Biden and Warren Slip 2/8/2020

CNN 2020 NH Primary Poll

February 8, 2020

SANDERS HOLDS SLIM LEAD IN NH OVER RISING BUTTIGIEG; BIDEN AND WARREN SLIP By: Sean P. McKinley, M.A. [email protected] Zachary S. Azem, M.A. 603-862-2226 Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. cola.unh.edu/unh-survey-center

DURHAM, NH – Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders holds a slim lead over former South Bend (IN) Mayor Pete Bu gieg among likely Democra c voters in New Hampshire. Support for the pair has increased considerably since July 2019. Former Vice President Joe Biden and Massachuse s Senator Elizabeth Warren, who trail the pair, have lost signiﬁcant ground. A majority of Democra c primary voters expect Sanders to win the NH primary and a plurality say he has the best chance to win in November. Only half of likely Democra c voters have deﬁnitely decided whom to support.

These findings are based on the latest CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred fi een (715) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 4 and February 7, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.7 percent. Included in the sample were 365 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 5.1 percent) and 203 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.9 percent). Trend points prior to July 2019 reflect results from the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

2020 Democra c Primary

Just over half of likely Democra c primary voters (51%) say they have deﬁnitely decided whom they will support in the upcoming New Hampshire presiden al primary, a substan al increase since January 2020 (31%). Thirty percent say they are leaning towards someone, while 19% say they are s ll trying to decide. Among likely Democra c primary voters, 58% of registered Democrats say they have deﬁnitely decided while slightly fewer voters registered as undeclared (44%) feel this way.

Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters - February 4-7, 2020

100% 94% 91% 85% 87% 80% 77% 78%

60% 64% 57% 51% 49%

40%

23% 31% 20% 30% 20% 14% 19% 13% 21% 20% 10% 8% 16% 5% 9% 0% 4% 5% 8% 5% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide

* We ask that this copyrighted informa on be referred to as the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. If the 2020 New Hampshire Democra c primary were held today, 28% of likely primary voters say they would vote for Sanders, 21% would vote for Bu gieg, 11% would vote for Biden, and 9% would vote for Warren. Six percent say they would vote for Hawaii Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, 5% would vote for Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar, 3% each would vote for entrepreneur Andrew Yang or businessman Tom Steyer, 2% would vote for former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, and 1% would vote for another candidate. Eleven percent of likely Democra c primary voters say they are undecided.

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - February 4-7, 2020

Bernie Sanders 28%

Pete Buttigieg 21%

Joe Biden 11%

Elizabeth Warren 9%

Tulsi Gabbard 6%

Amy Klobuchar 5%

Andrew Yang 3%

Tom Steyer 3%

Michael Bloomberg 2%

Other 1%

Undecided 11%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - October 2017 to February 4-7, 2020

40% Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg 35% 35% Joe Biden Elizabeth Warren 31% 31% 30% 30% Tulsi Gabbard 30% 28% Amy Klobuchar 29% 26% Andrew Yang 24% 25% 25% Tom Steyer 24% 24% 21% 21% Michael Bloomberg 19% 20% 22% 19% Michael Bennet 18% 18% Deval Patrick 19% 16% 15% 14% 15% Undecided 15% 17% 15% 13% 15% 12% 10% 11% 12% 12% 10% 10% 11% 12% 10% 10% 9% 6% 9% 8% 5% 6% 7% 5% 5% 5% 2% 3% 4% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1%1% 2% 0% 1% 0%0% 0% 0% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who volunteered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Since January, support for Bu gieg has increased by 6 percentage points, while support for Sanders has also increased (+3). Support for Biden has declined (-5) during that me.

Change in Preferred Democra c Candidate from January 2020 to February 4-7, 2020

Pete Buttigieg 6%

Bernie Sanders 3%

Tom Steyer 1%

Michael Bloomberg 1%

Tulsi Gabbard 0%

Amy Klobuchar -1%

Andrew Yang -2%

Elizabeth Warren -2%

Joe Biden -5%

-5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%

Among likely Democra c voters who are self-described liberals, 49% support Sanders, 19% support Bu gieg, 15% support Warren, and 5% support Biden. Sanders con nues to consolidate his advantage in this group, having increased his share of these voters by 10 percentage points since January, while Bu gieg (+7%) has seen a slightly smaller gain among liberals. Warren (-6) and Biden (-6) meanwhile have seen their support among this group decline since January.

Among self-described moderates and conserva ves, 24% support Bu gieg, 15% support Biden, 13% support Sanders, and 8% each support Gabbard and Klobuchar. Bu gieg is now the favorite candidate among this group, with his share of these voters having increased by 6 percentage points since January. Biden (-5) has seen his support among moderates and conserva ves decline since January, when he and Bu gieg were virtually ed in support among this group.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Ideology - February 4-7, 2020

Bernie Sanders 49% (10%)

Pete Buttigieg 19% (7%)

Elizabeth Warren 15% (-6%)

Joe Biden 5% (-6%) Liberal Amy Klobuchar 2% (-2%)

Andrew Yang 1% (0%)

Tom Steyer 1% (1%)

Michael Bloomberg 0% (0%)

Pete Buttigieg 24% (6%)

Joe Biden 15% (-5%)

Bernie Sanders 13% (0%)

Tulsi Gabbard 8% (0%) Moderate or Amy Klobuchar 8% (-1%) Conservative Elizabeth Warren 5% (0%)

Tom Steyer 4% (0%)

Andrew Yang 4% (-4%)

Michael Bloomberg 3% (1%)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% Support for Sanders is largely concentrated among younger voters, par cularly female voters under the age of thirty-five, six in ten (60%) of whom support Sanders. Sanders also enjoys robust support and leads the field among men aged thirty-fi y to forty-nine, though by a smaller margin than among younger voters.

Bu gieg's support is more balanced; he leads the field among women aged fi y to sixty-four and among all voters aged sixty-five and older but is well behind Sanders among men and women under thirty-five.

No more than 10% of any voters under the age of fi y support Biden. Nearly a quarter of women aged sixty-five and older support Biden, his largest support among any one group. Warren by contrast, enjoys more support among those under fi y, but is no higher than third among any of these groups.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Gender and Age - February 4-7, 2020

Women Men

Bernie Sanders 60% 44%

Pete Buttigieg 10% 21% 18 to 34 Elizabeth Warren 13% 9%

Joe Biden 10% 10%

Bernie Sanders 28% 39%

Pete Buttigieg 25% 21%

35 to 49 Elizabeth Warren 17% 12%

Joe Biden 6% 5%

Amy Klobuchar 6%

Pete Buttigieg 22% 18%

Bernie Sanders 12% 22%

50 to 64 Joe Biden 9% 10%

Amy Klobuchar 10% 8%

Elizabeth Warren 6% 4%

Pete Buttigieg 29% 24%

Joe Biden 22% 19%

65 and older Bernie Sanders 13% 6%

Elizabeth Warren 8% 10%

Amy Klobuchar 8% 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Sanders leads Bu gieg among men and women without a college degree. Bu gieg leads Sanders among women with a college degree or more educa on, and nearly equals Sanders among men with a college degree or more. Biden is slightly more popular than Warren among women without a college degree while Warren is slightly more popular than Biden among women with a college degree.

Preferred Democra c Candidate by Educa on and Gender - February 4-7, 2020

Women Men No College Bernie Sanders 30% 34% Degree Pete Buttigieg 19% 19% Joe Biden 14% 9% Elizabeth Warren 7% 7% Amy Klobuchar 6% 2% College Pete Buttigieg 25% 24% Degree or Bernie Sanders 18% 26% More Elizabeth Warren 15% 11% Joe Biden 10% 12% Amy Klobuchar 7% 6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

While Warren trails her top rivals in ﬁrst-choice support, she holds a clear lead when likely Democra c primary voters are asked whom they would support if their preferred candidate were not on the ballot. Twenty-two percent say they would support Warren if this were the case, 15% would support Bu gieg, 13% would support Sanders, 12% would support Biden, and 10% would support Klobuchar. Less than 10% say their second choice would be Yang (7%), Gabbard (5%), Steyer (2%), Bloomberg (1%), Colorado Senator Michael Bennet (1%), former Massachuse s Governor Deval Patrick (<1%), or someone else (1%) as their second choice. Five percent each say they don't have a second choice or are undecided.

