Victorian Atlantis: Drowning, Population, and Property in the Nineteenth-Century Novel

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Victorian Atlantis: Drowning, Population, and Property in the Nineteenth-Century Novel Victorian Atlantis: Drowning, Population, and Property in the Nineteenth-Century Novel Alexander McCauley A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy University of Washington 2020 Reading Committee: Jesse Oak Taylor, Chair Marshall Brown Charles LaPorte Program Authorized to Offer Degree: English ©Copyright 2020 Alexander McCauley University of Washington Abstract Victorian Atlantis: Drowning, Population, and Property in the Nineteenth-Century Novel Alexander McCauley Chair of the Supervisory Committee: Jesse Oak Taylor English This strange document examines drowning, floods, and property in the nineteenth-century novel. Its four chapters are organized around four particular images: drowned corpses, liquefying crowds, sunken cities, and swamps. I read the drowned first as a neglected nineteenth-century population, visible only when looking back and forth between many different texts. They are united not through a shared origin, territory, class, race or ethnicity but through a shared ending in the abyss. The second chapter is a different take on population, looking at liquefying crowds, waves of people, floods of workers. These common metaphors offer a new way to approach nineteenth-century degeneration theory and, as well, a reconsideration of interpretive debates regarding surface reading. The second half of the dissertation discusses flood and property. There is a tendency in the nineteenth century to look at the city and see it threatened by flood or already sunk into the ocean. I call this hydroscopic vision and discuss the strange conditions in which a flooded city can look like utopia. The final chapter turns to the fear of swamps in nineteenth-century literature, and the surprising consensus among otherwise contrary figures that swamps were useless, needing to be drained and turned into profitable land. Table of Contents Introduction: Into the Whirlpool 1 Population Chapter One: The Dream of the Drowned 46 Chapter Two: The Form of the Wave 92 Property Chapter Three: Dreams of a Drowned City 122 Chapter Four: Swamping the World 150 Coda: Atlantis Looming 176 Acknowledgements 182 Works Cited 186 McCauley 1 Introduction: Into the Whirlpool Never trust what writers say about their own writings. Walter Benjamin, The Arcades Project Are we not like those mechanical toys that endlessly make the same gesture when everything else has changed around them? Bruno Latour, “Why Has Critique Run out of Steam?” I feel as if we were all being swept into a ghastly whirlpool which roars over the bottomless pit. George Gissing, The Whirlpool Drowning in the nineteenth-century novel seems to offer clear passage to the disasters of the twenty-first century: the Salvadorian father and child washed up on the banks of the Rio Grande after trying to cross into the United States; the thousands of refugees sinking into the Mediterranean each year; the great cities of the world brought to a halt by storms; distant islands overwhelmed by hurricanes; the same cities, sinking into depleted water tables and rising sea levels; the same islands, in many cases, in danger of following Atlantis into the abyss and taking their part in the drowned world. But clear passage, if it is possible at all, rather seems to be in the opposite direction. The storms of the present materialize nineteenth-century dreams of drowning, flood, and property. But it would be false to point to these common examples and act as if they form the genesis of a project that, as related as it is to these concerns, flows from elsewhere. First it comes from hermeneutical training in the church where, at a very young age, I was introduced to the mysteries of the first rain and first flood in which, as the story goes, Noah and his family were McCauley 2 preserved on an ark with representatives of every species while the majority of life on earth was wiped out in the deluge. Read a little further and there is another flood as Moses and the Israelites escape from slavery while Pharaoh’s army are drowned in the Red Sea. Even before I could read the text of the scriptures, I was trained to believe that storms expressed meaning and that a flood could be read, and that the drowned were the dead who deserved to be dead. The hermeneutics of cruelty are familiar to anyone who has ever encountered the church. It is encapsulated in an imperative to read literally and, in doing so, to defend all sorts of inequality and abuse. Yet the primary lesson of the church’s literal reading is nothing to do with a methodical reading practice. Literal reading is malleable, here nodding to the historical conditions of textual production while there abstracting