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ENERGY ADVISOR a WEEKLY PUBLICATION of the DIALOGUE December 11, 2020

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ENERGY ADVISOR a WEEKLY PUBLICATION of the DIALOGUE December 11, 2020 LATIN AMERICA ADVISOR ENERGY ADVISOR A WEEKLY PUBLICATION OF THE DIALOGUE www.thedialogue.org December 11, 2020 BOARD OF ADVISORS FEATURED Q&A TOP NEWS Nigel Blackaby Global Head, RENEWABLES International Arbitration Group, Freshfields Bruckhaus Deringer What Is the Outlook Petrobras Working Mary Rose Brusewitz Member, on Green Diesel, Clark Hill Strasburger for Bolivia’s Energy Niche Refining Jeffrey Davidow Brazilian state oil company Petro- Senior Counselor, The Cohen Group Policy Under Arce? bras is developing green diesel as well as other niche refining Jonathan C. Hamilton Partner, businesses as it aims to curb its White & Case greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Renewable diesel reduces GHG Ana Heeren Managing Director, emissions by around 70 percent FTI Consulting as compared to conventional Raul Herrera diesel, Petrobras said. Partner, Page 2 Corporate & Securities Practice, Arnold & Porter OIL & GAS James R. Jones Chairman, Exxon Could Monarch Global Strategies Jorge Kamine Install Up to 10 Partner, The government of Bolivian President Luis Arce, which took office last month, is facing dwin- dling reserves and exports of natural gas. // File Photo: Bolivian Government. FPSOs in Guyana Corporate & Financial Services, Willkie Farr & Gallagher ExxonMobil could install as many as 10 floating production, storage Craig A. Kelly Among the challenges facing new Bolivian President and offloading (FPSO) vessels in Senior Director, Luis Arce is a declining level of natural gas exports. The Americas Int’l Gov’t Relations, the Stabroek block by 2026. Exxon Mobil country’s gas exports to Brazil and Argentina are estimated Page 2 Jorge León Q to be about nine billion cubic meters this year, and they are Energy Economist, BP expected to decline to a third of that level by 2025, according to a report RENEWABLES Jeremy Martin by Rystad Energy. What are the reasons behind Bolivia’s falling gas Sagasti Preparing Vice President, Energy & Sustainability, exports, and what does the trend mean for the country’s economy? What Institute of the Americas Energy Transition actions should Arce’s government take in order to increase natural gas Mayya Novakovskiy Roadmap for Peru Manager, Western Hemisphere, exports? Is Arce’s government expected to significantly change Bolivian Chevron Interim Peruvian President energy policy? Francisco Sagasti is planning to Larry Pascal develop an energy transition road- Chairman, map for the Andean nation before Americas Practice Group, Mauricio Becerra de la Roca Donoso, managing partner at Haynes & Boone he leaves office next July. Becerra de la Roca Donoso & Asociados SRL (BDA Aboga- R. Kirk Sherr Page 2 President, dos): “The income from natural gas exports is very import- Clearview Strategy Group ant for Bolivia. The current decline in gas exports and the Mark Thurber A forecast impose the need for a profound economic and legal reform, not Partner, Hunton Andrews Kurth only in the energy sector but also in the general economy, which needs Jose L. Valera to be less dependent on public investment and more open to private Partner, Mayer Brown LLP sector investment. This means that Arce’s government will need to depart Lisa Viscidi from previous government policies that promoted the nationalization of Program Director, the main strategic companies and the formation of public companies. Inter-American Dialogue Considering the current global crisis, the newly installed government in Vanessa Wottrich Principal Analyst for Latin America, Bolivia will need to generate innovative incentives to promote foreign and Equinor national investment. In order to achieve this, another requirement is legal certainty. Companies that come to Bolivia will need to have clear rules and trust in government institutions. To accomplish this, the institu- Sagasti // File Photo: Peruvian Continued on page 3 Government. COPYRIGHT © 2020, INTER-AMERICAN DIALOGUE PAGE 1 LATIN AMERICA ENERGY ADVISOR December 11, 2020 RENEWABLES NEWS from soy or other edible oils at commercial NEWS BRIEFS scale, with the goal of expanding investments Sagasti Preparing in that unit, according to Green Car Congress, Cuba Looking to Install a blog on green transportation and energy. The Thermal Power Barges Energy Transition company earlier this year concluded tests for the production of renewable diesel on an indus- From Turkish Firm Roadmap for Peru trial scale, with two million liters of soybean oil Cuba is looking to install additional ther- processed to obtain nearly 40 million liters of mal power barges with the help of Turkey’s Interim Peruvian President Francisco Sagasti S10 diesel with renewable content, according Karpowership, the company told Argus Media is planning to develop an energy transition to Petrobras’ website. The evaluation, carried last week. The powerships, or special purpose roadmap for the Andean nation before he about by the Biodiesel Producers Association, ships on which power plants are installed to leaves office