Prismvol. 7, No. 2 | 2017
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PRISMVOL. 7, NO. 2 | 2017 THE FIFTH DOMAIN PRISM VOL. 7, NO. 2 NO. VOL. 7, | 2017 cco.ndu.edu A JOURNAL OF THE CENTER FOR COMPLEX OPER ATIONS PRISM ABOUT VOL. 7, NO.2 2017 PRISM, a quarterly journal published by the Center for Complex Operations (CCO) at National Defense University, aims to illuminate and provoke debate on whole-of- government efforts to conduct reconstruction, stabilization, counterinsurgency, and EDITOR NDU’S CENTER FOR COMPLEX OPERATIONS irregular warfare operations. Since its inaugural issue in 2010, PRISM’s readership Mr. Michael Miklaucic has expanded to include more than 10,000 officials, servicemen and women, and The United States Congress in 2009 authorized the establishment of a Center for practitioners from across the diplomatic, defense, and development communities in Complex Operations (CCO) in response to a widely perceived need for interagency interoperability in analysis of, planning for, and intervening in complex operations DEPUTY EDITOR more than 88 countries. worldwide. These include reconstruction, stabilization, counterinsurgency, and Ms. Patricia Clough irregular warfare—operations that demand support from all elements of national COMMUNICATIONS power to succeed. WEBMASTER PRISM encourages authors to aggressively seek out and identify problems that should Created within DOD as a collaborative initiative with support from the Department be addressed irrespective of prevailing U.S. Government policy or current military of State and the U.S. Agency for International Development, the aim of CCO is to: Ms. Rebecca Harper doctrine. We welcome unsolicited manusscripts from policymakers, practitioners, and scholars, particularly those that present emerging thought, best practices, or ■ enable more effective networking, coordination, and synchronization of DESIGN training and education innovations. preparations for deployment of U.S. Government (USG) personnel for complex operations; Ms. Jamie Harvey, Please direct editorial contributions to the link on the CCO website or to the ■ compile best practices and lessons learned; U.S. Government Publishing Office addresses below. If you choose to mail a hard copy, please provide a phone number and email for feedback. ■ identify training and education gaps, and then facilitate efforts to fill those gaps; ■ and to serve as a feedback and information conduit to senior U.S. leaders within EDITORIAL ASSISTANTS Editor, PRISM the defense, diplomacy, and development arenas. Ms. Eva Kahan 260 Fifth Avenue, S.W. PRISM is tailored to serve policymakers, scholars, and practitioners working to Mr. Sven Stauder Fort Lesley J. McNair Washington DC 20319 enhance USG competency in complex operations. Mr. Carlton Haelig SUBJ: Manuscript Submission EDITORIAL BOARD <[email protected]> Dr. Gordon Adams Submissions will be reviewed by the PRISM editorial staff, who reviews mate- Dr. Pauline Baker rial on a rolling basis. Publication threshold for articles and critiques varies but Ambassador Rick Barton is largely determined by topical relevance, continuing education for national and Dr. Alain Bauer international security professionals, scholarly standards of argumentation, quality Dr. Hans Binnendijk of writing, and readability. To help achieve threshold, authors are strongly encour- aged to recommend clear solutions or to arm the reader with actionable knowledge. ADM Dennis Blair, USN (ret.) PRISM’s review process can last several months. The staff will contact you during Ambassador James Dobbins that timeframe accepting or regretfully rejecting the submission. If the staff is unable Dr. Francis Fukuyama to publish a submission within four months of acceptance, PRISM will revert publi- Ambassador Marc Grossman cation rights to the author so that they may explore other publication options. Ambassador John Herbst DISCLAIMER Dr. Laura Junor (ex officio) This is the authoritative, official U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) edition of Dr. David Kilcullen PRISM. Any copyrighted portions of this journal may not be reproduced or extracted Ambassador Jacques Paul Klein without permission of the copyright proprietors. PRISM should be acknowledged Dr. Roger B. Myerson whenever material is quoted from or based on its content. The opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within Dr. Moisés Naím are those of the contributors and do not necessarily reflect the views of DOD or any Ambassador Thomas Pickering other agency of the Federal Government, or any other organization associated with Dr. William Reno this publication. Lt. Gen. John F. Sattler, USMC (ret.) SUBSCRIPTIONS Dr. James A. Schear PRISM is provided as an educational public service. Please visit the CCO website to Dr. Joanna Spear subscribe. Should your address change, please email the editorial staff at the address ADM James Stavridis, USN (ret.) listed above. Dr. Ruth Wedgwood COVER ART PUBLISHER Image is a derivative of “Teo Spiller computer graphic image from 1997” by Cacophonia Artwork. From <https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:CYber_ Dr. Joseph J. Collins Graphic.jpg>. Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0 <https://creativecommons.org/ ISSN 2157–0663 licenses/by-sa/4.0/deed.en>. PRISM ABOUT VOL. 7, NO.2 2017 PRISM, a quarterly journal published by the Center for Complex Operations (CCO) at National Defense University, aims to illuminate and provoke debate on whole-of- government efforts to conduct reconstruction, stabilization, counterinsurgency, and EDITOR NDU’S CENTER FOR COMPLEX OPERATIONS irregular warfare operations. Since its inaugural issue in 2010, PRISM’s readership Mr. Michael Miklaucic has expanded to include more than 10,000 officials, servicemen and women, and The United States Congress in 2009 authorized the establishment of a Center for practitioners from across the diplomatic, defense, and development communities in Complex Operations (CCO) in response to a widely perceived need for interagency interoperability in analysis of, planning for, and intervening in complex operations DEPUTY EDITOR more than 88 countries. worldwide. These include reconstruction, stabilization, counterinsurgency, and Ms. Patricia Clough irregular warfare—operations that demand support from all elements of national COMMUNICATIONS power to succeed. WEBMASTER PRISM encourages authors to aggressively seek out and identify problems that should Created within DOD as a collaborative initiative with support from the Department be addressed irrespective of prevailing U.S. Government policy or current military of State and the U.S. Agency for International Development, the aim of CCO is to: Ms. Rebecca Harper doctrine. We welcome unsolicited manusscripts from policymakers, practitioners, and scholars, particularly those that present emerging thought, best practices, or ■ enable more effective networking, coordination, and synchronization of DESIGN training and education innovations. preparations for deployment of U.S. Government (USG) personnel for complex operations; Ms. Jamie Harvey, Please direct editorial contributions to the link on the CCO website or to the ■ compile best practices and lessons learned; U.S. Government Publishing Office addresses below. If you choose to mail a hard copy, please provide a phone number and email for feedback. ■ identify training and education gaps, and then facilitate efforts to fill those gaps; ■ and to serve as a feedback and information conduit to senior U.S. leaders within EDITORIAL ASSISTANTS Editor, PRISM the defense, diplomacy, and development arenas. Ms. Eva Kahan 260 Fifth Avenue, S.W. PRISM is tailored to serve policymakers, scholars, and practitioners working to Mr. Sven Stauder Fort Lesley J. McNair Washington DC 20319 enhance USG competency in complex operations. Mr. Carlton Haelig SUBJ: Manuscript Submission EDITORIAL BOARD <[email protected]> Dr. Gordon Adams Submissions will be reviewed by the PRISM editorial staff, who reviews mate- Dr. Pauline Baker rial on a rolling basis. Publication threshold for articles and critiques varies but Ambassador Rick Barton is largely determined by topical relevance, continuing education for national and Dr. Alain Bauer international security professionals, scholarly standards of argumentation, quality Dr. Hans Binnendijk of writing, and readability. To help achieve threshold, authors are strongly encour- aged to recommend clear solutions or to arm the reader with actionable knowledge. ADM Dennis Blair, USN (ret.) PRISM’s review process can last several months. The staff will contact you during Ambassador James Dobbins that timeframe accepting or regretfully rejecting the submission. If the staff is unable Dr. Francis Fukuyama to publish a submission within four months of acceptance, PRISM will revert publi- Ambassador Marc Grossman cation rights to the author so that they may explore other publication options. Ambassador John Herbst DISCLAIMER Dr. Laura Junor (ex officio) This is the authoritative, official U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) edition of Dr. David Kilcullen PRISM. Any copyrighted portions of this journal may not be reproduced or extracted Ambassador Jacques Paul Klein without permission of the copyright proprietors. PRISM should be acknowledged Dr. Roger B. Myerson whenever material is quoted from or based on its content. The opinions, conclusions, and recommendations expressed or implied within Dr. Moisés Naím are those of the contributors and do not necessarily reflect the views of DOD or any Ambassador Thomas Pickering other agency of the Federal Government, or any other organization associated with Dr. William Reno this