ELECTORALCHANGE.CA

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP A comparison of the first-past-the-post results to PRP results

Dave Brekke and Ted Dean 9/1/2013

A compilation of the results of the 2008 provincial election compared to the results of PRP electoral system results using the same election data. Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Summary To acquire proportional seats without adding seats, two adjacent ridings were made into one riding with the assistance of Alberta friend, Larry MacKillop. Eight-two ridings became forty-one ridings plus forty one proportional seats. The proportional seats helped reach a closer match between votes of political parties and seats won by them.

Ten electoral areas were established to give relative closeness to proportionally elected MLAs and the voters who helped to elect them. Each electoral area had four, six, eight or ten MLAs, half representing ridings and half representing their electoral area.

For electoral area results, see below. For more on how this system would work and other election results go to www.electoralchange.ca .

The Riding of is not included in this analysis to allow for an even number of ridings. That riding stays its present size, has preferential voting, but will not be in a proportional electoral area.

1

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

General Comparison of Systems on Alberta 2008 Provincial Election Results All Seat Groupings 10 Seats or Less Political Party PC Liberal NDP Wildrose Green Other

Popular Vote of 82 Ridings 489,234 248,235 78,636 64,157 42,128 9,935 52.47% 26.63% 8.43% 6.88% 4.52% 1.07% Value of 1 Seat 1.22% 11,370 votes

UNDER CANADA'S PRESENT FPTP ELECTORAL SYSTEM

Total seats in this Analysis: 82 71 9 2 0 0 0 86.59% 10.98% 2.44% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% % Over / Under (-) Represented 34.11% -15.65% -6.00% -6.88% -4.52% - 1.07% Effective voters in the area out of: voters 442,823 52,793 10,616 0 0 0 932,325 TOTAL Effective voters: 506,232 54.30% Of voters

2

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

UNDER PRP

Total seats in this Analysis: 82 45 22 6 6 3 0 54.88% 26.83% 7.32% 7.32% 3.66% 0.00% % Over / Under (-) Represented 2.40% 0.20% -1.12% 0.44% -0.86% - 1.07% Effective voters in the area out of: voters 484,146 246,786 64,562 56,145 19,979 0 932,325 TOTAL Effective voters: 871,618 93.49% of voters

3

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Northern Alberta Ridings and Candidates in Electoral district Candidates Votes % of Popular Vote Received Peace River PC Frank Oberle 7,412 56.89% 3,265 Liberal 288 2.21% NDP Adele Boucher Rymhs 2,450 18.81% 1,248 Wildrose Georg Beinart 2,878 22.09% 539 Green 0 0.00% Other 0 0.00% Dunvegan-Central Peace 13,028 PC 4,147 Liberal Bob Woken 288 NDP Nathan Macklin 1,202 Wildrose Dale Lueken 2,339 Green Other Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo 4,519 PC 7,903 64.15% 1,758 Liberal Ross Jacobs 2,867 23.27% 550 NDP Mel Kraley 976 7.92% Wildrose 0 0.00% 300 Green Reginald (Reg) Normore 573 4.65%

4

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Other 0 0.00% Lesser Slave Lake 12,319 3,384 PC Pearl Calahasen 1,109 Liberal Steve Noskey 426 NDP Habby Sharkawi Wildrose 273 Green Bonnie Raho Other Grande Prairie Wapiti 5,145 PC 9,914 62.99% 1,304 Liberal Augustine Ebinu 2,393 15.21% 829 NDP Manuella Campbell 1,661 10.55% 436 Wildrose Art Proctor 1,485 9.44% Green 285 1.81% Other 0 0.00% Grande Prairie 15,738 Smoky PC 4,769 1,089 Liberal John Croken 832 NDP Neil Peacock 1,049 Wildrose Todd Loewen 285 Green Rebecca Villebrun Other Lac La Biche-St. Paul 6,527 PC 10,964 72.94% 1,627 Liberal Alex Broadbent 2,325 15.47% 1,003 NDP Della Drury 1,392 9.26%

