Studies on Biomarker Development
In Breast Cancer
Ewan K A Millar
Doctor of Medicine
The University of New South Wales
2011
1
Studies on Biomarker Development
In Breast Cancer
By
Ewan K A Millar
BSc (Hons) MB ChB (Glasg) FRCPath (UK) FRCPA
A report submitted for the degree of
Doctor of Medicine (MD) by Published Works
at
The University of New South Wales
August 2011
2
Originality Statement ‘I hereby declare that this submission is my own work and to the best of my knowledge it contains no materials previously published or written by another person, or substantial proportions of material which have been accepted for the award of any other degree or diploma at UNSW or any other educational institution, except where due acknowledgement is made in the thesis. Any contribution made to the research by others, with whom I have worked at UNSW or elsewhere, is explicitly acknowledged in the thesis. I also declare that the intellectual content of this thesis is the product of my own work, except to the extent that assistance from others in the project's design and conception or in style, presentation and linguistic expression is acknowledged.’
Ewan KA Millar
Date
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Acknowledgements
I would like to thank several individuals, without whom the completion of the work in this thesis would not have been possible.
Firstly, I would like to thank my beautiful wife Julia, for all her love and support and who has always been so understanding and encouraging of my career and research work, which has at times, kept me from being quite as involved in family life as I should have been. To my rapidly growing and wonderful children David, William and
Georgia, thanks for all your love and support.
I would not be in the position of submitting this Thesis without the generous support and guidance offered to me by Professor Rob Sutherland. His mentorship, intellectual input and friendship over the past 6 years have been immense and have helped develop my research career immeasurably. His skills and expertise as a researcher have given me much to aspire to in the years ahead. Other members of the Translational Breast Cancer Research Group also stand out for a special mention: A/Professor Sandra O’Toole and Dr Catriona McNeil have always provided invaluable knowledge and support in all aspects of our joint research goals. To Alice
Boulghourjian and her predecessor Sarah Eggleton for tolerating, at times exhausting and demanding, requests for scientific support with their skills in immunohistochemistry. Associate Professor Peter Graham for his generous support and expert clinical input to our collaborative studies which will no doubt continue into the future. To Professor Soon Lee for long-standing support and encouragement, over the years, to pursue an academic career, with much useful advice.
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To other colleagues at the Garvan Institute, Professor Liz Musgrove and Dr Alison
Butt who have continued to generously support my work and research career.
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Dedication
For Julia, David, William and Georgia.
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Contents
Page
Publications...... 8
Conference Abstracts...... 14
Abstract...... 17
Chapter 1. Background...... 18
Chapter 2. Immunophenotyping breast cancer using surrogate biomarker panels for molecular subtype ...... 35
Chapter 3. Endocrine Resistance in ER+ Breast Cancer...... 41
3.1 Apoptotic Pathways...... 43
3.2 Proliferative Pathways...... 46
Chapter 4. Signalling Pathways...... 51
Chapter 5. Tumour Hypoxia & HIF Pathway...... 63
Chapter 6. DNA Repair Pathways...... 68
Chapter 7. Ductal Carcinoma in-Situ...... 70
Chapter 8. Rare types of breast tumours: phyllodes tumours & non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma...... 72
Chapter 9. Authorship of papers for Thesis...... 75
Chapter 10. Significance of findings from published work...... 83
References...... 85
Publications arising from this work...... 102
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Publications in peer reviewed journals
EM1. Murphy N, Millar E, Lee CS. Gene expression profiling in breast cancer: towards individualising patient management. Pathology. 2005; 37: 271-277.(IF 2.17).
EM2. O’Toole SA, Selinger T, Millar EKA , Lum T, Beith JM. Molecular assays in breast cancer pathology. Pathology. 2011; 43: 116-127. (IF 2.17).
EM3. Millar EKA, Graham PH, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Browne L, Morey AL,
Eggleton S, Beretov J, Theocharous C, Capp A, Nasser E, Kearsley JH, Papadatos
G, Delaney G, Fox C, Sutherland RL. Prediction of local recurrence, distant metastases and death following breast-conserving therapy in early-stage invasive breast cancer using a five biomarker panel. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 2009; 27:
4701-8. (IF 18.97)
EM4. Millar EKA, Graham PH, McNeil CM, Browne L, O’Toole SA, Boulghourjian A,
Papadatos G, Delaney G Nasser E, Kearsley JH, Fox C, Capp A, Sutherland RL.
Prediction of outcome in early ER+ breast cancer is improved using a biomarker panel which includes Ki-67 and p53. British Journal of Cancer. 2011. 105:272-80. (IF
4.83)
EM5. Graham P, Jagavkar R, Brown L, Millar E. Supraclavicular radiotherapy must be limited laterally by the coracoid to avoid significant adjuvant breast nodal radiotherapy lymphoedema risk. Australasian Radiology (Journal of Medical Imaging and Radiation Oncology). 2006. 50: 578-582. (IF 0.947)
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EM6. Millar EKA, Anderson LR, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Pinese M, Crea P, Morey
AL, Biankin AV, Henshall SM, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL, Butt AJ. BAG-1 predicts patient outcome and tamoxifen responsiveness in ER positive invasive ductal carcinoma of the breast. Br J Cancer.100; 122-133, 2009. (IF 4.83).
EM7. Roberts CG*, Millar EKA*, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Lehrbach GM, Pinese M,
Tobelmann P, McCloy RA, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL and Butt AJ. Identification of PUMA as an estrogen target gene that mediates the apoptotic response to tamoxifen in human breast cancer cells and predicts patient outcome and tamoxifen responsiveness in breast cancer. Oncogene. 2011.30:3186-97. (IF 7.41)
*Both authors contributed equally to this work.
EM8. McNeil CM, Sergio CM, Anderson LR, Inman CK, Murphy NC, Millar EKA,
Crea P, Kench JG, Alles MC, Gardiner-Garden M, Ormandy CJ, Butt AJ, Henshall
SM, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL. C-Myc overexpression and endocrine resistance in breast cancer. Journal of Steroid Biochemistry and Molecular Biology. 2006;
102:147-55. (IF 2.89).
EM9. Wang Y, Dean JL, Millar EKA, Tran TH, McNeil CM, Burd CJ, Henshall SM,
Utama FE, Witkiewicz A, Rui H, Sutherland RL, Knudsen KE, Knudsen ES. Cyclin
D1b is aberrantly regulated in response to therapeutic challenge and promotes resistance to estrogen antagonists. Cancer Research. 2008; 68:5628- 5638. (IF
8.23)
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EM10. Millar EKA, Dean JL, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Henshall SM, Tran T, Lin J,
Quong A, Comstock CES, Witkiewicz A, Musgrove EA, Rui H, Le Marchand L,
Setiawan VW, Haiman CA, Knudsen KE, Sutherland RL, Knudsen ES. Cyclin D1b
Protein expression in breast cancer is independent of cyclin D1a and associated with poor disease outcome. Oncogene. 2009; 28:1812-20. (IF 7.41).
EM11. López-Knowles E, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, Qiu MR, Crea P,
Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL. PI3K pathway activation in breast cancer is associated with the basal-like phenotype and cancer-specific mortality. International
Journal of Cancer. 2010. 126:1121-31. (IF 4.93).
EM12. Fedele CG, Ooms LM, Ho M, Vieusseux J, O’Toole SA, Millar EKA, Lopez-
Knowles E, Sriratana A, Gurung R, Baglietto L, Giles GG, Bailey CG, Rasko JEJ,
Shields BJ, Price JT, Majerus PW, Sutherland RL, Tiganis T, McLean CA, Mitchell
CA. The PtdIns(3,4)P2 4-phosphatase, INPP4B, regulates ER-positive mammary cell proliferation and is lost in human basal-like breast carcinomas. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (USA). 2010.107:22231-6. (IF 9.77).
EM13. O’Toole SA, Machalek D, Shearer R , Millar EKA, Nair R, McLeod D,
Cooper C, McFarland A, Ru Qiu M, McNeil CM, Rabinovich B, Martelotto L, Vu D,
Musgrove E, Sutherland RL, Watkins N, Swarbrick A. Hedgehog overexpression is associated with stromal interactions and predicts for poor outcome in breast cancer.
Cancer Research. 2011. 71:4002-4014. (IF 8.23).
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EM14. Zardawi SJ, Zardawi I, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, McLeod D, Morey AL, Crea
P, Murphy NM, Lopez-Knowles E, Oakes SR, Ormandy CJ, Qiu MR, Hamilton A,
Spillane A, Lee CS, Sutherland RL, Musgrove EA, O’Toole SA. Notch1 expression is an early event in breast cancer development and is associated with the HER-2 molecular subtype. Histopathology. 2010; 56, 286–296. (IF 3.57).
EM15. López-Knowles E, Zardawi SJ, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, Crea P, Musgrove
EA, Sutherland RL,. O’Toole SA. Cytoplasmic localization of ß catenin is a marker of poor outcome in breast cancer patients. Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers
Prevention. 2010;19:301-9. (IF 4.19).
EM16. Murphy NC*, Biankin AV*, Millar EKA*, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Segara D,
Crea P, Olayioye MA, Lee CS, Fox SB, Morey AL, Christie M, Musgrove EA, Daly
RJ, Lindeman GJ,. Henshall SM, Visvader JE, Sutherland RL. Loss of STARD10 expression identifies a group of poor prognosis breast cancers independent of
HER2/Neu and triple negative status. International Journal of Cancer. 2010.
126:1445-53. (IF 4.93).
*These authors contributed equally to this work.
EM17. Fleuren EDG, O’Toole SA, Millar EKA, McNeil CM, Lopez-Knowles E,
Brummer T, Sutherland RL, Daly RJ. Overexpression of the oncogenic signal transducer Gab2 occurs early in breast cancer development. International Journal of
Cancer. 2010. 127: 1486–1492. (IF 4.93).
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EM18. Tan EY, Yan M, Campo L, Han C, Takano E, Turley H, Pezzella F, Gatter KC,
Millar EKA, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Crea P, Segara D, Sutherland RL, Harris AL,
Fox SB. The key hypoxia regulated gene CAIX is upregulated in basal-like breast tumors and is associated with resistance to chemotherapy. British Journal of Cancer.
2009. 100: 405-411. (IF 4.83).
EM19. Yan M, Jene N, Byrne D, Millar EKA, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Sutherland
RL, Fox SB. Recruitment of regulatory T cells is driven by hypoxia induced CXCR4 expression, and is associated with poor prognosis in basal-like breast cancers.
Breast Cancer Research. 2011. 13:R47. (IF 5.79).
EM20. Chan P, Moeller A, Liu MCP, Sceneay JE, Wong CSF, Wadell N, Huang K,
Dobrovic A, Millar EKA, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Sutherland RL, Bowtell D, Fox SB.
The expression of the ubiquitin ligase SIAH (seven in absentia homolog) 2 is mediated through gene copy number in breast cancer and is associated with a basal-like phenotype and p53 expression. Breast Cancer Research. 2011. 13:R19.
(IF 5.79).
EM21. Xu H, Yan M, Patra J, Yan Y, Swagemakers S, Thomasewski J, Verschoor S,
Millar EKA, van der Spek P, Reis-Filho JS, Ramsay R, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM,
Sutherland RL, McKay MJ, Fox SB. Enhanced Rad21 cohesin expression confers poor prognosis and resistance to chemotherapy in high-grade luminal, basal and
HER2 breast cancer. Breast Cancer Research. 2011;13:R9. (IF 5.79).
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EM22. Millar EKA and Leong A S-Y. Significance and assessment of margins of excision in ductal carcinoma in-situ of the breast. Advances in Anatomical Pathology.
2001. 8:338-344. (IF 3.3).
EM23. Millar EKA, Tran K, Marr P, Graham PH. p27kip-1, cyclin A and cyclin D1 protein expression in ductal carcinoma in-situ of the breast: p27kip-1 correlates with hormone receptor status but not with local recurrence. Pathology International.
2007. 57: 183-9. (IF 1.48).
EM24. Millar EKA, Beretov J, Marr P, Sarris M, Clarke RA, Kearsley JM and Lee
CS. Malignant phyllodes tumours of the breast display increased stromal p53 protein expression. Histopathology. 1999. 34:491-496. (IF 3.57).
EM25. Yilmaz MH, Millar EKA, Theocharous C, Graham PH. Metachronous bilateral primary low-grade mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue (MALT) non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma of the breast. Asia-Pacific Journal of Clinical Oncology. 2009. 5:154-158.
(IF 0.296).
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Conference Abstracts
1. Millar EKA, Graham PH, McNeil CM, Browne L, O’Toole SA, Boulghourjian A,
Papadatos G, Delaney G Nasser E, Kearsley JH, Fox C, Capp A, Sutherland
RL. Prediction of outcome in early ER+ breast cancer is improved using a
biomarker panel which includes Ki-67 and p53. i) International Academy of
Pathology, Annual Scientific Meeting, Sydney 4-6th June, 2011 (Commended);
ii) 13th Milan International Breast Cancer Conference, Milan, Italy 23-25th June
2011.
2. O’Toole SA, Machalek D, Shearer R, Millar EKA, Nair R, McLeod D, Cooper
C, Ru Qui M, Sutherland RL, Watkins DN, Swarbrick A. Hedgehog over-
expression predicts poor outcome in breast cancer and is a potential
therapeutic target for metastatic breast cancer. i) San Antonio Breast Cancer
Symposium, San Antonio, USA Dec 2010; ii) Breakthrough Breast Cancer
Triple Negative Breast Cancer Meeting, London March 2011; iii) International
Academy of Pathology Annual Scientific Meeting Sydney 4-6th June 2011.
(Best poster prize winner).
3. Millar EKA, Graham PH, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Browne L, Morey AL,
Eggleton S, Beretov J, Theocharous C, Capp A, Nasser E, Kearsley JH,
Papadatos G, Delaney G, Fox C, Sutherland RL. Prediction of local
recurrence, distant metastases and death following breast-conserving therapy
in early-stage invasive breast cancer using a five biomarker panel. Oral
presentation Australasian Society of Breast Diseases, Gold Coast, Australia,
2-4th Oct 2009.
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4. Lopez-Knowles E, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, Qui MR, Crea P, Daly
RJ, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL. PI3K pathway activation in breast cancer is
associated with the basal-like phenotype and cancer-specific mortality. San
Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, Texas, USA, 9-13 Dec 2009.
5. Lopez-Knowles E, Zardawi SJ, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, Crea P, Musgrove EA,
Sutherland RL, O’Toole SA. Cytoplasmic localisation of B-catenin is a marker
of poor outcome in breast cancer patients. AACR conference: Advances in
breast cancer research, San Diego, USA, 13-16 Oct 2009.
6. McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Millar EKA, Kench JG, Segara D, Morey AL, Lopez-
Knowles E, Crea P, Henshall, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL. Differences in cell
cycle and apoptotic biomarker expression between molecular subtypes of
invasive ductal breast carcinoma. AACR conference: Advances in breast
cancer research, San Diego, USA, 13-16 Oct 2009.
7. O’Toole S, Swarbrick A, Millar E, McLeod D, McNeil C, Qiu MR, Lopez-
Knowles E, Caldon E, Oakes S, Ormandy C, Morey A, Musgrove E, Henshall
S, Sutherland R. Aberrant Hedgehog signaling is an early event in breast
cancer development. San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium, San Antonio,
USA Dec 2008.
8. Millar EKA, Anderson LR, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Pinese M, Crea P, Morey
AL, Biankin AV, Henshall SM, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL, Butt AJ. BAG-1
predicts patient outcome and tamoxifen responsiveness in ER positive
invasive ductal carcinoma of the breast. i) International Academy of Pathology,
Annual Scientific Meeting Sydney, June 2008 (Commended); ii) Sydney
Cancer Conference, Sydney University July 2008; iii) Leura VI International
Breast Cancer Conference, Sydney, Sept 2008. 15
9. Millar EKA, Murphy NC, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Segara D, Crea P, Olayioye
MA, Lee CS, Fox SB, Morey AL, Christie M, Musgrove EA, Daly RJ, Lindeman
GJ,. Henshall SM, Visvader JE, Sutherland RL. Loss of StarD10 expression
identifies a poor prognosis group of primary breast cancers independent of
HER2/Neu status. Australian Breast Cancer Conference, Melbourne, Nov
2007.
10. McNeil CM, Kench J, Millar EKA , O’Toole SA, Crea P, Alles MC, Gardiner-
Garden M, Ormandy CJ, Butt AJ, Henshall SM, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL.
Alteration in the subcellular localisation of c-myc is associated with poor
prognosis and resistance to anti-estrogen therapy in invasive breast cancer.
AACR meeting San Diego, Oct 2007.
11. Murphy N, Eggleton SA, Millar E, Biankin S, Crea P, Lindeman GJ, Visvader
JE, Henshall SM, Sutherland RL. Expression of STARD10 and its Association
with Disease Outcome in Breast Cancer. St Vincent’s Symposium Sept 2006 &
3rd PacRim Breast and Prostate Cancer Meeting, Fraser Island, Nov 2006.
12. Biankin S, Eggleton SA, Crea P, Millar E, Murphy N, Henshall S, Sutherland
R. Overexpression of sonic hedgehog may be an early event in the
development and progression of breast cancer. St Vincent’s Symposium Sept
2006 & 3rd PacRim Breast and Prostate Cancer Meeting, Fraser Island, Nov
2006.
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Abstract
Aim: To identify new prognostic and predictive biomarkers for clinical breast cancer, thereby improving patient selection for currently available therapies.
Methods: Data derived from gene expression profiling of human breast cancer or human breast cancer cell lines, were interrogated to identify putative biomarkers in
ER positive and ER negative disease. These findings were validated using immunohistochemistry on tissue microarrays constructed from the development of two independent clinical breast cancer cohorts (n=292 and n=498).
Results: Prognosis in ER+ disease can be predicted by expression of BAG-1, PUMA, c-Myc and an improved biomarker signature for Luminal A and B cancer which includes Ki67 and p53. Studies identifying abnormalities in signalling pathways (PI3- kinase, Hedgehog, STARD10), HIF-1Į (CAIX, FOXP3/CXCR4, SIAH2), proliferation
(cyclin D1b) and DNA repair pathways (Rad21) have also identified potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets for ER negative and basal-like breast cancer.
Conclusions: New biomarkers for clinical breast cancer have been identified which have the potential to improve patient selection and therapeutic decision making.
Validation studies are underway in independent international randomised clinical trials to confirm these findings. The use of immunohistochemistry allows the potential rapid translation of these findings into routine Hospital Pathology clinical practice.
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Chapter 1. Background to research area
1.1 Current treatment strategies and dilemmas: who to treat and why?
The Role of current biomarkers
Breast cancer is the most common cancer in women in Australia affecting one in every nine women, with approximately 12,600 new cases and 2,600 deaths reported in 2006 (Australian Institute of Health, 2006). Although survival has increased by
15% over the last ten years, largely as the result of increased early detection through breast screening and improvements in treatment, 20-30% of breast cancers sufferers will die of their disease.
The most recent recommendations from the St Gallen consensus meeting for the treatment of early breast cancer have highlighted the importance of the development of biomarkers of prognosis and response to treatment, to better select patients for currently available therapies (Goldhirsch et al 2009). Thus there is a great need to identify new biomarkers for existing therapies, which will better serve the needs of personalised breast cancer therapy in the 21st century. Currently however, there are only three established biomarkers to assist in clinical decision making which have remained unchanged for over a decade: estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2). These biomarkers are however very powerful predictors of prognosis and therapeutic responsiveness. The aim of current breast cancer treatment is to individualise management with targeted adjuvant systemic therapy wherever possible. Those patients who are ER+ derive most benefit from drugs which target estrogen synthesis (aromatase inhibitors) or block ER (tamoxifen). Although endocrine
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therapy can reduce recurrences and death at 15 years by 46% and 31% respectively, 30% of these patients will have intrinsic or acquire resistance to endocrine therapy during the course of their treatment (Early Breast Cancer Trialist’s
Collaborative Group [EBCTCG] 2005). Those patients who over-express HER2 have a poor prognosis, are resistant to non-anthracycline based chemotherapeutic regimes and are usually also resistant to anti-estrogen drugs (Wilken and Maihle
2010). The HER2 targeted drug trastuzumab has however revolutionised treatment for this group of patients which accounts for approximately 16% of all patients with breast cancer. Treatment with trastuzumab results in a 50% increase in recurrence- free survival and overall survival. However only 30-50% of patients with HER2 amplification will derive benefit from treatment. For some ER- tumours such as the biologically aggressive basal-like breast cancer, no specific targeted therapy exists and much research is required to find one (eg PARP (poly-ADP-ribose polymerase) inhibitors).
The success of radiotherapy in controlling local relapse has driven the trend for conservative surgery, which when combined with adjuvant endocrine or chemotherapy can lead to long term survival with low rates of recurrence.
Mastectomy, which had previously been the main-stay of surgical treatment for all breast cancer, is now reserved for larger tumours or more extensive disease where attempts at conservative excision have failed. Whole breast radiotherapy when combined with local surgical excision can reduce local recurrence from 30% to under
10%. The benefits of good local control also translate into improved survival where local recurrence within the breast (ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence, IBTR) is an adverse prognostic indicator. A large meta-analysis performed by the EBCTCG
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found that one life would be saved for every four local recurrences prevented
(EBCTCG 2005). However, as successful has radiotherapy is, no established biomarker to predict local failure has been identified to date. Thus the development of a tumour bank from the St George Breast Radiotherapy Boost study cohort is a valuable asset in the development of biomarkers of local failure following radiotherapy, an area of immediate need for improved patient care.
1.2 Biomarker Development
A biomarker is an objective measure of a biological process which may be normal or pathological and associated with disease or responses to a therapeutic intervention.
In terms of cancer management, biomarkers are utilised for risk assessment and predisposition, screening, diagnosis, prognosis or as predictive markers of therapeutic responsiveness. The National Cancer Institute (NCI) published guidelines for the recommended development of a biomarker, which follow a sequential pathway or “pipeline” from discovery to full clinical implementation culminating in a change in clinical practice (Sullivan Pepe et al 2001, Figure 1).
Figure 1. The biomarker development “pipeline” from discovery to full clinical application, as defined by the National Cancer Institute. The uptake of genetic and molecular markers, which optimises stratification of therapy, into routine cancer management has resulted in significant gains in cancer 20
outcomes, such that optimal treatment is given without delay and unnecessary side effects of ineffective therapies are minimised. Significant international effort is currently focussed on characterising and refining phenotypic subgroups in particular cancers. The heterogeneity which exists in all human cancers and which was highlighted within the early gene expression profiling (GEP) studies in breast cancer has driven the consensus view that the effective management of cancer requires a personalised medicine approach based on the use of therapies guided by biomarkers that can be measured in the patient or the tumour prior to therapy.
Biomarker research embraces a number of contemporary technologies including: genomics/epigenomics, transcriptomics, proteomics and metabolomics. Biomarkers may be assessed in tissue, blood and other bodily fluids using a number of technologies that assess mutations, epigenetic modifications and gene expression at the level of mRNA and protein. The work in this thesis has largely taken an approach of developing biomarkers that can be applied to the existing technology available within diagnostic pathology laboratories employing immunohistochemistry (IHC).
This enables an easier and more direct translation of discovery into current infrastructure and therefore potentially to patient care. However, much supportive data to generate or test hypotheses was derived from GEP data generated by members of our research group or by interrogation of data in the public domain. In the future biomarker discovery and detection is expected to become increasingly accompanied by more sophisticated approaches using deep sequencing, imaging and other emerging technologies.
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1.3 The role of Tissue Microarray (TMA) as a tool in breast cancer research
TMAs are now widely utilised as a vehicle for high-throughput analysis of biomarker expression using IHC. They were initially described in 1987 (Wan et al 1987) but it was not until 1996 that a manual tissue arrayer was developed (Kononen et al 1998).
Using this technique, cores of tumour derived from a patient’s formalin fixed paraffin embedded (FFPE) tumour block are sampled and inserted into a recipient block which can contain tumour cores for up to 30-40 patients per block (Figure 2). Cores of normal breast tissue, kidney or colon are also inserted into the recipient block to enable accurate orientation according to a block map as well as to act as internal controls for staining specificity.
Figure 2. Construction of tissue microarrays (taken from: Dolled-Filhart and Rimm)
This technique has several important advantages over whole section IHC. Most importantly tissue is conserved. By sampling small areas of a tumour it is possible to
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preserve much of the precious original tumour block for future analysis. Once the recipient block has been constructed all of the cores on the slide can be assessed in a more uniform manner with less variation between batches of slides or even between individual slides, as can happen with whole sections. This introduces standardisation of staining which provides a greater degree of confidence in the data produced. Additional savings in time and volume of reagents are also made as a whole cohort of 400-500 patients can be assessed in 18-20 slides for each target antigen. One possible limitation of interpretative problems with heterogeneity in staining for any given antigen, is a result of the fact that TMAs sample only a small proportion of the original tumour. Several studies have examined the optimal number of TMA cores and compared their concordance with whole section IHC. Many of these studies have concluded that 1 or 2, 0.6mm cores is sufficient to adequately sample a tumour (Camp et al 2008, Anagnostou et al 2010). Indeed several key studies have employed single core (Cheang et al 2009, Neilsen et al 2004) or double core sampling (Abd El-Rehim et al 2005). Two clinical TMA cohorts of breast cancer patients were constructed by our group using three 1mm cores as the sample: The
Garvan St Vincent’s Breast Cancer Cohort (GSVBCC, n=292) and St George Breast
Boost study cohort (n=498). The GSVBCC comprises a series of invasive ductal carcinomas of no special type, all treated by a single surgeon with collated clinico- pathological data and clinical follow-up and the St George Breast Boost study cohort which comprises invasive breast cancers derived from a radiotherapy trial randomised to assess the effectiveness of a cavity “boost”. The eligibility and exclusion criteria for the St George “boost” trial are described in table 1, the
CONSORT diagram summarizing the flow of patients and tissue in Figure 1 and the clinico-pathological details in table 2. The St George cohort contains predominantly 23
good prognosis, lower-grade, ER+ breast cancers, all treated with breast conservation (ie wide local excision and radiotherapy) which is mirrored by the low numbers of events observed. This is most notable for local recurrences in the breast
– the key end-point for this clinical trial of a local radiotherapy “boost”. Unlike other
European trials, this study reduces the whole breast dose in the boost arm to avoid cosmetic degradation.
Table 1: Eligibility & Exclusion criteria for the St George “Boost” Trial. Eligibility criteria: 1. Histologically proven carcinoma of the breast, Tis (ductal carcinoma in-situ) - 2 (0-5cm) N0- 3, M0. 2. Pure ductal carcinoma in situ accepted if completely excised. 3. Any receptor status. 4. Extensive ductal carcinoma in-situ accepted if completely excised.
Exclusion Criteria: 1. Unable to consent 2. Vascular/collagen disorder 3. Prior malignancy except minor skin squamous or basal carcinoma or cervix in-situ. 4. Gross multifocal disease (microscopic single quadrant multifocality is not an exclusion) 5. Involvement of margins. Focal (< 2mm) superficial or deep margins confirmed by surgeon to be at skin or pectoralis fascia respectively considered technically clear. 6. Bilateral breast cancer
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Table 2. St George Breast Boost Cohort: patient tumour characteristics, treatments and outcomes.
Characteristic No of patients (%) Median Range Length of follow-up (months) 498 84 1-134 Age (years) 61 24-84
Tumor size (mm) 16 1-60 T1a (1- 5) 4 (0.8) T1b (6 -10) 77(16.3) T1c (11-20) 270(54.2) T2 (21-50) 136(27.3) T3 (>50) 1(0.2)
Tumor Grade 1 167 (33.5) 2 185 (37.1) 3 145 (29.1)
Lymph node metastases 146(29.3) N0 339(69.9) N1 (1-3) 128 (25.7) N2 (4-10) 17(3.5) N3 (>10) 2 (0.4) LN unsampled 12 (2.4)
ER+ 393 (78.9) PR+ 334( 68.3) HER-2 amplified (FISH) 36 (7.2)
Intrinsic subtype Luminal A 394 (79.1) Modified Luminal A 321 (64.5%) Luminal B 23 (4.6) Modified Luminal B 96 (19.3%) Basal-like 52 (10.4) HER-2 enriched 13 (2.6) Unclassified 16 (3.2) Triple negative 68 (13.6)
Margin + 17 (3.4) Cavity boost positive 247 (49.5) Cavity boost negative 251 (50.5) Endocrine therapy 223 (44.7) Chemotherapy 117 (23.4) Endocrine & chemotherapy 48 (9.6)
Patients with IBTR 24 (4.8) Patients with LRR 35 (7) Patients with distant metastases 47 (9.4) Breast cancer specific deaths 37 (7.4)
5 year IBTR free survival 97.4% 5 year LRR free survival 95.6% 5 year DDFS 92.9% 5 year breast cancer-specific survival 96.3%
Comparatively the GCVBCC contains a greater percentage of high grade cancers, with more events than the St George cohort, all treated by a single surgeon (Dr Paul
Crea) with either local excision or mastectomy, but with no standardised adjuvant therapies. The clinico-pathological details of the GSVBCC are presented in table 3.
This is an excellent cohort on which to generate hypotheses regarding biomarker expression and prognosis.
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Table 3. Clinico-pathological details of the Garvan St Vincent’s Breast Cancer Cohort (n=292)
Characteristic n (%) Age >50 184 (63) Grade 3 132 (45) Size >20mm 117 (40) Node positive 125 (43) HER-2 positive (FISH) 51 (18) ER+ 192 (68) PR+ 161 (57) Triple Negative 48 (17)
Treatment and survival details
Median length of follow-up: 64 months (range 0-152) Endocrine therapy 144/292(49.3) Chemotherapy 111/292(38.0) Endocrine & chemotherapy 71/292(24.3) All Recurrences 75/292(25.7) Distant metastases 68/292(23.3) Deaths 67/292(22.9) Breast cancer specific deaths 52/292(17.8) 5 year disease free survival 74% 5 year metastasis free survival 76.8% 5 year breast cancer specific survival 86.0%
26
Enrollment Assessed for eligibility* (n=NK)
Excluded (n=NK )
Randomized (n=688)
Allocation Allocated to Boost (n=346) Allocated to No Boost (n=342) iReceived Boost (n=338) iReceived No Boost (n=336) iDid not receive Boost (n=4) iReceivedBoost (n=6)
FollowǦUp Lost to follow-up (n=1) Lost to follow-up (n=3 )
Tissue not available for TMA analysis n=98 Tissue not available for TMA analysis n=92
Analysis
iTissueavailableforTMAanalysisn=247 i TissueavailableforTMAanalysis n=251
Figure 3. CONSORT flow diagram for the St George Breast Boost study (Taken from Millar et al 2011). *The trial recruited from three main centres (St George, Wollongong & Liverpool Hospitals). Whilst the total number of patients assessed for eligibility and excluded for all centres is not known, this data is available for the main recruiting centre at St George Hospital, which contributed the majority of patients participating in the trial n=546 (number assessed n=2046, excluded n=1500:not meeting inclusion criteria n=943, declined to participate n=235, other reasons n=322; patients randomized in trial n= 546).
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1.4 Optimisation of antibodies and assessment of staining using immunohistochemistry
For all antibodies utilised, prior to assessment on our TMA cohorts, a process of optimisation was employed to determine the best conditions for ideal staining and subsequent scoring of antigen expression. This process was carried out by a specialised IHC research scientist. This labour intensive task starts with the manufacturer’s guidelines which infrequently work. Positive and negative human tissue controls are identified from tissue datasets such as Genecard
(http://www.genecards.org/index.shtml) or Human Protein Atlas
(http://www.proteinatlas.org/). Additionally, sections from genetically modified cell line pellets or xenografts (ie gene knockout or gene amplified) can also be used if available, although we have often found them uninformative to use, due to problems with heat-induced epitope retrieval (HIER) and subsequent high non-specific background staining. Using serial titrations and varied antigen retrieval conditions from “gentle” (eg water bath with enzyme digestion) to “harsh” (low or high pH microwaving for up to 2 minutes) we have been able to define the best staining for each antibody. Subsequently we would assess staining on an atlas of normal body tissue and correlate the expression levels with known expression datasets. Using a preliminary test array of breast cancers (n=30) we would next proceed to assessing expression in this small group of cases to determine patterns of over-expression
(including sub-cellular localization) or loss (according to the putative role of the target antigen). If there was satisfactory staining and sufficient data to suggest a role in human breast cancer, including assessment of publically available mRNA expression profile data (GEO http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/ , oncomine
28
https://www.oncomine.org/content/unsecured/bookmarkRedirect.html, and/or on-line kaplan-meier plotter http://kmplot.com/breast/ ) we would then proceed to stain one of the TMA cohorts.
Assessment of target antigen expression was performed using an Olympus microscope usually at x200 magnification. Depending on the localisation of the antigen (nuclear, cytoplasmic or cell membrane) I would record the intensity of the staining as 0,1, 2 or 3 corresponding to absent, weak, moderate or strong and also assess the percentage of cells staining for each compartment assessed. All data were recorded and entered into “Cansto”, a data handling software used at the
Garvan, which stores and matches all biomarker data with patient clinicopathological and outcome data. Once scoring and data entry were complete, Cansto generated a spreadsheet which would include minimum, maximum, median and mean scores for target antigen expression across the 3 tumour cores present, along with matched patient follow-up data. Subsequently we would also calculate a simplified “H” (histo) score for the target antigen by multiplying the intensity by the percentage of positively staining cells, generating an index from 0-300.
Statistical analyses were performed using Statview 5.0. (Abacus systems, Berkeley,
CA). Initial analyses of raw data would include basic parameters of distribution, mean, median with bar charts to observe the spread of the data. The optimal cut- point was then determined using several different methods. If the analysed data distribution showed an obvious split between two subgroups this would be examined.
If there was no obvious cut point the data could be dichotomized at the mean or median, or if for more commonly employed antigen such Ki67 or p53 a commonly used standard cut-point from the literature of eg >10% would be employed. For those
29
antigens where none of these methods revealed any biological significance we would then employ serial cut-point determination using Kaplan-Meier analysis to determine the point at which the obtained p value from the Logrank test was most significant. In one of our studies we also determined the optimal cut-point using the
ROC (receiver-operator curve) analysis. Subsequent Kaplan-Meier and Cox analyses were performed to assess univariate and multivariate models and identify possible prognostic significance.
1.5 The impact of gene expression profiling on breast cancer classification and management
The last decade has seen an unparalleled explosion of data resulting from the use of
GEP studies which have highlighted the diversity which exists in human cancer.
Using this approach, mRNA expression in cohorts of breast cancer has been interrogated using supervised and unsupervised cluster analysis, which have provided information relating to “intrinsic subtype” and those identifying good and poor prognosis signatures. Two seminal papers by the same group of authors described so-called intrinsic molecular subtypes which spanned all types of breast cancer (Perou et al 2000, Sorlie et al 2001) and were associated with distinct clinical outcomes. These intrinsic subtypes correlated to different constituent cellular components of breast epithelium and divided ER+ and ER- tumours as follows
(Figure 4): ER+: Luminal A, luminal B, ER-: basal-like, HER2-enriched and unclassified.
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Figure 4. Gene expression profiling “heat map” and intrinsic molecular phenotype of breast cancer
(taken from Sorlie et al 2001).
Although originally performed on relatively small numbers of tumours, these studies have subsequently been performed by several groups of investigators and have been reproducible across different platforms and patient cohorts (Sorlie et al 2003,
Hu et al 2006). However the classifiers used to assign any particular tumour to a specific group do not appear to be stable ie a luminal A tumour in one study may not be classified as luminal A in another (Weigelt et al 2010). Whilst there are problems inherent in using such classifications, which are dependent on the platform used, the probe sets analysed and the cut-points used in the classifiers, it does however provide invaluable information regarding the genetic profile and the heterogeneity which exists in breast cancer. The molecular classification of breast cancer is now in common clinical usage. The other key area of GEP analyses lies within the development of prognostic signatures, many of which require fresh tissue. The
31
problems with reproducibility, current cost and the information technology support required for these tests means that they will not be available for testing in routine pathology laboratories for some time. Those that have achieved some degree of uptake include the Oncotype Dx assay (Paik et al 2004; Genomic Health, RT-PCR on a paraffin block) and the 70 gene (van’t Veer et al 2002) mammaprint NKI signature (Agendia, requires fresh tumour tissue). On average the Oncotype Dx costs A$4000 but is not widely used in Australia. Many observers feel that most GEP prognostic signatures are not yet ready for full clinical application with evidence that they are no better than tumour morphology (ie histological type and grade) with routine IHC for ER, PR and HER2 (Weigelt and Reis-Filho 2010). The role of such
GEP analysis and its contribution to breast cancer management in the evolution of the era of personalised medicine were the main points of consideration in two reviews of GEP in breast cancer (Murphy et al 2005 [EM1], O’Toole et al 2011
[EM2], summarised in Figure 5).
Figure 5. The contribution of gene expression profiling studies to our understanding of the molecular basis of breast cancer. (Taken from Sotiriou and Pusztai 2005).
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As described above the identification and application of any new biomarker follows a well developed “pipeline” from discovery, to pilot studies on exploratory cohorts of patients, to validation in randomised clinical trials and subsequent acceptance by the medical and scientific community as a test of value. Examples of current molecular biomarkers in clinical breast cancer which highlight this pathway are HER2 and
Topoisomerase IIĮ (TOPO2Į). Their roles in the molecular pathology and contribution to personalised breast cancer medicine by in-situ hybridisation, are further discussed at length in our recent review (O’Toole et al 2011 [EM2]). As with any current biomarker, the importance of rigorous validation, interpretative and quality control are significant aspects of the routine evaluation of such molecular predictive biomarkers.
With the identification of any new potential biomarker, its mechanistic role within the functioning of the cancer cell is of interest as it may offer new insight into our understanding of a highly complex process involving cross-talk between many divergent internal and external (microenvironmental) factors, reviewed in detail elsewhere (Hanrahan and Weinberg 2011, Figure 6). Additionally new data may offer a potential new avenue of therapeutic attack.
33
Figure 6. The complex interaction of signalling networks within cancer cells comprising pathways regulating proliferation, differentiation, apoptosis and motility (taken from Hanrahan and Weinburg 2011).
Publications arising from this work: EM1. Murphy N, Millar E, Lee CS. Gene Expression Profiling in Breast Cancer:
Towards Individualising Patient Management. Pathology. 2005; 37: 271-277.
EM2. O’Toole SA, Selinger T, Millar EKA , Lum T, Beith JM.Molecular Assays in
Breast Cancer Pathology. Pathology. 2011; 43: 116-127.
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Chapter 2. Immunophenotyping breast cancer using surrogate biomarker panels for molecular subtype: predicting outcome in conservatively treated early breast cancer.
The drive towards tailoring specific treatments to individual patients and providing as much prognostic information as possible, early in the disease work-up, will continue to expand the field of biomarker development. As most patients will not have access to affordable genetic profiling of their tumours for some time, we and others have explored the approach of translating the GEP intrinsic subtypes of breast cancer into a simplified panel of IHC markers suitable for routine use to determine its clinical relevance. This approach was first described by Nielsen using an IHC panel of ER,
HER2, CK5/6 and EGFR (Neilsen et al 2004) and was recommended for application to clinical practice at the most recent St Gallen conference (Goldhirsch et al 2011 in press). We performed an analysis of a five biomarker panel as a surrogate for intrinsic molecular phenotype using ER, PR, HER2 (using fluorescent in-situ hybridisation), CK5/6 and EGFR (Millar et al 2009 [EM3]) and compared this classification against existing clinicopathological prognostic parameters, something which some earlier studies had failed to do. We demonstrated that IHC intrinsic subtype, so defined, was of inferior predictive power to more traditional prognostic indices such as tumour grade, lymph node status and lymphatic vascular invasion.
