BOSTON OFFICE MARKET REPORT
FOURTH QUARTER 2019
FLURRY OF ACTION WRAPS UP STRONG YEAR
Long considered one of the nation's most historical and steadfast cities, Greater Boston has undergone an evolution over the past decade and become one of the world's most dynamic gateway cities and top tier investment markets. A global icon for its outstanding research universities, medical centers and technological advancement, Greater Boston's expansion has been fueled by its diverse economy and record setting venture capital and NIH funding.
Not only has the local population grown at a rate well above the national average, but the job market has kept pace with the state's unemployment rate measuring below three percent. The marked increase in both population and job growth can largely be attributed to over 40% of students from local universities and colleges that are electing to remain in Boston following graduation. Not surprisingly, Greater Boston's workforce has become one of the nation's most youthful, with 35% of its workers between the ages of 20 and 34 compared to the national average of only 20%.
The region's strengthening demographics and economy have promoted a transformative phase across the state that has ushered in new retail, residential and infrastructure development that has not been achieved in decades. Looking forward, expect durable market conditions and a diversified economy to guide the region's commercial real estate market to a strong performance over the next several years.
- $11. 5B
- #1
2.9%
MASSACHUSETTS UNEMPLOYMENT
3.5%
-
-
GREATER BOSTON
VC FUNDING
(2018)
NATIONALLY R&D FUNDING PER CAPITA
- NOVEMBER
- NOVEMBER
NATIONAL
UNEMPLOYMENT
CLASS A
ASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
MARKET TRENDS
$70.00 $67.00 $64.00 $61.00 $58.00 $55.00 $52.00 $49.00 $46.00 $43.00 $40.00
16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0%
GLOBAL DESTINATION
World leader in medical innovation and technological advancement
6.0% 4.0%
DEMAND PUSHES DEVELOPMENT
2.0%
Significant demand has produced a large development pipeline
0.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
- Average Asking Rate
- Direct Vacancy (%)
TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATION HUB
Fortune 500 leaders and
1,900 homegrown startups
CLASS B
ASKING RATE VS. DIRECT VACANCY
NEW LIFE SCIENCE HUB
$55.00 $50.00 $45.00 $40.00 $35.00 $30.00 $25.00 $20.00 $15.00
16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0%
As Cambridge fills up, life science tenants look to the Seaport for a new home
COWORKING SPACE DISRUPTING MARKET
Tenants like flexibility and shorter term commitments
6.0% 4.0%
TENANTS FAVOR CREATIVE OFFICE
2.0% 0.0%
Open layouts, contemporary and collaborative environments
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Average Asking Rate
Direct Vacancy (%)
DIRECT VACANCY RATE
BY SUBMARKET
Seaport Midtown
North Station Financial District South Station
Back Bay
Charlestown
Fenway
- 0.0%
- 1.0%
- 2.0%
- 3.0%
- 4.0%
- 5.0%
- 6.0%
QUICK GLANCE MARKET STATS
- SUBLEASE
- AVAILABILITY
V4AC.A2N%CY
- 2.0%
- 11. 5%
ASKING RATE
- 1A.2BS7OMRPTMIONsf
- C2ON.4STRMUCMTIONsf $61.77/sf
North End
North Station
$55.46/SF
Beacon Hill
Financial District
$62.97/SF
Back Bay
$64.67/SF
Midtown
$50.98/SF
South End
South Station
$54.58/SF
Seaport
$65.42/SF
CLASS A OFFICE
- •
- Following last quarter's announcement from Foundation Medicine
that the Cambridge-grown tenant will relocate into 580,000 square feet at 400 Summer Street in the Seaport, two additional Cambridge tenants noted their expansion plans into Boston. CarGurus has committed to 11 floors or 275,000 square at Samuels' Parcel 12 location in the Back Bay. The air rights project to be constructed above the Mass Pike will be the first of its kind in four decades and create valuable real estate at the intersection of Massachusetts Avenue and Newbury Street.
2.9%
DIRECT VACANCY
- •
- Arguably the first, and certainly the largest tenant to make the
transition from Cambridge to Boston, Vertex Pharmaceuticals recently disclosed its intention to lease 256,000 square feet at iSQ where Related Beal recently delivered a fully leased phase one to Smart Labs and PureTech Health. The second phase, which is currently under construction, will reportedly be taken down entirely by Vertex. Given the explosive growth potential of life science tenants, having space under construction is crucial and drives many decisions. For Vertex, there are certainly sites available closer to their existing Fan Pier campus, however without permits and shovels in the ground there is an air of uncertainty and a 1-2 year delivery lag which is unacceptable to fast paced life science industry.
# 2.3%
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
# 11.9%
TOTAL AVAILABILITY
- •
- As recently as 24 months ago, some locals fretted over the Back
Bay's future, however the stalwart market proved its merit having absorbed 894,000 square feet over the past years and now measuring a vacancy rate below two percent. Plagued by massive relocations to Downtown and the Seaport, the gaping holes have been backfilled by the likes of Wayfair, Draft Kings, Drift and WeWork. During the fourth quarter, both Draft Kings and Drift expanded by roughly 20,000 square feet each. The market gained additional momentum from the relocation announcement by CarGurus noted above as well as indications from Boston Properties that their redevelopment atop Back Bay Station will likely kickoff in early 2020.
# 1,417,950 SF
12-MONTH ABSORPTION
- •
- Strong momentum also swept across the Financial District where
annual absorption reached 697,000 square feet. Demolition and construction carried on at One PO Square, which may have contributed to Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough's decision to relocate their legal offices to 43,000 square feet at One Financial Center when their lease expires next year. While not relocating, LEK Consulting announced a 15,000 square foot expansion at 75 State Street which brings their operations to roughly 78,000 square feet.
# $66.80/SF
AVERAGE ASKING RATE
CLASS A OFFICE
NOTABLE QUARTERLY LEASES
- ADDRESS
- SUBMARKET
Seaport
TENANT
Foundation Medicine
Car Gurus
SF
- 400 Summer Street
- 580,000
275,000 265,000 160,000
87,000 68,000 44,000 43,000 20,000 20,000 15,000
Parcel 12 (Mass Ave @ Newbury St) 316-318 Northern Ave (iSQ) 125 Summer Street
Back Bay
- Seaport
- Vertex Pharmaceuticals
- Klaviyo
- Financial District
- Back Bay
- 200 Berkeley Street
- WeWork
75-81 Arlington Street 600 Atlantic Avenue One Financial Center 222 Berkeley/500 Boylston 222 Berkeley/500 Boylston 75 State Street
- Back Bay
- WeWork
Financial District Financial District
Back Bay
Harvard Management Company Nelson, Mullins, Riley & Scarborough
Draft Kings
- Back Bay
- Drift
- Financial District
- LEK Consulting
AVERAGE ASKING RATE
BY SUBMARKET
AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY
BY SUBMARKET
18.0% 15.0% 12.0%
9.0%
$78.00 $72.00 $66.00 $60.00 $54.00 $48.00 $42.00
6.0% 3.0% 0.0%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Financial District
- Seaport
- Back Bay
93
Wood Island
- 28
- 1
Airport
Community College
Constitution Wharf
28
Lechmere
Portfolio
Constitution Wharf
Maverick
Battery Wharf
93
RECENT
INVESTMENT
SALES
1
LOGAN AIRPORT
Science Park
North Station
Lincoln Wharf Union Wharf
- Airport Terminal
- A
Sargents Wharf
90
Lewis Wharf
Kendall/MIT
Haymarket
Airport Terminal B1
Charles/MGH
Bowdoin
Long Wharf
Aquarium
Government Center
State St
MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
3
Park St
Rowes Wharf
Downtown Crossing
F an P ier
Boston Commons
Public Garden
- Pier
- 4
Boylston
- Chinatown
- South Station
- Pier
- 6
Court House
100 Summer Street
Arlington
- Pier
- 7
90
Copley ersity East
Tufts Medical Center
One Marina Park
Blandford ST
World Trade Center
- Kenmore
- Hynes Convention Ctr
HYNES CONVENTION CENTER PRUDENTIAL CENTER
90
90
Back Bay
Silver
FENWAY PARK
Line
28
- Herald ST
- Way
BOSTON CONVENTION EXPO CENTER
Prudential
3
&
Back Bay Fens
93
RK R
E.Berkeley ST
1
- Broadway
- Symphony
Union Park ST
9
Massachusetts Ave
28
7 Elkins Street
Northeastern
Newton ST
City Point
Museum Of Fine Arts
Ruggles
Worcester Square cal Area
Massachusetts Ave
Lenox ST
100 SUMMER STREET
ONE MARINA PARK
$806,000,000 ($732/RSF) Buyer: Rockpoint Group
$482,000,000 ($980/RSF) Buyer: Clarion Partners
CONSTITUTION WHARF PORTFOLIO
7 ELKINS STREET
$114,000,000 ($635/RSF) Buyer: Jamestown
$28,850,000 ($483/RSF) Buyer: Related Companies
CLASS B OFFICE
# 6.5%
- •
- Despite all the recent turmoil and uncertainty surrounding WeWork,
other co-working brands continued more measured and steady growth. Most notably, Knotel has established their first location in greater Boston at 239 Causeway Street in the thriving North Station submarket. The property, essentially kitty corner to the wildly popular Hub on Causeway destination, will mark Knotel's first foray into Boston. The 26,000 square foot space will hopefully be the first of many, with Knotel executives reportedly having identified other locations across the Back Bay and South End which will likely become additional outposts in 2020.
DIRECT VACANCY
# 1.5%
- •
- The Seaport continued its poll position as the rent market leader
with average asking rents reaching $60.00 per square foot. Rents are up 22% from three years ago despite vacancy ticking up to roughly 10% following a few musical chair relocations. This quarter, Motif signed a 10,600 square foot lease at 27 Drydock Avenue, Dimella Shafer relocated into 13,800 square feet at 24 Farnsworth Street and Bynder moved into 8,900 square feet at 321 Summer Street from 24 Farsnworth Street.
SUBLEASE AVAILABILITY
10.7%
- •
- Having purchased 451 D Street last year, Related Beal, who
have quickly become one of the larger Life Science landlords in the Seaport, are working diligently to implement a selective lab conversion plan into the creative office building. The team recently secured three life science leases totaling 22,000 square feet. Silicon Laboratories took 11,000 square feet, Stevanato Group signed for 6,000 square feet and Elektrofi leased 5,000 square feet. The conversion serves as a relief valve for non blue chip lab tenants seeking asylum from Cambridge's stranglehold.
TOTAL AVAILABILITY
# 144,800 SF
- •
- The Investment Sales market across the Class A & B markets
performed very well with several large transactions crossing the finish line before year's end. In the Seaport, the building that kicked of Fan Pier's success, One Marina Park, was sold by its original developers, the Fallon Company and Barings, to Clarion Partners for $482 million or roughly $1,000 per square foot. In the Financial District, Rockpoint Group acquired 100 Summer Street from Blackstone for $806 million or $732 per square foot. Presumably having worked out the ground lease details, Carr Properties and Starwood reportedly have 60 State Street under contract for $620 million or $680 per square foot.
12-MONTH ABSORPTION
# $52.48/SF
AVERAGE ASKING RATE
CLASS B OFFICE
NOTABLE QUARTERLY LEASES
- ADDRESS
- SUBMARKET
North Station Financial District
Seaport
TENANT
Knotel
SF
239 Causeway Street 101 Arch STreet 24 Farnsworth Street 451 D Street
27,000 18,600 13,800 11,000 10,600 9,600 8,900 6,800 6,500 6,000
Hopper
Dimella Shafer
Silicon Laboratories
Motif
Seaport
27 Dry Dock Avenue 38 Chauncy Street 321 Summer Street 15 Court Square 18 Tremont Street 451 D Street
Seaport
Financial District
Seaport
Sungage Bynder
Financial District Financial District
Seaport
TAC
Document Technologies
Stevanato Group
- AVERAGE ASKING RATE
- AVERAGE DIRECT VACANCY
- BY SUBMARKET
- BY SUBMARKET
20ꢀ0ꢁ ꢂꢃꢀ0ꢁ ꢂ2ꢀ0ꢁ
8ꢀ0ꢁ
$ꢀꢃꢁ00 $ꢄꢀꢁ00 $ꢄꢃꢁ00 $4ꢀꢁ00 $4ꢃꢁ00 $ꢂꢀꢁ00 $ꢂꢃꢁ00 $2ꢀꢁ00
4ꢀ0ꢁ 0ꢀ0ꢁ
2008 2009 20ꢃ0 20ꢃꢃ 20ꢃ2 20ꢃꢂ 20ꢃ4 20ꢃꢄ 20ꢃꢀ 20ꢃꢅ 20ꢃ8 20ꢃ9
2008 2009 20ꢂ0 20ꢂꢂ 20ꢂ2 20ꢂꢆ 20ꢂ4 20ꢂꢅ 20ꢂꢃ 20ꢂꢄ 20ꢂ8 20ꢂ9
- Financial District
- Seaport
- Back Bay
OFFICE & LAB
DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE
- 316 NORTHERN AVE
- PARKSIDE ON A
- Seaport
- Seaport
- 100 CAUSEWAY
- 88 SEAPORT BLVD
- North Station
- Seaport
- 400 SUMMER STREET
- 321 HARRISON AVE
- Seaport
- South End
- TWO DRYDOCK
- 115 FEDERAL
- Seaport
- Financial District
OFFICE REPORT STATS
Quarterly Absorption
(SF)
12 Month Absorption
(SF)
Total
Inventory (SF)
Direct Vacancy
Sublease Availability
Total
Availability
Average Asking Rate
Office
TOTAL A&B
Back Bay
72,133,100
14,949,300 2,735,650 1,746,0000 35,439,750
1,961,450
4.2%
1.9% 0.6% 0.0% 5.0% 5.4% 5.3% 5.5% 4.6%
2.0%
2.1% 1.3% 5.1% 2.0% 0.3% 2.2% 2.4% 0.5%
11.5%
5.3% 5.1%
(235,350)
21,250 3,450
1,273,200
561,150 54,100
$61.77
$64.67 $44.92 $56.16 $62.97 $50.98 $55.46 $65.42 $54.58
Charlestown
- Fenway
- 5.1%
- -
- 75,950
Financial District
Midtown
14.9% 6.9% 8.0% 16.3% 3.7%
(71,750) (18,900)
21,500
(163,600) (27,250)
697,200 66,400
North Station
Seaport
- 3,313,150
- (67,950)
(112,650)
(1,050)
9,105,450
- 2,882,400
- South Station
- CLASS A
- 46,836,500
11,038,450
903,750
2.9%
1.2% 1.3% 0.0% 4.1% 6.7% 4.0% 0.3% 1.9%
2.3%
2.5% 1.4% 7.9% 2.3% 0.3% 2.5% 1.3% 1.0%
11.9%
5.4% 7.5%
21,750
11, 500 (8,500)
-
1,417,950
539,700 14,050
$66.80
$68.97 $46.00 $62.25 $67.15 $55.50 $60.88 $72.40 $58.25
Back Bay Charlestown
- Fenway
- 1,117,650
- 7.9%
- 75,000
Financial District
Midtown
25,558,900
1,176,200 1,407,700 4,279,050 1,354,850
15.7% 7.5%
32,750
(15,550)
27,500
-
698,750
57,250
North Station
Seaport
- 7.3%
- (18,550)
- 76,750
- 14.8%
- 0.0%
- South Station
- (25,950)
- (25,950)
- CLASS B
- 25,296,600
3,910,850 1,831,850
628,400
6.5%
3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 7.5% 3.5% 6.3% 10.1% 6.9%
1.5%
0.8% 1.3% 0.0% 1.2% 0.3% 2.0% 3.3% 0.1%
10.7%
4.8% 4.0% 0.0% 12.9% 6.0% 8.6% 17.6% 7.0%
(257,050)
9,700
(144,798)
21,450 40,050
-
$52.48
$52.52 $44.39 $45.33 $52.15 $44.20 $51.45 $59.23 $51.33
Back Bay Charlestown
Fenway
11,950
-
Financial District
Midtown
9,880,850
785,250
(104,500)
(3,350) (6,050)
(163,600)
(1,250)
(1,500)
9,150
North Station
Seaport
1,905,450 4,826,400 1,527,500
(49,450) (189,400)
- 24,950
- South Station
ETHAN ROBERT
Director of Research 617.951.4160 [email protected]
Lincoln Property Company | 53 State Street, 8th Floor, Boston, MA | 617.951.4100 | LPCBoston.com
Lincoln Property Company’s Boston Office Report is produced by the Boston Office’s research team in collaboration with our Boston Brokerage Group.
If you have any questions regarding market conditions and the information found in this report, please contact Ethan Robert.