Minnesota Comprehensive Statewide Freight and Passenger Rail Plan
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This document is made available electronically by the Minnesota Legislative Reference Library as part of an ongoing digital archiving project. http://www.leg.state.mn.us/lrl/lrl.asp Minnesota Comprehensive Statewide Freight and Passenger Rail Plan Draft Final Report December 2009 Minnesota Comprehensive Statewide Freight and Passenger Rail Plan draft final report Minnesota Comprehensive Statewide Freight and Passenger Rail Plan prepared for Minnesota Department of Transportation prepared by Cambridge Systematics, Inc. with Kimley Horn and Associates, Inc. TKDA, Inc. December 2009 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Minnesota Comprehensive Statewide Freight and Passenger Rail Plan Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... ES-1 Vision for Rail...................................................................................................................... ES-2 System Costs ..................................................................................................................... ES-5 Passenger Rail Performance and Benefits ......................................................................... ES-5 Rail System Development and Funding Responsibilities .................................................... ES-6 1 Overview and Vision ........................................................................................................... 1-1 1.1 Background and Purpose of Study .......................................................................... 1-1 1.2 Freight Rail System Vision ......................................................................................... 1-2 1.3 Passenger Rail Vision ............................................................................................... 1-5 1.4 Categories of Passenger Rail .................................................................................. 1-6 1.5 Investment Needs ................................................................................................... 1-7 1.6 Management Approach ...................................................................................... 1-17 1.7 Financing .............................................................................................................. 1-18 1.8 Stakeholder and Public Outreach ......................................................................... 1-23 2 Existing Rail System ............................................................................................................. 2-1 2.1 Railroad Industry Organization and Investment Strategies ....................................... 2-1 2.2 Composition of Minnesota’s Freight Railroad Industry ............................................. 2-1 2.3 Freight Rail Industry Environment ............................................................................. 2-8 2.4 What’s Next for the Freight Rail Industry? ................................................................ 2-13 2.5 Freight Rail Investment and Financing Practices ................................................... 2-16 2.6 Value of Rail Industry to Minnesota ........................................................................ 2-16 2.7 Passenger Rail ....................................................................................................... 2-18 3 Forecasts ............................................................................................................................ 3-1 3.1 Minnesota Economic Overview .............................................................................. 3-1 3.2 Freight Demand in Minnesota ................................................................................. 3-8 3.3 Passenger Demand .............................................................................................. 3-24 4 Investment Needs .............................................................................................................. 4-1 4.1 Methodology .......................................................................................................... 4-1 4.2 Freight-Only Corridor Needs .................................................................................. 4-10 4.3 Shared Freight and Passenger Rail Corridors ......................................................... 4-25 4.4 High-Speed Rail Passenger Service Needs ............................................................ 4-36 4.5 Cost of Project Implementation ............................................................................ 4-41 5 Performance Assessment ................................................................................................... 5-1 5.1 Passenger Evaluation .............................................................................................. 5-1 5.2 Freight Evaluation .................................................................................................. 5-13 5.3 Benefits and Costs of the Program ........................................................................ 5-18 6 Institutional Relationships .................................................................................................... 6-1 6.1 Minnesota Agency Organization and Rail Program ................................................ 6-2 6.2 Minnesota Public Rail Programs .............................................................................. 6-9 6.3 Rail Agency Organization and Programs in Other States ....................................... 6-17 6.4 Management Plan for Minnesota ......................................................................... 6-27 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. i Minnesota Comprehensive Statewide Freight and Passenger Rail Plan 7 Financial Program .............................................................................................................. 7-1 7.1 Federal Funding ...................................................................................................... 7-1 7.2 Financial Plan ......................................................................................................... 7-4 A List of Outreach Activities and Committees ....................................................................... A-1 ii Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Minnesota Comprehensive Statewide Freight and Passenger Rail Plan List of Tables Table ES.1 Annual Passenger Rail Systemwide Performance Measures ................................... ES-7 Table 1.1 Ridership Forecasts Results 2030 Annual Trips with Most Favorable Variables Tested ...................................................................................................... 1-9 Table 1.2 Annual Passenger Rail Systemwide Performance Measures (Annual) – Phase I ..... 1-16 Table 1.3 Freight System Costs, Public and Private Shares Including Contingencies ($millions) ...................................................................... 1-21 Table 1.4 Total Possible Annual Costs, State Rail Plan ($millions) ........................................... 1-23 Table 2.1 Freight Railroads Operating in Minnesota ................................................................ 2-3 Table 2.2 Typical Sources of Funding of Rail Operations and Infrastructure .......................... 2-16 Table 3.1 Estimated Annual Demand from/to Twin Cities for 2005........................................ 3-27 Table 3.2 Projected 2030 Rail Demand to/from Twin Cities and Selected Cities – Base Case ............................................................................................................. 3-28 Table 3.3 Projected 2030 Rail Demand to/from Twin Cities and Selected Cities – Best Case .............................................................................................................. 3-29 Table 3.4 Forecast Rail Mode Share Other City Pairs – 15 Trains/Day ................................... 3-30 Table 4.1 Initial Screening, Data Evaluation ............................................................................ 4-3 Table 4.2 Cost Assumptions for Freight Rail ............................................................................. 4-8 Table 4.3 Cost Assumptions for Passenger Rail ....................................................................... 4-9 Table 4.4 Summary of Freight-Only Investments ................................................................... 4-11 Table 4.5 Summary of BNSF Improvements on Freight-Only Corridors .................................. 4-12 Table 4.6 Summary of CN Improvements on Freight-Only Corridors ..................................... 4-12 Table 4.7 Summary of CP Improvements on Freight-Only Corridors ..................................... 4-13 Table 4.8 Summary of UP Improvements on Freight-Only Corridors ...................................... 4-14 Table 4.9 Weight, Speed, and Track Restrictions ................................................................... 4-14 Table 4.10 Other Major Capacity Improvements ................................................................... 4-16 Table 4.11 2030 Shared Freight and Passenger Rail Corridors Reviewed ............................... 4-26 Table 4.12 Summary of Twin Cities to Cambridge Improvements .......................................... 4-27 Table 4.13 Summary of Twin Cities to St. Cloud Improvements .............................................. 4-28 Table 4.14 Summary of Twin Cities to Fargo/Moorhead Improvements .................................. 4-29 Table 4.15 Summary of Twin Cities to Sioux Falls, South Dakota Improvements .....................