Post-Mortem 2020 Election Outcomes and Consequences
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POST-MORTEM PRESENTED BY 2020 ELECTION MAT KOSTRINSKY OUTCOMES AND CONSEQUENCES MEMBER, ADVOCACY COMMITTEE A. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION B. UNITED STATES SENATE 2020 C. UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ELECTION D. CALIFORNIA VACANCIES E. CALIFORNIA STATE SENATE OUTCOMES F. CALIFORNIA STATE ASSEMBLY AND G. COUNTY OF SAN DIEGO H. CITY OF SAN DIEGO NEXT STEPS I. REDISTRICTING J. QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS Final Vote: 232 306 Faithless: 0 Final Vote: 304 227 Faithless: 7 • Winner Take All verse Congressional District (ME & NE) PRESIDENTIAL • The Blue Wall (46 Electoral College Votes) ELECTION OUTCOME • Swing States (AZ, GA & NE) UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2020 ELECTION OUTCOME AP TOO CLOSE TO CALL: • New York’s 22 nd District UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES CLOSES RACES IN CALIFORNIA UNITED STATES HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES BIDEN-GOP CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICTS 2020 LOCAL ELECTION TIE Warner Unified School Board (3rd Place) UNITED STATES SENATE ELECTION OUTCOME NEW SESSION: Monday, January 3, 2021 UNITED STATES ELECTION DATE SENATE RUN-OFF Tuesday, January 5, 2021 UNITED STATES NEXT STEPS Declared Vacancy SENATE VACANCY Governor Appointment CALIFORNIA 2022 Election POTENTIAL U.S. SENATE APPOINTMENT NAMES U.S. Representative Karen Bass of Los Angeles NEXT STEPS U.S. Representative Ro Khanna of Silicon Valley nd U.S. Representative Barbara Lee of Oakland • Declared Vacancy (Potentially Jan 2 ) U.S. Representative Katie Porter of Irvine • Governor Appointment U.S. Representative Adam B. Schiff of Burbank • 2022 Election U.S. Representative Maxine Waters of Los Angeles Caretaker vs Election) California Secretary of State Alex Padilla of Los Angeles ( California Senate President Pro Tem Toni Atkins of San Diego Imperial Beach Mayor Serge Dedina Long Beach Mayor Robert Garcia UNITED STATES NEXT STEPS Declared Vacancy SENATE VACANCY Governor Appointment CALIFORNIA 2022 Election POTENTIAL CALIFORNIA ATTORNEY GENERAL APPOINTMENT Former State Treasurer John Chiang Former Insurance Commissioner Dave Jones • NEXT STEPS State Senator Anna Caballero of Salinas th State Senator Bob Hertzberg of Van Nuys • Declared Vacancy (Earliest Jan 20 ) State Senator Tom Umberg of Villa Park • Governor Appointment Assemblymember Rob Bonta of Alameda Assemblymember David Chiu of San Francisco • 2022 Election Assemblymember Ash Kalra of San Jose Contra Costa District Attorney (and former Superior Court Judge) Diana Becton City Attorney Dennis Herrera of San Francisco Mayor (and former State Senator) Darrell Steinberg of Sacramento District Attorney Jeff Rosen of Santa Clara County Former California Supervising Deputy Attorney General Maggy Krell (currently, chief counsel of Planned Parenthood Affiliates of California) Rick Zbur, Executive Director, Equality California CARETAKER verse 2022 ELECTION (Due to term limits, then could move future open seat from other Statewide Elections) POTENTIAL CALIFORNIA SECRETARY OF STATE APPOINTMENT State Senate President Pro Tem Toni Atkins of San Diego State Senator Tom Umberg - Chair, Senate Elections and Redistricting Assembly Speaker Pro Tem Kevin Mullin of South San Francisco Assemblymember Marc Berman (D-Palo Alto) - Chair, Assembly Elections and Redistricting Assemblymember Lorena Gonzalez of San Diego (Declared 2022 candidate) Assemblymember Evan Low of Campbell (Declared 2022 candidate) • NEXT STEPS • Declared Vacancy • Governor Appointment • 2022 Election CARETAKER verse 2022 ELECTION (Due to term limits, then could move future open seat from other Statewide Elections) DEMOCRATIC PARTY: REPUBLICAN PARTY: Incumbents Re-Elected: 10 Incumbents Re-Elected: 2 Democratic Held Open: 5 Republican Held Open: 1 Pick-Up Seats: 2* Incumbent Loses: 2* 2020 CALIFORNIA 2021 DEM GOP STATE SENATE PARTY ELECTION OUTCOME 29 (72.5%) 11 (27.5%) DEMOCRATIC PARTY: REPUBLICAN PARTY: Incumbents Re-Elected: 55 Incumbents Re-Elected: 14 Democratic Held Open: 5 Republican Held Open: 5 Pick-Up Seats: 0 Republican Held Lose: 1* INDEPENDENT: Pick-Up Republican Open Seat: 1* DEM GOP IND 2020 CALIFORNIA 2021 STATE ASSEMBLY PARTY 60 19 1 ELECTION OUTCOME (75%) (23.75%) (1.25) NORA VARGAS JOEL ANDERSON TERRA LAWSON-REMER DISTRICT 1 (D) DISTRICT 2 (R) DISTRICT 3 (D) 2020 SAN DIEGO COUNTY ELECTION OUTCOME JOE LACAVA STEPHEN WHITBURN DISTRICT 1 DISTRICT 3 (D) 2020 CITY OF (D) SAN DIEGO ELECTION OUTCOME MARNI von WILPERT RAUL CAMPILLO DISTRICT 5 DISTRICT 7 (D) (D) TODD GLORIA MARA ELLIOTT SEAN ELO-RIVERA MAYOR CITY ATTORNEY DISTRICT 9 (D) (D) (D) 2021 RE-DISTRICTING CALIFORNIA One Congressional Seat * California: 53 down to 52 Electoral College Votes * California: 55 down to 54 State of California https://wedrawthelines.ca.gov/ REDISTRICTING County of San Diego https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/redistricting/ COMMISSIONS City of San Diego https://www.sandiego.gov/staging/redistricting-commission QUESTIONS Please leave your questions in the chat line directed for Lane Mashal..