This 5 biomarker classification was however capable of making a distinction between the five subtypes, with luminal A (LA) having the best prognosis and luminal B (LB), basal, HER2 enriched and unclassified all having a worse prognosis (Figure 7). The subtyping information so provided, could be used to augment rather than replace established prognostic parameters and help further refine treatment decisions.
35
The St George cohort, on which this study was performed is composed predominantly of ER+ luminal breast cancers, representing the most common type of breast cancer, over 70% of all breast cancers diagnosed. This provides the opportunity to investigate a better definition of luminal A and B tumours. This would be of significant clinical value in determining those luminal A tumours with an excellent outcome which could be treated with endocrine therapy only and avoid chemotherapy and also identify those poorer prognosis luminal B cancers that would benefit from the addition of chemotherapy and/or trastuzumab. GEP studies defined the luminal B group on the basis of high expression of HER2 and proliferation related genes such as HER2, GRB7, MKI67, MYBL2 to comprise 11-20% of most cohorts
36
(Sorlie et al 2004, Hu et al 2006). However the luminal B population only constitutes
5-10% of most cohorts using ER, PR and HER-2 by IHC (Nguyen et al 2008,
Cheang et al 2008, Millar et al 2009 [EM3], Blows et al 2010) indicating this group of tumours is likely under represented using these biomarkers, probably reflecting the fact that only 30% of luminal B tumours are HER2 amplified by GEP (Carey et al
2006). A previous study using IHC had shown that the addition of the proliferation marker Ki67 to the definition of ER+ and/or PR+, HER2+ improved the predictive power of this definition of luminal B (Cheang et al 2009). This group of patients was the target for the development of the Oncotype Dx assay (Paik et al 2004) and more recently the Mammostrat IHC assay (Ring et al 2006) to predict risk of recurrence in
ER+, lymph node negative patients. Our further analysis of the St George Boost cohort showed that there was a significant difference in expression of Ki67 and p53 between the LA and LB groups from our initial 5 biomarker data and that these two markers better discriminate between these two groups of patients (Millar et al 2011
[EM4]. Additionally, prior analysis of the GSVBCC as part of Dr Catriona McNeil’s
PhD thesis (McNeil 2008) had shown a similar association of Ki-67 and p53 over- expression within the luminal B subtype. Therefore we modified the definition of LA to include: ER and/or PR+ and HER negative, p53 negative (<10%) and Ki67 low
(<10%) and LB to include: ER and/or PR+ and HER2+ and/or p53+ and /or Ki67 high. Using this definition, our detection of poor prognosis luminal B tumours was increased by over 4 fold (compared to using ER, PR HER2 alone), increasing the size of the LB group from 4.6 to 19.7% of the cohort, which better reflected GEP estimates of the size of this group and improved the separation between all intrinsic subtypes of breast cancer (Figure 8). More significantly this definition of LB was an independent predictor of outcome in multivariate analysis with a hazard ratio 3-4 37
times that of LA for locoregional recurrence (HR 3.612, 95% CI 1.555-8.340, p=0.003), distant metastases (HR 3.023 95% CI 1.501-6.087, p=0.002) and breast cancer specific death (HR 3.617, 95% CI 1.629-8.031, p=0.002). Additional exploratory multivariate analyses for patients treated with tamoxifen alone (n=169,
10 events) showed that LB retained independent prognostic significance in the final resolved model for breast cancer specific death (HR 5.361, 95% CI 1.418-20.25, p=0.013).
38
This finding suggests that this refined definition of LB identifies a subgroup of ER+ patients with five times the risk of death when compared to LA patients treated with endocrine therapy. The predictive value of this classification requires further independent validation within the setting of a randomized trial of endocrine therapy and such studies have been initiated. The simplicity of this IHC panel means that it could be transferred into clinical practice almost immediately, costing a fraction of gene testing kits. Recently the validity of this approach was confirmed by another group of investigators using a four marker panel for IHC (“IHC4”: ER,PR, HER2 and
Ki67) which was found to be at least equivalent to Oncotype Dx in its predictive value in a head to head comparison using data from the ATAC trial (Arimidex Tamoxifen
Alone or in Combination; Cuzick et al 2009).
In terms of radiotherapy planning, this signature independently predicts locoregional recurrence (LRR: breast, axilla, chest wall and supraclavicular fossa) in conservatively managed breast cancer. This is a significant finding for the identification of those ER+ patients at highest risk of LRR. Previously only pathological factors such as positive margins and grade were significant predictors of local failure. Following axillary surgery, lymphoedema occurs in approximately 10% of patients. This problem can be predicted in those patients who have extra-nodal extension, whilst the total number of involved nodes does not (Graham et al 2006
EM3]). This highlights the continuing importance of the role of routine pathology in predicting patient outcomes.
39
Conclusions:
Immunohistochemistry using a 5 biomarker panel can provide meaningful information regarding intrinsic subtype of breast cancer, but the information provided is inferior to established pathological indices. The addition of Ki67 and p53 significantly improves discriminatory power in identifying poor prognosis ER+ luminal
B breast cancer using a new definition, enabling their early identification for more aggressive therapy.
Publications arising from this work:
EM3. Millar EKA, Graham PH, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Browne L, Morey AL,
Eggleton S, Beretov J, Theocharous C, Capp A, Nasser E, Kearsley JH, Papadatos
G, Delaney G, Fox C, Sutherland RL. Prediction of local recurrence, distant metastases and death following breast-conserving therapy in early-stage invasive breast cancer using a five biomarker panel. J Clin Oncol 2009;27:4701-8.
EM4. Millar EKA, Graham PH, McNeil CM, Browne L, O’Toole SA, Boulghourjian A,
Papadatos G, Delaney G Nasser E, Kearsley JH, Fox C, Capp A, Sutherland RL.
Prediction of outcome in early luminal breast cancer is improved using a biomarker panel which includes Ki-67 and p53. British Journal of Cancer. 2011.105:272-80.
EM5. Graham P, Jagavkar R, Brown L, Millar E. Supraclavicular radiotherapy must be limited laterally by the coracoid to avoid significant adjuvant breast nodal radiotherapy lymphoedema risk. Australasian Radiology (Journal of Medical Imaging and Radiation Oncology). 2006. 50: 578-582.
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Chapter 3. Endocrine resistance in ER+ breast cancer
Given that luminal ER+ breast cancer is the most prevalent subtype of breast cancer, any improvement in prognosis would be of benefit to the greatest number of patients.
The luminal B group comprises those ER+ cancers with a relatively poor prognosis which probably corresponds to tumours which have intrinsic or acquired resistance to endocrine therapy, the mainstay of treatment for ER+ disease. The mechanisms underlying endocrine resistance are complex but are a key interest of our group. The molecular details of this area have been recently reviewed by members of our group
(Musgrove and Sutherland 2009, Figure 9). In summary there are three distinct pathways of estrogen activation of gene expression: ligand bound ER binds to specific DNA sequences, estrogen responsive elements (ERE), via complexes which are formed with co-activators (CoA), histone acetyl transferases (HAT) or through protein-protein interactions with transcription factors eg AP1, Sp1 which cooperate to bind serum response elements (SREs) to initiate transcription. Ligand independent activation of ER can also occur via receptor tyrosine kinase signalling eg activation of EGFR, HER2 or IGFR results in activation of the PI3K-AKT or the ERK pathways which phosphorylate ER. Lastly ER which is present in the cytoplasm or bound to the cell membrane can also be activated by non-genomic mechanisms involving formation of signalling complexes involving PI3K, Src and FAK. Major ER target genes include Myc, cyclins D1, E1 and E2 which drive proliferation and cell growth.
41
Figure9.Oestrogensignallinginbreastcancer(TakenfromMusgrove&Sutherland2009).
An in-vitro model system of anti-oestrogen growth arrested MCF-7 breast cancer cells, salvaged by subsequent administration of exogenous oestrogen was developed by members of our group to examine the role of estrogen regulated genes in overcoming growth arrest with Tamoxifen. mRNA GEP data derived from these experiments following oestrogenic rescue (Musgrove et al 2009) demonstrated the rapid upregulation of several genes including those regulating proliferation: c-Myc, cyclins D1 and E2, and apoptosis: BAG-1 (BCL2 athanogene 1), and downregulation of another apoptosis regulating gene PUMA (p53 upregulated mediator of apoptosis).
42
3.1 Apoptosis in Endocrine Resistance
In two parallel studies, analysis of publically available mRNA GEP datasets and protein expression using IHC, showed that high expression of BAG-1 and PUMA correlated with improved prognosis and low expression with an adverse outcome
(Figures 10-13).
A.BAGͲ1mRNA B.BAGͲ1protein
1 1
.8 .8 High High
.6 .6 Low .4 Low .4 Cum. Survival Cum. Cum. Survival Cum.
.2 .2
0 0
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Time Time
Figure 10. Kaplan-Meier analysis for BAG-1 expression and breast cancer specific death in the Wound/NKI (van de Vijver et al 2002) cohort using mRNA expression (A) and protein expression in the GSVBCC cohort using IHC (B).
Detailed IHC analyses (Figure 11) validated the mRNA findings in 290 breast cancer patients and showed that BAG-1 correlated with a luminal A phenotype and was an independent predictor of favourable outcome in ER+ patients in multivariate analysis
(Millar et al 2009 [EM6], HR 0.302, 95% CI 0.122 – 0.744, p=0.0093). In vitro studies further demonstrated that over-expression of BAG-1 in MCF-7 cells, augmented the growth arresting potential of Tamoxifen. As a result of these findings and the independent prognostic power of BAG-1 IHC in ER+ breast cancer, its expression will be assessed in a large international trial of endocrine therapy in ER+ breast cancer through an on-going collaboration with the ANZBCTG (Australian New
Zealand Breast Cancer Trials Group) and the IBCSG (International Breast Cancer
43
Study Group). This exciting development again highlights the “pipeline” for development of new biomarkers in clinical oncology in that it will provide independent validation in the context of a prospective randomized clinical trial ie NCI Phase II.
Figure 11. BAG-1 IHC: strong (3+) nuclear and weak (1+) cytoplasmic staining in invasive ductal carcinoma; weak nuclear staining in normal duct (arrow), (x400, taken from Millar et al 2009,).
High expression of PUMA, a BCL-2 homology 3 (BH3)-only, pro-apoptotic regulator was also found to associate with improved prognosis at the mRNA and protein level
(Figures 12, 13). We identified that PUMA (BBC3) is an estrogen target gene that is acutely downregulated in response to estrogen in breast cancer cell lines, independently of their p53 status (Roberts et al 2011 [EM7]). PUMA is transcriptionally upregulated following treatment with tamoxifen and knock down of
PUMA expression in these cells attenuates the apoptotic response to tamoxifen. Low
PUMA expression in breast carcinomas is significantly associated with breast cancer-specific death (p = 0.0014 and p= 0.0115, for mRNA and protein, respectively) and with a worse outcome in tamoxifen-treated patients for mRNA,
(p=1.49 x10-05). These findings suggest that the dysregulation of apoptotic signaling
44
pathways such as those executed via PUMA, can significantly impact on both the progression and therapeutic responsiveness of ER+ breast cancer and its identification suggests a new avenue for therapeutic attack.
Figure 12. PUMA immunohistochemistry in invasive ductal carcinoma surrounding a normal duct (arrow). Cytoplasmic staining was present at variable intensity that ranged from 0-3+ (3+ staining present here, with 1+ staining within a normal duct (arrow), taken from Roberts et al 2011).
A B
Figure 13. Kaplan-Meier analysis (logrank test) of breast cancer specific death A: PUMA mRNA (BBC3) in the Wound/NKI cohort (van de Vijver et al 2002) and B: PUMA protein by IHC in the GSVBCC (taken from Roberts et al 2011).
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3.2 Proliferation and Endocrine Resistance
As described above, previous work examining the role of over-expression the proto- oncogene c-Myc had demonstrated its ability to overcome tamoxifen induced growth arrest in MCF-7 cells (Prall et al 1998). Its potential role as a driver of anti-estrogen resistance and as a biomarker formed the basis for the PhD Thesis of Dr Catriona
McNeil (McNeil 2008). This body of work outlines the identification of a high-risk phenotype of c-Myc expression characterised by high cytoplasmic expression and low nuclear expression which is associated with poor prognosis in ER+ cancers and is associated with a basal phenotype in ER- cancers (McNeil et al 2006 [EM8],
Figure 14).
Figure 14. Patterns of C-Myc staining using IHC in invasive ductal carcinoma x400 (taken from McNeil et al 2006).
46
Cyclin D1 is a key estrogen regulated gene and important mediator of cell cycle progression that is aberrantly regulated in multiple cancers, especially in breast cancer (Buckley et al 1993, Arnold and Papanikolaou 2005, Musgrove et al 2011). A number of studies have indicated that a polymorphism in a splice donor site in the cyclin D1 gene is associated with alternate splicing and the production of the alternative cyclin D1b transcript (Figure 15). Furthermore, this polymorphism may be selectively associated with disease outcomes (Knudsen et al 2006a, Knudsen
2006b).
Figure 15. Alternate splicing of the cyclin D1 transcript occurs at the exon4/intron 4 junction which normally results in the usual cyclin D1 product (bottom left), which contains discrete motifs that regulate cell cycle control, subcellular localization, and transcriptional regulation. Failure to splice at the exon4/intron 4 boundary results in the cyclin D1b protein product, which harbors a divergent C- terminus (hatched). The G/A870 polymorphism (yellow circle) is thought to influence the splicing event (taken from Knudsen 2006b).
However, relatively little is known regarding the protein product of the alternatively spliced message, cyclin D1b. We demonstrated that this protein is readily detectable in a number of cancer cell lines and primary breast cancers (Wang et al 2008 [EM9]
Figure 16). Whereas cyclin D1b interacts with cyclin-dependent kinase 4 (CDK4), it is relatively inefficient at mediating RB phosphorylation and cell cycle progression in model systems due to the lack of exon 5 of cyclin D1–encoded sequences. However, cyclin D1b protein levels are not significantly attenuated by DNA damage or 47
antiestrogen treatment, indicating that the protein may have significant effect on the response to such therapeutic modalities. Whereas enforced expression of cyclin D1b was not sufficient to abrogate DNA damage checkpoint responses, it did efficiently overcome cell cycle arrest mediated by antiestrogen therapeutics. This action of cyclin D1b was not associated with effects on estrogen receptor activity, but was rather dependent on functional association with CDK4. These studies indicate that the cyclin D1b protein is aberrantly regulated and could contribute to therapeutic failure in the context of ER+ breast cancer.
Figure 16. Cyclin D1b IHC. 3+ nuclear staining in invasive ductal carcinoma.
A single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) at nucleotide 870 in the CCND1 gene, rs603965, influences the relative production of the cyclins D1(D1a) and D1b and can impart increased risk for tumour development. Our study included data from a large multiethnic case–control study where the G/A870 polymorphism conferred no significant risk for breast cancer overall or by stage or estrogen receptor (ER) status
(Millar et al 2009 [EM10]). However, cyclin D1b protein was upregulated in breast cancer, independent of cyclin D1 levels, and exhibited heterogeneous levels in breast cancer specimens. High cyclin D1 expression inversely correlated with the
48
Ki67 proliferation marker and was not associated with clinical outcome. In contrast, elevated cyclin D1b expression was independently associated with adverse outcomes, including recurrence, distant metastasis and decreased survival.
Interestingly, cyclin D1b was particularly associated with poor outcome in the context of ER-negative breast cancer. Thus, specific cyclin D1 isoforms are associated with discrete forms of breast cancer and high cyclin D1b protein levels hold prognostic potential.
Conclusions:
Endocrine resistance in breast cancer is a significant clinical and mechanistic problem. We have identified c-Myc, BAG-1 and PUMA as potential biomarkers of endocrine responsiveness/resistance which may help better identify patients with poor prognosis ER+ breast cancer for optimal therapy. These markers will be assessed in a large randomised clinical trial of endocrine therapy.
Publications arising from this work:
EM6. Millar EKA, Anderson LR, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Pinese M, Crea P,
Morey A, Biankin AV, Henshall SM, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL, Butt AJ. BAG-
1 predicts patient outcome and tamoxifen responsiveness in ER positive invasive
ductal carcinoma of the breast. Br J Cancer 2009.100; 122-133.
49
EM7. Roberts CG*, Millar EKA*, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Lehrbach GM, Pinese
M, Tobelmann P, McCloy RA, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL and Butt AJ.
Identification of PUMA as an estrogen target gene that mediates the apoptotic
response to tamoxifen in human breast cancer cells and predicts patient outcome
and Tamoxifen responsiveness in breast cancer. Oncogene. 2011. 30:3186-97.
*Both authors contributed equally to this work.
EM8. McNeil CM, Sergio CM, Anderson LR, Inman CK, Murphy NC, Millar EKA,
Crea P, Kench JG, Alles MC, Gardiner-Garden M, Ormandy CJ, Butt AJ,
Henshall SM, Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL. C-Myc overexpression and
endocrine resistance in breast cancer. J Ster Biochem Mol Biol. 2006; 102:147-
55.
EM9. Wang Y, Dean JL, Millar EKA, Tran TH, McNeil CM, Burd CJ, Henshall
SM, Utama FE, Witkiewicz A, Rui H, Sutherland RL, Knudsen KE, Knudsen ES.
Cyclin D1b is aberrantly regulated in response to therapeutic challenge and
promotes resistance to estrogen antagonists. Cancer Research 2008; 68:5628-
5638.
EM10. Millar EKA, Dean JL, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Henshall SM, Tran T, Lin
J, Quong A, Comstock CES, Witkiewicz A, Musgrove EA, Rui H, Le Marchand L,
Setiawan VW, Haiman CA, Knudsen KE, Sutherland RL, Knudsen ES. Cyclin
D1b Protein expression in breast cancer is independent of cyclin D1a and
associated with poor disease outcome. Oncogene. 2009. 28:1812-20.
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Chapter 4. Signalling Pathways in Breast Cancer
Basal-like breast cancer comprises about 10-15% of all cases and has a poor prognosis with predilection for younger patients, an association with particular ethnic groups such as African-Americans and is associated with BRCA1 mutations. It is often of high histological grade with frequent mitotic activity has a variable lymphocytic infiltrate and may have broad areas of central necrosis (Figure 17), or sclerosis (reviewed in detail elsewhere: Rakha et al 2008).
Figure 17. Basal-like invasive breast cancer demonstrating prominent tumour necrosis.
Basal-like cancer is triple negative (ie ER, PR and HER2 negative) and unlike other forms of breast cancer such ER+ or HER2-enriched, no specific targeted therapy exists. Thus there is an urgent need to further develop better markers of diagnosis and treatment of this aggressive cancer which has a predilection for haematogenous spread especially to brain. Most recurrences and death occur within 5 years of diagnosis but those that survive beyond this period, appear to have a prognosis similar to other types of breast cancer. As a step towards investigating this aggressive form of disease we planned to examine several key signalling pathways involved in cellular proliferation in the GSVBCC. The first of these was the
51
phosphoinositol-3-kinase (PI3K) pathway (Lopez-Knowles et al 2010 [EM11].
Amplification and activating mutations of the PIK3CA gene (3 hotspots in exons 9 and 20) were assessed by PCR. Loss of PTEN expression and over-expression of its downstream target phospho-AKT were assessed by IHC. All previous publications in breast cancer examining this pathway have described each individual component on its own and not together as a complete pathway. Thus we performed the first integrative analysis to assess all components which would therefore lead to an active pathway ie mutation or amplification of PIK3CA, PTEN loss or overexpression of pAKT. This analysis demonstrated that PIK3CA mutations and PTEN loss were mutually exclusive events and that at least one component of the pathway was abnormal and over-active in most breast cancers (71%) and in over 90% of basal- like breast cancer. These findings suggested that this may therefore represent a potential therapeutic approach to the basal group of tumours.
PI3K signalling is inhibited by inositol polyphosphate 4-phosphatase-II (4-ptase-II,
INPP4B) and is implicated as a tumour suppressor in epithelial carcinomas. INPP4B loss of heterozygosity (LOH) is detected in some human breast cancers, however, the expression of 4-ptase-II protein in breast cancer subtypes and the normal breast is unknown. In collaboration with colleagues at Monash University, we identified that
4-ptase-II is expressed in luminal, non-proliferative ER+ cells in the normal breast, and in ER+, but not ER-ve breast cancer cell lines (Fedele et al 2010 [EM12]).
Ectopic 4-ptase-II expression in ER-ve breast cancer cells reduced Akt activation and cell proliferation. Conversely, 4-ptase-II knock-down in ER+ve MCF-7 cells increased AKT activation, cell proliferation and xenograft tumour growth. Analysis of primary human breast cancers from two independent patient datasets revealed
52
frequent loss of 4-ptase-II protein expression was associated with high clinical grade and tumour size. 4-ptase-II expression correlated with ER and PR and was lost most frequently in aggressive basal-like breast carcinomas. Interestingly, 4-ptase-II protein loss in human breast cancers occurred mutually exclusive of PIK3CA mutation, but was frequently observed in PTEN-null tumours, revealing concomitant loss of two tumour suppressors that regulate PI3K signaling. Therefore 4-ptase-II protein is a significant regulator of ER+ mammary cell proliferation and its loss of expression is a marker of aggressive basal-like breast carcinomas.
Stem cell & Developmental Signalling Pathways in Breast Cancer
The role of the hedgehog (Hh), Wnt (Wingless-type) and Notch signalling pathways which are important in embryogenesis and in the development and self renewal of stem cells have recently emerged in the pathogenesis, prognosis and potential treatment of breast cancer and are reviewed in detail elsewhere (Kakarala and
Wicha 2008, Zardawi et al 2009, O’Toole et al 2009, Figure 18).
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Fig 18. Key pathways involved in stem cell signalling, growth and renewal. Dysregulation of stem cell renewal in sporadic cancers may involve loss of PTEN activity, HER2 amplification or activation of Hedgehog or Notch pathways acting via the polycomb protein BMI-1. BRCA1 loss is important in hereditary cancers. Subsequently, there is expansion of the stem cell compartment which may undergo further carcinogenic events. (Taken from Karakal & Wicha 2008).
Our investigation of these pathways yielded new data highlighting their associations with pathogenesis, intrinsic subtype and outcome. The role of Hedgehog (Hh) and its association with a stem cell phenotype and with the basal type of breast cancer was investigated in the PhD thesis of collaborator Dr Sandra O’Toole (O’Toole 2008).
Over-expression of Hh by IHC in invasive ductal carcinoma is present in 34% of tumours and is associated with a poor prognosis (death HR 2.3 p=0.0002), basal-like subtype (p=0.004) as well as resistance to endocrine therapy in ER+ cancers and those patients treated with chemotherapy (O’Toole et al 2011 [EM13]). A mouse model over-expressing Hh, based on the M6 cell line derived from the C3/SV40T transgenic mouse, demonstrated a role for Hh in driving tumour growth and metastasis, which could be inhibited by a novel monoclonal antibody, 5E1. This work identifies the key role of this important pathway as well as suggesting a potential
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treatment strategy for metastatic breast cancer and basal breast cancer, for which there is currently no targeted therapy.
Notch signalling is critical in mammalian embryonic development, particularly in neurogenesis, angiogenesis and in development of the breast, heart and lymphoid systems (Artavanis-Tsakonas et al 1999). More recently a key role for Notch signalling in the regulation of mammary progenitor cells was described (Bouras et al
2008). Activation of Notch signalling results in hyperplasia and tumorigenesis in murine mammary epithelium but there is little information regarding the expression of
Notch1 in premalignant lesions and early breast cancer. We observed enhanced expression of Notch1 protein as an early event in both murine and human breast cancer development with progressive increases in expression with the development of hyperplasia and malignancy (Zardawi et al 2010 [EM14]). High Notch1 was not prognostic in the outcome cohort but there was a highly significant association of high Notch1 protein with the HER-2 molecular subtype of breast cancer. This signalling pathway may be a potential therapeutic target worthy of further investigation.
ȕ-catenin, a pivotal downstream mediator of Wnt signalling, is involved in cell adhesion through catenin-cadherin complexes and as a transcriptional regulator in the Wnt signaling pathway. Its deregulation is important in the genesis of a number of human malignancies, particularly colorectal cancer (Polakis 2000). In breast cancer, there are conflicting associations reported for ȕ-catenin expression, clinicopathological variables, and outcome. Whilst we were unable to demonstrate any association with breast cancer–specific death for cytoplasmic or membrane 55
expression alone a novel continuous score representing both locations (membrane minus cytoplasmic expression: MTC score, Figure 19) was associated with a worse outcome in univariate analysis, and approached significance in multivariate analysis
(Lopez-Knowles et al 2010 [EM15]). An association was identified between high cytoplasmic expression (low MTC score), and high tumour grade, positive Ki67, negative ER, positive HER2 over-expression and an active PI3K pathway. Low cytoplasmic expression (high MTC score) was associated with the luminal A subtype. A low ȕ-catenin MTC score is associated with an adverse outcome in breast cancer and may be of mechanistic significance in the disease process.
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Figure 19. ȕ-catenin expression in human tissues. A. Normal colonic crypts show a membranous pattern of expression. B. Invasive colon adenocarcinoma showing predominantly nuclear expression. C. Invasive lobular breast carcinoma negative control lacks expression of ȕ-catenin. D. Normal breast duct with membranous expression in the basal cell layer. E. Weak predominantly membranous expression in invasive ductal carcinoma. F. Strong predominantly membranous expression in invasive ductal carcinoma. G. Predominantly cytoplasmic expression in invasive ductal carcinoma. H. Strong membranous and cytoplasmic expression in invasive ductal carcinoma. All images, ×400 magnification (taken from Lopez-Knowles et al 2010).
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The phospholipid transfer protein STARD10 is expressed in normal breast and during lactation. It cooperates with c-erbB signalling (Olayioye et al 2004, Alpy and
Tomasetto 2005) and its expression in breast cancer may indicate preservation of a differentiated luminal phenotype.
A B
.
Fig 20. STARD10 immunohistochemistry. A: over-expressing breast carcinoma (3+); B: loss of expression.
We interrogated mRNA gene expression profiling data from the Wound/NKI cohort
(van de Vijver 2002) and found that patients with low STARD10 or high HER2 tumour mRNA levels formed discrete groups each associated with a poor disease- specific survival (Murphy et al 2010 [EM16], p = 0.0001 and p = 0.0058, respectively). These findings were validated using IHC in the GSVBCC (Figure 20).
In multivariate analyses, low STARD10 expression was an independent predictor of death from breast cancer (HR 2.56 95% CI 1.27-5.18, p=0.0086) independent of
HER2 status and triple negative phenotype, suggesting a potential role as a biomarker identifying a subgroup of patients with a particularly adverse prognosis.
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Gab2, a docking-type signalling protein with demonstrated oncogenic potential, is overexpressed in breast cancer, but its prognostic significance and role in disease evolution remain unclear. Our analysis demonstrated that while Gab2 expression
(Figure 21) was positively correlated with increased tumour grade, it did not correlate with disease recurrence or breast cancer-related death in the total cohort or in patients stratified according to lymph node, estrogen receptor (ER) or HER2 status
(Fleuren et al 2010 [EM17]).
Figure 21. Gab2 IHC in invasive ductal carcinoma x400 (taken from Fleuren et al 2010).
Interestingly, analysis of a ‘‘progression series’’ that included premalignant and preinvasive breast lesions as well as samples of metastatic disease revealed that
Gab2 expression was significantly enhanced in the earliest lesion examined, usual ductal hyperplasia, with a further increase detected in ductal carcinoma in situ
(DCIS). Furthermore, expression was less in invasive cancers and lymph node metastases than in DCIS, but still higher than in normal breast. These findings indicate that while Gab2 expression is not prognostic in breast cancer, its role in 59
early disease evolution warrants further analysis, as Gab2 and its effectors may provide targets for novel strategies aimed at preventing breast cancer development.
Conclusions:
Our analysis of signalling pathways has identified several new potentially useful biomarkers and avenues of therapeutic attack most notably for basal-like breast cancer (Hedgehog, PI3K, PPInd4). This may help improve the prognosis for this group of tumours for which there is currently no specific targeted therapy.
Publications arsing from this work:
EM11. López-Knowles E, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, Qiu MR, Crea P,
Musgrove EA, Robert L. Sutherland. PI3K pathway activation in breast cancer is
associated with the basal-like phenotype and cancer-specific mortality. Int J
Cancer. 2010. 126:1121-31.
EM12. Fedele CG, Ooms LM, Ho M, Vieusseux J, O’Toole SA, Millar EKA,
Lopez-Knowles E, Sriratana A, Gurung R, Baglietto L, Giles GG, Bailey CG,
Rasko JEJ, Shields BJ, Price JT, Majerus PW, Sutherland RL, Tiganis T,
McLean CA, Mitchell CA. The PtdIns(3,4)P2 4-phosphatase, INPP4B, regulates
ER-positive mammary cell proliferation and is lost in human basal-like breast
carcinomas. Proc Natl Acad Sci. 2010. 107: 22231-6.
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EM13. O’Toole SA, Machalek D, Shearer R , Millar EKA, Nair R, McLeod D,
Cooper C, McFarland A, Ru Qiu M, McNeil CM, Rabinovich B, Martelotto L, Vu D,
Musgrove E, Sutherland RL, Watkins N, Swarbrick A. Hedgehog overexpression
is associated with stromal interactions and predicts for poor outcome in breast
cancer. Cancer Research. 2011. 71:4002-4014.
EM14. Zardawi SJ, Zardawi I, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, McLeod D, Morey AL,
Crea P, Murphy NM, Lopez-Knowles E, Oakes SR, Ormandy CJ, Qiu MR,
Hamilton A, Spillan A, Lee CS, Sutherland RL, Musgrove EA, O’Toole SA.
Notch1 expression is an early event in breast cancer development and is
associated with the HER-2 molecular subtype. Histopathology. 2010; 56, 286–
296.
EM15. López-Knowles E, Zardawi SJ, McNeil CM, Millar EKA, Crea P,
Musgrove EA, Sutherland RL,. O’Toole SA. Cytoplasmic localization of ß catenin
is a marker of poor outcome in breast cancer patients. Cancer Epidemiol
Biomarkers Prev. 2010;19:301-9.
EM16. Murphy NC*, Biankin AV*, Millar EKA*, McNeil CM, O’Toole SA, Segara
D, Crea P, Olayioye MA, Lee CS, Fox SB, Morey AL, Christie M, Musgrove EA,
Daly RJ, Lindeman GJ,. Henshall SM, Visvader JE, Sutherland RL. Loss of
STARD10 expression identifies a group of poor prognosis breast cancers
independent of HER2/Neu and triple negative status. Int J Cancer.
2010;126:1445-53.
*These authors contributed equally to this work. 61
EM17.Fleuren EDG, O’Toole SA, Millar EKA, McNeil CM, Lopez-Knowles E,
Brummer T, Sutherland RL, Daly RJ. Overexpression of the oncogenic signal
transducer Gab2 occurs early in breast cancer development. Int J Cancer.
2010;127: 1486–1492.
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Chapter 5. Tumour Hypoxia in Breast Cancer
Basal breast cancers can often exhibit prominent areas of central necrosis (Fig 17) suggesting they may have an abnormal hypoxic response with aberrant Hypoxia
Inducible Factor (HIF) pathway activity. In collaboration with colleagues at the Peter
MacCallum Cancer Centre we undertook a series of studies addressing the roles of several key downstream targets in the HIF pathway: CAIX, CXCR4/FOXP3 interactions and SIAH2, summarized below (Figure 22).
Figure 22. The HIF pathway is activated by hypoxic inhibition of prolylhydroxylases (PHDs) and resultant transcription of hypoxia responsive elements (HREs) involving activation of diverse downstream pathways and targets involved in angiogenesis, autophagy/cell survival, metastasis, pH homeostasis and metabolism.(Taken from Brahimi et al 2007).
CAIX (carbonic anhydrase IX), a key downstream target of HIF-1Į, is a transmembrane protein involved in maintaining a low pericellular pH through its reversible conversion of carbon dioxide and water into carbonic acid. IHC analysis showed that CAIX was nine times more likely to be expressed in basal breast cancers compared to the other subtypes (Tan et al 2009 [EM18], Figure 23).
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Figure 23. A: Positive CK 5/6 staining in a basal-like carcinoma, B positive nuclear staining for HIF-1Į, C: strong membranous staining for CAIX in a basal-like carcinoma, D: negative CAIX staining in a luminal tumour. (taken from Tan et al 2009).
Additionally those breast cancers which over expressed CAIX were resistant to chemotherapy, possibly the result of trapping of chemotherapeutic agents outside the cell where the extracellular environment is acidic. These findings suggested another potential avenue of therapeutic attack for this group of breast cancers.
Despite the presence of a host lymphocytic infiltrate (Figure 24) within most basal- like cancers they are associated with a poor prognosis. Recently it has become evident that a subpopulation of T cells, T regulatory cells (Tregs), may play an increasing role in maintaining tolerance to self-antigens. Tregs identified by the marker transcription factor FoxP3 (Forkhead box P3) appear to be important mediators of peripheral tolerance, suppress undesirable immune responses and are associated with a poor prognosis (Bates et al 2006). We hypothesised that hypoxia-induced secretion of CXCL12 (C-X-C motif chemokine 12) within tumours recruits Tregs via binding to its receptor CXCR4 and may drive immune suppression and help explain
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the increased aggressiveness of basal-like breast cancers. This may be of therapeutic significance as Treg treatments are now in clinical trials.
Figure 24. Basal-like breast cancer with peri-tumoral lymphocytic infiltrate and tumour infiltrating lymphocytes (arrows).
Tumour CXCL12 positivity correlated with Treg FOXP3 expression and basal phenotype and CXCL12 positivity correlated with improved survival (p=0.005; Yan et al 2011 [EM19]). High Treg correlated with shorter survival for all breast cancers, luminal cancers and basal-like cancers that was confirmed in a multivariate analysis
(p=0.042). Despite the association between high Treg with CXCL12 and basal phenotype, there was no difference in CXCL12 expression between luminal and basal-like cancers. Up-regulation of CXCR4 in Treg correlated with basal-like phenotype and tumour hypoxia, as indicated by CAIX expression. Although CXCL12 expression is associated with a good prognosis, in the setting of hypoxia and CXCR4 up regulation in Treg, this may have the negative consequence of enhancing Treg recruitment while suppressing the anti-tumour immune response.
During tissue hypoxia, the ubiquitin ligase SIAH2 (seven in absentia homologous 2) plays a significant role by targeting the prolyl hydroxylases that regulate HIF-1Į for proteasomal degradation, indicating a potential important role in basal-like breast
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cancer which was previously unknown. We observed a significant increase in nuclear SIAH2 expression from normal breast tissues through to DCIS and progression to invasive cancers (p<0.0001) with an inverse correlation between
SIAH2 and ER, PR and a positive association with high tumour grade, HER2 , p53 and intrinsic basal-like subtype (Chan et al 2011 [EM20]). No SIAH2 promoter methylation was identified but there was a significant correlation between SIAH2 mRNA and gene copy number. There was also a significant association between
SIAH2 positive tumours and a shorter relapse-free survival in a univariate but not multivariate analysis. SIAH2 expression was upregulated in basal-like breast cancers via copy number changes and/or transcriptional activation by p53 and may be partly responsible for the enhanced hypoxic drive through abrogation of the prolyl hydroxylases. This suggests that anti-SIAH therapeutics may be a potential site of therapeutic attack for these chemoresistant tumours.
Conclusions:
Basal-like cancers are associated with over-expression of HIF pathway components which play a pivotal role in driving pathways critical to tumour survival, aggressiveness and resistance to treatment. Some of these, such as CAIX, have prognostic and predictive potential for this group of poor prognosis tumours.
Publications arising from this work:
EM18. Tan EY, Yan M, Campo L, Han C, Takano E, Turley H, Pezzella F, Gatter KC,
Millar EKA, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Crea P, Segara D, Sutherland RL, Harris AL,
Fox SB. The key hypoxia regulated gene CAIX is upregulated in basal-like breast tumours and is associated with resistance to chemotherapy. Br J Cancer. 2009; 100:
405-411. 66
EM19. Yan M, Jene N, Byrne D, Millar EKA, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Sutherland
RL, Fox SB. Recruitment of regulatory T cells is driven by hypoxia induced CXCR4 expression, and is associated with poor prognosis in basal-like breast cancers.
Breast Cancer Research. 2011.13:R47.
EM20. Chan P, Moeller A, Liu MCP, Sceneay JE, Wong CSF, Wadell N, Huang K,
Dobrovic A, Millar EKA, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM, Sutherland RL, Bowtell D, Fox SB.
The expression of the ubiquitin ligase SIAH (seven in absentia homolog) 2 is mediated through gene copy number in breast cancer and is associated with a basal-like phenotype and p53 expression. Breast Cancer Res. 2011. 13:R19.
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Chapter 6. DNA Repair Pathways
Basal breast cancers have an association with BRCA1 mutations and harbour potential dysfunctional DNA repair processes. Rad21/SCC1, a component of the cohesin complex, is essential for sister chromatid cohesions which are important during mitosis and error-free DNA repair. Two cohesin core subunits, Smc1 and
Smc3, are members of the “structural maintenance of chromosomes” (SMC) family whose members are large ATPases with polypeptide chains which fold back on themselves around a central “hinge” domain (Figure 25) forming a ring-like structure
(reviewed in Peters et al 2008). Within the cohesin complex, the hinge domains of
Smc1 and Smc3 bind tightly to each other, whereas the ATPase heads of both proteins are physically connected by the Rad21/Scc1 subunit.
Figure25.ThecohesincomplexisformedbyamultiͲproteinstructurecontainingRad21/Scc1,Smc1 andSmc3formingaringͲlikestructurearoundchromatin(takenfromPetersetal2008). Aberrant expression of Rad21 has been described in cancer and it was identified as one of sixty-nine signature genes in undifferentiated cancers that had aggressive in vitro or clinical courses and poor patient outcomes (Rhodes et al 2004). We observed its expression to correlate with early relapse in all breast cancer patients largely due to the effect of grade 3 tumours, in which Rad21 expression correlated
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with early relapse in all subtypes of breast cancer (Xu et al 2011 [EM21]). With chemotherapy, Rad21 expression associated with a poorer prognosis. Knockdown of
Rad21 mRNA in the MDA-MB-231 basal breast cancer cell line, significantly enhanced sensitivity to cyclophosphamide, 5-fluorouracil and etoposide, supporting the clinical findings.
Conclusions:
Rad21 expression may be a novel therapeutic target and predictive biomarker as it appears to confer a poor prognosis and resistance to chemotherapy in all high grade tumours (luminal, basal or HER2). This is particularly relevant for those basal-like cancers for whom no specific therapy currently exists.
Publication arising from this work:
EM21. Xu H, Yan M, Patra J, Yan Y, Swagemakers S, Thomasewski J, Verschoor S,
Millar EKA, van der Spek P, Reis-Filho JS, Ramsay R, O’Toole SA, McNeil CM,
Sutherland RL, McKay MJ, Fox SB. Enhanced Rad21 cohesin expression confers poor prognosis and resistance to chemotherapy in high-grade luminal, basal and
HER2 breast cancer. Breast Cancer Research. 2011.13:R9.
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Chapter 7. Predictive factors in ductal carcinoma in-situ (DCIS)
Despite the on-going drive towards identifying biomarkers which predict disease outcome, unlike invasive carcinoma, for DCIS, no established biomarkers exist which predict recurrence or progression to invasive disease (Polyak 2010). As a first step to investigating cell cycle marker expression and outcome in DCIS we analysed
60 cases of pure DCIS for cyclin A, cyclin D1 and p27 expression. We were unable to identify any association with outcome, although there was a positive association of p27 with ER/PR positivity, correlating with low nuclear grade (Millar et al 2007
[EM22]). Thus, given the absence any predictive biomarker, the role of traditional pathological factors still assume a vital role in guiding optimal management of DCIS.
This latter aspect is of particular importance in conservatively managed breast cancer where local excision with clear margins is important. We reviewed the data discussing the relevance of margin involvement and local recurrence in DCIS (Millar and Leong 2001 [EM23]). Although local recurrence is less than 10% with optimal surgical excision and radiotherapy, prevention is important since up to 50% of recurrences may be as invasive carcinoma. The practical considerations in assessing margin status are of key importance in obtaining a firm final opinion to guide subsequent radiotherapy to aid in local control.
Conclusions:
No established predictive biomarkers exist for DCIS and as a result, key pathological indicators such as margin status, grade and size continue to guide therapy. Further studies are needed to identify biomarkers which may predict outcome.
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Publications arising from this work.
EM22. Millar EKA, Tran K, Marr P, Graham PH. p27kip-1, cyclin A and cyclin D1 protein expression in ductal carcinoma in-situ of the breast: p27kip-1 correlates with hormone receptor status but not with local recurrence. Pathology International. 2007.
57: 183-9.
EM23. Millar EKA and Leong A S-Y. Significance and assessment of margins of excision in ductal carcinoma in-situ of the breast. Advances in Anatomic Pathology.
2001. 8:338-344.
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Chapter 8. Biomarkers in rare types of breast tumours.
8.1 Phyllodes tumours
Phyllodes tumours of the breast are rare tumours characterised by increasing stromal overgrowth, cytological atypia and malignancy and are currently classified as benign, “borderline malignant” or malignant using histological criteria. They do however suffer from some difficulty in terms of definitive classification and therefore accurate prediction of outcome. As a first step towards identifying a prognostic biomarker for this disease, we made the first description of p53 protein expression in
15 phyllodes tumours (six malignant, nine benign) and 20 fibroadenomas (Millar et al
1999, [EM24]). Five of the six malignant phyllodes tumours showed moderate or strong p53 positivity at sites of periepithelial stromal condensation and atypia (Figure
26). All 20 fibroadenomas, nine benign phyllodes tumours and one malignant phyllodes tumour showed either negativity or focal weak nuclear positivity of scattered stromal cells. The observed p53 staining in malignant phyllodes was thought at that time to be a distinctive pattern, confirmatory of a malignant phenotype and potentially of prognostic importance. However subsequent studies by other investigators have shown p53 expression to be of no prognostic value (Tan et al
2005). However, abnormalities in the p53 pathway may be important in the progression of benign to malignant phyllodes tumours.
Figure 26. p53 IHC in a malignant phyllodes tumour of the breast (taken from Millar et al 2001). 72
8.2 Low-grade mucosa associated lymphoid tissue (MALT) non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma.
Primary non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NHL) of the breast comprises 0.04–0.53% of primary malignant breast tumours. Variable frequencies of primary mucosa associated lymphoid tissue (MALT) lymphoma of the breast are reported and comprise 4% of all extranodal MALT lymphomas. Other more common non- gastrointestinal sites of extranodal MALT lymphomas include the head and neck, lung, ocular adnexa, and salivary glands. Bilateral, primary MALT lymphoma of the breast is exceptionally rare, with only eight cases reported in the published work.
The optimal treatment is not well established. We described the occurrence of bilateral low-grade MALT NHL of the breast in a 73 year-old female, occurring seven years apart. As no predictive biomarkers exist for this disease we reviewed the current literature for potential prognostic and predictive targets. Multiple cytogenetic abnormalities exist, some correlating with the site of disease. Two translocations of the MALT1 gene on 18q21 are known: t(11; 18)(q21; q21) with API2 found mainly in gastric and pulmonary tumours and t(14; 18)(q32; q21) with IGH, which is found predominantly in ocular/adnexal and salivary lesions. The relatively rare but well known translocation involving the BCL10 gene t(1; 14)(p22; q32) with IGH is associated with lung and gastric disease and appears to be specific for MALT lymphoma. Both MALT1 and BCL10 translocations are associated with activation of the NFkB pathway and cell survival. t(3; 14)(p13; q32) is a newly identified chromosomal translocation in MALT lymphoma, which deregulates the expression of the FOXP1 gene and is described in thyroid, ocular, skin and lung disease. The genetic features of MALT breast lymphoma are not yet well established. Talwalkar et
73
al (2006) showed no evidence of t(11; 18) and t(14; 18) translocations in MALT lymphoma of the breast. There are no established markers of outcome in this disease, although a recent study indicated that gastric MALT lymphoma with t (1; 14) or strong BCL10 nuclear expression are unlikely respond to H. Pylori eradication.
Further investigation in the field is therefore required.
Conclusions:
No predictive or prognostic biomarkers exist for phyllodes tumours or MALT lymphoma of the breast. Further investigation is needed to better identify those patients at risk of recurrence.
Publications arising from this work:
EM24. Millar EKA, Beretov J, Marr P, Sarris M, Clarke RA, Kearsley JM and Lee
CS. Malignant phyllodes tumours of the breast display increased stromal p53 protein expression. Histopathology. 1999. 34:491-496.
EM25. Yilmaz MH, Millar EKA, Theocharous C, Graham PH. Metachronous bilateral primary low-grade mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue (MALT) non-Hodgkins lymphoma of the breast. Asia-Pacific Journal of Clinical Oncology. 2009. 5:154-158.
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Chapter 9. Authorship of Publications for Thesis
Contemporary major advances in biomarkers of breast cancer phenotype and therapeutic responsiveness require multidisciplinary/multi-institutional teams. The
Cancer Program at the Garvan Institute, developed over a decade, has several multidisciplinary and investigational teams. Breast pathology is a significant component of this program and has a central pivotal role upon which observations about underlying biology and prognosis can be made. The subsequent discussion outlines in more specific detail, my contribution to publications included in this
Thesis. The particular position that one occupies on the list of authors demonstrates that for those publications where I was first author, I was principally responsible for driving the study, analysing and interpreting the data and drafting the manuscript.
This is also the case for two further publications where I am second or third author but have been credited with an equal level of contribution to the publication as the first author. However, as outlined above, a specialist breast Pathologist was pivotal to all studies, since the appropriate diagnosis of IHC data derived from human tissue underpinned the quality and clinical relevance of all the data reported in the publications contained within this Thesis.
I always sought to be involved in research during my specialist training in Edinburgh
(1993-1998). When I moved permanently to Australia in 1998, working initially in
Newcastle (1998-2001), then St George Hospital, Sydney (from November 2001), by late 2004, I had carried out some small studies and written some papers on breast
(p53 expression in Phyllodes tumours 1999; DCIS margins invited review 2001) but soon realised that attempting to perform any truly internationally competitive research whilst working as a full time Specialist in Anatomical Pathology was
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impossible. Subsequently in March 2005, I was invited by Professor Rob Sutherland,
Director of the Cancer Research Program, Garvan Institute of Medical Research,
Sydney to join the Breast Cancer Translational Research Group which had just been formed. I committed to giving up one day per week of my clinical work to join this multi-disciplinary group of investigators which includes senior laboratory-based
Scientists, breast surgeons, medical and radiation Oncologists and Pathologists. The majority of the work in this Thesis was carried out as a member of this group, which is, by necessity, collaborative in nature, requiring the expert contribution of several key individuals from a number of complementary disciplines. Weekly meetings are held by our group at which there is discussion on all on-going studies with input into their direction and drafting of manuscripts by all members of the team. My primary role was to provide key specialist, pathological input to underpin and drive the design, implementation and analysis of studies to be undertaken by the group.
During this time I also finalised some other outstanding work with A/Prof Peter
Graham (cell cycle markers in DCIS, mucosa associated lymphoid tissue (MALT) lymphoma) to which I contributed by driving the projects, assessing all pathology and drafting the manuscripts. An additional study examining factors associated with supraclavicular fossa radiotherapy associated lymphoedema, I reviewed all the pathology and contributed to the writing of the manuscript. Concurrently Professor
Soon Lee (Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, University of Sydney) invited me to collaborate to the writing and provide specialist pathological input to a review on gene expression profiling in breast cancer with Dr Niamh Murphy, his Post-Doctoral research scientist who was also just about to begin work at the Garvan. This timely project helped me gain further insights into this rapidly evolving area at an early stage. More recently I was invited to contribute to another review of molecular testing 76
in breast cancer, by Associate Professor Sandra O’Toole a Visiting Scientist at the
Garvan(Royal Prince Alfred Hospital and University of Sydney). This is an area of expanding importance in research and routine reporting of all breast cancer cases with the advent of chromogenic in-situ hybridisation (CISH). As the supervising
Pathologist for the CISH service at SEALS, St George Hospital, I was responsible for setting up this service (2006) which provides testing for all breast cancers from St
George and Prince of Wales Hospitals (approximately 500 cases per annum, approximately 12% of all breast cancers in NSW).
This published work examines the role of biomarkers in breast cancer: their role in pathogenesis, subtype classification, prediction of tumour behaviour and in some studies, the response to therapy. This work has predominantly utilised immunohistochemistry (IHC) to examine protein biomarker expression in TMAs constructed from two locally derived breast cancer clinical cohorts. In both of these cohorts (The Garvan St Vincent’s Breast Cancer Cohort, GSVBCC, (n=292) and the
St George Breast Boost Study, (n=498), I oversaw the development of these critical resources covering all aspects from case reviewing and marking up of the tissue blocks for TMA construction to optimisation of antibodies, scoring of IHC, data analysis and drafting of manuscripts. IHC was performed for baseline parameters such as ER, PR, HER2, CK5/6 and EGFR. For many of the studies outlined below I was responsible for directing the optimisation of IHC staining protocols for multiple monoclonal antibodies used, as well as assessment of staining/scoring, which was performed in association with Associate Professor Sandra O’Toole. Clinical follow-up data were obtained for the GSVBCC from patient files made available by Dr Paul
Crea, breast Surgeon at St Vincent’s Hospital, largely by Dr Catriona McNeil, a
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medical Oncologist. Clinical outcome data for the St George Boost cohort was provided by a collaborator and colleague at St George Hospital, Associate Professor
Peter Graham, Radiation Oncologist, Cancer Care Centre with statistical support from Ms Lois Browne, senior statistician St George Hospital. Prior to publication, data from all studies was discussed by the group and suggestions made as how best to present the study for publication with intellectual input from all authors.
An early project I was involved in was the assessment of c-Myc staining in a
“progression series” of cases which included pre-malignant lesions, ductal carcinoma in-situ and invasive carcinomas with Dr Catriona McNeil, who was doing her PhD in endocrine resistance with Professors Sutherland and Musgrove. This early work formed the basis, along with in-vitro work performed by Catriona and Professor Liz
Musgrove for the study on the role of c-Myc in driving endocrine resistance in breast cancer, a key interest of our group, to which I contributed along with the group to the writing of the manuscript. Subsequently further data derived from Prof Liz Musgrove,
Prof Sutherland and Dr Alison Butt identified the expression of estrogen target genes in MCF-7 breast cancer cells. These data lead to two publications on BAG1 and
PUMA both of which are key regulators of apoptosis. I coordinated the BAG1 paper and performed all of the IHC analyses, data analyses and drafted the manuscript. mRNA expression datasets were extracted by Mark Pinese and statistically analysed by myself. Luke Anderson, Dr Alison Butt’s PhD student at that time performed the in-vitro work which demonstrated the mechanistic role of BAG1 over-expression in
MCF7 cell lines. Similarly for PUMA I performed the IHC assessment and data analysis of the IHC results and GEP mRNA datasets, while Caroline Roberts carried
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out the cell line work and western blots and Dr Alison Butt drafted the initial manuscript with further detailed input from all authors.
During this phase of work, the expertise of myself and other members of the group was actively sought by several other collaborative research groups within Australia and overseas. STARD10 was a novel protein which had been identified by
Professors Geoff Lindeman and Jane Visvader, Walter and Eliza Hall Institute,
Melbourne. They had produced a monoclonal antibody to STARD10, a novel lipid transport molecule, and had approached me to assess its staining on our breast cancer cohorts. Dr Niamh Murphy and I optimised the staining and assessed its expression by IHC. Niamh Murphy drafted the original manuscript which went through several substantial revisions, for which Professor Andrew Biankin and I were responsible for finalising prior to publication, which did not occur for three years after the study was completed.
During this time the GSVBCC was expanded in size by the addition of extra patients.
The publication of IHC surrogates of intrinsic subtype by Neilson in 2004 had prompted us and others to subtype our own cohorts using a simplified biomarker panel of ER, PR, HER2, EGFR and CK5/6. HER2 was assessed by IHC and fluorescent in-situ hybridisation (FISH) which was performed by Associate Professor
Adrienne Morey, SydPath, St Vincent’s Hospital Sydney. Additional markers of proliferation, Ki67 and the tumour suppressor p53 were later added, along with cell cycle proteins cyclin D1, cyclin E1 & E2 (the latter in support of a UNSW Medical student Honours project for Edwina Wing-Lum), p27, p21 to further assess differing classifications of intrinsic subtype. This large panel of markers on the GSVBCC was included in the PhD Thesis of Dr Catriona McNeil (UNSW 2008) and has been
79
prepared for publication with detailed assessment of staining by myself, Dr Catriona
McNeil and Associate Professor Sandra O’Toole. A similar IHC panel approach was subsequently taken to assess the St George Boost cohort for which I was responsible for designing, coordinating, assessing all IHC staining and performing the statistical analyses. This study lead to two large publications both of which I was responsible for drafting (18 months apart), the first of which was published in the highly prestigious Journal of Clinical Oncology, (impact factor 18.97, one of the top ranking international Oncology journals) which was a major achievement. The second paper was recently published in The British Journal of Cancer. Other on- going collaborations at that time included work for the BSc Thesis of Sarah Zardawi, examining the role of Notch signalling in breast cancer. Shortly after this Dr Elena
Lopez-Knowles took over in the lab as Post-Doctoral scientist after the departure of
Niamh Murphy. Elena was responsible for the PI3K mutation analysis and in optimising IHC for downstream pathway components phospho AKT, FHKR and
PTEN, the IHC analysis of which I performed with Sandra O’Toole. Elena drafted the initial manuscript and also worked up the project on ȕ-catenin with Sandra O’Toole with further input from all authors. Whilst these projects were on-going Professor Eric
Knudsen, Kimmel Cancer Centre, Philadelphia, USA sought our expertise to assess a new antibody to the cyclin D1b isoform. Cyclin D1 is a major interest of our group, given its role in breast cancer. I was responsible for directing the optimisation of the antibody, assessing the scoring and statistical analysis of the data in the GSVBCC.
The observations I made indicated its potential importance and this highly successful work lead to two publications in the highly reknowned cancer journals Cancer
Research and Oncogene, (the latter also incorporating some further SNP data of
Prof Knudsen’s from a large case control study assessing risk of breast cancer in 80
CCND1 polymorphism carriers). At this time Sandra O’Toole was also completing her thesis on stem cell signalling in breast cancer which focussed principally on the role of hedgehog (Hh) signalling. This work involved a large amount of IHC performed to which I contributed with analysis of Hh in a progression cohort of early precursor lesions (normal, hyperplasia, atypical hyperplasia, ductal carcinoma in situ and invasive carcinomas). This work resulted in a large manuscript recently published in Cancer Research. Another collaborative study with Professor Roger
Daly, Garvan Institute, on the role of the signal transducer docking protein Gab2 was also ongoing at this time, which was a project driven by Prof Daly’s research assistant Gaby Fleuren, who drafted the manuscript.
During this time a further close working collaboration was established with Professor
Stephen Fox and Dr Max Yan, Peter MaCallum Cancer Centre, Melbourne, following a breast cancer workshop I presented at for the National Breast Cancer Foundation in 2007. A mutual interest in basal-like cancers and an interest in tumour hypoxia lead us to complete a number of studies examining CAIX, FOXP3, SIAH2,
RAD21/cohesin, which were all performed on TMAs from the GSVBCC. Data generated by Prof Fox and Dr Yan was correlated with data on our existing biomarkers/parameters and discussed with our team, with input into the drafting of the manuscripts by all members of the group.
Most recently our group was again approached to collaborate with Professor
Christine Mitchell’s group at Monash University, Melbourne. This novel work addressed the role a phosphatase inhibitor (PPInd4B) in the PI3K pathway which they had identified and resulted in a significant publication in the highly prestigious journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, another major
81
achievement. Using their data on the in-vitro role of this molecule we optimised and performed an IHC and data analysis in our GSVBCC cohort and correlated its expression with our previously published and detailed PI3K pathway data to generate significant and novel observations about this protein. The paper was drafted by Prof Mitchell’s group with significant input from all of our team.
82
Chapter 10. Significance of findings from published work
The work presented in this thesis contains 25 publications, the significance and impact of which are reflected in the quality of the journal, its associated impact factor and the number of citations. This volume of work has resulted in my Scopus H Index increasing from 5 (2005) to 11 (July 2011). This is however, expected to rise significantly and rapidly. Citations have been sourced from Scopus and Google
Scholar and are summarised below. Recent publications from 2011 have no citations as yet. One of these publications [EM20] has been cited as one of “high accessed” relative to age by Breast Cancer Research with 1901 downloads to date. Similarly
EM4 ranks as the fourth most highly accessed recent publication in the British
Journal of Cancer at time of writing.
83
Publication Journal Impact Factor Citations Year
EM3 Journal of Clinical Oncology 18.97 26 2009
EM12 Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (USA) 9.77 5 2010
EM9 Cancer Research 8.23 24 2008 EM13 Cancer Research 8.23 0 2011
EM7 Oncogene 7.41 0 2011 EM10 Oncogene 7.41 18 2009
EM19, 20, 21 Breast Cancer Research 5.79 0 2011
EM11 International Journal of Cancer 4.93 19 2010 EM16 International Journal of Cancer 4.93 3 2010 EM17 International Journal of Cancer 4.93 5 2010
EM 4 British Journal of Cancer 4.83 0 2011 EM6 British Journal of Cancer 4.83 12 2009 EM18 British Journal of Cancer 4.83 24 2009
EM15 Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention 4.19 11 2005
EM14 Histopathology 3.57 3 2010 EM24 Histopathology 3.57 42 1999
EM22 Advances in Anatomic 3.3 4 2001 Pathology
EM8 Journal of Steroid Biochemistry & Molecular Biology 2.89 17 2006
EM1 Pathology 2.168 33 2005 EM 2 Pathology 2.168 1 2011
EM23 Pathology International 1.48 5 2007
EM5 Australasian Radiology (Journal of Medical Imaging & Radiation Oncology) 0.947 10 2006
EM25 Asia-Pacific Journal of Clinical Oncology 0.296 0 2007
84
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REVIEW
Gene expression profiling in breast cancer: towards individualising patient management
N. MURPHY*{,E.MILLAR{§ AND C. S. LEE{d *Sydney Breast Cancer Institute, Sydney Cancer Centre; and {Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital; {Division of Anatomical Pathology, St George Hospital, South Eastern Area Laboratory Services, and §University of New South Wales; and dDepartment of Pathology, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Summary has largely been attributed to the implementation of Breast cancer is a complex and clinically heterogeneous widespread mammography screening and advances in disease. The increase in knowledge of breast cancer biology adjuvant treatment of early-stage disease.2 has led to a number of clinical advances in the treatment of Breast cancer is a complex and heterogeneous disease, breast cancer, most notably the implementation of wide- encompassing a wide range of pathological entities and spread mammography screening and advances in adjuvant molecular profiles. The clinical behaviour and response of treatment of early-stage disease. In the last 20 years, arrays these tumours to treatment are equally disparate.3 of potential prognostic and/or predictive markers of breast Adjuvant hormonal therapy and polychemotherapy cancer have been analysed. However, relatively few have reduces the risk of both recurrence and death from breast proven to be clinically useful. To date, the only widely cancer; however, adjuvant therapy does have associated accepted markers for routine use in breast cancer are the risk. Defining a patient’s risk of developing metastatic oestrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and disease at diagnosis (prognostic assessment) is crucial for human epidermal growth factor receptor, HER-2 (c-erbB2/ clinicians in deciding which patients should receive neu). Expression microarray technology and laser capture expensive and toxic adjuvant therapy. Following this, the microdissection have now been employed to further our clinician must decide which combination of treatment is the understanding of the molecular pathogenesis of breast most suitable for each individual patient (predictive cancer. Recently reported advances in array technology assessment).4 and RNA amplification methods are having a considerable Axillary lymph node status, tumour size and grade, impact in this field, allowing the analysis of pre-malignant and patient age and lymphovascular invasion are among the pre-invasive lesions. A number of studies have identified prognostic indicators currently employed to predict an prognostic and predictive gene ‘signatures’, whose prediction individual’s risk of metastasis.5 Axillary nodal status is of disease outcome and response to treatment is superior to currently the best prognostic marker available; however, it conventional prognostic indicators. Despite major technolo- is an imperfect indicator. Approximately 25% of node- gical advances, a number of confounding issues remain negative patients harbour micrometastases and are destined concerning the potential clinical utility of gene expression to develop recurrence. Conversely, up to 50% of node- profiling, including differences in study design, patient positive patients will not experience recurrence even with- selection, array technology, chemistry, and methods of out adjuvant treatment and after many years of follow-up.6 analysis. It seems likely, however, that following careful Considering only a minority of node-negative patients will ‘hypothesis driven’ validation studies and clinical trials, develop a recurrence, there is a crucial need to identify expression profiling will be applied in the future to identify accurate prognostic markers that can identify patients with patient-specific disease profiles and provide rationale for extremely low risks of recurrence to avoid over-treatment individualised treatment. This review focuses on the current of these patients. use and future potential of microarray profiling in breast The ability to accurately select which particular adjuvant cancer. regimes are most likely to benefit individual patients remains a dilemma. Despite years of research, the only recommended Key words: Prognostic/predictive markers, gene expression profiling. predictive markers in breast cancer are the estrogen receptor Received 1 March, revised 2 May, accepted 9 May 2005 (ER) and the progesterone receptor (PR) for selecting endocrine-sensitive breast cancers7,8 and the human epider- mal growth factor receptor, HER-2 (c-erbB2/neu) for identifying breast cancer patients with metastatic disease INTRODUCTION who may benefit from trastuzumab.9 HER-2 also indi- Breast cancer is a major cause of cancer-related morbidity cates an enhanced sensitivity to high-dose anthracycline- and mortality among females worldwide and remains a based regimens, while high concentrations of HER-2 major global health burden.1 In recent years, mortality correlate with a lower probability of response to hormone from breast cancer in the Western world has declined. This therapy in both early and advanced breast cancer.8,10,11
ISSN 0031-3025 printed/ISSN 1465-3931 # 2005 Royal College of Pathologists of Australasia DOI: 10.1080/00313020500169586 272 MURPHY et al. Pathology (2005), 37(4), August
The use of these predictive markers is less then ideal, amplified and labelled with a fluorescent dye. The labelled however, and can result in the unnecessary application of RNA is then hybridised with the complementary nucleic treatment or the application of ineffective treatment. The acid probes on the chip. ability to accurately select patients who will benefit from Two methods of target labelling for microarray analysis particular adjuvant regimes would be a major advance in exist: single-colour and two-colour. Single-colour labelling the clinical management of breast cancer. is used for platforms such as Affymetrix’s GeneChips During the last 20 years, improved molecular and genetic (Affymetrix, USA) in which one RNA target is hybridised research has provided a greater understanding of the to each chip. In this approach, differentially expressed molecular events underlying normal breast development genes are detected by comparing the intensity of hybridisa- and the pathogenesis of breast cancer.12 Increasing knowl- tion signals between different chips. Two-colour labelling is edge of deregulated processes involved in tumour progres- used for platforms such as Agilent’s cDNA and oligonu- sion, including cell cycle regulation, angiogenesis and cleotide microarrays (Agilent, USA). In this approach, two apoptosis, have facilitated the identification of a number RNA targets are labelled with different dyes, for example of new ‘potential’ prognostic and/or predictive markers in cyanine-3 or cyanine-5. The targets are then combined and breast cancer.13 Despite the evaluation of hundreds of hybridised to the same microarray. After hybridisation and potential markers, relatively few have demonstrated real washing, the microarray is scanned in two wavelengths and clinical application. In recent years, major advances have the resulting data are combined to provide a red/green been made in the area of expression microarray technology. colour image in which differentially expressed genes will be Methods have been developed which allow the simulta- either green or red, and equally expressed genes will show neous examination of thousands of genes. Microarray gene up as yellow. Values for each gene are extracted as a ratio expression profiling is having an increasing impact in all of one colour to the other. Computer algorithms are then areas of breast cancer classification, prognosis and predic- employed to cluster specimens based on similarity of gene tion of response to therapy. Many believe expression expression pattern. microarray analysis might hold the future for patient- specific disease profiling and individualised treatment for breast cancer patients. This review aims to describe the PREDICTION OF PATIENT OUTCOME current use of DNA microarray-based profiling in breast cancer and its future potential in breast cancer prognos- A number of cDNA microarray expression platforms have tication and patient management. been used in recent studies examining their prognostic utility in breast cancers (Table 1). In a pioneering study by Perou et al., DNA microarray analysis was used to classify breast cancers according to EXPRESSION PROFILING IN BREAST CANCER gene expression profiles.14 This study demonstrated that by Individual breast tumours demonstrate multiple mutations employing an intrinsic gene set of 456 cDNAs, breast and epigenetic changes that influence the expression of tumours can be phenotypically classified into four major thousands of cancer driving genes. Considering this, it is subgroups based on their gene expression profiles: a not surprising that the analysis of one gene at a time is luminal epithelial/ER-positive group; a basal epithelial-like unlikely to demonstrate the same prognostic significance as group negative for ER expression; a HER-2-positive group; the simultaneous examination of thousands of genes. and a group exhibiting a ‘normal-like’ expression signa- cDNA microarray technology employs nucleic acid poly- ture.14 It was also demonstrated in a subsequent extension mers/probes immobilised on a solid surface such as a glass of this study15 that patients whose tumours were classified slide called a ‘chip’. Thousands of nucleic acid polymers as luminal epithelial/ER-positive could be divided into at each representing a specific gene can be spotted on a single least two subgroups, each with a distinctive expression chip. RNA is then extracted from the sample of interest, profile referred to as luminal A and B. This study showed
TABLE 1 Prognostic studies
Study Chip platform Specimen number (n) Tissue
Perou et al., 200014 Customised in-house array 40 breast carcinomas Fresh frozen 8102 cDNA clones 3 normal breast (Research Genetics, USA) Sorlie et al., 200115 Customised in-house array 78 breast carcinomas Fresh frozen 8102 cDNA clones 3 fibroadenomas (Research Genetics, USA) 4 normal breast (3/4 pooled normals) van’t Veer et al., 200216 Inkjet deposited Oligo Arrays 117 breast carcinomas Fresh frozen (Agilent Technologies, USA) van de Vijver et al., 200217 Inkjet deposited Oligo Arrays 295 breast carcinomas Fresh frozen (Agilent Technologies, USA) Piccart et al., 200420 Inkjet deposited Oligo Arrays 301 breast carcinomas Fresh frozen (Agilent Technologies, USA) Wang et al., 200521 U133A GeneChips Training set: Fresh frozen (Affymetrix Human, USA) 115 breast carcinomas Validation set: 171 breast carcinomas GENE EXPRESSION PROFILING IN BREAST CANCER 273 that the basal-like and HER-2-positive subtypes had a therapy, thereby preventing over-treatment in a consider- poorer prognosis, while the luminal-cell-like subtype was able number of patients. associated with a higher survival rate. It was also Importantly, comparison of the recent Wang et al., study demonstrated that ER expression was not a significant with previous tumour classification studies by van’t Veer et prognostic marker on its own and that there is a significant al. highlights a number of important and confounding difference in outcome for the two ER-positive groups.15 issues regarding the application of expression microarrays On the other hand, an alternative expression array in breast cancer classification. Both studies identified a platform16 identified a 70-gene ‘prognostic signature’ in a signature which could predict metastasis-free survival in cohort of 78 young breast cancer patients with axillary patients with lymph node-negative breast cancer. The most lymph node negative disease, that was found to comprise striking observation is the lack of overlap of genes in both genes involved in cell cycle regulation, invasion, angiogen- gene signature lists. An overlap of only three genes esis and metastasis development, and was indicative of was identified, namely cyclin E2, origin recognition poor prognosis. This prognostic signature correctly pre- complex (ORC) and the tumour necrosis factor (TNF) dicted disease outcome in 83% of patients, predicting poor superfamily protein. However, there was considerable outcome with a sensitivity of 85% and good outcome with a overlap in common gene pathways involved in tumour 16,21 sensitivity of 81%.17 This 70-gene prognostic signature was progression. validated on 295 patients with node-negative and node- Much of the disparity between gene signatures can be positive breast disease. All patients had Stage 1–2 tumours attributed to fundamental differences in patient selection, and were less than 53 years of age. The gene expression array technology and chemistry, and method of analysis. profile had a strong independent value on multivariate As stated, the Wang et al., study was carried out using the analysis and was more powerful then the St Gallen18 Affymetrix U133A arrays, while van’t Veer et al. used criteria and the National Institute of Health (NIH) Agilent arrays. Differences in microarray technology consensus criteria.19 Last year a multicentre external (including probe type, labelling and hybridisation chemis- validation study of the 70-gene signature was reported by tries) and the selection of genes on each array are likely to Piccart et al., on behalf of the TRANSBIG Consortium contribute to the lack of coherence observed between (TRANSBIG is an abbreviation for ‘translating molecular signature gene sets. Other confounding issues are likely to knowledge into early breast cancer management: building be patient selection criteria. The van’t Veer et al. study , on the Breast International Group network for improved selected patients 53 years of age who had not received treatment tailoring’). Tissue from 301 patients who were adjuvant therapy, whereas the Wang et al. study included followed for at least 10 years was examined. Again the 70- patients who had not received adjuvant therapy but gene profile signature was strongly prognostic, outperform- selection was irrespective of age, menopausal status and ing classic prognostic criteria including the St Gallen tumour size. Methods of data analysis are likely to be the most important confounding factor in expression analysis consensus panel. However, the magnitude of effect was 22 less than that previously reported.20 The European studies. Variation between these studies and others Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer indicate that in the future much larger validation studies such as the MINDACT study must be carried out before (EORTC) and the Breast International Group (BIG) are 23 now designing a large, prospective clinical trial to validate any consensus on predictive signatures can be reached. the utility of this assay in patients with newly diagnosed breast cancer, the ‘MINDACT’ (microarray in node negative disease may avoid chemotherapy) study. GENE PROFILES IN RESPONSIVENESS TO A gene expression-based algorithm, which provides TREATMENT: TAILORING TREATMENT FOR quantitative predictions on disease outcome in patients INDIVIDUAL PATIENTS with lymph node-negative breast cancer, together with gene Breast cancer adjuvant treatment can significantly decrease expression profiling using Affymetrix Human U133A risk of disease relapse and death. Currently, estrogen GeneChips, found a 76-gene signature comprising 60 genes receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) status are from ER-positive patients and 16 genes from ER-negative used to select patients with breast cancer likely to respond 21 patients. This gene signature was subsequently validated to hormone therapy. For over 25 years, the gold standard on a test set of 171 lymph node-negative patients and for the endocrine treatment of all stages of ER-positive showed a sensitivity of 93% and a specificity of 48%. When breast cancer has been tamoxifen. However, in the applied, this algorithm accurately identified patients at high advanced setting, approximately half of patients with ER- risk of distant tumour recurrence within 5 years. This gene positive breast tumours will not respond to endocrine signature could be applied to any lymph node-negative treatment.24 Therefore, additional markers are required patients independently of age, tumour size and grade and that could identify patients who will not respond and select ER status. In particular, this gene signature accurately patients for tailored treatment. predicted risk of recurrence in patients with tumours 10– Gene expression profiling has recently been used to 20 mm in size for whom prediction of risk is difficult. identify markers that could predict response to hormonal Importantly, the 76-gene algorithm recommended systema- and neoadjuvant therapy (Table 2). In one study, gene tic adjuvant therapy to only 52% of low-risk patients, expression profiling was performed on a cohort of compared with 90% and 89% by the St Gallen18 and NIH oestrogen receptor-positive primary breast carcinomas guidelines.19 The ability of this algorithm to predict from patients with advanced disease and clearly defined favourable outcome in patients may provide a valuable types of response to tamoxifen treatment. Response was tool to identify patients who do not require adjuvant assessed based on the effect of treatment on tumour size 274 MURPHY et al. Pathology (2005), 37(4), August
TABLE 2 Predictive studies
Study Chip platform Specimen number (n) Tissue
Chang et al., 200325 HgU95-Av2 GeneChips 24 breast carcinomas Fresh frozen (Affymetrix, USA) (biopsied before neoadjuvant docetaxel treatment) (core biopsy samples) Chang et al., 200526 HgU95-Av2 GeneChips 24 breast carcinomas Fresh frozen (Affymetrix, USA) (biopsied before and after neoadjuvant docetaxel treatment) (core biopsy samples) LCM Ayers et al., 200427 30, 721 cDNA clones Training set: Fine needle aspiration (Millennium Pharmaceuticals, USA) 24 breast carcinomas Snap frozen/RNAlater Validation set: 18 breast carcinomas (samples taken before and after T/FAC neoadjuvant therapy) Jansen et al., 200524 Customized in-house array Training set: Fresh frozen 19,200 cDNA clones 46 breast carcinomas (Research Genetics, USA) Validation set: 66 breast carcinomas
LCM, laser capture microdissection. and time until tumour progression (progression-free gene expression profiling of cellular material collected by survival [PFS]). A training set of 81 differentially expressed fine needle aspiration prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy genes was identified. These genes were involved in may identify those women least likely to achieve oestrogen action, immune response, apoptosis and extra- complete pathological response to T/FAC neoadjuvant cellular matrix formation. From the 81 genes, a predictive chemotherapy.27 set of 44 genes was then selected and validated. This While these findings may have a significant impact in predictive signature allowed discrimination between breast future selection of breast cancer patients for both cancer patients with progressive disease and objective neoadjuvant chemotherapy and tamoxifen therapy, further response to tamoxifen.24 validation studies will be required in the future before these Docetaxel is one of the most effective drugs available in gene signatures will become sufficiently validated for the treatment of breast cancer; however, nearly half of the patient management. treated patients do not respond and suffer from a range of side effects. Recently, gene profiling of core biopsies of breast cancer has been successfully employed to accurately UNDERSTANDING THE PATHOGENESIS OF 25 predict response to neoadjuvant docetaxel. Differential HEREDITARY BREAST CANCER patterns of expression of 92 genes were shown to correlate Germline mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 account for 5– with docetaxel response. Responsive tumours had higher 10% of all sporadic breast cancers. Women carrying germ- expression of genes involved in cell cycle, cytoskeleton, line mutations in one BRCA1 or BRCA2 allele have an adhesion, protein transport, protein modification, tran- extremely high lifetime risk of developing breast cancer. A scription and apoptosis. Resistant tumours showed number of studies have utilised expression microarray increased expression of a number of genes involved in analysis to study inherited breast cancer. In agreement with transcription and signal transduction. The 92 ‘predictor’ accumulating histological and historical evidence, expres- gene set had positive and negative predictive values of 92% sion array analysis revealed that tumours arising from and 83%, respectively. A subsequent study26 examined core mutations in either BRCA1 or BRCA2 are biologically biopsies taken prior to neoadjuvant docetaxel and surgical distinct. BRCA1 breast cancers were typically negative for specimens obtained at 3 months following neoadjuvant ER and PR expression while BRCA2 breast tumours were chemotherapy (four cycles, 100 mg/m2 daily for 3 weeks). likely to express both receptors.28 In addition, sporadic This study again found that the initial core biopsies showed differential expression patterns of the 92-gene set, correlat- breast cancers are similarly biologically distinct from ing with response to docetaxel. Importantly, the expression tumours arising from mutations in either BRCA1 or profiles of the residual tumours after 3 months of docetaxel BRCA2. Even after removal of ER/PR-related genes as a treatment were strikingly similar and independent of initial potential confounding issue from analysis, the gene expression profiles of the two inherited tumour groups sensitivity or resistance, suggesting selection of a resistant 29 subpopulation of cells. Notably, resistance to docetaxel was are discernible. Studies in this area to date have been associated with the expression of genes involved in G2M limited, particularly with respect to specimen number. phase cell cycle arrest and survival pathways involving the Future work in this area will significantly increase our mammalian target of rapamycin. These genes may prove to understanding of underlying pathogenesis of inherited be useful therapeutic targets.26 breast cancer. In a separate neoadjuvant study, expression analysis was employed to develop a multigene predictor gene set of response to paclitaxel, fluorouracil, doxorubicin and UNRAVELLING THE MOLECULAR EVOLUTION cyclophosphamide (T/FAC) neoadjuvant therapy. A 75- OF BREAST CANCER gene predictor set was identified that demonstrated a Traditionally, the development of breast cancer was viewed predictive accuracy of 78%. This study demonstrates that as a multistep process involving progressive changes from GENE EXPRESSION PROFILING IN BREAST CANCER 275 normal to atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH), carcinoma isolated from the same specimen, suggesting that the three in situ (DCIS), invasive carcinoma (IDC) and eventually distinct stages of breast cancer are highly similar to each culminating in metastatic disease.30 In the last 15 years, other at the transcriptome level.37 However, there were immunohistochemistry and molecular genetics have chan- distinct gene expression differences between high-grade and ged the way the breast cancer multistep model is perceived. low-grade tumours. Expression profiles of Grade 2 Breast cancer progression is no longer viewed as a single tumours were mixed, showing either low-grade or high- pathway but rather a complex series of genetic events grade gene expression changes. These findings corroborate leading to distinct and divergent pathways culminating in previous studies, which suggest that well-differentiated invasive cancer.3 The molecular mechanisms involved in DCIS progresses to well-differentiated IDC, and poorly this process are still not completely defined. Gene expres- differentiated DCIS progresses to poorly differentiated sion analysis is being applied to help unravel the complex IDC.38,39 In addition, expression of a small subset of genes interplay of genes and pathways involved in breast cancer involved in cellular proliferation and cell cycle regulation progression. In the past, expression profiling of precursor correlated with advanced tumour grade and with the lesions was hampered by a number of technical factors transition from DCIS to IDC, suggesting a link between including difficulty in sampling pure populations, lack of tumour stage and tumour grade. When ADH was frozen material and the inability to extract sufficient compared with patient-matched normal epithelium, a quantities of high quality RNA from in vivo samples. significant global change in gene expression was observed. However, the ability of laser-capture microdissection These alterations are maintained in the later stages of DCIS (LCM) techniques to sample pure cell populations and and IDC. Together these data suggest a clonal relationship advances in microarray technologies has enabled research between the distinct pathological entities of breast cancer in this area to advance considerably. Standard microarray and that the expression profile of early stage disease may protocols require 5–10 mg of total RNA as starting material predict the clinical behaviour of later stages of disease. In to allow accurate detection and quantitation of relative the future, expression profiles of other benign proliferative RNA expression levels. In vivo samples, and in particular breast lesions such as adenosis, papillomas and tubular LCM samples, typically generate only nanogram (ng) adenomas may shed further light on the underlying genetics quantities of RNA. As such, it is necessary to amplify of breast cell changes. RNA to obtain sufficient quantities for expression profil- ing. Until recently, it was generally perceived that additional amplification steps resulted in both a 39 bias CLINICAL IMPACT OF EXPRESSION PROFILING and poor reproducibility for low abundance transcripts. AND FUTURE PERSPECTIVES However, more recently, technical advances in RNA The use of gene expression profiling in breast cancer amplification methods and array technologies have become prognostication and prediction has not yet reached the available. An increasing number of studies demonstrate stage where it can be implemented clinically. An array of that reliable and reproducible gene expression measure- confounding issues remains, including differences in patient ments can be obtained from amplified mRNA.31–34 selection, array technology and chemistry, and methods of One of the first studies in this area compared gene analysis. Validation of new makers must be performed in expression within a cohort of DCIS cases with and without the context of prospective clinical trials in which the necrosis.35 A set of 69 genes was identified that were prognostic or predictive questions can be answered. It is consistently differentially expressed. It was found that hoped that large-scale multicentre trials such as the DCIS with necrosis could be distinguished from DCIS MINDACT study will help to reconcile many of these issues. without necrosis by the pattern of gene expression, and that A major difficulty in gene expression profiling studies has up-regulation of angio-associated migratory cell protein been the necessity for fresh frozen material. In addition, the (AAMP), a gene associated with angiogenesis and tumour current expense and degree of expertise necessary to carry out progression, was also associated with high nuclear grade expression array profiling precludes its use in a routine morphology and necrosis in DCIS. clinical setting. However, recent technical advances promise A more recent study that analysed gene expression to address some of these issues. profiles of DCIS and IDC cases employed laser capture Until recently, gene expression array profiling required microdissection to yield 98–99% pure populations of breast frozen tissue. In the majority of studies, tissue was obtained cancer cells.36 Microarray analysis and subsequent unsu- from small tissue banks where tissue collection took place pervised hierarchical clustering distinguished two distinct without regard to planned patient treatment and other groups mainly in terms of ER status. A set of 325 genes was confounding issues. It was believed that expression profil- found to be differentially expressed in DCIS and IDC and ing of degraded nucleic acids extracted from formalin these genes might play important roles in malignant fixation and paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tissue samples transformation of breast ductal cells. In addition, it was would be impossible. However, Affymetrix in conjunction found that there was a subset of genes whose expression with Arcturus reagents (Arcturus, USA) have recently was altered in IDC but not in DCIS. Furthermore, there released the Gene ChipXP3 that enables extraction and was another set of 34 genes that was differentially expressed amplification of RNA from FFPE samples. This array in tumours from patients with lymph node metastasis as contains probe sets selected from the 300 bases at the most opposed to those without metastases.36 39 prime end of transcripts, thus maximising detection of A study that employed laser capture microdissection to shorter degraded RNAs extracted from FFPE material. sample pure epithelial cell populations from normal breast The ability to carry out accurate and reproducible lobules, ADH, DCIS and IDC found no consistent major molecular analysis of archival tissue combined with long- transcriptional differences between ADH, DCIS and IDC term clinical follow-up could provide breast cancer 276 MURPHY et al. Pathology (2005), 37(4), August researchers with a tremendous and previously inaccessible trial that will be performed by the Breast Intergroup resource. In particular, the ability to analyse FFPE tissue (TBIG) of North America. from completed and ongoing clinical trials will provide an A similar study involved the reduction of a complex unrivalled opportunity to validate previous findings and to microarray signature to a two-gene expression ratio, which ask important ‘hypothesis’ driven questions regarding can be detected in FFPE material using quantitative RT- patient outcome and response to treatment. PCR. The expression ratio of these two genes, namely the Tissue microarrays (TMAs) are composed of hundreds homeobox gene (HOXB13) and the interleukin 17B of tissue specimens from multiple patients on a single receptor (IL17BR), accurately predicts tumour recurrence microscope slide.40 TMAs represent a major advancement in tamoxifen-treated patients with early stage ER-positive in molecular pathology over traditional methods, as they breast cancer.44 Before RT-PCR ‘predictor’ assays such as provide a high throughput method to rapidly examine these can become routine, a number of technical considera- molecular targets in hundreds and potentially thousands of tions must be addressed. Issues regarding the routine use of tissue specimens. TMAs are increasingly being employed in RT-PCR in FFPE blocks, such as fixation and storage of the area of breast cancer research to examine the expression blocks, must be resolved. However, in the future, quanti- of novel prognostic/predictive makers.41 Like conventional tative RT-PCR may provide a robust, high throughput and FFPE material, tissue microarrays are amenable to a wide economical method of gene expression profiling which is range of techniques including histochemical stains, immu- amenable to routine clinical use. nological stains with either chromogenic or fluorescent visualisation, in situ hybridisation (including both mRNA ISH and FISH), and tissue microdissection techniques. The CONCLUSION analysis of archival material from large-scale clinical and research trials using TMAs, combined with long-term The advent of reliable and reproducible expression profil- clinical follow-up, is allowing the rapid validation of ing technology is having an increasing impact on our markers originally identified through gene expression understanding of breast cancer biology. Laser-capture profiling. microdissection techniques combined with reliable RNA Real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reac- amplification methods now enable researchers to accurately tion (RT-PCR) assays have been developed which allow the and reproducibly examine small cell populations such as simultaneous analysis of several hundred genes. those in ADH and DCIS. In addition, the potential to carry Importantly, these assays can examine gene expression out gene expression profiling on FFPE tissues is a using limited amounts of RNA extracted from FFPE significant technological leap forward. Expression profiling sections. RT-PCR is a high throughput method which can of archival material combined with long-term clinical be employed to validate ‘expression signatures’, originally follow-up will be a tremendous research resource. identified through expression microarrays analysis. Using Considering the complexity and clinical heterogeneity of this technique, Paik et al. have developed a 21-gene RT- breast cancer, it seems inevitable that single gene markers PCR assay (Oncotype DX assay; Genomic Health, USA), will be replaced with gene profiling ‘signatures’. However, which can quantify the likelihood of distant recurrence in before expression profiling can be implemented clinically, a tamoxifen-treated patients with node-negative, ER-positive number of issues must be resolved. As discussed, the breast cancer. An initial set of 250 candidate genes was selection of ‘gene signatures’ depends on a constellation of identified from published literature, genomic databases, confounding factors such as microarray technology and and in-house gene profiling experiments performed on chemistry, patient selection criteria and methods of data frozen tissue. The relationship between quantitative expres- analysis. As such, the importance of experimental design sion of these 250 candidate genes and breast cancer cannot be overstressed. Large-scale clinical validation recurrence was then accessed on archival material obtained studies must be carried out before a consensus on from three independent clinical studies on breast cancer ‘predictive gene’ signatures and the future role of expres- including the B20 National Surgical Adjuvant Bowel and sion profiling in clinical breast cancer decision-making can Breast Project (NSABP) trial, in which node-negative be reached. patients with ER-positive tumours were randomly assigned ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The authors would like to to tamoxifen alone or with CMF chemotherapy. The sincerely thank the Sydney Breast Cancer Foundation for tamoxifen alone cohort was included in the initial evalua- its generous support and Drs Anne Hamilton, Sue tion. From these data a panel of 16 cancer-related genes Pendlebury, Andrew Spillane and Hugh Camalt for and five reference genes were selected to develop a critically reviewing the manuscript. recurrence algorithm which can estimate the odds of recurrence over 10 years from diagnosis. Following this, Address for correspondence: Dr N. Murphy, Department of Anatomical Pathology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Missenden Road, Camperdown, archival tissue samples were examined from the NSABP NSW 2050, Australia. E-mail: [email protected] B14 trial, in which patients with node-negative, ER-positive breast cancer were randomly assigned to tamoxifen versus placebo. Again, it was demonstrated that the 21-gene profile is predictive for benefit from tamoxifen.42 An References additional study utilising chemotherapy-treated patients 1. Jemal A, Thomas A, Murray T, et al. Cancer Statistics. CA from the B20 cohort demonstrated that the 21-gene assay is Cancer J Clin 2002; 52: 23. 