familiar truths from verses completely isolated even from the context of the surrounding chapter. Flip open a page at random and find there, reader, thyself. No, the primary lesson of literal reading is that there is a direct link between interpretation and life. Sell everything you have and give it to the poor – a verse contextualized to mean anything other than its literal meaning, precisely because taking it seriously would mean the inconvenience of selling what you have and giving it to the poor. In the church, the reader’s life and livelihood is always threatened by the book. And so it came to pass that my parents made the mistake of reading the book. They sold what they had and moved our family to Chiang Rai, Thailand, where they spent the next twenty years working with ethnic minorities that could not even be referred to as second class citizens, namely because of the difficulties they encountered in actually acquiring citizenship. It was only after a few weeks of moving to Chiang Rai that we woke up to a world transformed. After the heavy rains of the monsoon season, an earthen dam in the hills above us broke through and flooded the area, including our home, with the brown, mineral-rich water so characteristic of McCauley 3 northern Thailand. Streets became, overnight, fast-flowing rivers that we could wade through only by linking arms. The flood waters receded, leaving damaged goods and a dry world functionally the same as the drowned one—but what remained was a lingering sense that lurking in every monsoon was the possibility of a flood that could ruin property while, at the same time, revealing to all the vision of a new earth. These abstractions followed later, of course, manifesting first in my persistent dread of leaving books on low shelves where they might be ruined by the next flood. I slept through the earthquake that, on December 26, 2004, triggered a series of tsunamis throughout Asia, killing a quarter of a million people. With other students from my school, I traveled to the coastal town of Khao Lak to help with relief work. By the time I arrived, most of the bodies were already collected from the wreckage. What remained of the drowned was visible in what they had left behind, plane tickets and baggage and scraps of clothing in the ruins of sea- side resorts. The floodgates of memory open up here in a dizzying series of impressions: playing takraw at sunset in the refugee camps after days of amusing the children; the horror of sitting down with locals to watch home videos of the tide receding far, far back from the beach before rushing back in on everyone who had idly walked out to witness the mysteries lurking on the ocean floor; the salt line high up on the palm trees that showed exactly how far the water had reached; the beached boat, deposited by the wave, tilted in a field a mile inland; the laughter of the locals as we tried to bag garbage out of their ruined neighborhood; warnings not to eat seafood because we might be eating the dead; injunctions to buy seafood to help the struggling fishermen; the charities and volunteers fighting over who would control the influx of donations and aide; the warning from a Thai friend to watch out for one of our hosts who, demon- possessed, was wandering around that night with a machete; the photos of hundreds of bloated McCauley 4 and mangled corpses—perhaps even photos taken by my father, who has been assigned to that unsavory documentation—where people could check for their missing loved ones. A whole museum of the drowned that, gathered on one wall, looked like a new, monstrous population. Hermeneutics first introduced me to the flood and, in proper dialectic fashion, the flood returned me to hermeneutics. Years later, as one of the leaders of a religious service at my university, I wrote a reflection on the deluge indicating that it is a story of divine error from beginning to end as god regrets creating humanity, massacres its majority, and then promises to never do so again. It is an ineffectual cataclysm. The world of wickedness that exists before the flood is the same as the one that arrives after it departs. One way or another, god makes a mistake – a reading that, in its literal simplicity is utterly antithetical to orthodox theology. A representative from campus ministries met with me to explain that although, yes, my reading was right, it was irresponsible to share with the faithful who would so easily be led to doubt. This is the history of my life as a series of floods. There is a tendency in literary criticism to look at the present and retreat in despair from one’s own work. Alongside present and future deluge, in the disaster catalogue, there is endless war, mass extinction, debt and inequality, climate collapse, regimes of cruelty, violation, dispossession, and abuse.
Recommended publications
  • Cyber Warfare a “Nuclear Option”?