5

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Wildrose 0 0.00% Green 350 2.33% Other 0 0.00% Bonnyville-Cold 15,031 Lake 4,437 PC Genia Leskiw 698 Liberal Justin Yassoub 389 NDP Jason Sloychuk Wildrose 350 Green Jennifer Brown Other Barrhead-Morinville- Westlock PC 15,796 69.16% 8,312 Liberal Leslie Penny 3,183 13.94% 1,804 NDP Rod Olstad 2,152 9.42% 927 Wildrose 517 2.26% Green Dan Evans 882 3.86% 479 Other Carl Haugen (SC) 309 1.35% 309 Athabasca- 22,839 Redwater PC Jeff Johnson 7,484 Liberal 1,379 NDP Peter Opryshko 1,225

6

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Wildrose Mike Radojcic 517 Green Phyllis Penchuk 403 Other

7

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Proportional Seat Modeling Total Area Results FPTP Results Effective Voters Paired Proportiona % +/- of pop Votes % Seat % +/- of pop vote Seats l Seats vote s PC 5 2 70% 4.15% 51,98 65.85 10 100.00 34.15% 51,989 9 % % Lib - 1 10% -4.00% 11,05 14.00 0 0.00% -14.00% 6 % NDP - 1 10% -0.93% 8,631 10.93 0 0.00% -10.93% % WR - 1 10% 3.82% 4,880 6.18% 0 0.00% -6.18% Green - - 0.00% -2.65% 2,090 2.65% 0 0.00% -2.65% Other - - 0.00% -0.39% 309 0.39% 0 0.00% -0.39% 78,95 51,989 65.85 5 %

8

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Western and Electoral district Party Candidates

Red Deer North 4,715 PC Mary-Anne Jablonski 11,854 56.86% 1,770 Liberal Richard Farrand 5,184 24.87% 560 NDP Shawn Nielsen 1,157 5.55% 630 Wildrose Urs Lehner 1,579 7.57% 463 Green Rueben Tschetter 1,072 5.14% Other 0 0.00% Red Deer South 20,846 7,139 PC 3,414 Liberal Diane Kubanek 597 NDP Teresa Bryanton 949 Wildrose Ed Klop 609 Green Evan Bedford Other -Ste. Anne 6,019 PC George VanderBurg 14,486 62.20% 1,106 Liberal Mike Grey 3,658 15.71% 661 NDP Leah Redmond 1,637 7.03% 2,146 Wildrose 2,939 12.62% Green 571 2.45% Other 0 0.00% Stony Plain 23,291 8,467 PC 2,552 Liberal Bill Fraser 976 NDP Shelina Brown

9

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

793 Wildrose Sandy Pariseau 571 Green Nora Shea Other Drayton Valley-Calmar 5,931 PC Diana McQueen 12,119 60.87% 846 Liberal Norma Block 1,695 8.51% 390 NDP Luanne Bannister 669 3.36% 1,053 Wildrose Dean Schmale 2,209 11.09% 1,877 Green Edwin Erickson 2,576 12.94% Other 643 3.23% Rocky Mountain House 19,911 6,188 PC Ty Lund 849 Liberal Norm McDougall 279 NDP Jorge Souza 1,156 Wildrose Fanie van Heerden 699 Green Jennifer Ripley 643 Other Wilf Tricker (SC) Innisfail-Sylvan Lake 6,967 PC 14,804 63.47% 1,539 Liberal Garth Davis 2,577 11.05% 702 NDP Tophie Davies 970 4.16% 1,215 Wildrose Wayne Edmundson 3,787 16.24% 545 Green Lisa Grant 1,063 4.56% 122 Other Anthony Haggarty (Ind) 122 0.52% Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills 23,323 7,837 PC Richard Marz 1,038 Liberal Tony Vonesch 268 NDP Andy Davies 2,572 Wildrose Curt Engel

