The Development of the Neoclassical Tradition in Labor Economics
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Paul H. Douglas Interviewer: John Newhouse Date of Interview: June 6, 1964 Place of Interview: Washington, D.C
Paul H. Douglas, Oral History Interview – 6/6/1964 Administrative Information Creator: Paul H. Douglas Interviewer: John Newhouse Date of Interview: June 6, 1964 Place of Interview: Washington, D.C. Length: 33 pages, 2 addenda Biographical Note Douglas, a U.S. Senator from Illinois from 1949 to 1967, discusses his memories of John F. Kennedy as a Senator and as President, including his work on labor and civil rights legislation, among other issues. Access Open. Usage Restrictions According to the letter of agreement signed February 2, 1972, copyright of these materials has been assigned to the United States Government. Users of these materials are advised to determine the copyright status of any document from which they wish to publish. Copyright The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Under certain conditions specified in the law, libraries and archives are authorized to furnish a photocopy or other reproduction. One of these specified conditions is that the photocopy or reproduction is not to be “used for any purpose other than private study, scholarship, or research.” If a user makes a request for, or later uses, a photocopy or reproduction for purposes in excesses of “fair use,” that user may be liable for copyright infringement. This institution reserves the right to refuse to accept a copying order if, in its judgment, fulfillment of the order would involve violation of copyright law. The copyright law extends its protection to unpublished works from the moment of creation in a tangible form. -
Inattentive Consumers
Inattentive Consumers Ricardo Reis∗ Department of Economics and Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA Abstract This paper studies the consumption decisions of agents who face costs of acquiring, absorbing and processing information. These consumers rationally choose to only sporadically update their information and re-compute their optimal consumption plans. In between updating dates, they remain inattentive. This behavior implies that news disperses slowly throughout the population, so events have a gradual and delayed effect on aggregate consumption. The model predicts that aggregate consumption adjusts slowly to shocks, and is able to explain the excess sensitivity and excess smoothness puzzles. In addition, individual consumption is sensitive to ordinary and unexpected past news, but it is not sensitive to extraordinary or predictable events. The model further predicts that some people rationally choose to not plan, live hand-to-mouth, and save less, while other people sporadically update their plans. The longer are these plans, the more they save. Evidence using U.S. aggregate and microeconomic data generally supports these predictions. JEL classification codes: E2, D9, D1, D8 ∗I am grateful to N. Gregory Mankiw, Alberto Alesina, Robert Barro, and David Laibson for their guidance and to Andrew Abel, Susanto Basu, John Campbell, Larry Christiano, Mariana Colacelli, Benjamin Friedman, Jens Hilscher, Yves Nosbusch, David Romer, John Shea, Monica Singhal, Adam Szeidl, Bryce Ward, Justin Wolfers, and numerous seminar participants for useful comments. The Fundação Ciência e Tecnologia, Praxis XXI and the Eliot Memorial fellowship provided financial support. Tel.: +1-609-258-8531; fax: +1-609-258-5349. E-mail address: [email protected]. -
National Academy of Arbitrators HISTORY COMMITTEE INTERVIEW Arthur Stark NAA President, 1977 Interviewed by Dennis Nolan May
National Academy of Arbitrators HISTORY COMMITTEE INTERVIEW Arthur Stark NAA President, 1977 Interviewed by Dennis Nolan May 29,1980 1 ARTHUR STARK PRESIDENT OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF ARBITRATORS 1977 TO 1978 INTERVIEWED BY DENNIS NOLAN AT THE CHICAGO HILTON AND TOWERS, CHICAGO, ILLINIOS MAY, 29, 1989 Dennis Nolan: This is Monday, May 29, in Chicago, Illinois, on the first day of the Annual Meeting of The National Academy of Arbitrators. I am Dennis Nolan and I am interviewing today Arthur Stark, who was president of The National Academy in 1977. Arthur, perhaps you could start us off with some information on your background. Could you tell me, first of all, where you were born, raised, educated. Arthur Stark: Well, I was born three score and ten years ago in New York City. I was raised in Manhattan, on the upper west side. I went to elementary and high school at something called the Ethical Cultures School in New York. We lived across the street from Columbia University on Broadway and 115th Street and I played on the Columbia tennis couirts. I went, are you interested 2 in college, at this point? Yes, you might as well, go on. Since Columbia was so close, I decided to go to College at the University of Chicago. The reason, principley, was that I was interested in labor relations even at that tender age. Looking around the country, there were two Universities that appealed to somebody like me. One was the University of Wisconsin, one was the University of Chicago and I chose Chicago. -
