p. 1 Candidates or parties? Objects of electoral choice in Ireland* Michael Marsh Department of Political Science Trinity College Dublin Republic of Ireland
[email protected] http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/Staff/Michael.Marsh Party Politics: Forthcoming * I want to thank John Garry, Fiachra Kennedy and Richard Sinnott for comments on an earlier draft of this paper. Versions of the paper have been presented at departmental seminars in Trinity College Dublin and in the Universities of Aberdeen and Trondheim, as well as at APSA in 2003 and Political Studies Association of Ireland meeting in 2005. I am grateful to all participants for their suggestions. I am also grateful to the Irish Council for Research in the Humanities and Social Sciences for a senior research scholarship 2002-2003 which gave me time to write the initial draft of this paper. p. 2 Abstract Under many electoral systems voters can choose between candidates and under some, between candidates of the same party, a situation that makes it possible for candidates to seek a personal vote. Studies of particular countries have shown how personal voting is apparent in the success of particular types of candidates, notably incumbents, but there is little systematic study of personal motives among the electors themselves. The single transferable vote system (STV) used in Ireland certainly allows electors to choose between candidates as well as parties and so is seen to provide a strong incentive for candidates to seek personal votes. While aggregate evidence from election results has pointed to the primary importance of party, survey data has suggested that close to a majority of voters are primarily candidate centred.