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on - February 2019 to February 4-7, 2020

25% %

22% 22% 2 22% 2 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 18% 17%

18% 16% % 15% 5 1 15% % 3 1 14% 13% % 12% 2

12% 1 12% 13% % 0 1 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% % 7% 7 6% 6% 7% % % 5

6% %

6% 5 5% 5% 5 4% 5%

3% 4% % 2

2% 2% 2% 2% % % 1 % 1 1 1% % 0% 1% 0 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Tulsi Gabbard Michael Bennet Undecided Pete Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar Tom Steyer Deval Patrick No Second Choice Bernie Sanders Andrew Yang Michael Bloomberg Other Forty-four percent of Sanders supporters say Warren is their second choice, while 15% would support Bu gieg and 8% would support Biden. The other top candidates are more divided in their second choice. Among Bu gieg supporters, 24% pick Biden as their second choice, 21% select Warren, 17% pick Klobuchar, and 16% select Sanders.

Among Biden supporters, 27% pick Bu gieg as their second choice, 16% select Warren, 15% pick Sanders, and 12% select Klobuchar. In January, nearly half of Warren supporters selected Sanders as their second choice, but now only 22% do so, with 24% choosing Bu gieg and 22% selec ng Klobuchar instead as their second choice.

Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Nomina on by First Choice - February 4-7, 2020

Elizabeth Warren 44%

Bernie Pete Buttigieg 15% Sanders Joe Biden 8% Amy Klobuchar 1% Joe Biden 24%

Pete Elizabeth Warren 21% Buttigieg Amy Klobuchar 17% Bernie Sanders 16% Pete Buttigieg 27% Elizabeth Warren 16% Joe Biden Bernie Sanders 15% Amy Klobuchar 12% Pete Buttigieg 24%

Elizabeth Amy Klobuchar 22% Warren Bernie Sanders 22% Joe Biden 11%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

Two-thirds of Sanders (67%) and Biden (67%) supporters say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for, while only slightly fewer Steyer (65%) and Klobuchar (63%) supporters agree. Just over half of Bu gieg supporters (53%) say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for and just under half of Gabbard (48%) and Warren (44%) supporters feel this way, while only 37% of Yang supporters and 24% of Bloomberg supporters have definitely decided.

Deﬁni veness of Decisions by Preferred Candidate - February 4-7, 2020

Bernie Sanders 67% 25% 8%

Joe Biden 67% 21% 12%

Tom Steyer 65% 10% 25%

Amy Klobuchar 63% 24% 13%

Pete Buttigieg 53% 16% 31%

Tulsi Gabbard 48% 23% 29%

Elizabeth Warren 44% 24% 31%

Andrew Yang 37% 45% 18%

Michael Bloomberg 24% 76%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide When asked which candidate they would not support under any circumstances, 24% of likely Democra c voters say that all of the candidates are acceptable to them. Seventeen percent say that they would not under any circumstances vote for Biden, 16% would not vote for Warren, 11% would not vote for Sanders, and 9% would not vote for Gabbard. Fewer likely voters say they would not vote for Steyer (4%), Bu gieg (3%), Patrick (2%), Bennet (1%), Klobuchar (1%), Yang (1%), Bloomberg (1%), or another candidate (1%). Nine percent don't know or are unsure whom they wouldn't vote for under any circumstances.

Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances - February 2019 to February 4-7, 2020

Feb 4-7 2020

27%

25% 25% % 4

25% 2 24%

20% %

17% 7 1 %

18% 6 16% 1 15% 14% 14% 15% 13% %

13% 11% 1 11% 1 % %

10% 9 9 8% 11% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 6%

5% 4% % 4

5% 4% % 3 2% 2%4% %

3% 2

3% 1% % % % % 1 % 1 1 1

0% 1 0% 1% 1% Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Joe Biden Tom Steyer Amy Klobuchar None All Are Ok Elizabeth Warren Pete Buttigieg Andrew Yang Don't Know/Not Sure Bernie Sanders Deval Patrick Michael Bloomberg Tulsi Gabbard Michael Bennet Other

Since January, the propor on of likely Democra c voters who say they will not vote for Biden has increased by 6 percentage points.

Change in Candidate Would Not Vote For Under Any Circumstances from January to February 4-7, 2020

Joe Biden 6% Elizabeth Warren 3% Pete Buttigieg 1% Deval Patrick 0% Michael Bennet 0% Tom Steyer 0% Amy Klobuchar -1% None All Are Ok -1% Michael Bloomberg -1% Tulsi Gabbard -2% Bernie Sanders -2% Andrew Yang -3%

-5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% Voters' Predicted Winner of NH Primary

More than half (56%) of likely Democra c New Hampshire primary voters think that Sanders is most likely to win the New Hampshire primary, a signiﬁcant increase since January (39%). Eleven percent think that Bu gieg will win the primary, 10% think Biden is most likely to win, down from 22% in January, while 6% think that Warren will win. One percent or less believe that Steyer (1%), Gabbard (1%), Yang (1%), Klobuchar (1%), or Bloomberg (<1%) is most likely to win the primary, while 12% are unsure who is most likely to win.

Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary - January 2020

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Bernie Sanders 39% 56%

Pete Buttigieg 7% 11%

Joe Biden 22% 10%

Elizabeth Warren 12% 6%

Tom Steyer 1% 1%

Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1%

Andrew Yang 1% 1%

Amy Klobuchar 1% 1%

Michael Bloomberg 0% 0%

Other 1%

Undecided 15% 12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Sanders supporters remain quite conﬁdent in how Sanders will perform in the upcoming primary; more than four in ﬁve (83%) Sanders supporters believe he is most likely to win, slightly higher than in January (72%). Four in ten Biden supporters (40%) believe he will win the primary, down from 53% in January. Fewer Bu gieg (29%), Gabbard (18%), Steyer (16%), Warren (15%), Klobuchar (15%), or Yang (11%) supporters believe their preferred candidate will win the primary.

Believe Preferred Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary - January 2020

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Bernie Sanders 72% 83%

Joe Biden 53% 40%

Pete Buttigieg 31% 29%

Tulsi Gabbard 12% 18%

Tom Steyer 19% 16%

Elizabeth Warren 35% 15%

Amy Klobuchar 7% 15%

Andrew Yang 7% 11%

Michael Bloomberg 13%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Best Chance to Win in November

Twenty-nine percent of likely Democra c New Hampshire primary voters think that Sanders has the best chance to win the general elec on in November, while a quarter (25%) think Biden has the best chance to win the general elec on. Biden had held a clear lead on this ques on since July 2019 but has now been surpassed by Sanders. Fourteen percent meanwhile believe Bu gieg has the best chance.

Fewer likely voters think that Warren (5%), Bloomberg (3%), Klobuchar (2%), Gabbard (2%), Yang (2%), or Steyer (1%) is most likely to win the general elec on, while 17% don't know or are unsure. The propor on of likely voters who say Warren has the best chance has fallen since October 2019 (18%) while Bu gieg has seen the propor on who believe he has the best chance increase since that me (3%).

"A er his fourth place in Iowa, voters in New Hampshire no longer think that Biden is the most electable candidate," said University of New Hampshire Survey Center Director Andrew Smith.

Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on - February 2019 to February 4-7, 2020

Feb 4-7 2020 50% 45%

41% 40%

32% 36%

30% % 30% 29% 9 30% 29% 2 % 5 2

25% 25% 20% 22%

20% % 17% 7 16% 20% 1 %

18% 14% 4 1 15% 16% 14% 10% 8% 9% 6% % 5

3% 5% % % 3

4% % 2% % 2 % 2

1% 2

2% 1 0% 1% Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg Michael Bloomberg Tulsi Gabbard Tom Steyer Joe Biden Elizabeth Warren Amy Klobuchar Andrew Yang Don't Know/Not Sure

The vast majority of Biden (92%) supporters believe their candidate has the best chance to win the general elec on, while 71% of Sanders supporters feel the same way. Less than half of Warren (46%), Bu gieg (43%), and Klobuchar (36%) supporters believe their candidate has the best chance of winning the general elec on. Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Support for primary challengers to President Trump in the New Hampshire Republican primary remains very low. The vast majority of Republican primary voters (91%) say they would vote for Donald Trump if the primary were held today, 5% would support former Massachuse s Governor William Weld, 2% would support another candidate, and 3% don't know or are undecided. Responses to this ques on closely mirror those provided in January as well as those provided in July and October 2019.

Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate - February 2019 to February 4-7, 2020

Feb 4-7 2020 100.. 90% 91% 86% 91%

80% 86%

76% 68%

60%

40%

20% 17% 10% 12% 7% 4% 4% 5% 5% 2% 3% 0% 3% 5% 3% Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Donald Trump Joe Walsh Larry Hogan Other William Weld Mark Sanford John Kasich DK/Undecided

Nearly four in five likely Republican New Hampshire primary voters (78%) have definitely decided whom they will support in the upcoming presiden al primary. Six percent are leaning toward someone while 16% are s ll trying to decide. The propor on of respondents who say they have definitely decided has increased slightly since January.

Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters - October 2017 to February 4-7, 2020

100%

80% 77% 73% 78% 68% 68%

60% 63% 53% 61% 57% 50%

40% 34% 43% 30% 35% 28% 22% 23% 19% 20% 12% 12% 16% 18% 10% 10%

5% 10% 6% 0% 8% 8% 8% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. With the primary only days away, the percentage of Granite Staters who say they are extremely interested in it (44%) is largely unchanged since January (45%). Thirty-four percent, the highest propor on saying so this primary cycle, say they are very interested, 14% are somewhat interested, and only 8% say they are not very interested.

Interest in 2020 NH Presiden al Primary - October 2017 to February 4-7, 2020

60% 60% 55% 54%

49% 48% 50% 47% 48% 45% 43% 44%

40% 34% 32% 30% 28% 28% 29% 27% 26% 24% 24% 20% 21% 20% 18% 17% 15% 16% 14% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 8% 9% 8% 10% 7% 7% 8% 4%

0% Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Extremely Interested Very Interested Somewhat Interested Not Very Interested

Likely Democra c primary voters (52%) are only slightly more likely to describe themselves as extremely interested than likely Republican primary voters (48%), while 36% of those who are likely to vote but are undecided on which primary in which they will vote say they are extremely interested. This group is far more likely than in January (19%) to say they are extremely interested.

In the run-up to the 2016 presiden al elec on, likely Republican primary voters were slightly more likely to say they were extremely interested than Democra c voters and likely voters who were undecided on which primary they would vote in.

Extremely Interested in Primary - By Likely Primary Par cipa on - February 2015 to February 4-7, 2020

100%

80%

60% 61% 57% 60% 54% 52% 52% 51% 48% 42% 42% 42% 41% 48% 40% 34% 35% 45% 32% 36% 36% 28% 34% 32% 29% 19% 20%

0% Feb 2015 May 2015 Jul 2015 Oct 2015 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

DEM Primary Voter Likely Voter, Undecided on Primary GOP Primary Voter Seventy-four percent of New Hampshire residents say they will deﬁnitely vote in the primary, while 10% say they will vote unless there is an emergency. Six percent say they may vote, 5% probably will not vote, and 4% are unsure. Responses to this ques on are largely unchanged over the past year.

Likelihood of Vo ng in Primary - October 2017 to February 4-7, 2020

100%

82% 80% 76% 76% 4% 74% 78% 74% 5% 75% 71% 72% 72% 6% 60% 10%

40%

74% 20% 14% 13% 12% 10% 11% 9% 9% 7% 8% 5% 10% 0% 5% 5% 4% 8 9 8 9 7 7 9 8 9 0 0 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 Feb 4-7 2020 4

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 b 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2

e l r r t t b b n g F u c c p p e e a u J J O O A A F F A

Deﬁnitely vote in Primary Probably not vote in Primary Will vote in Primary unless emergency Unsure May vote in Primary

About the same percentage of likely Republican (90%) and likely Democra c voters (86%) say that they will definitely vote in the primary. Voters who are undecided on which primary in which they will vote are nearly as likely as Republican and Democra c voters to say they will definitely vote. This represents a substan al change since January, when this group were far less likely than Democra c and Republican primary voters to say they definitely will vote.

Will Deﬁnitely Vote in Primary - By Likely Primary Par cipa on - February 2015 to February 4-7, 2020

100% 92% 92% 90% 89% 88% 86% 91% 91% 83% 81% 86% 78% 80% 81% 82% 83% 83% 78% 79% 79% 73% 69% 60% 64%

40%

20%

0% Feb 2015 May 2015 Jul 2015 Oct 2015 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

DEM Primary Voter GOP Primary Voter Likely Voter, Undecided on Primary In New Hampshire, undeclared voters are allowed to choose whether to vote in the Democra c or Republican presiden al primary. Among this group, 71% say they plan to vote in the Democra c primary, 26% plan to vote in the Republican primary, 4% say they will not vote in the primary at all, and 4% don't know or are unsure.

In the run-up to the 2016 presiden al elec on, featuring compe ve primaries for both par es, undeclared voters were nearly equally split on which primary they planned to par cipate in. In 2012, the last electoral cycle featuring a largely non-compe ve primary for one party, undeclared voters planned to par cipate in the Republican primary at about a similar rate as undeclared voters plan to par cipate in the Democra c primary this year.

Undeclared Voters' Choice of Primary - April 2008 to 2020

2008 2012 2016 2020 100%

90%

80% 74% 71% 70%

60% 60%

50% 47% 46%

40% 40%

30% 26%

20% 17%

9% 10% 7% 4% 0% 0%

Democrat Republican Unsure CNN 2020 NH Primary Poll

CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll These findings are based on the latest CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred fi een (715) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between February 4 and February 7, 2020. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3.7 percent. Included in the sample were 365 likely 2020 Democra c Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 5.1 percent) and 203 likely 2020 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 6.9 percent). Trend points prior to July 2019 reflect results from the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

The random sample used in the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll was purchased from Scien ﬁc Telephone Samples (STS), Rancho Santo Margarita, CA. STS screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the eﬃciency of the sample, reducing the amount of me interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers. When a landline number is reached, the interviewer randomly selects a member of the household by asking to speak with the adult currently living in the household who has had the most recent birthday. This selec on process ensures that every adult (18 years of age or older) in the household has an equal chance of being included in the survey.

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Addi onally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educa on, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addi on to poten al sampling error, all surveys have other poten al sources of non-sampling error including ques on order eﬀects, ques on wording eﬀects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabula on tables as some respondents choose not to answer some ques ons.

For more informa on about the methodology used in the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at [email protected].

CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll, February 4-7, 2020 Demographics

DEM Primary Voter GOP Primary Voter N % N % Gender of Female 213 58% 85 42% Respondent Male 152 42% 116 58% Age of Respondent 18 to 34 97 27% 40 21% 35 to 49 77 22% 32 16% 50 to 64 109 31% 78 40% 65 and older 74 21% 44 23% Level of Education High school or less 82 23% 68 34% Technical school/Some college 145 40% 76 38% College graduate 74 21% 42 21% Postgraduate work 59 16% 14 7% Ideology Conservative 27 8% 119 62% Liberal 134 40% 9 5% Moderate 176 52% 64 33% Region of State Central / Lakes 54 15% 40 20% Connecticut Valley 51 14% 24 12% Manchester Area 57 16% 35 17% Mass Border 72 20% 55 27% North Country 45 12% 23 12% Seacoast 85 23% 24 12% Registered to Vote Reg. Democrat 186 51% 63 31% Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 179 49% 139 69% Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Have you deﬁnitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Feb 4-7 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020

Deﬁnitely Decided 2% 5% 5% 8% 5% 9% 16% 23% 31% 51% Leaning Towards Someone 4% 8% 4% 13% 10% 14% 20% 21% 20% 19% Still Trying To Decide 94% 87% 91% 78% 85% 77% 64% 57% 49% 30%

N 196 219 127 198 239 237 386 574 514 365 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Now, I'm going to read you a list of some candidates who are running for the Democra c nomina on. If the Democra c primary for president were held today, which of the following would you support for the Democra c nomina on? (Candidates rotated)

