Survival in the Retail Apocalypse"
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The Retail Apocalypse - Fact Or Fiction?
The Retail Apocalypse - Fact or Fiction? May 10, 2019 Panel Introductions • Moderator: • Manuel Farach, Member, McGlinchey Stafford • Panelists: • Sarah Lemke, Vice President, Project Development, New England Development • Matt Epstein, Director, Goulston & Storrs, P.C. Agenda • Current State of Retail • Is It Really an Apocalypse? • Strategies for the New Future of Retail • Conclusion and Q&A Current State of Retail- Store Closures Abound ▪ Over 12,000 stores closed in 2018 ▪ Over 5,800 stores have already announced closures planned for 2019, including: ▪ Payless- 2,500 stores ▪ Gymboree- 805 stores ▪ Family Dollar- 390 stores ▪ Shopko- 371 stores ▪ Gap- 230 stores ▪ Sears- 70 stores ▪ Victoria’s Secret- 53 stores ▪ Abercrombie & Fitch- 40 stores ▪ Other retailers closing: Aerosoles, American Apparel, BCBG, Bon-Ton, Children’s Place, CVS, Dollar Tree, Foot Locker, Guess, JC Penney, Limited, Macy’s, Michael Kors, Toys R Us, Victoria’s Secret, Wet Seal © New England Development 4 Current State of Retail - Store Closures Abound © New England Development In 2018, over 145 million square feet of retail closed 5 Current State of Retail - Bankruptcies Continue © New England Development 6 What’s Causing Widespread Closures and Bankruptcies? ▪ Retailers facing massive debt from private equity financings ▪ E-Commerce and the “Amazon Effect” ▪ “Over-Retailing”/Saturation of the Market ▪ Changing Consumer Demands ▪ Inability to Adapt © New England Development 7 E-Commerce - Part of the Problem E-commerce continues to gain steam- growing 15% in 2018, -
The Role of Anchor Tenant in Driving Traffic in a Shopping Mall: the Case of Nakumatt Exit from Three Shopping Malls in Nairobi
JOURNAL OF LANGUAGE, TECHNOLOGY & ENTREPRENEURSHIP IN AFRICA Vol. 10 No. 1 MAY 2019 ________________________________________________________________________ THE ROLE OF ANCHOR TENANT IN DRIVING TRAFFIC IN A SHOPPING MALL: THE CASE OF NAKUMATT EXIT FROM THREE SHOPPING MALLS IN NAIROBI Peter N. Kiriri United States international University – Africa Email: [email protected] Abstract The current study investigates the role of an anchor tenant in driving traffic in a shopping mall. As the main tenant in a shopping mall, anchor tenants are expected to attract both human and vehicular traffic into a shopping mall. The traffic to the anchor tenant is expected to spill over to the non- anchor tenants and thus benefit them. This expectation is sometimes not met especially when an anchor tenant is posting sub-optimal performance or when they exit the mall. The background of this study was based on the malls in Nairobi who had Nakumatt Supermarkets chain as the anchor tenant. Nakumatt was the largest chain of supermarket with about 64 outlets in East Africa at its highest level at the beginning of 2017. However, due to a myriad of management challenges, the chain was forced to close most of its stores to a low of about 5 operational stores in mid-2018. As a result, and based on the findings, this affected the shopping malls as traffic reduced by almost 50% in some malls. The effects were felt in terms of reduced business activities in the mall, reduced occupancy levels, lower rental rates and general decline of mall financial performance. It is recommended that shopping malls should consider having more than one anchor tenant to mitigate against the effects of sub-optimal performance or exit of the anchor tenant. -
Municipality