43 2. 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Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2001; 98: 10869–74. ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast. Clin Cancer Res 2002; 12: 16. van’t Veer LJ, Dai H, van de Vijver MJ, et al. Gene expressing 3788–95. profiling predicts clinical outcome of breast cancer. Nature 2002; 415: 36. Seth A, Kitching R, Landberg G, et al. Gene expression profiling of 530–6. ductal carcinomas in situ and invasive breast tumours. Anticancer Res 17. van de Vijver MJ, He YD, van’t Veer LJ, et al. A gene-expression 2003; 23: 2043–51. signature as a predictor of survival in breast cancer. N Engl J Med 37. Ma XJ, Salunga R, Tuggle JT, et al. Gene expression profiles of human 2002; 25: 1999–2009. breast cancer progression. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2003; 100: 5974–9. 18. Goldhirsch A, Wood WC, Gelber RD, et al. Meeting highlights: 38. Porter DA, Krop IE, Nasser S, et al. A SAGE (serial analysis of gene updated international expert consensus on the primary therapy of early expression) view of breast tumor progression. Cancer Res 2001; 61: breast cancer. J Clin Oncol 2003; 21: 3357–65. 5697–702. 19. Eifel P, Axelson JA, Costa J, et al. National Institutes of Health 39. Warnberg F, Nordgren H, Bergkvist L, et al. Tumour markers in Consensus Development Conference Statement: adjuvant therapy for breast carcinoma correlate with grade rather than with invasiveness. breast cancer, November 1–3, 2000. J Natl Cancer Inst 2001; 93: Br J Cancer 2001; 85: 869–74. 979–89. 40. Kononen J, Kallioniemi A, Barlund M, et al. Tissue microarrays for 20. Piccart MJ, Loi S, van’t Veer LJ, et al. Multi-centre external validation high-throughput molecular profiling of tumor specimens. Nat Med study of the Amsterdam 70-gene prognostic signature in node negative 1998; 4: 844–7. untreated breast cancer: are resuts still outperforming the clinical 41. Kumar B, Venter DJ, Armes JE, et al. Tissue microarrays: a practical pathological criteria? Breast Cancer Res Treat 2004; 88: 17 (Abstr 38). guide. Pathology 2004; 37: 295–300. 21. Wang Y, Klijn JG, Zhang Y, et al. Gene-expression profiles to predict 42. Paik S, Shak S, Tang G. A multigene assay to predict recurrence of distant metastasis of lymph-node-negative primary breast cancer. tamoxifen-treated, node-negative breast cancer. N Engl J Med 2004; Lancet 2005; 365: 671–9. 351: 2817–26. 22. Eifel P, Axelson JA, Costa J, et al. Outcome signature genes in breast 43. Paik S, Shak S, Tang G, et al. Expression of 21 genes in the recurrence cancer: is there a unique set? Bioinformatics 2005; 21: 171–8. score assay and prediction of clinical benefit from tamoxifen in NSABP 23. Jenssen TK, Hovig E. Gene-expression profiling in breast cancer. study B-14 and chemotherapy in NSABP B-20. Breast Cancer Res Lancet 2005; 365: 634–5. Treat 2004; 88: 15 (Abstr 24). 24. Jansen MP, Foekens JA, van Staveren IL, et al. Molecular classifica- 44. Ma XJ, Wang Z, Ryan PD, et al. A two-gene expression ratio predicts tion of tamoxifen-resistant breast carcinomas by gene expression clinical outcome in breast cancer patients treated with tamoxifen. profiling. Clin Oncol 2005; 23: 732–40. Cancer Cell 2004; 6: 607–16. Pathology (February 2011) 43(2), pp. 116–127
INVITED REVIEW
Molecular assays in breast cancer pathology
SANDRA A. O’TOOLE*z§jj,CHRISTINA I. SELINGER*, EWAN K. A. MILLARzô**{{, TRINA LUM* AND JANE M. BEITH{z§**
*Department of Tissue Pathology and Diagnostic Oncology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, {Department of Medical Oncology, Sydney Cancer Centre, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, zGarvan Institute of Medical Research, Darlinghurst, §Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney, jjSt Vincent’s Clinical School, ôFaculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Randwick, **Department of Anatomical Pathology, South Eastern Area Laboratory Service, St George Hospital, Kogarah, and {{School of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Western Sydney, Campbelltown, New South Wales, Australia
Summary It has been known for some time that breast cancer is a Recent advances in understanding the molecular pathology heterogeneous disease, first recognised many years ago with the 3 of breast cancer offer significant potential to identify discovery of hormone receptor positive breast cancer and later 4,5 patients who may benefit from adjuvant therapies. To date, HER2 amplified disease. More recently, gene expression few of these advances are utilised in a routine setting. We microarray (GEM) studies have refined our understanding that review molecular assays that are currently in use or are in based on the genetic profile of a breast cancer, the biology and 6 the advanced stages of development, which may be used clinical behaviour varies significantly. Although molecular as predictive or prognostic biomarkers in breast cancer. biology techniques have significant potential to improve the The only widely used breast cancer molecular assay is selection of optimal breast cancer therapy for individuals, only in situ hybridisation (ISH) for human epidermal growth one molecular biomarker, human epidermal growth factor factor receptor 2 (HER2) gene amplification and we highlight receptor 2 (HER2) gene amplification, is in routine use. The key issues with the interpretation of this assay, with particu- aim of this review is to highlight recent developments and lar attention to the difficulties of the equivocal category. controversies in HER2 molecular testing and to discuss the New molecular assays such as ISH for the topoisomerase most promising molecular markers in breast cancer pathology II alpha (TOP2A) gene and for the aberrations in the that are currently in practice or closest to introduction in a copy number of the centromeric region of chromosome routine setting, specifically topoisomerase II alpha (TOP2A), 17 are readily performed in a standard histopathology labora- and two multigene assays: Oncotype DX and Mammaprint. tory, but to date there are insufficient data to support their These assays will also be compared to routine immunohisto- routine use. We also review the current data on two commer- chemical markers for their predictive potential. cially available multigene expression assays, Oncotype DX and MammaPrint and discuss their potential use. CURRENT ISSUES IN TESTING FOR HER2 Overall, while new molecular assays have significant GENE AMPLIFICATION potential to improve patient selection for therapy, well-per- The HER2 gene is located on 17q12–q21 and encodes a 185 formed histopathology with reliable interpretation of stan- kDa protein that is part of the epidermal growth factor family. dard hormone and HER2 assays provides the most The HER2 protein is a transmembrane tyrosine kinase receptor important predictive and prognostic information in early that forms either homodimers or heterodimers with other breast cancer. members of the HER family (EGFR, HER3 and HER4). Activation of HER2 results in activation of the RAS-MAPK Key words: Breast cancer, molecular assays, prognostic biomarkers, in situ pathway stimulating cell proliferation, while interaction with hybridisation, HER2, TOP2A, chromosome 17, Oncotype DX, MammaPrint. the phosphatidylinositol 3’-kinase (PI3K) pathway inhibits cell death (reviewed by Barros et al.7). The net effect of this is Received 7 November, revised 24 November, accepted 24 November 2010 promotion of an aggressive tumour phenotype, reflected in the association of HER2 amplification with larger, higher grade INTRODUCTION tumours and a poor outcome.8 There have been significant improvements in outcome from HER2 gene amplification can be detected using in situ breast cancer over the past two decades1 due to earlier diagnosis hybridisation (ISH) relying on the hybridisation of a comp- and the use of targeted therapies, especially hormonal therapy lementary labelled DNA probe to the HER2 gene as shown in for oestrogen receptor expressing breast cancer.2 Despite these Fig. 1. Reports of the incidence of HER2 gene amplification advances, there are still women with breast cancer who have a vary widely, with earlier studies suggesting as many as 30% of poor outcome and a key research and clinical question is how to breast cancers were HER2 amplified.4,5 More recent studies select the right treatment for the right patient. This requires the suggest that around 15% of newly diagnosed invasive breast use of biomarkers, candidate genes in a breast cancer patient cancers are HER2 positive, although higher grade and node that can predict outcome (prognostic biomarkers) or response to positive tumours which are more likely to receive adjuvant therapy (predictive biomarkers). chemotherapy have a higher incidence of HER2 positivity of
Print ISSN 0031-3025/Online ISSN 1465-3931 # 2011 Royal College of Pathologists of Australasia DOI: 10.1097/PAT.0b013e3283430926
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need to accurately identify those patients who may benefit from these targeted therapies. There are a number of modalities to assess HER2 status. One of the first techniques used to assess HER2 status was immu- G T A nohistochemistry (IHC); early trastuzumab metastatic breast C A A GGT þ þ C T C C cancer trials enrolled patients with 2 or 3 expression of Her2 protein. Subsequent retrospective analyses showed that only Her2 patients with 3þ IHC or gene amplification by FISH bene- fited.18–21 Subsequently, a common approach has been to triage C A T patient eligibility for trastuzumab via IHC; those with no or C G C G weak staining are termed negative and no further testing is 21 þ G performed. Her2 protein positive patients (3 uniform strong Chr 17 C G C membranous staining in >30% of tumour cells) may receive C G trastuzumab in many studies, while patients with equivocal staining on IHC (2þ) are referred for FISH testing. This approach is endorsed by the most recent American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)/College of American Pathol- Fig. 1 Fluorescent in situ hybridisation (FISH). Within the cell the HER2 ogists (CAP) guidelines on HER2 ISH testing, as shown in fluorescent DNA probe (red) hybridises to the HER2 gene and the chromosome Table 1 with representative examples shown in Fig. 2. Briefly, a 17 centromeric enumeration DNA probe (CEP17, green) hybridises with FISH result of more than six HER2 copies per nucleus or a ratio chromosome 17 DNA. of the number of copies of HER2 to the centromeric probe for chromosome 17 (CEP17) of >2.2 is reported as a positive, amplified result (Fig. 2A). Cases with a mean HER2 copy number per nucleus of <4 or a HER2/CEP17 ratio of <1.8 are around 25%.9 Our own figures from Royal Prince Alfred negative, and cases with copy number between 4 and 6 or a ratio Hospital’s recently commenced HER2 ISH testing programme of 1.8–2.2 are considered equivocal (Fig. 2B) and require show around 17% of 325 early invasive breast cancers are further investigation to determine their status. amplified, while St George Hospital has reported a very similar In Australia, Pharmaceutical Benefit Scheme (PBS) funded proportion of HER2 amplified cases of 16.2% in 1708 patients use of trastuzumab requires confirmation of gene amplification tested to date (unpublished data). Farshid et al. reported an via ISH. This testing of all early breast cancers is supported overall mean of 15.42% for newly diagnosed breast cancers through the Roche Australian ISH Testing Program for Breast across the 20 Australian ISH testing centres in 2009.10 Cancer. All breast cancers irrelevant of their IHC status may be HER2 targeted treatments are making an impact in this tested through this program. This approach ensures that only otherwise poor prognosis breast cancer. The first HER2 specific patients with HER2 gene amplification are eligible to receive therapy was a monoclonal antibody, trastuzumab, directed HER2 targeted therapy. Initially FISH was the only modality against the juxtamembrane portion of the extracellular domain used for this, but newer bright field modalities of ISH are now of the HER2 receptor.11 A number of trials suggest that being widely employed. The two most utilised bright field trastuzumab improved the disease free survival (DFS) and techniques are chromogenic in situ hybridisation (CISH) and overall survival (OS) of women with early stage HER2 positive silver in situ hybridisation (SISH).22 While these new tech- breast cancers by as much as 50%.12–14 A recent meta-analysis niques are not specifically addressed in the ASCO guidelines, of randomised control trials of trastuzumab in early breast they state that any new assay should show >95% concordance cancer has confirmed a highly significant reduction in breast with an established assay and several studies have confirmed cancer deaths, recurrence and metastasis (all p < 0.00001).15 the utility and accuracy of these techniques.22–25 Advantages of Trastuzumab also improves survival in metastatic breast can- these techniques are the durability of the signal which does not cer, with a recent study showing a 44% reduction in the risk of fade appreciably with time and the ability to be interpreted with death compared to non-HER2 metastatic breast cancer.16 More a standard light microscope with easier interpretation of tissue recently, a dual tyrosine kinase small molecule inhibitor (with morphology rather than requiring an expensive fluorescence activity against EGFR and HER2) lapatinib is also proving to microscope. SISH is an automated system (Ventana, Roche be an effective therapy in metastatic breast cancer in combi- Diagnostics, USA), while CISH is a two day manual procedure nation with capecitabine,17 with a 51% reduction in the risk of utilising a kit (SPotLight; Invitrogen, USA). Disadvantages of disease progression. Taken together, these data emphasise the these bright field methods, in our experience, are a lower
Table 1 Interpretation of HER2 ISH testing in breast cancer from ASCO/CAP guidelines on HER2 testing21
Result Single probe (e.g., CISH or SISH) Dual probe (e.g., FISH or C/SISH with CEP17 probe)
Negative Mean HER2 copy number <4 signals per tumour cell nucleus HER2/ CEP17 ratio <1.8 Positive Mean HER2 copy number >6 signals per tumour cell nucleus HER2/ CEP17 ratio >2.2 Equivocal Mean HER2 copy number 4–6 signals per tumour cell nucleus HER2/CEP17 ratio 1.8–2.2
ASCO/CAP, American Society of Clinical Oncology/College of American Pathologists; CISH, chromogenic in situ hybridisation; FISH, fluorescence in situ hybridisation; SISH, silver in situ hybridisation.
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Fig. 2 (A) Fluorescent in situ hybridisation example of HER2 amplification and (B) an example of equivocal HER2 copy number. (C) A case with clonal amplification (red circle, region of HER2 amplification; blue circle, region of diploid Her2 copy number) by Her2 immunohistochemistry and (D) HER2 chromogenic in situ hybridisation. (E) Chromogenic in situ hybridisation showing topoisomerase II alpha amplification and (F) chromosome 17 ‘polysomy’.
sensitivity compared to FISH and reduced efficacy on sub- might be to select another tumour block if available for testing. optimally fixed tissues or those that have undergone decalci- The ASCO/CAP guidelines suggest that in such ISH equivocal fication (e.g., biopsy of a bony metastatic site). At Royal cases, consideration of the IHC result may help resolve this Prince Alfred and St George Hospitals, New South Wales, dilemma.21 Australia, we have also found that the CISH signal tends to However, Dowsett and colleagues27 report that even in be weaker in archival blocks of an age >5years.Theyare experienced laboratories, borderline FISH cases can be difficult generally used as single probe tests for HER2; those cases that to interpret.27 Twenty breast cancer cases were FISH tested by have <4 (negative) or those with >6 (positive) copies of five large reference laboratories in this concordance study HER2 per nucleus require no further testing. Cases in the which reported HER2/CEP17 ratios in the range of 1.7 (i.e., equivocal range (between 4 and 6 copies of HER2 per negative) to 2.3 (i.e., positive), with an overall discordance rate nucleus) require a second probe applied to a parallel section of 20%. There is a deficiency in the literature regarding the fromthesametissueareaforCEP17,whichenablescalcu- clinical significance of cases that fall in the equivocal range and lation of a HER2/CEP17 ratio. As for FISH, cases with a ratio further studies are required to clarify this issue.21 of >2.2 are positive and <1.8 are negative. Around 2% of The use of a chromosome 17 centromeric probe may also cases fall within the equivocal range (1.8–2.2 copies)26 and contribute to the difficulties involved in assessing equivocal are usually subject to FISH.21 cases. Chromosome 17 polysomy has been reported to occur in There is also some debate about the utility and clinical around 2–9% of breast cancers.26 However, recent studies significance of the equivocal category of HER2/CEP17 1.8– based on comparative genomic hybridisation (CGH) arrays, 2.2.19 Some argue that it is unnecessary and creates diagnostic which assess the copy number of multiple genes along the and therapeutic dilemmas.26 Instead, in cases with a HER2/ entire chromosome suggest that some cases of so called CEP17 ratio in the ‘equivocal’ range, the authors argue that an chromosome 17 ‘polysomy’ are not true increases in the additional 20 nuclei should be scored by the primary scorer number of copies of the whole chromosome 17, but in fact while a second independent scorer counts a minimum of 40 reflect co-amplification of the centromeric region.28 This could nuclei. When these two ratios are in agreement, this result is result in cases where HER2 is truly amplified, but because reported. If there is no agreement, the entire assay should be there is co-amplification of the centromeric region reflected in repeated and the specimen rescored.26 An alternative approach an increased chromosome 17 probe count, the ratio may
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incorrectly be reported at <2,29 not reflecting the true amplified While there are well recognised problems with HER2 IHC, status of the tumour.30 the technique is still valuable in assessing HER2 status of breast Bartlett and colleagues conversely argue that cases where cancers. We find it useful as an additional internal quality chromosome 17 is not used may falsely underestimate the control measure. It is reassuring that 3þ IHC cases are in the incidence of HER2 amplification.31 They comment that due large majority (>80%) amplified, and if the ISH signal is weak to nuclear transection in thin cut sections and incomplete in a 3þ IHC, CISH negative case, we will often repeat the assay hybridisation of DNA probes, the observed mean chromosomal with increased pretreatment or go on to perform FISH to ensure copy number in reality falls significantly below the theoretical we are not missing an amplified case due to technical problems. threshold of 2 copies per cell. A previous study in normal breast IHC is also very valuable for detecting heterogeneity of HER2 by this group identified a range for disomy of chromosome 17 amplification. While this phenomenon is not widely recognised of 1.3–1.85 copies per nucleus, arguing that polysomy is better Morey et al. report that this occurs in around 0.4% (33/9035) of defined as >1.85 copies per nucleus.32 One consequence diagnostic HER2 ISH cases.35 This clonality is reflected by the of these calculations is that theoretically a tumour with a immunohistochemistry and is easier to detect as it is readily HER2 copy number of 3 and monosomy for chromosome 17 apparent at low power, in comparison to ISH where the signal is (<1.3 copies) would have a ratio of >2 and be amplified. Using only easily seen at high power magnification, increasing the dual colour FISH for HER2 and chromosome 17, they assessed risk of missing a small amplified clone (an example of a 1711 cases of breast cancer for HER2, including 593 cases with ‘clonal’ case is shown in Fig. 2C,D). Many of their reported 2þ Her2 IHC enriching for this borderline group. The authors cases showed background polysomy and a merging of ampli- found that using a dual probe (HER2 and chromosome 17), fied and non-amplified components. The majority also showed theoretically 16.4% of cases with a HER2 copy number of 3–4 a mixture of amplified and non-amplified DCIS.35 Interest- were amplified for HER2. They also observed that 3.28% of ingly, although forming a small minority of a largely non- cases with an observed HER2 copy number of between 2 and 3 amplified tumour, the nodal metastasis contained amplified were also ‘amplified’. Therefore, the authors argue that chrom- tumour cells. This issue of heterogeneity also reinforces the some 17 signal should be assessed in all breast cancer cases caution that is needed when interpreting HER2 assays (whether with a HER2 copy number of >2 and that the current guidelines IHC or ISH) on core biopsies. result in underdiagnosis of HER2 ‘amplification’. However, A critical issue for HER2 testing, whichever method is whether these technically amplified cases represent true ampli- selected, is the need for strict quality control and quality fication in terms of their biology and response to trastuzumab assurance of HER2 testing, with >95% concordance with was not determined by this study, and it is clear that such another validated test. A recent study from the North Central technically amplified ratios are mostly generated through loss Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) Intergroup trial N9831, a of chromosome 17. Further study is required to determine the randomised phase III clinical trial evaluating trastuzumab as outcome and response to treatment of this group of ‘techni- adjuvant therapy for patients with HER2 positive early breast cally’ amplified low HER2 copy number cancers. Recent cancer, has highlighted the need for regulated testing. A advice from the CAP Quality Assurance Program (QAP; preliminary protocol specific review of the first 119 patients ISH-A Participant Summary 2010) suggests caution in classi- showed only 67% of samples classified as HER2 positive by fying any case as HER2 ‘amplified’ if the mean HER2 count is FISH performed by the local laboratory were confirmed as <4 and CEP17 is monosomic (regardless of the ratio). FISH HER2 amplified at the central laboratory. Criteria for the The Australian approach of requiring ISH confirmation of trial were subsequently altered to require central re-testing for HER2 gene amplification has been supported by a recent HER2 and concordance was only 88.1% for FISH and 81.6% review addressing issues raised by the 2007 ASCO/CAP for immunohistochemistry. Interestingly, most of the local- HER2 testing guidelines,26 in which the authors argue strongly central discordant cases were re-tested at a reference labora- for primary FISH testing of breast cancers. Immunohistochem- tory, and there was good concordance between the central and istry for HER2 has a number of well recognised problems; the reference laboratory (95.2%), within the suggested ASCO/CAP assay is significantly affected by tissue fixation, edge and crush guidelines. These data emphasise that HER2 testing is best artefacts which are a particular problem in core biopsies, and performed in relatively high volume laboratories. there is no internal positive control. Although FISH may be While HER2 is best recognised as a predictive marker for affected by fixation, DNA in formalin fixed, paraffin embedded response to trastuzumab therapy, there is accumulating evi- (FFPE) material is relatively stable and there is an endogenous dence that it may also predict response to a number of other internal control in the nucleus of every cell, which should have breast cancer therapies. It has been reported to contribute to up to two copies of the HER2 gene. Furthermore IHC is endocrine therapy resistance,36–39 possibly taxane response,40 subjective, requiring interpretation of intensity of membranous and a number of clinical trials suggest that patients with HER2 expression. In contrast, FISH is semi-quantitative, relying on amplified tumours may derive benefit from anthracyclines,41,42 counting signals within tumour nuclei. The greater reliability also seen in a recent meta-analysis.43 and reproducibility of FISH as a HER2 assay is supported by Anthracyclines such as doxorubicin and epirubicin are data showing much greater concordance in external quality widely used as chemotherapeutic agents in breast cancer, but assurance programs (United Kingdom National External Qual- are also associated with a variety of serious adverse effects, ity Assurance Scheme, UKNEQAS Immunocytochemistry particularly cardiotoxicity, which is probably under-reported journal; http://www.ukmeqasicc.ucl.ac.uk/neqasicc.shtml),33 but is becoming more apparent with longer term survivors and compared to IHC, where up to 20% of HER2 assays performed in older patients.44 While a clear benefit is derived from in routine laboratories are incorrect.21 CAP also published anthracycline chemotherapy in the adjuvant setting,2,45,46 the findings from its proficiency testing program and found that effects overall are quite modest, which when coupled with the 100% of participating laboratories correctly classified higher risk of adverse effects and toxicity highlights the need to unknown samples for HER2 status by FISH.34 accurately identify those patients with the greatest potential
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benefit. A number of studies have suggested a link between An interim report of the Breast Cancer International HER2 and anthracycline benefit, (reviewed by Munro et al.47) Research Group (BCIRG) randomised phase III Trial 006 in but this link has no known biological basis.48 In contrast, 4943 patients comparing three chemotherapy regimens [(1) TOP2A, which is closely located to the HER2 gene on chromo- doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide followed by docetaxel some 17 and frequently co-amplified with it, is a direct (AC/ET), with (2) doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide molecular target of anthracycline chemotherapy. followed by docetaxel and trastuzumab (AC/ETH), and (3) docetaxel, carboplatin and trastuzumab (TCH) in HER2 positive early breast cancer patients] also suggested that TOPOISOMERASE II ALPHA (TOP2A) deletion or amplification of TOP2A was indicative of a TOP2A is located on chromosome 17q21-q22 and encodes a poor outcome and predicted a greater benefit of regimens 170 kDa enzyme, topoisomerase II alpha. Located close to and containing anthracycline.66 frequently co-amplified with HER2 gene, TOP2A plays a key Most recently, retrospective analysis of TOP2A gene ampli- role in fundamental nuclear processes including DNA replica- fication by CISH in 391 patients of Trial 9401 from the tion, transcription, recombination, chromosome structure, con- Scandanavian Breast Group of anthracycline-based chemother- densation and segregation.49 The prevalence of TOP2A aberra- apy dose escalation demonstrated that HER2 did not predict tions differs widely in the literature ranging from 9% in specific response to therapy, but found that TOP2A amplifica- unselected breast cancer to 46–90% of HER2 amplified breast tion was associated with a better relapse free survival in patients tumours,50,51 whilst it is only rarely detected in HER2 non- treated with a tailored and dose escalated epirubicin containing amplified cancers.52,53 Our own unpublished data in 69 HER2 regimen (FEC).56 amplified patients (manuscript in preparation) found a high However, as outlined in two recent reviews,40,47 other trials frequency of TOP2A aberrations; TOP2A was amplified in 21 have not identified such a clear-cut role for TOP2A. The Cancer cases (34%) and deleted in nine cases (15%). Other studies have and Leukaemia Group B (CALGB) Trial 8541–150013 retro- reported TOP2A deletion rates in HER2 amplified tumours of spectively evaluated whether TOP2A amplification could pre- 16–43% (reviewed by Glynn et al.54). There are a number of dict benefit from intensive dose cyclophopshamide, doxorubi- likely reasons for this variability, including differences in study cin and fluorouracil in 687 cases of HER2 amplified early populations as well as inconsistent definitions of what consti- breast cancer using a triple FISH probe for TOP2A, HER2 and tutes amplification or deletion. TOP2A may be assessed via chromosome 17, but found no association with outcome.63 FISH55 or bright field techniques such as CISH, with an Another large study using FISH to retrospectively assess example of a TOP2A amplified tumour shown in Fig. 2E.56 HER2 and TOP2A status in 2123 patients with early stage Cut-points for TOP2A gene aberrations have also varied con- breast cancer treated with doxorubicin based adjuvant che- siderably in the literature with studies using gene copy numbers motherapy found no association with outcome for TOP2A, or TOP2A/chromosome 17 ratios. For those who used copy although high level HER2 amplification was a prognostic numbers, amplification ranged from >5 signals per nucleus in marker in anthracycline treated patients.55 more than 50% of cells57 to 6 or more gene copies when Thus, the data on the predictive benefit of TOP2A amplifi- detected in at least 20% of screened malignant cells.58 In cation are conflicting and there are a number of reasons for this, contrast, TOP2A was also considered amplified when the including differing methods of assessment of TOP2A status. In TOP2A/chromosome 17 ratios were 1.5, 2.0 or 2.1 and particular, all of these trials relied on retrospective analysis of deleted when the TOP2A/chromosome 17 ratio was less than TOP2A and HER2 genomic status and were statistically under- 0.67, 0.7, 0.8 or 1.0.50,59–64 Therefore, it is important to powered to reliably assess their capacity as a predictive bio- standardise the methodology, particularly the scoring criteria marker. Furthermore, many utilised pre-trastuzumab regimens, used to define amplification and deletion. This would help to and so the role of anthracyclines in trastuzumab treated patients eliminate inconsistencies in results and make reporting is not yet clear. The role of TOP2A deletion is even more more uniform. unclear, with studies showing conflicting associations with One of the major mechanisms of anthracycline action is via sensitivity or resistance to anthracycline therapy.54,61,65 The inhibition of the TOP2A enzyme,52 by impairing DNA replica- issue is further complicated by a small study (n ¼ 81) showing tion and repair58 via p53 DNA damage sensors and caspase that, dissimilar to HER2, there is no association between mechanisms, thereby promoting apoptosis.44 In view of its TOP2A amplification by FISH and expression of the protein direct interaction with anthracycline chemotherapy, TOP2A by immunohistochemistry.67 This finding is supported by a has been proposed as a likely candidate biomarker for the recent study showing no association between TOP2A deletion beneficial effect of anthracycline therapy and this is supported and loss of protein expression.68 by a number of studies. Knoop et al.65 retrospectively analysed The issues have all contributed to suggest that assessment of 805 tumours for HER2 and TOP2A gene aberrations from the TOP2A gene aberrations is not yet ready for the clinic,69 with a Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group trial 89D comparing need to design prospective trials that are adequately powered to a CMF regimen (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate and fluor- address the predictive potential of this gene for anthracycline ouracil) to CEF (cyclophosphamide, epirubicin and fluorour- therapy response with rational and uniform criteria for defining acil). They found that while no predictive value for anthracy- gene aberrations. cline (epirubicin) benefit was seen for HER2 amplification, TOP2A amplification (TOP2A/chromosome 17 ratio of >2.0) or deletion (ratio <0.8) was associated with increased recur- CHROMOSOME 17 ABERRATIONS AS A rence-free survival and overall survival (hazard ratio of 0.57 for MARKER OF ANTHRACYCLINE BENEFIT TOP2A amplification and 0.63 for TOP2A deletion). In con- In view of this uncertainty regarding TOP2A, an intensive trast, patients who had a normal TOP2A genotype had a similar search is underway to identify and validate alternative markers outcome with both regimens. in this region of chromosome 17 that may explain the overall
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association of HER2 amplified tumours with greater benefit guidelines recommend chemotherapy be considered for the from anthracycline chemotherapy. There has been speculation majority of women, even including tumours that are hormone that polysomy of chromosome 17 (example shown in Fig. 2F), receptor positive, HER2 negative, if they are larger than 1 cm.72 rather than the specific genes HER2 or TOP2A, may in fact be a However, these prognostic and predictive factors are relatively marker of an unknown gene that predicts anthracycline crude measures and many patients are over-treated or under- response. Chromosome 17 is the second most dense human treated as a result. In the last decade there has been considerable chromosome in terms of genes, containing many genes import- interest in developing assays that may help select patients for ant in cancer such as HER2, TP53, and BRCA1 as well as adjuvant therapies, both endocrine and chemotherapy. With the TOP2A.47 development of new technologies which allow for screening of To date there are relatively few published data regarding the the relative abundance of messenger RNA transcripts in the utility of chromosome 17 in this setting. Reinholz and col- cancer tissue, representing the entire genome, there has been leagues presented in abstract form at the San Antonio Breast much research directed at developing assays to address this key Cancer Symposium in 200770 their study examining whether issue in breast cancer management. chromosome 17 could predict outcome in 1888 patients in the Perou et al.6 used cDNA microarrays representing 8102 HER2 positive N9831 intergroup adjuvant trastuzumab trial. human genes to characterise gene expression patterns in a Chromosome 17 was not associated with tratuzumab response set of 65 surgical specimens of human breast tumours from but the data indicated that patients on standard chemotherapy 42 different individuals. A subset of 456 genes, termed the who did not receive trastuzumab with chromosome 17 polys- ‘intrinsic’ gene subset, consisted of genes with significantly omy benefited more than those with a normal chromosome 17 greater expression variation between different tumours than count. Bartlett and colleagues have identified in the UK paired samples from the same tumour. Using this subset, the National Epirubicin Adjuvant Trial (NEAT) that in 1762 authors were then able to identify different molecular subtypes patients who were assessed for HER2, TOP2A and chromo- of breast cancer: luminal A, luminal B, HER2 enriched, basal- some 17 aberrations using a triple FISH probe, the most like and normal breast-like. These five molecular subtypes have powerful predictor of anthracycline benefit was seen with been confirmed to show distinct differences in behaviour in a CEP17 (the chromosome 17 centromeric enumeration probe) number of independent data sets;73–75 Sorlie et al.74 examined duplication.59 As discussed earlier, these workers argue that a subset of 49 patients with locally advanced breast cancer who counting of signals in thin tissue sections is likely to result in were treated with doxorubicin and found that the recurrence relative under-counting of signals,32 thus they define CEP17 free survival (RFS) and OS differed significantly among the duplication as greater than 1.86 observed signals per cell (in breast cancer subtypes, with the luminal A having the longest contrast to the standard definition of ‘polysomy’ as >3 signals survival times, the basal-like and HER2 positive subtypes the per nucleus30). Although HER2 and TOP2A were predictive of shortest survival times, and the luminal B tumours having an relapse free and overall survival in this cohort, there was no intermediate survival time. Importantly, these gene expression interaction with anthracycline benefit. Interestingly, around subtypes appear stable between primary and subsequent meta- two-thirds of patients with CEP17 duplication were not static lesions occurring years later.76 While gene expression HER2 amplified, suggesting that anthracycline benefit may array studies provide a large amount of useful prognostic and not be confined to HER2 amplified patients as described in predictive data it is clearly not practical or possible to perform some studies.50,51 The authors conclude that assessment of these studies on all patients with breast cancer. Consequently, CEP17 duplication is the most powerful predictor described there is an ongoing search for reliable immunohistochemical to date of anthracycline chemotherapy benefit and suggest that surrogate markers of these subtypes for application to routine validation in a larger meta-analysis would be helpful in leading diagnostic pathology laboratories, particularly to identify basal- to introduction of this predictive biomarker into routine prac- like cancers and the high risk, hormone receptor positive tice. Clearly, further investigation into candidate genes for this luminal B subgroup. Current biomarker panels use a combi- effect in the centromeric region of chromosome 17 is required. nation of ER, PR, HER2, cytokeratins 5 and 6 (CK5/6) and the The observed changes in CEP17 copy number may reflect epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), although debate still unbalanced translocations, subchromosomal amplification or exists as to which is the best combination of markers, with deletion or whole chromosomal duplication (which as dis- recent publications (Carey et al. 2006;77 Cheang et al. 2008,78 cussed above is a rare event in breast cancer28). Hugh et al. 2009,79 Livasy et al. 2007,80 Rakha et al. 200981) all proposing different methods of defining the basal-like and luminal B subtypes in particular. MOLECULAR CLASSIFICATION OF BREAST Hugh and colleagues79 discriminate luminal A and B patients CANCER on the basis of Ki-67 expression in tumours (luminal A, Traditionally, pathological determinants of tumour size, lymph hormone receptor positive, HER2 negative and Ki-67 node status, endocrine receptor status, grade, lymphovascular 13%; luminal B, same pattern but Ki-67 >13%). They studied invasion and HER2 status have driven prognostic predications tumours from more than 1300 patients participating in the and, ultimately, adjuvant therapy recommendations for women Breast Cancer International Research Group (BCIRG) 001 trial with early breast cancer. A large meta-analysis of adjuvant comparing FAC (5-fluorouracil, doxorubicin and cyclopho- chemotherapy has shown an improvement of 24% in disease sphamide) to TAC (docetaxel, doxorubicin cyclophospha- free survival (DFS) and 15% in overall survival (OS) in women mide). In this study TAC improved relapse free and overall receiving adjuvant chemotherapy.2 This analysis did not survival compared to FAC among patients with luminal B class, include taxane based regimens which showed an even greater HER2 class and triple negative tumours, but not for tumours benefit, providing up to 30% improvement in both DFS and OS belonging to the luminal A class (receptor positive, HER2 in hormone receptor negative tumours, although their role in negative and Ki-67 13%). The hazard ratio for a relapse hormone receptor positive tumours is still not clear.71 Current among patients treated with the TAC versus FAC regimen was
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0.50 for triple negative patients, 0.46 for HER positive and 0.66 had a low recurrence rate of 15% over 5 years, meaning 85% of for patients with luminal B tumours. Thus, the addition of a ER positive patients did not require adjuvant chemotherapy.84 simple proliferation index resulted in a highly effective sep- The problem is how to identify those low risk patients, who can aration of ER-positive patients into two intrinsically different safely be spared chemotherapy and are currently not reliably luminal A and luminal B populations underscoring the import- identified using standard clinicopathological factors. ance of proliferation and suggesting that incorporation of a There is considerable interest in developing assays that may proliferation score into therapy decisions may complement better help select patients for adjuvant therapies, both endocrine histological grade. and cytotoxic chemotherapy. Traditional biomarker research Our own study investigating panels of immunhistochemical/ has relied on assessing the expression of single or small in situ hybridisation surrogate markers for intrinsic molecular numbers of genes at a time mostly using IHC and ISH as subtypes revealed differences in recurrence and breast cancer diagnostic tools (see Fig. 3). Analysis of single genes has been specific death between subtypes.82 We defined five different so far successful for a handful of markers (such as ER, PR, subgroups: luminal A ¼ ERþ and/or PRþ, HER-2 ; luminal HER2 and more recently Ki-67), with their widespread adop- B ¼ ERþ and/or PRþ, HER-2þ; HER-2 ¼ ER and PR , tion into routine practice. However, cancer often involves HER-2þ; basal-like ¼ ER ,PR , HER-2 , CK 5/6 þ and/ aberrations in many genes and multiple pathways can be or EGFRþ; unclassified ¼ negative for all five markers using defective. Gene expression profiling using RNA microarrays criteria similar to those recently described by Cheang et al.78 or polymerase chain reaction (PCR) technology is an efficient but using FISH to determine HER-2 status.83 Using these surro- way of taking a snapshot of the gene expression signature of gate panels we found there was a markedly shorter recurrence tumours. With the development of new technologies which time for the more aggressive basal-like, HER2 and unclassified allow for relatively affordable screening of the relative abun- subtypes. Critically, however, while these surrogates were able to dance of messenger RNA transcripts in cancer tissue, repre- provide useful information regarding recurrence, they were not senting the entire genome, there has been much research as powerful predictive markers as standard clinicopathological directed at developing assays to address this key issue in breast variables such as tumour size, lymph node status, lymphatic cancer management. invasion, histological tumour grade and hormone receptor An increasing number of diagnostic tools/tests that make use expression suggesting that well performed histopathological of gene expression signatures are now available to assess examination of breast cancer is still the gold standard for patient risk and survival as well as the benefit of adjuvant providing prognostic and predictive data. therapy (reviewed in Ross et al.85). These tools promise improved identification of patients who will benefit from treatment and those patients who could be spared unnecessary GENE EXPRESSION PROFILING ASSAYS AS treatment. Many large microarray studies have controversially PREDICTIVE BIOMARKERS differed in the relative abundance of top genes involved in The benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy has been demonstrated breast cancer with relatively little overlap between them, in a number of clinical trials, reducing overall risk of recurrence however this is thought to be due to differences in array by up to 25%, however the absolute benefit for individual platforms and the complexities and differing methodologies patients is small (1–5%).84 The NSABP trials B14 and B20 of data analysis. A way to resolve this is to use standardised showed that women with lymph node negative, hormone methods, a feature that commercialised diagnostic testing can receptor positive tumours treated with endocrine therapy alone provide. Two assays in particular have been validated with
Fig. 3 Molecular methods for clinical diagnostics can assess changes in DNA, mRNA and protein levels and include examples such as: HER2 FISH, PathVysion; qPCR, Oncotype DX; microarray, MammaPrint; and HER2 IHC. Each method has specific tissue requirements and different levels of throughput.
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Table 2 Comparison of multi-gene assays: Oncotype DX and MammaPrint
Assay Oncotype DX MammaPrint
Method qPCR Microarray Genes tested 21 70 Material required FFPE or fresh tissue Fresh/frozen tissue Processing limitations May require microdissection May impact routine surgical procedures Current indication Node negative, ERþ Node negative Validated in retrospective studies Yes Yes Prospective clinical trials in progress TAILORx MINDACT
ER, oestrogen receptor; FFPE, formalin fixed, paraffin embedded.
clinical trials and are in current clinical use to varying degrees: intermediate recurrence score group was not clear, but currently Oncotype DX and MammaPrint (Table 2). there appears to be no clear cut benefit in this group.90 The Oncotype DX assay has had fairly wide uptake, at least within North America, with over 6000 physicians requesting Oncotype DX the test for over 40 000 patients. There is accumulating evi- Oncotype DX is a diagnostic assay that employs quantitative dence that the test is altering patient management,92 primarily reverse transcriptase PCR (RT-PCR) using FFPE breast cancer in the low recurrence score group, increasing the number of specimens, to measure the expression of a panel of 21 genes patients who receive hormonal therapy only.93 The test is primarily in ER positive, node negative patients. These genes generally ordered for those patients who ultimately prove to comprise groups related to ER (ER, PR, Bcl2 and Scube2), have low (48%) and intermediate (37%) risk scores, with a proliferation (Ki-67, STK15, Survivin, Cyclin B1 and MYBL2), lower number of high risk score patients (15% of assays invasion (Stromelysin3, Cathepsin L2), HER2 (HER2 and performed) who are usually identified using standard clinico- GRB7), the macrophage marker CD68, the anti-apoptosis gene pathological variables and are less likely to be referred for BAG183 and GSTM1, as well as five reference ‘housekeeping’ testing as decisions regarding chemotherapy are usually more genes. They are given relative weighting by a scoring algorithm straightforward. The testing process consists of pathologist- (with the heaviest weighting for ER and proliferation related guided selection of a representative block of tumour. Fifteen genes) to develop a recurrence score. There are three categories 5 mm sections are cut, with recommendations to minimise based on this score originally defined as low risk (<18), inter- contamination (utilising a new section of the microtome blade mediate risk (18–30) and high risk ( 31). or a new blade between cases, cleaning the water bath between This 21 gene signature was tested prospectively in the cases and wearing clean gloves for cutting and mounting National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Trial (NSABP) process). These sections are ultimately sent to Genomic Health B-14, comprising 2644 patients with ER positive, histological in the USA for in-house performance of the assay in which a node negative tumours.86 The randomly allocated groups were report outlining and explaining the recurrence score is pro- tamoxifen only or placebo, with the trial showing that tamox- vided. The current cost to Australian patients for whom there is ifen reduced recurrence over 15 of years follow-up. In a subset no rebate is just under $4000 with turnaround time of around of 668 patients for whom paraffin tissue blocks were available, 2 weeks. the 21 gene signature revealed a 5 year distant recurrence rate of Despite the data showing the prognostic and predictive 22.1% for patients with a high recurrence score, compared to potential of the Oncotype DX assay, there is emerging evidence 2.1% for the low recurrence score, and 30.5% and 6.8% at that routinely, well performed immunohistochemical markers 10 years, respectively. Furthermore, the majority of patients may provide just as much information to aid therapeutic with high or intermediate recurrence scores relapsed within decision making. Preliminary data from the translational arm 5 years, compared to around one-third of recurring patients of the arimidex, tamoxifen, alone or in combination (Trans- with low recurrence scores. In multivariate analysis of distant ATAC) trial94 presented at the 2009 San Antonio Breast Cancer recurrence, the recurrence score was independent of age and Symposium compared the prognostic power of Oncotype DX tumour size. Further analysis revealed it performed better than recurrence score, with a formula utilising four standard immu- Adjuvant! (www.adjuvantonline.com) which uses standard nohistochemical markers (‘IHC4’: combined ER, PR, Ki67, clinicopathological variables in predicting recurrence.87 HER2). Quantitative IHC scores were obtained for ER, PR and Further studies confirmed the utility of this 21 gene assay, Ki-67 and HER2 in 1125 women on the TransATAC trial with now called OncotypeDX, including a retrospective case control Oncotype DX results and for whom FFPE sections were also study88 which identified its role as a predictive biomarker for available. The IHC4 score showed reasonable correlation with hormonal therapy in the NSABP B14 trial as well as for the recurrence score (Pearson coefficient 0.7) and provided a chemotherapy in NSABP trial B-20.89 The trial in which the similar amount of prognostic information as the recurrence 21 gene assay was performed in a subset of 651 patients, [227 score. These results suggest that four standard IHC assays who received tamoxifen only and 424 who also received performed in a high quality laboratory can provide similar chemotherapy, either methotrexate and fluorouracil (MF) or prognostic information for endocrine treated ER positive breast cyclophosphamide, methotrexate and fluorouracil (CMF)] cancer patients as the OncotypeDX recurrence score. Measure- showed a large benefit of chemotherapy for patients with a ment of ER and PR has been performed by IHC rather than by high recurrence score, and minimal benefit for those with a low ligand binding assay (LBA) since the early 1990s. However, score.90 A benefit for node positive patients with a high there is a well recognised problem with reliability and repro- recurrence score has also been shown.91 The data for the ducibility of testing. There can be a large discordance in
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measurement of these key receptors between laboratories, with MammaPrint the Royal College of Pathologists of Australasia Quality The Netherlands Cancer Institute (NKI) developed the ‘70 Assurance Program (RCPA-QAP) reporting ER positive rates gene’ signature using gene expression microarrays on tissue ranging from 26 to 100% of breast cancers in a multi-laboratory from a retrospective series of node negative breast cancer audit.95 It is possible that since a significant component of the patients who were under 55 years of age, with tumours smaller 21 gene signature relies on expression of ER associated genes than 5 cm and who were treated with loco-regional therapies that any accurate measure of ER status may provide data just as only.98 This initial study found 213 genes that could identify useful to aid in therapeutic clinical decision making. patients with a high risk of developing distant metastases. This Despite yielding potentially informative assessments of risk signature which was subsequently refined to 70 genes was in patients considered indeterminate by routine clinical vari- validated on a set of 295 patients where it was able to ables, OncotypeDX still returns 40–66% of cases as intermedi- distinguish patients at high and low risk of distant metastasis ate risk96 with no clear data to suggest a benefit of chemother- based on 10 year survival figures. This 70 gene signature was apy. A large clinical trial called TAILORx (Trial Assigning developed into an FDA approved diagnostic test named Individualised Options for Treatment Rx) conducted by the MammaPrint using the Agilent microarray platform, and is North American Breast Cancer Intergroup is currently under- recommended for node negative patients under 61 years of age, way to prospectively determine whether ER positive, node with stage I or II disease with tumour size <5 cm. It can also be negative patients with an intermediate score may benefit from used for patients with 1–3 positive nodes, although currently chemotherapy, and aims to recruit at least 10 000 patients. The only outside the USA as it has not been FDA approved yet for cut-offs for each category have been altered from their initial this indication. This assay requires either fresh frozen or tissue descriptions (see above), to low (<11), intermediate (11–25) collected at room temperature into a RNA preserving solution and high (>25) risk categories to minimise potential for under- and is currently not suitable for FFPE tissue. MammaPrint uses treatment in the high risk and intermediate group. Patients with the 70 gene signature to discriminate patients with high or low a low recurrence score receive hormonal therapy only, while risk of recurrence and encompasses genes associated with high risk patients receive standard chemotherapy. The inter- proliferation, metastases, stromal invasion, and angiogenesis. mediate recurrence score group are randomised to receive MammaPrint does not directly assess ER, PR or HER2 mRNA, either hormonal therapy or hormonal therapy and chemother- although a modified assay TargetPrint does. The MammaPrint apy. The outcome of this trial will not be known until at least assay dichotomises patients into low or high risk groups, with 2013; until then, although the assay has significant benefit in no intermediate group, in comparison to the Oncotype DX identifying low risk ER positive node negative patients who can assay which generates a continuous score and unlike the be spared chemotherapy, it offers little benefit for intermediate Oncotype DX assay, ER negative patients can be assessed. risk patients, who often also have equivocal clinicopathological Compared to the St Gallen and NIH consensus criteria, the 70 features. gene signature is equally as effective at predicting patients who There are preliminary data to suggest that addition of stan- would benefit from adjuvant treatment98 and is able to identify dard clinicopathological variables to the Oncotype DX recur- patients with a higher risk of developing distant metastases than rence score can help reduce the number of cases that fall into by traditional methods. However, with 70–80% of breast the intermediate risk group. At the 2010 ASCO meeting, Tang cancer patients receiving unnecessary treatment (EBCTCG et al.97 examined both pathological and clinical factors such as 98a, EBCTCG 98b), the greatest value of MammaPrint is in tumour size, grade, and patient age, in combination with the its ability to identify patients who could be spared unnecessary recurrence score, to assess whether the recurrence score may adjuvant therapy in the ‘low risk’ group who show a greater achieve more prognostic power. All patients in the NSABP trial than 90% chance of being disease free for a minimum of 5 B-14 and the ATAC study with ER positive tumour specimens years. At the moment, the MammaPrint assay is largely a and a successful Oncotype DX recurrence score assay were prognostic, rather than predictive assay, although a large pro- included. The meta-analysis included 647 B-14 patients and spective trial to assess its predictive capability is underway 1088 ATAC patients; B-14 patients were node negative and called the MINDACT trial (microarray in node negative disease were treated with tamoxifen while the ATAC patients were may avoid chemotherapy). Node negative patients, and more node positive or node negative and were treated with tamoxifen recently some lymph node positive patients, are eligible for the or anastrozole. Meta-analysis assessed the risk of distant recur- trial whether ER positive or negative. Patients classified as high rence combining the individual study multivariate risk assess- risk using standard clinicopathological factors as assessed by ments using recurrence score and pathologic and clinical Adjuvant!Online and via MammaPrint receive chemotherapy, (RSPC) information. RSPC prognosis combining clinical and while patients identified as low risk by both methods receive pathology information with recurrence score was significantly hormonal therapy as appropriate. However, any discord more powerful than using recurrence score alone. Furthermore, between standard criteria and the MammaPrint assays results compared with the Oncotype DX recurrence score alone, fewer in randomisation to receive either adjuvant chemotherapy or patients were classified as intermediate risk using the RSPC hormonal therapy as clinically appropriate. index (18% versus 26%; p ¼ 0.001), and 72% of patients with A validation cohort was analysed using MammaPrint, which intermediate recurrence score 18–30 were pushed into either included both node negative and node positive patients and also high or low risk categories. The RSPC index combining patients who received systemic adjuvant treatment. The 70 recurrence score with pathology and clinical information with gene signature was found to be the strongest predictor for recurrence score supplied more powerful prognosis for early distant metastasis free survival, independent of adjuvant treat- stage breast cancer patients than recurrence score alone and it ment, tumour size, lymph node status, histological grade and was estimated that its use would reduce the number of patients age.99 In addition, the prognosis signature significantly with intermediate risk by 30% and enhance individualised improved identification of patients at high risk and low risk, treatment decisions. reducing potential clinical under-treatment or over-treatment of
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these patients. Another independent validation cohort using 307 References node negative breast cancer patients who did not receive 1. Peto R, Boreham J, Clarke M, Davies C, Beral V. UK and USA breast cancer deaths down 25% in year 2000 at ages 20–69 years. Lancet 2000; systemic adjuvant treatment also confirmed significant benefit . 100 355: 1822 of the prognostic categories identified by MammaPrint. 2. Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group (EBCTCG). Effects of Although these assays seem to show superior performance to chemotherapy and hormonal therapy for early breast cancer on recurrence aid clinical decision making than standard clinicopathological and 15-year survival: an overview of the randomised trials. Lancet 2005; 365: 1687–717. variables in particular groups of patients, there is significant 3. Jensen E, DeSombre E, Jungblut P. Estrogen receptors in hormone criticism about the overall utility of ‘gene signatures’, especi- responsive tissues and tumours. 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Copyright © Royal College of pathologists of Australasia. Unauthorized reproduction of this article is prohibited. VOLUME 27 NUMBER 28 OCTOBER 1 2009
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY ORIGINAL REPORT
Prediction of Local Recurrence, Distant Metastases, and Death After Breast-Conserving Therapy in Early-Stage Invasive Breast Cancer Using a Five-Biomarker Panel Ewan K.A. Millar, Peter H. Graham, Sandra A. O’Toole, Catriona M. McNeil, Lois Browne, Adrienne L. Morey, Sarah Eggleton, Julia Beretov, Constantine Theocharous, Anne Capp, Elias Nasser, John H. Kearsley, Geoff Delaney, George Papadatos, Christopher Fox, and Robert L. Sutherland
From the Cancer Research Program, Garvan Institute of Medical Research, ABSTRACT and Department of Pathology (SydPath), St Vincent’s Hospital, Darlin- Purpose ghurst; Department of Anatomical To determine the clinical utility of intrinsic molecular phenotype after breast-conserving therapy Pathology, South Eastern Area Labora- (BCT) with lumpectomy and whole-breast irradiation with or without a cavity boost. tory Service, and Department of Radia- tion Oncology, Cancer Care Centre, St Patients and Methods George Hospital, Kogarah; Department Four hundred ninety-eight patients with invasive breast cancer were enrolled into a randomized of Medical Oncology, University of trial of BCT with or without a tumor bed radiation boost. Tumors were classified by intrinsic Sydney, Westmead Hospital, West- molecular phenotype as luminal A or B, HER-2, basal-like, or unclassified using a five-biomarker mead; Department of Radiation Oncol- panel: estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, HER-2, CK5/6, and epidermal growth factor ogy, Liverpool Hospital, Liverpool; receptor. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards methodology were used to ascertain Department of Radiation Oncology, relationships to ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (IBTR), locoregional recurrence (LRR), distant Wollongong Hospital, Wollongong; St Vincent’s Clinical School, University of disease-free survival (DDFS), and death from breast cancer. New South Wales, and University of Results Western Sydney, Sydney; and Depart- Median follow-up was 84 months. Three hundred ninety-four patients were classified as luminal ment of Anatomical Pathology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, A, 23 were luminal B, 52 were basal, 13 were HER-2, and 16 were unclassified. There were 24 Australia. IBTR (4.8%), 35 LRR (7%), 47 distant metastases (9.4%), and 37 breast cancer deaths (7.4%). The overall 5-year disease-free rates for the whole cohort were: IBTR 97.4%, LRR 95.6%, DDFS Submitted December 23, 2008; accepted April 22, 2009; published 92.9%, and breast cancer–specific death 96.3%. A significant difference was observed for survival online ahead of print at www.jco.org on between subtypes for LRR (P ϭ .012), DDFS (P ϭ .0035), and breast cancer–specific death August 31, 2009. (P ϭ .0482), but not for IBTR (P ϭ .346). Supported by grants from the National Conclusion Health and Medical Research Council of The 5-year and 10-year survival rates varied according to molecular subtype. Although this Australia, the Cancer Institute New approach provides additional information to predict time to IBTR, LRR, DDFS, and death from South Wales, the Petre Foundation, and the R.T. Hall Trust. breast cancer, its predictive power is less than that of traditional pathologic indices. This information may be useful in discussing outcomes and planning management with patients Authors’ disclosures of potential con- after BCT. flicts of interest and author contribu- tions are found at the end of this article. J Clin Oncol 27:4701-4708. © 2009 by American Society of Clinical Oncology
Corresponding author: Ewan K.A. Millar, MD, Cancer Research Program, Garvan the whole breast with 40 to 50 Gy with or without a Institute of Medical Research, 384 INTRODUCTION Victoria St, Darlinghurst, New South cavity boost of 16 Gy. The importance of optimal Wales 2010, Australia; e-mail: e.millar@ Breast conserving therapy (BCT) is the preferred local control is highlighted by meta-analysis which garvan.org.au. option in the management of early breast cancer shows that overall mortality is reduced with im- The Acknowledgment is included in (EBC). Surgical excision to clear margins combined proved local control, which equates to one fewer the full-text version of this article, with local radiotherapy can successfully lower the death for every four local recurrences prevented available online at www.jco.org. 2 It is not included in the PDF version rate of local recurrence to approximately 5% at 5 after 5 years. IBTR has a significant impact on (via Adobe® Reader®). years.1 However, prediction of outcome for indi- overall survival with 5-year survival rate of ap- 1 © 2009 by American Society of Clinical vidual patients is uncertain and the development proximately 60%. Oncology of new biomarkers to guide clinical decision mak- Gene expression profiling has identified breast 0732-183X/09/2728-4701/$20.00 ing is needed. Specifically, no established biomark- cancer subtypes with five main gene expression pro- DOI: 10.1200/JCO.2008.21.7075 ers that predict ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence files,3,4 which divides patients into groups with dis- (IBTR) after BCT have been validated. Current ra- tinct tumor phenotypes and outcomes.5 Recent diotherapy regimens typically include treatment of immunohistochemical validation of these intrinsic
© 2009 by American Society of Clinical Oncology 4701 Information downloaded from jco.ascopubs.org and provided by University of New South Wales on October 6, 2009 from 129.94.224.120. Copyright © 2009 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights reserved. Millar et al molecular phenotypes have suggested that a five-marker panel of estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), HER-2, CK5/6, Table 1. Patient Baseline Characteristics, Treatments, and Outcomes and epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) can predict distant Patients failure and death.6,7 A recent study of conservatively treated breast Characteristic No. % Median Range cancer confirmed the value of this approach in predicting IBTR, using Length of follow-up, months 498 84 1-134 a simplified panel of ER, PR, and HER-2.8 Further refining this classi- Age, years 61 24-84 fication and translating these features into a useful panel for routine Tumor size, mm 16 1-60 pathology is a priority. However, it is now believed that the triple- T1a (1-5) 4 0.8 negative phenotype (TNP; ie, ERϪ,PRϪ, and HER2Ϫ) is a heteroge- T1b (6-10) 77 16.3 T1c (11-20) 270 54.2 neous group comprising basal-like, normal-like breast cancer, and T2 (21-50) 136 27.3 other unclassified breast cancers and does not equate with a basal-like T3 (Ͼ 50) 1 0.2 9 phenotype as originally suggested. Positive expression of basal mark- Tumor grade ers are needed to better define this group of tumors, as evidenced by a 1 167 33.5 recent study showing that the poor prognosis of TNP tumors was 2 185 37.1 conferred by those tumors expressing basal markers CK5/6 and/or 3 145 29.1 EGFR with a specificity of 100% and a sensitivity of 76%.7 Lymph node metastases 146 29.3 N0 339 69.9 Among women with EBC, management decisions regarding lo- N1 (1-3) 128 25.7 cal therapy are generally made without regard to breast cancer subtype N2 (4-10) 17 3.5 and more refined data regarding risk of local and distant failure would N3 (Ͼ 10) 2 0.4 allow for better patient-specific tailoring of therapy. However, identi- LN unsampled 12 2.4 fying risk factors for failure in BCT is problematic as current local ERϩ 393 78.9 ϩ recurrence rates in early-stage breast cancer are low and therefore large PR 334 68.3 HER-2 amplified (FISH) 36 7.2 numbers of patients are required for sufficient statistical power to Subtype detect a significant difference. Luminal A 394 79.1 In this study, we compared the clinical utility of intrinsic molec- Luminal B 23 4.6 ular phenotype as assessed by the five-biomarker panel, ER, PR, Basal-like 52 10.4 HER-2, CK 5/6, and EGFR with traditional pathologic indices, in HER-2 13 2.6 predicting local or distant failure and death in conservatively Unclassified 16 3.2 treated EBC. Triple negative 68 13.6 Treatment and outcome Marginϩ 17 3.4 PATIENTS AND METHODS Cavity boost positive 247 49.5 Cavity boost negative 251 50.5 Endocrine therapy 223 44.7 Patient Selection Chemotherapy 117 23.4 All patients were enrolled into a randomized clinical trial that compared Endocrine and chemotherapy 48 9.6 the benefit of the addition of a local cavity boost of radiotherapy to BCT. The Patients with IBTR 24 4.8 complete study cohort included 688 women with breast cancer, 629 of whom Patients with LRR 35 7 had invasive carcinoma, with an additional 59 patients with ductal carcinoma Patients with distant metastases 47 9.4 in situ (Clinical Trials Registry NCT00138814). Formalin-fixed paraffin- Breast cancer–specific deaths 37 7.4 embedded tissue blocks were available for 498 patients with invasive carci- 5-year survival noma. The clinicopathologic characteristics of this cohort are summarized in IBTR free 97.4 Table 1. HER-2 status was unknown at the time of treatment. Seventy-three LRR free 95.6 percent of patients were postmenopausal, 20% were premenopausal, and 7% DDFS 92.9 were perimenopausal. This study was approved by the Human Research Ethics Breast cancer–specific 96.3 Committee of St George Hospital, Sydney, Australia (ref No: 96/84). Abbreviations: ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; FISH, Treatment fluorescent in situ hybridization; IBTR, ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence; All patients with invasive carcinoma received local excision and axil- LRR, locoregional recurrence; DDFS, distant disease free survival. lary sentinel node biopsy or axillary clearance. Adjuvant chemotherapy (adriamycin and cyclophosphamide, or cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and 5-fluorouracil) was given to 23.7% of patients and 44.9% received adju- vant tamoxifen. No patients received adjuvant trastuzumab. Patients were randomly assigned to whole-breast radiotherapy of 50 Gy in 25 fractions or of the first event (see End Points) or to the last known confirmed date of whole-breast radiotherapy of 45 Gy in 25 fractions plus a tumor bed boost of breast cancer disease-free status. Median follow-up was 84 months (range, 16 Gy in 8 fractions. Supraclavicular fields were not added unless there were 1 to 134 months). four or more nodes positive. Seventeen patients had positive margins (clear- End Points ance ϭ 0 mm), 65 had clearance of smaller than 1 mm, and an additional 86 The primary end point was time to ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence had smaller than 2 mm clearance, the remainder being well clear. (IBTR). This included any ipsilateral in-breast recurrence (invasive or nonin- Follow-Up vasive). The secondary end points were locoregional recurrence (LRR, which Patients were assessed 6 weeks after radiation therapy, every 6 months included patients with IBTR and regional recurrences in the axilla, chest wall, for 2 years, then annually thereafter with annual breast imaging. Follow-up internal mammary, or supraclavicular fossa lymph nodes) and time to distant time was calculated from the date of the first surgical procedure to the date metastases and death.
4702 © 2009 by American Society of Clinical Oncology JOURNAL OF CLINICAL ONCOLOGY Information downloaded from jco.ascopubs.org and provided by University of New South Wales on October 6, 2009 from 129.94.224.120. Copyright © 2009 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights reserved. Predicting Failure in Early Breast Cancer
Table 2. Patient Tumor Characteristics and Event Rates Classified by Intrinsic Molecular Phenotype Whole Cohort Luminal A Luminal B Basal HER-2 Unclassified Patient Tumor Characteristics No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. of patients 498 394 79.1 23 4.6 52 10.4 13 2.6 16 3.2 Size Ͻ 20 mm 357 70.3 289 73.4 17 73.9 31 59.6 7 53.8 7 43.7 LVIϩ 79 15.8 62 15.7 4 17.4 9 17.3 2 15.3 2 12.5 LNϩ 146 29.0 117 29.6 5 21.7 13 25 8 61.5 4 25 Grade 3 145 29.1 65 16.5 16 69.5 47 90.3 9 69.2 8 50 EICϩ 45 9.0 29 7.4 5 21.7 6 11.5 3 23.1 1 6.3 Median age, years 61 62 57 54 53 50 Events Median follow-up 84 83.5 71 85 83 72.5 IBTR 24 4.8 15 3.8 2 8.7 5 9.6 1 7.6 1 6.3 LRR 35 7 20 5.1 2 8.7 9 17.3 2 15.4 2 12.5 DDFS 47 9.4 30 7.6 2 8.7 8 15.3 2 15.4 5 31 Breast cancer death 37 7.4 23 5.8 2 8.7 7 13.5 2 15.4 3 18.8
Abbreviations: LVI, lymphatic/vascular invasion; LNϩ, lymph node positive; EIC, extensive intraduct carcinoma; IBTR, ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence; LRR, locoregional recurrence; DDFS, distant disease–free survival.
Tissue Microarray Construction Immunohistochemistry and rates at 5 and 10 years in Table 4. At a median follow-up of 84 months Fluorescent In Situ Hybridization IBTR was observed in 24 patients. The 5-year recurrence-free rate was Immunohistochemistry for ER, PR, CK 5/6, and EGFR was per- 97.4% for the whole cohort, 98.8% for luminal A, 95.5% for luminal B, formed on tissue microarrays (TMAs), assessed by one breast pathologist (E.K.A.M.) blinded to clinical outcome. Tumors were considered HER-2 90% for basal, 92.3% for HER-2, and 92.9% for unclassified. Consis- 11 positive if amplified on fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH) using a tent with the overall randomized 6-year analysis, in this biomarker HER-2: chromosome 17 ratio higher than 2.2. study cohort, no reduction in IBTR was observed in patients treated Classification of Intrinsic Molecular Phenotype with a radiotherapy boost either in the whole cohort (P ϭ .214 or Patients were categorized based on the status of their primary tumor as between subtypes). The luminal A phenotype was associated with a previously described10: luminal A (ERϩ and/or PRϩ and HER2–), luminal B lower rate of IBTR, compared to all other groups at 5 and 10 years ϩ ϩ ϩ Ϫ Ϫ ϩ (ER and/or PR and HER-2 ), HER-2 (ER and PR and HER-2 ), and (Table 4; hazard ratio [HR], 0.433; 95% CI, 0.186 to 1.005; P ϭ .051; basal (ERϪ and PRϪ, HER-2Ϫ,CK5/6ϩ, and/or EGFRϩ), unclassified Table 5). Kaplan-Meier analysis comparing survival of all five molec- (negative for all five markers). The TNP was assigned on the basis of ERϪ, ϭ PRϪ, HER-2Ϫ. ular subtypes was not statistically significant (P .346; Fig 1A). The median times to event (Table 3) was significantly shorter for basal, Statistical Analysis Kaplan-Meier analyses for IBTR, LRR, distant disease-free survival unclassified, and HER-2 compared to luminal A and B. The only (DDFS), and breast cancer–specific death were estimated for each subtype and variables that predicted IBTR in univariate and multivariate analysis compared using the log-rank test. Crude rates of survival by subtype for each were grade 3 (HR, 3.372; 95% CI, 1.488 to 7.642; P ϭ .004) and end point were also calculated at 5 and 10 years. We used Cox proportional positive margins (HR, 5.838; 95% CI, 1.690 to 20.172; Pϭ.005, Tables hazards univariate analysis to analyze the association between prognostic 5 and 6). Of the 24 patients with IBTR, eight recurrences were located variables and molecular subtype with IBTR, LRR, metastases, and breast cancer–specific death. Those variables significant in univariate analysis in the same quandrant as the primary tumor (four luminal A, three were used in multivariate analysis to construct models identifying variables basal, one HER-2) and 16 were elsewhere (11 luminal A, two luminal which were independently prognostic and not the result of confounding fac- B, two basal, one unclassified). All 17 patients with positive margins tors. Subsequently step-wise removal of redundant variables was employed were luminal A. until resolution. Further analyses characterized how IBTR influenced DDFS and mortality using Kaplan-Meier analysis where survival times were reported using the times from the IBTR event until distant disease or death. Patients who developed distant metastases within 3 months of IBTR were excluded from the analysis. Five-year results were reported for these end points. All analyses were performed using Statview 5.0 (Abacus Systems, Berkeley, CA). Table 3. Median Time to Event, in Months, According to Molecular Subtype Competing risks proportional hazards models (Fine and Gray) were con- Whole structed using ACCoRD software (http://boffinsoftware.com). Event Cohort Luminal A Luminal B Basal HER2 Unclassified IBTR 60 80.5 78 20 23 30 RESULTS LRR 49 72 78 26 25 28.5 DDFS 33 44 59 23 25 27 Breast cancer IBTR death 61 66 94.5 23 33 18
The clinicopathologic characteristics, number of events, crude Abbreviations: IBTR, ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence; LRR, locoregional rates, and median follow-up within each subtype of invasive cancer are recurrence; DDFS, distant disease–free survival. summarized in Table 2, median times to event in Table 3, and crude www.jco.org © 2009 by American Society of Clinical Oncology 4703 Information downloaded from jco.ascopubs.org and provided by University of New South Wales on October 6, 2009 from 129.94.224.120. Copyright © 2009 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights reserved. Millar et al
Table 4. 5- and 10-Year Event Rates According to Molecular Phenotype IBTR LRR DDFS Breast Cancer–Specific Death 5 Year 10 Year 5 Year 10 Year 5 Year 10 Year 5 Year 10 Year Parameter No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. % No. of patients 24 35 47 37 Whole cohort (n ϭ 498) 12/498 2.4 23/498 4.6 21/498 4.2 35/498 6.8 34/498 6.8 47/498 9.4 18/498 3.6 37/498 7.4 12/24 50 23/24 95.8 21/35 60 35/35 100 34/47 72.3 47/47 100 18/37 48.6 37/37 100 Luminal A (n ϭ 394) 4/394 1 14/394 3.6 8/394 2 19/394 4.8 19/394 4.8 30/394 7.6 7/394 1.8 23/394 5.8 4/15 26.6 14/15 93.3 8/20 40 19/20 95 19/30 63.3 30/30 100 7/23 30.4 23/23 100 Luminal B (n ϭ 23) 1/23 4.3 2/23 8.7 1/23 4.3 2/23 8.6 2/23 8.6 2/23 8.6 1/23 4.3 2/23 8.6 1/2 50 2/2 100 1/2 50 2/2 100 2/2 100 2/2 100 1/2 50 2/2 100 Basal (n ϭ 52) 5/52 9.6 5/52 9.6 8/52 14.8 9/52 17.3 7/52 13.5 8/52 14.8 6/52 11.5 7/52 13.5 5/5 100 5/5 100 8/9 88.8 9/9 100 7/8 87.5 8/8 100 6/7 85.7 7/7 100 HER-2 (n ϭ 13) 1/13 7.7 1/13 7.7 2/13 15.3 2/13 15.3 2/13 15.3 2/13 15.3 2/13 15.3 2/13 15.3 1/1 100 1/1 100 2/2 100 2/2 100 2/2 100 2/2 100 2/2 100 2/2 100 Unclassified (n ϭ 16) 1/16 6.3 1/16 6.3 2/16 12.6 2/16 12.6 4/16 25 5/16 31.3 2/16 12.6 3/16 18.8 1/1 100 1/1 100 2/2 100 2/2 100 4/5 80 5/5 100 2/3 66.7 3/3 100
NOTE. Rates are presented relating to the whole cohort and molecular subtype and as the relative rate of all events for each subtype. Abbreviations: IBTR, ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence; LRR, locoregional recurrence; DDFS, distant disease–free survival.
LRR than half that of basal (13.5%) and less than one third of HER-2 Thirty-five patients developed LRR with a 5-year disease-free (15.4%) and unclassified (18.8%), with a statistically significant differ- rate of 95.6% for the whole cohort, luminal A of 99%, basal of ence in survival between subtypes (P ϭ .048; Fig 1D). PR (HR, 0.369; 93.7%, HER-2 of 84.6%, and unclassified of 92.9% with a signifi- 95% CI, 0.189 to 0.722; P ϭ .004), size larger than 20 mm (HR, 2.178; cant difference in survival between subtypes (Fig 1B). Crude recur- 95% CI, 1.050 to 4.521; P ϭ .037), lymph node involvement (HR, rence rates of luminal A were less than one third of those of basal 3.984; 95% CI, 1.850 to 8.851; P ϭ .001), lymphatic invasion (HR, (5% v 17.3%; Table 5). In a resolved multivariate model, grade 3 2.858; 95% CI, 1.336 to 6.113; P ϭ .007), and IBTR (HR, 3.608; 95% (HR, 3.365; 95% CI, 1.848 to 7.151; P ϭ .001), lymph node posi- CI, 1.341 to 9.706; P ϭ .011) were significant in a resolved multivariate tivity (HR, 1.986; 95% CI, 1.01 to 3.906; P ϭ .047) and extensive analysis (Table 8). intraduct carcinoma (HR, 3.212; 95% CI, 1.382 to 7.463; P ϭ .007) were independently predictive of LRR. Competitive Risks Modeling Further analyses showed no significant alteration in the final DDFS resolved models presented above (Tables 6-8) for IBTR, DDFS and Forty-seven patients developed distant metastases with a 5-year breast cancer–specific death. For LRR the final resolved model DDFS rate for the whole cohort of 92.9%, luminal A of 95%, luminal contained grade 3 (HR 3.423, 95% CI 1.746-6.709, P Ͻ .001) and B of 90%, basal of 86.3%, HER-2 of 84.6%, and unclassified of 75%. extensive intraduct carcinoma (HR 2.950, 1.250-6.963, P ϭ .014) Luminal A had a crude event rate of less than half that of basal, HER-2, with lymph nodal status no longer significant (HR 1.748, 0.890- and unclassified tumors (Table 4), with a statistically significant dif- 3.433, P ϭ .105). ference in survival between subtypes (P ϭ .0035, Fig 1C). Lymph node positivity (HR, 3.558; 95% CI, 1.937 to 6.536; P Ͻ .001), lymphatic DDFS and Overall Survival After IBTR and Effect of invasion (HR, 1.977; 95% CI, 1.054 to 3.710; P ϭ .034), grade 3 (HR, Subtype, Endocrine Therapy, and Chemotherapy 1.912; 95% CI, 1.046 to 3.495; P ϭ .035), and PR (HR, 0.523; 95% CI, on Outcome 0.287 to 0.952; P ϭ .034) were independently significant in a resolved Two of 24 patients developed distant metastases within 3 months multivariate analysis (Table 7). of IBTR and were not included in this analysis. After IBTR, the 5-year DDFS rate was 81% and breast cancer–specific survival rate was Breast Cancer–Specific Death 77.3%. IBTR did not predict distant metastases but was significant for There were 37 deaths attributable to breast cancer with a 5-year breast cancer–specific death in univariate and multivariate analysis breast cancer–specific survival for the whole cohort of 96.3%, luminal (HR, 3.608; 95% CI, 1.341 to 9.706; P ϭ .011; Table 8). A of 98.2%, luminal B of 95.7%, basal of 88.3%, HER-2 of 84.6%, and No association between subtype, treatment, and outcome unclassified of 87.5%. Luminal A (5.8%) had a crude death rate less was observed.
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Table 5. Univariate Crude Rates and Cox Analysis for IBTR, LRR, DDFS, and Breast Cancer–Specific Death Breast Cancer–Specific Death IBTR (n ϭ 24) LRR (n ϭ 35) DDFS (n ϭ 47) (n ϭ 37) Crude Rate Crude Rate Crude Rate Crude Rate Parameter No. %HR P No. %HR P No. %HR P No. % HR P ERϩ 16/393 4.1 0.564 .195 21/393 5.3 0.401 .009 29/393 7.4 0.427 .005 22/393 5.6 0.398 .006 PRϩ 15/334 4.5 0.810 .622 19/334 5.7 0.559 .089 23/334 6.9 0.450 .006 17/334 5.1 0.395 .005 G3 13/145 8.9 3.025 .007 20/145 13.8 3.441 .001 24/145 16.6 2.632 .001 21/145 14.5 3.270 .001 LNϩ 11/146 7.5 2.041 .082 15/146 10.3 1.791 .089 29/146 19.9 4.046 < .001 24/146 16.4 5.068 < .001 LVI 4/79 5 1.208 .731 8/79 10.1 1.752 .166 16/79 20.2 3.026 .001 15/79 18.9 3.966 < .001 Size 10/147 6.8 1.906 .125 13/147 8.8 1.531 .228 24/147 16.3 2.614 .001 23/147 15.6 4.011 < .001 HER2ϩ 3/36 8.3 1.661 .421 4/36 11.1 1.544 .421 4/36 11.1 1.218 .706 4/36 11.1 1.611 .368 Age Ͻ 50 years 8/102 7.8 1.998 .114 12/102 11.8 2.085 .041 14/102 13.7 1.635 .123 13/102 12.7 1.959 .051 EICϩ 4/45 8.8 1.887 .249 7/45 15.6 2.474 .033 ———— ———— Margϩ 3/17 17.6 4.437 .016 4/38 10.5 1.744 .282 — — — — — — — — Boostϩ 15/247 6.1 1.674 .226 19/247 7.7 1.195 .599 — — — — — — — — Endo 7/223 3.1 0.545 .181 11/223 4.9 0.587 .146 18/223 8.1 0.774 .393 15/223 6.7 0.876 .692 Chemo 9/117 7.7 1.921 .128 13/117 11.1 1.919 .066 19/117 16.2 2.379 .004 18/117 15.4 3.194 .001 IBTR — — — — — — — — 4/21 19 2.281 .116 5/22 22.7 3.602 .008 LA 15/394 3.8 0.433 .051 20/394 5 0.333 .002 30/394 7.6 0.446 .008 23/394 5.8 0.414 .009 LB 2/23 8.7 2.132 .307 2/23 8.7 1.365 .669 2/23 8.7 0.963 .958 2/23 8.7 1.258 .753 Basal 5/52 9.6 2.182 .126 9/52 17.3 3.025 .005 8/52 15.4 1.745 .151 7/52 13.5 1.662 .108 HER2 1/13 7.7 1.056 .959 2/13 15.4 1.725 .475 2/13 15.4 1.612 .509 2/13 15.4 2.103 .307 Uncls 1/16 6.2 1.905 .530 2/16 12.5 2.621 .188 5/16 31.2 4.533 .001 3/16 18.8 3.419 .042 TNP 6/68 8.8 2.227 .093 11/68 16.2 3.194 .002 13/68 19.1 2.538 .004 10/68 14.7 2.446 .016
Abbreviations: IBTR, ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence; LRR, locoregional recurrence; DDFS, distant disease-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; G3, grade 3; LNϩ, lymph node positive; LVI, lymphatic vascular invasion; Size, tumor size Ͼ 20 mm; EIC, extensive intraduct component; Margϩ, resection margin positive; Boostϩ, cavity boost of 16 Gy given; endo, endocrine therapy; chemo, chemotherapy; LA, luminal A; LB, luminal B; uncls, unclassified; TNP, triple negative phenotype. Bold indicates significance.
now important as triple-negative status alone is not synonymous with DISCUSSION this group of tumors.9 We applied the five-biomarker panel to assess its predictive and The importance of achieving optimal local control in BCT is high- prognostic value in locally treated EBC in a clinical trial setting. We lighted by its association with improved overall survival; conversely, found very low rates of IBTR with 97.4% recurrence-free survival at 5 IBTR is a poor prognostic indicator for subsequent distant failure and years for the whole cohort, which is predominantly comprised of death.12-14 The recent trend of progressive decline in local recurrence luminal A cancers (79.1%) with small components of luminal B rates to approximately 5% is likely the result of several factors, includ- (4.6%), basal-like (10.4%), HER-2 (2.6%), and unclassified (3.2%). ing improved preoperative breast imaging, greater emphasis on Our Australian cohort is similar to a population-based study from pathological margin assessment, achieving clear surgical margins, and 7 more frequent use of adjuvant systemic therapies. Local failure has North America (64.8% luminal A, 5.5% luminal B, 6.4% HER-2, 9% been associated with young age (Ͻ 50), tumor size (Ͼ T2), negative basal, 8% unclassified), although we have lower rates of HER-2, lumi- hormone receptor status, and lymph node involvement, although nal B and unclassified cancers, which may reflect the selection of cases these vary between studies,15-18 and an algorithm to define risk of in this trial setting. We found that molecular subtype was associated IBTR has been described.19 However, there is a need to improve with differences in IBTR, LRR, DDFS, and breast cancer–specific predictive and prognostic information to better tailor discussion re- death, although this was not significant for IBTR, which is likely the garding recurrence risk and hence treatments to individual patients.20 result of insufficient numbers of events. Our 5-year subtype IBTR-free The subclassification of breast cancer into five main intrinsic rates (98.8% luminal A, 95.5% luminal B, 92.3% HER-2, 90% basal, subtypes correlates with outcome but there are limited data available 92.9% unclassified) are similar to those described in a recent study regarding its predictive value. Specific subtypes, such as basal-like which utilized this approach with a simplified triple-marker assess- 8 cancers, have no specific targeted therapy, unlike ERϩ and HER-2ϩ ment of ER, PR, and HER-2. This latter cohort of 793 patients was of disease, and their identification is important for therapeutic decision similar composition to ours, but their use of the triple assessment making. The recent validation of the intrinsic molecular signature method for classification did not require positive basal marker expres- using a panel of five markers, ER, PR, HER-2, CK 5/6, and EGFR, sion and did not include an unclassified group. Two other studies that demonstrated its superiority over ER, PR, and HER-2 (TNP) alone, as also examined the predictive utility of the TNP and IBTR in BCT did it identifies basal-like tumors with a specificity of 100% and sensitivity not find an association, compared with non–triple-negative can- of 75%, compared with classification by gene expression profiling.7 cers21,22 although the mean time to local recurrence was shortened Specifically, the inclusion of the latter two antigens as basal markers is (2.8 v 4.2 years).22 Using the TNP as a classifier, our cohort contained www.jco.org © 2009 by American Society of Clinical Oncology 4705 Information downloaded from jco.ascopubs.org and provided by University of New South Wales on October 6, 2009 from 129.94.224.120. Copyright © 2009 by the American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights reserved. Millar et al
A Ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence B Locoregional recurrence
1.0 1.0
0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
Cumulative Survival 0.2 Cumulative Survival 0.2 P = .346 P = .012
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Time (months) Time (months)
C Distant metastases D Breast cancer–specific death
1.0 1.0
0.8 0.8
0.6 0.6
0.4 0.4
Cumulative Survival 0.2 Cumulative Survival 0.2 P = .0035 P = .0482
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Time (months) Time (months)
Fig 1. Kaplan-Meier estimates (log-rank test) for (A) ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence (24 events), (B) locoregional recurrence (35 events), (C) distant metastases (47 events), and (D) breast cancer–specific death (37 events), according to intrinsic molecular subtype. Luminal A (blue triangle; n ϭ 394), luminal B (yellow triangle; n ϭ 23), basal (red circle; n ϭ 52), HER2 (yellow circle; n ϭ 13), unclassified (black triangle; n ϭ 16). 68 (13.6%) of 498, but there was no association with IBTR, although it Tumor subtype identifies groups with divergent behavior as- predicted LRR, distant metastases, and death, and it out-performed sociated with differing recurrence rates, times to event, and overall the basal group. In a large Danish cohort of lymph node–positive survival. Significant differences between groups was observed in patients treated with mastectomy, TNP was significantly associated terms of median time to event for all measures of outcome with greatly with LRR whether treated with radiotherapy or not.23
Table 7. Cox Proportional Hazards Multivariate Model for DDFS Variable HR 95% CI P Table 6. Cox Proportional Hazards Multivariate Model for IBTR ERϩ 0.559 0.245 to 1.272 .165 Variable HR 95% CI P PRϩ 0.631 0.316 to 1.260 .191 ERϩ 0.831 0.260 to 2.649 .754 Grade 3 1.758 0.876 to 3.530 .112 PRϩ 1.152 0.390 to 3.404 .798 Size Ͼ 20 mm 1.331 0.709 to 2.498 .373 Grade 3 3.206 1.281 to 8.024 .013 LN ϩ 3.815 2.008 to 7.250 < .001 Size Ͼ 20 mm 1.214 0.510 to 2.888 .661 LVI 2.115 1.092 to 4.097 .026 LNϩ 1.952 0.826 to 4.614 .128 Chemotherapy 0.648 0.313 to 1.33 .241 LVI 0.804 0.262 to 2.470 .704 Resolved model Marginϩ 4.508 1.248 to 16.285 .022 PR 0.523 0.287 to 0.952 .034 Resolved model Grade 3 1.912 1.046 to 3.495 .035 Grade 3 3.372 1.488 to 7.642 .004 LNϩ 3.558 1.937 to 6.536 < .001 Marginϩ 5.838 1.690 to 20.172 .005 LVI 1.977 1.054 to 3.710 .034
Abbreviations: IBTR, ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence; HR, hazard ratio; ER, Abbreviations: DDFS, distant disease–free survival; HR, hazard ratio; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; LNϩ, lymph node positive; LVI, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone receptor; LNϩ, lymph node positive; LVI, lymphatic vascular invasion. Bold indicates significance. lymphatic vascular invasion. Bold indicates significance.
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to predict risk of local recurrence.25 This assay and other signatures of Table 8. Cox Proportional Hazards Multivariate Model for Breast 26-27 Cancer–Specific Death grade that predict relapse support our finding of an association of grade with IBTR. Several other gene signatures were also recently Variable HR 95% CI P assessed, with only the Wound signature being significant.28,29 Thus, ϩ ER 0.742 0.278 to 1.979 .550 the clinical utility of this approach requires further validation in de- PRϩ 0.477 0.209 to 1.088 .786 Grade 3 1.978 0.868 to 4.505 .104 fined patient cohorts. Size Ͼ 20 mm 1.927 0.905 to 4.104 .089 In summary, this study identifies that the molecular subtype of LNϩ 3.984 1.850 to 8.581 .001 breast cancer, as approximated by the five-biomarker panel, identifies LVI 2.858 1.336 to 6.113 .007 differences in behavior for IBTR, LRR, DDFS, and death after BCT. Chemotherapy 0.624 0.230 to 1.697 .356 This additional information may assist in planning ongoing manage- IBTR 2.800 0.994 to 7.889 .051 ment and suggests that those more aggressive subtypes that have Ͻ Age 50 years 1.237 0.502 to 3.049 .643 shorter recurrence times and most events occurring within 5 years Resolved model PR 0.369 0.189 to 0.722 .004 (HER-2, basal, and unclassified) should have more frequent breast Size Ͼ 20 mm 2.178 1.050 to 4.521 .037 imaging and follow-up (eg, every 6 months for the first 2 years). In LNϩ 3.342 1.597 to 6.993 .001 addition for these high risk subtypes, it may also be prudent to con- LVI 2.773 1.330 to 5.780 .007 sider the addition of a local cavity boost, which was of benefit in three IBTR 3.608 1.341 to 9.706 .011 previous randomized studies.30-32 Although tumor subtype is of less Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; ER, estrogen receptor; PR, progesterone predictive value than existing histopathologic parameters, such as receptor; LN, lymph node; LVI, lymphatic vascular invasion; IBTR, ipsilateral grade and lymph node status, it does provide further information to breast tumor recurrence. Bold inidcates significance. complement these indices and may be useful in routine practice to help better inform both clinician and patient about their anticipated outcome after BCT. shortened recurrence times for the more aggressive subtypes: basal, HER-2, and unclassified. However, although they do identify behav- ioral differences in terms of biology, their role as predictive markers AUTHORS’ DISCLOSURES OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTS appears to be inferior to traditional pathologic variables such as high OF INTEREST grade, tumor size, lymph node status, lymphatic invasion, and hor- mone receptor status. Luminal A and unclassified groups were asso- The author(s) indicated no potential conflicts of interest. ciated with improved or poor outcome for LRR, distant metastases, and breast cancer–specific death. For IBTR, only grade 3 and positive margins were of predictive value, although there was a strong trend for AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS reduced risk with luminal A subtype (P ϭ .051). One of the main shortcomings of this study in assessing the Conception and design: Ewan K.A. Millar, Peter H. Graham, predictive value of molecular subtype is the relatively low number of Sandra A. O’Toole, Catriona M. McNeil, Lois Browne, events. This may reflect the very low rate of margin involvement Robert L. Sutherland Provision of study materials or patients: Ewan K.A. Millar, Peter H. (3.4%), eliminating an important contributing factor for IBTR. Thus, Graham, Lois Browne, Sarah Eggleton, Julia Beretov, Constantine we would expect lower recurrence rates but increased sensitivity to Theocharous, Anne Capp, Elias Nasser, John H. Kearsley, Geoff Delaney, intrinsic biologic predictors of IBTR risk. The relative success of BCT George Papadatos, Christopher Fox, Robert L. Sutherland requires large numbers of patients to be accrued to have enough events Collection and assembly of data: Ewan K.A. Millar, Peter H. Graham, to provide sufficient statistical power. We have provided results with Sandra A. O’Toole, Lois Browne, Adrienne L. Morey, Sarah Eggleton, 5- and 10-year event rates, but in a predominantly luminal A, T1 Julia Beretov, Constantine Theocharous, Anne Capp, John H. Kearsley, cohort. Longer follow-up will be needed to assess outcomes at 10 and Robert L. Sutherland Data analysis and interpretation: Ewan K.A. Millar, Peter H. Graham, 15 years. As a result of the relatively small size of the luminal B, HER-2 Sandra A. O’Toole, Catriona M. McNeil, Lois Browne, Adrienne L. and unclassified groups (23, 13, and 16 patients, respectively), the Morey, Robert L. Sutherland confidence interval for outcome estimates for these groups widens. In Manuscript writing: Ewan K.A. Millar, Peter H. Graham, Sandra A. addition, the relative importance of the luminal B and HER-2 sub- O’Toole, Catriona M. McNeil, Lois Browne, Julia Beretov, Constantine types is lessened by the fact that they would now receive anti-HER-2 Theocharous, Anne Capp, John H. Kearsley, Geoff Delaney, therapies which would alter the outcome results. Robert L. Sutherland Final approval of manuscript: Ewan K.A. Millar, Peter H. Graham, Molecular classifications of invasive carcinoma have been as- Sandra A. O’Toole, Catriona M. McNeil, Lois Browne, Adrienne L. sessed in predicting IBTR. The Oncotype Dx (Genomic Health Inc, Morey, Sarah Eggleton, Julia Beretov, Constantine Theocharous, Anne Redwood City, CA) assay which was developed to predict distant Capp, Elias Nasser, John H. Kearsley, Geoff Delaney, George Papadatos, failure in ERϩ cancers treated with tamoxifen24 has also been shown Christopher Fox, Robert L. Sutherland
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Full Paper Prediction of outcome of early ER þ breast cancer is improved using a biomarker panel, which includes Ki-67 and p53
*,1,2,3,4 4,5 1,6 5 1,7,8 1 4,5 EKA Millar , PH Graham , CM McNeil , L Browne , SA O’Toole , A Boulghourjian , JH Kearsley , 4,9 3,4,10 4,11 11 12 1,13 G Papadatos , G Delaney , C Fox , E Nasser , A Capp and RL Sutherland 1 2 Cancer Research Program, Garvan Institute of Medical Research, 384 Victoria Street, Darlinghurst, New South Wales 2010, Australia; Department of 3 Anatomical Pathology, South Eastern Area Laboratory Service, St George Hospital Kogarah, New South Wales 2217, Australia; School of Medicine and 4 Health Sciences, University of Western Sydney, Campbelltown, New South Wales, Australia; Faculty of Medicine, University of NSW, Kensington, New 5 South Wales, Australia; Department of Radiation Oncology, Cancer Care Centre, St George Hospital Kogarah, New South Wales 2217, Australia; 6 7 Department of Medical Oncology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, University of Sydney, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia; Department of Diagnostic Oncology and Tissue Pathology, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Camperdown, New South Wales 2010, Australia; 8University of Sydney,
Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia; 9Macarthur Cancer Therapy Centre, Campbelltown, New South Wales, Australia; 10Department of Radiation 11 Oncology, Liverpool Hospital, Liverpool, UK; Department of Radiation Oncology, Wollongong Hospital, Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia; 12 13 Department of Radiation Oncology, Mater Misericordiae Hospital, Waratah, New South Wales, Australia; St Vincent’s Clinical School, Faculty of
Medicine, University of NSW, Darlinghurst, New South Wales 2052, Australia
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to determine whether immunohistochemical (IHC) assessment of Ki67 and p53 improves þ prognostication of oestrogen receptor-positive (ER ) breast cancer after breast-conserving therapy (BCT). In all, 498 patients with
invasive breast cancer from a randomised trial of BCT with or without tumour bed radiation boost were assessed using IHC.
METHODS: The ER þ tumours were classified as ‘luminal A’ (LA): ER þ and/or PR þ , Ki-67 low, p53 , HER2 or ‘luminal B’ (LB):
ER þ and/or PR þ and/or Ki-67 high and/or p53 þ and/or HER2 þ . Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards methodology
were used to ascertain relationships to ispilateral breast tumour recurrence (IBTR), locoregional recurrence (LRR), distant metastasis-
free survival (DMFS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS).
RESULTS: In all, 73 patients previously LA were re-classified as LB: a greater than four-fold increase (4.6–19.3%) compared with ER, PR,
HER2 alone. In multivariate analysis, the LB signature independently predicted LRR (hazard ratio (HR) 3.612, 95% CI 1.555–8.340,
P ¼ 0.003), DMFS (HR 3.023, 95% CI 1.501–6.087, P ¼ 0.002) and BCSS (HR 3.617, 95% CI 1.629–8.031, P ¼ 0.002) but not IBTR.
CONCLUSION: The prognostic evaluation of ER þ breast cancer is improved using a marker panel, which includes Ki-67 and p53. This
may help better define a group of poor prognosis ER þ patients with a greater probability of failure with endocrine therapy.
British Journal of Cancer advance online publication, 28 June 2011; doi:10.1038/bjc.2011.228 www.bjcancer.com & 2011 Cancer Research UK
Keywords: breast cancer; biomarker; Ki67; p53; luminal B
Oestrogen receptor-positive (ER þ ) breast cancer comprises 2005). Therefore, predicting the likely prognosis in an individual approximately 75% of all breast cancers and treatments targeting patient before treatment would allow early selection of optimal oestrogen synthesis (aromatase inhibitors) or the ER (tamoxifen) therapies, the importance of which is highlighted in the most are the most effective adjuvant therapies. Gene expression recent St Gallen guidelines for the treatment of early breast cancer profiling (GEP) studies over the past decade have established (Goldhirsch et al, 2009). molecular subtypes of ER þ luminal disease, which are charact- The abundant data derived from GEP studies have clearly erised by differences in outcome and underlying biology, largely identified the significance of genomic grade and proliferation now referred to as luminal A (LA) or luminal B (LB), the latter signatures in prognosis and response to endocrine therapy being characterised by increased proliferation and higher grade as (reviewed in detail in Musgrove and Sutherland, 2009 and Sotiriou well as lower levels of ER related genes (Perou et al, 2000; Sørlie and Pusztai, 2009). However, given the current costs of such et al, 2001). Despite the successes of endocrine therapy in reducing molecular testing, translating these findings into an economical, annual recurrences and death by 41% and 34%, respectively, reproducible and readily applicable panel for immunohistochem- resistance occurs in about 30% of patients treated with tamoxifen istry (IHC) in a routine pathology setting is a priority. Most (Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group (EBCTCG), previous IHC definitions of LA and LB tumours include ER þ and/or PR þ , with HER2 positivity defining LB, creating a population size of approximately 5–10% (Cheang et al, 2008; Nguyen et al, 2008; Millar et al, 2009b; Blows et al, 2010). However, GEP studies *Correspondence: Dr EKA Millar; E-mail: [email protected] have documented the LB population to be larger than Received 4 February 2011; revised 20 May 2011; accepted 25 May 2011 this, averaging approximately 16% (ranging from 10 to 21%, Predicting failure in luminal breast cancer EKA Millar et al 2 reviewed in detail in Sorlie et al, 2003 and Hu et al, 2006), MATERIALS AND METHODS suggesting that this poorer prognosis subtype may be under- represented using this definition. This discrepancy is most likely Study subjects explained by the fact that only approximately 30% of LB cancers Training cohort Cases were drawn from the St Vincent’s Campus are in fact HER2 positive (Carey et al, 2006). Although Outcome Cohort, which comprised 292 invasive ductal carcinomas proliferation is the key discriminator of luminal tumours, the treated between February 1992 and August 2002 at St Vincent’s optimal subclassification of luminal tumours by GEP has yet to be Hospital, Sydney, Australia. Ethics approval for use of tissue and defined (Weigelt et al, 2010b). Several studies have, however, clinicopathological data was granted by the Human Research shown that intrinsic subtype as defined by IHC ‘mirrors’ Ethics Committee of St Vincent’s Hospital, Sydney (Ref. SVH H94/ the subtypes identified by GEP and that the IHC subtypes so 080 and 00/036). A more detailed description of the clinicopatho- defined have distinct clinical outcomes (Neilsen et al, 2004; Abd logical characteristics of the cohort is published elsewhere (Millar El-Rehim et al, 2005; Cheang et al, 2008, 2009; Blows et al, 2010). et al, 2009a; Lo´pez-Knowles et al, 2010). In summary, 40% of Such IHC definitions are now in common clinical usage. tumours were 420 mm, 45% were grade 3, 43% were lymph node Some recent studies have addressed the issue of a more refined þ positive, 68% were ER positive, 57% were PR positive and 18% definition of good and poor prognosis ER cancer, and used a were HER2 fluorescent in situ hybridisation (FISH) positive modified IHC definition to include assessment of the proliferation (HER2:CEP17 ratio 42.2). Median age was 54 years, and patients marker Ki-67 (Cheang et al, 2009; Cuzick et al, 2009; Hugh et al, were treated with endocrine therapy (49%), chemotherapy (38%) 2009), which results in a larger proportion of LB tumours with or both (24%). Cases were prospectively followed up for a median independent prognostic power (Cheang et al, 2009). This latter of 64 months, and the outcome events measured were as follows: study defined a Ki67 cutpoint (14%) derived from GEP analyses. recurrence (local or distant; 25%), metastasis (23%) and breast This set of biomarkers more closely resembles the Oncotype Dx þ cancer-specific death (18%). This cohort was used to identify assay of known predictive and prognostic power in ER , lymph differences in expression of several cell cycle and apoptotic node-negative cancer, which is largely driven by proliferation, markers, including Ki67 and p53 (CM McNeil et al, manuscript in HER2- and ER-related genes (Paik et al, 2004). However, a recent preparation), between LA and B cancers using the following head to head comparison of a four IHC biomarker panel of ER, PR, definitions: LA: ER þ and/or PR þ and HER2 and LB: ER þ HER2 and Ki-67 (IHC 4) has been shown to provide prognostic and/or PR þ and HER2 þ . Using the median expression levels for information, which is at least equivalent to Oncotype Dx using Ki67 and p53 as the cutpoints (5% and 10%, respectively), we were material from the ATAC trial (Cuzick et al, 2009). This important able to demonstrate a significant difference in level of expression study identifies the robustness of prognostic data, which can be between LA and LB for these antigens (P ¼ 0.0158 and P ¼ 0.0061, provided by routine IHC. Some observers support the view that respectively). Subsequently, we modified our definition of LA and GEP currently offers no more that routine IHC when combined LB to include Ki67 and p53 status as follows: ‘LA’: ER þ and/or with important morphological features (not assessable by GEP), PR þ and HER2 , Ki67 low and p53 negative and ‘LB’: ER þ and/or such as lymphatic vascular invasion and lymph node status PR þ and/or HER2 þ and/or Ki67 high and/or p53 þ . Kaplan– (Weigelt and Reis-Filho, 2010). In addition, these routine analyses Meier analysis for breast cancer specific death showed a significant can be performed at a fraction of the cost of commercially available difference in outcome between these two groups of ER þ patients GEP tests. In addition, it also supports the concept that (P ¼ 0.0002) using this updated classifier (CM McNeil et al, measurement of a few well chosen protein products can identify manuscript in preparation). clinically significant patient groups (Ring et al, 2006). Histological grade is a key component of routine pathology reporting and of prognostic importance, but may, in some circumstances, be Study validation cohort In this biomarker study, tissue was affected by subjectivity, along with problems with inadequate or available from 498 patients (from a total of 688) with invasive delayed fixation, which can result in undergrading (Rakha et al, breast cancer who were enrolled into a randomised clinical trial, 2010). Incorporation of biomarkers as surrogates for molecular which compared the benefit of the addition of a local cavity boost grade into routine reporting may help more reliably define good of radiotherapy to breast-conserving therapy (BCT; Clinical Trials and poor prognosis patients, most significantly for grade 2 Registry NCT00138814). The study was conducted at St George, invasive carcinomas, which comprise 37–49% of all breast cancers Wollongong and Liverpool Hospitals, Sydney, New South Wales, (Rakha et al, 2010). Australia between 1996 and 2003 when the trial was closed to To further validate an IHC panel of markers for routine accrual. Follow-up for this analysis continued until September application in a clinical setting, we assessed a new biomarker panel 2008. Clinicopathological details are summarised in Supplemen- to differentiate good prognosis (LA) and poor prognosis (LB) tary Table 1, and have been previously published in detail Millar tumours in a cohort of predominantly ER þ early breast cancer et al (2009b). This study was approved by the Human Research patients enrolled in a randomised clinical trial of conservative Ethics Committee of the St George Hospital, Sydney, Australia (ref. surgery, post-operative whole breast radiotherapy and then no.: 96/84). The flow of patients through the trial is summarised in randomised to an additional cavity boost or not. We previously a CONSORT flow diagram (Figure 1). Patients were randomised described the clinical usefulness of a five biomarker panel (Millar using random blocking sequences set up before commencing of et al, 2009b; ER, PR, HER2, CK 5/6 and EGFR) and have further the study. Following patient consent, a person independent of the defined luminal tumours by including Ki-67 and p53 status, the study both generated the sequence and assigned participants to latter described in higher grade tumours, overexpressed more interventions as below. This was an unblinded study. frequently within LB (Sorlie, 2004; Jacquemier et al, 2008; Hugh All patients with invasive carcinoma received local excision and et al, 2009; Carey, 2010; Weigelt et al, 2010b) and as a predictor of axillary sentinel node biopsy or axillary clearance. Adjuvant endocrine resistance in some studies (Yamashita et al, 2006). chemotherapy (AC or CMF) was given to 23.7% of patients and These markers have easily available and well-characterised 44.9% received adjuvant endocrine therapy with tamoxifen. No antibodies in current use, which can be immediately applied to patients received adjuvant trastuzumab. For patients subsequently clinical practise. classified as modified ‘LA’, 49.5% received endocrine therapy and This study aimed to define the predictive value of a more refined 13.4% received chemotherapy, and those classified as modified luminal IHC biomarker signature in those patients who were ‘LB’ 55.7% received endocrine therapy and 25% received ER þ , with disease relapse and death from breast cancer as chemotherapy. Patients were randomised to whole breast radio- end-points. therapy of 50 Gy in 25 fractions or whole breast radiotherapy of
British Journal of Cancer (2011), 1 – 9 & 2011 Cancer Research UK Predicting failure in luminal breast cancer EKA Millar et al 3 CONSORT 2010 flow diagram
Enrollment *Assessed for eligibility (n =NK)
*Excluded (n =NK)
Randomized (n = 688)
Allocation Allocated to boost (n = 346) Allocated to no boost (n = 342) • Received boost (n = 338) ♦ Received no boost (n = 336) • Received no boost (n = 4): • Received boost (n = 6): error 1, patient choice 3 error 1, patient choice 4, medical 1 • Received reduced or no radiotherapy for • Received no radiotherapy (n = 2): medical reasons (n = 4) patient choice 1, medical 1
Follow-Up Lost to follow-up (n = 3) at 1, 8 and 9 years free Lost to follow-up (n = 1) because of patient of disease: withdrawal at 8 years after local recurrence. unable to contact 2 Included in analysis until loss to follow-up patient withdrawal 1 Included in analysis until loss to follow-up Tissue microarray not available for analysis Tissue microarray not available for analysis (n = 98) (n = 92)
Analysis
Tissue available for microarray analysis Tissue available for microarray analysis (n = 247) (n = 251)
Figure 1 *The trial recruited from three main centres (St George, Wollongong and Liverpool Hospitals). Although the total number of patients assessed for eligibility and excluded for all centres is not known, this data are available for the main recruiting centres at St Geroge Hospital, which contributed the majority of patients in the trial, n ¼ 546 (number assessed, n ¼ 2046; excluded, n ¼ 1500: not meeting criteria, n ¼ 943; declined to partcipate, n ¼ 235; other reasons, n ¼ 322; patients randomised in the trials, n ¼ 536).
45 Gy in 25 fractions plus a tumour bed boost of 16 Gy in eight Tissue microarray (TMA) construction, IHC and FISH fractions. Supraclavicular fields were not added unless there were four or more nodes positive. In all, 17 patients had positive TMAs were constructed from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded margins, 65 had clearance of o1 mm and a further 86 had o2mm tissue blocks, which were available from 498 invasive carcinomas, clearance, the remainder being well clear. HER2 status was using 1 mm diameter punches with up to three cores sampled from unknown at the time of treatment. each tumour. Antibodies used in IHC were Ki-67 (1 : 100, SP6 neomarkers), p53 (1:50, DO-7; Dako, Carpentaria, CA, USA), ER (1:100, 6F11; Dako), PR (1:200, PgR 636; Dako), CK 5/6 (1:80, Study definitions MAB1602; Chemicon International, Temecula, USA), EGFR (1:100, H11; Dako). Patients were assessed at 6 weeks after radiation therapy, All staining was performed using a Dako autostainer following 6 monthly for 2 years, then annually thereafter with annual breast antigen retrieval for all antibodies except for Ki-67, which was imaging. Follow-up time for this biomarker cohort was calculated performed on a Leica (Wetzlar, Germany)/Bond Max system using from the date of the first surgical procedure to the date of the first ER2 (high pH antigen retrieval). All staining was centrally assessed event, as outlined below, or to the last known confirmed date of by one breast Pathologist (EKAM). ER and PR were assessed as breast cancer disease-free status. Median follow-up time was 84 positive if a modified ‘H score’ (i.e., percentage intensity) was months (range 1–134 months). The primary end point was time to 410. CK5/6 and EGFR were considered positive if staining of any ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence (IBTR). This included any intensity was present (i.e., 40). Tumours were considered HER2 ipsilateral in-breast recurrence (invasive or non-invasive). The positive only if they were HER2 amplified on FISH using a HER2: secondary end points were locoregional recurrence (LRR: IBTR, chromosome 17 ratio 42.2 as positive. p53 and Ki-67 were axilla, chest wall, internal mammary or supraclavicular fossa considered positive if there was 410% positive average nuclear lymph nodes) and time to distant metastases and death. staining of any intensity.
& 2011 Cancer Research UK British Journal of Cancer (2011), 1 – 9 Predicting failure in luminal breast cancer EKA Millar et al 4 Classification of intrinsic molecular phenotype prognosis modified ‘LA’ as ER þ and/or PR þ and HER2 , Ki67 low and p53 ; and poor prognosis modified ‘LB’ as ER þ and/or Patients were initially subtyped based on the status of their PR þ and/or HER2 þ and/or Ki67 high and/or p53 þ . primary tumour as follows: ‘LA’: ER þ and/or PR þ and HER2 , and ‘LB’: ER þ and/or PR þ and HER2 þ ; HER2 enriched: ER and PR and HER2 þ , and basal: ER ,PR , HER2 , CK 5/6 þ Five-year survival rates, univariate analysis of LA and B and/or EGFR þ , unclassified (negative for all five markers). tumours for IBTR, LRR, distant metastasis-free survival Subsequently they were re-classified as modified ‘LA’: ER þ and/or (DMFS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) PR þ and Ki-67 low, p53 , HER2 ; modified ‘LB’: ER þ and/or PR þ and/or Ki-67 high and/or p53 þ and/or HER2 þ ; HER2 Using these updated definitions, 321 tumours (64.5%) were enriched: ER and PR and HER2 þ , and basal: ER ,PR , classified as LA and 96 as LB (19.3%). Thus, 73 previously LA HER2 , CK 5/6 þ and/or EGFR þ , unclassified (negative for all tumours were re-classified as LB (previously only 23 tumours were LB), five markers). that is, 4.2-fold increase (4.6–19.3%) with LB now comprising 23% of all ER þ tumours. We then examined the relative contribution of p53 and Ki67 to the updated classification of the 96 LB tumours: Statistical analyses 57 of 96 (59.4%) were p53 /Ki67 þ , 19 (19.7%) were p53 þ /Ki67 , 12 (12.5%) were p53 þ /Ki67 þ and 8 were Kaplan–Meier analyses for IBTR, LRR, distant disease-free þ survival and breast cancer-specific death were estimated for each p53 /Ki67 (HER2 ). subtype and compared using the log-rank test. We used Cox As previously described, no benefit of a tumour bed boost was proportional hazards univariate analysis to analyse the association observed in this group of patients (Millar et al, 2009b). At a between prognostic variables and molecular subtype with IBTR, median follow-up period of 84 months, the 5-year survival rates for LRR, metastases and breast cancer-specific death. Multivariate modified LA and modified LB, respectively, using the updated analysis (MVA) was used to construct models identifying those classifier were IBTR 99.3, 96.6%; LRR 99.7, 93.4%; DMFS 97, 87%; variables which were independently prognostic. Subsequently, and BCSS 99.7, 92.5%. Comparative analyses of the clinicopatho- step-wise removal of variables was used until resolution. Analyses logical features, crude event rates and univariate analyses of LA were performed using Statview 5.0 (Abacus systems, Berkeley, CA, and LB groups between the differing definitions are presented USA) and STATA 10.0 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX, USA). in Tables 1 and 2. Univariate Cox proportional hazards were The ANOVA was used to assess differences in expression of target calculated for each measure of outcome for Ki67 and p53 and the antigens as continuous variables between intrinsic subtypes. modified LA and LB subtypes, which are presented with crude event rates in Table 3. Further crude event rates for modified LA and LB for lymph node negative, lymph node positive and lymphatic vascular invasion are presented in Supplementary Table 2. RESULTS As expected, the updated classification resulted in increased numbers of events for all outcomes for LB and a reduction for LA. Assessment of Ki67 and p53 expression between LA and B þ tumours This is mirrored in LB by increases in LVI and LN status, with recurrence rates and death rates two to three times that of LA. Having identified differences in Ki67 and p53 in ER þ tumours in Univariate analyses showed that modified LA is a significant our training cohort, we then assessed the difference between LA predictor for all measures of outcome including IBTR (hazard ratio and B tumours in expression level of these two antigens in our (HR) 0.314, 95% CI 0.136–0.726, P ¼ 0.007) where it previously validation cohort (n ¼ 498). Within LB tumours in this cohort, we was close to but not statistically significant (P ¼ 0.051). Modified observed significantly higher levels of Ki-67 and p53 expression LB predicted DMFS and BCSS (P ¼ 0.005 and 0.003, respectively) (P ¼ 0.0008 and 0.0048, respectively). The median average value and approached significance for IBTR and LRR (P ¼ 0.07 and for both Ki67 and p53 within the validation cohort was 10%. 0.052, respectively) where previously it was not significant for Subsequently, we modified our working definition further for good any outcome measure. Ki67 predicted outcome for all measures
Table 1 Patient tumour characteristics and event rates classified by luminal phenotype
Whole cohort, Luminal A, Luminal B, Modified luminal A, Modified luminal B, n ¼ 498 (%) n ¼ 394 (79.1%) n ¼ 23 (4.6%) n ¼ 321(64.5%) n ¼ 96 (19.3%)
Patient tumour characteristics Size o20 mm 357 (70.3) 289 (73.4) 17 (73.9) 242 (75.4) 64 (66.7) LVI+ 79 (15.8) 62 (15.7) 4 (17.4) 43 (13.4) 23 (23.9) LN+ 146 (29.0) 117 (29.6) 5 (21.7) 86 (26.7) 36 (37.5) Grade 3 145 (29.1) 65 (16.5) 16 (69.5) 26 (8.1) 55 (57.3) EIC+ 45 (9.0) 29 (7.4) 5 (21.7) 23 (7.2) 11 (11.5) Median Age 61 62 57 62 61
Events Median follow-up 84 83.5 71 84 78 IBTR 24 (4.8) 15 (3.8) 2 (8.7) 9 (2.8) 8 (8.3) LRR 35 (7.0) 20 (5.1) 2 (8.7) 11 (3.4) 11 (11.5) DMFS 47 (9.4) 30 (7.6) 2 (8.7) 16 (4.9) 16 (16.7) BCSS 37 (7.4) 23 (5.8) 2 (8.7) 11 (3.4) 14 (14.6)
Abbreviations: BCSS ¼ breast cancer-specific survival; DMFS ¼ distant metastasis-free survival; EIC ¼ extensive intraduct carcinoma; ER+ ¼ oestrogen receptor positive; IBTR ¼ ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence; LN ¼ lymph node; LRR ¼ locoregional recurrence; LVI ¼ lymphatic/vascular invasion; PR+ ¼ progesterone receptor positive. Luminal A: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2 ; Luminal B: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2+; modified luminal A: ER+ and/or PR+, Ki67 low and p53 and HER2 ; modified luminal B: ER+ and/ or PR+ and/or Ki67 high and/or p53+ and/or HER2+.