Feb 4-7 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020

Bernie Sanders 31% 24% 31% 30% 26% 30% 19% 21% 25% 28% Pete Buttigieg 1% 15% 10% 10% 15% 21% Joe Biden 24% 35% 29% 19% 22% 18% 24% 15% 16% 11% Elizabeth Warren 13% 15% 12% 17% 7% 5% 19% 18% 12% 9% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% 1% 5% 5% 6% Amy Klobuchar 1% 0% 1% 4% 2% 0% 5% 6% 5% Andrew Yang 2% 1% 5% 5% 3% Tom Steyer 0% 3% 2% 3% Michael Bloomberg 1% 1% 2% Michael Bennet 1% 0% 0% Deval Patrick 0% John Delaney 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% Kamala Harris 1% 1% 6% 3% 10% 4% 9% 3% Julian Castro 0% 0% Joe Sestak 1% Beto O'Rourke 5% 3% 2% 2% Cory Booker 6% 3% 4% 6% 3% 3% 2% 2% Kirsten Gillibrand 1% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% Marianne Williamson 1% Jay Inslee 0% 0% Bill de Blasio 0% Seth Moulton 0% Tim Ryan 1% 0% 2% 0% Eric Swalwell 1% Wayne Messam 1% Sherrod Brown 1% John Hickenlooper 2% 0% 0% 0% Joseph Kennedy III 4% 7% Eric Holder 2% Martin O'Malley 3% 1% 1% 1% Mark Zuckerberg 2% Other 5% 4% 1% 2% 3% 0% 0% 0% 1% Undecided 11% 15% 8% 12% 14% 12% 9% 10% 10% 11%

N 211 223 129 204 237 237 383 570 514 364

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who voluntered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

If that candidate were not running, who would be your second choice?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Elizabeth Warren 10% 14% 22% 22% 20% 22% Pete Buttigieg 1% 6% 6% 10% 16% 15% Bernie Sanders 18% 20% 20% 17% 13% 13% Joe Biden 18% 19% 12% 12% 10% 12% Amy Klobuchar 2% 3% 1% 6% 7% 10% Andrew Yang 1% 0% 4% 8% 7% Tulsi Gabbard 2% 2% 4% 3% 5% 5% Tom Steyer 0% 2% 6% 2% Michael Bloomberg 1% 1% 1% Michael Bennet 0% 1% 1% Deval Patrick 2% 0% John Delaney 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% Kamala Harris 14% 8% 15% 6% Cory Booker 9% 9% 2% 3% Beto O'Rourke 6% 3% 0% 1% Steve Bullock 0% 0% Julian Castro 0% 2% Kirsten Gillibrand 2% 1% 1% Tim Ryan 1% 0% Seth Moulton 0% John Hickenlooper 1% 0% 0% Marianne Williamson 0% Bill de Blasio 0% Jay Inslee 1% Eric Swalwell 1% Wayne Messam 0% Sherrod Brown 2% Other 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% No Second Choice 5% 5% 6% 5% Undecided 12% 6% 5% 6% 4% 5%

N 196 193 348 510 460 325 Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Which of the candidates running for the Democra c nomina on would you not vote for under any circumstance?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Joe Biden 3% 5% 14% 11% 11% 17% Elizabeth Warren 13% 14% 8% 11% 12% 16% Bernie Sanders 8% 8% 6% 7% 13% 11% Tulsi Gabbard 2% 2% 1% 5% 11% 9% Tom Steyer 0% 3% 4% 4% Pete Buttigieg 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 3% Deval Patrick 2% 2% Michael Bennet 1% 0% 1% 1% Amy Klobuchar 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% Andrew Yang 0% 1% 4% 4% 1% Michael Bloomberg 6% 2% 1% John Delaney 0% 1% 1% 1% Marianne Williamson 4% 9% Beto O'Rourke 2% 3% 2% 4% Kamala Harris 3% 1% 2% 2% Julian Castro 1% 1% 1% 2% Cory Booker 3% 1% 1% 1% Joe Sestak 0% Steve Bullock 0% 0% Bill de Blasio 2% Kirsten Gillibrand 4% 3% 1% Tim Ryan 1% Jay Inslee 0% John Hickenlooper 0% 1% 0% Eric Swalwell 0% Other 4% 2% 0% 1% None All Are Ok 15% 27% 25% 18% 25% 24% Don't Know/Not Sure 35% 28% 30% 21% 11% 9%

N 230 238 378 567 514 356 Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Which Democra c candidate do you think will win the New Hampshire Primary?

Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Bernie Sanders 39% 56% Pete Buttigieg 7% 11% Joe Biden 22% 10% Elizabeth Warren 12% 6% Tom Steyer 1% 1% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 1% Andrew Yang 1% 1% Amy Klobuchar 1% 1% Michael Bloomberg 0% 0% John Delaney 0% Other 1% Undecided 15% 12%

N 515 365

Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Which Democra c candidate do you think has the best chance of winning in the general elec on next November?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020 Bernie Sanders 23% 30% 16% 14% 20% 29% Joe Biden 33% 25% 45% 36% 41% 25% Pete Buttigieg 4% 1% 3% 8% 14% Elizabeth Warren 2% 2% 9% 18% 6% 5% Michael Bloomberg 1% 2% 3% Amy Klobuchar 1% 0% 2% 2% 2% Tulsi Gabbard 1% 2% 2% 2% Andrew Yang 0% 0% 1% 2% Tom Steyer 0% 1% 2% 1% Kamala Harris 5% 2% 7% 2% Beto O'Rourke 3% 3% 2% 1% Cory Booker 2% 2% 1% 1% Michael Bennet 0% Marianne Williamson 0% 0% Steve Bullock 0% Tim Ryan 0% John Delaney 0% Kirsten Gillibrand 0% 0% Sherrod Brown 1% Someone else 1% 1% Don't Know/Not Sure 30% 30% 15% 20% 16% 17%

N 232 240 380 569 515 363 Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Now, I'm going to read a list of candidates running for the Republican nomina on. If the Republican primary for President were held today, which of the following would you support for the Republican nomina on?

Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Feb 4-7 2020

Donald Trump 68% 76% 86% 86% 90% 91% William Weld 3% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% Joe Walsh 1% 1% Mark Sanford 1% John Kasich 17% 10% Larry Hogan 1% Other 2% 3% 2% 2% DK/Undecided 12% 8% 5% 4% 3% 3%

N 217 208 289 461 393 199

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates but did not receive support from any respondents.

Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Have you deﬁnitely decided whom you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are s ll trying to decide?

Feb 4-7 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020

Still Trying To Decide 77% 63% 68% 68% 57% 50% 35% 28% 19% 16% Leaning Towards Someone 5% 8% 10% 10% 10% 8% 12% 12% 8% 6% Deﬁnitely Decided 18% 30% 22% 23% 34% 43% 53% 61% 73% 78%

N 183 157 111 199 213 207 283 459 393 202 Interest in Primary

As you may know, the New Hampshire Presiden al Primary is being held on February 11th. How interested would you say you are in the 2020 New Hampshire Presiden al Primary elec on?

Feb 4-7 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Aug 2018 Feb 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2020

Extremely Interested 47% 55% 54% 60% 49% 48% 43% 48% 45% 44% Very Interested 27% 24% 24% 20% 28% 32% 28% 29% 26% 34% Somewhat Interested 18% 13% 13% 15% 16% 11% 21% 14% 17% 14% Not Very Interested 8% 7% 9% 4% 7% 9% 8% 9% 12% 8% Don't Know/Not Sure 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

N 570 523 340 500 604 548 862 1,264 1,174 671

Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Which of the following statements best describes you?