TheMunicipality Your Voice. Your Wisconsin. January | 2019 2019–2020 LEAGUE LEGISLATIVE AGENDA Split Party After the Retail Apocalypse, Preparing Wisconsin New Records Control is Good Small State Agency — Prepare for the Property Opportunity Zones Schedule Approved for Municipalities Big Statewide Impact Tax Meltdown for Investment for Municipalities 4 8 The Municipality12 | January 2019 20 24 1 Is there a company that insures only cities and villages? Oh yes, dear Why LWMMI, of course For 33 years, the League of Wisconsin Municipalities Insurance Program has responded to the coverage needs of local cities and villages, saving them substantial amounts of money in the process Protecting The Communities We Live In. 608.833.9595 | www.LWMMI.org A Mutual Company Owned by Member Cities and Villages. TheMunicipality The Municipality Official Monthly Publication of the League of Wisconsin Municipalities January | 2019 Volume 114, No. 1, January 2019 Editorial Offices 131 W. Wilson St., Suite 505, Madison, WI 53703 Feature Dial (608) 267-2380 In-State (800) 991-5502 Fax: (608) 267-0645 Small State e-mail: [email protected] Split Party Agency — Here’s to Did You Website: www.lwm-info.org Control is Good for Big Statewide You Know? The Municipality serves as the medium of Municipalities Impact exchange of ideas and information on municipal affairs for the officials of Wisconsin cities and villages. Nothing included herein is to 3 4 8 11 be construed as having the endorsement of the League unless so specifically stated. The Municipality (ISSN 0027-3597) is published monthly at $25 per year ($5.00 per copy, back After the Retail Preparing issues $5.00 each) by the League of Wisconsin Apocalypse, Wisconsin Municipalities, 131 W. -
Life After Death – Coping with the Aftermath of a Co-Tenancy Failure
Life After Death – Coping with the Aftermath of a Co-Tenancy Failure Author: Sunita Mahant, Senior Director, Legal Affairs, Ivanhoé Cambridge Inc.1 Susan. D. Rosen, Partner, Gowling WLG (Canada) LLP Co-authors: Katherine Garretto and Daniel Minuk2 Today, we hear phases such as “retail apocalypse”, “the end of the mall”, “death of brick and mortar retail”. These are just a few of the phrases that have been used to describe the current state of the retail real estate market. There is no denying that the global commercial real estate market has undergone a significant seismic shift over the past few years, and the forces that have precipitated those changes, are ongoing and continuing to change the way in which commercial retail real estate is developed, renovated, repurposed, rejuvenated and effectively leased. The aforementioned seismic shift in the retail landscape is also having a significant impact on how existing co-tenancy clauses are being interpreted, the remedies that are practically available when these clauses are violated and the manner in which new co- tenancy clauses should be written in view of the e-commerce retail revolution. Historically, a tenant of a certain size and/or brand recognition (the “Benefitting Tenant”), would require a co-tenancy clause be inserted into its lease to ensure that it would have the benefit of being located in a shopping center that had existing leases with one or more large department stores, grocery stores, supermarkets and/or named brand retailers, all with the expectation that these types of anchor or major tenants would drive traffic to the shopping centre generally, and to the Benefitting Tenant specifically. -
The Retail Apocalypse - Debunking the Myth
Public Square | CNU Journal September 2019 The Congress for the New Urbanism Page 1 The Retail Apocalypse - Debunking the Myth Introduction – The “Retail Apocalypse” is a This article also touches on some emerging retail concept being actively promoted through media trends, including retrofitting vacant mall anchors headlines, and largely based on recent closures and leveraging the “Halo Effect” of Omni-channel among national chain stores across the nation. marketing to optimize retail sales. However, it is only a myth that can be easily debunked with real data. Increasing Number of Retail Establishments – The hypothetical Retail Apocalypse should be It is important to debunk the myth and change supported by a decline in the total retail the dialogue about the future of retail establishments – but nothing could be farther nationwide, in our downtowns, and all urban from the truth. In fact, the United States had over settings. By challenging mainstream media and 1 million retail establishments in 2018 – and more shifting the conversation, we hope to instill new than the prior year 2017. More specifically, the faith and encouragement for urban and town Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported planners, developers, downtown merchants, and 1,044,509 establishments for 2018, for a net gain of main street managers. +2,413 establishments since 2017 (1,042,096). The 2018 figure also represents a net gain of over This article explores real data and demonstrates +20,800 establishments since the trough in 2011. that the total number of retail establishments and aggregate retail sales are actually increasing; A timeline of total retail establishments since 2001 new chain stores and restaurant openings are is shown in chart below. -
