WORKING PAPER SERIES NO. 317 / MARCH 2004 FISCAL POLICY AND INFLATION VOLATILITY by Philipp C. Rother WORKING PAPER SERIES NO. 317 / MARCH 2004 FISCAL POLICY AND INFLATION VOLATILITY1 by Philipp C. Rother 2 In 2004 all publications will carry This paper can be downloaded without charge from a motif taken http://www.ecb.int or from the Social Science Research Network from the €100 banknote. electronic library at http://ssrn.com/abstract_id=515081. 1 I thank Silvia Ardagna, Jürgen von Hagen, colleagues at the ECB and an anonymous referee for helpful comments and suggestions. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Central Bank. 2 European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main. Fax: +496913446000. Tel: +491613446398. Email:
[email protected] . © European Central Bank, 2004 Address Kaiserstrasse 29 60311 Frankfurt am Main, Germany Postal address Postfach 16 03 19 60066 Frankfurt am Main, Germany Telephone +49 69 1344 0 Internet http://www.ecb.int Fax +49 69 1344 6000 Telex 411 144 ecb d All rights reserved. Reproduction for educational and non- commercial purposes is permitted provided that the source is acknowledged. The views expressed in this paper do not necessarily reflect those of the European Central Bank. The statement of purpose for the ECB Working Paper Series is available from the ECB website, http://www.ecb.int. ISSN 1561-0810 (print) ISSN 1725-2806 (online) CONTENTS Abstract 4 Non-technical summary 5 1. Introduction 7 2. Literature 8 2.1. Growth effects of inflation volatility 8 2.2.