Review of the Defra Biodiversity Research Programme 1995-2008
28 and 29 September 2009 Innovation Centre, Reading VENUE AND HOTEL LOCATION DETAILS
Royal County Hotel
Review Meeting Venue: INNOVATION CENTRE, READING 5th Floor, Northgate House, 21 - 23 Valpy Street, Reading, RG1 1AR, Tel: 0118 955 7800
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• Directions from Reading Railway Station (5 minutes walk from Innovation Centre) • Exit the platforms via the main barriers. If you arrive on platforms 5-9, you will need to go over the bridge and down the escalator. The Railair exit is closest to the Centre. • Railair exit (by station M&S) go down the stairs and cross over the Railair pick up and then cross at the traffic lights. Turn left towards roundabout then right into Blagrave Street. Immediately cross over the road towards Aldwych House. Continue up Blagrave Street taking the first left into Valpy Street. The Innovation Centre at North Gate House is the last building on left hand side.
i • Main exit (by station WHSmiths) – If you leave the station here (no stairs), you will exit onto Station Hill. Turn left and skirt the outside of the Station, you will pass the Railair pick up, then see instructions above. • Caversham Exit – Please do not take this exit.
Dinner and overnight accommodation venue: Royal County Hotel, 4-8 Duke Street, Reading, RG1 4RY, Tel: 0118 958 3455
Leave M4 at Junction 10, follow A329 to Reading leaving at last exit “A4 Reading Town Centre”. Stay in right hand lane, passing pub on right, Royal Berkshire Hospital on left. Turn right to town centre just after petrol station on your right. At traffic lights, turn right and stay in left lane. Bear left at next traffic lights, over bridge and filter left at traffic lights. Turn left at next lights [just past Blackwells] opposite Jacksons department store into Duke Street and the Royal County Hotel and Fusion Brasserie is on your right. Car park/set down point is down cobbled road just past hotel entrance.
Limited free on-site parking 5 minute walk to the Innovation Centre
Air: London Heathrow (28.5 miles) Gatwick Airport (57.5 miles)
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Biodiversity R&D Programme Review.
Innovation Centre, Reading Monday 28th September 2009
AGENDA Day 1 Time Project Title Contractor Presenter Duration of Presentation (minutes)
10:00 Registration & coffee 10:30 Chairman's welcome and introductions Peter Costigan, 10 Defra 10:40 The Biodiversity research programme: policy Sarah Webster, 10 requirements in the context of other Defra Defra programmes Theme 1: Threats to biodiversity 10:50 Overview & context – threats to biodiversity Helen Pontier, 5 Defra Block 1 0302 Climate change and migratory species. BTO Rob Robinson, 10 Indicator species and protocols for data British Trust for collection Ornithology 0266 Extensions to Accelerates: climate change, University of Oxford TBC 10 impacts and responses in the UK 0308 Modelling natural resource response to English Nature James Paterson, 10 climate change (The Monarch 3 Project) ECI, University of Oxford 0327 and Towards adaptation to climate change CEH Centre for Ecology and 15 (England Biodiversity Strategy) Hydrology 0326 Conservation of biodiversity in a changing climate 0389 Habitat connectivity – the ecological basis Forest Research Kevin Watts 10 for landscape permeability, facilitating Forest Research adaptive response of species to climate
11:50 DISCUSSION 15
Block 2 0289 Nitrogen atmospheric CEH Simon Smart, 10 pollution impacts on biodiversity Centre for Ecology and Hydrology 0295 Potential impacts of future energy policy ADAS Robert Edwards, 10 on UK biodiversity ADAS UK Ltd 0430 Wind turbines: determining the risk to bat University of Bristol Gareth Jones, 10 populations – phase 1 University of Bristol 12:35 DISCUSSION 10
Block 3 0281 Provision of bag statistics for huntable CSL Dave Parrott, 10 birds The Food and Environment Research Agency 0357 Assessment of the level of compliance ADAS Sam Beechener 10 with the Environmental Protection ADAS UK Ltd restriction on the use of lead shot) (England) Regulations 1999 (as amended) 13:05 DISCUSSION 10
13:15 LUNCH 45 Paper review: Threats to biodiversity
0213 Integrated climate change Cranfield University
iii 0223 Climate change UK ADAS 0245 Investigation of the causes of the decline BTO of House Sparrow and Starling in Great Britain 0293 Standard methodology to assess the risk CSL from non-native species considered possible problems to the environment 0371 Do bats avoid radar? University of Aberdeen 0415 Ad hoc technical expert group workshop UNEP-WCMC on climate change and biodiversity 14:00 DISCUSSION OF PAPERS 10
Theme 2: Economics and ecosystems
14:10 Overview and context – economics and ecosystems Helen Pontier 5 0394 Mapping of business tools and Scott Wilson Ltd Liz Clarke 15 and methodologies for managing biodiversity And 0384 Benefits of global biodiversity assets to Steve Smith, UK citizens: a literature review Scott Wilson Ltd 0419 The economics of ecosystems and UNEP-WCMC TBC 10 biodiversity (TEEB) phase 2 part 1. Development of valuation framework 0391 An evaluation of economic and non- Institute of Rural Mike Christie, 10 economic techniques for assessing the Sciences IBERS Aberystwyth importance of biodiversity to people in University developing countries 14:50 DISCUSSION 15
Paper review: Economics and ecosystems 0319 Human health and wellbeing through Forestry Commission countryside recreation 15:05 DISCUSSION OF PAPERS 5
15:10 TEA 20
Theme 3: International biodiversity 15:30 Overview and context: international Mark Stevenson, 5 biodiversity Defra Block 1 0406 A global assessment of 100 questions of Dept of Zoology, Andy Swash, 10 greatest importance to conservation University of Defra policy makers and practitioners Cambridge 0290 Chinese plants for the horticultural trade KEW Noel McGough, 15 0258 and Scientific advice on plant trade policy Royal Botanic Gardens, 0256 CITES capacity building Kew 0340 CITES scientific authority support: trade Fauna & Flora Vin Fleming, 10 in raptors from Guinea International Joint Nature Conservation Committee 0350 Wildbirds trade: impact on livelihoods UNEP-WCMC UNEP 10 and illegal trade 16:20 DISCUSSION 10
Block 2 0345 Imported bushmeat – species Wildlife DNA Services Helen Pontier, 10 identification using DNA profiling Defra 0300 DNA profiling of birds of prey – Wildlife DNA Services fluorescent multiplexing 0202 and Feathers as a source of DNA University of Nottingham 0207 DNA testing using tiger bone Forensic Science Service 16:40 DISCUSSION 5
Block 3 0407 Review of zoos’ contribution and ADAS Sam Beechener, 10 education contribution ADAS UK Ltd 0282 Secretary of State's zoo inspectors' International Zoo Andrew Greenwood, 10 performance Veterinary Group International Zoo Veterinary Group
iv 17:05 DISCUSSION 5
Paper review: international
0209 Wolf dogs International Zoo Veterinary Group 0243 Bushmeat trade in Central and Natural Resources West Africa (bushmeat) Institute 0249 Plant substances as alternatives for University of Middlesex animal products in traditional medicines 0260 An investigation into the trade in TRAFFIC tortoises in Great Britain 0312 The husbandry of elephants in University of Bristol UK zoos
0333 CITES licences – assessment of recent Overseas Development bushmeat research and recommendations to Institute her majesty’s government 0397 CITES licences – an assessment Eftec of the impact 17:10 DISCUSSION OF PAPERS 10
17:20 Instructions for dinner, Day 2
19:30 Conference meal with guest speaker
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Biodiversity R&D Programme Review. Innovation Centre, Reading Tuesday 29th September 2009
AGENDA Day 2 Time Project Title Contractor Presenter Duration of Presentation (minutes)
08:45 Registration & coffee
09:00 Chairman's introduction Peter Costigan 15 Overview and context – habitats and species Mark Stevenson Theme 4: Habitats and species
Block 1 0150 Barn owls phase 2 BTO Mark Rehfisch, 15 0373 and BTO birds projects British Trust for 0219 AEWA – introduced waterbirds Ornithology n/a Further research on ruddy duck CSL Iain Henderson, 10 The Food and Environment Research Agency 0287 Japanese Knotweed CABI Sean Murphy, 10 CABI 09:50 DISCUSSION 10 Block 2 Paper review: Species
0222 Ruddy duck cull CSL 0237 A review of current wildlife species LGC genetic research: Identification of a priority list of wildlife species in trade, where DNA research would assist law enforcement 0253 Musk deer WWF 0259 Analysis of non-native species legislation Ecoscope 10:00 DISCUSSION OF PAPERS 10
Paper review: Habitats (review is by papers only)
Block 3 0216 Monitoring heathland fires in Dorset Terra 0220 Research into proposed criteria defining ADAS “important” hedgerows 0230 Biodiversity independent evaluation Entec 0261 Sites of local nature conservation Just Ecology importance 0307 Environmental benefits of domestic University of Sheffield gardens 0398 Review of evidence needs for Defra’s Scott Wilson global biodiversity sub-programme 0418 Developing a mechanism for filling JNCC knowledge gaps in UK biodiversity action plans 10:10 OVERVIEW AND DISCUSSION OF PAPERS 20
10:30 COFFEE 20
Theme 5: Countryside Survey
10:50 Overview of Countryside Survey Helen Pontier 5
vi 10:55 195 CS2000 feasibility University of Simon Smart, 15 Nottingham Centre for Ecology and 203 ECN/CS2000 Not recorded Hydrology 210 Countryside survey 2000 NERC 211 CS2000 part 2 – freshwater NERC 212 CS2000 part 3 – LCM2000 NERC 263 CS2000 module 9 local results and pilot CEH indicators 264 CS2000 FOCUS (from CS2000 follow up) CEH module 17 298 Scoping study for countryside survey 2006 ADAS 316 Preparing for CS2006 (2007) NERC phase 1 334 Countryside survey 2007 (prep phase 2) CEH 360 Countryside survey 2007 CEH
11:10 DISCUSSION 10
Theme 6: Indicators and monitoring
11:20 Overview of indicators and monitoring Mark Stevenson, 5 Defra 0251 Native woodland survey English Nature Simon Smart, 15 0236 Non-woodland tree survey Forestry Commission Centre for Ecology and 0273 Native woodland survey phase 2 CEH Hydrology and (biodiversity British woodlands) 0167 Plant atlas NERC 0322 Targeted monitoring of air pollution and CEH Nigel Critchley, 10 and climate change impacts on biodiversity ADAS UK Ltd 0386 Site based monitoring business ADAS development plan (targeted monitoring) 0402 Extending the use of butterfly recording CEH David Roy, 15 and data in the UK Centre for Ecology and 0405 UK biodiversity Indicators – invasive Hydrology non-native species 0388 Habitat connectivity - development of an Forest Research Kevin Watts, 10 indicator for the EBS, UK and CBD Forest Research reporting part 1 0363 Climate change and migratory species - BTO Stuart Newson, 10 indicator species and protocols for data British Trust for collection Ornithology
0374 UK spring indicator Woodland Trust Richard Smithers, 10 Woodland Trust 12:35 DISCUSSION 15
Paper review: Indicators and monitoring
0175 ECOFACT NERC 0186 Bat monitoring Bat Conservation Trust 0241 National Biodiversity Network NBNT 0250 MAGIC FRCA 0270 Global biodiversity information facility JNCC 0276 Biodiversity monitoring Just Ecology 0297 Local authority performance indicators Entec for biodiversity 0299 Enhancement of agriculture and Eurostat environment statistics 0404 UK biodiversity indicators – development SAC Commercial Ltd of an indicator of genetic diversity in selected farm breeds 12:50 DISCUSSION OF PAPERS 10 13:00 LUNCH 40 13:40 Lessons learned from the backward look 20
vii DAY 2 Forward Look 10
14:00 Forward Look introduction 5
14:05 Structured discussion 1hr45
15:50 Sum up 10
16:00 CLOSE
viii CONTENTS Page No. Venue i
Agenda iii
Contents ix
Section 1 Policy requirements document xiv Section 1.1 Purpose of this paper xiv Section 1.2 Objectives of the Review xiv Section 1.3 Background xiv Section 1.4 Non R&D budget xvi Section 1.5 Policy History xvi Section 1.6 Defra’s priorities and objectives xx Section 1.7 Biodiversity policy responsibilities and objectives xxi Section 1.7.1 Policy objective xxi Section 1.7.2 Policy responsibilities xxi Section 1.8 Science and policy objectives of the biodiversity xxi research programme Section 1.8.1 Domestic ROAME xxii Section 1.8.2 International Biodiversity ROAME xxiv Section 1.9 Biodiversity Research Programme xxvi Section 1.10 Funding profile and financial review xxvi Section 1.11 Key questions xxxv
Annex A Summary of key policies, legislation commitments and other xxxvi events that have influenced biodiversity up to 2008
Annex B Summary of expenditure on projects, according to themes, xlviii delivered by the Biodiversity Research Programme 1995 – 2008 lvii Annex C Evidence delivered by the Biodiversity Research Programme towards policy needs identified in the Evidence and Innovation Strategy
Section 2 Future Opportunities for Research (FOR) lix Section 2.1 Purpose of this paper lix Section 2.2 Context for Defra’s Investment Strategy in Research lix Section 2.3 Research Landscape lx Section 2.4 Scope of the Biodiversity R&D Programme lxi Section 2.5 Synthesis of Research needs: Information sources lxi Section 2.6 Outline Questions for guided discussion lxxii
ix Section 2.7 References lxxiv Section 2.8 Further information lxxiv
Section 3 Project Summaries 1 - 252 Project Code Project Title Theme 1: Threats to biodiversity 1 - 52 Theme 1 Table of unavailable summaries 2 0302 Climate change and migratory species. Indicator 3 species and protocols for data collection 0266 Extensions to Accelerates: climate change, 6 impacts and responses in the UK 0308 Modelling natural resource response to climate 9 change (The Monarch 3 Project) 0327 Towards adaptation to climate change (England 12 Biodiversity Strategy) 0326 Conservation of biodiversity in a changing climate 14 0389 Habitat connectivity – the ecological basis for 17 landscape permeability, facilitating adaptive response of species to climate 0289 Nitrogen atmospheric pollution impacts on 20 biodiversity 0295 Potential impacts of future energy policy on UK 23 biodiversity 0430 Wind turbines: determining the risk to bat 26 populations – phase 1 0281 Provision of bag statistics for huntable birds 29 0357 Assessment of the level of compliance with the 32 Environmental Protection (restriction on the use of lead shot) (England) Regulations 1999 (as amended) Theme 1 Paper review 0213 Integrated climate change 35
0223 Climate change UK 39 0245 Investigation of the causes of the decline of 42 House Sparrow and Starling in Great Britain 0293 Standard methodology to assess the risk from 45 non-native species considered possible problems to the environment 0371 Do bats avoid radar? 48 0415 Ad hoc technical expert group workshop on 50 climate change and biodiversity
x Theme 2: Economics and ecosystems 53 - 69 Theme 2 Table of unavailable summaries 54 0394 Mapping of business tools and methodologies for 55 managing biodiversity 0384 Benefits of global diversity assets to UK citizens: a 59 literature review 0419 The economics of ecosystems and biodiversity 62 (TEEB) phase 2 part 1. Development of valuation framework 0391 An evaluation of economic and non-economic 65 techniques for assessing the importance of biodiversity to people in developing countries Theme 2 Paper review 0319 Human health and wellbeing through countryside 69 recreation Theme 3: International Biodiversity 71 -119 Theme 3 Table of unavailable summaries 72 0406 A global assessment of 100 questions of greatest 73 importance to conservation policy makers and practitioners 0290 Chinese plants for the horticultural trade 77 0258 Scientific advice on plant trade policy 80 0256 CITES capacity building 82 0340 CITES scientific authority support: trade in raptors 85 from Guinea 0345 Imported bushmeat – species identification using 88 DNA profiling 0300 DNA profiling of birds of prey – fluorescent 89 multiplexing 0202 Feathers as a source of DNA 91 0207 DNA testing using tiger bone 92 0407 Review of zoos’ contribution and education 94 contribution 0282 Secretary of States’s zoo inspectors’ performance 96 Theme 3 Paper review 0209 Wolf dogs 99 0243 Bushmeat trade in central and west Africa 102 (bushmeat) 0249 Plant substances as alternatives for animal 105 products in traditional medicines
xi 0260 An investigation into the trade in tortoises in Great 108 Britain 0312 The husbandry of elephants in UK zoos 111 0333 CITES licences – assessment of recent bushmeat 114 research and recommendations to her majesty’s government 0397 CITES licences – an assessment of the impact 117 Theme 4: Habitats & Species 121 - 171 Theme 4 Table of unavailable summaries 122 0150 Barn owls phase 2 124 0373 BTO birds projects 127 0219 AEWA – introduced waterbirds 130 n/a Further research on ruddy duck 134 0287 Japanese knotweed 137 Theme 4: Paper review 0222 Ruddy duck cull 140 0237 Review of current wildlife species genetic 143 research 0253 Musk deer 146 0259 Analysis of non-native species legislation 149 0216 Monitoring heathland fires in Dorset 152 0220 Research into proposed criteria defining 155 “important” hedgerows 0230 Biodiversity independent evaluation 158 0261 Sites of local nature conservation importance 161 0307 Environmental benefits of domestic gardens 163 0398 Review of evidence needs for Defra’s global 166 biodiversity sub-programme 0418 Developing a mechanism for filling knowledge 169 gaps in UK biodiversity action plans Theme 5: Countryside Survey 173 - 200 Theme 5 Table of unavailable summaries 174 203 ECN/CS2000 175 210 Countryside survey 2000 178 211 CS2000 part 2 – freshwater 181 212 CS2000 part 3 – LCM2000 184 264 CS2000 FOCUS (from CS2000 follow up) module 187 17 298 Scoping study for countryside survey 2006 190
xii 316 Preparing for CS2006 (2007) phase 1 193 334 Countryside survey 2007 (prep phase 2) 195 360 Countryside survey main field work 2007 198 Theme 6: Indicators and monitoring 201 - 255 Theme 6 Table of unavailable summaries 202 0251 Native woodland survey 203 0167 Plant atlas 206 0322 Targeted monitoring of air pollution and climate 209 change impacts on biodiversity 0386 Site based monitoring business development plan 213 (targeted monitoring) 0402/0304 Extended use of butterfly recording data in the UK 216 0405 UK biodiversity indicators – invasive non - native 219 species 0388 Habitat connectivity – development of an indicator 222 for the EBS, UK and CBD reporting part 1 0363 Climate change and migratory species – indicator 225 species and protocols for data collection 0374 UK spring indicator 228 Theme 6 Paper review 0175 ECOFACT 231 0186 Bat monitoring 234 0241 National Biodiversity Network 237 0250 MAGIC 239 0270 Global biodiversity information facility 243 0276 Biodiversity monitoring 244 0297 Local authority performance indicators for 247 biodiversity 0299 Enhancement of agriculture and environment 250 statistics 0404 UK biodiversity indicators – development of an 253 indicator of genetic diversity in selected farm breeds
xiii Policy Requirements Document for the Review of Defra’s Biodiversity Research Programme 1995 – 2008
1.1 Purpose of this paper This paper aims to provide an overview of the key policy issues to which the Defra Biodiversity Research Programme has contributed since 1995. Its purpose is to provide the policy background to help reviewers assess completed projects against evidence requirements. The last review of the Biodiversity Research Programme was undertaken in 1995 and this current review covers only the biodiversity projects, which were completed in the period since then up to 2008. With the exception of Countryside Survey, it does not cover projects completed or due to be completed after 2008 (that may have started in earlier years) because final reports were not available for the review, and it does not cover marine or landscape projects that were funded from the Biodiversity Research Programme Budget, amounting to between £600,000 and £800,000 a year. During this 14 year period, 145 biodiversity projects have been completed and project summaries are provided in Section 3.
1.2 Objectives of the Review The objectives of the review are:
• To review and evaluate the research and development projects delivered under the Biodiversity Research Programme against the evidence requirements for policy and other key questions given in Section 1.11
• To identify the key research opportunities or requirements for the future, guided by the review of completed projects and the Future Opportunities for Research document that is provided in Section 2.
• To determine our requirements for primary research to inform the policy cycle and help us to maintain our focus on delivering policy outcomes. • To report the results of completed research projects and provide guidance on the development of a Biodiversity Research Strategy for Defra.
1.3 Background Defra is committed to using quality scientific evidence to underpin and inform strategy, policy, and regulatory work and to mitigate risk.
Defra has identified the activities required to develop and provide a robust evidence base from which to develop policy options; recognising that there are both long and short-term pressures to which policy makers need to respond and for which different types of research may be required (Figure 1).
xiv
Figure 1: Processes to develop an evidence base for policy options; source: Defra website / Evidence & Innovation Strategy, 2005-08
In addition to the Biodiversity Research Programme there are a number of other Defra research programmes which have a biodiversity component or may be relevant to biodiversity (Table 1).
Table 1. Defra R&D programmes which have some relevance to biodiversity
Defra R&D Programme Biodiversity relevant research Biodiversity Current programme under Review Wildlife Management Aspects of control of populations of wild animals Marine Marine biodiversity Sustainable Farming Systems and Aspects of biodiversity as affected by farming Biodiversity practice Environmental Stewardship Evidence to support of the ES Scheme, including practical aspects which affect biodiversity Soils Soil biodiversity Air Quality Some aspects of air quality impacts on biodiversity Water Quality Some aspects of impacts of water quality on biodiversity Ecosystem Approach and Natural Development of the Ecosystem Approach including Environment Economics development and use of improved understanding of the value of biodiversity Climate Change Adaptation Assessing risks of climate change impacts in accordance with the Climate Change Act Flood Management Some aspects of the impact of flood and coastal erosion risk management activities on biodiversity
xv 1.4 Non R&D Budget The Biodiversity Evidence Non R&D budget supports evidence activities that do not meet the definition of R&D set out in the Frascati manual1.
'Research and experimental development (R&D) comprises creative work undertaken on a systematic basis in order to increase the stock of knowledge, including knowledge of man, culture and society, and the use of this stock of knowledge to devise new applications'.
The Non-R&D budget is therefore used to fund the following evidence activities:
• Routine or ongoing monitoring that is not addressing a specific research question; • Mapping or inventory work; • The collation of existing data (for example through the National Biodiversity Network); or • The provision of scientific advice (for example on trade in endangered species).
This Non R&D budget is not included in the current Review.
1.5 Policy History There have been significant developments in biodiversity policy and science over the period of this review and these have been reflected in the evidence needs within Defra and therefore the research priorities of the Biodiversity Research Programme.
