!"# Global Equity Research Global UBS Investment Research Banks Post-crisis banking Equity Strategy Basel III proposal 17 December 2009 ! Consultation paper www.ubs.com/investmentresearch Today, the Basel Committee for Bank Supervision published a consultation paper on financial regulatory reforms that set out to enhance capital and liquidity standards. The consultation paper is subject to an impact assessment and at this stage lacks definitive quantifications. Philip Finch Analyst ! Key proposals
[email protected] Proposed changes to financial regulations include: 1) a capital ratio based on +44-20-7568 3456 common equity and retained earnings (excluding hybrids and DTAs); 2) an Peter Carter introduction of a leverage ratio based on a harmonised definition; 3) a 30-day Analyst liquidity ratio; 4) counter-cyclical buffers; and 5) a new risk weighting to reflect
[email protected] counter-party risk. +44 20 7568 4043 ! Potential timeframe The proposed measures are subject to an impact assessment to be carried out in the first half of 2010. Feedback on the consultative documents should be submitted by 16 April 2010. The implementation deadline is year-end 2012, although extended transition arrangements might be permitted. ! Initial conclusion While the proposed framework appears to be robust and comprehensive, regulatory uncertainty will likely persist, given the absence of definitive quantifications, and could continue to weigh on sector growth and risk appetite. As such, we maintain our preference for banks that are well capitalised and strongly funded. Following coverage initiation, we add BAC to our preferred list. This report has been prepared by UBS Limited ANALYST CERTIFICATION AND REQUIRED DISCLOSURES BEGIN ON PAGE 8.