The Evolution of Shopping Center Research: a Review and Analysis
Marquette University e-Publications@Marquette Finance Faculty Research and Publications Finance, Department of 1-1-1994 The volutE ion of Shopping Center Research: A Review and Analysis Mark Eppli Marquette University, [email protected] John D. Benjamin The American University Published version. Journal of Real Estate Research, Vol. 9, No. 1 (Winter 1994): 5-32. Publisher Link. © 1994 American Real Estate Society. Used with permission. Mark J. Eppli was affiliated with The George Washington University at the time of publication. THE JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE RESEARCH The Evolution of Shopping Mark J. Eppli* Center Research: John D. Benjamin** A Review and Analysis Abstract. Retail research has evolved over the past sixty years. Christaller's early work on central place theory, with its simplistic combination of range and threshold has been advanced to include complex consumer shopping patterns and retailer behavior in agglomerated retail centers. Hotelling's seminal research on competition in a spatial duopoly has been realized in the form of comparison shopping in regional shopping centers. The research that has followed Christaller and HotelIing has been as wide as it has been deep, including literature in geography, economics, finance, marketing, and real estate. In combination, the many extensions of central place theory and retail agglomeration economics have clearly enhanced the understanding of both retailer and consumer behavior. In addition to these two broad areas of shopping center research, two more narrowly focused areas of research have emerged. The most recent focus in the literature has been on the positive effects large anchor tenants have on smaller non-anchor tenant sales. -
South Shore Park Comprehensive Plan for Strategic Place Activation Report Prepared As a Collaboration Between A.W
South Shore Park Comprehensive Plan For Strategic Place Activation Report prepared as a collaboration between A.W. Perry, Place Strategists and Vanz Consulting. The material produced herein has been compiled at the exclusive request of A.W. Perry as a framework for the activation of their real estate holdings in Hingham & Rockland. Any conclusions presented reflect the research and opinions of A.W. Perry, Place Strategists and Vanz Consulting. These materials do not necessarily reflect the positions of the Towns of Hingham or Rockland. 15 November 2019 SOUTH SHORE PARK | COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FOR STRATEGIC PLACE ACTIVATION 3 COMPREHENSIVE PLAN FOR STRATEGIC PLACE ACTIVATION (CPSPA) FOR THE SOUTH SHORE PARK A Comprehensive Plan for Strategic Place Activation (CPSPA) for the South Shore Park The following report includes Step 1 | Deep Dive + Discovery, Step 2 | The Scientific (SSP), Hingham and Rockland, MA, is developed to meet the market demand and Research Plan, Steps 3 | Programmatic Plan, and Step 4 | Place Activation Guidelines. opportunities, providing the required spatial environments for a more seamless and Steps 1 and 2 focus on analyzing the existing site conditions, and the initial proposed resilient development phasing. conceptual master plan design. These steps aim to provide the analytical framework for Steps 3 and 4 that focus on proposing a programmatic development scheme for A bottom up approach is adopted to ensure the link between a large-scale the overall master plan and two sets of guidelines to be adopted by specialists along comprehensive framework and the human scale. The focus of the CPSPA is to the development process. -