The key policy developments are illustrated in the time-line which is shown in Annex A. Perhaps the most influential development was agreement to the International Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), which was signed in Rio in 1992. This led to the UK Biodiversity Action Plan (BAP) in 1994, which has subsequently been translated into Country biodiversity strategies including the England Biodiversity Strategy after devolution in 1998, and contributed to the development of the Sustainable Development Strategy. The England Biodiversity Strategy (Working with the Grain of Nature) was published in 2002. The Biodiversity Action Plan includes targets and actions for priority species and habitats. The approach to conserving biodiversity in the UK depends upon partnership – partnerships involving statutory, voluntary, scientific and business sectors – to deliver more biodiversity, for its own intrinsic value, for the vital life-support services it provides, and because it enriches the lives of people. Over the last decade overarching international and European biodiversity targets have provided a new focus to our work. At the World Summit on Sustainable Development in 2002, the international community agreed to achieve a significant reduction in the loss of biodiversity by 2010, whilst in 2001 in Gothenburg, EU Heads of Government agreed the target to halt biodiversity loss across Europe by 2010. Work at the international level, such as the Millennium Ecosystems Assessment in 2006, has also developed our understanding of the importance of biodiversity. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment placed an emphasis on biodiversity, its role in ecosystems and the delivery of ecosystem goods and services and the contribution to human wellbeing, and led to Defra developing its Ecosystem Approach Action Plan. The current international study on ‘The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity’ (TEEB) will improve understanding about the value of the natural environment.
Our framework for conserving biodiversity in the UK has always been influenced by International and European factors. EU Directives (such as the Birds and Habitats Directives), and international conventions (such as the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) and the Convention in International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES)) provide
1 http://www.oecd.org/document/6/0,3343,en_2649_34451_33828550_1_1_1_1,00.html
xvi the backdrop to our domestic biodiversity work. Defra has a role in shaping and delivering international agreements.
Key domestic biodiversity legislative changes post 1995 include the Countryside and Rights of Way Act 2000, which refined conservation initiatives started in the Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981 (as amended), placing a duty on the Secretary of State and Defra to carry out functions with regard to conserving biodiversity and strengthened the protection provided to Sites of Special Scientific Interest. In addition, the Natural Environment and Rural Communities Act (2006) placed a duty on all local authorities and other public authorities in England and Wales to promote and enhance biodiversity in all of their functions, strengthened wildlife protection measures (including to address the threats from invasive non native species), and made some minor changes to the SSSI legislative regime.
Working with the Grain of Nature contained an essay on the issue of invasive non-native species and anticipated the report of a wide-ranging policy review of the subject. The report was delivered in 2003, and in 2004 a GB Forum was established to instigate dialogue. In 2005 the government established the GB Non-native Species Programme Board, followed in 2006 by a supporting GB Non-native Species Secretariat and the launch of the Invasive Non-native Species Framework Strategy for Great Britain in 20082.
Working with the Grain of Nature: Taking it Forward, Volume 1 (2007) included the establishment of the England Biodiversity Climate Change Workstream, and set particular targets and a work programme covering 2006-2010, including improving our evidence base and understanding of impacts and projected impacts of climate change on biodiversity and ecosystems.
There has also been an increasing need to understand and manage the impacts of climate change stimulated by reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the publication of the Stern Report on the economics of climate change in 2006. This latter report emphasised the economic costs of impacts on biodiversity and associated effects on delivery of goods and services and the importance of tackling climate change and taking a different approach to conservation. It stated: “For those species that can move rapidly in line with the changing climate, finding new food and suitable living conditions could prove challenging. Climate change will require nature conservation efforts to extend out from the current approach of fixed protected areas. Conservation efforts will increasingly be required to operate at the landscape scale with larger contiguous tracts of land that can better accommodate species movement.”
Biodiversity policies and priorities are also reflected in government commitments such as Public Service Agreements (PSA). Of particular relevance to the biodiversity policies are the current Natural Environment PSA (PSA 28-‘to deliver a healthy natural environment for today and the future’), as well as earlier PSAs such as those on Farmland Birds (to reverse the long term decline in the number of farmland birds by 2020) and Sites of Special Scientific Interests (to achieve 95% of SSSI area in favourable or recovering condition by December 2010). Defra is the lead partner for PSA 28. Five key indicators will assess progress in meeting this PSA, including data on wild bird populations in England as a proxy for the health of wider biodiversity.
The developments illustrated on the time-line in Table 2 reflect the shift in political importance attributed to biodiversity and an improved understanding of the benefits it brings – including ecosystem services and human wellbeing. Changes in the evidence requirements to support changes in priorities are reflected in the changes in the Biodiversity Research Programme, both in the types of projects commissioned and in the funding profile. The Biodiversity Research Programme aims to support the evidence requirements of Defra’s Biodiversity Programme. Some 145 biodiversity projects (excluding marine) were
2 see http://www.nonnativespecies.org/
xvii delivered between 1995 and 2008, and while the Programme did not start out with themed research topics, instead being largely responsive to the need to address emerging evidence requirements, the project summaries have been grouped under the following six themes for the purposes of this review:
1. Threats to Biodiversity 2. Economics & Ecosystems 3. International Biodiversity 4. Habitats and Species 5. Countryside Survey 6. Indicators and Monitoring 3
The changes over time in the funding profile for projects delivered under each of these themes are illustrated in Figures 2-4 in Section 1.10. This reflects a shift from research involving audit and accounting for biodiversity (habitats and species), towards identification of threats and ways to deal with them, and more proactive management to deal with future threats.
The key considerations for the review of completed projects are given in Section 1.11, and those for consideration of the future research requirements are given in Section 2.
3 The R&D programme does not fund data collection as part of ongoing monitoring, but does fund the development and testing of new protocols and the novel analysis of monitoring data.
xviii Table 2. Time line showing legislation / international agreements / government targets or other publications or events (greyed cells) that influenced policy needs for evidence during the period of the review, 1995-2008. Date Policy items Other events that influenced policy
1971 Ramsar 1973 CITES. 1976 Man and Biosphere 1976 Dangerous Wild Animals Act 1979 Birds, 79/049 EEC 1981 Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981
Pre Review 1981 Zoos Act 1981 1985 Bonn 1990 IPCC 1st report 1991 Countryside Stewardship 1992 CBD 1994 92/42 EEC (Habitats Directive) 1994 UK BAP 1994 Eurobats
1995 IPCC 2nd report
1995 African-Eurasian Migratory Waterbird Agreement 1997 UKCIP starts (scenarios published 2002) 1997 Bern 1997 The COTES Regulations 1997 (COTES) 1997 EC Regulations (338/97 and 1808/01) 1998 devolution 1998 England Forestry Strategy
Period of the Review 1999 Zoos Directive 2000 Water Framework Directive (WFD), 2000/60 EC
2000 CROW-Act 2000 2000 England Rural Development Strategy (ERDP)
2000 Climate Change Programme (revised in 2000) 2001 Defra created 2001 IPCC 3rd report 2001 Heads of European Government at the European Summit in Gothenburg agreement to halt the decline of biodiversity across Europe by 2010 2001 Global Biodiversity Information Facility, starts
2001 Defra Objectives set
2002 UKCIP02 climate projections published 2002 Environment Research Funders Forum (ERFF) 2002 Working with the Grain of Nature: a biodiversity strategy for England 2005 Environmental Stewardship 2005 UK Government Strategy for Sustainable Development Securing the Future. 2005 Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2006 Climate Change Programme
2006 Natural Environment and Rural Communities Act (NERC) 2006 Local Sites Guidance 2006 Defra Strategy Refresh 2006 Stern Report 2006 Climate Change Programme (revised)
xix 2007 Working with the Grain of Nature-taking it forward: Volume 1 progress 2002-2006 2007 Working with the Grain of Nature-taking it forward Volume 2-indicators 2007 England Forestry Strategy 2007 Ecosystem Approach 2007 IPCC 4th report
2008 GB Invasive Non-native Species Strategy 2008 Climate Change Act 2008 PSA 27 Climate Change 2008 PSA 28 Natural Environment 2008 Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) created 2008 The economics of ecosystems and biodiversity (TEEB)-First phase interim report 2009 Biodiversity Core Policy aims
2009 UKCIP probabilistic climate projections published 2009 Defra Departmental Objectives
2009 Defra Objectives set 2010 Wildlife Management Strategy 2010 PSA SSSI target date 2010 Wildlife Management Strategy (in progress) Post Review 2010 Gothenburg: to halt loss of biodiversity across Europe target date 2014 IPCC 5th report due 2015 WFD Good ecological status of FW target date 2020 PSA Farmland Bird target date
1.6 Defra’s Priorities and Objectives Defra was created from a merger of the then Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food (MAFF) and the Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions (DETR) in 2001 with the purpose of securing a healthy environment in which we and future generations can prosper.
Defra’s current priorities are to:
1. secure a healthy natural environment for us all and deal with environmental risks; 2. promote a sustainable, low-carbon and resource-efficient economy; and 3. ensure a thriving farming sector and a sustainable, healthy and secure food supply.
The first of these priorities is most relevant to this review. Defra also has Departmental Strategic Objectives (DSO). The DSOs most relevant to this review are listed below:
DSO 1: Adapting to climate change A society that is adapting to the effects of climate change, through a national programme of action and a contribution to international action. The national programme of action on adaptation in England is being taken forward by the Adapting to Climate Change Programme. This is a cross-government programme led by Defra. This DSO shapes the delivery of all of our priorities as well as the delivery of cross-government objectives.
xx DSO 2: A healthy natural environment To protect and enhance the natural environment, and to encourage its sustainable use within environmental limits. Defra works to protect and enhance the natural environment and to encourage its sustainable use within environmental limits. We aim to ensure that the air we breathe and the water we drink are clean, that the management of land, fresh water and the seas is sustainably productive, that our landscapes and biodiversity are protected, and that people understand, enjoy and care for the natural environment.
1.7 Biodiversity Policy Responsibilities and Objective
1.7.1 Policy Objective The principal objective of Defra’s biodiversity policy is for biodiversity to be valued, protected and enhanced.
1.7.2 Policy Responsibilities As indicated previously, the key purpose of the Biodiversity Research Programme is to support the evidence requirements of the Biodiversity Programme4. The work areas within the Biodiversity Programme are: • Protected Areas (international and national) • Embedding Biodiversity in Policy and Decision Making • Priority Habitats and Species • Farmland Birds • International Biodiversity • Invasive Non Native Species • Wildlife Protection and Management (including species conservation, wildlife crime, zoos) • Climate Change and Biodiversity • Wildlife Management Strategy • Enthusing People
A summary of key policies, legislation, commitments and events relevant to biodiversity is given in Annex A to accompany the chronological order shown in Table 2.
1.8 Science and Policy Objectives of the Biodiversity Research Programme
ROAME stands for Rationale, Objectives, Appraisal, Monitoring, and Evaluation. ROAME is a process that requires a clear and succinct statement of the commissioning organisation’s rationale for funding research in the ROAME statement. The Biodiversity Research Programme only accommodates projects that fit within ROAME statements. There are two ROAME statements for the Biodiversity Programme, one to service domestic needs and the other to service international policy needs, each states both policy and scientific objectives.
Detailed expenditure on projects under themes each year is given in Annex B, but summary graphs are presented in Section 1.10, with short summary text explaining peak expenditures and policy relevance under each theme.
4 The Biodiversity Programme, established at the beginning of 2008, is largely composed of the activities of two previous Defra’s policy areas: Wildlife and Species Conservation (WSC) and Wildlife Habitats and Biodiversity (WHB). Prior to 2006, the work undertaken by WSC and WHB was undertaken by European Wildlife Division which was responsible for policy relating to UK and European wildlife legislation, and Global Wildlife Division which was responsible for policy relating to international wildlife agreements. xxi 1.8.1 Domestic ROAME Domestic ROAME statement written 19/04/08 (for review in 2009): The Domestic Biodiversity Assessment Unit provides evidence to underpin policy development within Defra’s Biodiversity Programme.
Domestic Policy Objectives
1. Site protection and biodiversity policy: • the best wildlife sites (SSSIs, EU sites) protected and managed effectively
• priority species and habitats conserved and enhanced, increasingly through emphasis on habitat restoration and re-creation at a landscape scale, as part of the shift to an ecosystems approach
• climate change adaptation integrated into site, species and habitat management
• biodiversity embedded in all sectors of policy and decision making
• a consistent and transparent approach to wildlife management
• the public enthused, and volunteering in increasing numbers
• a fit-for-purpose evidence base to record progress and plan future action
• conserve and enhance natural ecosystems and biodiversity
• implement measures as required by Natural Environment PSA and Departmental Intermediate Objectives on biodiversity
• 95% of SSSI area in target condition by 2010
• action taken to deliver the WSSD target of reducing the rate of loss of biodiversity by 2010, and the Gothenburg target of halting it within Europe by the same date
• improve our understanding of climate change and how to implement adaptation policies to allow biodiversity to adapt over the next 20-50 years
• update the UK Biodiversity Action Plan and England Biodiversity Strategy and in particular, improve our ability to report on status and trends in biodiversity and to make best use of the existing data and information for policy development and appraisal, by March 2010
2. Species protection and non-native species policy • implement the wildlife protection provisions of relevant European Union Directives, plus other relevant international agreements and conventions, by means of domestic legislation for the protection of species
• to sustainably manage wildlife populations while resolving conflicts with humans and limiting the spread of non-native species:
• identify and implement strategies for the identification, interception and management of invasive non-native species.
• develop higher standards in zoos
3. Protection of wildlife from crime and illegal international trade
• enforce the regulation of trade in endangered species and implement measures to prevent wildlife crime
xxii
Domestic Science Objectives 1. Site protection and biodiversity policy in the UK • to undertake analysis of Countryside Survey results during 2008 to provide an updated evidence base for the natural resource protection programme on the status, condition and long-term trends in broad habitats, landscape features, soil and freshwaters and report results in stages from 2008 to 2010.
• to undertake studies which improve the knowledge of the current status and trends, autecology and taxonomy of BAP species where this knowledge is lacking and is necessary to enable progress towards the targets of Biodiversity Action Plan by 2010.
• to develop and implement a scientifically robust, cost-effective site-based monitoring network by 2008 which will enable the assessment of the impact of atmospheric pollution and climate change on UK biodiversity to inform activities aimed at improving condition of SSSIs and adaptation to climate change.
• to commission studies to improve our understanding of the effects of climate change on biodiversity, the implication for nature conservation policy, and effectiveness of adaptation options by 2009 in order that mitigation and adaptation strategies can be planned on the best available evidence.
• to improve our understanding of the role of biodiversity in ecosystem functioning and the provision of ecosystem goods and services, and the implications for nature conservation policy, by 2010, in particular through a funding contribution to the Biodiversa European Research Area Network.
• to develop new indicators as agreed by the UK Biodiversity Partnership Standing Committee to assist in measuring progress towards the EU target of ‘halting biodiversity loss by 2010’ and to provide improvements for existing UK and EBS indicators where necessary by 2009.
2. Species protection and non-native species policy • to support the Department’s wildlife legislative and regulatory functions by ensuring that decisions are evidence based and in particular to review and assess the level of compliance with the Restriction of the use of lead shot regulation in England to provide an evidence base for an action plan to target areas or sectors where compliance is low (and evaluate whether existing hunting bag data schemes can be developed as tools for monitoring the UK harvest of birds).
• to build the evidence base on trade in wild birds, including an assessment of how important wild bird trade is to the livelihoods of local people, the impact of trade on conservation status of raptors, and the impacts of a ban on wild bird trade on illegal trade to enable the department to make objective decisions on wild bird trade.
• to ensure surveillance and reporting of non-native invasive species is sufficient to assess the risks to favourable conservation status for UK BAP priority habitats.
3. Protection of wildlife from crime and illegal international trade • to develop improved forensic methods for detecting wildlife crime and regulating the use of endangered species held in captivity and in particular to develop genetic techniques for the forensic identification of birds of prey held in captivity and CITES- listed basking shark, bushmeat, and timber and wood products by 2008.
• to review UK zoos’ contribution to conservation and education.
xxiii 1.8.2 International Biodiversity ROAME International ROAME statement written 09/04/08 (for review in 2012)
International Policy Objectives
1. Identifying patterns of biodiversity change • to influence global initiatives to analyse and explain patterns of biodiversity loss, so as to identify key areas for policy action and further research.
2. Identifying the drivers of biodiversity loss • increase understanding of drivers of biodiversity loss; and of how these will change in the future, as well as the effectiveness of policy responses in order to make decisions on the balance of efforts on biodiversity Conventions and on investments in biodiversity.
3. Biodiversity and ecosystem services • to communicate with more impact the magnitude of the threat to biodiversity, and hence the impacts on society by providing better evidence, and promoting wider understanding of, the implications of biodiversity loss for human society, and in particular to:
o ensure that biodiversity is given due consideration in the development aid process, recognising the important role of biodiversity in the achievement of the MDGs;
o influence business to minimise and mitigate impacts on global biodiversity and encourage sustainable trade by UK business; explore possibilities for further engagement with the business sector for integrating biodiversity into their business plans by COP 9;
o promote integration of biodiversity concerns into sustainable consumption and production schemes and projects; and ensure biodiversity concerns are reflected in the development of services to provide consumers with information on sustainable choices;
o emphasise the link between biodiversity and ecosystem services and on to human welfare.
4. Biodiversity and human conflicts • work to secure sustainable trade in species, for the benefit of human livelihood and underpinned by effective scientific monitoring, adaptive management and capacity building.
5. Biodiversity and climate change • achieve and promote a better understanding of the impacts of climate change on biodiversity and of the role of biodiversity in mitigating climate change effects, and identify appropriate means for the integration of biodiversity considerations into climate change policies.
xxiv 6. New and emerging issues and horizon scanning • the Assessment Unit will retain flexibility to address new and emerging science issues relevant to the policy and science objectives and it will actively ‘horizon scan’ to ensure that these new areas are identified promptly.
International Science Objectives
Specific scientific objectives will be developed (with the specifications for individual projects) within a framework for research contributing to the following areas:
1. Identifying patterns of biodiversity change • the early identification of new areas of high biodiversity loss;
• improved modelling and scenarios of biodiversity loss, including where most biodiversity loss is likely to happen geographically;
• a better focus for the work of the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) on provision of information on global biodiversity change.
2. Drivers of biodiversity loss • improved identification of drivers of biodiversity loss, and on how these are likely to change in the future;
• information, from experience in their application, of tools for addressing drivers of biodiversity loss and under what scenarios to apply them;
• information on the impacts of HMG international (non biodiversity) policy on biodiversity.
3. Biodiversity and ecosystem services • to understand the application of valuation methodologies in developing countries and the use of valuation in decision making;
• to understand the development of tools to capture values and how these have been applied to achieve environmental and developmental goals;
• methodologies and approaches for ‘scale up’ of successful initiatives;
• improved understanding of ecosystem functioning including its contribution to meeting societal needs;
• improved understanding of the benefits to UK citizens from global biodiversity and to explore suitable methodologies for valuing these benefits.
4. Biodiversity / human conflicts • improved understanding of human-wildlife conflicts including from analysis of how these have been addressed at local level, and how successful approaches can be scaled up;
• improved information to inform sustainable trade in species, including on impacts of trade on biodiversity and on human livelihoods.
5. Biodiversity and climate change • improved understanding of the impacts of climate change on biodiversity;
• improved understanding of the role of biodiversity in mitigating climate change effects. xxv 6. New and emerging issues The Assessment Unit will retain flexibility to address new and emerging science issues relevant to the policy and science objectives. It will undertake an early review of evidence needs and gaps for International Biodiversity Policy and will actively ‘horizon scan’ to ensure that these new areas are identified promptly.
1.9 Biodiversity Research Programme Defra’s Evidence and Innovation Strategy (2005-2008) identified strategic needs and where these had been met by research delivered. It also identified outstanding gaps against those needs. The research delivered against strategic needs is summarised and presented according to the themes used in this review and is given in Annex C. The gaps are reproduced in the Future Opportunities for Research document in Section 2.
The Defra Science handbook sets out the formal processes for research procurement.
Each year in August or September, the Biodiversity Evidence (R&D and Non R&D) programme manager writes to Deputy Directors and Team leaders in the relevant policy teams, asking them to identify strategic evidence needs or specific project proposals for the forthcoming financial year. At the same time the Science Team engages directly with policy colleagues to draft project proposals in support of their strategic evidence needs. These draft project proposals are sent out for consultation to other biodiversity research funders both within and outside Defra, to ensure no duplication of research funding and to identify opportunities for collaboration. A separate meeting is held with NERC Swindon, because they are the largest biodiversity research funder in the UK.
All project proposals, together with consultee comments are tabled at a Research Priorities Group (RPG) meeting, usually held in December of each year. The RPG is chaired by Defra’s Head of Natural Environment Science and has representatives from the policy and science teams within the Biodiversity Programme. Representatives of the Welsh Assembly Government, Scottish Government, Joint Nature Conservation Committee and Natural England are also invited to comment on research priorities. The RPG assigns a priority to each proposal on a scale of 1-5:
Where the project is essential for policy development Essential because there is a gap in the evidence base and where commitment (1) there is a manifesto or other public Ministerial commitment. Where the project is essential for policy development Essential (no because there is a gap in the evidence base but where Priority commitment) (2) there is not a manifesto or other Ministerial commitment. Where the project is highly desirable for policy Highly desirable development and would significantly enhance the degree (3) of confidence in the evidence base. Desirable to refine the evidence base when resources Desirable (4) permit. Rejected (5) Not suitable for Defra funding.
Projects with the highest priority rating are then added to the programme, as funding allows. Once projects are accepted into the programme, they are assigned a Project Officer (PO) from the science team or from the relevant policy team. Projects with a policy team PO are assigned a liaison officer from the Science Team. The Project Officer then develops and lets the projects in accordance with standard Defra procedures set out in the Science Handbook.
1.10 Funding Profile and Financial Review The funding profile of the Biodiversity Research Programme is illustrated in several graphs, but given in detail according to theme in Annex B. xxvi
Figure 2 shows the profile over the time period 1995-2008 of the Defra Biodiversity Research Programme expenditure according to six themes: Threats to Biodiversity, Economics & Ecosystems, International Biodiversity, Habitats & Species, Countryside Survey and Indicators & Monitoring. The Countryside Survey theme, involves a unique project that serves many different policy areas in addition to biodiversity.
Figure 3 shows the total contributions from the Biodiversity Research Programme budget to each theme. Figure 4 shows the total contributions from partners to each theme. The number of projects under each theme is summarised in Table 3. The changes in expenditure across the time period 1995-2008, under each theme, can be related to key policy events in the time line (Table 2) and are summarised briefly in the following text.