    CYBER WARFARE A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? ANDREW F. KREPINEVICH CYBER WARFARE: A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? BY ANDREW KREPINEVICH 2012 © 2012 Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. All rights reserved. About the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA) is an independent, nonpartisan policy research institute established to promote innovative thinking and debate about national security strategy and investment options. CSBA’s goal is to enable policymakers to make informed decisions on matters of strategy, secu- rity policy and resource allocation. CSBA provides timely, impartial, and insight- ful analyses to senior decision makers in the executive and legislative branches, as well as to the media and the broader national security community. CSBA encour- ages thoughtful participation in the development of national security strategy and policy, and in the allocation of scarce human and capital resources. CSBA’s analysis and outreach focus on key questions related to existing and emerging threats to US national security. Meeting these challenges will require transforming the national security establishment, and we are devoted to helping achieve this end. About the Author Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich, Jr. is the President of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, which he joined following a 21-year career in the U.S. Army. He has served in the Department of Defense’s Office of Net Assessment, on the personal staff of three secretaries of defense, the National Defense Panel, the Defense Science Board Task Force on Joint Experimentation, and the Defense Policy Board. He is the author of 7 Deadly Scenarios: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century and The Army and Vietnam.
    [Show full text]
  • Dead Hand: Cold War Hot Flashes Book Details How Reagan, Gorbachev, Lugar & Nunn Grappled with WMD
    V15 N8 Thursday, Oct. 8, 2009 Dead Hand: Cold War hot flashes Book details how Reagan, Gorbachev, Lugar & Nunn grappled with WMD By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS - Lt. Col. Stanislav Petrov worked at Serpukhov-15, a Soviet top- secret missile attack early-warning station. He was far below on the command chain from General Secretary Yuri Andropov, frail and at an enhanced level of paranoia after President Carter had issued Directive 59 that listed the decapitation of the Kremlin as a key Hand: The Untold Story of U.S. nuclear war option. It was Petrov’s job the Cold War Arms race to give Soviet leaders the five or six minutes and its Dangerous Legacy” needed to decide whether to participate in (Doubleday) this unknown Rus- one of mankind’s most onerous paradoxes: sian held the fate of the world Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). in his hands. If the alarm was Shortly after midnight on Sept. 27, validated, the Soviet leader- 1983, Petrov looked up at a monitor that was ship and the General staff could lit up with the red letters - “LAUNCH.” A light launch a retaliation. There were at one of the American missile bases had lit up. A siren only minutes to decide. wailed. Within minutes the creaky Soviet computers were Hoffman writes: Petrov made a decision. He knew signaling five U.S. missiles had launched. the system had glitches in the past; there was no visual In David E. Hoffman’s disturbing book “The Dead Continued on Page 3 President Pence? By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS - President Mike Pence? There was a spike in the national press interest on the subject this past week after U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • The Dead Hand: the Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and Its Dangerous Legacy by David E
    The Dead Hand: The Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and Its Dangerous Legacy by David E. Hoffman (2009) - Not Even Past BOOKS FILMS & MEDIA THE PUBLIC HISTORIAN BLOG TEXAS OUR/STORIES STUDENTS ABOUT 15 MINUTE HISTORY "The past is never dead. It's not even past." William Faulkner NOT EVEN PAST Tweet 0 Like THE PUBLIC HISTORIAN The Dead Hand: The Untold Story of the Cold War Arms Race and Its Making History: Houston’s “Spirit of the Dangerous Legacy by David E. Confederacy” Hoffman (2009) by Jonathan Hunt On September 26, 1983, satellites notified a Soviet watch station south of Moscow of inbound U.S. missiles. Stanislav Petrov, the officer on duty, had ten minutes to determine whether to launch a counterattack. Mercifully, he chose to report the incident as a false alarm. His conscious disregard for standing protocol likely May 06, 2020 saved tens of millions of lives. More from The Public Historian The Dead Hand, David Hoffman’s gripping history of the Cold War’s final years, teems with such hair-raising details. He uses eyewitness interviews and newly BOOKS declassified papers to recapture the context in which Soviet Premier Mikhail Gorbachev and U.S. President America for Americans: A History of Ronald Reagan tried to halt the runaway U.S.-Soviet Xenophobia in the United States by arms race. His exposure of the dark underbelly of the Erika Lee (2019) Soviet military-industrial complex is especially disturbing. The book’s title comes from a computer network, “a real- world doomsday machine,” built in the 1980s to retaliate in the event the Soviet leadership was killed by a U.S.