10

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

518 Green Kate Haddow Other 119 Bruce Hutton (SPA) Banff-Cochrane 4,727 PC 11,643 53.84% 2,753 Liberal Patricia K. Robertson 4,953 22.90% NDP Anne Wilson 196 0.91% 575 Wildrose 2,372 10.97% 1,353 Green Dan Cunin 2,290 10.59% 172 Other Zrinko Amerl (Ind.) 172 0.80% Foothills-Rocky View 21,626 6,916 PC 2,200 Liberal Herb Coburn 196 NDP Ricardo de Menezes 1,797 Wildrose Joseph McMaster 937 Green Larry Ashmore Other

Not Included in Paired Ridings West Yellowhead 4,206 PC Robin Campbell 1,932 Liberal Lisa Higgerty 1,054 NDP Ken Kuzminski 326 Wildrose Earle Cunningham 296 Green Scott Pickett Other

11

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Total Area Results FPTP Results Effective Voters Paired Proportional % +/- of pop Pct Seats Seats % +/- of Seats Seats vote pop vote PC 5 1 60.00% 0.52% 64,906 59.48% 10 100.00% 40.52% 64,906 Lib - 2 20.00% 3.44% 18,067 16.56% 0 0.00% -16.56% 59.48% NDP - - 0.00% -4.24% 4,629 4.24% 0 0.00% -4.24% WR - 1 10.00% -1.81% 12,886 11.81% 0 0.00% -11.81% Green - 1 10.00% 3.06% 7,572 6.94% 0 0.00% -6.94% - - 0.00% -0.97% 1,056 0.97% 0 0.00% -0.97% 109,116 64,906

12

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

East and Central Alberta Electoral district Candidates

Strathmore-Brooks 7,623 PC Arno Doerksen 14,609 71.74% 991 Liberal Gerry Hart 2,454 12.05% 313 NDP Brian Stokes 589 2.89% 935 Wildrose Amanda Shehata 1,997 9.81% 362 Green Chris Bayford 715 3.51% Drumheller-Stettler 20,364 6,986 PC 1,463 Liberal Tom Dooley 276 NDP Richard Bough 1,062 Wildrose Dave France 353 Green Amanda Bolton Battle River-Wainwright 7,968 PC 14,981 79.57% 1,260 Liberal Horst Schreiber 2,086 11.08% 431 NDP Doris Bannister 913 4.85% Wildrose 0 0.00% 483 Green Will Munsey 847 4.50% Vermilion-Lloydminster 18,827 7,013 PC 826 Liberal Robert Sawatzky 482 NDP Wendy Myshak Wildrose 364 Green Ngaio Hotte Leduc-Beaumont-Devon

13

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

9,045 PC George Rogers 20,214 71.60% 2,329 Liberal Joyce Assen 3,672 13.01% 1,057 NDP Lisa Erickson 2,290 8.11% 1,008 Wildrose Sharon MacLise 1,008 3.57% 495 Green Kevin Colton 1,046 3.71% Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville 28,230 11,169 PC 1,343 Liberal Earl J. Woods 1,233 NDP Clayton Marsden Wildrose 551 Green Ryan Scheie Wetaskiwin-Camrose 7,726 PC 15,928 61.68% 1,646 Liberal Keith Elliott 2,846 11.02% 1,078 NDP Sarah Mowat 1,638 6.34% 818 Wildrose Tyler Knelsen 1,729 6.70% 458 Green Midge Lambert 3,684 14.27% Lacombe-Ponoka 25,825 8,202 PC 1,200 Liberal Edith McPhedran 560 NDP Steve Bradshaw 911 Wildrose Daniel Freisen 3,226 Green Other

14

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Proportional Seat Calculation for Central and East Alberta Total Area Results FPTP Results Effectiv Voters e Paired Proportional % +/- of pop Votes % Seats % +/- of pop Seats Seats vote vote PC 4 2 75.00 5.01% 58,109 69.99 8 100.00 30.01% 58,109 % % % Lib - 1 12.50 0.37% 10,067 12.13 0 0.00% -12.13% % % ND - - 0.00% -6.16% 5,117 6.16% 0 0.00% -6.16% P WR - - 0.00% -4.58% 3,799 4.58% 0 0.00% -4.58% Gre - 1 12.50 5.36% 5,930 7.14% 0 0.00% -7.14% % - - 0.00% 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.00% 83,022 58,109 69.99 %