Figure 2 Biodiversity Research Programme expenditure on research projects by theme over time* (not including marine or landscape projects) Defra expenditure on projects by theme 1,800,000
1,600,000
1,400,000 Countryside 1,200,000 Survey International
1,000,000 Economics & ecosystems Species & habitats 800,000 Indicators & monitoring 600,000 Threats to
Expenditure, Expenditure, £ Biodiversity
400,000
200,000
0 96_97 97_98 98_99 99_00 00_01 01_02 02_03 03_04 04_05 05_06 06_07 07_08 08_09 Year *Note that the total budget of the Biodiversity Research Programme included expenditure on marine and landscape projects, which are not included in this Review. In some years the marine and landscape projects amounted to £600,000-£800,000; this accounts for much of the year to year variation in the overall level of funding for biodiversity research, especially between 2002 and 2007.
xxvii Figure 3 Total expenditure for the Biodiversity Research Programme projects, 1995-2008 by theme (not including marine or landscape projects) Defra expenditure by theme 6,000,000
5,000,000
4,000,000
3,000,000 Expenditure, Expenditure, £ 2,000,000
1,000,000
0 1 International Economics & ecostystems Habitats and Species Indicators and monitoring Threats to Biodiversity Countryside Survey Theme
Figure 4 Total contributions from our partners to the Biodiversity Research Programme projects, 1995-2008 by theme (not including marine or landscape projects) Collaboration expenditure by theme
12,000,000
10,000,000
8,000,000
6,000,000 Expenditure, Expenditure, £
4,000,000
2,000,000
0
International Economics & ecostystems Habitats and Species Indicators and monitoring Threats to Biodiversity Countryside Survey
Theme
The total contribution from partners to Countryside Survey over 1995-2008 period was approximately £10.2m, while the total expenditure from the Defra Biodiversity Budget was £5.9m (see Annex B for tables of expenditure under the Countryside Survey theme for details)
Table 3 Numbers of projects under each theme in the Biodiversity Research Programme 1995- 2008 Theme N Threats to biodiversity 33 Economics & ecosystems 13 International biodiversity 20 Habitats & species 42 Countryside Survey 14 Indicators & monitoring 23 Total 145
xxviii 1. Threats to Biodiversity (33 projects)
Figure 2 shows peaks in expenditure from the Biodiversity Research Programme under the threats to biodiversity theme during 1996/7, 199/00, 2001/02,and 2004/05, but some expenditure on this theme between 1999 and 2008. The Biodiversity Research Programme contributed a total of £1,631,875 to the theme, while partners contributed total of £1,582,508 (mainly toward two climate change prediction projects: Accelerates and Monarch 3) during this time (Figures 3 and 4). Monarch 3 was a project which modelled potential effects of climate change in the future on a range of species, and it cost the Biodiversity Research programme £19,999 with a contribution of £312,000 from partners between 2005 and 2007.
The peak in 01/02 was due to 2 projects: Starling and Sparrow Decline that continued into the next year and cost a total £174,347 and the New Plant Atlas: The Changing Flora of the UK (covering 1987-1999) that went on until 2004 and cost a total of £28,783 with a contribution from partners of £37,610.
The period 2002-2005 includes the costs for Climate Change, Land Use and Biodiversity (Accelerates), which cost a total of £43,676, but it involved some EU coverage and had contributions from partners of £1,100,000.
The peak in 1999/01 was mainly due to two climate change projects: Integrated Climate Change and Climate Change UK, which cost £59,874 and £85,515 respectively, as well as a small project to examine drivers of countryside change.
The peak in 2004/05 was also mainly due to two climate change projects: completion of Accelerates, and Climate Change and Migratory species, which cost £60,122 and one project called Standard Methodology to assess the risk to species.
These projects can be related to evidence needs for the UK BAP published in 1994, the Gothenberg commitment in 2001 to halt the decline of biodiversity by 2010, and recognition of the threat to biodiversity posed by climate change, possibly also related to the first IPCC report in 1995.
Climate change projects during the period included Monarch (2005-07) which had partnership funding of £312,000, Towards Adaptation to Climate Change (in 2005/06), Conservation of Biodiversity in a Changing Climate (2005/6) and the climate change workshop in 2008/9. The project: Habitat Connectivity - the ecological basis for landscape permeability, facilitating adaptive response of species to climate change in 2007/8 had partnership contributions of funding of £43,000.
These projects demonstrate the increasing need and activities to address the threat to biodiversity from climate change, which was identified as a major threat to biodiversity in the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment in 2005, the 4th IPCC report in 2006 and in the first reporting round of the England Biodiversity Strategy, Working with the Grain of Nature- taking it Forward Volume 1, covering 2002-2006, and published in 2007. In addition, the Potential Impacts of Future Energy Policy on UK Biodiversity project over 2003-2006 was managed by the Biodiversity Research Programme’s science team, but funded entirely by partners (£49,000) demonstrates the need to understand relationships between policies for biodiversity and emerging policies for energy that sought to mitigate climate change (Climate Change Programme, 2006, as updated from 2000)
Other projects under the threats to biodiversity theme during the review period included Nitrogen Atmospheric Pollution Impacts on Biodiversity developed between 2003 and 2005, which modelled the potential effect of nitrogen deposition on Priority Habitats, partly as a result of evidence of eutrophication from Countryside Survey results for 1998 that reported in 2000. The project explored implications on i) the Public Service Agreement target for achieving favourable condition on Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSIs); and ii) Biodiversity Action Plan targets for priority habitats and species and related indicators of biodiversity. xxix
There were two projects on bats, one related to the Eurobats agreement in 1994, and one addressing the effects of energy policy and biodiversity.
Several projects on lead shot (1996-2000 costing £20,844 and 2006/7 costing £20,000) were undertaken to review and assess the level of compliance, and hence the effectiveness, of the Environmental Protection (Restriction of the Use of Lead Shot) (England) Regulations 1999 (as amended). The hunting bag statistics (2003/4) cost £22,270 and was undertaken to help inform policy to ensure that the practice of hunting complies with the principles of wise use and ecologically balanced control of the species of birds concerned as part of the United Kingdom’s (UK) government’s obligations under the European Birds Directive (Council Directive 79/409/EEC).
The projects under the threats to biodiversity theme inform a wide range of policies as well as those related directly to biodiversity.
2. Economics & Ecosystems (13 projects)
The projects categorised under the economics and ecosystems theme in 1996/7 through to 1998 were mainly concerned with land use, agriculture and CAP reform. More ecosystem focussed projects started after 1998/99 with a biosphere reserves project, which is related to our involvement in The United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organisation (UNESCO). Most of the ecosystems evaluation projects arise late in the programme, 2007/08 and are related to the response to the Millennium Ecosystem assessment in 2006 and Defra’s adoption of the Ecosystem Approach in 2007. Many of the economics and ecosystems projects have an international scope, but some of them also focussed on human well being while the larger, later projects focused on ways of valuing ecosystems and biodiversity. Only one project under this theme had funding contribution from partners - it was £54 000 towards Human Health and Wellbeing Through Countryside Recreation in 2004/5. The large peak in expenditure under the economics and ecosystems theme, in 2008/9 was due to 3 projects, the largest of which was The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) phase 2 part 1: Development of Valuation Framework. The other large project was An Evaluation of Economic and Non-Economic Techniques for Assessing the Importance of Biodiversity to People in Developing Countries.
The Biodiversity Research Programme contributed a total of £650,900 while partners contributed a total of £54,000 to projects under the economics and ecosystems theme during 1995-2008 (Figures 3 and 4).
3. International Biodiversity (20 projects)
The international biodiversity theme covers a wide range of policy areas, including zoos and international trade and protection of species, with some projects focussing on plants and others focussing on particular animal species or more generally based.
The Biodiversity Research Programme contributed a total of £993,698, while partners contributed total of £172,000 to projects under the theme between 1995 and 2008 (Figures 3 and 4).
Figure 2 shows peak expenditures under the international theme during 2002/3, which is associated with 5 projects, while that in 2005/6 is associated with 6 projects, 4 of which carried over into 2006/7. The peak in 2003/4 is associated with 2 projects that carried over since 2001/02.
Plant projects included Scientific Advice on Plant Trade (2001-2004), which cost £261,252. Traditional medicines (2001-2005) provided insight into the medicinal values of plants and cost £67,500 with additional contribution from partners of £68,000. xxx
CITES specific projects included CITES Capacity Building (2001-2006), which cost £103,568 and attracted partnership funding of £58,000
There were four projects on zoos, which cost a total of £227,000, with contributions from partners to one project of £35,000. The projects were for assessment of zoo practices from 1998 to 2000, performance of inspectors from 2002 to 2004, elephant husbandry from 2004- 2007 (which cost £61,000 and attracted the partnership funding), and the education contribution project from 2008 to 2009. These projects were all related to evidence needs for policy to comply with the Zoo Licensing Act 1981 amendment (England and Wales) and later to comply with the EU Zoos Directive in 1999.
There were four projects in DNA labelling to identify origins of imported species, and they illustrate the increasing use of this technique for meeting obligations under CITES and COTES, from the DNA feather project (1997 to 1998), through the DNA tiger bone project (1998 to 2001), the DNA birds of prey project (2004-2007) to the DNA bushmeat project in 2005-7.
The DNA bushmeat project in 2005 to 2007 followed the bushmeat project in 2000 to 2002, and was run concurrently with the bushmeat research and recommendations to HMG project in 2005 to 2007. The total cost of all three of the bushmeat projects was £54,167.
Bird projects included Raptors in Guinea (2005/6) which cost £25,000, and Wild Birds Trade (2007/08) which cost £7,000, but gave a comprehensive analysis of international imports and exports of wild birds.
4. Habitats and Species (42 projects)
Projects under this theme can be grouped into habitats, species, non native species, and more general projects. There were peaks in expenditure between 1999 and 2002, and again in 2003/04. The Biodiversity Research Programme contributed a total of £3,230,339 while partners contributed total of £443,353 to projects under the theme between 1995 and 2008 (Figures 3 and 4). One project stands out among the habitat projects, and that is the Environmental Benefits of Domestic Gardens, which cost the Biodiversity Research Programme £50,000, but received contribution from partners of £132,353, between 2003 and 2007. It was the first systematic appraisal of gardens as a habitat and wildlife resource across different kinds of urban area in the UK, and fed into Biodiversity Action Plans for urban areas, research on urban ecology, and debates about sustainable urban development. The Important hedgerows project (1998-2000) cost £111,528 and fed into the Hedgerow BAP. There were three projects on trees between 1999 and 2002, costing a total of £354,000. Other more general projects include the cost of implementing BAPs (2000-2002), which cost £34,000; Biodiversity Research Support (1999-2002), which cost £161,000 and was used for collaboration with the Biodiversity Research Group to indentify research needs including needs for monitoring and indicators to advise the UK BAP; and Sites of Local Importance (2001-2002), which cost £65,000 and led to development of Local Site Guidance in April 2006.
During the period of the review, there were 5 projects mainly on control of non native species, amounting to a total of £1,393,299 from the Biodiversity Research Programme, although there was a large expenditure on research to support the eradication of the Ruddy Duck (£896,097) between 1998 and 2003, and another costing £250,000 on further Ruddy Duck research in 2003/4. There was no contribution from partners to these projects. There were £311,000 worth of contributions from partners towards other non native species projects. These projects included research on introductions of water birds (1998-2001), musk deer (2001-2005), and control of Japanese knotweed (2003-2007), the latter was the most expensive of the three and cost the Biodiversity Research Programme £160,000, with a contribution of £301,000 from partners.
xxxi There was one project to analyse non native species legislation in 2001/2 which cost £10,000, and fed into the development of the GB Non Native Species Strategy that was published in 2008.
Nearly all of the projects in this theme inform the policies under CBD, EU and domestic BAP, and various legislation for protected sites, including the Birds and Habitats Directives.
5. Countryside Survey (14 projects)
The Countryside Survey theme has been separated from the indicators and monitoring theme because Countryside Survey collects an integrated data set from a representative sample of the British landscape, and it informs many policy areas as well as biodiversity. Other policy research budgets, within Defra, such as agri environment, soils, and water quality, also contribute to the project. Countryside Survey is a unique world-leading survey that delivers robust scientific evidence about stock and change of terrestrial and freshwater habitats, and changes in biodiversity in the countryside. It is a partnership project that is funded by partners including NERC, the devolved administrations and agencies. The survey is not continuous, but gives a periodic audit of habitats and landscape features every 6-9 years, to assess extent and change between surveys.
There have been two Countryside Surveys during the period of the review, one was undertaken in 1998, which reported in 2000 and the other was undertaken in 2007, but Countryside Survey has also been undertaken in 1990, 1984 and 1978 which has produced a database spanning 30 years. Each survey progresses through several projects involving preparations, execution and review. Figure 2 shows the expenditure from the Biodiversity Research Budget on Countryside Survey between 1995 and 2008. Between 1997 and 1998, there was a Feasibility Project, and a data validation project (where Countryside Survey results were compared with Environment Change Network data to check for yearly variation that may have influenced the results). The main survey was in 1998, and reporting on these result took some time, so the project ran from 1997 to 2003, and funding was provided for special reports (Freshwater between 1997-2003, Land Cover Map between 1998 and 2002, Results and Pilot indicators between 2002-2005, and a review of the survey (Focus) between 2003 and 2004). There were 3 projects to develop a web accessible tool to enable others to interrogate the database (Countryside Information System (CIS)). The Biodiversity Research Programme contributed £2,901,939, while partners contributed £2,073,102 during this time.
This survey was quickly followed by a scoping study and preparations between 2004 and 2007 for the next survey in 2007. The survey in 2007 is the only project included in the review that was not completed in 2008, it will complete in 2010, but the UK/GB and the first ever country level reports were published in 2009. The funding profile for the 2007 survey has been spread across the life of the project, so the figures must be viewed with this in mind. NERC contributes 45%, and the rest of the costs are met by partners (Figure 4) and Defra according to a funding formula related to the representative sample of each country. Defra contributes 35%.
Countryside Survey is the only source of information to report on Hedgerows and Arable Field Margin BAP targets. It also provides information for Priority Ponds in the wider landscape. In 1998 it reported signals of eutrophication based on changes in the vegetation communities, which was identified as a threat to biodiversity, and it also reported signals of losses of plant species richness in agricultural landscapes which led to development of agri environment schemes to reverse this decline. Countryside Survey also provides data for biodiversity indicators5; A4 which reports on trends in plant diversity in fields and field margins and A5, which reports on change in extent of farmland features, hedges, walls and ponds. The data has also been used for development of a new biodiversity indicator of habitat connectivity, to complete the suite required under EU and CBD as described under the Indicators and Monitoring Theme. Countryside Survey data can also be used to interpret
5 available at http://defraweb/wildlife-countryside/biodiversity/indicator.htm xxxii signals from other biodiversity indicators such as A1a populations of farmland birds in England and A1b, populations of butterflies on farmland in England. The information has a wide range of uses, including Natural England’s State of the Natural Environment Reports, and landscape quality assessments (see project 274, under the Indicators & Monitoring Theme).
6. Indicators & Monitoring (23 Projects)
The R&D programme does not fund data collection as part of ongoing monitoring, but does fund the development and testing of new protocols and the novel analysis of monitoring data. Figure 2 and Figure 3 show that the greatest expenditure from the Biodiversity Research Programme between 1995 and 2008, excluding Countryside Survey, was on the Indicators and Monitoring theme, approx £3.4m. Funding contributions from partners amounted to approx £1.6m (Figure 4).
The monitoring information is used to collect an inventory of habitats and species to enable us to appreciate the extent and changes in theses natural resources, and to provide the evidence base that can be used to identify possible causes of change. It also provides the data for development of indicators and reporting on the BAP targets, as well as at EU and CBD and some Government PSAs.
There are 3 main levels of targets, international targets and domestic, including PSAs.
International Targets: The Biodiversity Programme brings together our work towards meeting two important international targets to protect biodiversity: the 2001 agreement made by European Union Heads of State or Government that biodiversity decline should be halted with the aim of reaching this objective by 2010; and the 2002 agreement made by Heads of State at the UN World Summit on Sustainable Development to achieve by 2010 a significant reduction in the current rate of biodiversity loss at the global, regional and national level as a contribution to poverty alleviation and to the benefit of all life on Earth. The Water Framework Directive sets additional targets for most rivers and lakes.
Domestic targets and PSAs: Our two top-level targets are those arising from the 2004 Spending Review and are: reversing the long-term decline in the number of farmland birds by 2020 as measured annually against underlying trends; and bringing into favourable condition by 2010, 95% of the area of nationally important wildlife sites. The new PSA on the natural environment has 5 indicators (described at http://www.hm- treasury.gov.uk/d/pbr_csr07_psa28.pdf ).One of these is on Wild Birds as a proxy indicator of biodiversity.
These targets were chosen not only because they are important in their own right, but also for their value in representing a range of biodiversity outcomes, their linkage with actions taken by Government, and the availability of regular monitoring data. In the case of the farmland bird target success criteria have been established for the periods 2004-2006, 2009- 2014 and 2014-2020. The Natural Environment PSA target arising from the 2007 spending review, “to secure a healthy natural environment for today and the future”, which has biodiversity as one component, is less directly measurable and the biodiversity element is tracked by the proxy indicator of wild breeding bird populations (see below). The agreed success criteria for the wild bird indicator over the current CSR period is for the aggregate index (and its three component indices- farmland birds, woodland birds and water and wetland birds) to show no statistically significant decrease, or in the best case a statistically significant increase.
In addition to the PSA targets, in 2006, Government published targets for the existing list of UK priority habitats and species in England, as part of the England Biodiversity Strategy. These can be divided into those that aim to maintain the population or range of a species, or the extent or condition of a habitat (maintenance targets) and those that aim to increase the population or range of a species or to improve the condition or recreate habitats were xxxiii expressed in terms of the maintenance, restoration and expansion of habitats (enhancement targets) for 2010 and 2015. They included targets that explicitly recognised the shift to the ecosystem approach and the need to adapt to climate change, such as targets to increase the connectivity of populations, increase the patch-sizes of grassland habitats, and to establish landscape-scale wetlands. Collectively, these targets provide the milestones against which we assess progress towards the conservation of priority species and habitats, and represent an ambitious programme for reversing the declines of our priority species and habitats.
While the PSA targets cannot be achieved by Government acting alone, Government has underlined the shared nature of the BAP targets, emphasising that they require prioritisation of the limited resources available and better co-ordination of policies and programmes across Government and non-Governmental organisations. The targets have been regionalised, and as we embed them into Single Regional Strategies, they represent an important part of our policy advocacy at this level.
Since the publication of the BAP targets in 2006, a revised, longer list of priority species has been published. In England, the new delivery framework Securing Biodiversity emphasises delivery through integrated landscape-scale approaches that restore whole ecosystems. Natural England is leading the work being carried out through nine Biodiversity Integration groups to agree targets, which will integrate delivery for species, as far as possible. Separately, NE is leading a programme to deliver the most urgent species recovery actions where a bespoke approach is needed. Similar approaches are underway in each of the countries of the UK, and JNCC has been charged with proposing principles to maximise coherence across the UK for reporting purposes.
The expenditure on monitoring projects from the Biodiversity Research Programme amounted to £2,934,309 with contributions from partners of £1,226,785, with most of this towards MAGIC (Multi-Agency Geographic Information for the Countryside , www.magic.gov.uk) (£243,000) between 2001 and 2003 and research towards the development of the National Biodiversity Network (£115,516) between 2001 and 2005. The Biodiversity Research Programme also made a contribution of £430,890 to Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), between 2001 and 2008. While these projects did not involve monitoring, they provided an accessible information resource. They demonstrate both the partnership approach, and the increased emphasis on sharing and providing biodiversity information, even concerning biodiversity research activities up to a global level.
The expenditure on this theme amounted to £447,393 with a further £358,500 contribution from partners, including a contribution of £243,000 for the Countryside Agency project on Countryside Indicators in 2004 to 2006. This project was initiated in response to the Rural White Paper 2000, and used towards Quality of Life Indicators, to report on progress toward the Sustainable Development Strategy that was published in 1999. These indicators were published in 1999 and updated in 2004. Other indicator projects are more directly related to reporting on BAP targets, and used as part of a suite of biodiversity indicators. The first for England were published in 2007 in Working with the Grain of Nature Volume 2, and updated periodically as data becomes available. They were last updated in July 2009. The UK biodiversity indicators are updated every year.
Developing Methods to Assess Butterfly Abundance In The Wider Countryside between 2004 and 2008, attracted contributions from partners of £60,000. The indicator for connectivity in 2007/8, was a novel use of Countryside Survey data, and the project attracted partnership funding of £42,000. The UK Spring Indicator developed in 2006/7 was also a novel use of phenological data collected by the Woodland Trust.
The indicator for migratory species developed in 2007/8 also fulfils policy needs under the Convention of Migratory Species, as well as BAP reporting.
The indicator for invasive non native species developed in 2008/9 informs GB Non Native Species Strategy (2008) as well as BAP. xxxiv
The Local Authority Performance Indicators for Biodiversity developed from 2004 to 2006, and cost £53,883. This is not part of the England or UK Biodiversity indicator suite, but was to provide information that could be used in the Comprehensive Performance Assessment of local authorities and in the indicators for sustainable development (no. 197, Improved Local Biodiversity).
The Targeted Monitoring Projects (code 322 in 2005-2006 and 386 in 2007-2009) were developed to extend monitoring from the existing Environmental Change Network, to other sites across the UK to focus on detecting and distinguishing impacts on diversity due to climate change from other drivers of change. The projects cost the Biodiversity Research Programme a total of £85,161, with a contribution from partners of £40,000, and the results showed the costs of the proposed network over the long term to enable others to consider consideration whether they would support the new network. The development of these projects was of interest to the England Biodiversity Strategy Workstream for Climate Change, as it would have fulfilled part of their work plan, published in Working with the Grain of Nature, taking it forward, Vol 1 (2007). Further development is being considered.
1.11 Key Questions The main questions for consideration during the review are:
Programme assessment: 1. Did the research inform the related policy objectives, in particular is there evidence that the results were taken up (e.g. to inform policy or future research)?
2. Overall, did the research deliver evidence to address the most important policy needs?
3. Did the level and nature of collaboration and partnership working benefit the programme?
4. Did the programme strike the right balance between strategic and specific research? (Strategic research provides greater understanding of long-term effects of past and current policies, and determines the need for, and best way of achieving, further improvements. Specific research is more responsive, often focusing on a particular policy need, exploring options, costs and effectiveness of potential measures or proposing solutions to a particular issue).
5. Did the programme demonstrate sufficient innovation? (Defra defines innovation as the successful exploitation of new ideas. This can either by the uptake of new processes within the Department, or through practical implementation of new practices by stakeholders.)
6. Was there effective dissemination of results?
xxxv
Annex A Summary of key policies, legislation commitments and other events that have influenced biodiversity up to 2008.
The policy items here have been grouped here according to international, EU, UK, GB, England and Wales, England, Government, PSAs, Defra and other publications that have influenced biodiversity policies. A chronological list is provided in Table 2 of the main text. Policy item Publication/Start Summary International CBD 1992 To achieve by 2010 a significant reduction of the current rate of biodiversity loss at the global, regional and national level as a contribution to poverty alleviation and to the benefit of all life on Earth. Signed in 1992, Rio, see UK BAP, CROW, also adopted by World Summit on Sust Dev, and UN, led to Sust Dev goals. The 2010 target was set in 2002, but CoP 9 looked at setting future targets. GBIF 2001 Global Information Facility-for sharing information about biodiversity research, The UK is a voting member, contributes funding and JNCC provides interface with members and UK management. Bern 1997 The Convention on the Conservation of European Wildlife and Natural Habitats (the Bern Convention) was adopted in Bern, Switzerland in 1979, and came into force in 1982. The principal aims of the Convention are to ensure conservation and protection of wild plant and animal species and their natural habitats (listed in Appendices I and II of the Convention), to increase cooperation between contracting parties, and to regulate the exploitation of those species (including migratory species) listed in Appendix 3. To this end the Convention imposes legal obligations on contracting parties, protecting over 500 wild plant species and more than 1000 wild animal species. To implement the Bern Convention in Europe, the European Community adopted Council Directive 79/409/EEC on the Conservation of Wild Birds (the EC Birds Directive) in 1979, and Council Directive 92/43/EEC on the Conservation of Natural Habitats and of Wild Fauna and Flora (the EC Habitats Directive) in 1992. Among other things the Directives provide for the establishment of a European network of protected areas (Natura 2000), to tackle the continuing losses of European biodiversity on land, at the coast and in the sea to human activities. The UK ratified the Bern Convention in 1982. The Convention was implemented in UK law by the Wildlife and Countryside Act (1981 and as amended). As the inspiration for the EC Birds and Habitats Directives, the Convention had an influence on the Conservation (Natural Habitats &c.) Regulations (1994), and the Conservation (Natural Habitats, etc.) Regulations (Northern Ireland) 1995, which were introduced to implement those parts of the Habitats Directive not already covered in national legislation.
