Evaluation of Littoral Combat Ships for Open-Ocean Anti-Submarine Warfare
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View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Calhoun, Institutional Archive of the Naval Postgraduate School Calhoun: The NPS Institutional Archive Theses and Dissertations Thesis and Dissertation Collection 2016-03 Evaluation of Littoral Combat Ships for open-ocean anti-submarine warfare Valerio, Victor Monterey, California: Naval Postgraduate School http://hdl.handle.net/10945/48592 NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA SYSTEMS ENGINEERING CAPSTONE PROJECT REPORT EVALUATION OF LITTORAL COMBAT SHIPS FOR OPEN-OCEAN ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE by Team LCS Cohort 311-143O March 2016 Project Advisors: John Green Gregory Miller Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE Form Approved OMB No. 0704-0188 Public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instruction, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington, VA 22202-4302, and to the Office of Management and Budget, Paperwork Reduction Project (0704-0188) Washington, DC 20503. 1. AGENCY USE ONLY 2. REPORT DATE 3. REPORT TYPE AND DATES COVERED (Leave blank) March 2016 Capstone project report 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE 5. FUNDING NUMBERS EVALUATION OF LITTORAL COMBAT SHIPS FOR OPEN-OCEAN ANTI- SUBMARINE WARFARE 6. AUTHOR(S) Team LCS, Systems Engineering Cohort 311-143O 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) 8. PERFORMING Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION REPORT Monterey, CA 93943-5000 NUMBER 9. SPONSORING /MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND 10. SPONSORING / ADDRESS(ES) MONITORING AGENCY N/A REPORT NUMBER 11. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES The views expressed in this thesis are those of the author and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of Defense or the U.S. Government. IRB Protocol number ____N/A____. 12a. DISTRIBUTION / AVAILABILITY STATEMENT 12b. DISTRIBUTION CODE Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited 13. ABSTRACT (maximum 200 words) This report evaluates the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) and its potential to fulfill the open-ocean anti- submarine warfare (ASW) mission. It is unknown whether the LCS platform can support open-ocean ASW. This report examines which LCS variant, Freedom or Independence, is more suitable for open- ocean ASW. Initial analysis defines the open-ocean ASW problem space in terms of a threat analysis, mission analysis, current Concept of Operations (CONOPS), and current LCS capabilities. An Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) uses derived functional and operational requirements within a Pugh matrix to decide which variant best performs ASW, and what modifications can improve future designs of the LCS. The analysis shows the Freedom class has marginal advantages in performing open-ocean ASW mission tasks, and establishes three areas for improvement: self-noise emissions, weight, and communication. Potential solutions are explored to address these shortfalls and to analyze their impact on LCS’s ability to meet core requirements of the open-ocean ASW mission. This paper concludes that the LCS is capable of fulfilling the open-ocean ASW mission if improvements are made to the design and CONOPS. 14. SUBJECT TERMS 15. NUMBER OF anti-submarine warfare, littoral combat ship, mission module, systems engineering, PAGES requirements development, architecture, capability, functional decomposition, modeling and 99 simulation, ASW, LCS 16. PRICE CODE 17. SECURITY 18. SECURITY 19. SECURITY 20. LIMITATION CLASSIFICATION OF CLASSIFICATION OF THIS CLASSIFICATION OF ABSTRACT REPORT PAGE OF ABSTRACT Unclassified Unclassified Unclassified UU NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 2-89) Prescribed by ANSI Std. 239-18 i THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK ii Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited EVALUATION OF LITTORAL COMBAT SHIPS FOR OPEN-OCEAN ANTI- SUBMARINE WARFARE Team LCS, Systems Engineering Cohort 311-143O Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degrees of MASTER OF SCIENCE IN SYSTEMS ENGINEERING Victor Valerio Herbert Nichelson William Wascom AND MASTER OF SCIENCE IN ENGINEERING SYSTEMS Michael DeSousa Keith Sadeck from the NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL March 2016 Lead editors: Herbert Nichelson and Keith Sadeck Reviewed by: John Green Gregory Miller Project Advisor Project Advisor Accepted by: Ronald Giachetti Systems Engineering Department iii THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK iv ABSTRACT This report evaluates the Littoral Combat Ship (LCS) and its potential to fulfill the open-ocean anti-submarine warfare (ASW) mission. It is unknown whether the LCS platform can support open-ocean ASW. This report examines which LCS variant, Freedom or Independence, is more suitable for open-ocean ASW. Initial analysis defines the open-ocean ASW problem space in terms of a threat analysis, mission analysis, current Concept of Operations (CONOPS), and current LCS capabilities. An Analysis of Alternatives (AoA) uses derived functional and operational requirements within a Pugh matrix to decide which variant best performs ASW, and what modifications can improve future designs of the LCS. The analysis shows the Freedom class has marginal advantages in performing open-ocean ASW mission tasks, and establishes three areas for improvement: self-noise emissions, weight, and communication. Potential solutions are explored to address these shortfalls and to analyze their impact on LCS’s ability to meet core requirements of the open-ocean ASW mission. This paper concludes that the LCS is capable of fulfilling the open-ocean ASW mission if improvements are made to the design and CONOPS. v THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK vi TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION..................................................................................................1 A. BACKGROUND ........................................................................................1 B. PROBLEM STATEMENT .......................................................................5 C. RESEARCH OBJECTIVE .......................................................................5 D. SYSTEMS ENGINEERING PROCESS..................................................6 II. PROBLEM SPACE EXPLORATION ................................................................9 A. HISTORY OF ANTI-SUBMARINE WARFARE ..................................9 B. THREAT ANALYSIS ...............................................................................9 1. North Korea ..................................................................................11 2. People’s Republic of China .........................................................13 3. Russia ............................................................................................16 C. MISSION ANALYSIS .............................................................................18 1. Open Ocean vs. Littoral ASW ....................................................18 2. Open-Ocean ASW Mission..........................................................19 3. CONOPS of the Current LCS ....................................................23 D. CURRENT SYSTEMS IN LCS ASW MISSION PACKAGE ............25 E. ACOUSTIC MODEL ..............................................................................27 III. CURRENT CAPABILITY GAPS ......................................................................39 A. OWNSHIP NOISE CONTROL CAPABILITY ...................................39 B. RANGE AND ENDURANCE CAPABILITY .......................................40 C. DATA LINK CAPABILITY ...................................................................40 IV. POTENTIAL LCS IMPROVEMENTS .............................................................43 A. ACOUSTIC CONTROL IMPROVEMENTS .......................................43 B. POTENTIAL CONOPS IMPROVEMENTS ........................................48 C. RANGE AND ENDURANCE IMPROVEMENTS ..............................51 D. DATALINK CAPABILITY IMPROVEMENT....................................56 V. ALTERNATIVES ANALYSIS ...........................................................................59 A. COST COMPARISON BETWEEN LCS AND OTHER PLATFORMS ..........................................................................................59 B. LCS ENDURANCE COST TRADEOFF ..............................................62 C. DATALINK IMPROVEMENT COST ..................................................63 D. LCS VARIANT SELECTION ................................................................64 E. IMPROVED LCS COMPARISON ........................................................67 vii VI. CONCLUSIONS ..................................................................................................69 A. FINDINGS ................................................................................................69 1. Operational Improvements .........................................................69 2. System Improvements .................................................................69 B. RESPONSE TO RESEARCH QUESTIONS ........................................70 C. AREAS OF FUTURE STUDY ...............................................................71