in July of next year, Argus Media showed that renewable diesel reduces green- serve as an electricity generation resource, reported last week. “We hope to leave the next house gas emissions by around 70 percent as would add to the three Cuba already has, and government with a clear idea for the country compared to conventional diesel and by 15 which are delivering 10 percent of the Caribbe- to replace fossil fuels with different renewable percent as compared to biodiesel, and it also an nation’s electricity, according to the Turkish forms of energy,” Sagasti told reporters in a “improves engine performance, avoiding prob- power firm. The three floating thermal gener- press conference. His administration, which lems such as clogging of filters, pumps and ating units use heavy fuel oil to supply Cuban took office last month amid a political crisis injector nozzles,” the company said. Petrobras state-owned utility UNE with 184 megawatts of that resulted in Peru having three presidents since 2006 has had technology patented for electricity. in less than two weeks, has already launched the co-processing of vegetable oils using a talks on an energy transition. Sagasti said process known as HBIO, though it put its com- the government is currently evaluating Peru’s mercialization on hold in 2014 due to high soy Enel Chile Signs 17-Year pledge to curtail its greenhouse gas emissions oil prices at the time. Production of renewable by 30 percent by 2030. The country current- diesel is technically possible at the company’s Contract for Renewable ly emits 170 metric tons of carbon dioxide existing refineries, Anelise Lara, Petrobras’ Supply With Copper Miner equivalent, of which 30 percent originates from head of refining, said last week, S&P Global Electric utility Enel Chile has signed a contract the energy sector. Land use change, especially Platts reported. “We are waiting for approval with copper miner SCM Minera Lumina Copper through deforestation for agriculture, is the from the [National Energy Policy Council] and Chile to supply its Caserones mine with one largest contributor to Peru’s carbon emissions, [hydrocarbons regulator] ANP to begin selling tetrawatt-hour per year of renewable energy for at 45 percent, Argus Media reported. Earlier our renewable diesel in Brazil,” Lara said. “Rec- 17 years, Renewables Now reported last Friday. this year, former President Martín Vizcarra’s ognition that our renewable diesel meets the The contract will come into effect next month. government announced the creation of Renami, requirements of the Renovabio [biofuels law] a national registry that seeks to track the coun- is an important step to making these projects try’s mitigation measures. The digital platform economically viable,” she added. is available for public and private institutions Sixteen Companies Bid to report and measure initiatives seeking to in Argentina’s Auction to reduce their carbon footprint, according to the OIL & GAS NEWS September government statement. Supply Natural Gas Sixteen companies participated in Argentina’s Exxon Could Install auction last week to supply more than 70 Petrobras Developing Up to 10 FPSOs in million cubic meters per day of natural gas at Green Diesel, Niche subsidized wellhead prices for power genera- Guyana: Executive tion from 2021 to 2024, Argus Media reported. Refining Business The bids ranged from $2.40 per million British ExxonMobil could install as many as 10 floating thermal units to $3.66 per million British ther- Petrobras has begun developing green diesel production, storage and offloading, or FPSO, mal units, below the maximum price of $3.70 as well as other niche refining businesses as vessels at the Stabroek block offshore Guyana per million British thermal units, according to the Brazilian state oil firm aims to reduce its in upcoming years, the U.S. firm’s manager for the report. The auction was part of a plan to carbon emissions, Argus Media reported last deepwater projects said last week, S&P Global stimulate natural gas production and reduce week. In August, Petrobras announced that it Platts reported. “We expect to have five FPSOs Argentina’s imports of liquefied natural gas and was ready to begin producing renewable diesel in operation in Guyana by 2026 and see the po- pipeline gas. [Editor’s note: See related Q&A in the Oct. 30 issue of the Energy Advisor.] COPYRIGHT © 2020, INTER-AMERICAN DIALOGUE PAGE 2 LATIN AMERICA ENERGY ADVISOR December 11, 2020 tential for a total of seven to 10 FPSOs,” Jayme FEATURED Q&A / Continued from page 1 Meier said during the Rio Oil & Gas 2020 online conference. The Stabroek block is among tionalization of regulatory institutions and In effect, Bolivia imports increasing volumes Latin America’s largest offshore projects, with state companies and the implementation of fuels at subsidized prices. For example, in estimated recoverable resources of more than of meritocracy in order to ensure there is a 2019, 25 percent of the oil rent was spent on eight billion barrels of oil equivalent. Produc- proper environment for investments are both diesel subsidies. This situation is unsus- tion at the block’s Liza field began in December key.
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