Bonn 1985 The Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals (also known as CMS or Bonn Convention) aims to conserve terrestrial, marine and avian migratory species throughout their range. Under this, there is also an agreement to protect migratory European birds. It is the parent for the Eurobats Agreement for which UK is the Depositary and a leading party.
xxxvi Eurobats 1994 The Agreement on the Conservation of Populations of European Bats, which came into force in 1994, presently numbers thirty European states among its Parties, from North, South, East and West. The Agreement was set up under the Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals, which recognises that endangered migratory-species can be properly protected only if activities are carried out over the entire migratory range of the species. The Bat Agreement aims to protect all 45 species of bats identified in Europe, through legislation, education, conservation measures and international co-operation with Agreement members and with those who have not yet joined. African Eurasian Migratory 1995 AEWA was concluded in The Hague, the Netherlands in 1995 and entered into force in November Waterbird Agreement (AEWA) 1999. AEWA covers a total of 255 species of birds that are ecologically dependent on wetlands for at least part of their annual cycle. Of these, over 100 occur regularly in the UK and its territorial waters. The Agreement aims to protect migratory routes that encompass 118 countries from Europe, parts of Asia and Canada and the Middle East and Africa, and as of December 2008 there 62 Contracting Parties to the Agreement. Parties to AEWA are called upon to engage in a wide range of conservation actions which are described in a comprehensive Action Plan. This detailed plan addresses issues such as species and habitat conservation, management of human activities, research and monitoring, education and information, and implementation. The UK ratified AEWA in 1999. The UK's legal obligations for the protection of endangered migratory waterbird species are implemented through the WCA 1981 (as amended) and the Wildlife (Northern Ireland) Order 1985. Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on the Conservation of Migratory Birds of Prey in Africa and Eurasia The UK, with the UAE, played a leading role in finalising the legal text of the MoU and action plan for the agreement at the final negotiating meeting in October 2008 in Abu Dhabi. The meeting concluded with the signature and the immediate entry into force of the non-legally binding MoU and related Action Plan for the Conservation of Migratory Birds of Prey in Africa and Eurasia. Ramsar 1971, came into The conservation and wise use of all wetlands through local and national actions and international force 1975 cooperation, as a contribution towards achieving sustainable development throughout the world. Man and Biosphere Biosphere reserves serve as 'living laboratories' for testing out and demonstrating integrated management of land, water and biodiversity. Recognised internationally under UNESCO's Man and the Biosphere (MAB) programme, these reserves form a global network enabling exchange of information, experience and personnel. (UNESCO is the United nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organisation). The UK has eight Biosphere Reserves, designated in 1976 or 1977, but fours sites were removed from the list in 2002, to ensure our sites met global criteria. CITES. The Convention on Trade 1973 International trading in species, as adopted in Washington in March 1973 and entered into force in in Endangered Species of Wild July 1975- see also EU Directive and UK legislation Flora and Fauna (CITES or the Washington Convention)
xxxvii Bushmeat The term “bushmeat” refers to a wide range of animals. It means “the meat of any wild animal hunted for food”. Bushmeat might therefore derive from critically endangered species listed in the Appendices to the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES), but could equally come from relatively common species such as various kinds of deer or rodents. The Government has provided some £80k in support of the Bushmeat Working Group (BWG), which was set up to examine issues raised by the trade in bushmeat within the Central African sub region and report back to the 13th CITES Conference of Parties in October this year. Under the provisions of the Control of Trade in Endangered Species (Enforcement) Regulations 1997 (COTES) it is illegal to sell meat of species listed on Appendix II which has not been legally acquired or imported. To find out more, please visit the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species UK website. The Economics of Ecosystems & 2008 At the meeting of the environment ministers of the G8 countries and the five major newly Biodiversity (TEEB) industrialising countries that took place in Potsdam in March 2007, the German government proposed a study on 'The economic significance of the global loss of biological diversity'. They agreed to 'In a global study we will initiate the process of analysing the global economic benefit of biological diversity, the costs of the loss of biodiversity and the failure to take protective measures versus the costs of effective conservation.' This proposal was endorsed by G8+5 leaders at the Heiligendamm Summit on 6-8 June 2007. The German Federal Ministry for the Environment and the European Commission, with the support of several other partners, have jointly initiated preparatory work for this global study, which is named 'The Economics of Ecosystems & Biodiversity (TEEB)'. Mr Pavan Sukhdev, was appointed as the independent Study Leader. He is assisted in his task by an Advisory Board, which consists of prominent experts. The study is in two phases, and will evaluate the costs of the loss of biodiversity and the associated decline in ecosystem services worldwide, and compare them with the costs of effective conservation and sustainable use. TEEB Phase I built on the work of the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, which made significant progress in assessing current knowledge on biodiversity and ecosystem services. The TEEB interim report shows that if we do not adopt the right policies, the current decline in biodiversity and the related loss of ecosystem services will continue and in some cases even accelerate. Some ecosystems are likely to be damaged beyond repair. Current trends in the loss of ecosystem services on land and in the oceans demonstrate the severe dangers that biodiversity loss poses to human health and welfare. The interim report proposes a general framework for evaluating the loss of biodiversity and ecosystem services that acknowledges that not all values of biodiversity can be measured in economic terms. Preliminary findings from the first phase have been presented at the High-Level Segment of the Ninth Conference of the Parties to the Convention on Biological Diversity. The second, more substantial, phase of the study will run into 2009 and 2010 and will be between autumn 2009 and autumn 2010. The final results will be presented at CBD COP-10 in 2010.
xxxviii EU Directives Birds, 79/049 EEC 1979 Obligations to birds under Berne and Bonn Conventions, favourable conservation status birds and their habitats, designation of SPAs, hunting and falconry, non native species, appropriate research. Conservation of natural habitats and 1994 Obligations under Berne Convention. The main aim of the EC Habitats Directive is to promote the of wild fauna and flora, 92/42 EEC maintenance of biodiversity by requiring Member States to take measures to maintain or restore (Habitats Directive) natural habitats and wild species at a favourable conservation status, introducing robust protection for those habitats and species of European importance. Once adopted, these are designated by Member States as Special Areas of Conservation (SACs), and along with Special Protection Areas (SPAs) classified under the EC Birds Directive, form a network of protected areas known as Natura 2000. Also need to consider intervening landscape- network- connectivity. Water Framework Directive (WFD), 2000 The Water Framework Directive (WFD) is the most substantial piece of EC water legislation to date 2000/60 EC and is designed to improve and integrate the way water bodies are managed throughout Europe. In the UK, much of the implementation work will be undertaken by competent authorities. It came into force on 22 December 2000, and was put into UK law (transposed) in 2003. Member States must aim to reach good chemical and ecological status in inland and coastal waters by 2015. Heads of European Government at 2001 To halt the decline of biodiversity across Europe by 2010. the European Summit in Gothenburg agreement Zoos Directive 1999 see Zoos Act
UK commitments UK BAP 1994 published 1994, response to CBD, later devolution led to country BAPS, see England BAP, partnership approach The England Biodiversity Strategy 2007 CCA Workstream established- and other deliverables added (EBS) Working with the Grain of Nature-taking it forward: Volume 1 Full report of the progress under the England biodiversity strategy 2002- 2006
xxxix The Control of Trade in Endangered 1997 The Control of Trade in Endangered Species (Enforcement) Regulations 1997 (COTES) make Species (Enforcement) Regulations provision for enforcement of the European Regulations. The Department for Environment, Food and 1997 (COTES) Rural Affairs (Defra) is the CITES Management Authority for the UK. The Joint Nature Conservation Committee (JNCC), acting on behalf of the country nature conservation agencies, is the Scientific Authority for Animals, and the Royal Botanic Gardens Kew is the Scientific Authority for Plants. Enforcement is the responsibility of HM Customs and Excise and the police. EC Regulations (338/97 and 1997 see CITES, and COTES 1808/01 Climate Change Programme 2006 Up and International programme, initiated under the Climate Change and Sustainable Development Act 2006, made government obligation to report on green house gas emissions and action to reduce these. ERFF 2002 Environment Research Funders Forum-government, devolved administrations and agencies concerned with increasing efficiency of biodiversity research and monitoring towards protection and enhancement of the natural environment worked together to develop a 3 year rolling delivery plan (2004-7) published in 2007, which contributed to the Comprehensive Spending Review 2007. They compiled a comprehensive data base of all publicly funded research for the natural environment that was active in 2004/5 and published Report 04, which summarised their findings. Other reports are also available on their website. GB commitments Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981 1981 Also amended. SSSI designation, lists protected species and non native/invasive species CROW-Act 2000 2000 Sec of State and Defra duty to carry out functions with regard to conserving Biodiversity in accordance with UN CBD, Rio 1992 GB Invasive Non-native Species 2008 High level framework for coordinated action by the GB Admins on INNS, supported by the GB NNS Strategy Secretariat and overseen by the GB Non-native Species Programme Board - chaired by Defra. Strategy has 7 operational chapters, including research. EU Commission working on an EU IAS Strategy for 2010. In 2003 Defra-led GB-wide non-native species policy review report was delivered.
xl Zoos Act 1981, and Zoo Licensing 1981 The Zoo Licensing Act 1981 came into force in 1984. The Act requires the inspection and licensing of Act Regulations 2002 all zoos in Great Britain. The Act aims to ensure that, where animals are kept in enclosures, they are provided with a suitable environment to provide an opportunity to express most normal behaviour. The Zoo licensing Act (Amendment) (England and Wales) Regulations 2002 amend the Zoo Licensing Act 1981. The amendment Act gives force to European Council Directive 1999/22/EC, which deals with the keeping of wild animals in zoos. The Regulations have force of law from 8 January 2003. In June 1998, the Council of EC Environment Ministers agreed proposals drawn up by the UK Presidency for an EC Zoos Directive aimed at strengthening the conservation role of zoos. The Directive entered into force on 9 April 1999 and requires all Member States to set up national systems for the licensing and inspection of zoos. The Zoo Licensing Act 1981 already implements many of the measures in the Directive such as the provision of proper accommodation and care for the animals; keeping up-to-date records and taking appropriate measures to prevent escapes. But the requirements that zoos participate in conservation and education activities is new. Although most zoos already do this, now that the legislation is in place, it has become a statutory requirement. The Government's view is that well-managed zoos can play an important role, both in educating the public about wild animals and their habitats, and through participating in activities which help conserve and protect threatened wildlife. Zoo organisations have put together a conservation strategy, published in 2005, looking at how zoos worldwide can contribute to conservation. This strategy can be found on the website of the World Association of Zoos and Aquariums Climate Change Act 2008 The UK Government is committed to addressing both the causes and consequences of climate change and has therefore passed a Climate Change Act. It will create a new approach to managing and responding to climate change in the UK through: setting ambitious targets, taking powers to help achieve them, strengthening the institutional framework, enhancing the UK’s ability to adapt to the impact of climate change and establishing clear and regular accountability to the UK, Parliament and devolved legislatures.
On adaptation the Government must report at least every five years on the risks to the UK of climate change, and publish a programme setting out how these impacts will be addressed. The Act also introduces powers for Government to require public bodies and statutory undertakers 1 to carry out their own risk assessment and make plans to address those risks. An Adaptation Sub-Committee of the Committee on Climate Change, in order to provide advice to and scrutiny of the Government’s adaptation work
xli NERC ACT 2006 Natural Environment and Rural Communities Act (2006). This legislation means that, from 1 October 2006, all local authorities and other public authorities in England and Wales have a duty to promote and enhance biodiversity in all of their functions Section 40 of the Natural Environment and Rural Communities Act 2006 requires all public bodies to have regard to biodiversity conservation when carrying out their functions. This is sometimes referred to as the “biodiversity duty” and will help embed consideration of biodiversity into the decision making of all relevant sectors. Defra has published guidance to local authorities and other public bodies on implementing the duty. devolution 1998 This led to Individual Country BAPs. England and Wales Countryside Stewardship 1991 Countryside Stewardship was introduced as a pilot scheme in England in 1991 and operates outside the Environmentally Sensitive Areas. Payments are made to farmers and other land managers to enhance and conserve English landscapes, their wildlife and history and to help people to enjoy them. The scheme has now closed to new applicants and has been superseded by the Environmental Stewardship scheme. Some existing agreements will, however, continue until 2014. Farmers with an existing agreement, which lasts for 10 years, receive an annual payment on each hectare of land entered into the scheme. Grants are also available towards capital works such as hedge laying and planting, and repairing dry-stone walls. Environmental Stewardship 2005 Environmental Stewardship is an agri-environment scheme started by Defra in 2005 that provides funding to farmers and other land managers in England who deliver effective environmental management on their land. The primary objectives of Environmental Stewardship are to: conserve wildlife (biodiversity), maintain and enhance landscape quality and character, protect the historic environment and natural resources, promote public access and understanding of the countryside, protect natural resources. The secondary objectives of Environmental Stewardship are: genetic conservation and flood management. Dangerous Wild Animals Act 1976 The DWAA came into force on 22 October 1976 and aside from substitutions for the Schedule (the list of species requiring of a licence), the latest being in October 2007, the main body of the Act has remained substantively unamended since that time. Its primary purpose is to protect the public from risks arising from the keeping of dangerous wild animals, by way of a licensing regime administered and enforced by local authorities. The Act applies in England, Wales and Scotland but the issues with which it deals have been devolved in Scotland. Northern Ireland also has its own Dangerous Wild Animals legislation. There has been longstanding demand for reform of the Act and growing anecdotal evidence to suggest a high level of non-compliance. Following an independent review of the Act in 2001, and subsequent consultation exercises in 2002 and 2004, it was decided to develop deregulatory proposals to revise the Act so that it is more focused on risk and minimises the level of regulatory burden on local authorities and animal keepers. The current legislation does not adopt a
xlii proportionate approach to the regulation of dangerous wild animals based on risk to the public, is not consistent with other relevant legislation relating to public safety and the enforcement and inspection regime is not consistent with “Hampton principles”. The proposed changes to the Act, which should lead to a reduced burden on keepers and local authorities, are currently being made through a Legislative Reform Order (LRO) under the 2006 Act and are due to come into force in October 2009. England only Working with the Grain of Nature a 2002 The Strategy seeks to ensure biodiversity considerations become embedded in all main sectors of biodiversity strategy for England public policy and sets out a programme for the future to make the changes necessary to conserve, enhance and work with the grain of nature and ecosystems rather than against them. The strategy is intended to be a living document, subject to regular review. Working with the Grain of Nature- 2007 2005 BAP reporting on progress- 2002-2006,CC adaptation workstream set up- new deliverables taking it forward Vol 1 Working with the Grain of Nature- 2007 reported on BAP targets and gave suite of biodiversity indicators taking it forward Volume 2 England Rural Development 2000 2000-2006 The Rural Development Plan for England is funded by the European agricultural Find and Strategy (ERDP) Defra, mainly through Environment Stewardship (administered by Natural England and the Woodland Grant Scheme (administered by the Forestry Commission) to improve the competitiveness of the agricultural sector and to safeguard and enhance sustainable rural businesses across the region. It will help rural communities and business including farmers, growers and foresters invest in their long term economic future. England Forestry Strategy 1998 and revised The strategy for England's trees, woods and forests (ETWF) was launched on 20 June 2007. This 2007 sets out the Government's vision and priorities for England's tree and woodland resource, in both rural and urban areas, over the next fifty years. The ETWF Strategy builds upon the firm foundations of its successful predecessor The England Forestry Strategy which was published in 1998 and was the subject of a full review in 2006. Working with national and regional stakeholders, we have identified within the strategy, five key aims for government intervention in trees, woods and forests: to secure trees and woodlands for future generations; to ensure resilience to climate change; to protect and enhance natural resources; to increase the contribution that trees, woods and forests make to our quality of life; and to improve the competitiveness of woodland businesses and products. These aims will form the basis on which the Delivery plan will be developed by Natural England and the Forestry Commission England (FCE). Local Sites Guidance 2006 In most areas, local authorities, working with other local partners, have set up systems for locally valued non-statutory sites which now support in the region of 37,000 Local Sites in England Local Sites are sites of substantive nature conservation value. Although they do not have any statutory status, many are equal in quality to the representative sample of sites that make up the
xliii series of statutory Sites of Special Scientific Interest (SSSIs). There are more than 37,000 Local Sites in England overseen by 65 Local Sites systems. These systems vary considerably in terms of size (both the administrative area they cover and the number of sites selected) and cover contrasting landscapes in coastal, rural and urban situations. Local Sites systems encompass both biodiversity and geological conservation. There are currently a number of different terms in use to describe sites of local importance, including Sites of Importance for Nature Conservation (SINCs), Sites of Nature Conservation Importance (SNCIs) and Regionally Important Geological Sites (RIGS), although Defra recommends that the term Local Site, which may be sub-divided to Local Wildlife or Local Geological Site, should be used as a standard generic term to promote common understanding Defra has produced guidance intended to promote more transparent and consistent approaches in the operation of Local Sites systems across the country, embracing regional and local diversity and variation within the natural environment. It outlines the purposes of Local Sites systems and proposes frameworks, standards and roles for their operation as well as for the selection, protection and management of the sites themselves. • Local Sites - guidance on their identification, selection and management [PDF] (260 KB) - 10 April 2006 National Indicator 197 – Improved Local Biodiversity National Indicator 197 measures the performance of local authorities for biodiversity by assessing the implementation of positive conservation management of Local Sites. The indicator relates to the influence local authorities have on Local Sites systems and the measures and procedures involved in ensuring effective conservation management is introduced to, and acted upon, by Local Site owners and managers. More information on NI 197 - Improved Local Biodiversity – proportion of Local Sites where active conservation management is being achieved Wildlife Management Strategy Under Defra published a consultation document on June 2008, toward developing a wildlife management development. strategy that will apply to the development of all new wildlife policy, helping Defra fulfil the Government’s vision to secure a diverse, healthy and resilient natural environment, which provides the basis for everyone’s well-being, health and prosperity now and in the future. Other Gov commitments Sustainable Development: UK 2005 In terms of focusing our efforts, the UK has identified four priority areas for immediate action, shared Government Strategy for across the UK, these are: Sustainable Consumption and Production Climate Change and Energy Sustainable Development Securing Natural Resource Protection and Environmental Enhancement; Sustainable Communities. The UK the Future. Government also recognises that changing behaviour is a cross cutting theme closely linked to all of these priorities. In addition, Securing the Future identifies wellbeing as being at the heart of sustainable development.
xliv Ecosystem Approach 2007 Securing a healthy natural environment: an action plan for embedding an ecosystems approach was published in December 2007. The action plan identifies a number of clear priority areas for action that will be fundamental to our success and to securing wider engagement at the national, regional and local levels. The main priorities are -: i) promoting joined-up working within Defra and the Defra network to deliver ii) identifying opportunities for mainstreaming an ecosystems approach iii) using case studies that demonstrate the benefits of taking an ecosystems approach iv) developing ways of valuing ecosystem services v) developing a robust evidence base Climate Change Programme 2006, revised The Climate Change Programme, published in 2006, revising the previous climate change programme since 2000 of 2000. It sets out our policies and priorities for action in the UK and internationally. We also made a commitment to introduce an annual report to Parliament. Subsequently, the Climate Change and Sustainable Energy Act 2006 placed an obligation on us to report to Parliament on greenhouse gas emissions in the UK and action taken by Government to reduce these emissions. UKCIP 1997 The UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP) is Defra funded and provide tools and guidance to help organisations to adapt to inevitable climate change. While it’s essential to reduce future greenhouse gas emissions, the effects of past emissions will continue to be felt for decades. Since 1997 UKCIP has been working with the public, private and voluntary sectors to assess how a changing climate will affect: construction, working practices, demand for goods and services, biodiversity, service delivery, health, and much more. Climate change scenarios (UKCIP 02) and projections UKCP09-were provided for others to use in assessing risks form climate change, The scenarios were used in several projects to assess the risks to biodiversity. Comprehensive Spending Reviews 2000,2003,2006. These are undertaken and used to revise or set new PSAs. The PSAs for wild birds and SSIs were (CSR) set after the 2000CSR, and these targets were retained after the 2003 and 2006 CSR, which added a new PSA for the Natural Environment, which includes a suite of indicators. Defra leads on this PSA. PSA s on biodiversity Natural Resource Protection and Environmental Enhancement PSA SSSI targets 95% favourable or recovering condition by 2010 PSA Farmland Birds reverse decline in farmland birds by 2020 PSA 28 Natural Environment 2007 secure a healthy environment for now and in the future PSA 27 Climate Change 2007 lead the global effort to avoid dangerous climate change DEFRA Defra created 2001 merged from MAFF and DETR Defra Strategy Refresh 2006 Rearrangement of Defra Policy teams, programmes and objectives
xlv DECC created 2008 shifted some responsibilities for climate change and energy to new department, but biodiversity implications remained with Defra Defra Departmental Objectives 2009 from http://www.defra.gov.uk/corporate/deprep/2009/chapter1.pdf 2009 Defra purpose: to secure a healthy environment in which we and future generations can prosper Defra Priority 1: Secure a healthy natural environment for us all and deal with environmental risks (there are 2 other priorities not so relevant to biodiversity programme) to help us achieve these priorities, we set Departmental Strategic Objectives: DSO 1: Adapting to climate change A society that is adapting to the effects of climate change, through a national programme of action and a contribution to international action. The national programme of action on adaptation in England is being taken forward by the Adapting to Climate Change Programme. This is a cross-government programme led by Defra. This DSO shapes the delivery of all of our priorities as well as the delivery of cross government objectives. DSO 2: A healthy natural environment To protect and enhance the natural environment, and to encourage its sustainable use within environmental limits. Defra works to protect and enhance the natural environment, and to encourage its sustainable use within environmental limits. We aim to ensure that the air we breathe and the water we drink are clean, that the management of land, fresh water and the seas is sustainably productive, that our landscapes and biodiversity are protected, and that people understand, enjoy and care for the natural environment. Biodiversity Core Policy aims 2009 Our aims are improved enjoyment of an attractive and well managed countryside for all; and effective conservation of wildlife. Other- publications that influenced policies for biodiversity Millennium Ecosystem assessment 2005 The importance of biodiversity and ecosystems to human well being, provided a framework of ecosystems service categories, and identified major threats to biodiversity. Stern Report 2006 Economic impacts of climate change- including impacts on BD.
xlvi IPCC reports 1990- Several reports published since 1990, the first was in 1990, second in1995, 3rd in 2001 and the 4th in 2007. Each report gives progressively stronger messages of the anthropogenic causes of climate change. IPCC 1st report (1990) stated we are certain of the following: there is a natural greenhouse effect...; emissions resulting from human activities are substantially increasing the atmospheric concentrations of the greenhouse gases: CO2, methane, CFCs and nitrous oxide. These increases will enhance the greenhouse effect, resulting on average in an additional warming of the Earth's surface. The main greenhouse gas, water vapour, will increase in response to global warming and further enhance it.