    [Show full text]
  • Ethnic Minorities in Xinjiang Introduction
    A ROUTLEDGE FREEBOOK Ethnic Minorities in Xinjiang Introduction 1 - Xinjiang and the dead hand of history 2 - Language, Education, and Uyghur Identity: An Introductory Essay 3 - Xinjiang from the ?Outside-in? and the ?Inside-out' 4 - Ethnic Resurgence and State Response 5 - Xinjiang and the evolution of China?s policy on terrorism: (2009-18) 6 - Conflict in Xinjiang and its resolution 7 - Reeducation Camps READ THE LATEST ON ETHNIC MINORITIES IN XINJIANG WITH THESE KEY TITLES VISIT WWW.ROUTLEDGE.COM/ ASIANSTUDIES TO BROWSE THE FULL ASIAN STUDIES COLLECTION SAVE 20% WITH DISCOUNT CODE F003 Introduction There has been significant coverage in the media in recent years on the increase of violence towards the Xinjiang Uyghurs and other ethnic minorities in China. This Freebook explores how the Uyghur language, Uyghur culture, Xinjiang geopolitics and Chinese state response have all resulted in and affected the violence in Xinjiang in the Twenty-First Century. The first chapter, by Michael Dillon, gives a brief introduction to Uyghur history including an overview of Xinjiang and its location, Uyghur language and culture, the religious restrictions imposed over the years and various occasions of violence starting from the 1900s. The next chapter, by Joanne Smith and Xiaowei Zang, explores the language and education of the Xinjiang Uyghurs and how this had a direct impact on their identity. This chapter further defines ethnic identity and questions its relationship to social, cultural and religious practices. Chapter three, by Michael Clarke, delves into the problematic nature of geopolitics and explores how Beijing and the West's geopolitical perspectives have influenced and constrained the Uyghur domain.
    [Show full text]
  • Accidental Nuclear War and Russell's
    c:\users\kenneth\documents\type3401\rj 3401 193 red.docx 2014-05-14 8:54 PM 84 Reviews ACCIDENTAL NUCLEAR WAR AND RUSSELL’S “EARLY WARNING” Ray Perkins, Jr. Philosophy / Plymouth State U. Plymouth, nh 03264–1600, usa [email protected] Eric Schlosser. Command and Control: Nuclear Weapons, the Damascus Accident and the Illusion of Safety. New York: Penguin P.; London: Allen Lane, 2013. Pp. xxiii + 632. isbn: 978-1594202278. us$36; cdn$38; £25. ric Schlosser has given us a very important and much needed look at the b=history of us nuclear weapons safety. The book is well researched and, despite its subtitle, is more than a history of nuclear weapons safety. In the course of developing his thesis that nuclear weapons have been—and continue to be—a shockingly dangerous part of the post-wwii world, we get not only a tutorial on nuclear weapons and delivery systems, but a fascinating and eye- opening account of the dynamic of the nuclear arms race, replete with inter- service rivalries, ideological fanaticism, and the struggle for civilian control. It was this dynamic which gave us obscenely bloated nuclear arsenals and a mil- itary leadership that too often favoured weapons reliability over safety. The story is cogently covered in the course of recounting in considerable detail what has to be one of the most frightening of us nuclear weapons acci- dents (and there were hundreds1)—viz. the 18 September 1980 accident in 1 A Sandia Laboratory study found at least 1,200 “serious” accidents involving nuclear weapons between 1950 and 1968.