British Journal of Cancer (2011), 1 – 9 & 2011 Cancer Research UK Predicting failure in luminal breast cancer EKA Millar et al 5 Table 2 Comparative 5 and 10 year event rates for luminal A and B
IBTR LRR DM BCSD
5 Year (%) 10 Year (%) 5 Year (%) 10 Year (%) 5 Year (%) 10 Year (%) 5 Year (%) 10 year (%)
Whole cohort (n ¼ 498) 12/498 (2.4) 23/498 (4.6) 21/498 (4.2) 35/498 (6.8) 34/498 (6.8) 47/498 (9.4) 18/498 (3.6) 37/498 (7.4) 12/24 (50) 23/24 (95.8) 21/35 (60) 35/35 (100) 34/47 (72.3) 47/47 (100) 18/37 (48.6) 37/37 (100) Luminal A (n ¼ 394) 4/394 (1) 14/394 (3.6) 8/394 (2) 19/394 (4.8) 19/394 (4.8) 30/394 (7.6) 7/394 (1.8) 23/394 (5.8) 4/15 (26.6) 14/15 (93.3) 8/20 (40) 19/20 (95) 19/30 (63.3) 30/30 (100) 7/23 (30.4) 23/23 (100) Luminal B (n ¼ 23) 1/23 (4.3) 2/23 (8.7) 1/23 (4.3) 2/23 (8.6) 2/23 (8.6) 2/23 (8.6) 1/23 (4.3) 2/23 (8.6) 1/2 (50) 2/2 (100) 1/2 (50) 2/2 (100) 2/2 (100) 2/2 (100) 1/2 (50) 2/2 (100) Modified luminal A (n ¼ 321) 2/321 (0.6) 9/321 (2.8) 3/321 (0.9) 11/321 (3.4) 9/321 (2.8) 16/321 (4.9) 1/321 (0.3) 11/321 (3.4) 2/9 (22.2) 9/9 (100) 3/11 (27) 11/11 (100) 9/16 (56.3) 16/16 (100) 1/11 (9.1) 11/11 (100) Modified luminal B (n ¼ 96) 3/96 (3.1) 7/96 (7.3) 6/96 (6.3) 10/91 (10.9) 12/96 (12.5) 16/96 (16.7) 7/96 (7.3) 14/96 (14.6) 3/8 (37.5) 7/8 (87.5) 6/11 (54.5) 10/11 (90.1) 12/16 (75) 16/16 (100) 7/14 (50) 14/14 (100)
Abbreviations: BCSD ¼ breast cancer-specific death; DM ¼ distant metastasis; ER+ ¼ oestrogen receptor positive; IBTR ¼ ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence; LRR ¼ locoregional recurrence; PR+ ¼ progesterone receptor positive. Modified luminal A: ER+ and/or PR+, Ki-67 low, p53 , HER2 ; modified luminal B: ER+ and/or PR+ and/or Ki-67 high and/or p53+ and/or HER2+. In the top row of each box, the denominator is the total number of patients within that patient group or subtype; in the bottom row of each box, the denominator is the total number of events for each group or subtype.
Table 3 Univariate crude rates and hazard ratio (Cox) for biomarkers and luminal phenotype
IBTR (n ¼ 24) LRR (n ¼ 35) DDFS (n ¼ 47) BCSS (n ¼ 37)
CR HR (95% CI) P CR HR (95% CI) P CR HR (95% CI) P CR HR (95% CI) P
Ki67 high 12/129 3.126 (1.390 – 7.029) 0.0008 19/129 3.759 (1.923 – 7.340) 0.0001 24/129 3.436 (1.926 – 6.130) o0.0001 22/129 4.948 (2.530 – 9.674) o0.0001 p53+ 3/57 1.067 (0.315 – 3.629) 0.916 5/57 1.290 (0.497 – 3.350) 0.601 11/57 2.566 (1.303 – 5.056) 0.006 11/57 3.523 (1.731 – 7.168) 0.0005 LA 15/394 0.433 (0.186 – 1.005) 0.051 20/394 0.333 (0.169 – 0.655) 0.002 30/394 0.446 (0.246 – 0.810) 0.008 23/394 0.414 (0.213 – 0.816) 0.009 LB 2/23 2.132 (0.500 – 9.098) 0.307 2/23 1.365 (0.327 – 5.697) 0.669 2/23 0.963 (0.233 – 3.971) 0.958 2/23 1.258 (0.302 – 5.234) 0.753 Modified LA 9/321 0.314 (0.136 – 0.726) 0.007 11/321 0.233 (0.113 – 0.478) o0.0001 16/321 0.263 (0.144 – 0.481) 0.0001 11/321 0.218 (0.108 – 0.441) o0.0001 Modified LB 8/96 2.217 (0.0.945 – 5.200) 0.07 11/96 2.036 (0.995 – 4.167) 0.052 16/96 2.351 (1.285 – 4.300) 0.005 14/96 2.733 (1.406 – 5.314) 0.003
Abbreviations: CI ¼ confidence interval; CR ¼ crude rate; DMFS ¼ distant metastasis-free survival; ER+ ¼ oestrogen receptor positive; HR ¼ hazard ratio; IBTR ¼ ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence; LA ¼ luminal A; LB ¼ luminal B; LRR ¼ locoregional recurrence; PR+ ¼ progesterone receptor positive. LA: ER+ and/or PR+ and HER2 ; LB: B ER+ and/or PR+ and HER2+; modified LA: ER+ and/or PR+, Ki-67 low, p53 , HER2 ; modified LB: ER+ and/or PR+ and/or Ki-67 high and/or p53+ and/or HER2+. Bold typescript indicates statistical significance.
(BCSS: HR 4.98, 95% CI 2.530–9.694, Po0.0001). p53 þ predicted predicted recurrence with no other prognostic variable or intrinsic DMFS and BCSS (HR 3.523, 95% CI 1.731–7.168, P ¼ 0.0005) but subtype reaching statistical significance. not IBTR or LRR. Locoregional recurrence Kaplan–Meier analysis of intrinsic subtype Luminal B (HR 3.612, 95% CI 1.555–8.340, P ¼ 0.003), basal, Kaplan–Meier analysis (log-rank test) comparing modified LA and unclassified and extensive intraduct carcinoma positive were inde- LB alone was significant for all measures of outcome IBTR pendent predictors of outcome in the final resolved model (Table 4). P ¼ 0.02, LRR P ¼ 0.002, DMFS and BCSS both Po0.0001 (Figure 2 inserts). This classifier also showed improvement in the degree of DMFS and BCSS statistical significance between all molecular subtypes compared with the previously reported five biomarker panel, which was Luminal B was an independent predictor of adverse outcome for observed for LRR P ¼ 0.0004 (previously 0.012), DMFS Po0.0001 both metastases and breast cancer-specific death in the final (previously 0.0035) and BCSS P ¼ 0.0001 (previously 0.048) but not resolved models (LB DMFS: HR 3.023, 95% CI 1.501–6.089, for IBTR (P ¼ 0.074, previously 0.346, Figure 2). Although LA had P ¼ 0.002; BCSS: HR 3.617, 95% CI 1.629–8.031, P ¼ 0.002), along an excellent prognosis, LB had adverse survival, similar to basal, with LVI, LN positivity, basal and unclassified (Table 4). HER2-enriched and unclassified subtypes. DISCUSSION MVA for IBTR, LRR, DMFS and BCSS Oestrogen receptor-positive early breast cancer is the commonest We then constructed multivariable models of clinicopathological form of the disease and tailoring treatment to individual patients is features and intrinsic subtype to assess predictive value and a priority. It is important to identify ER þ patients with a good compare HRs between intrinsic subtypes, using modified LA as a prognosis who will receive most benefit from endocrine therapy reference group. and receive little or no benefit from chemotherapy, and, therefore, avoid any toxicity. In addition, it is also beneficial to identify Ispilateral breast tumour recurrence patients who will have little or no benefit from endocrine therapy. GEP studies have consistently identified at least two groups of Only margin status (HR 3.158, 95% CI 1.067–9.348, P ¼ 0.378) and ER þ tumours; the less favourable LB group being characterised grade (HR 3.13, 95% CI 1.4–7.012, P ¼ 0.0055) independently by higher histological grade and higher expression of proliferation
& 2011 Cancer Research UK British Journal of Cancer (2011), 1 – 9 Predicting failure in luminal breast cancer EKA Millar et al 6 Ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence Locoregional recurrence 1 1
0.8 0.8
1 0.6 0.6 1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 p =0.02 0.4 0.2 p =0.002 p = 0.074 p = 0.0004 0.2
Cumulative survival 0.2 0 0.2 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Distant metastasis-free survival Breast cancer-specific survival 1 1
0.8 0.8
0.6 1 0.6 1 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 p <0.0001 0.4 p <0.0001 p <0.0001 0.2 p <0.0001 0.2 Cumulative survival 0.2 0.2 0 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Time in months Time in months Figure 2 Kaplan–Meier estimates for ipsilateral breast tumour recurrence, locoregional recurrence, distant metastasis-free survival and breast cancer- specific survival for all intrinsic subtypes and for luminal A vs luminal B (inserts). Luminal A n ¼ 321, luminal B n ¼ 96, basal n ¼ 52, HER2 enriched n ¼ 13, unclassified n ¼ 16.
and HER2-related genes, such as MKI67, MYBBL2, CCNB1, HER2 predictor of poor prognosis in MVA for LRR, DMFS and BCSS and GRB7, and lower levels of ER-related genes. Although but not for IBTR for the whole cohort. As well as demonstrating its there is some consistency in the recognition of these differing superior predictive power over the most frequently used classifier subgroups between GEP studies, there is some doubt as to the or ER, PR, HER2 alone, we also performed additional analyses to stability of the classifiers used by different single sample predictors make a comparison with ER þ breast cancer classified by hormone (Weigelt et al, 2010b) and most assays are not yet ready for routine receptor (HR) status alone (data not shown). Some studies have clinical use (De Ronde et al, 2010). As a result, a simple and shown a significant difference in outcome between double-positive relatively cheap test using IHC surrogates would be easier to (i.e., ER þ PR þ ) and single-receptor positive HR status (i.e., transfer into clinical practise. Various combinations of markers ER þ PR or ER PR þ , Rakha et al, 2007). This latter group may have been assessed to develop a robust IHC panel for routine correspond to the LB subtype (Rakha et al, 2009). Our further pathology reporting, most recently adding Ki67 to ER, PR, HER2 to analyses of these subgroups demonstrated that HR status alone better assess proliferative luminal tumours (Cheang et al, 2009; was inferior to our updated five biomarker classifier: in univariate Hugh et al, 2009). Assessing ER þ tumours with surrogates for analysis good prognosis double-positive status (ER þ PR þ ) was molecular grade may strengthen patient selection as histological only statistically predictive for distant metastases and death (not grade can be compromised in some specimens because of sub- IBTR or LRR) and single-positive status (i.e., poor prognosis ‘LB’) optimal fixation. was not predictive for any measure of outcome in univariate Using an independent discovery cohort of 292 patients, we analysis. identified a significant difference in expression in Ki-67 and p53 Our updated classification of ER þ disease also improves the within ER þ cancers, which was associated with differences statistical significance in survival between all intrinsic subtypes, in clinical outcomes (breast-cancer specific death; CM McNeil where the adverse survival and HR of our poor prognosis ‘LB’ et al, manuscript in preparation). These findings were subse- group is three times that of ‘LA’ and closer to that of HER2- quently validated in a detailed analysis of 498 early breast cancer enriched and basal subtypes. One limitation of this study is that patients, in which we compared good and poor prognosis ‘LA’ and recurrence rates may be over estimated for LB, as the prognosis of ‘LB’ IHC signatures, which included Ki-67 and p53 in addition to HER2-positive LB tumours (24% of all LB tumours) would ER, PR and HER2. This updated definition provided superior currently be modified by the benefits of Herceptin treatment predictive power and better discrimination between the two (which was not used in this study) and an underestimate for LA, as groups of luminal tumours for all measures of outcome. In all, only 44.9% of patients received adjuvant tamoxifen. An additional 73 previously LA tumours were reclassified as LB, increasing the limitation of this study is the difference in cut points used for Ki67 size of the ‘LB’ group by 4four-fold from 4.6 to 19.7% of the positivity where the training cohort median was 5% and the cohort, better reflecting GEP estimates of the size of the LB validation cohort median was 10%. Although we have identified population. Using this definition, ‘LB’ was an independent good and poor prognostic groups with our signature, the relatively
British Journal of Cancer (2011), 1 – 9 & 2011 Cancer Research UK Predicting failure in luminal breast cancer EKA Millar et al 7 Table 4 Cox proportional hazards multivariate models number of events may provide narrower confidence intervals, which along with assessment of the hazard ratio will determine the Variable HR 95% CI P likely clinical significance derived from this panel of markers. These findings suggest a potential role for this biomarker panel Locoregional recurrence in better defining groups of ER þ cancer of low and high Grade 3 1.938 0.823 –4.568 0.130 Size420 mm 0.861 0.408 –1.817 0.694 molecular grade, allowing better selection of patients for endocrine LN+ 2.188 1.054 –4.542 0.036 therapy alone or with AC. Although Ki67 alone identifies LVI 1.286 0.546 –3.026 0.564 approximately 60% of LB tumours, p53 adds a further 20% of EIC+ 3.136 1.328 –7.405 0.009 cases, 12% are positive for both markers, 8% are negative for both but HER2 positive. This study builds upon previous work (Cheang Subtype et al, 2009) using a cut point for optimal determination of ‘high’ Modified LA (reference) 1.0 Ki-67 proliferation rate at 14% through correlation with the Modified LB 2.483 0.982 –6.281 0.055 PAM50 classifier using RT–PCR. They identified a LB population, Basal 3.939 1.281 –12.114 0.017 which was 42% of the cohort (includes their LB and luminal HER2 HER2 1.931 0.382 –9.754 0.426 Unclassified 4.471 0.926 –21.59 0.062 cases). Although the cut point of 14% correlates with GEP estimates it may, in practical terms, be difficult to discern by Resolved model IHC. Ki67 has long been analysed in breast cancer cohorts with EIC+ 2.476 1.070 –5.730 0.034 varied results in terms of its predictive value. A recent review has Modified LB 3.612 1.555 –8.340 0.003 recommended its inclusion as a routine biomarker in breast cancer Basal 5.541 2.279 –13.47 o0.001 (Yerushalmi et al, 2010), but its application as a stand alone HER2 3.549 0.764 –16.51 0.106 biomarker has been debated (Stuart-Harris et al, 2008). Therefore, Unclassified 4.913 1.077 –22.42 0.040 its inclusion in a panel to help define molecular grade and better subtype ‘LA’ and ‘LB’ cancers is independently prognostic and Distant metastasis free survival Grade 3 1.100 0.529 –2.287 0.879 valuable. However, its role as a predictive marker appears less Size420 mm 1.372 0.742 –2.540 0.313 certain. A pre- and post-biopsy analysis of endocrine treated LN+ 3.822 2.036 –7.175 o0.001 breast cancer has demonstrated that only the post-treatment LVI 1.832 0.960 –3.499 0.067 tumour Ki67 (at 2 weeks) was predictive of response to endocrine therapy, whereas baseline Ki67 was not (Dowsett et al, 2007). High Subtype Ki67 status in BIG 1–98 suggested a potential benefit in selecting Modified LA (reference) 1.0 letrozole over tamoxifen in post-menopausal patients (Viale et al, Modified LB 2.872 1.326 –6.222 0.007 2008). Most recently a significant study identified that the Basal 3.273 1.139 –9.396 0.028 prognostic information provided by ‘IHC4’ (ER, PR, HER2 and HER2 1.825 0.386 –8.639 0.448 Unclassified 9.902 3.269 –29.99 o0.001 Ki-67) was at least equivalent to Oncotype Dx (Cuzick et al, 2009) and highlights the relevance of these readily available routine Resolved model pathology markers in the clinical management of breast cancer. LN+ 4.013 2.154 –7.477 o0.001 p53 overexpression in breast cancer assessed by IHC is, rather LVI 2.011 1.075 –3.764 0.029 over simplistically, assumed to act as a surrogate for TP53 mutations Modified LB 3.023 1.501 –6.089 0.002 and is associated with higher tumour grade and responsiveness to Basal 3.902 1.657 –9.191 0.002 radiotherapy, chemotherapy and endocrine therapy (Thompson and HER2 2.064 0.472 –9.026 0.336 o Lane, 2010). Although the p53 pathway is undoubtedly highly Unclassified 10.87 3.882 –30.461 0.001 complex, its assessment by IHC does appear to provide meaningful Breast cancer specific death information. p53 mutations are more frequent in the LB group Grade 3 1.307 0.570 –2.997 0.527 compared with LA (Weigelt et al, 2010a), being described in 71% of Size420 mm 1.879 0.927 –3.807 0.080 LB tumours but only 16% of LA (Sorlie, 2004). p53 currently LN+ 4.535 2.153 –9.553 o0.001 features as one of five antibodies in the Mammostrat (Clarient, Inc., LVI 2.085 1.030 –4.223 0.041 Aliso Viejo, CA, USA) IHC test shown to be of predictive value in ER þ , tamoxifen-treated early breast cancer (Ring et al, 2006; Subtype Bartlett et al, 2010). Mammostrat uses a five IHC panel (p53, Modified LA (ref) 1.0 HTF9C, CEACAM5, NDRG1, SLC7A5) with an algorithm that is Modified LB 3.084 1.280 –7.431 0.012 independent of ER and PR status to identify low-, medium- and Basal 3.780 1.155 –12.37 0.028 HER2 2.095 0.412 –10.65 0.373 high-risk groups. The initial published study (Ring et al,2006) Unclassified 8.167 1.997 –33.40 0.003 demonstrated HRs of 1.8 and 2.3 (training and validation cohorts, respectively) for high risk compared with the low and medium risks Resolved model for disease recurrence. Elevated expression of p53 was observed by LN+ 4.906 2.353 –10.22 o0.001 IHC in our cohorts and appeared to be a useful classifier and was LVI 2.518 1.267 –5.004 0.008 included in the updated definition of poor prognosis ‘LB’ cancer. Modified LB 3.617 1.629 –8.031 0.002 Although the number of events was small, additional explora- o Basal 5.715 2.173 –15.03 0.001 tory multivariate analyses for patients treated with tamoxifen alone HER2 2.907 0.641 –13.17 0.166 (n ¼ 169, 10 events) showed that the poor prognosis ‘LB’ definition Unclassified 10.37 2.801 –38.42 o0.001 retained independent prognostic significance in the final resolved Abbreviations: CI ¼ confidence interval; EIC+ ¼ extensive intraduct component of model for breast cancer specific death (HR 5.361, 95% CI 1.418– DCIS ¼ ductal carcinoma in situ;HR¼ hazard ratio; LA ¼ luminal A; LB ¼ luminal B; 20.25, P ¼ 0.013). This finding suggests that ‘LB’ has five times the LN ¼ lymph node; LVI ¼ lymphatic vascular invasion. Bold typescript indicates risk of death compared with ‘LA’ in patients treated with endocrine statistical significance. therapy. The predictive value of this classification would however require further testing within the setting of a randomised trial of wide confidence intervals, which reflect the small numbers of endocrine therapy. events, strongly suggests the importance of further independent Our updated definition of ER þ cancer translates into an IBTR- validation. Further analyses in a larger data set with a greater free survival at 5 years of 99.3% for LA and 96.6% LB, LRR-free
& 2011 Cancer Research UK British Journal of Cancer (2011), 1 – 9 Predicting failure in luminal breast cancer EKA Millar et al 8 survival 99.7 and 93.4%. A similar recent study using ER, PR and those at risk of early relapse who may benefit from more frequent Ki67 in the definition for LA and LB found local recurrence-free follow-up and early intervention with alternative therapies and/or rates at 10 years of 92% for LA and 90% for LB (Voduc et al, 2010). chemotherapy. Further, larger studies in randomised clinical trials Importantly, our findings further support the observations of this of endocrine therapy are required to assess the clinical utility of group, who found that LB was associated with increased risk of this classification and its value as a predictor of therapeutic LRR. These results highlight the role of proliferation and grade, responsiveness. mirrored by the Oncotype Dx assay (Mamounas et al, 2005), as a predictor of locoregional recurrence, and may help further refine patient selection regarding therapy for optimal locoregional ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS control. A subsequent study analysed patterns of metastases and found both LA and LB had a predilection for bone as a metastatic We thank the National Health and Medical Research Council of site and found that LB had a distant relapse rate similar to basal Australia (Program Grant 535903, Project Grant 535947, the tumours at 15 years (Kennecke et al, 2010). In summary, this study Fellowship 427601 RLS), the Cancer Institute New South Wales suggests that good and poor prognosis ER þ breast cancers can be (Translational Program Grant 10/TPG/1-04), the Cancer Australia reliably and easily discriminated using Ki67 and p53 in addition (Project Grant 626201), the Petre Foundation and the RT Hall to ER, PR and HER2 in routine pathology IHC. This definition Trust. greatly enhances the detection of poor prognosis ER þ ‘LB’ breast cancers, with an outcome closer to that of basal and HER2- enriched tumours. This approach may help more reliably define Supplementary Information accompanies the paper on British groups of ER þ patients with an excellent prognosis and identify Journal of Cancer website (http://www.nature.com/bjc)
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J Pathol 220: 401–403 Wolmark N (2004) A multigene assay to predict recurrence of Viale G, Giobbie-Hurder A, Regan MM, Coates AS, Mastropasqua MG, tamoxifen-treated, node-negative breast cancer. N Engl J Med 351: Dell’Orto P, Maiorano E, MacGrogan G, Braye SG, Ohlschlegel C, Neven 2817– 2826 P, Orosz Z, Olszewski WP, Knox F, Thu¨rlimann B, Price KN, Castiglione- Perou CM, Sørlie T, Eisen MB, van de Rijn M, Jeffrey SS, Rees CA, Gertsch M, Gelber RD, Gusterson BA, Goldhirsch A, Breast International Pollack JR, Ross DT, Johnsen H, Akslen LA, Fluge O, Pergamenschikov Group Trial 1–98 (2008) Prognostic and predictive value of centrally A, Williams C, Zhu SX, Lønning PE, Børresen-Dale AL, Brown PO, reviewed Ki-67 labelling index in postmenopausal women with endo- Botstein D (2000) Molecular portraits of human breast tumours. Nature crine-responsive breast cancer: results from Breast International Group 406: 747–752 trial 1– 98 comparing adjuvant tamoxifen with letrozole. J Clin Oncol 26: Rakha EA, El Sayed ME, Green AR, Paish EC, Powe DG, Gee J, 5569– 5575 Nicholson RI, Lee AHS, Robertson JFR, Ellis IO (2007) Biologic and Voduc KD, Cheang MCU, Tyldesley S, Gelmon K, Nielsen TO, Kennecke H clinical characteristics of breast cancer with single hormone receptor- (2010) Breast cancer subtypes and the risk of local and regional relapse. positive phenotype. J Clin Oncol 25: 4772–4778 J Clin Oncol 28: 1684– 1691 Rakha EA, Reis-Filho JS, Baehner F, Dabbs DJ, Decker T, Eusebi V, Fox SB, Weigelt B, Baehner FL, Reis-Filho JS (2010a) The contribution of gene Ichihara S, Jacquemier J, Lakhani SR, Palacios J, Richardson AL, expression profiling to breast cancer classification, prognostication and Schnitt SJ, Schmitt FC, Tan PH, Tse GM, Badve S, Ellis IO (2010) Breast prediction: a retrospective of the last decade. J Pathol 220: 263–280 cancer prognostic classification in the molecular era: the role of WeigeltB,MackayA,A’hernR,NatrajanR,TanDS,DowsettM,AshworthA, histological grade. Breast Cancer Res 12: 207 Reis-Filho JS (2010b) Breast cancer molecular profiling with single Rakha EA, Reis-Filho JS, Ellis IO (2009) Combinatorial biomarker sample predictors: a retrospective analysis. Lancet Oncol 11: 339–349 expression in breast cancer. Breast Can Res Treat 120: 293–308 Weigelt B, Reis-Filho JS (2010) Molecular profiling currently offers no more Ring BZ, Seitz RS, Beck R, Shasteen WJ, Tarr SM, Cheang MC, Yoder BJ, than tumour morphology and basic immunohistochemistry. Breast Budd GT, Nielsen TO, Hicks DG, Estopinal NC, Ross DT (2006) Cancer Res 12(Suppl 4): 55 Novel prognostic immunohistochemical biomarker panel for estrogen Yamashita H, Toyama T, Nishio M, Ando Y, Hamaguchi M, Zhang Z, receptor-positive breast cancer. J Clin Oncol 24: 3039–3047 Kobayashi S, Fujii Y, Iwase H (2006) p53 protein accumulation predicts Sorlie T (2004) Molecular portraits of breast cancer: tumour subtypes as resistance to endocrine therapy and decreased post-relapse survival in distinct disease entities. Eur J Cancer 40: 2667– 2675 metastatic breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res 8: R48 Sørlie T, Perou CM, Tibshirani R, Aas T, Geisler S, Johnsen H, Hastie T, Yerushalmi R, Woods R, Ravdin PM, Hayes MM, Gelmon KA (2010) Ki67 Eisen MB, van de Rijn M, Jeffrey SS, Thorsen T, Quist H, Matese JC, in breast cancer: prognostic and predictive potential. Lancet Oncol 11: Brown PO, Botstein D, Eystein Lønning P, Børresen-Dale AL (2001) Gene 174–183
& 2011 Cancer Research UK British Journal of Cancer (2011), 1 – 9
Supplementary Table 1. Patient baseline characteristics, treatments and outcomes. Characteristic No of patients (%) Median Range Length of follow-up (months) 498 84 1-134 Age (years) 61 24-84 Tumor size (mm) 16 1-60 T1a (1- 5) 4 (0.8) T1b (6 -10) 77(16.3) T1c (11-20) 270(54.2) T2 (21-50) 136(27.3) T3 (>50) 1(0.2) Tumor Grade 1 167 (33.5) 2 185 (37.1) 3 145 (29.1) Lymph node metastases 146(29.3) N0 339(69.9) N1 (1-3) 128 (25.7) N2 (4-10) 17(3.5) N3 (>10) 2 (0.4) LN unsampled 12 (2.4) ER+ 393 (78.9) PR+ 334( 68.3) HER-2 amplified (FISH) 36 (7.2) Luminal A 394 (79.1) Modified Luminal A 321 (64.5%) Luminal B 23 (4.6) Modified Luminal B 96 (19.3%) Basal-like 52 (10.4) HER-2 13 (2.6) Unclassified 16 (3.2) Triple negative 68 (13.6) Margin + 17 (3.4) Cavity boost positive 247 (49.5) Cavity boost negative 251 (50.5) Endocrine therapy 223 (44.7) Chemotherapy 117 (23.4) Endocrine & chemotherapy 48 (9.6) Patients with IBTR 24 (4.8) Patients with LRR 35 (7) Patients with distant metastases 47 (9.4) Breast cancer specific deaths 37 (7.4) 5 year IBTR free survival 97.4% 5 year LRR free survival 95.6% 5 year DDFS 92.9% 5 year breast cancer-specific survival 96.3% SupplementaryTable2.CrudeeventratesforLuminalAandLuminalBaccordingtolymphnodeandlymphaticvascularstatus.
IBTRLRR DistantMetastases BreastCancerDeath
n 5yr(%) 10yr(%) 5yr(%) 10yr(%) 5yr(%) 10yr(%) 5yr(%) 10yr(%)
LNͲ LA223 1/223(0.4) 6/223(2.7) 2/223(0.9) 8/223(3.6) 2/223(2.7) 6/223(2.7)) 1/223(0.4) 4/223(1.8)
LB60 1/60(1.7) 2/60(3.3) 2/60(3.3) 4/60(6.7) 4/60(6.7) 5/60(8.3) 2/60(3.3) 3/60(5)
LN+ LA86 1/86(1.2) 3/86(3.5) 1/86(1.2) 3/86(3.5) 7/86(8.1) 10/86(11.6) 0/86(0) 7/86(8.1)
LB36 2/36(5.5) 5/36(13.9) 4/36(11.1) 6/36(16.7) 8/36(22.2) 11/36(30.5) 6/36(16.7) 11/36(30.5)
LVI+ LA43 0/43(0) 0/43(0) 0/43(0) 0/43(0) 3/43(6.9) 4/43(9.3) 0/43(0) 3/43(6.9)
LB23 1/23(4) 3/23(13) 4/23(17.4) 5/23(21.7) 5/23(21.7) 8/23(34.7) 4/23(17.4) 8/23(34.7)
IBTR:ipsilateralbreasttumorrecurrence,LRR:locoregionalrecurrence,LNͲ:lymphnodenegative,LN+:lymphnodepositive,LVI+:lymphaticvascular invasionpositive,LA:luminalAER+and/orPR+,HER2Ͳ,KI67low,p53Ͳ;LB:luminalB:ER+and/orPR+andHER2+and/orKi67highand/orp53+.LNstatus wasnotassessedin12LApatients.
Radiation Oncology Australasian Radiology (2006) 50, 578–582
Supraclavicular radiotherapy must be limited laterally by the coracoid to avoid significant adjuvant breast nodal radiotherapy lymphoedema risk
P Graham, R Jagavkar†, L Browne and E Millar‡ Cancer Care Centre, St George Hospital, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
SUMMARY
This cross-sectional study aimed to investigate the effect of supraclavicular fossa (SCF) radiotherapy volumes as well as patient characteristics and nodal pathology on the development of lymphoedema. Ninety-one women who had received SCF nodal radiotherapy after axillary dissection were evaluated. Lymphoedema was defined by two measure- ments: limb volume difference 200 mL, or circumference difference 10 cm proximal or distal to the olecranon .2 cm. On univariate analysis, the addition of axillary to SCF radiotherapy, increasing width of the SCF field, increasing age, presence of extracapsular extension of nodal involvement and use of hormone treatment was associ- ated with lymphoedema by either one or both definitions. For both definitions of lymphoedema, on multivariate analysis, increasing nodal radiotherapy volume remained significant (P = 0.02 to 0.007), as did increased age (P = 0.05 to 0.001). We conclude that conventionally fractionated SCF radiotherapy limited laterally by the coracoid process has a lymphoedema risk similar to that expected from axillary dissection alone and a lower risk than wider SCF fields with or without an axillary boost.
Key words: breast lymphoedema, radiotherapy.
INTRODUCTION often used to avoid the potential lymphoedema risk of axillary Adjuvant postmastectomy loco-regional radiotherapy confers irradiation in addition to dissection. However, the evidence that substantial local control and also potential survival advantages. SCF irradiation does not add to the lymphoedema risk of axillary The necessity of treating all nodal volumes to achieve these dissection is limited. This study was conducted to assess how benefits is uncertain and remains the subject of ongoing stu- SCF radiotherapy volumes affect the risk of lymphoedema. dies. One of the major potential morbidities from this treatment approach is lymphoedema. Lymphoedema rates of approxi- METHODS mately 10% occur after axillary irradiation alone or after axillary This study was undertaken with ethics approval from the dissection alone; however, the frequency increases to over South Eastern Sydney Area Health Service. All participants 30% when surgery and radiotherapy are combined.1 Supra- gave written consent. One hundred and ninety-seven women clavicular fossa (SCF) irradiation without axillary irradiation is recorded as having received nodal as well as breast or chest
P Graham MB BS, FRANZCR, Cert Biothics, Grad Dip Med Stat; R Jagavkar MB BS, FRANZCR; L Browne BSc, PhD, Grad Dip Med Stat, AStat; E Millar FRCPath, FRCPA. Correspondence: Associate Professor P Graham, Cancer Care Centre, Short Street, St George Hospital, Kogarah, NSW 2217, Australia. Email: [email protected] Present address: †R Jagavkar, Department of Radiotherapy, St Vincents Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. ‡E Millar, Department of Anatomical Pathology, South Eastern Laboratory Service, St George Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. Submitted 16 January 2006; accepted 10 April 2006. doi: 10.1111/j.1440-1673.2006.01658.x
ª 2006 The Authors Journal compilationª 2006 Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Radiologists SUPRACLAVICULAR RADIOTHERAPY LYMPHOEDEMA 579 wall radiotherapy between 1993 and 2000 on the department field limited by the coracoid process. The remaining 78 patients database were invited to attend for formal measurement of arm were considered to have had at least partial axillary irradiation if circumferences. Circumference measurements were taken the SCF field extended lateral to the coracoid process. An AB every 10 cm from the extended fingertips. From these, volumes posterior field was used in 56 patients with a dose of 50 Gy were calculated according to the disc volume method.2 Lym- prescribed to the midplane in 24 fractions. The humeral head phoedema was defined as .200 mL difference in calculated was shielded whenever fields extended over the humerus. volume (VOLD).3 A secondary measure defined lymphoedema as 2 cm difference in circumferences 10 cm above or below Statistical methods the olecranon (DPD).4 As patients were not randomized into treatment groups, com- Selection of patients for nodal radiotherapy and extent was parison of patient baseline characteristics were by one-way by treating clinician discretion; however, cases were routinely ANOVA or by x2 test. The primary a priori hypothesis was that presented for discussion at a multidisciplinary team meeting. SCF-only irradiation resulted in less lymphoedema compared Department guidelines included a threshold of .3 lymph nodes with SCF plus axillary irradiation. Volume difference and DPD positive or a combination of other factors such as lympho- were analysed using logistic regression. Univariate correlations vascular invasion with medial tumours when fewer than four are reported. Multivariate analysis initially included all variables nodes were involved. Criteria for adding a posterior axillary boost with P , 0.25 and in a backwards stepwise process non- (AB) included no axillary surgery or a small sample, .70% of significant variables were excluded. lymph nodes positive, .10 lymph nodes involved or extracap- sular extension. After 1999, extracapsular extension was disre- RESULTS garded as an indication at the multidisciplinary team meetings. Of 197 women recorded to have received nodal radiotherapy, Most postmastectomy radiotherapy patients underwent nodal 106 were still alive and also agreed to attend for measurements. radiotherapy but the extent was variable. This was particularly Of these, six had not received SCF nodal radiotherapy and the case for those with T stage .2 but node negative. were excluded. A further nine were excluded, as the indication Photons (6 MeV) were used for all radiotherapy fields. for nodal radiotherapy was management of the axilla without Supraclavicular fossa fields were matched to tangential chest surgery. None of the assessed women had evidence of loco- wall fields using a half beam block on the SCF and couch rota- regional failure. Volume difference measurements were obtained tion on the tangential fields. Supraclavicular fossa fields for 85 women and DPD measurements for 89. Baseline patient received 50 Gy in 25 fractions typically prescribed to a depth and treatment characteristics are summarized in Table 1. of 2 cm. The medial border extended to the lateral border of the Overall, the rate of VOLD-defined lymphoedema was 36/85 pedicles. Thirteen patients had the lateral border of the SCF (42%) and DPD-defined lymphoedema was 40/89 (45%).
Table 1. Baseline patient demographics, pathology and treatment
Group SCF Wide SCF Axillary boost All P-value n 13 22 56 91 (if less than 0.25) Mean Range Mean Range Mean Range Mean Range
Age (years) 43 33–81 57 25–83 58 34–90 56 25–90 0.003 Body mass index 26 18–33 27 19–43 27 16–40 27 16–43 — Nodes sampled 17 12–27 20 10–37 16 1–33 17 1–37 — Nodes positive 4 0–9 3 0–11 9 0–30 7 0–30 0.004 Width of field (cm) 9.5 8–11 15.5 10–18 16.5 11–20 15.3 8–20 ,0.001 Time since XRT (years) 3.7 1.5–6.9 3.4 1.4–7.8 4.6 0.8–7.6 4.2 0.8–7.8 0.008
n % n % n % n %
Dominant hand (Y : N)† 9:4 69:31 11:10 52:48 29:27 52:48 49:41 54:46 — Tumour stage (3,4:1,2) 4:9 31:69 5:17 23:77 13:43 23:77 22:69 24:76 — Nodal status (positive : negative) 10:3 77:23 16:6 73:27 53:3 95:5 79:12 87:13 0.02 Number of positive nodes 0:8:5 0:62:38 1:9:12 5:41:54 19:26:11 34:46:20 20:43:28 22:47:31 0.002 (.10:4–10:0–3) Extracapsular extension (Y : N) 5:7 42:58 8:14 36:64 44:9 83:17 57:30 66:34 ,0.001 Chemotherapy (Y : N) 11:2 85:15 13:9 59:41 34:22 61:39 58:33 64:36 0.24 Hormone therapy (Y : N) 7:6 54:46 18:4 82:18 43:13 77:23 68:23 75:25 0.16
†Dominant hand indicates if surgery was on the side of the dominant hand. Number of cases with missing values: body mass index 4, dominant hand 1, extracapsular extension 4. SCF, supraclavicular fossa; XRT, radiotherapy; Y : N, yes : no; —, not applicable.
ª 2006 The Authors Journal compilationª 2006 Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Radiologists 580 P GRAHAM ET AL.
Table 2. Presence of lymphoedema scored by VOLD and 10 cm DPD
SCF Wide SCF Axillary boost P-value n % (95%CI†) n % (95%CI) n % (95%CI)
VOLD 1/13 8 (0–36) 7/21 33 (11–55) 28/51 55 (41–69) 0.003 DPD 2/13 15 (2–45) 6/22 27 (7–47) 32/54 59 (46–73) 0.002
†Binomial exact. CI, confidence interval; DPD, distal/proximal circumference difference; SCF, supraclavicular fossa; VOLD, volume difference.
The use of axillary irradiation increased lymphoedema rates section. Consequently, they may elect to omit the properly significantly whether defined by the use of a posterior AB field dissected axilla from irradiation volumes even when regional (P = 0.004) or subdivided by any irradiation lateral to the cora- radiotherapy is used, on the assumption that this avoids the coid (P = 0.002; Table 2). The severity of lymphoedema was increased lymphoedema risk. Although this appears to be a greater in wide-field SCF or SCF 1 AB (Table 3). The results of reasonable assumption, there is very little evidence in the pub- univariate analysis of other potential predictive factors are in lished reports which specifically supports this assumption. Tables 4 and 5. Other factors associated with lymphoedema Our study has limited numbers, but is unique in that it spe- by both definitions were increased age, extracapsular extension cifically addresses the technical or geometric issues of SCF and field width. Hormone therapy was also associated with radiotherapy and also has used full arm volume measurements DPD. Multivariate analysis resulted in axillary irradiation and to evaluate the end-point of lymphoedema. The result does increasing age remaining the only significant factors for lympho- support the hypothesis that SCF radiotherapy volumes, which edema measured by VOLD or DPD (Table 6). fully exclude axillary irradiation, will lower the lymphoedema risk substantially. Our study suggests that SCF fields which stray DISCUSSION more laterally than the coracoid will increase the risk of lympho- In women who have not had any nodal radiotherapy, expected edema above that of fields restricted medial to a boundary rates of lymphoedema are low. In our own prospective random- which we defined radiologically by the coracoid process. Com- ized breast boost trial, lymphoedema has been monitored using pared with our breast boost series of patients treated without the DPD definition.5 Of 217 women available for 4-year assess- SCF radiotherapy, SCF radiotherapy without axillary radio- ment (approximating the median follow up in this lymphoedema therapy does not appear to give a substantially higher risk of study) who had undergone axillary dissection but no nodal lymphoedema than axillary dissection without SCF radiotherapy. radiotherapy, 21 (10%) had lymphoedema. The push for senti- One study which compared lymphoedema rates for SCF nal node surgery in early stage breast cancer relates to the fields versus SCF fields plus a posterior AB reported no signif- substantial morbidity of axillary dissection, including lymphoe- icant difference with rates of lymphoedema 6 of 15 (40%) and dema. For more advanced breast cancer, more extensive radio- 42 of 136 (31%), respectively.1 However, the SCF fields in that therapy is commonly used. In addition to the well established study were not restricted to volumes medial to the coracoid and local control advantages of loco-regional radiotherapy, there routine shielding of the humeral head was required. That study are several, large randomized trials which show survival advant- did not use limb volumes for comparison, but did subdivide ages using full nodal radiotherapy (internal mammary chain, lymphoedema rates into minimal, moderate and severe axilla and SCF) as well as chest wall irradiation and systemic (2 cm, 2–4 cm and .4 cm difference in arm circumferences therapy.6 These reported relatively low morbidity rates attached 10 cm above or below the olecranon). Five of six (83%) versus to the radiotherapy, possibly because of less extensive nodal 14 of 42 (33%) (P = 0.03; Fisher’s exact test) had only mild surgery reflected in lower numbers of lymph nodes in the dis- lymphoedema for SCF versus SCF 1 AB, respectively. This sections. Many radiation oncologists and patients remained indirectly supports our observation that a SCF field, which concerned by other evidence of substantial increases in lympho- includes tissue lateral to the coracoid, has lymphoedema con- edema when axillary irradiation is added to axillary dis- sequences intermediate between SCF only versus SCF 1 AB.