1995 IPCC 2nd report (1995) The major conclusions of Working Group I were: Greenhouse gas concentrations have continued to increase, Anthropogenic aerosols tend to produce negative radiative forcings, Climate has changed over the past century, The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate, Climate is expected to continue to change in the future. There are still many uncertainties. Its eighth chapter noted "these results indicate that the observed trend in global mean temperature over the past 100 years is unlikely to be entirely natural in origin. More importantly, there is evidence of an emerging pattern of climate response to forcings by greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols in the observed climate record. Taken together, these results point towards a human influence on global climate."
2001 IPCC 3rd report (2001) describes the current state of understanding of the climate system and provides estimates of its projected future evolution and their uncertainties, An increasing body of observations gives a collective picture of a warming world and other changes in the climate system. There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities. Human influences will continue to change atmospheric composition throughout the 21st century.
2007 IPCC 4th report (2007) is a landmark document on climate change. It presents comprehensive scientific information on the physical scientific basis, the impacts, adaptation, vulnerability and mitigation of climate change. Warming of the climate system is unequivocal and the role of human activities in the observed changes is now clearer than ever. The world is already committed to further warming from past emissions alone.. Warming of the climate system is unequivocal." "Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations." It includes many positive messages about the potential ways to tackle climate change, both in the short and long term. The 5th is due in 2014.
xlvii
Annex B Summary of expenditure (£) on projects according to themes, delivered by the Biodiversity Research Programme 1995-2008
Note that these expenditure tables only include the type of project which would be included in the current Biodiversity Research Programme. Consequently, Marine and Landscape projects, which in some years amounted to £600,000 to £800,000 have been removed.
Theme: Threats to Collaboratio CR 96_97 97_98 98_99 99_00 00_01 01_02 02_03 03_04 04_05 05_06 06_07 07_08 08_09 Total Biodiversity n 122 Lead Shot £45,795 45,795 123 Ruddy Ducks £5,517 5,517 124 Canada Geese Control 9,694 11,452 21,146 133 Deer Management 30,000 32,050 62,050 Canada Geese 25,779 148 Movements £25,779 151 Pest Birds Monitoring 70,192 40,765 110,957 180 Fish Eating Birds Pop 73,003 18,491 91,494 Fish Eating Birds 176,107 181 Feeding 105,805 70,302 182 Shot Lethality 12,700 3,351 16,051 Biological Monitoring 12,923 184 Lead Shot 6,952 5,971 188 Lead Shot Sales 5,228 8,092 0 7,525 20,844 196 Raptors - Game Birds 10,490 34,760 21,315 7,769 74,334 Raptor - Racing 21,738 197 Pigeons 4,700 17,038 Integrated Climate 213 0 38,367 21,507 59,874 Change 223 Climate Change UK 0 67,798 17,718 85,516 Drivers of Countryside 233 16,814 22,700 39,514 Change 1 234 Non-lethal bird scaring 11,750 5,875 17,625 Starling & Sparrow 245 33,168 124,443 16,736 174,347 Decline - pilot- Changing Distribution 265 37,610 10,000 13,000 5,783 28,783 of the Flora of the UK Climate change, land 266 use and biodiversity 1,100,000 10,790 28,055 4,831 43,676 (ACCELERATES) Provision of Bag 281 Statistics for huntable 0 9,548 12,730 22,278 birds
xlviii Nitrogen Atmospheric 289 Pollution Impacts on 16,000 49,000 73,912 18,000 140,912 Biodiversity Standard Methodology 293 to assess the risk to 0 0 60,000 60,000 species Sub account) Potential Impacts of 295 future Energy Policy on 49,920 0 0 0 0 UK Biodiversity Climate Change And 302 0 41,710 18,412 60,122 Migratory Species 308 Monarch 3 312,000 0 15,301 4,698 19,999 Conservation of Biodiversity in a 326 10,688 21,464 21,464 Changing Climate - Bioclime Towards Adaptation to 327 Climate Change (TACC 0 34,317 35,890 2,456 72,663 EBS) 357 Lead shot - Desk study 5,590 20,000 20,000 371 Do bats avoid radar 0 4,593 4,593 Habitat Connectivity - The ecological basis for landscape permeability, 389 43,000 33,167 0 33,167 facilitating adaptive response of species to climate change Ad Hoc Technical Expert Group 415 Workshop on Climate 7,700 36,500 36,500 Change and Biodiversity Windturbines: Determining the risk to 430 0 6,109 6,109 bat populations - Phase 1 Total - 1. Threats to 1,582,508 405,854 242,272 21,315 150,022 100,968 134,443 50,074 95,568 180,453 107,494 65,181 35,623 42,609 1,631,875 Biodiversity
xlix
Theme: Economics
and Ecosystems 142 CAP Reform 8,000 2,000 10,000 156 Common Land Survey 70,814 77,001 35,997 24,910 55,888 10,281 274,891 MEILUC 1 - Land use 18,455 173 change 18,455 191 Soil Data £410 410 LUAM Club - land use 23,501 198 allocation 3,525 5,875 5,875 0 2,350 5,876 Environmental Effects 22,795 199 of Agriculture 0 22,795 UK Biosphere 214 23,200 7,775 30,975 Reserves Survey of the Economic 268 53,932 53,932 impact of FMD Human health and 319 wellbeing through 54,000 10,000 10,000 countryside recreation Benefits of Global Biodiversity Assets to 384 0 34,900 34,900 UK Citizens: A literature review An Evaluation of Economic and Non- Economic Techniques 391 for Assessing the 0 10,000 39,428 49,428 Importance of Biodiversity to People in Developing Countries Business tools and 394 0 24,910 24,910 biodiversity The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity (TEEB) 419 0 96,703 96,703 phase 2 part 1. Development of valuation framework Total - 2. Economics 54,000 82,749 126,126 65,072 32,685 58,238 70,089 0 0 10,000 0 0 44,900 161,041 650,900 & ecosystems
l
Collaboratio CR Theme: International 96_97 97_98 98_99 99_00 00_01 01_02 02_03 03_04 04_05 05_06 06_07 07_08 08_09 Total n 183 DNA Advice £11,312 11,312 DNA Testing using 202 13,810 0 5,895 0 8,365 28,070 Feathers DNA Testing using 207 22,000 5,000 5,000 32,000 Tiger Bone 209 Wolf dogs 12,455 7,755 4,113 24,323 225 Review of Zoo Practice 23,430 28,636 52,066 243 Bushmeat 9,156 10,523 19,679 249 Traditional Medicines 68,000 0 30,000 24,500 10,000 3,000 67,500 CITES Capacity 256 58,000 0 24,031 64,537 0 12,500 2,500 103,568 Building Scientific Advice on 258 Plant Trade Policy 0 84,054 90,251 86,946 0 261,251 (Kew) 260 Tortoise Trade 0 15,750 1,750 17,500 S of State Zoo 282 Inspectors' 0 9,000 14,400 23,400 Performance Chinese Plants for the 290 11,000 7,277 8,550 8,550 24,377 Horticultural Trade DNA Profiling of Birds 300 0 60,700 30,987 51,505 143,192 of Prey The husbandry of 312 35,000 0 32,676 28,496 0 0 61,172 elephants in UK Zoos Bushmeat research and 333 recommendations to 0 13,500 16,988 30,488 HMG 340 Raptors in Guinea 0 25,000 25,000 345 DNA Bushmeat 0 2,000 2,000 4,000 350 Wild Birds Trade 0 7,000 7,000 CITES licences – an 397 assessment of the 0 12,800 12,800 impact 406 100 questions 0 15,000 15,000 Review of Zoos’ 407 Contribution and 0 30,000 30,000 Education Contribution Total - 3. International 172,000 11,312 13,810 57,885 47,286 18,269 172,723 190,038 111,346 83,477 115,213 107,539 7,000 57,800 993,698
li
Theme: Habitats and Collaboratio 96_97 97_98 98_99 99_00 00_01 01_02 02_03 03_04 04_05 05_06 06_07 07_08 08_09 Total Species n 102 Key Habitats £4,516 4,516 126 Arb VI £41,000 41,000 138 National Forest 10,294 10,294 143 Arb Advice 60575 60,575 158 BTO Atlas 483 4,348 4,831 164 ADDS 79,891 76,199 156,090 165 Research Assessment £12,547 12,547 Coastal Zone 19,340 176 Management £19,340 187 Mammal Monitoring 52,603 7,040 59,643 189 Cave Swiftlets £324 324 190 Breeding Birds Data £1,258 1,258 192 Ponds Survey 87,381 81,665 169,046 Common Land 42,543 194 Management Guide 17,517 25,026 Health of Non 60,907 200 Woodland Trees 28,576 32,331 201 OECD 0 5,000 5,000 216 Dorset Heaths 27,025 16,748 43,773 Biodiversity Research 217 0 72,777 55,390 32,865 161,031 Support 220 Important Hedgerows 89,222 22,306 111,528 Red Rose Community 224 0 5,000 37,617 42,617 Forest Cross Compliance & 229 21,910 10,594 32,505 CAP Biodiversity 230 26,329 4,411 30,740 Independent Evaluation Cost of Implementing 239 0 24,306 10,318 34,624 BAPS Rationalisation of 252 67,966 29,792 97,758 nature-conservation 254 Upland Farming 7,544 7,544 Sites of local nature 261 conservation 65,007 65,007 importance* Environmental benefits 307 132,353 30,000 10,000 10,000 0 50,000 of domestic gardens 370 Thames basin SPA 0 26,400 26,400
lii Review of evidence needs for Defra’s 398 0 43,700 43,700 Global Biodiversity Sub-Programme Developing a mechanism for filling 418 knowledge gaps in UK 0 5,000 5,000 Biodiversity Action Plans 150 Barn Owls II 2,092 2,454 2,352 2,580 4,011 2,591 16,080 AEWA - introduced 219 19,976 14,227 34,202 waterbirds Tree Root Form & 221 43,984 38,670 11,072 93,726 Function 222 Ruddy Duck Cull 60,022 250,176 273,568 184,343 127,988 896,097 226 Tree Pruning and Soil 43,483 66,546 61,467 171,496 Non-Woodland Tree 236 38,268 50,781 89,049 Survey Involving LAs in Deer 227 7,873 2,084 9,957 Control Review of Genetic 237 0 36,502 2,000 38,502 Research 253 Musk Deer 10,000 0 42,510 0 7,490 3,000 53,000 Analysis of Non-native 259 species 10,727 10,727 legislation 287 Japanese Knotweed 301,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 160,000 373 BTO birds project 0 7,361 7,361 Further research on N/A 0 250,000 250,000 Ruddy Duck Total - 4. Habitats and 443,353 418,397 234,063 206,470 521,604 560,926 576,150 159,780 327,490 53,000 50,000 73,761 0 48,700 3,230,339 Species
liii
Theme: Countryside
Survey Note that project code 360 Countryside Survey Main Survey, 2007, is ongoing and is the only project included in the review that was not complete in 2008, but the UK and Country level reports have been published. Note that the costs have been spread over the duration of the project, due to complete in 2010. Collaboratio CR 96_97 97_98 98_99 99_00 00_01 01_02 02_03 03_04 04_05 05_06 06_07 07_08 08_09 Total n 193 CIS Phase II 34,992 79,614 0 26,794 141,400 118 CIS Data Management £13,672 13,672 CIS Dissemination & 156,128 206 Support 10,000 25,000 50,660 37,002 21,346 12,120 195 CS2000 Feasibility 0 84,200 7,200 9,400 100,800 203 ECN / CS2000 11,216 11,216 Countryside Survey 210 1,745,202 97,932 778,500 419,874 487,526 137,000 35,312 1,956,144 2000 CS2000 Part 2 - 211 162,900 30,000 29,480 15,520 10,000 2,990 87,990 Freshwater CS2000 Part 3 - 212 75,000 23,000 65,000 48,125 211,125 LCM2000 CS2000 Module 9 Local 263 45,000 21,000 96,000 13,322 130,322 Results & Pilot Indictors CS2000 FOCUS (From 264 CS2000 Follow-up) 120,000 66,558 26,584 0 93,142 Module 17 Scoping Study for 298 Countryside Survey 80,000 49,950 66,076 116,026 2006 Preparing for 316 Countryside Survey 207,709 100,000 124,381 224,381 2006 Phase 1 Countryside Survey 334 1,167,884 320,000 281,534 5,000 606,534 2006_07 (prep phase II) Countryside Survey 360 6,647,000 155,000 846,000 773,651 1,774,651 main field work Total - 5 Countryside 10,175,695 48,664 282,962 915,700 559,208 605,048 216,471 137,980 122,584 163,272 510,457 436,534 851,000 773,651 5,623,531 Survey
liv
Theme: Indicators Collaboratio CR 96_97 97_98 98_99 99_00 00_01 01_02 02_03 03_04 04_05 05_06 06_07 07_08 08_09 Total and Monitoring n 167 Plant Atlas 190,000 74,252 62,965 53,563 102,664 41,562 25,143 11,376 371,524 Non-Woodland Tree 236 38,268 50,781 89,049 Survey Native Woodland 251 12,000 12,000 Survey Native Woodland Survey Phase 2 273 (Biodiversity of British 150,000 30,000 30,000 0 60,000 Woodlands - Completed) Biodiversity 276 38,269 10,000 0 10,000 Monitoring Targeted Monitoring Of Atmos. Pol. And 322 Climate Change 17,000 25,000 5,000 30,000 Impacts On Biodiversity Climate Change and Migratory Species 363 Indicator species and 0 60,000 9,941 69,941 protocols for data collection
374 UK Spring indicator 0 1,000 1,000
Site Based Monitoring Business 386 23,000 50,211 4,950 55,161 Development Plan (Targeted monitoring) Habitat Connectivity - Development of an 388 indicator for the EBS, 42,000 8,033 0 8,033 UK and CBD reporting part 1 Extending the use of 402 butterfly recording 270,000 99,306 99,306 data in the UK UK Biodiversity 405 Indicators – Invasive 3,500 25,294 25,294 Non-Native Species 175 ECOFACT 131,150 84,790 25,017 20,000 10,000 20,757 291,714 186 Bat Monitoring 80,045 104,228 96,912 112,864 72,252 34,512 500,812
lv 208 Hen Harrier Survey 5,000 0 5,000 10,000 241 NBN 115,516 67,439 291,205 287,015 246,105 11,040 902,803 250 MAGIC 423,000 39,200 0 21,500 60,700 Global Biodiversity 270 35,000 100,000 0 33,160 0 32,289 121,940 108,501 430,890 Information Facility CA Project on 274 Countryside 243,000 13,192 12,766 0 25,958 Indicators Local Authority Performance 297 0 36,410 17,473 53,883 Indicators for Biodiversity Enhancement of Agriculture and 299 0 10,350 10,350 Environment Statistics Developing Methods to Assess Butterfly 304 60,000 30,000 55,000 55,000 65,000 205,000 Abundance In The Wider Countryside UK Biodiversity Indicators – development of an 404 10,000 58,284 58,284 indicator of genetic diversity in selected farm breeds Total 6 - Indicators 1,585,285 285,447 256,983 175,492 240,527 280,721 457,397 473,083 288,871 120,960 97,473 93,289 305,184 306,276 3,381,703 and monitoring
lvi Annex C Evidence delivered by the Biodiversity Research Programme towards policy needs identified in the Evidence and Innovation Strategy
Theme 1: Threats to Biodiversity
Topic (s) Research needs delivered Improve the Develop and maintain networks of environmental monitoring/reference sites to improve understanding of long term drivers of biodiversity data resource change and its geographical distribution
Climate Improve understanding of : change • Impacts of climate change on biodiversity and migratory species and other • economic and social impacts of biodiversity change threats Establish methods and guidelines to assess environmental risks from chemicals and excess nutrients
Theme 2: Economics and Ecosystems
Topic (s) Research needs delivered Improve Improve understanding of biodiversity and ecosystem processes and interaction at UK and international levels. understanding Socio Improve understanding of economic and societal impacts of biodiversity change economic impacts
Theme 3: International
Topic (s) Research needs delivered Global Contribute to international work, and domestic work, to improve understanding of population, distribution and trends in species engagement, endangered by international trade, and contribute to international efforts to monitor progress to 2010 targets including development and monitoring. testing of global indicators, catalyse global initiatives, on biodiversity and support efforts to fill research needs. Support global initiatives on biodiversity Trade and Evaluate impact of international trade on endangered species and define international responses to ensure suitable management and crime prevent wildlife crime.
lvii Theme 4: Habitats and species
Topic (s) Research needs delivered Habitats Develop and adopt workable habitat definitions and improve evidence base for EU/ UK consistency Population Establish base line population distribution and trend data for wildlife and non native species Diseases Investigate the role species play in disease spread and factors affecting this
Condition Develop cost effective methods of assessing habitats and ecological networks and targeting policy effort assessment Report on condition of SSSIs and improve understanding of reasons for condition Develop concepts, tools and methods to achieve favourable conservation status of species Time trends Maintain and improve efficient monitoring of spatio-temporal trends in introduction, establishment spread and impact of non native species
Theme 5 Countryside Survey- Countryside Survey would come under delivery of trends and drivers of change under the indicators and monitoring theme, and information on ecosystems, under the economics and ecosystems theme.
Theme 6: Indicators and Monitoring
Topic (s) Research needs delivered Trends and Develop and test indicators to deliver policy relevant information on status, distribution, trends and drivers of change and sustainable use drivers of of biodiversity, and responses to climate change and to provide information on species and habitat status and trends change Evaluate indicators of status distribution and trends and success of policies designed to halt the loss of biodiversity by 2010, and to meet the Bap targets. Conservation Develop baseline indicators and targets for favourable conservation status of species status
lviii
2. FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES FOR RESEARCH
2.1 Purpose of this Paper The purpose of this paper is to stimulate discussion about future research needs for the Biodiversity Research Programme and to identify priority areas for research that will enable Defra to meet its objectives and commitments. As well as identifying individual research themes and topics, it is intended to develop ideas about the processes involved in identifying and prioritising research needs, and by which the programme is structured and carried out.
This paper provides a summary of future requirements for biodiversity research, as identified in a number of recent studies, including requirements identified internally by Defra, working groups such as the UK Biodiversity Research Advisory Group (BRAG) and European Platform for Biodiversity Research Strategy (EPBRS), horizon scanning studies and the Natural Environment Research Council’s (NERC) plans for research into biodiversity. By cataloguing these biodiversity research needs, this document provides a broad context to help stimulate discussion on the strategy and content of Defra’s future Biodiversity Research Programme.
The paper should be read in conjunction with the Project Summaries (which identify completed research and, in many cases, also provide suggestions for further research-See Section 3) and the Policy Requirements Document (which provides a policy view for future research in the context of meeting departmental priorities, related strategic outcomes and Defra’s national and international commitments).
For ease of comparison and cross-reference to the Project Summaries and Review Meeting agenda, the main tables in this document have been structured under the headings:
Threats to Biodiversity Economics and Ecosystems International Biodiversity Habitats and Species Indicators and Monitoring
2.2 Context for Defra’s Investment Strategy in Research Defra’s strategy for investing in research has been laid out in its Evidence and Innovation Strategy (2005-2008)6. The principles underlying the strategy are that investments should:
1. Support the delivery of Defra’s departmental priorities and reflect the strategic needs of the whole of the Defra network. 2. Encourage innovative approaches to evidence gathering and use as well as the development of innovation in the wider economy that is focused on Defra’s issues. 3. Reflect Defra’s view of future opportunities and threats. 4. Reflect the priorities and spend of other UK and international funders. 5. Support and deliver the required internal skills needs of Defra.
6 http://www.defra.gov.uk/Science/how/strategy.htm
lix 6. Take account of Defra’s key external capability needs. There are additional considerations: • there are both long and short-term pressures to which policy makers need to respond and for which different types of research may be required; and • research is required throughout the entire policy cycle, from defining and understanding issues through to developing delivery options, effective implementation and monitoring and evaluation of policy impacts and outcomes. Analysis by Defra of summaries of evidence and innovation needs in 2005 (Defra, 2005) showed an increasing need for: • social and opinion research to help understand people’s attitudes and preferences on policy issues, and their likely response to different solution strategies; • multidisciplinary analysis and assessment to address difficult policy questions (e.g. risk assessment); • greatly improved levels of evaluation (including social, economic and environmental as well as technical aspects) of issues and solutions; • expert specialist support to be broadened from “delivering outputs of a research project” to include “advising Defra on the potential application and use of the knowledge gained”; • a growing emphasis on working jointly with key stakeholders – their shared views on Defra’s evidence base being vital to securing its acceptance; and • recognising where work with other funding organisations is needed to ensure essential capabilities are maintained.
2.3 Research Landscape In determining biodiversity research needs in support of policy, Defra work with: government agencies, other government departments, devolved administrations and their agencies, international coordination bodies, UK Research Councils (particularly NERC), academia, experts and NGOs.
The partnership approach is key to the delivery of biodiversity targets. Partners such as Natural England and the Environment Agency have identified research needs and prepared research strategies to support their biodiversity-related delivery responsibilities and assist Defra with prioritising and delivering its research projects. As statutory adviser to Government on UK and international nature conservation, the Joint Nature Conservation Committee also provides expert advice to Defra on research needs for biodiversity. Partnership working includes projects (e.g. Sutherland, 2008), and activities (e.g. BRAG working groups and British Ecological Society workshop in 20067) that have identified future research needs.
Following devolution, individual countries have produced their own biodiversity action plans and research strategies, (e.g. SNH, 2007) and Defra engages with these partners on common research themes to deliver evidence needs for common policies.
Defra works with other government departments and their agencies to align research activity and draw evidence together to underpin Defra policy and to support and influence the
7 http://www.britishecologicalsociety.org/documents/policy_documents/policy_meetings/Assessing_ecosystem_services.pdf
lx polices of other government departments. For example, information on climate change scenarios and carbon trading schemes is important to both biodiversity and managing mitigation and energy and of common interest to Defra and the Department of Energy and Climate Change.
Defra engages in international activities, and research needs for conservation and management of biodiversity have been identified at a European level (e.g. EPBRS 2005) and global levels (e.g. The Convention on Biological Diversity Subsidiary Body on Scientific, Technical and Technological Advice8). European Research Area Networks (ERA-Nets) provide a means of coordinating national research policies and activities in terms of objectives, expertise and resources. The ERA-Net BiodivERsA is likely to become important, but a recent assessment by Defra (Defra 2009) suggests it is too early to draw conclusions about its importance at this stage. Research undertaken by the Department for International Development is also important in informing the international elements of the programme and international committees will become increasingly important if the Inter-governmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services9 develops.
In relation to UK Research Councils, NERC has the largest programme on biodiversity research; one of the headline themes within its current strategy (NERC 2007a).