    [Show full text]
  • International Arms Control: Challenges Ahead
    DEFENCE AND SECURITY COMMITTEE (DSC) INTERNATIONAL ARMS CONTROL: CHALLENGES AHEAD Preliminary Draft General Report by Cédric PERRIN (France) General Rapporteur 014 DSC 21 E | Original: English | 17 March 2021 Founded in 1955, the NATO Parliamentary Assembly acts as a consultative interparliamentary organisation which is institutionally separate from NATO. This working document only represents the views of the Rapporteur until it has been adopted by the Defence and Security Committee. It is based on information from publicly available sources or NATO PA meetings – which are all unclassified. TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION 2 II. THE LOGIC OF ARMS CONTROL 3 A. THE BIRTH OF ARMS CONTROL: 1962 – 1989 3 B. THE EXPANSION OF ARMS CONTROL, 1989 – 2001 5 C. THE EROSION OF ARMS CONTROL, 2001 – 2021 5 III. ARMS CONTROL IN A NEW NUCLEAR AGE – CHALLENGES AHEAD 7 A. VERTICAL NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION 8 B. HORIZONTAL NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION 10 C. EMERGING AND DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES 11 IV. ARMS CONTROL TOMORROW – ALLIED WAYS AND MEANS 13 A. LESSONS FROM THE COLD WAR – A BLUEPRINT FOR THE FUTURE? 13 B. NATO’S ENDURING ROLE IN ARMS CONTROL AND NON-PROLIFERATION 14 C. THE ROLE OF PARLIAMENTS IN ARMS CONTROL 15 V. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR NATO PARLIAMENTARIANS 15 ANNEX A – NORTH KOREA, INDIA, AND PAKISTAN NUCLEAR FORCE EXPANSIONS AND MODERNISATION 18 ANNEX B – ALLIED NUCLEAR FORCE MODERNISATION 19 BIBLIOGRAPHY 20 014 DSC 21 E EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Over the past two decades, the United States, Russia, and China’s have developed diverging perceptions of the international security environment, perceptions that have inadvertently motivated the successive abrogation of multiple arms control agreements.
    [Show full text]
  • Project Sapphire
    ~ OF TH.B ~ PULITZER PRIZE 21 PROJECT SAPPHIRE he United States opened eleven new embassies in the far reaches of Tthe former Soviet Union in the year after its implosion, and a younger generation of diplomats volunteered for hardship assignments in remote outposts. Andy Weber was among them. On a long airplane flight, read­ ing the Wall Street Journal, he saw a page-one article with the headline "Kazakhstan Is Made for Diplomats Who Find Paris a Bore." The article described how Ambassador William Courtney was working out of a dingy hotel in the capital, Almaty, with phones so bad he often could not place a call to Washington. "America is busy," the operators would say. It sounded like an adventure, and Weber jumped at the chance. With tours in the Middle East and Europe under his belt, he asked the State Depart­ ment if his next assignment could be Kazakhstan. They signed him up on the spot. After Russian-language training, he arrived in July 1993 to take up the embassy's political-military portfolio. He found Kazakhstan's landscape a breathtaking tableau of steppe, lakes, forests and mountains, but Almaty was dismal. He threaded his way through fetid corridors without lightbulbs in the apartment blocks, and went to markets where pensioners stood forlornly offering to sell a vacuum tube.I Weber took a recently built house in the foothills of the Tien Shan Mountains that resembled a Swiss chalet, with a large fireplace, paneled walls and a sauna. When he needed to meet Kazakh officials, he invited 440 THE DEAD HAND Project Sapphire 441 them home for lunch or dinner.
    [Show full text]
  • Cyber Warfare: a “Nuclear Option”?