15

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Southern Alberta Electoral district Candidates

Calgary-Fort 4,123 PC 13,497 58.04% 1,770 Liberal Carole Oliver 3,743 16.10% 1,178 NDP Julie Hrdlicka 1,787 7.68% 715 Wildrose Travis Chase 3,077 13.23% 491 Green J. Mark Taylor 1,151 4.95% Other 0 0.00% Airdrie-Chestermere 23,255 9,374 PC Rob Anderson 1,973 Liberal John Burke 609 NDP Bryan Young 2,362 Wildrose Jeff Willerton 660 Green David Brandreth Other Highwood 7,715 PC 13,752 64.70% 1,647 Liberal Stan Shedd 3,181 14.97% 391 NDP Carolyn Boulton 867 4.08% 1,405 Wildrose Daniel Doherty 2,393 11.26% 691 Green John Barret 1,062 5.00% Other 0 0.00% Livingstone-Macleod 21,255 6,037 PC 1,534 Liberal Mike Judd 476 NDP Phil Burpee

16

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

988 Wildrose Jack Macleod 371 Green Bryan Hunt Other 5,150 PC Barry McFarland 9,524 51.83% 1,080 Liberal Everett Tanis 1,516 8.25% 322 NDP Duane Petluk 512 2.79% 2,051 Wildrose Kevin Kinahan 6,376 34.70% 267 Green Marie Read 447 2.43% Other 0 0.00% Cardston-Taber- 18,375 Warner 4,374 PC Broyce Jacobs 436 Liberal Ron Hancock 190 NDP Suzanne Sirias 4,325 Wildrose 180 Green Billy Turner Other Lethbridge East 4,715 PC Jason Herasemluk 9,717 41.39% 5,582 Liberal 9,604 40.91% 687 NDP Tom Moffatt 1,866 7.95% 748 Wildrose Grant Shaw 1,603 6.83% 292 Green Helen McMenamin 684 2.91% Other 0 0.00% Lethbridge West 23,474 5,002 PC 4,022 Liberal Bal Boora 1,179 NDP James Moore

17

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

855 Wildrose Matt Fox 392 Green Brennan Tilley Other Cypress-Medicine Hat 5,640 PC Leonard Mitzel 11,028 56.75% 2,023 Liberal Dick Mastel 5,648 29.07% 347 NDP Manuel Martinez 831 4.28% 679 Wildrose Dan Pierson 1,425 7.33% 215 Green Bright Pride 500 2.57% Other 0 0.00% Medicine Hat 19,432 5,388 PC 3,625 Liberal Karen Charlton 484 NDP Diana Arnott 746 Wildrose Clint Rabb 285 Green Karen Kraus Other

18

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

19

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Total Area FPTP Results Effective Results Voters Paired Proportional % +/- of Votes % Seats % +/- of Seats Seats pop pop vote vote PC 60.00% 5.63% 57,518 54.37% 9 90.00% 35.63% 52,803 4 2 Lib 20.00% -2.40% 23,692 22.40% 1 10.00% - 5,582 1 1 12.40% NDP 10.00% 4.46% 5,863 5.54% 0 0.00% -5.54% - 1 WR 10.00% -4.06% 14,874 14.06% 0 0.00% - - 1 14.06% Gre 0.00% -3.63% 3,844 3.63% 0 0.00% -3.63% - - 0.00% 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0.00% - - 105,791 58,385 55.19%

20

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Edmonton Central Candidates

PC 7,160 36.01% Liberal Dawit Isaac 3,128 15.73% NDP 8,599 43.25% Wildrose Brian Dell 534 2.69% Green Frederick Pivot 404 2.03% Other Robin Porteous (SC) 57 0.29% 19,882 PC Andrew Beniuk Liberal Brad Smith NDP Brian Mason Wildrose Travis Loewen Green Mohamad Maie Other