A large amount of monitoring and surveillance data is collected by voluntary organisations such as RSPB, BTO, WWT and recording schemes. These organisations also fund their own research and analysis of these data. They are frequently involved in Project Steering Groups, providing valuable expert input as well as funding.
2.4 Scope of the Biodiversity R&D Programme The Biodiversity R&D Programme will continue with its remit to commission research to support the evidence requirements of Defra’s domestic and international policy activities, as described in Section 1, Policy Requirements. 2.5 Synthesis of Research Needs: Information sources Priority areas for biodiversity-related research that are within the policy and strategic remit of the Biodiversity Research Programme are presented as a synthesis in Table 2.1. Six key documents were used to identify and compile these research needs. These are: 1. Defra’s Evidence and Innovation Strategy (2005) which sets out the relationship between policy goals and a proposed set of evidence and innovation inputs for the Natural Environment Strategic Priority. Those evidence and innovation needs that have not as yet been funded are included in the synthesis. 2. The results of Defra’s Investment in Evidence questionnaire (internal working document, 2009) for the Biodiversity Research Programme. 3. The European Platform for Biodiversity Research Strategy (EPBRS) Action Plan for Research in Europe (2005). EPBRS provides a forum for natural and social scientists and policy-makers to identify, structure and focus the strategically important research that is essential to conservation and sustainable use of biodiversity, and thus to the implementation of the Convention on Biological Diversity to reduce the loss of biodiversity. The EPBRS keeps close connections with relevant international bodies, national governments, EU institutions and EU projects in the field of biodiversity
8 http://royalsociety.org/document.asp?tip=0&id=6830 9 http://ipbes.net/en/index.aspx
lxi research. Their Action Plan for Research in Europe identifies knowledge that is necessary to halt the loss of biodiversity in Europe and elsewhere, and to improve understanding of the drivers and ecological, economic and social consequences of biodiversity change. The plan contributed to identifying the most urgent research needs and scientific challenges in the field of biodiversity and contributed to European National Strategies for Biodiversity Research (EPBRS, 2008). 4. The UK Biodiversity Research Advisory Group’s (BRAG’s) overarching assessment of Research Needs for UK Biodiversity, which is closely aligned with the EPBRS Action Plan and research requirements they identified under the UK BAP, provided the basis for the UK National Strategy for Biodiversity research (EPBRS, 2008). UK BRAG is a group of expert advisers, of the UK Biodiversity Partnership. In addition to the overarching document used for the synthesis, UK BRAG’s working groups have produced several more detailed themed documents listing research needs and priorities, threats and opportunities for biodiversity that will help inform policy towards meeting the biodiversity commitments (see reference list). 5. A recent Defra funded horizon scanning study. In 2008, Sutherland et al. reported the results of horizon scanning that identified future novel threats and opportunities facing UK biodiversity that might arise in the UK up to 2050 to help set the agenda for policy, practice and research. Those with a high likelihood of occurring and of relevance to the programme are included in the synthesis. 6. NERC’s Strategy and Biodiversity Theme Action Plan. The main, and overarching challenge identified in the Biodiversity Theme in NERC’s Science and Innovation Strategy is to improve “understanding of biodiversity’s role in ecosystems: processes, resilience and environmental change”. NERC’s Biodiversity Theme Action Plan details the activities to implement the strategy and incorporates six areas for action. Research needs of particular relevance to Defra’s Biodiversity Research Programme are included from four of these: “ecosystem sustainability”, “valuing biodiversity”, “monitoring” and “rapid taxonomy”. The six key references noted above were chosen for their breadth and have been analysed in detail. The synthesised research needs are cross-referenced to these source documents and this assists with demonstrating where common themes occur. Other sources of information on biodiversity research needs are listed in Section 2.8. Table 2.1 is structured to provide separate component tables for each of the research themes adopted for the Review Meeting (with the exception of Countryside Survey). For each theme several generic topics are given, supported by a short statement summarising the research needs identified and cross-referenced to the six source documents used in the synthesis.
lxii Table 4 Synthesis of Biodiversity Research Needs Relevant to the Future Defra Biodiversity R&D Programme
lxiii Overarching Research needs identified Relevance to Source(s) other themes Overall To inform delivery of current commitments and future policy: All See below Research relationship between legislation and biodiversity policy [1], and its cohesion under future scenarios of environmental change [3][5] and; • Understand institutional and cultural constraints to change in policy and management [5] With UK research / contractor base, develop a longer-term strategic approach to wildlife research [1] Improved engagement with knowledge of wildlife from other countries [1]
Theme: Threats to Biodiversity Topic(s) Research needs identified Relevance to Source(s) other themes Drivers Identify, quantify, understand & predict drivers of biodiversity change including their relation to degradation & habitat loss [3] in the UK and globally [2] habitats & [1] Defra E&I species; Strategy international (2005)
Understanding Improve understanding of : [2] Defra E&I and predicting • How species will respond to climate change, incl. impacts of extreme weather events [2][3][4][5][6] Questionnaire climate change • The impact of climate change on ecosystem functions, goods and services [4][6] (2009) impacts • Genetic factors and their influence on the ability of species to adapt [1][3][4] species & [3] EPBRS • The likely impact of emerging carbon trading schemes on biodiversity [2] habitats Action Plan • CO2 feedbacks in natural and anthropogenic systems and implications for adaptation and mitigation strategies [2] (2005) & Investigate the likely impact of climate change on: • soil biodiversity / wetlands / other Priority Habitats [4] [4] UK BRAG To assist in developing effective adaptation strategies: [2][3] Research economics & Needs Climate change • Plan, establish and evaluate adaptation strategies; include approaches to site management. Include urban areas [4] and adaptation ecosystems Assessment • Improve understanding of ecological, social and economic costs and benefits of managed retreats & identify adaptation options for wetland (2007) and coastal zones [4] • Research the effects of scale in ecosystem management [4][6] indicators & [5] Horizon • Research effectiveness of translocations and trade-offs between translocation and increasing connectivity [5] monitoring Scanning for future novel Wildlife & Understand consequences of biodiversity change on health and incidence of disease in human and other species [3] threats (2008) disease spread Understand how changes (e.g. arising from land use change or climate change) interact with wildlife to affect impact of zoonoses and vector borne diseases [1][2][5] [6] NERC Develop risk assessment techniques for identifying & preventing problems at source [1] and control strategies, incl. for novel pathogens [2][5] Biodiversity theme (2007)
lxiv THREATS TO BIODIVERSITY
Theme: Threats to Biodiversity (contd.) Topic(s) Research needs identified Particular Source(s) relevance to other themes Non native Develop effective approaches to management of NNS. This requires research to: species • Agree a definitive list of NNS and establish status and trends in establishment, spread, and impact across GB [4] • Establish extent habitats support NNS or are threatened by them and level of the vulnerability (of habitats and associated species) [1][4] [1] Defra E&I • Research taxa needed as inputs to models. Quantify and characterise pathways & vectors. Model and forecast invasions/ invasiveness [1][4][5] Strategy (2005) & • Assess environmental, economic & social risks and impacts (incl. on native species) of NNS [2][4] economics
• Cost /benefit analysis and improved understanding of social dimensions, including awareness, perceptions and attitude to control [4]. & ecosys) [2] Defra E&I
• Evaluation of ecosystem consequences of removal [1][4] questionnaire Biological • Evaluation of effectiveness of legislation and regulatory measures [4] invasions (2009) Greatly increase understanding of the causes and effects of biological invasions [3] Changing land Investigate implications for managing conservation goals under various scenarios of future shifts in land use change (e.g. arising from energy habitats & [3] EPBRS use policies, food security issues, economics, population and development pressure) [2][5] species Action Plan (2005) Dramatic Monitoring & assessment of ecological impacts of extreme flows [5] changes in Model cumulative impacts. Determine impacts of increasing hydrological connectivity & decreasing ecological connectivity [5] freshwater flow [4] UK BRAG Develop cost-effective management interventions [5] Research Chemical Establish methods and guidelines to assess environmental risk posed by chemicals and biotechnology, including genetically modified organisms [3] Needs pollution Develop approaches for separating the effects of the multiple drivers of biodiversity change, from each other and from natural change [3], specifically: Assessment & • establish impacts of atmospheric pollution and climate change on biodiversity [2][4] indicators & (2007) Biotechnology Develop cost-effective approaches to reduce impacts of acidification including mitigation measures [1] monitoring [5] Horizon Innovation Explanatory Notes Scanning for future novel Continued horizon scanning to identify emerging threats and new issues in the UK and globally, monitor these (e.g. nanotechnologies, new pollutants, threats (2008) emergent disease threats) assess research needs, resilience of policy to these threats and timescales for developing action [2][5]
Employ DNA advances to new areas – incl. potentially for describing patterns of change in biodiversity in response to changing land use patterns and habitats & adaptation to climate change [2] [6] NERC species Biodiversity Employ novel techniques (e.g. DNA bar-coding) for tracing origins of NNS [4] theme (2007) Develop new technologies for predicting and detecting fires [5]
lxv THREATS TO BIODIVERSITY Theme: Economics & Ecosystems Topic(s) Research needs identified Particular Source(s) relevance to other themes Understanding Ecosystem functions have not been adequately defined and techniques are required for measuring them: ecosystem functions • Define and classify ecosystem functions, including resilience [3] [4] threats to [1] Defra E&I • Develop techniques by which ecosystem functions can be measured [3][4] biodiversity Strategy (2005) Understand role of biodiversity in ecosystems [6] and identify strength of the relationship between biodiversity and ecosystem functions [3]
Identify the environmental limits of acceptable change [6] [2] Defra E&I Assess changes in ecosystem function in response to environmental change [4][6] questionnaire Valuing biodiversity Improve and apply techniques that deal with cost/benefits, uncertainty and irreversibility [1][4][5][6] (2009) Understand perceptions of the value of biodiversity; e.g. by testing people’s valuation of biodiversity services and establishing trade-offs between biodiversity concerns and other concerns [3][6] [3] EPBRS Evaluate the economic benefits of the UK BAP [2] habitats & Action Plan Establish which environmental investments yield the highest social rates of return [4] species (2005) Public attitudes Improve understanding of public attitudes, beliefs, perceptions and how these relate to behaviour and policy [1][3][5] Determine whether attitudes and behaviour are changing, assess implications for policy /communication [5] [4] UK BRAG Understand the causes of conflicts between humans and wildlife [2] and specifically: Research Needs • Understand society’s perceptions and understanding of resolution of wildlife conflicts, incl. social attitudes to country sports or Assessment antagonism due to perceived health threat [1] [5] (2007), • Further develop participatory and conflict management and resolution measures for wildlife conflicts [1]
[5] Horizon Strengthen the Test the role of biodiversity in sustainable development [1][6] Scanning for socio-economic Test the cost effectiveness of existing conservation regulation, policies and projects [4] future novel dimension of an Develop predictive models of human systems and ecological systems, similar to the approach advocated under the ecoSERVICES threats to threats (2008) ecosystem DIVERSITAS science plan [4][6] biodiversity approach [6] NERC
Biodiversity theme (2007)
lxvi ECONOMICS & ECOSYSTEMS Theme: Economics & Ecosystems (contd.) Topic(s) Research needs identified Particular Source(s) relevance to other themes Develop & Develop and assess methods of conserving natural resources, including market approaches, that achieve sustainable lifestyles and reduce see previous Implement impact on biodiversity [1][3] page approaches Develop methods to implement, evaluate and improve the principles and application of the ecosystem approach to the CBD [3] Undertake targeted predictive modelling of effects of policies and associated adaptive resource management for wildlife management [1] Obtain cost/benefit data on various wildlife control methods [1] Assess environmental, economic and social impacts of current populations, model effects of greater lesser populations, assess true economic international cost of wildlife populations on e.g. trade and tourism and on provision of ecosystem goods and services [1] Innovation Explanatory Notes There are opportunities in the use of web-services for identifying new policy options including market creation in biodiversity (e.g. biodiversity offsets) and ecosystem goods and services [1][2]
lxvii ECONOMICS & ECOSYSTEMS Theme: International Topic(s) Research needs identified Particular Source(s) relevance to other themes Ecosystems, Understand UK and global relationship between biodiversity and ecosystem function, international trade, built environment, economic/social [1] Defra E&I protection and development and health [1] Strategy human well being (2005) Research into governance and management of biodiversity use – including international trade, conservation and restoration in different habitats & sectors, investigating legal issues, precautionary principle and multi-level governance [1] species Integrate biodiversity and ecosystem services into decision making in developing countries and overseas territories [2] [2] Defra E&I Understand the most effective mechanisms for minimising the impact of business and development on global biodiversity [2] questionnaire (2009) Wildlife crime Develop methods for identifying illegal trade in protected species, to enforce UK legislation and CITES commitments [2] habitats & Develop and test methods to assist in detecting wildlife crime and in regulating the use of endangered species held in captivity [1][2] species [4] UK BRAG Research Employ DNA advances to new areas – e.g. detection of wildlife crime [2] Needs Zoos Assess welfare standards in zoos [2] Assessment Innovation Explanatory Notes (2007) There are opportunities to use DNA and data processing advances in species identification and taxonomy [4] [6] Develop innovative methods to enforce regulation in trade in endangered species, evaluate impact of trade on endangered species, define [6] NERC international responses and ensure suitable management and prevent wildlife crime [1] Biodiversity theme (2007)
lxviii INTERNATIONAL Theme: Habitats and Species Topic(s) Research needs identified Particular Source(s) relevance to other themes Status & change in Identify surveillance requirements for European protected species and habitats to inform action to avoid potential EC infraction [2] [1] Defra E&I key species & To inform the UK BAP, Defra PSAs and Intermediate Outcomes: Strategy (2005) habitats • Review and improve definition of some HAPs [4] indicators & monitoring • Improve understanding of status and trends in UK wildlife [2] [2] Defra E&I Questionnaire • Understand cause of unfavourable condition of SSSIs [2] (2009) • Assess impact of climate change on the integrity of protected sites [2] threats to biodiversity • Monitor wild bird populations [2] indicators & [3] EPBRS monitoring Action Plan Species recovery Develop concepts, tools and methods to enable species recovery & to restore and manage the various functions of degraded ecosystems [3] (2005) Develop concepts, tools & methods to achieve favourable conservation status [2][3] Innovation Explanatory Notes [4] UK BRAG Research Pest control Develop publicly acceptable more humane or non-lethal control mechanisms which minimise impacts on non-target species Needs (e.g. immunocontraceptives in management of pest populations) [1][2] Assessment More effective use Investigate role in taxonomy and taxonomic analysis of e-science tools such as online identification keys and taxonomic peer-review [6] (2007) of taxonomy [6] NERC Biodiversity Theme(2007)
lxix HABITATS & SPECIES Theme: Indicators and Monitoring Topic(s) Research needs identified Particular Source(s) relevance to other themes Audit Develop a unified system for auditing the distribution of UK Priority Habitats (compatible with existing European schemes) [3][4] [1] Defra E&I Scale Improve ecological management at site-level and better understand the effectiveness of policy options to halt biodiversity loss by taking Strategy account of the wider landscape context and a changing environment [3][4], requiring: (2005) • Improved understanding of landscape/ecosystem processes and their impacts on sites [4][6]
• Develop methods for scaling-up: from single samples to landscape scale [4][6] threats to [2] Defra E&I • Develop models and decision systems to improve site level management and predict impact on sites of environmental & socio- biodiversity; questionnaire economics & economic change at landscape scale [4][6] (2009) ecosystems Identification of scale at which iconic species and habitats are viable, consequences for other species and cost/benefit [5] Monitoring & Continue development of cost-effective methods, including mass participatory surveys, for assessing distribution, status and trends in priority habitats & species [3] EPBRS surveillance species and other species of policy relevance [1] [4] Action Plan threats to Techniques (2005) Develop monitoring techniques that work in a changing environment [4] biodiversity
Develop techniques to define long-term viable status for biodiversity, especially the UK Priority Habitats [3][4] species & habitats [4] UK BRAG Improve techniques for evaluating the ecological effects of biodiversity change [4] Research Needs Assessment Indicators & Develop and update UK and England Biodiversity indicators to provide an evidence base for assessing 2010 targets [2] (2007), measures threats to Develop headline indicators of climate change impacts on biodiversity [4] biodiversity Establish baseline indicators & targets for favourable conservation status [1][3][4] [5] Horizon Scanning for Develop indicators for ecosystem function, ecosystem goods and services and genetic diversity [1][4] economics & future novel Identify key indicators and surrogates of biodiversity status (considering ecological function, direction and rate of change, and links to ecosystems threats (2008) socio-economic measures for provision of ecosystem goods and services) [4] Identify and evaluate surrogate indicators of condition at a landscape level [4] [6] NERC Biodiversity Evaluate the use of ecosystem function as a surrogate for biodiversity and ecosystem health [4] economics theme (2007) & ecosystems
lxx INDICATORS & MONITORING Theme: Indicators and Monitoring (contd.) Topic(s) Research needs identified Particular Source(s) relevance to other themes Targets Review the effectiveness of existing policy framework and suitability of conservation targets in UK (SPAs, SACs and BAPs) and role in shaping threats to see viable management options, incl. in light of climate change [1] [4] biodiversity previous Capacity building Support infrastructure for professional and voluntary biological data recording [4] page Innovation Explanatory Notes Accessibility & Create centralised integrated environmental data sets, which could be used for investigations to answer cross-cutting policy questions [2][4] Integration of data Use of innovative internet and e-technologies to gather, manage, interpret and share biodiversity data and results [1][2][5] EO techniques Use of Earth Observation to improve biodiversity mapping and monitoring, including of condition [1][2]
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2.6 Outline Questions for Guided Discussion The Forward Look discussion will identify particular future research needs (themes, topics, or projects) building from what has been learned from the backward look and using the tables in this document as a starting point.
Discussion will also cover the processes of how funding is planned and apportioned, or how the partnership approach can be strengthened, ensuring engagement and efficiencies of scale while avoiding duplication of effort.
It will also cover the communications, between policy makers and scientists, or different partners, and how these could be made more effective. In particular, it will examine whether there is a need to improve dissemination of research requirements and results.
A Identification of research needs • What are the most critical topics for the future research programme to address from a Defra perspective and why? • Is there a need for the programme to address new topics or themes that were not identified in the synthesis? • What horizon scanning activities should the programme be undertaking? • Does Defra lead the way in the application of science for biodiversity policies? • Where is Defra research strong? • Where is Defra research weak? • How can we better involve the research community in the identification of research needs, either through UK BRAG or through other mechanisms?
B Prioritisation and management of research projects Changing pressures on biodiversity (e.g. climate change, invasive species) are constantly generating new research requirements. The development of the ecosystem approach has also generated new requirements and there is an increasing need to examine socio- economic aspects in biodiversity research, but the collection of the evidence to increase understanding in these areas often requires long-term studies and integrated analysis. New biodiversity issues and priorities can emerge very quickly, and policy units need a responsive, flexible research programme that can address these needs.
• How should projects be prioritised? This requires consideration of: i) the balance of funding between strategic longer-term goals and applied research in support of more immediate policy needs. ii) assessment of value for money. iii) the balance between low risk/high return and high risk/high return projects, including improved consideration of innovative approaches. iv) the balance between projects and engagement at home, in Europe and globally and the changing balancing between these (e.g. are there key issues emerging at a more global scale?).
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v) the urgency of the issue in terms of the threat to biodiversity and rate of change, or delivery of particular targets.
• Can we improve the efficiency with which let projects are managed, making best use of external expertise (e.g. by the use of ‘theme steering groups’ or increased use external academics on steering groups)?
C Working with partners
• How could the programme best align with the research programmes of other organisations such as NERC? • How can Defra improve interactions (and more clearly define the boundaries) between this research programme and research carried out by other funding bodies such as Natural England, Environment Agency, the Devolved Administrations, and the Research Councils? • How could the partnership approach be strengthened, within in the context of active participation, collaboration and joint funding of projects? • Can Defra engage in more innovative projects by extending our partnership – perhaps engaging more with businesses and industry? • How might planning processes be improved to assist partners in realising the benefits of a partnership approach (e.g. in identifying research needs, planning, financing, procuring, delivering and communicating research)?
D Communications
• How should communications be improved to avoid overlap, identify gaps, opportunities for working together, including improved identification and response to urgent research needs?
E Review and assessment
• How frequently should future research needs be reviewed and updated? • How flexible should the process be for identifying and prioritising projects?
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2.7 References (sources used in the synthesis table) Defra (2005) Evidence and Innovation Strategy 2005-2008. Consultation Document. Defra Defra (2009). Defra Evidence Investment Questionnaire 2009 – Overview & Evidence Needs (draft internal document). EPBRS (2005). Action Plan for Biodiversity Research in Europe. Formulated by the European Platform for Biodiversity Research Strategy, and adopted at its meeting in Budapest, Hungary, 31st March – 4th April 2005. Ferris R (Ed) (2007) Research needs for UK biodiversity. A summary of the important knowledge gaps, identified by the UK Biodiversity Research Advisory Group, 2003-2006. Defra. NERC (2008) Biodiversity Theme Action Plan. Sutherland et al (2008) Future novel threats and opportunities facing UK biodiversity identified by horizon scanning. Journal of Applied Ecology 45, p821-833.
2.8 Further Information Arthur D Little Ltd (2009) Survey of External Capabilities to meet Defra’s Strategic Requirements. Final Report. BES-Defra Workshop (2006) Assessing Ecosystem Services in the UK. 8 December 2006, London, UK. BiodivERsA: Ferris R. and C. Fenwick (2006) An Assessment of Best Practice in Commissioning and Managing Biodiversity Research in Europe, and Approaches to Overcoming Barriers to Cooperation. CCW (2004) Corporate Plan: 2005-2008 “Working Together to Create a Better Wales”. EA Corporate Plan 2009-2012 Creating a better place – Translating strategy into action. EPBRS (2008) Draft European National Strategies for Biodiversity Research. ERFF (2007) Strategic analysis of UK environmental research activity. ERFF Report 04. Fay, F.M. and Ferris, R. (eds) (2007) Genetic conservation research needs. Edited by the UK BRAG Secretariat on behalf of the Genetic Conservation sub-group. Ferris, R. (ed) (2006) Research priorities: climate change and adaptation. Edited by the UK BRAG Secretariat on behalf of the Climate Change and Adaptation Research Priorities subgroup. Ferris, R. and Bainbridge, I. (eds) (2005) Strategy for NNS research. Edited by the UK BRAG Secretariat on behalf of the Non-Native Species sub-group. Ferris, R., Pullin, A.S. and Charman, K. (eds) (2005) Research strategy for Management of Habitats and Ecosystems. Edited by the UK BRAG Secretariat on behalf of the Habitat and Ecosystem Management sub-group. Forestry Commission (2005) Science and Innovation for British Forestry. A summary of the 2005 Strategy. JNCC (2009) The UK Terrestrial Biodiversity Surveillance Strategy. Proposal for a Terrestrial Biodiversity Surveillance and Monitoring Strategy. Natural England (2009) Natural England Corporate Plan 2009 -2012. Living with Environmental Change : http://www.nerc.ac.uk/research/programmes/lwec/
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NERC (2007) Science Theme Reports. NERC Strategy 2007 – 2012. Next Generation Science for Planet Earth. Biodiversity. NERC. NERC (2007a) Next Generation Science for Planet Earth 2007-2012. NERC. NERC (2007b) Science Theme Reports. NERC Strategy 2007 – 2012. Next Generation Science for Planet Earth. Climate System. NERC. Perrings, C. and Ferris, R. (eds) (2004) Socio-economic biodiversity research perspectives relevant to the delivery of the UK Biodiversity Action Plan (UKBAP). Robson, J. (ed) (2006) Research needs analysis for the role of biodiversity in ecosystem function. Rose, P.M. and Ferris, R. (eds) (2005) Research strategy for monitoring and surveillance of biodiversity and evaluation of actions. Edited by the UK BRAG Secretariat on behalf of the Monitoring and Evaluation sub-group. SNH (2007) Research and Development Strategy 2007-2012. UNEP (2003) Integrating Biodiversity with environment assessment processes.