Resilient Forms of Shopping Centers Amid the Rise of Online Retailing: Towards the Urban Experience
sustainability Article Resilient Forms of Shopping Centers Amid the Rise of Online Retailing: Towards the Urban Experience Fujie Rao Melbourne School of Design, University of Melbourne, Melbourne 3010, Australia; [email protected] Received: 13 June 2019; Accepted: 17 July 2019; Published: 24 July 2019 Abstract: The rapid expansion of online retailing has long raised the concern that shops and shopping centers (evolved or planned agglomerations of shops) may be abandoned and thus lead to a depletion of urbanity. Contesting this scenario, I employ the concept of ‘retail resilience’ to explore the ways in which different material forms of shopping may persist as online retailing proliferates. Through interviews with planning and development professionals in Edmonton (Canada), Melbourne (Australia), Portland (Oregon), and Wuhan (China); field/virtual observations in a wider range of cities; and a morphological analysis of key shopping centers, I find that brick-and-mortar retail space is not going away; rather, it is being increasingly developed into various shopping spaces geared toward the urban experience (a combination of density, mixed uses, and walkability) and may thus be adapted to online retailing. While not all emerging forms of shopping may persist, these diverse changes, experiments, and adaptations of shops and shopping centers can be considered a form of resilience. However, many emerging shopping centers pose a threat to urban public life. Keywords: retail resilience; online retailing; shopping center; urban experience; urbanity 1. Introduction Shopping has been at the heart of urbanity since the earliest cities developed as sites of exchange. One sees and touches the product, perhaps smells and tastes it, bargains with the trader and experiences the larger social, political and cultural life that comes with traditional marketplaces. -
Perspectives on Retail and Consumer Goods
Perspectives on retail and consumer goods Number 7, January 2019 Perspectives on retail and Editor McKinsey Practice consumer goods is written Monica Toriello Publications by experts and practitioners in McKinsey & Company’s Contributing Editors Editor in Chief Retail and Consumer Goods Susan Gurewitsch, Christian Lucia Rahilly practices, along with other Johnson, Barr Seitz McKinsey colleagues. Executive Editors Art Direction and Design Michael T. Borruso, To send comments or Leff Communications Allan Gold, Bill Javetski, request copies, email us: Mark Staples Consumer_Perspectives Data Visualization @McKinsey.com Richard Johnson, Copyright © 2019 McKinsey & Jonathon Rivait Company. All rights reserved. Editorial Board Peter Breuer, Tracy Francis, Editorial Production This publication is not Jan Henrich, Greg Kelly, Sajal Elizabeth Brown, Roger intended to be used as Kohli, Jörn Küpper, Clarisse Draper, Gwyn Herbein, the basis for trading in the Magnin, Paul McInerney, Pamela Norton, Katya shares of any company or Tobias Wachinger Petriwsky, Charmaine Rice, for undertaking any other John C. Sanchez, Dana complex or significant Senior Content Directors Sand, Katie Turner, Sneha financial transaction without Greg Kelly, Tobias Wachinger Vats, Pooja Yadav, Belinda Yu consulting appropriate professional advisers. Project and Content Managing Editors Managers Heather Byer, Venetia No part of this publication Verena Dellago, Shruti Lal Simcock may be copied or redistributed in any form Cover Photography without the prior written © Rawpixel/Getty Images consent of McKinsey & Company. Table of contents 2 Foreword by Greg Kelly 4 12 22 26 Winning in an era of A new value-creation Agility@Scale: Capturing ‘Fast action’ in fast food: unprecedented disruption: model for consumer goods growth in the US consumer- McDonald’s CFO on why the A perspective on US retail The industry’s historical goods sector company is growing again In light of the large-scale value-creation model To compete more effectively Kevin Ozan became CFO of forces disrupting the US retail is faltering. -
Has the Retail Apocalypse Hit the DC Area?