    CYBER WARFARE A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? ANDREW F. KREPINEVICH CYBER WARFARE: A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? BY ANDREW KREPINEVICH 2012 © 2012 Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. All rights reserved. About the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA) is an independent, nonpartisan policy research institute established to promote innovative thinking and debate about national security strategy and investment options. CSBA’s goal is to enable policymakers to make informed decisions on matters of strategy, secu- rity policy and resource allocation. CSBA provides timely, impartial, and insight- ful analyses to senior decision makers in the executive and legislative branches, as well as to the media and the broader national security community. CSBA encour- ages thoughtful participation in the development of national security strategy and policy, and in the allocation of scarce human and capital resources. CSBA’s analysis and outreach focus on key questions related to existing and emerging threats to US national security. Meeting these challenges will require transforming the national security establishment, and we are devoted to helping achieve this end. About the Author Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich, Jr. is the President of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, which he joined following a 21-year career in the U.S. Army. He has served in the Department of Defense’s Office of Net Assessment, on the personal staff of three secretaries of defense, the National Defense Panel, the Defense Science Board Task Force on Joint Experimentation, and the Defense Policy Board. He is the author of 7 Deadly Scenarios: A Military Futurist Explores War in the 21st Century and The Army and Vietnam.
    [Show full text]
  • Cyber Warfare a “Nuclear Option”?
    CYBER WARFARE A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? ANDREW F. KREPINEVICH CYBER WARFARE: A “NUCLEAR OPTION”? BY ANDREW KREPINEVICH 2012 Cyber Warfare: A “Nuclear Option”? About the Center for Strategic And Budgetary Assessments The Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA) is an independent, nonparti- san policy research institute established to promote innovative thinking and debate about national se- curity strategy and investment options. CSBA’s goal is to enable policymakers to make informed deci- sions on matters of strategy, security policy and re- source allocation. CSBA provides timely, impartial, and insightful analyses to senior decision makers in the executive and legislative branches, as well as to the media and the broader national securi- ty community. CSBA encourages thoughtful par- ticipation in the development of national security strategy and policy, and in the allocation of scarce human and capital resources. CSBA’s analysis and Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments outreach focus on key questions related to exist- ing and emerging threats to US national security. Meeting these challenges will require transform- ing the national security establishment, and we are devoted to helping achieve this end. Cyber Warfare: A “Nuclear Option”? ABOUT THE AUTHORS Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich, Jr. is the President of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, which he joined following a 21-year career in the U.S. Army. He has served in the Department of Defense’s Office of Net Assessment, on the personal staff of three secretaries of defense, the National Defense Panel, the Defense Science Board Task Force on Joint Experimentation, and the Defense Policy Board.
    [Show full text]
  • Artificial Intelligence, Strategic Stability and Nuclear Risk
    SIPRI ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, Policy Paper STRATEGIC STABILITY AND NUCLEAR RISK VINCENT BOULANIN, LORA SAALMAN, PETR TOPYCHKANOV, FEI SU AND MOA PELDÁN CARLSSON June 2020 STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE SIPRI is an independent international institute dedicated to research into conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament. Established in 1966, SIPRI provides data, analysis and recommendations, based on open sources, to policymakers, researchers, media and the interested public. The Governing Board is not responsible for the views expressed in the publications of the Institute. GOVERNING BOARD Ambassador Jan Eliasson, Chair (Sweden) Dr Vladimir Baranovsky (Russia) Espen Barth Eide (Norway) Jean-Marie Guéhenno (France) Dr Radha Kumar (India) Ambassador Ramtane Lamamra (Algeria) Dr Patricia Lewis (Ireland/United Kingdom) Dr Jessica Tuchman Mathews (United States) DIRECTOR Dan Smith (United Kingdom) Signalistgatan 9 SE-169 72 Solna, Sweden Telephone: + 46 8 655 9700 Email: [email protected] Internet: www.sipri.org Artificial Intelligence, Strategic Stability and Nuclear Risk vincent boulanin, lora saalman, petr topychkanov, fei su and moa peldán carlsson June 2020 Contents Preface v Acknowledgements vi Abbreviations vii Executive Summary ix 1. Introduction 1 Box 1.1. Key definitions 6 2. Understanding the AI renaissance and its impact on nuclear weapons 7 and related systems I. Understanding the AI renaissance 7 II. AI and nuclear weapon systems: Past, present and future 18 Box 2.1. Automatic, automated, autonomous: The relationship between 15 automation, autonomy and machine learning Box 2.2. Historical cases of false alarms in early warning systems 20 Box 2.3. Dead Hand and Perimetr 22 Figure 2.1. A brief history of artificial intelligence 10 Figure 2.2.
    [Show full text]
  • The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Strategic Stability and Nuclear Risk Volume I Euro-Atlantic Perspectives Edited by Vincent Boulanin
    SIPRI THE IMPACT OF Policy Paper ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE ON STRATEGIC STABILITY AND NUCLEAR RISK Volume I Euro-Atlantic Perspectives edited by vincent boulanin May 2019 STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE SIPRI is an independent international institute dedicated to research into conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament. Established in 1966, SIPRI provides data, analysis and recommendations, based on open sources, to policymakers, researchers, media and the interested public. The Governing Board is not responsible for the views expressed in the publications of the Institute. GOVERNING BOARD Ambassador Jan Eliasson, Chair (Sweden) Dr Dewi Fortuna Anwar (Indonesia) Dr Vladimir Baranovsky (Russia) Espen Barth Eide (Norway) Jean-Marie Guéhenno (France) Dr Radha Kumar (India) Dr Patricia Lewis (Ireland/United Kingdom) Dr Jessica Tuchman Mathews (United States) DIRECTOR Dan Smith (United Kingdom) Signalistgatan 9 SE-169 72 Solna, Sweden Telephone: + 46 8 655 9700 Email: [email protected] Internet: www.sipri.org The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Strategic Stability and Nuclear Risk Volume I Euro-Atlantic Perspectives edited by vincent boulanin May 2019 Contents Preface vii Acknowledgements viii Abbreviations ix Executive Summary xi Introduction 1. Introduction 3 Box 1.1. Key definitions 4 Part I. Demystifying artificial intelligence and its military implications 11 2. Artificial intelligence: A primer 13 I. What is AI? 13 II. Machine learning: A key enabler of the AI renaissance 15 III. Autonomy: A key by-product of the AI renaissance 21 IV. Conclusions 25 Box 2.1. Deep learning 16 Box 2.2. Generative adversarial networks 18 Box 2.3. Automatic, automated, autonomous 23 Figure 2.1. Approaches to the definition and categorization of autonomous 22 systems 3.
    [Show full text]
  • Nuclear Nihilism, Creating the Soviet Dead Hand: a Necessary Evil
    Nuclear Nihilism, Creating the Soviet Dead Hand: A Necessary Evil Ezra Beudot In 1985 Perimeter came online, ready for active duty deep beneath the Ural Mountains. Three duty officers waited with the fate of humanity in their hands, at any moment the system could automatically detect the signs of a nuclear attack on the Soviet Union, based on seismic, light, and over-pressure data. Soviet leadership could be obliterated, and Perimeter would then be ordered to fire off a number of command missiles, which would soar thirty miles above the earth and broadcast launch codes to all the motherland's surviving Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM's). Half an hour after Russia died the hardened silo's concrete caps would roll open, (even if their crews were dust) and missiles commanded by dead men would light their motors and roar into the sky, cross the Earth in under thirty minutes, and deliver bright nuclear vengeance to whomever killed their masters.1 Even a “limited exchange,” of 10,000 megatons worth of warheads would blind every living creature on Earth, blot out the sun, and cause nuclear winter. In this way, the world would end.2 Perimeter remains online to this day, constantly collecting and analyzing data, ready and waiting for a war that will hopefully never come. Perimeter may sound like a doomsday weapon, and it may be, especially if an automatic mode does exist.3 However, its creation was a long time coming for the Soviet Union, which was on a mission to find the best possible solution for its nuclear command network, and safeguard against potential sudden annihilation.
    [Show full text]