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lxxvi Defra Biodiversity Research and Development Programme Review 28 and 29 September 2009
PROJECT SUMMARIES
THEME 1: THREATS TO BIODIVERSITY
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Theme 1 Project summaries not available Project Project title Contractor Number 0188 Lead shot sales ADAS Paper Review 0233 Drivers of countryside change 1 ITE Paper Review 0234 Non-lethal bird scaring BASC Paper Review 0265 New Plant Atlas: changing flora CEH Paper Review of the UK 122 Lead shot Paper Review
123 Ruddy ducks Paper Review
124 Canada geese control Paper Review
133 Deer management Paper Review
148 Canada geese movements Paper Review
151 Pest birds monitoring Paper Review
180 Fish eating birds pop Paper Review
181 Fish eating birds feeding Paper Review
182 Shot lethality Paper Review
184 Biological monitoring lead shot Paper Review
196 Raptors – game birds Paper Review
197 Raptors – racing pigeons Paper Review
There are a number of projects, mainly from 1996, for which summaries were not available. While these have been included in the financial assessments, they are, unfortunately, not available for review.
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0302: CLIMATE CHANGE AND MIGRATORY SPECIES. INDICATOR SPECIES AND PROTOCOLS FOR DATA COLLECTION
British Trust for Ornithology Humphrey Q.P. Crick BTO, The Nunnery, Thetford, Norfolk, IP24 2PU
1 September 2004 – 19 October 2005 £57,000
Executive Summary Our climate is changing and there is already compelling evidence that animals and plants have been affected in both their distribution and behaviour. Migratory species are likely to be particularly affected by climate change as their behaviour usually involves seasonal movement between different geographic areas and across national boundaries.
Changes in range have been widely documented in all taxa, with distributions of most shifting towards the poles. The act of migration itself may become more difficult due to climate change as stopover areas may become degraded. Interactions between climate change and human exploitation are also widespread, though poorly understood. A major conservation concern is for arctic and montane species (most of which are migratory), the distributions of which cannot shift further north. Among mammals, Polar Bear and northern seals are of key concern, due to the loss of Arctic sea ice; sea-level rise will also affect a range of species. A major effect of climate on migratory (and other) species will be changes in prey distribution and mismatching between the timing of events at different trophic levels (for example birds and their invertebrate prey); such changes are already well documented.
In terrestrial systems, changes to the water regime and loss of vulnerable habitat are likely to affect the greatest number of migratory species. While adaptation (through habitat management) to climate change may bring benefits in terrestrial ecosystems, a reduction in emissions will be required to achieve significant benefits in marine systems as habitat management is less feasible. In many cases, a reduction in human impacts (such as over-exploitation or habitat loss) will help animal and plants to adapt. It is critical that there is a commitment to long-term monitoring schemes to detect the impacts of long-term climate change and to assess the abilities of plants and animals to adapt to it. There is also a need to gather information on migratory stopover sites so as best to target conservation action. Targeted implementation and enforcement of existing measures should provide much of the protection needed, as would the broader use of existing guidance codes.
Introduction and Policy Rationale Climate change is one of the major factors likely to affect the earth’s ecosystems in the coming decades. The increase in global temperature in the 20th century was the largest in any century during the past 1,000 years and this has been associated with changes in weather patterns, precipitation, snow cover, sea-temperatures and sea- level. There is already compelling evidence that animals and plants have been affected by recent climate change. Migratory species, by travelling large distances, being subject to a wide range of environmental influences and relying on a wide
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range of natural resources, are particularly likely to be affected by climate change at some point in their life cycles. These may be effects that apply to all species in that area, or effects that are specific to migrants. The UK Government is party to a number of international treaties and agreements that seek to promote and maintain the conservation status of migrant species of wildlife and Defra takes a lead role for the Government in these areas, with the Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals (CMS) being the primary instrument of interest. In this review, we focus on migratory species which occur in the U.K. or its Overseas Territories (UKOTs).
Objectives To (i) assess the strength of current scientific evidence of links between climate change and migratory species’ behaviour, abundance and distribution, (ii) identify what effects climate change has had, and may have in the future, on migratory species (iii) identify which species are threatened by climate change and comment on the measures proposed to tackle such threats and (iv) comment on the reliability or uncertainty of predicted effects.
Approaches and Methods We conducted a major review of the available published literature for the main taxonomic groups that contain a substantial number of migratory species, i.e. birds, marine and terrestrial mammals, bats, turtles, marine fish, marine invertebrates (primarily cephalapods) and insects. Where appropriate we supplemented this information with recent studies in the pre-publication stage. We also consulted with experts on the biology, ecology and conservation of these taxa. While this work considered information from throughout the world, special consideration was given to those species that occur in and/or pass through the UK and its Overseas Territories (UKOTs). We examined the climate change impacts on a number of species included on the CMS Appendices in some depth in a series of Case Studies, which highlight the types of impacts climate change may have on migratory species. The review was assessed and augmented by a panel of international experts brought together for a two-day workshop in Cambridge.
Results Our understanding of the likely impacts of future climate change varies greatly between taxonomic groups, with the best information being available for birds. Of the bird species listed on the CMS, 84% face some threat from climate change. Almost half of these are because of changes in water usage; this is equivalent to all other man-made causes put together.
Changes in range are perhaps the most widely documented effect of climate change and have been demonstrated in a number of groups. Changes in prey distribution are equally common and will have widespread effects on the distribution and survival of species at higher trophic levels (i.e. predators). These changes might be spatial (through changes in range), or temporal (through differential changes in development rates), and lead to a mismatch between prey abundance and the need for resources. Habitat loss and, importantly, changes in habitat quality are particularly important for migratory species that need a coherent network of sites to facilitate their migratory journeys. By altering distributions, climate change will bring some species into conflict with human activities. Conversely, anthropogenic responses to climate change are likely to exacerbate the impacts on wildlife caused by changing climatic 4 Defra Biodiversity Research and Development Programme Review 28 and 29 September 2009
conditions, e.g. through increased water abstraction, changes in agri- or silviculture, or changes in fishing patterns. Although the scenarios of climate change are generally within the known range of historical conditions, the rate at which they are changing is unprecedented, so organisms may be unable to adapt sufficiently rapidly.
Relevance to Policy The UK Government is party to a number of international treaties and agreements that seek to promote and maintain the conservation status of migrant species of wildlife, and Defra takes a lead role for the Government in these areas. The primary instrument in this area is the Bonn Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals (CMS, 1979) and associated agreements focussing on particular groups of taxa. Other key international legal and policy instruments for nature conservation that cover migrant species include the Ramsar Convention on wetlands (1971) and the EC Birds (1979/409/EEC) and Habitats (1992/42/EEC) Directives. This report was presented at the CMS CoP 8 in Nairobi, November 2005 and led to the CMS adopting a Resolution (UNEP/CMS/8.13) recognising the impacts of climate change on migratory species and calling for measures addressing this.
Technology Transfer Events Workshop bringing together international experts and key policy-makers; March 2005 (43 participants)
Reports and Publications International Press Coverage, including (in UK) Independent, Geographical Magazine Maclean, I.M.D., Rehfisch, M.M., Robinson, R.A. & Delany, S. 2008 The effects of climate change on migratory waterbirds within the African-Eurasian flyway. British Trust for Ornithology Thetford. Robinson, R.A., Crick, H.Q.P., Learmonth, J.A., et al. 2009. Travelling through a warming world – climate change and migratory species. Endangered Species Research 7:87-99. Learmonth, J.A., Macleod, C.D., Santos, M.B., Pierce, G.J., Crick H.Q.P. & Robinson, R.A. 2006. Potential effects of climate change on marine mammals. Oceanography and Marine Biology 44:429-456.
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0266: ASSESSING CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS ON LAND USE AND ECOSYSTEMS: FROM REGIONAL ANALYSIS TO THE EUROPEAN SCALE (ACCELERATES) and DEFRA Extension to ACCELERATES.
Contractor Organisation ECI, University of Oxford South Parks Road, Oxford, OX1 3QY
2002 – 2005 Total cost (€k): 1233 (EU) Total cost of extension (£k): 43 (Defra)
Introduction and Policy Rationale In spatial terms, agriculture is one of the most important land uses in Europe. The management of this land has profound impacts on biological diversity. Throughout the second half of the 20th century European landscapes have experienced rapid changes in agricultural land use arising from developments in technology and management driven by socio-economic and political changes. The intensification of agricultural land use has led to the fragmentation and loss of natural habitats and their associated species. In the future these trends are anticipated to continue through the effect of reforms to the CAP, enlargement of the European Union, globalisation, technological change and climate change. Yet the rates of land use change and the potential implications of this for biodiversity are poorly understood. The EU-funded ACCELERATES project sought to gain insight into these issues and the Defra-funded extension enabled more habitats to be studied in the East Anglian case study region.
Objectives The overall aim of the project was to assess the vulnerability of European agroecosystems to environmental change. This was achieved through an assessment of:
• the rate, extent and dynamics of changes in agricultural land use arising from climate, policy and socio-economic pressures; • the impact of agricultural land use and climate change on biological resources; and • the vulnerability of agroecosystems based on economic and environmental considerations.
Approaches and Methods The research was undertaken in two phases: • Phase 1: Building an integrated modelling framework including models for crop growth, farm decision making, species distribution and species dispersal. • Phase 2: Applying this integrated framework to test the effect of different scenarios of climatic and socio-economic change on agricultural land use and the response of species. The Defra extension enabled modelling of species for lowland heathland and fens in East Anglia.
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Integrated framework The building blocks of the integrated framework were: a) A crop growth model, which estimated potential crop yields from soil, water, plant and nutrient characteristics. b) A farm-based decision model, which was designed to determine the cropping, labour and machinery which optimises long-term profit, accounting for risk aversion and imposed constraints for environmental reasons. c) A species distribution model, generating maps of the potential distribution of species for changed climatic conditions, based on actual presence or absence of these species and land use. d) A species dispersal model, indicating if a species can actually move to its potential distribution area. The integrated framework was developed within a GIS, so that the model outputs could be represented spatially, in map form.
Scenarios The modelling was driven by the use of environmental change scenarios for the years 2020, 2050 and 2080. These scenarios included estimates of not only changes in the climatic baseline, but also estimates of possible future changes in socio- economics. For example, prices of agricultural commodities and production costs may vary substantially over relatively short time periods in response to market and policy drivers. Where possible the socio-economic scenarios were directly linked to the climate change scenarios through the common societal and political assumptions that underpin each scenario. The relative importance of socio-economic and biophysical drivers were assessed, and the implications for policy highlighted. Vulnerable regions (those that are sensitive to change and are unable to adapt were identified using economic and environmental indicators.
Scales of application The project was undertaken at the scale of the European Union (EU15), and within six case study regions (Belgium; Denmark; the Belluno Valley, Italy; Almeria, Spain; the island of Lesvos, Greece; East Anglia, UK). The European scale work assessed changes in agroecosystems and the impact of this on the distribution of natural habitats and species. The regional case studies allowed more detailed analysis of the specific issues and processes affecting land use dynamics and species at a local level, notably, species dispersal processes within fragmented landscapes.
Results The project produced results on: 1. better understanding of the rates and processes of changes in agricultural land use and species distributions and dispersal; 2. refined understanding of the relationship between land use and species suitability; 3. identification of vulnerable agroecosystems and regions in terms of their sensitivities to environmental change and their ability to adapt to change; 4. vulnerable habitats, as in East Anglia, lowland heath plant species could persist, while Dartford warbler could lose climate space in some parts, but there was still a large suitable area into which it could disperse. Two fen plant species showed little change in the climate suitability, while one plant species and the birds could lose space. Thus this was a more sensitive habitat (Defra extension); 7 Defra Biodiversity Research and Development Programme Review 28 and 29 September 2009
5. evaluation of the feasibility of an integrated approach to conservation and sustainable development involving local stakeholders; and 6. examination of policy mechanisms to mitigate undesirable changes in agroecosystems and biodiversity.
Conclusions and Relevance to Policy The vulnerability of species to climate change suggests that conservation management and legislation need strengthening. Where climate space is predicted to be totally lost, species should become a conservation priority in countries which remain suitable, usually those to the north(east). Scandinavia will become increasingly important for species. Non-modelled rare/sensitive species could become vulnerable in the future and need protection and EU policy needs to be regularly reviewed and lists of species updated, as is planned for Red Data Book species’ lists. The impacts of climate change on agriculture will vary between regions. In southern Europe major concerns will be abandonment and water supply for irrigation whereas in northern Europe concerns are for intensified production and the negative environmental effects of farming. The CAP should deal with these regional differences with different instruments employed to avoid abandonment and to encourage more extensive production.
Technology transfer Events Joint Defra extension to ACCELERATES and MONARCH workshop on “Impacts of climate change on biodiversity and the implications for nature conservation policy and management” held on 18th – 19th May 2004 in Oxford.
Reports and publications The results of the project were widely published in the scientific press, including a Special Issue in Environmental Science and Policy containing eight papers (volume 9, number 2, pages 93 to 204 inclusive).
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0308: MODELLING NATURAL RESOURCE RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE (THE MONARCH 3 PROJECT)
University of Oxford Dr Pam Berry Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, 5, South Parks Road, Oxford OX3 1QY.
1 April 2004 - 30 September 2006 £327,000
Executive Summary In MONARCH 3, the SPECIES model was automated, so that the potential impact of a climate change on a greater number of species could be assessed. It was also refined to include ensemble forecasting to reduce within model uncertainty and Ecological Niche Factorization Ananlysis (ENFA), so that presence-only species data could be used. The model was applied to 120 Britain and Ireland BAP species at the 5km and to 32 of these at the 50km resolution. The model also was validated by hindcasting, using historical species’ distribution data. The role of climate uncertainty was also investigated by applying 28 climate change scenarios to six species to explore uncertainties from three sources: future greenhouse gas emissions, imperfect understanding of climate science and modelling, and natural climate variability.
MONARCH 3 helped advance the science and understanding of the potential impacts of climate change on biodiversity. The developments of the SPECIES model meant that it was at the forefront of bioclimate envelope models. MONARCH 3 continued to investigate the limits of bioclimatic envelope modelling and explored the limitations posed by data availability and reliability. It identified those BAP species that may need to respond to considerable changes in the location of their potential suitable climate space and thus highlighted that nature conservation should take broad actions to increase the resilience of habitats and the ability of species to move across landscapes.
Introduction and Policy Rationale Given the strong evidence of species currently responding to climate changes, it is highly likely that the future impacts of climate change on biodiversity will be substantial. MONARCH was a seven-year programme developed to assess the impacts of projected climate change on wildlife in Britain and Ireland. The key aim was to simulate the potential for change in the ranges of species, using the UKCIP scenarios. MONARCH 3 examined the potential effects on 120 rare or threatened species, listed as needing conservation under the UK Biodiversity Action Plan (BAP), with a particular focus on 32 species with more robust data. In doing so, it sought to • make the case for adaptation to the unavoidable effects of climate change upon biodiversity over the next 50 years; • inform the development of nature conservation policy and ensure that the needs of biodiversity are considered in the adaptation planning across Britain and Ireland; • inform future development of UK BAP targets;
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• demonstrate the potential consequences for British and Irish biodiversity of failing to reduce emissions, and thereby strengthen the case for action on mitigation.
Objectives 1. Automate the ‘SPECIES’ modelling process; 2. Apply MONARCH methodology in Britain and Ireland; 3. Validate ‘SPECIES’ model through hindcasting; 4. To assess and, where possible, quantify the uncertainty involved in the modelling process.
Approaches and Methods Bioclimate envelope modelling is a standard method for assessing the potential impacts of climate change on species' ranges, but is subject to a number of limitations. MONARCH 3 sought to address some of these through automation of the SPECIES model, in order that multiple runs could be performed for each species for ensemble forecasting, but for BAP species the availability of European distribution data for model training was a severe limitation. ENFA was added to the model to try and overcome this. Initially, maps were produced of the current recorded distribution overlain by simulated present and projected future climate space across Britain and Ireland at 5km resolution for all 120 BAP species. The simulations were then masked to remove areas of currently unsuitable land cover in an effort to better define the potentially suitable areas. A review by taxonomic specialists suggested that the 5km resolution resulted in a false sense of accuracy, given the limitations of the input data and thus the 32 species for which there was good distribution data where re- modelled at the 50km resolution and the implications for conservation were only analysed for these species.
In order to validate the SPECIES model, 12 species were selected according to whether they were expanding, contracting or showing little range change. The model was trained on an earlier observed species distribution dataset and corresponding climate and run forwards to simulate changes in potential suitable climate space, and also trained on the more recent datasets and run backwards (hindcasting). To explore the uncertainties from future greenhouse gas emissions, imperfect understanding of climate science and modelling, and natural climate variability, 28 climate change scenarios were applied to the climate space models for six species.
Results The automated SPECIES programme greatly reduced the time and difficulty of generating and analysing model projections and provided a friendly, graphical user- interface. The two methodological developments reduced model error through the use of ensembles and ENFA allowed the modelling of additional species, although there are still a number of modelling caveats that have not been addressed MONARCH 3 also demonstrated the importance of the availability and quality of species distribution data for species modelling, especially when dealing with rarer species. The land cover masking showed the limitations in defining the land cover types where a species might occur, and while it was good at limiting simulated climate space for coastal species, it was rather crude for others, as many were associated with a number of widely distributed land cover types. In the validation, the SPECIES model performed well when given climate and observed data from the same time period and simulated an expansion in potential suitable climate space for 10 Defra Biodiversity Research and Development Programme Review 28 and 29 September 2009
the future period when run forward for species expected to expand. It was less good at simulating changes in climate space for contracting species. The backcasting often led to undersimulation of potential suitable climate space relative to the observed distribution, which was more difficult to explain. The uncertainty analysis results showed that there was a wide range of projections between different climate models and emissions scenarios, whilst uncertainties due to natural climate variability tended to be less. Uncertainties in the 2080s, however, were generally greater than in the 2050s, as might be expected. Model uncertainty tended to be greater than emissions uncertainty for the gains in potential suitable climate space projected for some species. However, there was little difference in the magnitude of uncertainty related to emissions scenarios and climate models for the losses in potential suitable climate space projected for all species, except one.
The projections for the 32 BAP species illustrated the severe threat posed by climate change to biodiversity, as 29 were projected to see significant shifts in suitable climate space. Eight were projected to lose substantial climate space: for six of them, all suitable climate space – or the vast majority of it – could be lost by the 2080s under a High climate change scenario. The projections also showed a northward shift in climate space for six species, while 15 had the potential to extend their range within Britain and Ireland. The latter may be particularly important to conservation if species are simultaneously losing climate space and declining further south, including in their continental European range.
Conclusions and Relevance to Policy MONARCH 3 advanced the science and understanding of the potential impacts of climate change on biodiversity. Given the uncertainties in projections, adaptation for nature conservation should not assume specific outcomes for individual species, but instead manage for uncertainty. MONARCH’s projections reinforced the urgency for management interventions. The modelled responses of the 32 species to climate change were variable, but those projected to gain, lose or shift climate space (over 90% of them over the timescale of the scenarios) will all potentially need help in dispersing to and establishing in new areas, so developing effective adaptation measures appeared vital and MONARCH’s climate space projections have been important in this thinking. Planning for the impacts of climate change on biodiversity requires adaptation strategies that maintain and enhance resilience and strategies which accommodate change and MONARCH 3 has provided informative signposts that have helped develop policies for nature conservation and climate change.
Technology Transfer Events The Conservation Synthesis report was launched May, 2007 with a press release and meeting with Barrie Gardiner report. The work has also been presented at a number of conferences and meetings. Reports and Publications. Berry, P.M., O’Hanley, J.R., Thomson, C.L., Harrison, P.A, Masters, G.J. & Dawson, T.P. (eds.) (2007) Modelling Natural Resource Responses to Climate Change (MONARCH): MONARCH 3 Contract report, Oxford: UKCIP Technical Report. O'Hanley, J.O. (2009) ‘NeuralEnsembles: a neural network based ensemble forecasting program for habitat and bioclimatic suitability analysis’, Ecography,Vol pp32, 89-93. Walmsley, C.A., Smithers, R.J., Berry, P.M., Harley, M., Stevenson, M.J. & Catchpole, R. (eds.) (2007) MONARCH - Modelling Natural Resource Responses to Climate Change - a synthesis for biodiversity conservation, Oxford: UKCIP.
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0327: TOWARDS ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE (ENGLAND BIODIVERSITY STRATEGY (TACC EBS)
Contractor Organisation Ruth Mitchel (since left CEH) Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford, Wallingford, OX10 8BB
November 2005 – May 2007 £72,660
Executive Summary The evidence that the Earth’s climate is changing as a consequence of human activity is strong and accepted by the overwhelming majority of scientific opinion. The changing climate is beginning to have an impact on English ecosystems and this impact is expected to increase and accelerate in future, threatening the conservation of biodiversity.
Introduction and Policy Rationale The England Biodiversity Strategy (EBS) “Working with the Grain of Nature” aims to ensure that biodiversity considerations become embedded in all the main sectors of economic activity that have an impact on or relationship with delivery of biodiversity objectives, both public and private. This project reviewed the scientific evidence and summarised the potential impacts of climate change on the biodiversity of England within each of the sectors of the EBS: Agriculture, Water and Wetlands, Woodland and Forestry, Coastal and Marine, Towns and Cities. It included direct impacts and indirect ones resulting from human responses to climate change. It gives a brief overview of the main non- climatic pressures on biodiversity and their possible interactions with climate change. Principles and measures for adapting biodiversity policy and management to climate change are presented.
Objectives The aim of this work is to provide a review of the evidence of climate change impacts on biodiversity in England and to explore adaptation options. Specific objectives for each of the sectors (Agriculture, Water and wetlands, Woodland and forestry, Towns, cities and development, Coasts and seas) were as follows: • To review and summarise the evidence for the direct impacts of climate change on biodiversity • To identify potential changes in policies, working practices, and land use that are a response to climate change and assess the opportunities and threats to biodiversity as a result of these changes • To assess non-climate change drivers of change and their interaction with climate change • To identify feasible adaptation strategies in terms of policy and practice.
Approaches and Methods The approach entailed a comprehensive literature review, and then used this marshalling of knowledge to follow a formal and systematic approach to assessing what were the likely affects of climate change on habitats and to what extent
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management of the landscape could be conducted adaptively to allow habitats still to function. This included stakeholder workshops that used structured discussions to integrate expert knowledge into the assessment.
