well above the Wales average of 151.4 (people per km2).
Population Density 900.0
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0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Newport 765.2 767.7 770.2 772.2 776.6 784.6 795.1 804.6 Wales 147.8 148.2 148.6 149.1 149.5 150.1 150.7 151.4
The latest data for population density at a ward and LSOA level is from 2017. The most densely populated areas of Newport tend to be towards the centre of the City. The most densly populated ward is Victoria at 8360.2 (people per km2). The least populated ward is Llanwern at 91.2 (people per km2).
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 12 Population
At a LSOA level the differences are larger. The table below shows the least densly and the most densely populated LSOAs in Newport.
Population Density Least densly populated LSOAs People per km2 Most densly populated LSOAs People per km2 1. Llanwern 1 55.5 95. Victoria 3 10,739.4 2. Langstone 2 73.8 94. St Julians 1 10,051.0 3. Marshfield 4 85.0 93. Alway 6 9,803.9 4. Langstone 3 119.0 92. St Julians 6 9,376.8 5. Caerleon 3 147.4 91. Victoria 1 9,226.2 6. Lliswerry 6 158.1 90. Pillgwenlly 1 8,216.9 7. Marshfield 2 163.7 89. Beechwood 2 7,897.6 8. Graig 2 169.9 88. Lliswerry 3 7,264.8 9. Marshfield 5 232.3 87. Ringland 5 7,118.0 10. Pillgwenlly 2 452.9 86. Victoria 2 7,036.8
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 13 Population Population Changes Population Estimates The mid-year population estimates show an increase of the population year on year in Newport.
Number 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Aged 0 to 15 29,400 29,467 29,421 29,372 29,702 30,153 30,946 31,410
Aged 16 to 64 92,546 92,231 92,235 92,281 92,450 93,353 94,375 95,424
Aged 65 and over 23,839 24,577 25,085 25,466 25,806 25,972 26,164 26,468
Total 145,736 146,275 146,741 147,119 147,958 149,478 151,485 153,302
% increase 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Aged 0 to 15 0.23% 0.16% 0.17% 1.12% 1.52% 2.63% 1.02%
Aged 16 to 64 0.34% 0.00% 0.05% 0.18% 0.98% 1.09% 1.11%
Aged 65 and over 3.10% 2.07% 1.51% 1.34% 0.64% 0.73% 1.16%
Total 0.37% 0.32% 0.26% 0.57% 1.03% 1.34% 1.20%
Since the last census in 2011 the population in Newport has increased by 5.19% this is over twice the increase for Wales of 2.44%. In the last 3 years the increase in Newport has been 1.03%, 1.34% and 1.20% respectively. Again above the Wales average which has increased by 0.45%, 0.39% and 0.43% respectively.
180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Aged 0 to 15 Aged 16 to 64 Aged 65 and over
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 14 Population Population Projections In 2014, population levels were projected to 2039. The population in Newport over the period 2014 to 2039 from those figures project that the population will increase by 7.9% to 158,492 people by 2039. These figures are showing a slower increase than the population estimates data. 2018 estimates show the population as 153,302, which is already above the population projection for 2026 of 153,005. We can assume that the population estimates are more accurate than the population projections as these are based on latest data sets.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 15 Population Supporting Information
Sources Mid-year population estimates Source: Mid-year population estimate, Office for National Statistics. Population estimates are calculated by combining birth and death registration data together with estimates of international migration and internal migration (within UK) flows to calculate estimates for the usually resident population of each area as at 30 June each year. Mid-year population estimates for 2018 have been used in this document as follows:
Overview - Population (Page 2) - % of Wales Population (Page 2)
Population Make Up - Age & Gender, Wales and Newport level (Page 3)
Population Changes - Population Estimates (Page 14) Mid-year population estimates for 2017 have been used in this document as follows:
Population Make Up - Ward age comparisons (Page 3 & 4) - Ward population (Page 5 & 6) Population Density Source 1: Mid-year population estimates, Office for National Statistics; Source 2: Standard area measurements, Office for National Statistics; Population Density is calculated by dividing the mid-year population estimates by the latest land area estimates in square kilometres, measured at the mean high water mark, and excluding areas of inland water as recommended by the Office for National Statistics. Population Density data has been used in this document using mid-year population estimates for 2018 as follows:
Overview - Population Density (Page 2)
Population Density - Newport and Wales level (Page 12) Population Density data has been used in this document using mid-year population estimates for 2017 as follows:
Population Density - Ward and LSOA level (Page 12 & 13) Standard Area Measurements
Source: Standard area measurements, Office for National Statistics;
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 16 Population
Latest land area estimates are in square kilometres, measured at the mean high water mark, and excluding areas of inland water as recommended by the Office for National Statistics. Standard area measurements have been used in this document as follows:
Overview - Area (Page 2) 2011 Census Source: 2011 census, Office of National Statistics The 2011 census has been used in this document as follows:
Overview - Ethnic Minority Population (Page 2) The ethnic minority population includes White Irish, White Gypsy or Irish Traveller, Other White, Mixed, Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Chinese, Other Asian, Black African, Black Caribbean, Other Black, Arab and Other ethnic group. Population Make Up - Ethnicity (Page 7 & 8) - County of Birth (Page 9) - Religion (Page 10) - Migration (Page 11) Population projections Source: 2014-based projections for local authorities in Wales, Welsh Government. 2014-based, Population projections provide estimates of the size of the future populations and are based on assumptions about births, deaths and migration. Population projections have been used in this document as follows:
Population Changes - Population projections (Page 15)
Additional Information Wards Wales is subdivided into 22 unitary authorities, which in turn are divided into electoral wards and communities. Community Councils Community councils were established under the Local Government Act 1972 (LGA 1972) and replaced the previous system of parish councils. There are 790 town and community councils across Wales. LSOAs A Lower Layer Super Output Area (LSOA) is a geographic area. Lower Layer Super Output Areas are a geographic hierarchy designed to improve the reporting of small area statistics in England and Wales.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 17 Population Gaps Gender Reassignment - data at a national and local level. Sexual Identity – Data at a local level.
Newport Community Well-being Profile 2019 – Population Page 18