Aug Apr Feb 4-7 Oct 2017 Feb 2018 Apr 2018 Feb 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 2018 2019 2020

Deﬁnitely vote in Primary 74% 76% 71% 82% 78% 75% 72% 76% 72% 74% Will vote in Primary unless emergency 11% 9% 14% 10% 9% 13% 12% 7% 8% 10% May vote in Primary 5% 4% 4% 3% 6% 5% 6% 7% 5% 6% Probably not vote in Primary 2% 5% 6% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5% 7% 5% Unsure 7% 6% 5% 3% 5% 3% 5% 5% 8% 4%

N 567 517 340 500 601 547 863 1,265 1,176 671 Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Democra c Primary Voters

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 51% 19% 30% 365

Registered to Reg. Democrat 58% 16% 26% 186 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 44% 23% 33% 179 Party ID Democrat 51% 19% 29% 288 Independent 55% 16% 29% 52 Republican 45% 24% 31% 24 Ideology Liberal 59% 22% 20% 134 Moderate 45% 18% 36% 176 Conservative 54% 20% 26% 27 Age of 18 to 34 56% 25% 19% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 56% 19% 25% 77 50 to 64 45% 15% 40% 109 65 and older 49% 19% 32% 74 Gender of Women 51% 17% 32% 213 Respondent Men 52% 21% 27% 152 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 55% 31% 14% 46 Men, 18-34 58% 19% 24% 51 Women, 35-49 57% 14% 29% 46 Men, 35-49 55% 26% 19% 31 Women, 50-64 45% 9% 45% 68 Men, 50-64 45% 24% 30% 41 Women, 65 and older 49% 20% 30% 49 Men, 65 and older 47% 18% 35% 25 Education & Women, no college degree 50% 19% 31% 131 Gender Women, college degree or more 52% 15% 33% 80 Men, no college degree 54% 20% 26% 96 Men, college degree or more 48% 25% 27% 54 Level of High school or less 53% 21% 26% 82 Education Technical school/Some college 51% 19% 31% 145 College graduate 47% 16% 37% 74 Postgraduate work 56% 23% 21% 59 Region of Central / Lakes 46% 23% 31% 54 State Connecticut Valley 49% 20% 31% 51 Manchester Area 54% 6% 40% 57 Mass Border 52% 20% 28% 72 North Country 49% 21% 30% 45 Seacoast 55% 24% 22% 85 Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Michael Bernie Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Amy Klobuchar Bloomberg Sanders

STATEWIDE 11% 2% 21% 6% 5% 28%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 12% 1% 20% 3% 5% 31% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 11% 2% 22% 8% 5% 24% Party ID Democrat 12% 2% 22% 3% 5% 30% Independent 8% 17% 13% 7% 27% Republican 15% 23% 16% 6% 8% Ideology Liberal 5% 0% 19% 2% 49% Moderate 15% 3% 26% 6% 9% 13% Conservative 13% 11% 22% 16% Age of 18 to 34 10% 16% 3% 51% Respondent 35 to 49 6% 24% 6% 4% 32% 50 to 64 9% 4% 21% 7% 9% 16% 65 and older 21% 1% 27% 6% 8% 11% Gender of Women 12% 2% 22% 1% 6% 26% Respondent Men 10% 1% 21% 11% 3% 30% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 10% 10% 60% Men, 18-34 10% 21% 6% 44% Women, 35-49 6% 25% 6% 28% Men, 35-49 5% 21% 15% 39% Women, 50-64 9% 5% 22% 1% 10% 12% Men, 50-64 10% 1% 18% 16% 8% 22% Women, 65 and older 22% 1% 29% 4% 8% 13% Men, 65 and older 19% 2% 24% 11% 8% 6% Education & Women, no college degree 14% 2% 19% 2% 6% 30% Gender Women, college degree or more 10% 3% 25% 7% 18% Men, no college degree 9% 19% 13% 2% 34% Men, college degree or more 12% 2% 24% 8% 6% 26% Level of High school or less 15% 17% 7% 2% 40% Education Technical school/Some college 10% 1% 20% 7% 5% 27% College graduate 8% 3% 30% 5% 7% 21% Postgraduate work 15% 3% 18% 1% 7% 21% Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 15% 1% 22% 5% 6% 36% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 12% 18% 7% 6% 36% Still Trying To Decide 5% 4% 23% 5% 2% 8% Region of Central / Lakes 9% 1% 20% 1% 6% 31% State Connecticut Valley 10% 1% 31% 2% 3% 29% Manchester Area 18% 3% 17% 10% 7% 21% Mass Border 11% 1% 35% 11% 2% 20% North Country 17% 2% 11% 4% 8% 22% Seacoast 6% 2% 13% 4% 6% 39%

Because Michael Bloomberg is not running in the New Hampshire primary, his name was not included in the list of candidates who were read aloud. However, responses from those who voluntered Bloomberg as their choice are included. Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick were included in the read list of candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Preferred Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Elizabeth Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Other Undecided N Warren

STATEWIDE 3% 9% 3% 1% 11% 364

Registered to Reg. Democrat 2% 13% 1% 1% 11% 185 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 3% 6% 5% 2% 10% 179 Party ID Democrat 2% 12% 2% 1% 10% 287 Independent 5% 10% 3% 10% 52 Republican 2% 5% 24% 24 Ideology Liberal 1% 15% 1% 8% 134 Moderate 4% 6% 3% 2% 14% 176 Conservative 7% 15% 5% 11% 27 Age of 18 to 34 11% 5% 1% 3% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 1% 15% 1% 12% 77 50 to 64 7% 5% 5% 3% 16% 109 65 and older 3% 8% 1% 1% 13% 73 Gender of Women 3% 10% 2% 1% 14% 212 Respondent Men 2% 8% 5% 2% 6% 152 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 13% 5% 2% 46 Men, 18-34 9% 4% 2% 3% 51 Women, 35-49 17% 18% 46 Men, 35-49 3% 12% 3% 2% 31 Women, 50-64 9% 6% 4% 2% 21% 68 Men, 50-64 3% 4% 7% 4% 7% 41 Women, 65 and older 3% 8% 12% 48 Men, 65 and older 1% 10% 2% 3% 14% 25 Education & Women, no college degree 4% 7% 3% 1% 12% 131 Gender Women, college degree or more 3% 15% 1% 17% 79 Men, no college degree 1% 7% 5% 4% 6% 96 Men, college degree or more 2% 11% 3% 6% 54 Level of High school or less 4% 5% 2% 2% 6% 82 Education Technical school/Some college 2% 8% 5% 3% 11% 145 College graduate 2% 10% 1% 14% 74 Postgraduate work 4% 18% 3% 10% 59 Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 3% 8% 2% 1% 187 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 1% 12% 8% 70 Still Trying To Decide 2% 10% 2% 3% 36% 108 Region of Central / Lakes 1% 14% 6% 5% 6% 54 State Connecticut Valley 9% 5% 9% 51 Manchester Area 6% 3% 15% 57 Mass Border 2% 5% 2% 12% 72 North Country 6% 9% 7% 14% 44 Seacoast 2% 15% 3% 1% 8% 85

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Deval Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Patrick

STATEWIDE 1% 12% 1% 15% 5% 10% 0%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 0% 15% 0% 15% 10% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 8% 3% 15% 10% 11% 0% Party ID Democrat 0% 12% 1% 15% 3% 12% 0% Independent 5% 8% 3% 19% 15% 2% Republican 6% 3% 12% 11% 3% Ideology Liberal 0% 12% 3% 12% 3% 4% 1% Moderate 2% 14% 0% 21% 6% 15% Conservative 2% 9% 3% Age of 18 to 34 10% 2% 11% 8% 6% Respondent 35 to 49 13% 17% 3% 16% 50 to 64 2% 11% 0% 16% 3% 9% 1% 65 and older 2% 15% 4% 19% 4% 11% Gender of Women 0% 13% 2% 15% 7% 12% 0% Respondent Men 2% 9% 0% 16% 2% 8% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 9% 5% 11% 14% 10% Men, 18-34 10% 10% 3% 1% Women, 35-49 16% 17% 3% 20% Men, 35-49 9% 16% 2% 12% Women, 50-64 12% 13% 5% 9% 1% Men, 50-64 4% 9% 0% 20% 1% 9% Women, 65 and older 1% 16% 5% 16% 6% 11% Men, 65 and older 4% 11% 2% 23% 11% Education & Women, no college degree 11% 3% 13% 9% 10% Gender Women, college degree or more 1% 17% 2% 18% 4% 16% 1% Men, no college degree 3% 7% 13% 2% 2% Men, college degree or more 13% 1% 22% 3% 17% Level of High school or less 2% 8% 9% 5% 11% Education Technical school/Some college 1% 10% 3% 15% 6% 4% College graduate 15% 1% 20% 4% 17% 1% Postgraduate work 1% 16% 2% 20% 3% 16% Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 1% 14% 1% 17% 4% 9% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 1% 8% 4% 16% 10% 7% Still Trying To Decide 1% 10% 1% 10% 2% 16% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 10% 18% 1% 16% 1% State Connecticut Valley 13% 8% 11% 15% Manchester Area 1% 14% 3% 18% 3% 6% Mass Border 4% 15% 3% 8% 3% 10% North Country 2% 21% 8% 6% Seacoast 12% 1% 19% 5% 8% Second Choice for Democra c 2020 Presiden al Nomina on

Bernie Tom Elizabeth Andrew No Second Other Undecided N Sanders Steyer Warren Yang Choice

STATEWIDE 13% 2% 22% 7% 1% 5% 5% 325

Registered to Reg. Democrat 12% 3% 28% 8% 1% 4% 4% 165 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 14% 2% 16% 7% 1% 6% 6% 160 Party ID Democrat 14% 3% 24% 8% 0% 1% 6% 260 Independent 9% 0% 16% 6% 14% 3% 47 Republican 8% 1% 8% 11% 35% 3% 18 Ideology Liberal 10% 1% 36% 12% 1% 6% 123 Moderate 14% 3% 13% 5% 0% 5% 3% 153 Conservative 23% 7% 15% 11% 27% 2% 24 Age of 18 to 34 9% 1% 31% 12% 3% 4% 5% 95 Respondent 35 to 49 14% 22% 6% 1% 4% 4% 68 50 to 64 17% 4% 20% 8% 6% 2% 92 65 and older 12% 3% 14% 1% 4% 12% 64 Gender of Women 9% 3% 25% 3% 1% 3% 6% 183 Respondent Men 18% 2% 18% 13% 1% 6% 4% 142 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 2% 2% 30% 2% 5% 5% 5% 45 Men, 18-34 16% 31% 20% 1% 3% 5% 50 Women, 35-49 7% 25% 6% 5% 38 Men, 35-49 21% 18% 14% 3% 3% 2% 31 Women, 50-64 20% 4% 28% 7% 2% 54 Men, 50-64 15% 5% 8% 11% 12% 5% 39 Women, 65 and older 6% 3% 16% 1% 2% 15% 43 Men, 65 and older 24% 3% 9% 2% 8% 4% 22 Education & Women, no college degree 9% 2% 27% 2% 2% 5% 9% 115 Gender Women, college degree or more 10% 5% 20% 4% 1% 1% 65 Men, no college degree 19% 2% 24% 18% 7% 5% 90 Men, college degree or more 16% 2% 9% 6% 3% 4% 4% 51 Level of High school or less 9% 3% 26% 15% 4% 8% 77 Education Technical school/Some college 15% 1% 25% 5% 2% 7% 6% 128 College graduate 15% 2% 12% 5% 4% 3% 63 Postgraduate work 10% 5% 19% 4% 3% 1% 2% 53 Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 11% 2% 26% 5% 2% 5% 4% 187 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 13% 2% 20% 9% 6% 4% 70 Still Trying To Decide 18% 4% 14% 13% 3% 9% 69 Region of Central / Lakes 10% 3% 29% 5% 5% 50 State Connecticut Valley 22% 17% 7% 1% 5% 46 Manchester Area 14% 1% 26% 7% 2% 3% 49 Mass Border 14% 6% 13% 12% 3% 3% 5% 64 North Country 8% 5% 17% 6% 7% 19% 38 Seacoast 10% 0% 29% 9% 1% 5% 3% 79 Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Michael Michael Pete Tulsi Amy Deval Joe Biden Bennet Bloomberg Buttigieg Gabbard Klobuchar Patrick

STATEWIDE 1% 17% 1% 3% 9% 1% 2%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 19% 1% 3% 13% 2% 3% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 2% 16% 0% 3% 5% 1% Party ID Democrat 2% 14% 0% 3% 12% 1% 2% Independent 38% 1% 4% 1% 1% Republican 6% Ideology Liberal 1% 20% 1% 5% 17% 1% Moderate 2% 12% 1% 2% 6% 1% 4% Conservative 26% Age of 18 to 34 35% 5% 7% 1% Respondent 35 to 49 1% 7% 1% 3% 11% 50 to 64 3% 10% 1% 2% 12% 3% 65 and older 1% 13% 0% 8% 3% 5% Gender of Women 1% 17% 1% 1% 10% 1% 3% Respondent Men 1% 18% 0% 5% 9% 2% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 39% 4% Men, 18-34 31% 10% 9% 3% Women, 35-49 15% Men, 35-49 2% 15% 2% 6% 6% Women, 50-64 2% 12% 2% 4% 13% 6% Men, 50-64 4% 6% 11% Women, 65 and older 2% 14% 8% 3% 5% Men, 65 and older 11% 2% 10% 4% 4% Education & Women, no college degree 1% 23% 0% 1% 8% 1% 5% Gender Women, college degree or more 2% 6% 1% 1% 13% Men, no college degree 2% 20% 7% 11% 2% Men, college degree or more 1% 12% 1% 2% 6% 2% Level of High school or less 17% 2% 12% 2% 3% Education Technical school/Some college 2% 25% 0% 4% 7% 2% 3% College graduate 2% 8% 2% 11% 0% Postgraduate work 1% 9% 2% 10% 1% Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 1% 20% 0% 3% 12% 1% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 2% 13% 1% 3% 8% 4% 2% Still Trying To Decide 2% 14% 0% 2% 6% 1% 3% Region of Central / Lakes 4% 5% 1% 1% 4% 2% State Connecticut Valley 20% 2% 10% 4% 3% Manchester Area 9% 1% 11% 3% Mass Border 1% 25% 1% 13% 3% North Country 21% 4% 13% 1% Seacoast 2% 21% 8% 7% 1% Would Not Vote For Candidate Under Any Circumstances

Don't Bernie Tom Elizabeth Andrew None All Other Know/Not N Sanders Steyer Warren Yang Are Ok Sure STATEWIDE 11% 4% 16% 1% 1% 24% 9% 356

Registered to Reg. Democrat 10% 3% 9% 0% 1% 27% 10% 180 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 12% 4% 23% 2% 1% 22% 9% 176 Party ID Democrat 10% 5% 12% 1% 0% 27% 11% 280 Independent 4% 25% 3% 16% 6% 52 Republican 37% 47% 9% 23 Ideology Liberal 4% 7% 5% 1% 1% 30% 8% 130 Moderate 17% 1% 21% 1% 0% 22% 10% 176 Conservative 13% 7% 37% 1% 9% 6% 26 Age of 18 to 34 8% 5% 13% 2% 1% 22% 2% 96 Respondent 35 to 49 8% 7% 19% 2% 25% 18% 72 50 to 64 13% 1% 18% 1% 1% 24% 10% 109 65 and older 16% 2% 11% 2% 28% 9% 72 Gender of Women 11% 5% 15% 1% 1% 25% 9% 208 Respondent Men 11% 2% 17% 1% 0% 23% 10% 148 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 9% 11% 14% 2% 22% 46 Men, 18-34 7% 12% 3% 22% 3% 50 Women, 35-49 8% 8% 18% 3% 25% 24% 41 Men, 35-49 7% 6% 21% 25% 9% 31 Women, 50-64 10% 1% 11% 1% 1% 31% 7% 68 Men, 50-64 18% 1% 30% 1% 12% 17% 41 Women, 65 and older 18% 1% 15% 3% 23% 10% 49 Men, 65 and older 13% 5% 3% 40% 8% 23 Education & Women, no college degree 8% 3% 14% 27% 9% 127 Gender Women, college degree or more 16% 7% 17% 2% 3% 22% 10% 79 Men, no college degree 8% 3% 17% 2% 16% 12% 92 Men, college degree or more 15% 1% 19% 1% 35% 4% 54 Level of High school or less 6% 6% 15% 2% 24% 13% 78 Education Technical school/Some college 10% 2% 15% 21% 9% 141 College graduate 12% 3% 20% 2% 2% 29% 8% 74 Postgraduate work 21% 6% 15% 1% 2% 25% 7% 59 Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 12% 2% 16% 2% 23% 7% 185 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 6% 9% 16% 1% 25% 9% 70 Still Trying To Decide 12% 3% 14% 2% 25% 15% 101 Region of Central / Lakes 8% 5% 14% 1% 2% 31% 20% 53 State Connecticut Valley 8% 2% 12% 2% 30% 7% 50 Manchester Area 14% 6% 21% 1% 28% 8% 57 Mass Border 12% 4% 17% 2% 18% 3% 72 North Country 6% 15% 25% 15% 43 Seacoast 13% 4% 15% 1% 1% 18% 8% 80 Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Michael Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Amy Klobuchar Bloomberg

STATEWIDE 10% 0% 11% 1% 1%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 11% 0% 7% 1% 1% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 10% 15% 1% 1% Party ID Democrat 12% 0% 9% 1% 1% Independent 1% 11% Republican 5% 33% Ideology Liberal 7% 0% 10% 1% Moderate 12% 14% 1% 1% Conservative 8% 7% Age of 18 to 34 9% 7% Respondent 35 to 49 10% 16% 50 to 64 7% 0% 12% 1% 3% 65 and older 16% 12% 3% Gender of Women 11% 0% 13% 1% 1% Respondent Men 10% 8% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 11% 11% Men, 18-34 8% 2% Women, 35-49 10% 15% Men, 35-49 11% 16% Women, 50-64 7% 1% 12% 4% Men, 50-64 7% 11% 4% Women, 65 and older 16% 15% 4% Men, 65 and older 15% 6% Education & Women, no college degree 12% 14% 1% 1% Gender Women, college degree or more 9% 1% 12% 1% Men, no college degree 11% 5% 2% Men, college degree or more 6% 14% Level of High school or less 12% 6% 2% Education Technical school/Some college 11% 12% 1% 1% College graduate 4% 15% 1% Postgraduate work 12% 1% 11% Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 10% 0% 12% 1% 1% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 12% 15% Still Trying To Decide 9% 6% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 10% 1% 12% State Connecticut Valley 1% 14% 2% Manchester Area 16% 9% 3% 3% Mass Border 7% 19% 3% North Country 6% 8% Seacoast 17% 5% Candidate Most Likely to Win the New Hampshire Primary

Elizabeth Bernie Sanders Tom Steyer Andrew Yang Undecided N Warren

STATEWIDE 56% 1% 6% 1% 12% 365

Registered to Reg. Democrat 59% 2% 5% 1% 13% 186 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 53% 1% 6% 1% 12% 179 Party ID Democrat 54% 2% 6% 1% 13% 288 Independent 73% 4% 10% 52 Republican 54% 8% 24 Ideology Liberal 59% 2% 8% 1% 12% 134 Moderate 53% 1% 6% 12% 176 Conservative 73% 6% 6% 27 Age of 18 to 34 70% 2% 7% 2% 3% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 56% 4% 14% 77 50 to 64 51% 3% 8% 1% 14% 109 65 and older 46% 3% 21% 74 Gender of Women 52% 2% 6% 15% 213 Respondent Men 63% 1% 6% 2% 9% 152 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 68% 5% 4% 2% 46 Men, 18-34 73% 9% 3% 5% 51 Women, 35-49 50% 5% 20% 46 Men, 35-49 66% 2% 5% 31 Women, 50-64 47% 2% 8% 18% 68 Men, 50-64 57% 4% 8% 3% 7% 41 Women, 65 and older 42% 3% 19% 49 Men, 65 and older 53% 1% 25% 25 Education & Women, no college degree 49% 3% 6% 13% 131 Gender Women, college degree or more 54% 6% 18% 80 Men, no college degree 60% 2% 8% 3% 9% 96 Men, college degree or more 70% 2% 8% 54 Level of High school or less 54% 4% 3% 18% 82 Education Technical school/Some college 54% 4% 8% 8% 145 College graduate 63% 2% 14% 74 Postgraduate work 57% 6% 13% 59 Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 61% 1% 4% 9% 187 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 56% 7% 4% 5% 70 Still Trying To Decide 49% 3% 7% 24% 108 Region of Central / Lakes 56% 3% 6% 2% 9% 54 State Connecticut Valley 71% 1% 11% 51 Manchester Area 57% 2% 10% 57 Mass Border 42% 9% 2% 18% 72 North Country 65% 5% 5% 12% 45 Seacoast 55% 2% 8% 13% 85 Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Michael Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Tulsi Gabbard Amy Klobuchar Bloomberg

STATEWIDE 25% 3% 14% 2% 2%

Registered to Reg. Democrat 27% 3% 12% 0% 2% Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 24% 3% 16% 3% 2% Party ID Democrat 26% 4% 13% 1% 2% Independent 18% 11% 9% 2% Republican 26% 0% 36% Ideology Liberal 24% 1% 11% 1% Moderate 31% 5% 17% 4% 4% Conservative 14% 0% 13% Age of 18 to 34 30% 10% 2% Respondent 35 to 49 20% 4% 15% 2% 50 to 64 23% 4% 15% 3% 4% 65 and older 28% 3% 15% 4% Gender of Women 28% 3% 14% 3% Respondent Men 22% 2% 13% 4% 1% Age & Gender Women, 18-34 35% 9% Men, 18-34 26% 11% 3% Women, 35-49 23% 6% 18% Men, 35-49 16% 10% 5% Women, 50-64 27% 5% 13% 5% Men, 50-64 17% 3% 19% 9% 3% Women, 65 and older 26% 1% 17% 6% Men, 65 and older 31% 9% 10% 2% Education & Women, no college degree 30% 4% 12% 2% Gender Women, college degree or more 25% 3% 17% 4% Men, no college degree 21% 1% 11% 5% 2% Men, college degree or more 24% 4% 17% 4% Level of High school or less 24% 4% 4% 2% Education Technical school/Some college 27% 4% 15% 1% 2% College graduate 20% 5% 20% 3% 3% Postgraduate work 30% 3% 13% 2% Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 22% 3% 14% 2% 3% Vote Leaning Towards Someone 28% 2% 13% 3% 1% Still Trying To Decide 29% 4% 15% 1% 1% Region of Central / Lakes 23% 1% 19% 1% State Connecticut Valley 18% 19% 4% Manchester Area 39% 3% 10% 3% 6% Mass Border 32% 1% 20% 5% 0% North Country 25% 10% 6% Seacoast 17% 3% 9% 2% 1% Candidate With Best Chance to Win General Elec on

Elizabeth Don't Know/Not Bernie Sanders Tom Steyer Andrew Yang N Warren Sure

STATEWIDE 29% 1% 5% 2% 17% 363

Registered to Reg. Democrat 31% 1% 8% 0% 15% 186 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 28% 1% 2% 3% 18% 177 Party ID Democrat 29% 1% 7% 2% 16% 287 Independent 37% 0% 1% 21% 52 Republican 16% 21% 23 Ideology Liberal 39% 9% 3% 12% 133 Moderate 16% 2% 4% 1% 17% 175 Conservative 51% 22% 27 Age of 18 to 34 44% 4% 4% 7% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 31% 7% 1% 22% 76 50 to 64 24% 3% 3% 1% 18% 109 65 and older 18% 1% 8% 1% 22% 74 Gender of Women 29% 1% 4% 18% 212 Respondent Men 30% 1% 7% 4% 16% 151 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 51% 2% 4% 46 Men, 18-34 37% 6% 7% 10% 51 Women, 35-49 22% 4% 28% 45 Men, 35-49 43% 12% 2% 13% 31 Women, 50-64 25% 2% 3% 19% 68 Men, 50-64 22% 3% 4% 3% 17% 41 Women, 65 and older 20% 1% 8% 22% 49 Men, 65 and older 15% 8% 2% 23% 25 Education & Women, no college degree 37% 1% 2% 13% 131 Gender Women, college degree or more 17% 1% 8% 25% 79 Men, no college degree 35% 1% 6% 5% 14% 96 Men, college degree or more 22% 0% 9% 3% 17% 54 Level of High school or less 43% 2% 5% 16% 82 Education Technical school/Some college 32% 1% 5% 12% 145 College graduate 16% 1% 5% 1% 27% 74 Postgraduate work 22% 0% 12% 2% 16% 59 Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 37% 2% 7% 1% 11% 186 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 27% 7% 6% 13% 70 Still Trying To Decide 18% 1% 1% 30% 107 Region of Central / Lakes 30% 8% 4% 15% 53 State Connecticut Valley 28% 4% 6% 21% 51 Manchester Area 27% 3% 2% 7% 57 Mass Border 26% 0% 3% 12% 72 North Country 35% 6% 1% 18% 45 Seacoast 30% 2% 8% 1% 26% 85 Preferred Republican 2020 Presiden al Nomina on Candidate

Donald Trump William Weld DK/Undecided Other N

STATEWIDE 91% 5% 3% 2% 199

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 88% 5% 6% 1% 63 Vote Reg. Republican 92% 4% 2% 2% 136 Party ID Democrat 88% 12% 6 Independent 71% 9% 9% 11% 18 Republican 93% 4% 3% 1% 172 Ideology Liberal 82% 18% 9 Moderate 85% 10% 3% 2% 63 Conservative 95% 1% 2% 1% 118 Age of 18 to 34 98% 2% 40 Respondent 35 to 49 91% 3% 3% 3% 32 50 to 64 89% 7% 1% 3% 77 65 and older 85% 6% 9% 43 Gender of Women 92% 3% 4% 1% 84 Respondent Men 90% 5% 2% 2% 115 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 100% 12 Men, 18-34 98% 2% 28 Women, 35-49 84% 9% 7% 12 Men, 35-49 95% 5% 20 Women, 50-64 95% 5% 29 Men, 50-64 86% 8% 1% 5% 48 Women, 65 and older 87% 5% 8% 26 Men, 65 and older 83% 7% 10% 17 Education & Women, no college degree 94% 3% 4% 58 Gender Women, college degree or more 87% 5% 4% 3% 25 Men, no college degree 93% 3% 2% 2% 83 Men, college degree or more 81% 13% 4% 2% 30 Level of High school or less 96% 2% 3% 66 Education Technical school/Some college 92% 5% 3% 76 College graduate 84% 9% 3% 3% 42 Postgraduate work 82% 10% 8% 14 Region of Central / Lakes 87% 5% 4% 3% 40 State Connecticut Valley 97% 3% 23 Manchester Area 88% 4% 2% 5% 34 Mass Border 91% 8% 1% 55 North Country 85% 2% 13% 23 Seacoast 100% 24

Joe Walsh, who suspended his campaign on February 7, was included in the list of Republican candidates but did not receive support from any respondents. Deﬁnitely Decided on Candidate - Republican Primary Voters

Deﬁnitely Decided Leaning Towards Someone Still Trying To Decide N

STATEWIDE 78% 6% 16% 202

Registered to Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 69% 9% 22% 63 Vote Reg. Republican 82% 5% 13% 139 Party ID Democrat 100% 6 Independent 50% 5% 45% 20 Republican 81% 6% 13% 174 Ideology Liberal 93% 7% 9 Moderate 74% 5% 21% 64 Conservative 80% 7% 14% 119 Age of 18 to 34 59% 18% 23% 40 Respondent 35 to 49 91% 3% 6% 32 50 to 64 82% 3% 14% 78 65 and older 75% 2% 22% 44 Gender of Women 78% 3% 19% 85 Respondent Men 78% 8% 14% 116 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 69% 16% 15% 12 Men, 18-34 55% 19% 26% 28 Women, 35-49 84% 16% 12 Men, 35-49 95% 5% 20 Women, 50-64 85% 15% 29 Men, 50-64 80% 5% 14% 49 Women, 65 and older 69% 2% 30% 27 Men, 65 and older 86% 3% 11% 17 Education & Women, no college degree 77% 3% 20% 59 Gender Women, college degree or more 82% 2% 17% 25 Men, no college degree 75% 9% 16% 85 Men, college degree or more 84% 7% 9% 30 Level of High school or less 76% 4% 20% 68 Education Technical school/Some college 75% 9% 15% 76 College graduate 86% 4% 10% 42 Postgraduate work 75% 7% 18% 14 Region of Central / Lakes 79% 12% 9% 40 State Connecticut Valley 73% 27% 24 Manchester Area 85% 3% 12% 35 Mass Border 81% 3% 16% 55 North Country 76% 24% 23 Seacoast 66% 20% 14% 24 Interest in Primary

Extremely Somewhat Very Interested Not Very Interested N Interested Interested

STATEWIDE 44% 34% 14% 8% 671

Registered to Reg. Democrat 55% 35% 8% 1% 186 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 41% 35% 16% 8% 303 Reg. Republican 38% 28% 19% 15% 179 Party ID Democrat 51% 38% 9% 2% 310 Independent 41% 30% 20% 9% 93 Republican 37% 29% 19% 14% 257 Ideology Liberal 59% 27% 10% 4% 152 Moderate 41% 38% 16% 5% 283 Conservative 41% 29% 16% 14% 185 Age of 18 to 34 36% 33% 21% 9% 164 Respondent 35 to 49 44% 35% 13% 8% 137 50 to 64 47% 35% 12% 7% 214 65 and older 50% 30% 12% 8% 133 Gender of Women 49% 36% 10% 5% 343 Respondent Men 39% 31% 19% 11% 328 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 38% 45% 12% 5% 68 Men, 18-34 34% 25% 28% 13% 96 Women, 35-49 52% 33% 12% 4% 67 Men, 35-49 36% 38% 13% 13% 70 Women, 50-64 54% 33% 8% 6% 111 Men, 50-64 40% 37% 15% 8% 103 Women, 65 and older 50% 33% 10% 6% 83 Men, 65 and older 50% 25% 16% 9% 50 Education & Women, no college degree 46% 40% 8% 6% 219 Gender Women, college degree or more 53% 29% 14% 4% 120 Men, no college degree 36% 32% 19% 13% 223 Men, college degree or more 45% 30% 18% 7% 102 Level of High school or less 38% 35% 14% 12% 191 Education Technical school/Some college 43% 36% 14% 7% 250 College graduate 46% 28% 21% 5% 141 Postgraduate work 56% 33% 7% 5% 81 Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 58% 37% 5% 1% 181 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 51% 36% 12% 68 Still Trying To Decide 44% 38% 16% 3% 105 Region of Central / Lakes 40% 38% 15% 7% 114 State Connecticut Valley 55% 28% 9% 8% 85 Manchester Area 49% 27% 14% 10% 122 Mass Border 40% 33% 20% 8% 160 North Country 46% 34% 11% 8% 73 Seacoast 39% 41% 12% 8% 118 Likelihood of Vo ng in 2020 Presiden al Primary

Will vote in Deﬁnitely vote May vote in Probably not Primary unless Unsure N in Primary Primary vote in Primary emergency STATEWIDE 74% 10% 6% 5% 4% 671

Registered to Reg. Democrat 85% 11% 1% 1% 2% 186 Vote Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 69% 12% 8% 5% 6% 303 Reg. Republican 71% 6% 7% 12% 4% 179 Party ID Democrat 79% 13% 4% 2% 2% 310 Independent 73% 9% 7% 6% 4% 93 Republican 70% 8% 7% 9% 7% 257 Ideology Liberal 81% 10% 5% 3% 1% 152 Moderate 70% 15% 6% 4% 5% 284 Conservative 75% 6% 6% 7% 6% 185 Age of 18 to 34 70% 13% 12% 5% 1% 164 Respondent 35 to 49 69% 11% 7% 6% 7% 138 50 to 64 77% 10% 2% 6% 5% 213 65 and older 81% 9% 3% 4% 3% 133 Gender of Women 77% 10% 4% 4% 4% 342 Respondent Men 71% 11% 7% 7% 4% 329 Age & Gender Women, 18-34 69% 14% 14% 3% 68 Men, 18-34 70% 13% 10% 6% 2% 96 Women, 35-49 75% 14% 1% 4% 6% 67 Men, 35-49 64% 8% 13% 8% 7% 71 Women, 50-64 82% 5% 1% 6% 7% 110 Men, 50-64 72% 15% 2% 7% 4% 103 Women, 65 and older 81% 11% 2% 4% 2% 83 Men, 65 and older 81% 5% 5% 3% 5% 50 Education & Women, no college degree 76% 10% 4% 5% 5% 219 Gender Women, college degree or more 79% 10% 5% 3% 3% 119 Men, no college degree 72% 9% 7% 7% 5% 223 Men, college degree or more 68% 15% 8% 6% 4% 103 Level of High school or less 71% 8% 7% 7% 7% 191 Education Technical school/Some college 77% 11% 4% 4% 4% 250 College graduate 72% 11% 8% 5% 4% 142 Postgraduate work 78% 13% 4% 3% 3% 80 Decided on Deﬁnitely Decided 94% 6% 181 Vote Leaning Towards Someone 81% 19% 68 Still Trying To Decide 77% 23% 105 Region of Central / Lakes 73% 9% 2% 7% 9% 115 State Connecticut Valley 85% 3% 6% 5% 1% 85 Manchester Area 68% 9% 9% 10% 3% 122 Mass Border 70% 11% 8% 3% 7% 159 North Country 78% 16% 1% 4% 1% 73 Seacoast 77% 14% 4% 4% 2% 118