Results The EBS climate change adaptation workstream members identified four key principles for adaptation to climate change, aimed at reducing vulnerability and managing for uncertainty: • Reduce direct impacts • Reduce indirect impacts • Increase resilience • Accommodate change These are generic principles and their practical implementation can be summarised as six measures for adaptation. • Direct management to reduce impacts • Promote dispersal of species • Increase available habitat • Promote conditions for natural ecosystem functioning • Optimise sectoral responses to climate change for biodiversity • Continue to reduce pressures not linked to climate change.
Conclusions and Relevance to Policy There are three key underpinning requirements to enable these measures to be developed and implemented. They are aimed at reducing uncertainties and will provide the evidence base and communications to facilitate a flexible approach to implementation of adaptive measures to climate change: • Monitoring and surveillance • Development of the evidence base and research • Knowledge transfer and communication
Future Work Within life of project The project has now been completed.
Technology Transfer Events Stakeholder workshops were held, but due to staff turnover the details of these are not readily available.
Reports and publications Mitchell, R. J.; Morecroft, M. D.; Acreman, M.; Crick, H. Q. P.; Frost, M.; Harley, M.; Maclean, I. D. M.; Mountford, O.; Piper, J.; Pontier, H.; Rehfisch, M. M.; Ross, L. C.; Smithers, R. J.; Stott, A.; Walmsley, C. A.; Watts, O.; Wilson, E.. 2007 England Biodiversity Strategy - towards adapation to climate change. Final report to Defra for contract CRO327. Defra, 177pp. (Contract CRO327).
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0326: CONSERVATION OF BIODIVERSITY IN A CHANGING CLIMATE
NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Rob Brooker, Macaulay Institute Juliette Young, CEH Edinburgh
2005 - 2006 £19,900
Executive Summary Climate change is impacting biodiversity, altering the seasonality of natural events, the size and ranges of populations, the composition of communities, and the functioning of ecosystems. Future impacts will include further similar changes, as well as the potential for non-linear responses as novel situations (and perhaps novel species) are created. Adaptation strategies are needed to conserve biodiversity during climate change. However, to develop and implement such strategies we must address key areas of uncertainty and gaps in knowledge with respect to the response of biodiversity to climate change. At the same time, we must examine biodiversity conservation policy, addressing whether current policy can incorporate adaptation to climate change, as well as the problems of promoting biodiversity conservation policy and developing cross-sectoral approaches to biodiversity conservation.
Introduction and Policy Rationale Climate change is now widely recognised as one of the major drivers of global biodiversity change and loss. It is therefore necessary to consider what measures might be taken in terms of the development of policy and research strategies, in order to minimise these impacts and conserve biodiversity. Considerable discussion is currently underway within Europe on these issues. Such discussions need to bring together information on the impacts of climate change on biodiversity in Europe (both observed and predicted impacts) and the existing policy framework for biodiversity conservation, and to identify gaps in knowledge or barriers to knowledge transfer that prevent the implementation of existing policies or development of new policies. As part of this process Defra organised a meeting in October 2005 of the European Platform for Biodiversity Research Strategy (EPBRS) in Aviemore, Scotland, under the UK Presidency of the European Union entitled “Climate Change and Biodiversity Conservation: knowledge needed to support development of integrated adaptation strategies”.
Objectives This review was produced to aid the work of the EPBRS at the Aviemore workshop. Its aim was to review the impacts of climate change on biodiversity in Europe, the current, planned and proposed policy responses to those impacts, and the known knowledge gaps and barriers to knowledge transfer that prevent the development of policy responses.
Approaches and Methods A draft report was produced by the project team based upon a literature review of both research and policy documents. Although detailed reviews of current and predicted impacts of climate change on biodiversity are available elsewhere (e.g.
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IPCC 2002, CBD 2003), this paper updated these reviews by including information from recent project reports and meeting outputs (e.g. RHS 2005, EEAC 2005). The draft version of the paper was posted for comment during an electronic conference on 'Climate Change and Biodiversity Conservation: Knowledge needed to support development of integrated adaptation strategies', 29 August – 16 September 2005. Information from the keynote papers and discussion from this conference were included during revision of the report, and in particular in the production of section 5, prior to submission to the EPBRS meeting. In addition background papers were produced to support working groups at the EPBRS meeting. Following the EPBRS and Nature Directors’ meetings, as well as a process of peer review, additional information has been included in this document including information from the output of both of these meetings, as well as from a background paper produced by the IUCN for the Nature Director’s meeting (IUCN 2005).
Results Climate change has been proposed as one of the major threats to the global biodiversity resource. Information on the response of European biodiversity comes from two main sources: observed responses of biodiversity to recent climate change and modelled scenarios of future biodiversity responses. A number of processes, in particular changes in the growing season and timing of biological events, as well as differences in the ability of species to shift ranges, will lead to changes in the composition of terrestrial communities. Communities will not move as unaltered units. Changes in climatic conditions will alter the productivity of ecosystems, and this will vary spatially across Europe. Changes in climatic variability may lead to the loss of rare species, or those at the margins of their ranges. Key sources of uncertainty relating to future biodiversity responses include the level of detail at which modelling can be conducted; the different abilities of species to respond to climate change; the interactive effect of climate change with other drivers of biodiversity change; and non-linearity of responses. Policy to deal with the impacts of climate change can be categorised into mitigation and adaptation. With respect to biodiversity conservation, adaptation strategies would aim to conserve biodiversity despite the impacts of climate change. There is now widespread recognition of the need to develop adaptation strategies for biodiversity conservation. The implementation of policy, and in particular EPI (Environmental Policy Integration) is an area that needs addressing to promote biodiversity conservation during climate change. However, careful design of sectoral adaptation strategies and a realisation of the financial value of ecosystem services (maintained by biodiversity) would promote integration of biodiversity conservation. A number of gaps in knowledge, research priorities and barriers to knowledge transfer exist relating to climate change impacts on biodiversity, and the development of adaptation strategies for biodiversity conservation.
Conclusions and Relevance to Policy There are strong links between the natural environment and the planet’s climate through which climate change will impact on biodiversity. In fact, we are already seeing important changes in the natural world that are direct responses to climate change. It is now also apparent that, even with our best efforts in terms of reducing GHG emissions, current concentrations are already committing us to some degree of warming. Conserving biodiversity during rapid climate change is now a priority, driven not least by the realisation that biodiversity underpins ecosystem services, for 15 Defra Biodiversity Research and Development Programme Review 28 and 29 September 2009
example, provision of clean water and air, production of harvestable biological resources (such as timber, agricultural produce and fish), and pest and disease control. However, in order to develop adaptation strategies to promote biodiversity conservation we need to address gaps in our ecological knowledge and critically assess the processes by which policy in a number of sectors is developed and implemented. Importantly, these processes are not isolated. We are now at a stage where it is becoming clear that a concerted and integrated effort by the research and policy-making communities is needed to tackle these issues. Unfortunately information exchange between these communities is commonly highlighted as a barrier to progress. This review helps address this issue by contribute to information flow and dialogue between scientists and policy-makers by condensing relevant information on science and policy into one readily-accessible source. For policymakers, this review provides an overview of the likely impacts of climate change on biodiversity, whilst highlighting the uncertainties associated with predicting such impacts and why these uncertainties exist. For scientists, the review provides an overview of the current situation with respect to the development of biodiversity conservation policies, and some of the primary needs of policymakers.
Technology Transfer Brooker, R., Young, J. and Watt, A. 2007. Climate change and biodiversity: impacts and policy development challenges - A European case study. International Journal of Biodiversity Science and Management, 3(1): 12-30
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0389: HABITAT CONNECTIVITY - THE ECOLOGICAL BASIS FOR LANDSCAPE PERMEABILITY, FACILITATING ADAPTIVE RESPONSE OF SPECIES TO CLIMATE
Forest Research Dr Kevin Watts/Dr Amy Eycott Centre for Human & Ecological Sciences, Forest Research, Alice Holt Lodge, Farnham, Surrey, GU10 4LH
2007 - 2008 Total £46,000 – Defra £33,000
Introduction 1. There is increasing evidence that climate change is having a direct impact on UK biodiversity. These impacts include: changes in seasonal events such as flowering and species migration; changes in species abundance, habitat preferences and range, and alteration to ecosystem functions such as carbon and nutrient cycling. It is likely that many species, including some UK Biodiversity Action Plan (UKBAP) priority species, will need to alter their range and distribution in response to changes in their “climate space” – the geographical area within which the climate is suitable for population survival – and the distribution of habitat and resources. 2. Habitat fragmentation is thought to be a major factor constraining the ability of species to track geographical shifts in suitable climate space. Functional connectivity is dependant on species dispersal abilities, the size and spatial arrangement of habitat patches and the degree to which land cover and land use in the intervening matrix may facilitate or hinder movement. As such, functional connectivity is species-specific and a landscape may be functionally connected for some species, but not for others. 3. Defra and partners have produced guidance for land-managers on how to reduce the impact of climate change on biodiversity. This includes recommendations for the creation of ecological networks to improve connectivity between habitat patches by: habitat expansion, establishing physical linkages such as corridors and habitat “stepping stones”, and improving the permeability of the matrix to species movement. Although these measures are strongly underpinned by ecological theory, the empirical evidence is in need of review to guide and support actions to improve habitat connectivity.
Aims and Objectives 4. The aim of this project was to assess, through systematic review with expert consultation, the strength of the empirical evidence underpinning the development of functional habitat connectivity as an adaptation to climate change. The main objectives included: assessing the importance of landscape permeability/connectivity for a wide range of species including BAP priority species; categorising the time-scales and distances over which connectivity has been studied; identifying knowledge gaps in the evidence base, and providing recommendations for policy development in relation to landscape “design features” for enhancing species movement.
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Methods 5. A systematic review and synthesis of available evidence was undertaken including database and internet searches, meta-analyses of selected relevant quantitative datasets and exploration of qualitative data. The specific review question was ‘Which landscape features affect species movement?’ In the qualitative section, specific focus was given to studies of UK species, including UKBAP priority species and non-native species, and to the spatial and temporal scales of those studies. In consultation with the project steering group, priority was given to assessing quantitative evidence that landscape features, specifically corridors and matrix structure, can enhance species movement. 6. A total of 11,270 documents were systematically assessed and 313 studies (all on animals) identified where direct measurement of species movement had been undertaken in relation to the presence/absence of corridors or to matrix structure. Landscape features and experimental designs varied between studies, so the 313 studies were sorted into seven ‘evidence pools’ according to their characteristics, and the data from two pools were subjected to quantitative synthesis using meta- analysis. A qualitative review was undertaken on the subset of studies concerning UK species (67 studies; 109 species; 18 UK BAP priority species; 9 non-native species).
Results 7. The meta-analysis was able to provide evidence, for a limited number and taxonomic range of species on which studies have been conducted, that corridors have the potential to facilitate movement between habitat patches. Many of the studies available focused on insects and rodents in experimental spatial populations and should not therefore be used to infer wider application. Matrix type was shown to influence the movement of individuals, with matrices that were structurally more similar to the organism’s “home” or breeding habitat patch being more permeable to species movement. Provision of a corridor (versus no corridor) had a greater effect on inter-movement rates than provision of a permeable matrix (versus non permeable). However, there have been no direct comparisons of the preference of species for using a corridor compared to a permeable matrix. 8. There was uneven coverage of taxonomic groups in the 67 studies retrieved on UK species, and most focused on butterflies and moths, followed by birds and carabid beetles. Among the mammals, rodents were the most widely studied. Freshwater invertebrates appear particularly under-investigated and there were no studies retrieved on UK reptiles. Plants were not included in the review. Spatial scales of the studies ranged from 0.03 m2 (natterjack toads) to 15,800 km2 (deer) and timescales of the experiment/observations from two minutes to five years. Positive responses, such as increased movement rate or dispersal distance, to intervening matrix features of a similar structure to the ‘home’ habitat were recorded across taxonomic groupings, habitat types and scales. Exceptions occurred where the species used less structurally similar features for cover, was highly mobile and did not react to the matrix, or used more permeable features but still dispersed at the same rate. Some negative responses (decreased movement or dispersal) to barriers such as roads were recorded.
Conclusions and Recommendations 9. There is quantitative evidence that corridors do facilitate the movement of individual animals in the circumstances tested. However, this evidence comes from a limited range of studies and it is not possible to generalise across taxa and 18 Defra Biodiversity Research and Development Programme Review 28 and 29 September 2009
landscapes. Landscape features between habitat patches, such as corridors and intervening matrix structure may have a role in enhancing connectivity for relatively mobile groups like butterflies, birds and large herbivores. For these species, measures to create corridors and an intervening matrix with structural affinity to the “home” habitat may enhance population persistence and could promote longer distance movement. This provides some limited support for current policy and guidance on improving functional connectivity by developing ecological networks to enhance species movements in response to climate change. 10. There was a large number of species for which no information was retrieved; reptiles and species of freshwater habitats were particularly under-represented as were species of low mobility. Plants were not included. In other instances the evidence was equivocal or confounded by other variables and the relative importance of landscape features, compared to other factors which affect species movement, is unclear. Notwithstanding the need for immediate action based on available evidence, further research relating to longer time-scales (over multiple generations) and greater spatial scales (greater than long-distance dispersal events) is required to refine our understanding of the spatial and temporal patterns of use of landscape features by different species and taxa. There is also a need for further evaluation of the effectiveness of landscape interventions in controlled situations. 11. The findings of this study need to be placed in the context of the broader question of the effectiveness of habitat networks. The review covered a relatively narrow slice of the potential full range of evidence that could be brought to bear on this question. Further reviews (e.g. to capture movement using inferred methods such as landscape genetics) and analysis of the evidence pools gathered would help build a more complete picture. In addition, other interventions to increase resilience of species to climate change may be as important as measures to enhance movement. Actions that can promote resilient populations include conserving protected areas and all other high quality habitats, reducing sources of harm not linked to climate, conserving the range and ecological variability of habitat and species, creating buffer zones around high quality habitats, and taking action to control spread of invasive species. In turn, larger populations can produce more individuals capable of dispersal and habitats will be more welcoming to colonisation and establishment, thereby increasing the likelihood and success of chance, long- distance dispersal events which for many species appear to be vital in keeping pace with shift in climate space.
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0289: NITROGEN ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION IMPACTS ON BIODIVERSITY: PHASE 1 – MODEL DEVELOPMENT AND TESTING
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Simon Smart Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Library Avenue, Bailrigg, Lancaster, LA4 4PD
January 2004 - ? 2006 £152,300
Objectives Development of models for the forecasting change in vegetation condition on GB nature reserves in response to N deposition and other drivers. 1. Review the knowledge base for atmospheric nitrogen pollution impacts on biodiversity. 2. Develop and test modelling techniques to help quantify the impacts of atmospheric nitrogen deposition on biodiversity nationally. 3. Apply the modelling techniques to a sample of habitats and sites to examine current and projected levels of the nitrogen threat (from atmospheric and other sources) to habitats and sites of high nature conservation importance. 4. Provide a preliminary interpretation of the results with respect to achievement of: i) the Public Service Agreement target for achieving favourable condition on SSSIs; and ii) Biodiversity Action Plan targets for priority habitats and species and related indicators of biodiversity (eg. Country Biodiversity Strategy indicators).
Approaches and Methods Predictions of the impact of nitrogen deposition on plant species in UK Priority Habitats were obtained by coupling a dynamic soil model (MAGIC) to empirical species niche models (GBMOVE). Empirical niche models were constructed for 971 higher plants, 233 bryophytes and 74 lichens in the form of multiple logistic regression equations for the presence of each species in relation to mean floristic indicator scores (e.g. Ellenberg N). These mean scores were linked to abiotic conditions via a second set of regression equations. The linkage of the species models to outputs from MAGIC was based on MAGIC simulations of annual change in soil chemistry on eleven test sites predicted for annual time steps between 1850 and 2050. At each of these test sites, soil characteristics, management operations and predictions of historical and future atmospheric S and N deposition were used as inputs to MAGIC. Additional testing focussed on the calibration equations between mean Ellenberg R and N values and soil C/N and soil pH (the main sources of uncertainty in the model chain). These calibration equations have been revised since the end of the project to use separate terms for %C and %N (Smart et al., in press). . To develop a capacity for testing realistic scenarios of past and future ecological change we developed linked models and filters sensitive to other key drivers that could constrain or exacerbate the effects of nitrogen. Biomass accumulation and effects of management were simulated using the Dutch SUMO model. Two separate trait-based filters were also developed, one allowed ranking of 2 Common Standards Monitoring (CSM) species by their likely ease of dispersal into a modelled Priority Habitat patch, the second allowed ranking of species by their expected ability to withstand or suffer from grazing by large herbivores. Two further statistical models
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were developed to predict plant species-richness and probability of occurrence of rare species. A parallel activity sought to complement the detailed modelling work by assessing the extent to which a database of risk factors could be assembled for all UK ASSI/SSSI. The objective being to scope the potential for a UK-wide risk assessment based on an integration of the information provided by risk factors coupled with empirical CL exceedance for nitrogen.
Results 1. Three sites – Moorhouse Hard Hills, Porton Down and Rothamsted Park Grass - provided time-series long enough for testing predicted change against observations. 2. On two sites, weak yet significant positive correlations were detected between observed and predicted direction and rates of change in species abundance. These results provide a degree of support for the modelling approach, but uncertainties in certain model components, in particular calibrations between Ellenberg scores and abiotic conditions, were associated with high levels of uncertainty and sensitivity that weakened the predictive power of the models. 3. GBMOVE species models were partially validated by comparing predicted environmental optima with published Ellenberg numbers for higher plants and a new set of Ellenberg-style pH and fertility indices for bryophytes, constructed during this project. 4. The low explanatory power of the calibration equations between soil properties and mean Ellenberg scores appeared to be the major influence on poor prediction of species’ probabilities. The greatest uncertainty centred on application of the soil C/N versus mean Ellenberg N relationship in fertile (ie. low soil C/N) vegetation types. 5. GBMOVE species models require further individual screening and validation. 6. In order to model management impacts on the vegetation, the Dutch soil and succession models SMART/SUMO were tested on a number of UK sites and various modifications made to adapt the SUMO model to British conditions. 7. The empirical models developed for predicting the probability of occurrence of rare species showed promising results; more work is required to establish how many rare species could be effectively modelled. 8. The empirical model for predicting above -ground plant species richness was associated with very high uncertainty around predicted values; the model is unlikely to be a reliable tool for predicting patch richness on designated sites. 9. The dispersal filter was considered reliable however a number of CSM indicators, which need revisiting given the very recent availability of the Europewide LEDA database of traits. The grazing index was unsatisfactory and different analytical approaches are required. 10. Application of the MAGIC/GBMOVE and SMART/SUMO models to the prediction of current and future impacts on test sites showed how predictions could be used to estimate the likely impact of N deposition changes on CSM indicator species relative to the impact of management change (e.g. Rowe et al, 2008). Predictions appeared to have greater reliability at peaty, acid and infertile sites i.e. with soil C/N ratios greater than about 14.
Conclusions and Relevance to Policy The goal was to produce a modelling capability to test scenarios of the impact of multiple drivers on Priority Habitat patches in terms of policy relevant indicators. 21 Defra Biodiversity Research and Development Programme Review 28 and 29 September 2009
1. The relevance of the initial model tests to achieve Habitat Action Plan targets and expected change in UK and country-level indicators of biodiversity was limited by the small number of test sites and the low reliability of model predictions in raised bog, lowland meadow and lowland calcareous grassland Priority Habitats. 2. Predictions of the impact of nitrogen deposition to 2010 in upland heath and blanket bog suggested that characteristic dominants would not see marked change in habitat suitability. 3. Risk factors, that could potentially exacerbate or constrain the responses of species and habitats to N deposition selected, were site area and perimeter to area ratio, agricultural intensification history, empirical N Critical Load exceedance by Priority Habitat, flood risk, current growing season length (GSL) and recent change in GSL, and the extent of intensive versus less intensive semi- natural habitat types around each site. 4. It is currently feasible to assemble a risk database for all factors for all British sites but time-series of agricultural census data and flood risk assessments do not appear to be readily available for Northern Ireland. 5. Variation in the values of risk factors would be better used to generate a site classification to stratify and select sites for allocation of limited resources for monitoring and for testing scenarios using the developing models.
Future Work Beyond life of project Generating a standard index of change in agricultural productivity requires further research and input from agronomists.
Further work is required to produce linked soil and vegetation models that are fit for the purpose of reliably testing scenarios of change on terrestrial Priority Habitats. The results reported here provided a foundation for a long-term campaign of model improvement and building credibility for their practical application. This is continuing under the Defra projects “Terrestrial Umbrella” and “Critical Loads and Dynamic Modelling”.
Technology Transfer Reports and publications 1) Rowe EC, Evans CD, Smart S and Emmett BA (2008) Predicting Winners and Losers: Translating Air Pollution Policy Initiatives into Indicators of Habitat Quality Change. In: Sànchez-Marrè M, Béjar J, Comas J, Rizzoli AE and Guariso G. (Eds.) Proceedings of the iEMSs Fourth Biennial Meeting, Barcelona, Catalonia, July 2008, pp. 1869-1876. 2) Smart SM, Scott WA, Whittaker J, Hill MO, Roy DB, Van Hinsberg A, Critchley CNR, Marrs RH, Marina L, Evans CD, Emmett BA, Rowe EC, Crowe A, Le Duc M, in press. Empirical realized niche models for British higher and lower plants - development and preliminary testing. Journal of Vegetation Science. 3) Simon Smart et al (2009) Predicting ecosystem responses to multiple drivers – application and relevance to Dwarf Shrub Heath and Bog. Proceedings of the National Heathland Conference 2008. Natural England, Peterborough. 4) De Vries, W., Wamelink, W., Van Dobben, H., Kros, H., Reinds, G.J., Mol-Dijkstra, J., Smart, S., Evans, C., Rowe, E., Belyazid, S., Sverdrup, H., Van Hinsberg, A., Posch, M., Hettelingh, J.-P., Spranger, T., & Bobbink, R. (In press). Use of dynamic soil-vegetation models to assess impacts of nitrogen deposition on plant species composition and to estimate critical loads: an overview. Ecological Applications.
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0295: POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF FUTURE ENERGY POLICY ON UK BIODIVERSITY.
ADAS UK Ltd Environment Group Jo Hossell / Bethan Clemence ADAS UK Ltd, Wergs Road, Wolverhampton, WV6 8TQ
February 2004 - November 2005 £49,420
Introduction & Policy rationale Renewable energy sources are central to the Government’s energy strategy for the next 50 years. The UK is committed under international agreements to reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 12.5%, relative to 1990 levels, by 2010 and by 60% by 2050. These have recently been supplemented by European Union targets which set the UK a target of a 20% of energy generation by renewable means by 2020.
To achieve or even approach these targets will require major changes in energy infrastructure and generating capacity. The potential impacts of this on the environment, and biodiversity in particular are not fully understood. This research was commissioned jointly by Defra and the Scottish Executive with the aim of researching this issue further, identifying potential biodiversity impacts and considering how these may be affected by future developments in energy policy.
The renewable energy technologies considered in the research were those where the energy source may be wholly derived from non-fossil fuel sources: