The Rise and Fall of Cryptocurrencies Amir Feder∗ Neil Gandal Berglas School of Economics Berglas School of Economics Tel Aviv University, Israel Tel Aviv University, Israel
[email protected] [email protected] JT Hamrick Tyler Moore Tandy School of Computer Science Tandy School of Computer Science The University of Tulsa, USA The University of Tulsa, USA
[email protected] [email protected] Marie Vasek Department of Computer Science University of New Mexico, USA
[email protected] July 30, 2018 Abstract Since Bitcoin's introduction in 2009, interest in cryptocurrencies has soared. One manifestation of this interest has been the explosion of newly created coins. This paper examines the dynamics of coin creation, competition and destruction in the cryptocurrency industry. In order to conduct the analysis, we develop a methodology to identify peaks in prices and trade volume, as well as when coins are abandoned and subsequently \resurrected". We study trading activity associated with 1 082 coins over a nearly five-year period. We present evidence that the more frequently traded coins experience the biggest price rises. They are also much less likely to be abandoned, that is, to experience a drop in average trading volume to below 1% of a prior peak value. Overall, we find that 44% of publicly-traded coins are abandoned, at least temporarily. 71% of abandoned coins are later resurrected, leaving 18% of coins to fail permanently. We then examine the association between entry and exit and other key variables such as price, volume, and market capitalization in order to analyze and provide intuition underpinning the fundamentals in this market.