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SupplierBusiness

Trends in the Global Industry

2013 Edition Trends in the Global Tire Industry

CONTENTS Chapter 1: What Is A Tire? ...... 10 Who makes ? ...... 11 What is a tire? ...... 13 Steelcord ...... 15 Textile Reinforcement ...... 16 Rubber Compound ...... 16 Processes ...... 19 Key Raw Materials ...... 21 Reinforcing Fillers ...... 23 Reinforcing Fibres ...... 25 Types of tire ...... 25 Off-road / earthmover tires (OTR) ...... 25 Agricultural tires ...... 27 Racing tires ...... 28 Truck tires ...... 28 Aircraft tires ...... 30 Motorcycle tires ...... 31 Buggy tires ...... 32 Chapter 2: Big picture ...... 34 Global production ...... 37 Raw materials ...... 39 Globalisation ...... 41 Segments, sectors, and branding ...... 42 Technology ...... 45 Low-cost manufacture ...... 46 ...... 47 Legislation ...... 48 Chapter 3: Internal Drivers and Change ...... 51 Winter tires ...... 52 Consumer Vehicles ...... 55 Commercial Vehicles ...... 57 Chapter 4: External Drivers ...... 59 Raw Materials ...... 59 Making natural rubber ...... 61 Butadiene is also short ...... 63 Legislation ...... 64 Environmental Issues ...... 66 Diversification ...... 67 Electronic chips in tires are now commercialised...... 68

© 2013 IHS Global Limited 3 Trends in the Global Tire Industry

OE Relationships ...... 68 Chapter 5: Tire labelling ...... 70 Why labels ...... 70 Communications ...... 71 EU labels ...... 73 Winter tires and the label ...... 75 Labels and selling price ...... 76 Enforcement ...... 78 Impact since introduction ...... 79 Japanese scheme ...... 80 The United States ...... 81 Other countries ...... 83 Marketing communications ...... 84 On-line sales ...... 85 Chapter 6: Retail and Service ...... 86 On-line retailing ...... 89 Chapter 7: Key Profit Opportunities ...... 92 Car/Light Truck ...... 92 Winter Tires ...... 93 UHP segment ...... 97 Runflat Tires ...... 98 Truck Tires ...... 100 Moto Tires ...... 101 Aircraft Tires ...... 102 Agricultural ...... 104 Off-Road ...... 105 Chapter 8: Technologies ...... 107 Bio technology ...... 110 Extended Mobility ...... 111 Air Maintenance Technology ...... 115 Sensors in the Tire ...... 116 Compounding Ingredients ...... 118 Solution-SBR ...... 119 Polybutadiene ...... 120 Reinforcement ...... 120 Steelcord ...... 121 Manufacturing Technology ...... 122 Recycled rubber ...... 122 Chapter 9: Industry response ...... 126 ...... 126 ...... 130

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Goodyear ...... 132 Continental ...... 134 ...... 136 Yokohama ...... 137 Hankook ...... 138 Apollo ...... 139 Chapter 10: Europe ...... 141 Expansion & Contraction projects in Europe ...... 145 Bridgestone ...... 145 Continental AG ...... 145 Cooper Tire & Rubber Co...... 145 Goodyear ...... 146 Michelin ...... 146 Nokian Tires ...... 146 Pirelli Tire S.p.A...... 146 Sumitomo Rubber Industries ...... 146 Market shares ...... 146 Chapter 11: North America ...... 149 Overview ...... 149 Imports increase – especially from China ...... 152 Expansions ...... 153 Bridgestone Corp...... 153 Continental A.G...... 153 Hoosier Racing Tire Corp...... 153 Group Michelin ...... 153 Specialty Tires of America Inc...... 153 Yokohama Rubber Company ...... 154 Chapter 12: China ...... 155 Volumes continue to increase ...... 158 Expansion projects ...... 159 Continental A.G...... 159 Kenda Rubber Co. Ltd...... 160 Chapter 13: Russia ...... 161 A, B, C classification ...... 164 Russian State steps in as Sibur moves out of tire building ...... 165 Big changes in B segment ...... 166 Russian Consumers and the winter tire segment ...... 168 Distribution ...... 169 Bridgestone Corp...... 171 JSC Cordiant ...... 171 Pirelli Tire S.p.A...... 171

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Chapter 14: other Asia ...... 172 Korea and the Global Tire Market ...... 173 Japanese tire production ...... 173 Expansions ...... 176 Apollo Tires ...... 176 Bridgestone Corp...... 176 P.T. Gajah Tunggal Tbk...... 177 Pirelli Tire S.p.A...... 177 J.S.C. Southern Rubber Industry (Casumina) ...... 177 Shandong Linglong ...... 177 Toyo Tire & Rubber Co. Ltd...... 177 Yokohama Rubber Co. Ltd...... 177 Chapter 15: South America ...... 179 Pirelli Tire S.p.A...... 181 Chapter 16: India ...... 182 Alliance Tire Group ...... 185 Apollo Tires Ltd...... 185 Continental A.G...... 185 Chapter 17: Supplier Profiles ...... 186 Aeolus Tire ...... 186 Apollo Tyres ...... 188 Bekaert ...... 191 Bridgestone ...... 194 Ceat Ltd ...... 200 Continental ...... 202 Cooper Tire & Rubber ...... 217 DuPont ...... 220 Giti ...... 224 Hankook Tire ...... 226 Corporation ...... 229 JK Tyre ...... 231 KIS Wire ...... 234 Kolon Industries ...... 235 Kordsa Global ...... 236 ...... 238 Michelin ...... 241 MRF ...... 246 Pirelli ...... 248 South China Tire & Rubber ...... 253 Sumitomo Rubber ...... 255 Aramid ...... 258