PC Bill Donahue 6,322 27.37% Liberal 7,494 32.45% NDP 8,025 34.75% Wildrose James Iverson 200 0.87% Green David Parker 1,012 4.38% Other Margaret Saunter (AP) 42 0.18% 23,095 PC T.J. Keil Liberal Tim Vant NDP

21

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Wildrose Green Adrian Cole Other

PC 9,775 37.17% Liberal Bruce Miller 11,979 45.55% NDP Arlene Chapman 3,027 11.51% Wildrose Elden Van Hauwaert 604 2.30% Green Peter Johnston 914 3.48% Other 0 0.00% 26,299 PC Wendy Andrews Liberal NDP Erica Bullwinkle Wildrose Kyle Van Hauwaert Green Cameron Wakefield Other

PC 12,118 44.08% Liberal Hugh MacDonald 10,337 37.60% NDP Sherry McKibben 3,745 13.62% Wildrose 0 0.00% Green David Zylstra 1,251 4.55% Other 41 0.15% 27,492 PC Liberal Aman Gill NDP Stephen Anderson Wildrose

22

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Green Glen Argan Other Naomi Rankin (Com)

PC 9,977 43.14% Liberal Rick Miller 9,163 39.62% NDP Mike Butler 2,652 11.47% Wildrose John Baloun 700 3.03% Green Kate Wyrostok 637 2.75% Other 0 0.00% 23,129 PC Liberal NDP Wildrose Robert Leddy Green David Hruska Other

23

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Proportional Seat Calculation for Central Total Area FPTP Results Effective Results Paired Proportion % +/- of pop Votes % Seat % +/- of Seats al Seats vote s pop vote PC 2 2 40.00 2.17% 45,352 37.83% 5 50.00% 12.17% 25,620 % Lib 1 3 40.00 4.89% 42,101 35.11% 3 30.00% -5.11% 18,792 % ND 2 - 20.00 -1.73% 26,048 21.73% 2 20.00% -1.73% 10,616 P % WR - - 0.00% -1.70% 2,038 1.70% 0 0.00% -1.70% Gre - - 0.00% -3.52% 4,218 3.52% 0 0.00% -3.52% - - 0.00% -0.12% 140 0.12% 0 0.00% -0.12% 119,897 55,028 45.90 %

24

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Sub Edmonton North Electoral district Candidates

Edmonton-Calder 4,557 PC Doug Elniski 11,716 46.79% 1,839 Liberal Jim Kane 6,929 27.67% 4,356 NDP 5,697 22.75% Wildrose 0 0.00% 402 Green Mike Brown 699 2.79% Other 0 0.00% Edmonton Castle Downs 25,041 7,159 PC 5,090 Liberal Chris Kibermanis 1,341 NDP Ali Haymour Wildrose 297 Green Bob Reckhow Other Spruce Grove-Sturgeon-St. Albert 9,369 PC 17,772 57.44% 4,528 Liberal Ray Boudreau 10,126 32.73% 960 NDP Peter Cross 1,919 6.20% Wildrose 0 0.00% 545 Green Allan West 1,121 3.62% Other 0 0.00% St. Albert 30,938 8,403 PC Ken Allred 5,598 Liberal Jack Flaherty

25

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

959 NDP Katy Campbell Wildrose 576 Green Ross Vincent Other Edmonton Decore 4,577 PC 8,684 40.42% 3,895 Liberal Bill Bonko 6,155 28.65% 1,301 NDP Sidney Sadik 3,608 16.79% Wildrose 289 1.34% 241 Green Trey Capenhurst 476 2.22% Other 2,275 10.59% Edmonton Manning 21,487 4,107 PC 2,260 Liberal Sandeep Dhir 2,307 NDP Rick Murti 289 Wildrose Phil Gamache 235 Green Odette Boily 2,275 Other (Ind.)