The Institutionalist Reaction to Keynesian Economics
Journal of the History of Economic Thought, Volume 30, Number 1, March 2008 THE INSTITUTIONALIST REACTION TO KEYNESIAN ECONOMICS BY MALCOLM RUTHERFORD AND C. TYLER DESROCHES I. INTRODUCTION It is a common argument that one of the factors contributing to the decline of institutionalism as a movement within American economics was the arrival of Keynesian ideas and policies. In the past, this was frequently presented as a matter of Keynesian economics being ‘‘welcomed with open arms by a younger generation of American economists desperate to understand the Great Depression, an event which inherited wisdom was utterly unable to explain, and for which it was equally unable to prescribe a cure’’ (Laidler 1999, p. 211).1 As work by William Barber (1985) and David Laidler (1999) has made clear, there is something very wrong with this story. In the 1920s there was, as Laidler puts it, ‘‘a vigorous, diverse, and dis- tinctly American literature dealing with monetary economics and the business cycle,’’ a literature that had a central concern with the operation of the monetary system, gave great attention to the accelerator relationship, and contained ‘‘widespread faith in the stabilizing powers of counter-cyclical public-works expenditures’’ (Laidler 1999, pp. 211-12). Contributions by institutionalists such as Wesley C. Mitchell, J. M. Clark, and others were an important part of this literature. The experience of the Great Depression led some institutionalists to place a greater emphasis on expenditure policies. As early as 1933, Mordecai Ezekiel was estimating that about twelve million people out of the forty million previously employed in the University of Victoria and Erasmus University. -
This PDF Is a Selection from an Out-Of-Print Volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research
This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: New Directions in Economic Research Volume Author/Editor: NBER Volume Publisher: NBER Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/unkn71-6 Publication Date: 1971 Chapter Title: Front matter to "New Directions in Economic Research" Chapter Author: Various Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c4173 Chapter pages in book: (p. -13 - 0) NATIONAL BU.REAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC. 51ST ANNUAL REPORT, SEPTEMBER, 1971 DIRECTIONS IN ECONOMIC RESEARCH COPYRIGHT ©1971BY NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, INC. 261 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK, N. Y. 10016 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED PRINTED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA The National Bureau of Economic Research was organized in 1920 in response to a growing demand for objective deter- mination of the facts bearing upon economic problems, and for their interpretation in an impartial manner. The National Bureau concentrates on topics of national importance that are susceptible of scientific treatment. The National Bureau seeks not merely to determine and interpret important economic facts, but to do so under such auspices and with such safeguards as shall make its findings carry conviction to all sections of the nation. No report of the research staff may be published without the approval of the Board of Directors. Rigid provisions guard the National Bureau from becoming a source of profit to its members, directors, or officers, and from becoming an agency for propaganda. By issuing its findings in the form of scientific reports, en- tirely divorced from recommendations on policy, the National Bureau hopes to aid all thoughtful men, however divergent their views of public policy, to base their discussions upon objective knowledge as distinguished from subjective opinion. -
Frank Knight 1933-2007 After Receiving His Ph.D
Frank Knight 1933-2007 After receiving his Ph.D. from Princeton University in 1959, Frank Knight joined the mathematics department of the University of Minnesota. Frank liked Minnesota; the cold weather proved to be no difficulty for him since he climbed in the Rocky Mountains even in the winter time. But there was one problem: airborne flour dust, an unpleasant output of the large companies in Minneapolis milling spring wheat from the farms of Minnesota. Frank discovered that he was allergic to flour dust and decided that he would try to move to another location. His research was already recognized as important. His first four papers were published in the Illinois Journal of Mathematics and the Transactions of the American Mathematical Society. At that time, J.L. Doob was one of the editors of the Illinois Journal and attracted some of the best papers in probability theory to the journal including some of Frank's. He was hired by Illinois and served on its faculty from 1963 until his retirement in 1991. After his retirement, Frank continued to be active in his research, perhaps even more active since he no longer had to grade papers and carefully prepare his classroom lectures as he had always done before. In 1994, Frank was diagnosed with Parkinson's disease. For many years, this did not slow him down mathematically. He also kept physically active. At first, his health declined slowly but, in recent years, more rapidly. He died on March 19, 2007. Frank Knight's contributions to probability theory are numerous and often strikingly creative. -
