The Justinianic Plague: an Inconsequential Pandemic?
The Justinianic Plague: An inconsequential pandemic? Lee Mordechaia,b,1, Merle Eisenberga,c, Timothy P. Newfieldd,e, Adam Izdebskif,g, Janet E. Kayh, and Hendrik Poinari,j,k,l aNational Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, Annapolis, MD 21401; bHistory Department, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Mount Scopus, 9190501 Jerusalem, Israel; cHistory Department, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; dHistory Department, Georgetown University, NW, Washington, DC 20057; eBiology Department, Georgetown University, NW, Washington, DC 20057; fPaleo-Science & History Independent Research Group, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Human History, 07745 Jena, Germany; gInstitute of History, Jagiellonian University, 31-007 Kraków, Poland; hSociety of Fellows in the Liberal Arts, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; iDepartment of Anthropology, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L9, Canada; jDepartment of Biochemistry, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L9, Canada; kMcMaster Ancient DNA Centre, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L9, Canada; and lMichael G. DeGroote Institute for Infectious Disease Research, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L9, Canada Edited by Noel Lenski, Yale University, New Haven, CT, and accepted by Editorial Board Member Elsa M. Redmond October 7, 2019 (received for review March 4, 2019) Existing mortality estimates assert that the Justinianic Plague tiquity (e.g., refs. 5 and 6). Yet this narrative overlooks the fact (circa 541 to 750 CE) caused tens of millions of deaths throughout that the political structures of the Western Empire had already the Mediterranean world and Europe, helping to end antiquity collapsed in the 5th century and the Eastern Empire did not de- and start the Middle Ages. In this article, we argue that this cline politically until the 7th century (18, 19).
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