26

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Total Area FPTP Effective Voters Results Results Paired Proportional % +/- of pop Votes % % Pct +/- of pop Seats Seats vote vote PC 50.00% 0.72% 38,172 49.28% 6 100.00% 50.72% 38,172 3 - Lib 33.33% 3.37% 23,210 29.96% 0 0.00% -29.96% - 2 NDP 16.6 7% 2.18% 11,224 14.49% 0 0.00% -14.49% - 1 WR 0.00% -0.37% 289 0.37% 0 0.00% -0.37% - - Gre 0.00% -2.96% 2,296 2.96% 0 0.00% -2.96% - - 0.00% -2.94% 2,275 2.94% 0 0.00% -2.94% - - 77,466 38,172 49.28%

27

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Sub Edmonton South Electoral district Candidates

Edmonton Ellerslie 4,581 PC 16,635 52.73% 3,592 Liberal 10,589 33.56% 1,891 NDP Marilyn Assheton-Smith 2,914 9.24% 471 Wildrose Krista Leddy 471 1.49% 335 Green Paul Boos 878 2.78% 62 Other Cheryl Ullah (SC) 62 0.20% Edmonton-Whitemud 31,549 12,054 PC David Hancock 6,997 Liberal Nancy Cavanaugh 1,023 NDP Hana Razga Wildrose 543 Green Valerie Kennedy Other Edmonton McClung 7,173 PC David Xiao 13,347 51.50% 5,947 Liberal Mo Elsalhy 9,370 36.15% 924 NDP Bridget Stirling 1,934 7.46% 272 Wildrose Kristine Jassman 578 2.23% 342 Green Bryan Wyrostok 689 2.66% Other 0 0.00% Edmonton Meadowlark 25,918 6,174 PC Raj Sherman 3,423 Liberal Debbie Cavaliere 1,010 NDP Pascal Ryffel

28

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

306 Wildrose Richard Guyon 347 Green Amanda Doyle Other Strathcona 9,951 PC 19,263 64.68% 2,995 Liberal Jon Friel 6,838 22.96% 911 NDP Denny Holmwood 1,815 6.09% Wildrose 0 0.00% 763 Green Kate Harrington 1,452 4.88% 415 Other Gordon Barrett (SC) 415 1.39% Sherwood Park 29,783 9,312 PC 3,843 Liberal Louise Rogers 904 NDP Katharine Hay Wildrose 689 Green Rick Hoines Other

29

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Total Area FPTP Results Results Paired Proportional % +/- of pop Votes % Seats % +/- of Seats Seats vote pop vote PC 50.00 -6.44% 49,245 56.44 6 100.00 43.56% 3 - % % % Lib 33.33 2.62% 26,797 30.71 0 0.00% -30.71% - 2 % % ND 16.67 9.03% 6,663 7.64 0 0.00% -7.64% P - 1 % % W 0.00 -1.20% 1,049 1.20 0 0.00% -1.20% R - - % % Gr 0.00 -3.46% 3,019 3.46 0 0.00% -3.46% e - - % % 0.00 -0.55% 477 0.55 0 0.00% -0.55% - - % % 87,250

30

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Calgary Central Electoral district Candidates

Calgary-Nose Hill 4,586 PC Neil Brown 9,939 41.58% 2,761 Liberal Len Borowski 9,668 40.45% 388 NDP Tristan Ridley 918 3.84% 954 Wildrose John Murdoch 1,997 8.35% 624 Green Nick Burman 1,382 5.78% Other 0 0.00% Calgary-Varsity 23,904 5,353 PC Jennifer Diakiw 6,907 Liberal Harry B. Chase 530 NDP Tim Stock-Bateman 1,043 Wildrose Brennan Ltyle 758 Green Sean Maw Other Calgary-North Hill 4,281 PC 8,864 45.04% 3,573 Liberal Pat Murray 6,006 30.52% 1,381 NDP John Chan 1,806 9.18% 976 Wildrose Jane Morgan 1,657 8.42% 732 Green Kevin Maloney 1,065 5.41% 228 Other Jim Wright (SC) 283 1.44% Calgary-East 19,681 4,583 PC 2,433 Liberal Bill Harvey 425 NDP Christopher Dovey

