F A S T Update Ethiopia Special Update July to December 2006 T S A F © swisspeace FAST Update Ethiopia | July to December 2006 | Page 2 Contents Country Stability and Conflictive Domestic Events 3 Conflictive and Cooperative International Events 11 Outlook 16 Appendix: Map of Ethiopia 17 Acronyms 18 The FAST International Early Warning Program 19 FAST Update Subscription: www.swisspeace.org/fast/subscription_form.asp Monitoring activities in Ethiopia have temporarily been suspended since January 2006 due to the increased curbing of press freedoms and resulting effects on our Local Information Network. Consequently, there is no data set for the period under review. We have, however, included in this Special Update, a detailed list of events that are pertinent to the themes covered as background to the qualitative analysis. Contact FAST International: Country Expert: Phone: +41 31 330 12 19 Anonymous Fax: +41 31 330 12 13 mailto:
[email protected] www.swisspeace.org/fast © swisspeace FAST Update Ethiopia | July to December 2006 | Page 3 Country Stability and Conflictive Domestic Events • Compared with the first half of the year, in the second half of 2006 internal conflictive events registered a sharp decline. The expected possibility that, given the high degree of disaffection particularly among the urban youth driving growing numbers into militancy and the massive Eritrean support for the violent opposition, bomb attacks and armed infiltration into the peripheral areas might increase, did not materialize. On the one hand this was a result of the past and on-going governmental counter-measures to curb such activities. On the other hand, however, this was due to the internal problems of both the legal opposition within the country and the externally based one.