GEORGE J. STIGLER Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, 1101 East 58Th Street, Chicago, Ill
THE PROCESS AND PROGRESS OF ECONOMICS Nobel Memorial Lecture, 8 December, 1982 by GEORGE J. STIGLER Graduate School of Business, University of Chicago, 1101 East 58th Street, Chicago, Ill. 60637, USA In the work on the economics of information which I began twenty some years ago, I started with an example: how does one find the seller of automobiles who is offering a given model at the lowest price? Does it pay to search more, the more frequently one purchases an automobile, and does it ever pay to search out a large number of potential sellers? The study of the search for trading partners and prices and qualities has now been deepened and widened by the work of scores of skilled economic theorists. I propose on this occasion to address the same kinds of questions to an entirely different market: the market for new ideas in economic science. Most economists enter this market in new ideas, let me emphasize, in order to obtain ideas and methods for the applications they are making of economics to the thousand problems with which they are occupied: these economists are not the suppliers of new ideas but only demanders. Their problem is comparable to that of the automobile buyer: to find a reliable vehicle. Indeed, they usually end up by buying a used, and therefore tested, idea. Those economists who seek to engage in research on the new ideas of the science - to refute or confirm or develop or displace them - are in a sense both buyers and sellers of new ideas. They seek to develop new ideas and persuade the science to accept them, but they also are following clues and promises and explorations in the current or preceding ideas of the science. -
CHAPTER 2020 Wanting Robustness in Macroeconomics$
CHAPTER 2020 Wanting Robustness in Macroeconomics$ Lars Peter Hansen* and Thomas J. Sargent{ * Department of Economics, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois. [email protected] { Department of Economics, New York University and Hoover Institution, Stanford University, Stanford, California. [email protected] Contents 1. Introduction 1098 1.1 Foundations 1098 2. Knight, Savage, Ellsberg, Gilboa-Schmeidler, and Friedman 1100 2.1 Savage and model misspecification 1100 2.2 Savage and rational expectations 1101 2.3 The Ellsberg paradox 1102 2.4 Multiple priors 1103 2.5 Ellsberg and Friedman 1104 3. Formalizing a Taste for Robustness 1105 3.1 Control with a correct model 1105 3.2 Model misspecification 1106 3.3 Types of misspecifications captured 1107 3.4 Gilboa and Schmeidler again 1109 4. Calibrating a Taste for Robustness 1110 4.1 State evolution 1112 4.2 Classical model detection 1113 4.3 Bayesian model detection 1113 4.3.1 Detection probabilities: An example 1114 4.3.2 Reservations and extensions 1117 5. Learning 1117 5.1 Bayesian models 1118 5.2 Experimentation with specification doubts 1119 5.3 Two risk-sensitivity operators 1119 5.3.1 T1 operator 1119 5.3.2 T2 operator 1120 5.4 A Bellman equation for inducing robust decision rules 1121 5.5 Sudden changes in beliefs 1122 5.6 Adaptive models 1123 5.7 State prediction 1125 $ We thank Ignacio Presno, Robert Tetlow, Franc¸ois Velde, Neng Wang, and Michael Woodford for insightful comments on earlier drafts. Handbook of Monetary Economics, Volume 3B # 2011 Elsevier B.V. ISSN 0169-7218, DOI: 10.1016/S0169-7218(11)03026-7 All rights reserved. -
On the Mechanics of Economic Development*
Journal of Monetary Economics 22 (1988) 3-42. North-Holland ON THE MECHANICS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT* Robert E. LUCAS, Jr. University of Chicago, Chicago, 1L 60637, USA Received August 1987, final version received February 1988 This paper considers the prospects for constructing a neoclassical theory of growth and interna tional trade that is consistent with some of the main features of economic development. Three models are considered and compared to evidence: a model emphasizing physical capital accumula tion and technological change, a model emphasizing human capital accumulation through school ing. and a model emphasizing specialized human capital accumulation through learning-by-doing. 1. Introduction By the problem of economic development I mean simply the problem of accounting for the observed pattern, across countries and across time, in levels and rates of growth of per capita income. This may seem too narrow a definition, and perhaps it is, but thinking about income patterns will neces sarily involve us in thinking about many other aspects of societies too. so I would suggest that we withhold judgment on the scope of this definition until we have a clearer idea of where it leads us. The main features of levels and rates of growth of national incomes are well enough known to all of us, but I want to begin with a few numbers, so as to set a quantitative tone and to keep us from getting mired in the wrong kind of details. Unless I say otherwise, all figures are from the World Bank's World Development Report of 1983. The diversity across countries in measured per capita income levels is literally too great to be believed. -