31

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

681 Wildrose Mike McCraken 333 Green Ross Cameron 55 Other Bonnie Collins (Com) Calgary-Mountain View 4,252 PC Leah Lawrence 7,898 34.13% 7,086 Liberal 11,669 50.43% 661 NDP John Donovan 1,048 4.53% 892 Wildrose 892 3.85% 865 Green Juliet Burgess 1,476 6.38% Other 158 0.68% Calgary-Buffalo 23,141 3,646 PC Sean Chu 4,583 Liberal 387 NDP Robert Lawrence Wildrose 611 Green Stephen Ricketts 158 Other Antoni Grochowski (SC) Calgary-Currie 4,552 PC Arthur Kent 10,682 39.89% 5,564 Liberal Dave Taylor 11,275 42.10% 531 NDP Marc Power 821 3.07% 670 Wildrose Ken Mazeroll 1,633 6.10% 896 Green Graham MacKenzie 1,422 5.31% Other 948 3.54% Calgary-Elbow 26,781 6,130 PC 5,711 Liberal Craig Cheffins 290 NDP Garnet Wilcox 963 Wildrose Dale Nelson

32

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

526 Green Jonathon Sheffield 948 Other Barry Erskine (Ind) Calgary-Glenmore 6,436 PC 11,851 47.18% 4,213 Liberal Avalon Roberts 7,502 29.87% 477 NDP Holly Heffernan 924 3.68% 1,025 Wildrose Ryan Sadler 1,701 6.77% 550 Green Arden Bonokoski 1,132 4.51% Other 2,008 7.99% Calgary-Egmont 25,118 5,415 PC 3,289 Liberal Cathie Williams 447 NDP Jason Nishiyama 676 Wildrose Barry Chase 582 Green Mark McGillvray 2,008 Other Craig Chandler (Ind.)

33

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Total Area FPTP Effective Results Results Voters Paired Proportional % +/- of pop Votes % Seats % +/- of pop Seats Seats vote vote PC 40.00% -1.50% 49,234 41.50% 6 60.00% 18.50% 31,431 4 - Lib 40.00% 1.12% 46,120 38.88% 4 40.00% 1.12% 24,140 1 3 NDP 0.00% -4.65% 5,517 4.65% 0 0.00% -4.65% - - WR 10.00% 3.36% 7,880 6.64% 0 0.00% -6.64% - 1 Gre 10.00% 4.54% 6,477 5.46% 0 0.00% -5.46% - 1 0.00% -2.86% 3,397 2.86% 0 0.00% -2.86% - - 118,625 55,571 46.85%

34

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Sub Calgary North Electoral district Candidates

Calgary-West 8,428 PC 15,115 46.69% 5,693 Liberal Beth Gignac 10,866 33.56% 401 NDP Chantelle Dubois 908 2.80% 2,273 Wildrose Bob Babcock 3,698 11.42% 773 Green James Kohut 1,618 5.00% Other 171 0.53% Calgary-Bow 32,376 6,687 PC Alana DeLong 5,173 Liberal Greg Flanagan 507 NDP Teale Phelps Bondaroff 1,425 Wildrose Barry Hilenski 845 Green Randy Weeks 171 Other Len Skowronski (SC) Calgary-North West 8,415 PC 14,503 47.03% 5,552 Liberal Dale Martin D'Silva 10,461 33.92% 637 NDP Colin Anderson 888 2.88% 2,703 Wildrose Chris Jukes 3,675 11.92% 902 Green George Read 1,313 4.26% Other 0 0.00% Calgary-Foothills 30,840 6,088 PC 4909 Liberal Mike Robinson

