MARKET LENS 14951 Intraday Pic ACC Resistance 15223 Intraday Pick BAJAJ-AUTO 15336 Intraday Pick COALINDIA
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Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15109 IN FOCUS February 10, 2021 Support 15030 Stock in Focus VARUN BEVERAGES MARKET LENS 14951 Intraday Pic ACC Resistance 15223 Intraday Pick BAJAJ-AUTO 15336 Intraday Pick COALINDIA EQUITY INDICES Indices Absolute Change Percentage Change Domestic Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD BSE Sensex 51,329.1 (19.7) 0.0% 5.2% 7.5% CNX Nifty 15,109.3 (6.5) 0.0% 5.3% 8.1% S&P CNX 500 12,434.2 (7.1) -0.1% 4.3% 8.0% SENSEX 50 15,798.8 (7.4) 0.0% 5.2% 7.9% International Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD DJIA 31,375.8 (9.9) 0.0% 0.9% 2.5% NASDAQ 14,007.7 20.1 0.1% 6.1% 8.7% NIKKEI 29,455.1 (50.9) -0.2% 4.7% 7.3% HANGSENG 29,792.9 316.7 1.1% 6.9% 9.4% MSCI Emerging Mkts 1,409.1 9.3 0.7% 4.1% 9.1% ADRs / GDRs Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD Dr. Reddy’s Lab (ADR) 65.9 0.0 0.0% -8.1% -7.5% STOCK IN FOCUS Tata Motors (ADR) 22.4 (1.0) -4.2% 63.9% 77.8% f Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) produces a wide range of carbonated Infosys (ADR) 17.6 (0.3) -1.8% -5.1% 4.1% soft drinks (CSDs), non-carbonated beverages NCBs) and packaged ICICI Bank (ADR) 17.7 0.1 0.4% 18.3% 19.2% HDFC Bank (ADR) 81.5 (1.0) -1.2% 11.7% 12.7% drinking water under licensed agreement with PepsiCo India. It has Axis Bank (GDR) 50.6 0.3 0.6% 10.1% 19.6% 32 manufacturing plants in India and 6 plants overseas. As these Reliance Ind (GDR) 53.5 (0.1) -0.2% 1.9% -2.2% plants are strategically located, they help VBL to optimize freight/ logistics cost and margin. COMMODITY MARKET Key Commodities Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD f VBL has an extensive supply chain network comprising of >90 Brent Crude ($/bl) 61.1 0.0 0.0% 9.1% 18.0% owned depots, >2,500 owned vehicles and >1,500 primary Silver ($/Oz) 27.3 0.0 0.2% 7.4% 3.4% distributors. India’s young population, rising on-the-go consumption Gold ($/Oz) 1,837.5 (0.9) 0.0% -0.3% -3.2% and improving retail network offer a multi-billion opportunity for the Copper LME ($/MT) 8,157.8 107.0 1.3% 0.5% 5.3% beverages manufacturers. Aluminium LME ($/MT) 2,049.8 27.7 1.4% 1.3% 3.9% f Lower capex requirement, improving operating efficiency and Baltic Dry 1,317.0 (16.0) -1.2% -18.0% -3.6% healthy FCF generation are expected to result in strong return ratios, CURRENCY RATES going forward. We expect VBL’s volume to clock 5.5% CAGR over Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD CY19-23E, while revenue, EBITDA and PAT are expected to clock USD/INR 72.9 73.0 -0.1% -0.7% -0.3% 7.8%, 9.7% and 23.4% CAGR, respectively. We have a BUY rating EUR/INR 88.3 87.8 0.5% -1.1% -1.7% and a 2-Year Target Price of Rs1,141, valuing the stock at 30x of RATES CY23E earnings. Last Trade Change 1-D 1-Mth YTD T-Bill - 91 D 3.3 3.3 0.0% 10.2% 11.0% Intraday Picks 10 Year G-sec Yield 6.1 6.0 0.4% 3.2% 3.4% ACC (PREVIOUS CLOSE: 1762) SELL INVESTMENT ACTIVITY (RS. CR) For today’s trade, short position can be initiated in the range of Rs 1775- Category BUY SELL NET Prev 1785 for the target of Rs.1740 with a strict stop loss of Rs.1808. FII 11,599.6 10,299.0 1,300.7 1,876.6 DII 4,649.8 6,406.1 (1,756.2) (504.9) BAJAJ-AUTO (PREVIOUS CLOSE: 4155) SELL For today’s trade, short position can be initiated in the range of Rs EXCHANGE TURNOVER 4180-4220 for the target of Rs.4050 with a strict stop loss of Rs.4260. Exchange Rs Crore BSE Equity 6,505.5 COALINDIA (PREVIOUS CLOSE: 139) BUY BSE Derivatives 2,74,270.8 For today’s trade, long position can be initiated in the range of Rs 137-138 NSE Equity 82,188.8 for the target of Rs. 144 with a strict stop loss of Rs.135. NSE Derivatives 34,13,813.9 1 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15109 IN FOCUS February 10, 2021 Support 15030 Stock in Focus VARUN BEVERAGES MARKET LENS 14951 Intraday Pic ACC Resistance 15223 Intraday Pick BAJAJ-AUTO 15336 Intraday Pick COALINDIA Technical Research MARKET SYNOPSIS f Yesterday, NSE-NIFTY advanced gradually post a stable start and recorded new high of 15,257. In the last hour, the index witnessed sharp decline and slipped to 15,064-level. f Finally, NIFTY finished trade on flat to negative note at 15,109-level, with the loss of 7 points. f NSE Cash segment reported turnover of Rs82,189 crore as compared to Rs77,079 crore reported earlier. f Overall market breadth remained negative, where 806 stocks advanced against 1152 declined stocks. f Mix trend was observed across sectoral indices during the day, where none of the sectoral indices gained by more than 0.5%. Auto and Media emerged as top losers with the decrease of 1.4% and 1.9%, respectively. NSE-NIFTY OUTLOOK f Continuing its prior daily rising trend, NSE-NIFTY recorded new high of 15,257, but due to late trade volatility ended on a flat to negative note. Overall market breadth was negative and major sectors remained mix. Major technical indicators on the near-term timeframe chart reversed after oscillating into their overbought zone and give sell signal. As per the current set-up, near-term decline or consolidation cannot be ruled out before the index resumes its northward journey. In case of decline, the index will find support at around 14,850-level initially and 14,700-level subsequently. However a stable move above 15,250-level will strengthen the index for its next leg og up-move, which could take the index towards 16,000-level. f As for the day, support is placed at around 15,030 and then at 14,951 levels, while resistance is observed at 15,223 and then at 15,336 levels. 2 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15109 IN FOCUS February 10, 2021 Support 15030 Stock in Focus VARUN BEVERAGES MARKET LENS 14951 Intraday Pic ACC Resistance 15223 Intraday Pick BAJAJ-AUTO 15336 Intraday Pick COALINDIA Derivatives Snapshot f NIFTY50 opened higher on back of positive global cues and scaled a new high at 15,257 but witnessed selling pressure in the last one hour of trade. Nifty closed down by 6 points at 15,109 levels. Among the nifty stocks 22 advanced and 28 declined during the day. f Among sectors it was a mixed bag with Banks to end positive by 0.4%, while other sectors like Media, Metals and Pharma ends 1.5% lower for the day f Broader market indices remained flat with NIFTY 100, 200 and 500 to close up by 0.1% average while midcap indices and small cap indices declined 0.5% for the day. f Nifty Feb futures end with 3 points discount at 15,106 mark while on other hand, Bank Nifty Feb futures ended with the discount of 10 points at 36,046 mark. f Nifty has closed near the upper band of resistance and break down below 15000 levels would witness sharp profit booking in index pivotal. On the higher side resistance are placed at 15250-15400 levels and expect volatility to increase as VIX closed at near to 24 levels. Sectoral Activity: Amongst sectoral index Metals and IT remained in focus with negative momentum. Stock Activity: JSW Steel and TCS have witnessed short buildup in today’s trade. 3 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15109 IN FOCUS February 10, 2021 Support 15030 Stock in Focus VARUN BEVERAGES MARKET LENS 14951 Intraday Pic ACC Resistance 15223 Intraday Pick BAJAJ-AUTO 15336 Intraday Pick COALINDIA Pivot Table Name LTP Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Resistance 1 Resistance 2 SENSEX 51329 50811 51070 51453 51712 52095 NIFTY 15109 14951 15030 15144 15223 15336 BANKNIFTY 36057 35217 35637 36057 36477 36897 ADANIPORTS 582 565 574 582 590 598 ASIANPAINT 2507 2379 2443 2488 2552 2596 AXISBANK 743 716 729 740 753 763 BAJAJ-AUTO 4155 4086 4121 4179 4214 4272 BAJAJFINSV 9942 9778 9860 9964 10046 10150 BAJFINANCE 5400 5284 5342 5441 5499 5597 BHARTIARTL 599 588 593 601 606 613 BPCL 419 403 411 425 433 446 BRITANNIA 3462 3424 3443 3474 3493 3524 CIPLA 842 828 835 846 853 864 COALINDIA 139 136 137 140 142 145 DIVISLAB 3723 3620 3671 3756 3808 3893 DRREDDY 4844 4758 4801 4848 4892 4939 EICHERMOT 2948 2885 2916 2967 2998 3049 GAIL 131 129 130 132 133 134 GRASIM 1218 1194 1206 1216 1228 1239 HCLTECH 952 925 938 960 973 995 HDFC 2747 2674 2710 2747 2784 2821 HDFCBANK 1612 1568 1590 1609 1631 1650 HDFCLIFE 705 679 692 701 714 723 HEROMOTOCO 3499 3416 3458 3498 3540 3580 HINDALCO 278 270 274 280 284 290 HINDUNILVR 2216 2183 2200 2227 2244 2271 ICICIBANK 633 620 627 635 642 650 INDUSINDBK 1026 1001 1013 1032 1045 1064 INFY 1306 1278 1292 1312 1326 1346 IOC 98 95 97 98 99 101 ITC 229 221 225 232 236 243 JSWSTEEL 406 391 399 409 417 428 KOTAKBANK 1949 1917 1933 1954 1970 1991 LT 1566 1532 1549 1562 1579 1591 M&M 895 853 874 906 928 960 MARUTI 7627 7521 7574 7627 7680 7733 NESTLEIND 17319 16966 17143 17326 17503 17686 NTPC 100 99 99 100 101 102 ONGC 101 98 99 101 103 105 POWERGRID 211 205 208 213 215 220 RELIANCE 1956 1929 1942 1966 1980 2003 SBILIFE 889 850 869 882 901 914 SBIN 395 381 388 396 403 410 SHREECEM 28166 26803 27484 28042 28723 29281 SUNPHARMA 624 610 617 628 635 646 TATAMOTORS 325 312 319 329 335 345 TATASTEEL 699 678 688 702 713 727 TCS 3177 3114 3145 3196 3227 3277 TECHM 975 948 962 981 994 1013 TITAN 1560 1521 1540 1563 1582 1604 ULTRACEMCO 6420 6316 6368 6424 6476 6532 UPL 539 523 531 543 551 564 WIPRO 439 426 432 442 449 459 4 Institutional Equity Research NIFTY 15109 IN FOCUS February 10, 2021 Support 15030 Stock in Focus VARUN BEVERAGES MARKET LENS 14951 Intraday Pic ACC Resistance 15223 Intraday Pick BAJAJ-AUTO 15336 Intraday Pick COALINDIA Simple Moving Average Scrip Name Close Rate 20-SMA 50-SMA 100-SMA 200-SMA HIGH_52WEEK LOW_52WEEK SENSEX 51329 49171 47561 44108 39861 51836 25639 NIFTY 15109 14468 13968 12958 11726 15257 7511 BANKNIFTY 36057 32666 31428 28112 24710 36615 16116 ADANIPORTS 582 538 497 427 379 594 203 ASIANPAINT 2507 2557 2566 2335 2037 2873 1431 AXISBANK 743 684 645 575 500 766 286 BAJAJ-AUTO 4155 3917 3575 3286