POLICY BRIEF Has the Retail Apocalypse Hit the DC Area? Leah Brooks, Urbashee Paul and Rachel Shank APRIL 2018 POLICY BRIEF APRIL 2018 | LEAH BROOKS, URBASHEE PAUL AND RACHEL SHANK1 In 1977, the White Flint Mall opened to great acclaim as Maryland’s premier mall, complete with glass elevators, glamorous anchor stores, and an exciting eatery. Now, more than four decades later, White Flint Mall is situated in a sea of empty parking lots. Except for anchor tenant Lord and Taylor, with which the mall owner is in protracted litigation, the mall sits empty. About a decade before White Flint launched, Northern Virginia’s Tysons Corner Center opened, also to acclaim. Tyson’s Corner has seen continued success,2 welcoming Apple’s flagship store in 2001,3 and Spanx’s first brick and mortar store in 2012.4 The promised increase in walkability ushered in by the Silver Line expansion has heralded opportunity for new residential and commercial development.5 To what extent is this divergence due to e-commerce? The Rise of E-commerce Indeed, there is substantial evidence that brick-and-mortar retail is suffering. CNN Money10 reports that 2017 marked E-commerce dates to 1994, when the New York Times the highest number of retail store closure announcements in reported that Philadelphia’s Phil Brandenberger used his history. Within the past year, once-prominent malls in computer to purchase a Sting album. In the following year, New Jersey and Pennsylvania have closed almost 200 Amazon sold its first book, and Pierre Omidyar founded stores. And the wave seems unlikely to be over: Toys R Us Ebay.6 has recently declared bankruptcy, while long-time anchor tenants Sears, Kmart, J.C. -
PASI News Winter 2019
Volume 43 - Number 4 Winter 2019 Professional Advisory Services, Inc. 2770 Indian River Blvd. – Suite 204 • Vero Beach, FL 32960 (800) 847-7274 • (772) 778-0552 • fax (772) 770-2979 Market Update – An Extraordinary Decade by David A. Jaffe, M.D. In his book Thank You for Being Late, author Thomas Friedman poses detailed and compelling arguments suggesting that our planet is experiencing one of the greatest inflection points in world history – catalyzed by the accelerating impact of technology, globalization, and climate change. It is a well-documented and compelling read. In the shadow of this postulate, the “twenty-tens” were a pretty good but hardly extraordinary decade in the financial markets. Consider: the 256% total return of the S&P 500, translating into an average annual return of 13.5%, makes it only the fourth best decade since the 1930s (yawn). Of course, one could be forgiven for exaggerating the magnitude of the decade’s progress when taken in the context of recent history, specifically following on the heels of the “twenty-oughts”. Dubbed by some the “lost decade”, investors holding the S&P 500 from 2000-2010 experienced a decline of 0.86%, even after reinvesting cash dividends. The lost decade earns the dubious distinction of being the worst 10-year investment period since the 1930s, thanks to the Great Recession and stock market plunge of 2008-2009. The dreary market experience of that era set the stage for the healthy recovery that we have all enjoyed over the last ten years. Governments around the world pumped trillions into projects which spurred economic growth, while central banks led by the U.S. -
How Digital Transformation Is Reshaping the Global Fashion Industry
Trending this season: How Digital Transformation Is Reshaping the Global Fashion Industry www.commercetools.com Executive Summary When it comes to online revenue share, the global fashion business takes the pole position. The growth of mobile commerce, as well as social media, translate both into new revenue streams but also into challenges which have to be met. This white paper talks about how well-known brands and retailers tackle things like brand experience, assortment, and scalability and how they leverage cloud infrastructure and in-house technical know-how to adapt to these changing conditions. Introduction According to McKinsey’s 2018 State of Fashion report1, “The total sales of the traditional fashion sector have grown by more than 20 percent over the last three years”. Every year, the fashion industry, ranging from retailers to luxury brands, drives a significant profit to the global economy. It is one of the biggest, yet most challenging industries impacted by hundreds of factors, including economic uncertainties as well as digital transformation. Digital transformation in the fashion industry brings a lot to the table, but if ignored, it can unravel everything else. In response to this digital wave, many fashion brands are now under pressure to innovate while at the same time being cost-conscious. Brands have started to improve their speed to market and to innovate and automate their core product design, manufacturing, and overall supply chain process. The need to embrace digital transformation is a need of time for them. Why? Because consumers’ expectations are now at the highest level. They are no longer content with the simple purchase transaction; they want to have an experience attached to it, and the credit goes to digital technologies they are exposed to.