35

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

251 NDP Stephanie Sundburg 972 Wildrose Kevin Legare 411 Green Ian Groll Other Calgary-Mackay 6,247 PC Teresa Woo-Paw 10,408 46.16% 4,048 Liberal Tianna Melnyk 8,327 36.93% 426 NDP Daena Diduck 701 3.11% 1,609 Wildrose Rob Gregory 2,151 9.54% 578 Green Ryan Smith 963 4.27% Other 0 0.00% Calgary-McCall 22,550 4,161 PC 4,279 Liberal 275 NDP Preet Sihota 542 Wildrose Ina Given 385 Green Heather Brocklesby Other Calgary-Cross 4,004 PC 6,631 45.19% 1,567 Liberal Rob Reinhold 2,963 20.19% 476 NDP Shelina Hassanali 988 6.73% 605 Wildrose Gordon Huth 1,423 9.70% 395 Green Susan Stratton 657 4.48% Other 2,010 13.70% Calgary-Montrose 14,672 2,627 PC 1,396 Liberal Michael Embaie 512 NDP Al Brown

36

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

818 Wildrose Said Abdulbaki 262 Green Fred Clemens 2,010 Other Ron Leech (Ind)

37

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Total Area FPTP Effective Results Results Voters Paired Proportional % +/- of pop Votes % Seats % +/- of pop Seats Seats vote vote PC 50.00 3.55% 46,657 46.45 7 87.50 41.05% 42,49 4 - % % % 6 Lib 37.50 5.03% 32,617 32.47 1 12.50 -19.97% 4,279 - 3 % % % ND 0.00 -3.47% 3,485 3.47 0 0.00 -3.47% P - - % % % WR 12.50 1.60% 10,947 10.90 0 0.00 -10.90% - 1 % % % Gr 0.00 -4.53% 4,551 4.53 0 0.00 -4.53% e - - % % % 0.00 -2.17% 2,181 2.17 0 0.00 -2.17% - - % % % 100,438 46,77 46.57 5 %

38

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Sub Calgary South Electoral district Candidates

Calgary-Hays 6,968 PC Arthur Johnston 13,852 53.25% 3,586 Liberal Bill Kurtze 7,624 29.31% 366 NDP Tyler Kinch 789 3.03% 1,366 Wildrose Devin Cassidy 2,627 10.10% 564 Green Keeley Bruce 1,120 4.31% Other 0 0.00% Calgary-Fish 26,012 Creek 6,884 PC 4,038 Liberal Laura Shutiak 423 NDP Eric Leavitt 1,261 Wildrose Jamie Buchan 556 Green Kerry Fraser Other Calgary-Lougheed 7,190 PC David Rodney 14,200 55.14% 3,926 Liberal Lori Czerwinski 6,884 26.73% 336 NDP Clint Marko 670 2.60% 1,620 Wildrose Derrick Jacobson 2,888 11.21% 520 Green Bernie Amell 1,011 3.93% 100 Other Gordon Laurie (Ind.) 100 0.39% Calgary-Shaw 25,753 7,010 PC 2,958 Liberal John Roggeveen

39

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

334 NDP Jenn Carlson 1,268 Wildrose Richard P. Dur 491 Green Jennifer Oss-Saunders Other

40

Alberta 2008 Provincial Election as Analyzed With PRP

Total Area FPTP Effective Results Results Voters Paired Proportional % +/- of pop Votes % Seats Pct +/- of pop Seats Seats vote vote PC 50.00 -4.19% 28,052 54.19 4 100.00 45.81% 28,05 2 - % % % 2 Lib 25.00 -3.03% 14,508 28.03 0 0.00% -28.03% - 1 % % ND 0.00% -2.82% 1,459 2.82% 0 0.00% -2.82% P - - WR 25.00 14.35% 5,515 10.65 0 0.00% -10.65% - 1 % % Gre 0.00% -4.12% 2,131 4.12% 0 0.00% -4.12% - - 0.00% -0.19% 100 0.19% 0 0.00% -0.19% - - 51,765 28,05 54.19 2 %

41