Paul Douglas, of the Cobb-Douglas Production/Utility Function
Paul Douglas, of the Cobb‐Douglas Production/Utility Function The Cobb‐Douglas production function was developed in the 1920s by Charles Cobb (a mathematician at Amherst College) and Paul Douglas (an economics professor at the University of Chicago). Douglas led an interesting life: an economics professor, then a war hero in World War II (enlisting as a private at the age of 50!), then 18 years as a US Senator from Illinois. You can read about him at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Douglas Note especially the section on military service. The book "With the Old Breed," written by WW II enlisted man E.B. Sledge, has been called "one of the most important accounts of war that I have ever read" by one historian, and "one of the finest memoirs to emerge from any war" by another. The book is about the horrific, bloody battles for the Pacific islands of Peleliu and Okinawa. Substantial parts of Ken Burns’s series The War were based on Sledge’s book. Here's an excerpt about Paul Douglas from Sledge’s book: We hadn't noticed him before he spoke. He wore green dungarees, leggings, and a cloth‐covered helmet like ourselves and carried a .45 caliber automatic pistol like any mortar gunner, machine gunner, or one of our officers. Of course, he wore no rank insignia, being in combat. What astonished us was that he looked to be more than fifty years old and wore glasses ‐‐ a rarity (for example, only two men in Company K wore them). When he took off his helmet to mop his brow, we saw his gray hair. -
ECONOMIC MAN Vs HUMANITY Lyrics
DOUGHNUT ECONOMICS PRESENTS . ECONOMIC MAN vs. HUMANITY: A PUPPET RAP BATTLE STARRING: Storyline and lyrics by Simon Panrucker, Emma Powell and Kate Raworth Key concepts and quotes are drawn from Chapter 3 of Doughnut Economics. * VOICE OVER And so this concept of rational economic man is a cornerstone of economic theory and provides the foundation for modelling the interaction of consumers and firms. The next module will start tomorrow. If you have any questions, please visit your local Knowledge Bank. POTATO Hello? BRASH Hello? FACTS Shall we go to the knowledge bank? BRASH Yeah that didn’t make any sense! POTATO See you outside. They pop up outside. BRASH Let’s go! They go to The Knowledge Bank. PROF Welcome to The Knowledge Ba… oh, it’s you lot. What is it this time? FACTS The model of rational economic man PROF Look, it's just a starting point for building on POTATO Well from the start, something doesn’t sit right with me BRASH We’ve got questions! PROF sighs. PROF Ok, let me go through it again . THE RAP BEGINS PROF Listen, it’s quite simple... At the heart of economics is a model of man A simple distillation of a complicated animal Man is solitary, competing alone, Calculator in head, money in hand and no Relenting, his hunger for more is unending, Ego in heart, nature’s at his will for bending POTATO But that’s not me, it can’t be true! There’s much more to all the things humans say and do! BRASH It’s rubbish! FACTS Well, it is a useful tool For economists to think our reality through It’s said that all models are wrong but some -
Sherwin Rosen
Sherwin Rosen Kenneth J. McLaughlin* Hunter College and the Graduate Center of the City University of New York April 2020 Abstract This paper provides a critical survey of Sherwin Rosen’s contributions to economics. I identify the ideas that influenced him and the themes—diversity and inequality—that connect his papers. The model of compensating price differentials (Rosen 1974) is his greatest hit. The more general “equalizing differences” approach was a signature feature of his research in labor economics and other fields. I also evaluate the merits of Rosen (1979), through which he receives credit for the influential Roback-Rosen model in urban economics. And several of his most influential papers substantiate my claim that Rosen was an inequality economist. 1. Introduction Sherwin Rosen was a highly productive and influential scholar. His legacy includes ma- jor contributions to economic theory, labor economics, urban economics, and monopoly pricing. A product of Gregg Lewis’s Labor Workshop, Rosen earned his Ph.D. from the University of Chicago in 1966, two years after joining the economics faculty at the Uni- versity of Rochester as an assistant professor. Returning to Chicago in 1977, Rosen was a leading figure in the economics department until his death at age 62 in 2001, just two months after becoming president of the American Economics Association. Rosen published widely and with influence. He frequently contributed to the Journal of Political Economy, where he published eight full papers and several shorter pieces. His hedonic prices paper (Rosen 1974) is the sixth most cited paper in the 130-year history of the JPE (Amiguet et al.