Table 3. Severity of lymphoedema
SCF Wide SCF Axillary boost P-value
Volume difference (cc) n Mean n Mean n Mean 13 35 21 235 51 314 0.03 Distal or proximal difference .4cm: 4cm n % n % n % 0:13 0:100 2:20 9:91 12:42 22:78 0.09
SCF, supraclavicular fossa.
ª 2006 The Authors Journal compilation ª 2006 Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Radiologists SUPRACLAVICULAR RADIOTHERAPY LYMPHOEDEMA 581
Table 4. Univariate analysis of lymphoedema scored by volume dif- Table 6. Multivariate models ference n Odds 95% P-value Global n Odds 95% P- Global ratio confidence P-value ratio confidence value P-value interval interval Lymphoedema scored by volume difference Treatment field 85 — — — 0.003* Treatment field 85 — — — — Wide SCF versus AB 21:51 0.41 0.14–1.18 0.10 — Wide SCF 21:51 0.39 0.13–1.16 0.09 — SCF versus AB 13:51 0.07 0.01–0.57 0.01 — versus AB Age (years) 85 1.05 1.01–1.08 0.008* — SCF versus AB 13:51 0.10 0.01–0.88 0.04 — Body mass index 82 1.03 0.95–1.11 0.50 — Age (years) 85 1.04 1.00–1.07 0.05 0.02 Number of nodes sampled 85 0.93 0.87–1.00 0.06** — Lymphoedema scored by proximal or distal measures Width of field (cm) 85 1.19 1.01–1.41 0.04* — Treatment field 89 — — — — Time since XRT (years) 85 1.11 0.86–1.44 0.42 — Wide SCF 22:54 0.19 0.05–0.64 0.008 — Dominant hand versus 45:39 1.28 0.53–3.06 0.58 — versus AB non-dominant hand SCF versus AB 13:54 0.24 0.04–1.43 0.12 — T 3,4 versus 1,2 20:65 1.15 0.42–3.16 0.78 — Age (years) 89 1.07 1.03–1.12 0.001 0.007 Number of nodes positive 85 — — — 0.73 AB, axillary boost; SCF, supraclavicular fossa; —, not applicable. 4–10 versus 0–3 38:27 0.95 0.35–2.59 0.92 — .10 versus 0–3 20:27 1.45 0.45–4.66 0.53 — ECE versus no ECE 52:29 2.43 0.91–6.47 0.075** — Another study reported arm volume differences of .300 mL in Chemotherapy versus 54:31 0.83 0.34–2.03 0.69 — 3 of 30 (10%) women treated with SCF and parasternal radio- none therapy compared with 21 of 57 (37%) who also had axillary Hormone therapy versus 63:22 2.42 0.84–7.00 0.102 — radiotherapy.7 The technique was substantially different and none unconventional in fractionation to either our own or the study , , *P 0.05, **P 0.10. AB, axillary boost; ECE, extracapsular nodal of Chua et al., as it involved 6 fractions to a posterior axilla field extension; SCF, supraclavicular fossa; XRT, radiotherapy; —, not and 9 fractions to the anterior SCF field to a total dose of 45 Gy applicable. in 15 fractions.1 Hinrichs et al. reported a non-significant increase in lymphoedema rates with SCF irradiation 29 versus 16% without SCF irradiation; however, the paper provides no information on the radiotherapy technique or field definition, Table 5. Univariate analysis of lymphoedema scored by proximal or particularly the lateral extent of the field.8 The addition of a pos- distal measure terior AB was significant with rates of lymphoedema 47% with n Odds 95% P-value Global AB versus 23% without AB. Another recent publication that ratio confidence P-value reported increased lymphoedema with SCF nodal irradiation interval did not distinguish this from SCF plus AB in the summary Treatment field 89 — — — 0.002* because the SCF-only patients represented a small subgroup Wide SCF versus AB 22:54 0.26 0.09–0.76 0.014 — of patients treated with nodal radiotherapy.9 More importantly, SCF versus AB 13:54 0.13 0.03–0.62 0.011 — however, the SCF technique included coverage of the axilla, as Age (years) 89 1.07 1.03–1.11 ,0.001* — Body mass index 85 1.05 0.97–1.13 0.28 — the field extended over the humeral head, irrespective of whether Number of nodes sampled 89 0.97 0.91–1.03 0.32 — an AB was used. None the less, this series reported no lympho- Width of field (cm) 89 1.27 1.06–1.51 0.008* — edema in the (wide) SCF group without an AB. Zero lympho- Time since XRT (years) 89 1.27 0.98–1.63 0.07** — edema seems a little improbable as the risk with axillary surgery Dominant hand versus 47:41 0.94 0.40–2.17 0.88 — alone was approximately 2% and may reflect underscoring as non-dominant hand T stage 3,4 versus 1,2 21:68 1.15 0.43–3.07 0.78 — a result of the retrospective nature of the report. More com- Number of nodes positive 89 — — — 0.29 monly, studies report higher rates of lymphoedema after axillary 4–10 versus 0–3 42:27 1.82 0.67–4.96 0.24 — dissection, generally closer to 5–10% or even higher.4,9–14 .10 versus 0–3 20:27 2.44 0.74–8.04 0.14 — Although this study supports the hypothesis that SCF ir- ECE versus no ECE 56:29 3.63 1.33–9.85 0.012* — radiation only avoids the morbidity of axillary irradiation, it does Chemotherapy versus 58:31 0.54 0.22–1.31 0.17 — not answer the question of whether this approach also reduces none Hormone therapy versus 66:23 3.01 1.06–8.59 0.039* — the potential survival or quality-of-life benefits that accrue from none regional adjuvant radiotherapy. Following modified radical
*P , 0.05, **P , 0.10. AB, axillary boost; ECE, extracapsular nodal mastectomy without radiotherapy, axillary failure following ade- extension; SCF, supraclavicular fossa; XRT, radiotherapy; —, not quate axillary dissection is much less common than SCF failure, applicable. which ranks second after chest wall failure that dominates
ª 2006 The Authors Journal compilationª 2006 Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Radiologists 582 P GRAHAM ET AL. loco-regional failure patterns (13%, 35%, 46%, respectively with axillary dissection and radiation. Breast Cancer Res Treat with 6% internal mammary chain).15,16 In addition, the majority 1992; 21: 139–45. 5. Graham P, Capp A, Fox C et al. Why a breast boost should remain of isolated axillary failures (73–100%) are salvaged by further a controversial aspect of routine breast conservation management surgery, whereas isolated SCF failures achieve durable sal- in Australia and New Zealand in 2002. Australas Radiol 2003; 47: 1,16–19 vage in only a small minority of patients. Finally, SCF fail- 44–9. ure has a high likelihood of severe uncontrolled symptoms such 6. Van de Steene J, Soete G, Storme G. Adjuvant radiotherapy for as brachial plexopathy and severe lymphoedema. If the rate of breast cancer significantly improves overall survival: the missing SCF failure is 2–9% depending on factors such as degree of link. Radiother Oncol 2000; 55: 263–72. 7. Segerstrom K, Bjerle P, Graffman S, Nystrom A. Factors that influ- nodal involvement and if 60% fail to be salvaged, then uncon- ence the incidence of brachial oedema after treatment of breast trolled symptoms as a result of SCF failure can be expected to cancer. Scand J Plast Reconstr Surg Hand Surg 1992; 26: 223–7. occur in 1–6% of patients with node-positive disease.1,7 Provided 8. Hinrichs CS, Watroba NL, Rezaishiraz H et al. Lymphedema sec- that SCF-only irradiation does not add to the lymphoedema risk ondary to postmastectomy radiation: incidence and risk factors. of axillary dissection, the risk of morbid SCF nodal failure clearly Ann Surg Oncol 2004; 11: 573–80. 9. Powell SN, Taghian AG, Kachnic L, Coen JJ, Assaad SI. Risk of balances the morbidity risks of SCF irradiation that may occur if lymphedema after regional nodal irradiation with breast conserva- added to breast or chest wall irradiation and axillary surgery. The tion therapy. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 2003; 55: 1209–15. most serious risk of SCF radiotherapy is brachial plexopathy, 10. Ozaslan C, Kuru B. Lymphedema after treatment of breast cancer. which has an incidence in the order of 1% or less.1 Am J Surg 2004; 187: 69–72. Of all the other putative risk factors for lymphoedema 11. Kissin MW, Querci-della-Rovere G, Easton D, Westbury G. Risk of analysed in this study, only age remained significant on multivar- lymphoedema following the treatment of breast cancer. Br J Surg 1986; 73: 580–84. iate analysis. In this respect, our findings are very similar to those 12. Lilegren G, Holmberg L. Arm morbidity after sector resection and 9 of Powell et al. The similarity of findings for both definitions of axillary dissection with or without post-operative radiotherapy in lymphoedema is reassuring, both for investigators who rely on breast cancer stage I. Results from a randomized trial. Uppsala- the simpler DPD measurement as VOLD is impractical in larger Orebro Breast Cancer Study Group. Eur J Cancer 1997; 33: studies, and for confidence in the general conclusion of this study. 193–9. 13. Hoe AL, Iven D, Royle GT, Taylor I. Incidence of arm swelling We conclude that limiting the lateral border of SCF radiother- following axillary clearance for breast cancer. Br J Surg 1992; apy by the coracoid process will probably reduce the risk of post- 79: 261–2. mastectomy nodal irradiation lymphoedema to a level, which is 14. Siegal BM, Mayzel KA, Love SM. Level I and II axillary dissection similar to that of axillary dissection without radiotherapy. Our in the treatment of early-stage breast cancer. An analysis of 259 subgroup of restricted SCF patients is small and larger confirma- consecutive patients. Arch Surg 1990; 125: 1144–7. tory investigations of this aspect of radiotherapy are merited. 15. Rangan AM, Ahern V, Yip D, Boyages J. Local recurrence after mastectomy and adjuvant CMF: implications for adjuvant radiation therapy. Aust N Z J Surg 2000; 70: 649–55. 16. Fisher B, Redmond C, Fisher ER et al. Ten-year results of a ran- domized clinical trial comparing radical mastectomy and total REFERENCES mastectomy with or without radiation. N Engl J Med 1985; 312: 1. Chua B, Ung O, Boyages J. Competing considerations in regional 674–81. nodal treatment for early breast cancer. Breast J 2002; 8: 15–22. 17. Fowble B, Solin LJ, Schultz DJ, Goodman RL. Frequency, sites of 2. Latchford S, Casley-Smith JR. Estimating limb volumes and relapse, and outcome of regional node failures following conser- changes in peripheral edema from circumferences measured at vative surgery and radiation for early breast cancer. Int J Radiat different intervals. Lymphology 1997; 30: 161–4. Oncol Biol Phys 1989; 17: 703–10. 3. Carati CJ, Anderson SN, Gannon BJ, Piller NJ. Treatment of post- 18. Jackson SM. Carcinoma of the breast: the significance of supra- mastectomy lymphedema with low-level laser therapy. A double clavicular lymph node metastases. Clin Radiol 1966; 17: 107–14. blind, placebo-controlled trial. Cancer 2003; 98: 1114–22. 19. McKinna F, Gothard L, Ashley S, Ebbs SR, Yarnold JR. Lymphatic 4. Gerber L, Lampert M, Wood C et al. Comparison of pain, motion, relapse in women with early breast cancer: a difficult management and edema after modified radical mastectomy vs local excision problem. Eur J Cancer 1999; 35: 1065–9.
ª 2006 The Authors Journal compilation ª 2006 Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Radiologists British Journal of Cancer (2009) 100, 123 – 133 & 2009 Cancer Research UK All rights reserved 0007 – 0920/09 $32.00 www.bjcancer.com
BAG-1 predicts patient outcome and tamoxifen responsiveness in ER-positive invasive ductal carcinoma of the breast
,1,2 1 1,3 1,4 1 5 4 1,6,7 EKA Millar* , LR Anderson , CM McNeil , SA O’Toole , M Pinese , P Crea , AL Morey , AV Biankin , 1,6 1,6 1,6 1,6 SM Henshall , EA Musgrove , RL Sutherland and AJ Butt
1Cancer Research Program, Garvan Institute of Medical Research, Darlinghurst, Sydney, New South Wales 2010, Australia; 2Department of Anatomical
Pathology, South Eastern Area Laboratory Service, St George Hospital, Kogarah, New South Wales 2217, Australia; 3Department of Medical Oncology, 4 Westmead Hospital, University of Sydney, Westmead, New South Wales 2145, Australia; Department of Pathology (SydPath), St Vincent’s Hospital, 5 Darlinghurst, Sydney, New South Wales 2010, Australia; Department of Surgical Oncology, St Vincent’s Hospital, Darlinghurst, Sydney, New South Wales 6 7 2010, Australia; Faculty of Medicine, St Vincent’s Clinical School, University of NSW, New South Wales 2052, Australia; Division of Surgery, Bankstown
Hospital, Bankstown, New South Wales 2200, Australia
BAG-1 (bcl-2-associated athanogene) enhances oestrogen receptor (ER) function and may influence outcome and response to
endocrine therapy in breast cancer. We determined relationships between BAG-1 expression, molecular phenotype, response to
tamoxifen therapy and outcome in a cohort of breast cancer patients and its influence on tamoxifen sensitivity in MCF-7 breast
cancer cells in vitro. Publically available gene expression data sets were analysed to identify relationships between BAG-1 mRNA
expression and patient outcome. BAG-1 protein expression was assessed using immunohistochemistry in 292 patients with invasive
ductal carcinoma and correlated with clinicopathological variables, therapeutic response and disease outcome. BAG-1-overexpressing
MCF-7 cells were treated with antioestrogens to assess its effects on cell proliferation. Gene expression data demonstrated a
consistent association between high BAG-1 mRNA and improved survival. In ER þ cancer (n ¼ 189), a high nuclear BAG-1
expression independently predicted improved outcome for local recurrence (P ¼ 0.0464), distant metastases (P ¼ 0.0435), death
from breast cancer (P ¼ 0.009, hazards ratio 0.29, 95% CI: 0.114–0.735) and improved outcome in tamoxifen-treated patients
(n ¼ 107; P ¼ 0.0191). BAG-1 overexpression in MCF-7 cells augmented antioestrogen-induced growth arrest. A high BAG-1
expression predicts improved patient outcome in ER þ breast carcinoma. This may reflect both a better definition of the hormone-
responsive phenotype and a concurrent increased sensitivity to tamoxifen.
British Journal of Cancer (2009) 100, 123–133. doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6604809 www.bjcancer.com
Published online 9 December 2008 & 2009 Cancer Research UK
Keywords: breast cancer; prognosis; response marker; BAG-1; tamoxifen sensitivity
Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease with considerable therapy at an earlier stage in the disease process with potential variability in clinical outcome, the prognosis and management of survival benefits. In addition, they may also identify key Molecular Diagnostics which is largely based on histopathological features accompanied mechanisms involved in antioestrogen resistance/sensitivity. by established markers of hormone receptor status, oestrogen and Gene expression profiling has identified intrinsic molecular progesterone receptors (oestrogen receptor (ER), progesterone phenotypes of breast cancer that subclassify ER þ tumours into receptor (PR)), and HER-2 amplification (Sorlie et al, 2001; two main subtypes that predict outcome: luminal A and B, which Goldhirsch et al, 2007). Oestrogen receptor-positive disease can be distinguished by the presence of increased proliferation, comprises approximately 70% of cases and therapies targeting HER-2 amplification and a less favourable prognosis in the latter oestrogen synthesis or the ER are the most effective treatments, group (Sorlie et al, 2001). Signatures that predict outcome in ER þ with adjuvant tamoxifen reducing the annual risk of recurrence disease treated with tamoxifen (Ma et al, 2004; Jansen et al, 2005; and death by up to 47 and 26% respectively (Early Breast Cancer Loi et al, 2008) have been useful in identifying potential new Trialists’ Collaborative Group, 2005) and reducing the risk of predictive biomarkers. However, such molecular testing is contralateral disease by 50% (Fisher et al, 1998). However, the expensive and there is often little overlap between signatures benefits of treatment are limited by intrinsic or acquired from different studies. Furthermore, translating these findings into resistance, which occurs in approximately 40% of ER þ breast clinically useful biomarkers suitable for routine pathology practice cancers (Howell et al, 2005). New predictive biomarkers of is a priority. Ideally, this would be performed using immuno- hormone responsiveness and disease outcome are needed to histochemistry, which is more cost-effective and more easily improve selection of patients for optimal ‘targeted’ endocrine introduced within the existing infrastructure. However, this approach is often limited by the lack of commercially available antibodies for many of these genes. *Correspondence: Dr EKA Millar; E-mail: [email protected] BAG-1 (bcl-2-associated athanogene) is a pro-survival protein Received 16 September 2008; revised 12 November 2008; accepted 12 that can influence diverse biological processes including nuclear November 2008; published online 9 December 2008 hormone receptor function, apoptosis, signal transduction and BAG-1 predicts outcome in ER þ breast cancer EKA Millar et al 124 protein turnover (reviewed in Cutress et al (2002)). BAG-1 exists as transferred to the final output file without further processing. One three protein isoforms. The specific ability of the long isoform, BAG-1 probe set was available from each cohort and expression BAG-1L (p50), which possesses a nuclear localisation sequence not data were analysed for frequency distribution of mRNA and its present in the other isoforms, to upregulate the transcriptional association with patient outcome. activity of both ERa and ERb up to five-fold in MCF-7 breast cancer cells (Cutress et al, 2003), is of potential functional and Patient characteristics prognostic significance. BAG-1 is expressed in most normal human tissues (Takayama et al, 1998), and its overexpression BAG-1 protein expression was assessed by immunohistochemistry has been described not only in breast cancer, but also in other in tumours from a cohort of 292 patients diagnosed with invasive human malignancies including squamous cell carcinoma of the ductal breast carcinoma and treated by a single surgeon (PC) head and neck (Shindoh et al, 2000), chronic lymphocytic between February 1992 and August 2002. Formalin-fixed, paraffin- leukaemia (Kitada et al, 1998) and prostate cancer (Maki et al, embedded tissue was retrieved from St Vincent’s Public Hospital 2007), in which it is associated with a poor prognosis. However, its (Sydpath) and St Vincent’s Private Hospital (Douglas Hanly Moir role as a predictive marker in breast cancer has not been Pathology), Sydney, Australia. All tumours were classified as established. Several studies have attempted to relate BAG-1 protein invasive ductal carcinoma of no special type and graded using expression to disease outcome with inconsistent results, which standardised histological criteria (Elston and Ellis, 1991). Lymph may have been the result of low patient numbers, low rates of node status was assessed by axillary sampling and histological ER þ tumours (ER þ rates of 35–52% rather than a currently examination. Follow-up intervals were calculated from the date of expected rate of B70%) and incomplete pathological, clinical and definitive procedure (biopsy/lumpectomy/mastectomy) to the date treatment information. However, the improved prognosis asso- of last-recorded follow-up (median 64 months, range 0–152 ciated with a high BAG-1 expression has earlier been demonstrated months). Patients less than 50 years of age with node-positive, in three studies although with differences in subcellular localisa- ER tumours or tumours larger than 3 cm received adjuvant tion of BAG-1 expression that is, cytoplasmic (Turner et al, 2001), chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate and 5-fluorour- nuclear (Cutress et al, 2003), and cytoplasmic or nuclear (Nadler acil or adriamycin and cyclophosphamide (AC)). Patients with et al, 2008). More recently, BAG-1 featured as one of the 16 cancer- ER þ tumours who were more than 50 years of age received 5 specific genes included in the Oncotype Dx assay (Paik et al, 2004), years of tamoxifen therapy. Breast cancer-specific survival was which predicts distant failure in ER þ , lymph node-negative defined as date of definitive procedure to date of death due to patients treated with tamoxifen using PCR of formalin-fixed breast cancer. Patients who died of causes unrelated to breast paraffin-embedded (FFPE) material. In addition, this assay has cancer were considered as censored at the time of death. Deaths also been used to predict the potential benefit of chemotherapy from unknown causes were excluded from analysis of disease- (Paik et al, 2006) in this group of patients. specific survival. Recurrences were confirmed by imaging and/or As ER-mediated regulation of cell growth, proliferation and histology. Locoregional recurrences were defined as of the survival are key components of breast cancer development, the ipsilateral breast, chest wall, axilla or supraclavicular fossa. Distant role of BAG-1 as a predictive and prognostic marker in breast relapses and metastases were defined as disease in the lungs, liver, oeua Diagnostics Molecular cancer requires further investigation. Consequently, we aimed to brain or distant lymph nodes. These data were obtained from define the relationship of BAG-1 expression with outcome and annual review of patient files or cancer registry data. Tissue response to therapy in a large cohort of early breast cancer patients microarrays (TMAs) of FFPE tumour tissue blocks were of uniform histological type with well-documented treatment and constructed with approximately 80 1 mm cores per slide. Each follow-up data. patient was represented by two to six 1 mm cores. Prior approval for this study was obtained from the Human Research Ethics Committee of St Vincent’s Hospital, Sydney (HREC SVH H94/080, MATERIALS AND METHODS HREC 06336 SVH H00 036). BAG-1 mRNA expression and outcome Immunohistochemistry Publically available gene expression data from two published studies (van de Vijver et al, 2002; Naderi et al, 2007) of breast Four-micron sections were cut from each TMA, mounted on s cancer outcome were analysed to initially identify a potential SuperFrost Plus glass slides and baked for 2 h at 791C, then relationship between BAG-1 mRNA levels and prognosis. The dewaxed by passage through xylene (two 5 min washes), cleared cohorts chosen for these analyses were of similar clinicopatholo- and rehydrated in graded alcohol (100, 95 and 70%) ending in a gical composition to our clinical cohort. The study by Naderi et al distilled water wash. Antigen retrieval was performed using DAKO (2007) comprised 135 patients, 70% of whom were ER þ with a solution (pH 6.0) (s1699; DAKO, Carpentaria, CA, USA) in a median follow-up of 132 months (range 16–160 months). Data pressure cooker (DAKO Pascal Decloaker) for 60 s, followed by were generated using Agilent Human 1A arrays, which were cooling gently for 15 min in a running water bath. Following a available as raw scanner data files and sourced from Array Express thorough wash in distilled water, endogenous peroxidase activity (http://www.ebi.ac.uk/) accession E-UCON-1. Using the limma R was eliminated with 3% hydrogen peroxide for 5 min. Slides were package (R Development Core Team, 2007), background-sub- incubated with BAG-1 mouse monoclonal antibody raised against tracted data were normalised by the global LOESS technique full-length human BAG-1 protein (clone 3.10G3E2; Santa Cruz applied to non-control spots only. To combine information from Biotechnology Inc., Santa Cruz, CA, USA) at a dilution of 1 : 50 for duplicate dye-swap arrays, a linear model was fitted to the 45 min at room temperature. Following buffer wash, detection normalised data using limma (Smyth, 2005). Model fit coefficients employed DAKO Envision þ mouse secondary reagent (DAKO) for each sample were then used as final expression estimates, for 30 min at room temperature, followed by DAKO DAB þ expressed relative to a pooled reference RNA. The second data set, chromagen (DAKO) for 10 min. Slides were then rinsed in water sourced from van de Vijver et al (2002), comprised 295 patients, and counterstained with haematoxylin, dehydrated through graded 76% of which were ER þ , with a median follow-up of 93.6 months ethanol, cleared in xylene and mounted. Normal colon was (range 0.6–220 months). Data were generated using Rosetta NKI- employed as a control tissue that showed positive staining in spotted oligonucleotide arrays and were downloaded from http:// basal crypt cell nuclei and negative staining in the muscularis microarray-pubs.stanford.edu/wound_NKI/ explore.html as log 2- mucosae. A further negative control substituted isotype-matched transformed values in a text table format. Raw data were directly mouse IgG1 at 1 : 100 in place of the BAG-1 monoclonal antibody.
British Journal of Cancer (2009) 100(1), 123 – 133 & 2009 Cancer Research UK BAG-1 predicts outcome in ER þ breast cancer EKA Millar et al 125 Oestrogen receptor, PR, cytokeratin 5/6 and EGFR were also (3.10G3E2; Clone Chemicon International Inc., Billerica, MA, USA) stained using the following antibodies: ER, 1 : 100 (clone 6F11; confirmed BAG-1 expression. b-Actin (Sigma, St Louis, MO, USA) DAKO); PR, 1 : 200 (clone PgR 636; DAKO); CK5/6, 1 : 80 (clone was used as a loading control. MAB1602; Chemicon International, Temecula, CA, USA); and EGFR, 1 : 100 (clone H11; DAKO). HER-2 FISH was assessed in the S-phase analysis Australian National Reference Laboratory (Department of Patho- logy, St Vincent’s Hospital, Sydney) using the Vysis PathVysion Exponentially growing MCF-7 cells expressing BAG-1 or vector- HER-2 DNA dual-colour probe kit. An HER2 : chromosome 17 alone control were treated with 1 mmol l 1 4-hydroxytamoxifen ratio42.2 was classified as HER2 amplification. (Sigma) or 10 nmol l 1 ICI 182780 (7a-[9-(4,4,5,5,5-pentafluoro- All assessments of immunohistochemical staining were pentylsulphinyl) nonyl] estra-1,3,5,(10)-triene-3,17b-diol), which performed by observers blinded to the clinical and molecular data was a kind gift from Dr Alan Wakeling (Astra-Zeneca Pharma- and patient outcome. Nuclear and cytoplasmic staining for BAG-1 ceuticals, Alderly Park, Cheshire, UK), or vehicle (ethanol) for was assessed by an experienced breast pathologist (EKAM) and 24 h. Cells were harvested and S phase was analysed by propidium described in terms of the intensity (0: negative, 1 þ : weak, 2 þ : iodide staining and flow cytometry. moderate and 3 þ : strong) and percentage of cells staining positive. From these indices, a simplified ‘H score’ (i.e., intensity percentage of positive nuclei) was calculated for each Statistical analyses core and a mean and median score for each parameter calculated Statistical analyses were performed using Statview 5.0. Software for each tumour (range of two to six cores per patient). Oestrogen (Abacus Systems, Berkeley, CA, USA). A P-value o0.05 was receptor and PR (both double scored) were assessed as positive if accepted as statistically significant. BAG-1 mRNA and protein they had a simplified H score of 410. CK5/6 and EGFR (both expression and its association with clinicopathological variables double scored) were assessed as positive if there was any positive and intrinsic molecular phenotype of breast cancer were tested by cytoplasmic or membranous staining present at any intensity. applying the w2-test of association in contingency tables. Kaplan– Meier and Cox proportional hazards model were used for Definition of intrinsic molecular phenotype of breast univariate analysis and the latter for multivariate analyses. Those cancer factors that were prognostic in univariate analysis were then assessed in a multivariable model to identify factors that were This was assessed immunohistochemically using criteria similar to independently prognostic and those that were the result of those recently described by Cheang et al (2008) but using FISH to confounding variables. determine HER-2 status as follows: luminal A ¼ ER þ and/or PR þ , HER-2 ; luminal B ¼ ER þ and/or PR þ , HER-2 þ ; HER-2 ¼ ER and PR , HER-2 þ ; basal-like ¼ ER ,PR , RESULTS HER-2 , CK5/6 þ and/or EGFR þ ; unclassified ¼ negative for all five markers. BAG-1 mRNA expression and outcome To identify an association between BAG-1 gene expression levels Cell culture studies and patient outcome, we examined two published breast cancer gene expression data sets. A frequency distribution of BAG-1 The human ER þ breast cancer cell line, MCF-7, was routinely mRNA expression was used to apply serial cut points using maintained in RPMI-1640 medium supplemented with 5% foetal sequential Kaplan–Meier analysis (log-rank test) to minimise the calf serum, 10 mgml 1 insulin and 2.92 mg ml 1 glutamine under P-value and maximise the difference in survival between the two standard conditions. A cDNA insert encoding human BAG-1 (cat groups of high and low expressions. Using this approach, no. SC107955; OriGene Technologies Inc., Rockville, MD, USA) statistical significance was assessed for death using univariate was cloned into the retroviral vector pMSCV-IRES-GFP (Caldon Kaplan–Meier and Cox proportional hazards analysis (Table 1). et al, 2008). MCF-7 cells transiently expressing the murine The Wound/NKI data set of 295 patients contained a high BAG-1 ecotropic receptor were infected with BAG-1 retrovirus as expression group of 234 patients (79.3%), which was associated described earlier (Debnath et al, 2003). Green fluorescent with improved prognosis in Cox and Kaplan–Meier univariate protein-positive cells were sorted to homogeneity by flow analysis (P ¼ 0.0005, Table 1A and Figure 1A). High BAG-1 Molecular Diagnostics cytometry. Cell lysates were collected as described earlier (Prall expression was not significant in a multivariate model that et al, 1997). Subsequent western blotting using a BAG-1 antibody incorporated standard clinicopathological variables (Table 1B).
Table 1 Association between BAG-1 mRNA expression and breast cancer outcome
High BAG-1 expression n (%) HR 95% CI P-value
(A) Cox univariate analysis for high BAG-1 expression from publicly available gene expression data sets Wound/NKI (van de Vijver et al, 2002) 234/295 (79.3%) 0.439 0.277– 0.697 0.0005 Naderi (Naderi et al, 2007) 108/135 (80%) 0.412 0.212– 0.843 0.0151
(B) Cox multivariate analysis for the Wound cohort (n ¼ 295) Grade42 2.266 1.361– 3.774 0.0017 Size420 mm 1.678 1.039– 2.710 0.0343 ER positive 0.549 0.323– 0.933 0.0267 HER-2 positive 2.319 1.267– 4.244 0.0064 BAG-1 high 0.911 0.530– 1.567 0.7363
CI ¼ confidence interval; ER ¼ oestrogen receptor; HR ¼ hazards ratio.
& 2009 Cancer Research UK British Journal of Cancer (2009) 100(1), 123 – 133 BAG-1 predicts outcome in ER þ breast cancer EKA Millar et al 126
A 1 B 1
0.8 n=234 0.8 n=108
0.6 0.6 n=27 0.4 0.4 n=61 0.2 Cumulative survival Cumulative 0.2 survival Cumulative P=0.0003 P=0.0120 0 0 0 20406080100120 140 160 180 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Months Months Figure 1 Relationship between BAG-1 mRNA expression and patient outcome. Kaplan–Meier analysis (log-rank test) for breast cancer-specific death in the Wound/NKI (A) and Naderi (B) cohorts. High BAG-1 (K); low BAG-1 (J).
The Naderi cohort of 135 patients contained a high expression 276) of the cohort as ‘high’ BAG-1 expressers and 22% (62 out of group of 108 patients (80%), again associated with a favourable 276) as ‘low’ BAG-1 expressers. This cut point appeared to outcome in Kaplan–Meier (P ¼ 0.0120) and Cox univariate represent a real split in the protein expression data, which matched analyses (P ¼ 0.0151, Table 1A and Figure 1B) but not in that observed from our analysis of the mRNA expression levels. multivariate analysis (data not shown). Using these cut points This distribution was not apparent in the frequency distribution to define high and low expression, further analyses were conducted of nuclear ‘H’ scores. Consequently, we adopted the percentage to determine association between high BAG-1 expression and of positively staining nuclei as the index for further analysis of clinicopathological parameters. In the Wound cohort, high BAG-1 association with outcomes. was associated with ER þ ,PRþ , low histological grade and HER-2 negativity (Po0.0001) but there was no association with tumour size (P ¼ 0.0862) or lymph node status (P40.999). Similarly, the Correlation of BAG-1 expression with clinicopathological Naderi cohort also showed positive associations between high features and intrinsic molecular subtype BAG-1 expression and ER þ (P ¼ 0.0014), HER-2 negativity The relationship between nuclear and cytoplasmic expression of (P ¼ 0.0044) and low histological grade (P ¼ 0.0061) but not with BAG-1 and standard clinicopathological features of the disease are tumour size or lymph node status (P ¼ 0.081 and P ¼ 0.106, oeua Diagnostics Molecular summarised in Table 2A. High expression of BAG-1 showed a respectively). These findings support an association of high BAG-1 significant positive correlation with low histological grade, ER and expression with a luminal A phenotype and improved survival. PR positivity (Po0.0001) and was correlated negatively with HER-2 amplification status (P ¼ 0.001) and the triple-negative phenotype Immunohistochemical analysis of BAG-1 protein (Po0.0001). These findings were apparent for both nuclear and expression in normal breast tissue and invasive ductal cytoplasmic staining at a cut point of 40% positivity of any intensity, carcinoma but with a higher degree of statistical significance for nuclear staining. High nuclear BAG-1 expression was also strongly correlated Representative immunohistochemistry staining patterns and with a luminal A intrinsic phenotype: 73% (154 out of 211) of BAG-1 intensities of BAG-1 are illustrated in Figure 2A–I. Similar ‘high’ were luminal A (Po0.0001, w2-test), but there was no patterns of staining were observed in normal terminal duct lobular correlation with luminal B (P ¼ 0.956). A strong negative correlation units adjacent to cancer (n ¼ 24, 20 patients) and in reduction wasobservedwiththeHER-2(5%,11outof213BAG-1highareof mammoplasty specimens (n ¼ 20, 14 patients). Nuclear staining HER-2 phenotype, Po0.0001) and the basal-like phenotype (7%, 14 was observed in all cases, with a mean of 54% of epithelial cells out of 213 BAG-1 high are basal-like, Po0.0001). (range 10–90%) showing weak-to-strong (1–3 þ ) intensity. Cytoplasmic staining was also present in 63% of cases with a þ range of 0–100% of cells showing 1 or 2 staining. BAG-1 expression and outcome In our cohort of 292 patients, 276 invasive ductal carcinomas were available for BAG-1 analysis due to loss of some tissue cores In the whole cohort (n ¼ 276), high nuclear BAG-1 expression was during processing of the TMAs. Staining was of variable intensity, associated with a favourable prognosis for all measures of outcome which ranged from negative to strong (0–3 þ ) and demonstrated in univariate analysis: local recurrence (P ¼ 0.002), distant both cytoplasmic and nuclear staining in keeping with the known metastases (Po0.0001) and breast cancer-specific death subcellular localisation of the various BAG-1 isoforms (Cutress (Po0.0001, Table 3A and Figure 3). Furthermore, high nuclear et al, 2002). There was, however, no direct correlation between BAG-1 expression was also an independent predictor of outcome nuclear and cytoplasmic expression when modelled as continuous in multivariate analysis for distant metastases (P ¼ 0.0455, variables (R ¼ 0.476). Sixteen out of 276 cases (5.7%) showed no Table 3B) but not for local recurrence or death. To assess whether nuclear staining, whereas 26 cases (9.4%) showed no cytoplasmic BAG-1 was an independent prognostic variable and not the result staining. When assessed for the percentage of positively staining of confounding by other variables, Cox proportional hazards nuclei, there appeared to be two distinct sub-populations, which models were constructed with step-wise removal of redundant could be dichotomised at a cutoff value of 40% positively staining variables until resolution. The resolved multivariate model is nuclei at any intensity (Figure 2J). Cytoplasmic staining displayed presented in Table 3C. High cytoplasmic expression of BAG-1 was a similar pattern (Figure 2K), with most tumours showing at least also associated with improved outcome for local recurrence weak positivity but again with two distinct populations that could (P ¼ 0.0092), distant metastases (P ¼ 0.0013) and death be identified using a 40% cutoff value. By applying the selected cut (P ¼ 0.0046) on Kaplan–Meier univariate analysis, but was not point of 440% mean nuclear staining, we defined 78% (214 out of significant in multivariate analysis.
British Journal of Cancer (2009) 100(1), 123 – 133 & 2009 Cancer Research UK BAG-1 predicts outcome in ER þ breast cancer EKA Millar et al 127 ABC
DEF
GHI
J 90 K 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 Number of patients 10 10 0 0 02040 60 80 100 0 20 40 60 80 100
Percentage of cells with positively Percentage of cells with positively Molecular Diagnostics staining nuclei staining cytoplasm Figure 2 Representative images of BAG-1 immunohistochemistry. (A) Negative staining in high-grade invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC), 400. (B) Weak (1 þ ) nuclear staining in low-grade IDC, 400. (C) Moderate (2 þ ) nuclear and weak (1 þ ) cytoplasmic staining in low-grade IDC, with strong nuclear staining in an adjacent normal duct (arrow). (D) Moderate (2 þ ) cytoplasmic and negative nuclear staining in high-grade IDC. (E) Strong (3 þ ) nuclear and moderate (2 þ ) cytoplasmic staining in high-grade IDC. (F) Strong (3 þ ) nuclear and weak (1 þ ) cytoplasmic staining, weak nuclear staining in normal duct (arrow), 400. (G) Strong 3 þ nuclear staining. (H) Moderate nuclear staining in normal acini. (I) Normal colon, control tissue, which shows moderate positive nuclear staining in basal crypt cell nuclei and negative staining in mucularis mucosae. Frequency distribution of BAG-1 nuclear (J) and cytoplasmic (K) staining using immunohistochemistry in 276 invasive ductal carcinomas. There are two distinct populations that can be dichotomised using a cut point of 40% (arrow), which segregates the cohort into high- and low-expressing subgroups.
Given the relationship between BAG-1 expression and ER status, ER-negative tumours (n ¼ 85), nuclear staining of BAG-1 was not we next assessed the association with outcome in the ER þ and associated with any index of outcome in univariate analysis. As our ER subgroups. Within ER-positive tumours (n ¼ 189), high data demonstrated a strong relationship between high BAG-1 nuclear BAG-1 expression was an independent predictor of expression, ER positivity and the luminal A phenotype, we outcome in both univariate and multivariate analyses (Figure 3 assessed whether BAG-1 expression was associated with a and Table 3D). In the multivariate model employed, which differential response to adjuvant tamoxifen therapy. The data incorporated standard pathological indicators of outcome: tumour reported in Figure 3 demonstrate that patients treated with size, grade, nodal status, PR and HER-2, the resolved model, which tamoxifen (n ¼ 107), whose tumours had a high nuclear BAG-1 eliminates redundant variables, retained HER-2, PR and BAG-1 expression, showed an improved outcome in univariate Kaplan– (Table 3E). Cytoplasmic staining was not significant in univariate Meier analysis for local recurrence (P ¼ 0.032), distant metastases analysis in this group of patients. In the smaller subgroup of (P ¼ 0.019) and breast cancer-specific death (P ¼ 0.038).
& 2009 Cancer Research UK British Journal of Cancer (2009) 100(1), 123 – 133 BAG-1 predicts outcome in ER þ breast cancer EKA Millar et al 128 Table 2 Clinicopathological features of the breast cancer cohort and association with BAG-1 expression
Nuclear BAG-1 Cytoplasmic BAG-1
Positive Negative P-value Positive Negative P-value
(A) Clinicopathological characteristics and associations with BAG-1 expression Age 450 135 39 0.979 135 39 0.252 o50 79 23 85 17
Grade 1 and 2 133 17 o0.0001 129 21 0.005 381459135
Size 420 mm 81 31 0.086 82 30 0.027 o20 mm 133 31 138 26
Nodal status Positive 90 30 0.424 98 22 0.429 Negative 121 32 119 34
HER-2 Positive 31 20 0.001 32 19 0.001 Negative 180 40 184 36
ER Positive 169 20 o0.0001 166 23 o0.0001 Negative 44 41 52 33
PR Positive 146 13 o0.0001 141 18 o0.0001 Negative 67 49 78 38
CK5/6 Positive 19 14 0.003 23 10 0.127 Negative 195 48 197 46 oeua Diagnostics Molecular
Triple negative Positive 25 23 o0.0001 31 17 0.0039 Negative 187 37 186 38
(B) Treatment and survival data n (%) Endocrine therapy 144/292 (49.3) Chemotherapy 111/292 (38.0) Endocrine and chemotherapy 71/292 (24.3) Recurrences 75/292 (25.7) Distant metastases 68/292 (23.3) Deaths 67/292 (22.9) Breast cancer-specific deaths 52/292 (17.8) 5-year disease-free survival 74.0% 5-year metastasis-free survival 76.8% 5-year breast cancer-specific survival 86.0%