© 2013 IHS Global Limited 6 Trends in the Global Tire Industry

Toyo Tire ...... 260 Xingda ...... 264 Yokohama Rubber ...... 266

TABLES AND FIGURES Figure 1: Chart of top 50 tire makers by location of HQ [Source: Tire Industry Research] ...... 12 Figure 2: Total tire sales by origin [Source: Tire Industry Research] ...... 12 Figure 3: Diagram of structure of tire [Source: Hankook] ...... 14 Figure 4: Tires are complex composite assemblies [Source: www.tirelitigation.com] .... 15 Figure 5: Tire Industry Consumption of Compounding Ingredients, 2012 [Source: Notch Consulting] ...... 18 Figure 6: Tire Industry Consumption of Other Compounding Ingredients, 2012 [Source: Notch Consulting] ...... 18 Figure 7: Reinforcing Filler Demand in Passenger Tires, 2012 & 2015 [Source: Notch Consulting] ...... 24 Figure 8: Titan 63 inch tires [Source: Titan International] ...... 26 Figure 9: Deutz Agro XXL [Source: Trelleborg] ...... 27 Figure 10: Pirelli’s F1 2013 Range [Source: Pirelli] ...... 28 Figure 11: Continental demonstrates its winter truck tires [Source: Continental] ...... 29 Figure 12: Michelin Air X Tires [Source: Michelin] ...... 30 Figure 13: Hyundai Fork Lift Truck [Source: Hyundai] ...... 32 Figure 14: Bridgestone Airless Buggy Tires [Source: Bridgestone] ...... 32 Figure 15: Speed / Load symbols [Source: Pirelli] ...... 33 Figure 16: Tire Industry Global Sales Split [Source: Tire Industry Research] ...... 34 Figure 17: Global Car Tire Sales by Region [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 35 Figure 18: Global Truck Tire Sales by Region [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 35 Figure 19: European Car Tires Sales, replacements (left) and OE (right) 2010-2012 [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 36 Figure 20: European Truck Tires Sales, replacements and OE 2010-2012 [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 36 Figure 21: Tire Production Worldwide (million units) [Source: JATMA] ...... 37 Figure 22: Global Light Vehicle Tire Production by Region [Source: LMC] ...... 37 Figure 23: 2011 Light vehicles and Truck Sales by Region and Channel [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 38 Figure 24: Increasing Price of Rubber [Source: Pirelli] ...... 38 Figure 25: Price Trend in Sicom prices for last (10 years) Price in US cents / kg [Source: Indexmundi] ...... 39 Figure 26: Butadiene Demand 2014, (KT) [Source: IRSG] ...... 40 Figure 27: Tire Brand Pricing Strategy [Source: Tire Industry Research] ...... 44 Figure 28: ETRMA Tire Data 2011 [Source: ETRMA] ...... 46 Figure 29: Car Tire Market Growth by Region 2010-2035 [Source: LMC] ...... 49 Figure 30: Truck Tire Market Growth by Region 2010-2035 [Source: LMC] ...... 49 Figure 31: Raw materials prices eased during 2012 after significant increases in 2011 [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 60 Figure 32: Global Natural Rubber Scenarios (KT) [Source: IRSG] ...... 61

© 2013 IHS Global Limited 7 Trends in the Global Tire Industry

Figure 33: Cambium Cross Section and Havea Tapping [Sources: FAO and Cirad] ..... 62 Figure 34: Butadiene monomer prices [Source: ICIS Pricing] ...... 63 Figure 35: Olefin Cracker Yields, (MT for MT of Feedstock) [Source:IRSG] ...... 63 Figure 36: Rolling Resistance, Abrasion Resistance and Wet Traction Triangle [Source: Evonik] ...... 65 Figure 37: ETRMA RR limits [Source: ETRMA] ...... 74 Figure 38: ETRMA WG limits [Source: ETRMA] ...... 75 Figure 39: ETRMA dB limits [Source: ETRMA] ...... 75 Figure 40: Winter Tire ‘Three Peaks’ Logo [Source: Michelin] ...... 76 Figure 41: Tire Price Ranked by Wet Grip [Source: Tire Industry Research] ...... 77 Figure 42: Tire Price Ranked by Rolling Resistance [Source: Tire Industry Research] .. 77 Figure 43: Tire Price Ranked by Noise [Source: Tire Industry Research] ...... 78 Figure 44: Japanese Tire Label [Source: JATMA] ...... 80 Figure 45: United States Tire Label [Source: NHTSA] ...... 81 Figure 46: High Demand for Mobility Related Services [Source: Continental] ...... 86 Figure 47: Importance of Reliable Tires [Source: Continental] ...... 87 Figure 48: Tire Price Comparison by Size [Source: Tire Industry Research] ...... 93 Figure 49: Winter Tire and Standard Tire Braking Time Comparison [Source: Continental] ...... 94 Figure 50: EU Winter Tire Rules: Country-by Country [Source: Continental] ...... 95 Figure 51: Winter Tire Market Penetration [Source: Continental] ...... 96 Figure 52: Regional Demand for Carbon Black versus Highly Dispersible Silica in Passenger Tires, 2009 [Source: Notch Consulting] ...... 109 Figure 53: ETRMA Tire Data 2011 [Source: ETRMA] ...... 141 Figure 54: European Car Tires Sales, replacements and OE 2010-2012 [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 142 Figure 55: European light vehicle tire sales development: OE channel (left) Replacement channel (right) [Source: Pirelli] ...... 142 Figure 56: European Truck Tires Sales, replacements and OE 2010-2012 [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 143 Figure 57: European light vehicle tire sales development: OE channel (left) and Replacement channel (right) [Source: Pirelli] ...... 143 Figure 58: European Passenger Tire Market Share, 2001-2010 [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 147 Figure 59: European Truck Tire Market Share, 2001-2010 [Source: Morgan Stanley] . 147 Figure 60: ETRMA tire plants [Source: ETRMA] ...... 148 Figure 61: North American Car Tire Sales – OE (left) and Replacement (right) [Source: Pirelli] ...... 150 Figure 62: North American Truck Tire Sales – OE (left) and Replacement (right) [Source: Pirelli] ...... 150 Figure 63: North American Car Tire Sales by Volume – OE (left) and Replacement (right) [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 151 Figure 64: North American Truck Tire Sales by Volume – OE (left) and Replacement (right) [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 151 Figure 65: Tire Review’s Tire Brand study 2012 - Consumer Tires [Source: Tire Review] ...... 152

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Figure 66: Tire Review’s Tire Brand study 2012 - Medium truck tires [Source: Tire Review] ...... 152 Figure 67: Car Tire Market Growth by Region 2010-2035 [Source: LMC] ...... 155 Figure 68: Truck Tire Market Growth by Region 2010-2035 [Source: LMC] ...... 156 Figure 69: China OE Car Tires, Month by Month [Source: Pirelli] ...... 156 Figure 70: China OE Truck Tires, Month by Month [Source: Pirelli] ...... 157 Figure 71: China Replacement Truck Tires, Month by Month [Source: Pirelli] ...... 157 Figure 72: Russian Market Share by Manufacturer [Source: Cordiant] ...... 161 Figure 73: A-, B- and C-Segment Tire Market Share in Russia 2010-2012 [Source: Cordiant] ...... 164 Figure 74: A-, B- and C-segment Growth 2007-2018 by Volume (left) and Value (right) Source: Nokian] ...... 165 Figure 75: Russian B-Segment market share by manufacturer 2011-2012 [Source: Cordiant] ...... 167 Figure 76: South America OE (left) and Replacement (right) Car Tires, Month by Month [Source: Pirelli] ...... 179 Figure 77: South America OE (left) and Replacement (right) Car Tires, Month by Month [Source: Pirelli] ...... 179

Table 1: Tire manufacturer profitability in 2011 [Source: Tire Business] ...... 40 Table 2: Global Tyre Markets 2009-2015 [Source: Morgan Stanley] ...... 49 Table 3: The number of major international auto car tires Commodity Trends (2010) [Source: Korean Trade Association statistics (KOTIS)] ...... 88 Table 4: Tire Rating compared with Maximum Speed Allowance [Source: ERMC] .... 97 Table 5: Share of World Tire Production by Geographic Region (units x 103 tons (produced rubber)) [Source: IRSG] ...... 155 Table 6: Top domestic tire makers (2010) ...... 158 Table 7: Korean tire production (Unit: one thousand, %) [Source: KOTMA] ...... 173 Table 8: Japanese Sales of Replacement Tires [Source: JATMA] ...... 174 Table 9: Japanese Sales of OE Tires [Source: JATMA] ...... 174 Table 10: Japanese Production of Automotive Tires and Tubes [Source: JATMA] ..... 175 Table 11: Sales of summer tyres and winter tyres for replacement (for four-wheeled vehicles) [Source: JATMA] ...... 175 Table 12: Indonesian vehicle market - Domestic Auto Market & Eximby Category Jan- Dec 2012 [Source: GAIKINDO] ...... 176 Table 13: Indonesian vehicle market - Domestic Auto Production by Category Jan-Nov 2012 [Source: GAIKINDO] ...... 176 Table 14: Category-wise Tire Production in India Financial Year 2010-11 - 2011-12 (April-December) [Source: ATMA] ...... 182 Table 15: Total Tire Production in India F.Y. 2004-05 T0 2010-11 [Source: ATMA] .. 182 Table 16: Category-wise Export of Tires Financial Year 2010-11 - 2011-12 (April- September) [Source: ATMA] ...... 183

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